Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28;
From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion 
Message-ID: <20220310220620.949501C0EEF@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Thu, 10 Mar 2022 22:06:20 +0000
MIME-Version: 1.0
Reply-To: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu
Precedence: list
Precedence: bulk
Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1646949991-112669-13250"

This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1646949991-112669-13250
Content-Type: text/plain

AXPZ20 KNHC 102206
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Thu Mar 10 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2050 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from 05N89W to 02N105W. The ITCZ 
extends from 03.5N108W to 05.5N112W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 01.5N to 04.5N
between 90W and 106W, and within 120 nm N of the ITCZ W of 119W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

A broadening surface ridge continues across the area from high 
pressure across the NE Pacific south and southeastward through 
30N129W to near 22N122W. The associated pressure gradient across
the Baja offshore waters is supporting mainly gentle Nly winds 
with seas of 3 to 6 ft. A cold front is just N of the area across
southern California and has begun to freshen winds across the
Baja Norte waters to around 15 kt, and seas of 5-8 ft in building
NW swell. Winds have become southerly across most of the Gulf of
California in advance of the cold front, and S to SW near 15 kt
across far N portions, where seas are 3-4 ft.

Gentle to moderate winds will prevail over the Baja Sur and Gulf
of California into the evening hours before the cold front sweeps
southward across the Gulf and the Baja Peninsula. NW to N winds
will briefly freshen across the Baja Norte waters late this
afternoon through tonight and then across the remaining Baja
offshore waters tonight into Fri morning then gradually veer N to
NE. New northerly swell behind the front will raise seas to 9 ft
offshore Baja California Norte this evening into Fri. Strong
winds will follow the front down the Gulf of California beginning
this evening across far N portions and spread S tonight through
Sat morning before diminishing Sat afternoon through Sun. Sea
inside the Gulf will peak near 9 ft across N portions Fri 
morning and then across central portions early Sat. 

As this cold front continues SE and across the Gulf of Mexico 
late Fri through late Sat, strong gales will develop in the Gulf
of Tehuantepec Sat and continue into Sun night. These gale are
expected to quickly develop around midday Sat and reach near 45
kt with gusts to storm force Sat afternoon and evening.
Associated seas downwind may reach 20 ft Sat evening and night
and extend well offshore.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

A weak pressure gradient across the area is leading to mainly 
gentle winds with seas of 3 to 5 ft. Moderate E winds are pulsing
in the Gulf of Papagayo.

Gap winds across the Papagayo region will diminish tonight. Mainly
gentle winds will prevail elsewhere. Fresh to locally strong gap
winds will pulse over the Papagayo region beginning again Sun, as
high pressure behind a Gulf of Mexico cold front moves N of the
area. Moderate to fresh winds are also likely to develop Sun 
night in the Gulf of Panama.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

High pressure of 1029 mb has settled N of the area near 38N133W. 
A broad ridge extends southward between 110W and 145W. The 
pressure gradient south of the ridge is supporting moderate to 
fresh NE to E winds between the ITCZ and 22N, to the W of 122W, 
with gentle to moderate N to NE winds to the N. Seas are 8 to 10 
ft in mixed swell across the trade wind zone, and 5 to 8 ft 
elsewhere W of 118W. To the S of the ITCZ, gentle to moderate E 
to SE winds prevail with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

The pressure gradient S of 25N and W of 125W will support fresh 
trades and seas of 8 to 10 ft for the remainder of the week. 
Winds and seas will diminish this weekend as a cold front 
approaches far NW portions of the discussion area. Active 
convection is expected over the weekend N of the ITCZ and W of 
130W. 

$$
Stripling


------------=_1646949991-112669-13250
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT

= = = == = =
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL.
------------=_1646949991-112669-13250--