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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion 
Message-ID: <20220310024432.913971C0EEF@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Thu, 10 Mar 2022 02:44:32 +0000
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AXPZ20 KNHC 100244
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Thu Mar 10 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from Colombia near 08N76W to 02N85W to 
03N115W. The ITCZ extends from 03N115W to 05N130W to beyond 
07N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 04N 
between 92W and 104W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

A surface ridge continues to extend from strong high pressure 
across the NE Pacific south and southeastward through 30N134W to
near 19N116W. This is leading to mainly gentle winds with seas of
3 to 6 ft.

Gentle to moderate winds will prevail over most of the area 
through late week. New northerly swell will raise seas to 9 ft 
offshore Baja California Norte Thu into Fri. A weak cold front 
will move down the Gulf of California Thu into Fri and bring 
strong winds to the Gulf behind it into Sat. Looking ahead, 
strong gales will develop in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sat and 
continue through the weekend. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

A weak pressure gradient through the area is leading to mainly
gentle winds with seas of 3 to 5 ft.

Gap winds across the Papagayo region will diminish
Thu. N to NE winds in the Gulf of Panama will become light to 
gentle the remainder of the week. Mainly gentle winds will 
prevail elsewhere. Fresh to locally strong gap winds will return
to Papagayo Sun evening. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

High pressure across the NE Pacific has settled southward during
the past 24 hours, and is centered near 37N135W and analyzed at 
1031 mb. A broad ridge extends southward between 115W and 145W. 
The pressure gradient south of the ridge is supporting widespread
mainly fresh NE to E winds between the ITCZ and 20N, to the W of
120W, with gentle to moderate N to NE winds to the N. Seas are 8
to 10 ft in mixed swell across the trade wind zone, and 5 to 8 
ft elsewhere W of 118W. To the S of the ITCZ, gentle to moderate 
E to SE winds prevail with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

The pressure gradient S of 25N and W of 125W will support fresh 
trades and seas of 8 to 10 ft most of the week. Winds and seas 
will diminish by the weekend as a cold front approaches far NW 
portions of the discussion area.

$$
KONARIK


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