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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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Date: Sat, 12 Mar 2022 09:42:49 +0000
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912 
FZPN01 KWBC 120942
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
1030 UTC SAT MAR 12 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MAR 12. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MAR 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MAR 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 41N172W 967 MB MOVING NE 30 KT. WITHIN 180 NM SE AND S...AND
120 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 60 TO 85 KT. SEAS 22 TO 35 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N...240 NM E...300 NM SE...240 NM S...AND
180 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 14 TO 28 FT. ALSO FROM
30N TO 46N BETWEEN 153W AND 179E WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 8 TO 24
FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 540 NM SW QUADRANT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 47N157W 957 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE...300 NM
S...AND 240 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 45 TO 60 KT. SEAS 20 TO 47
FT...HIGHEST S QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM E...480 NM
S...360 NM SW...AND 300 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14
TO 33 FT...HIGHEST S AND SW QUADRANTS. ALSO FROM 30N TO 52N
BETWEEN 141W AND 168W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 22
FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 660 NM SW QUADRANT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N147W 961 MB. WITHIN 420 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 16 TO 39 FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 300 NM S
QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM E...600 NM SE...1020 NM
SW...AND 420 NM W QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 300 NM N AND NE OF A
FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 54N153W TO 56N145W TO 55N137W TO 49N130W
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 27 FT...HIGHEST SW QUADRANT IN NW
SWELL. ALSO N OF 30N BETWEEN 125W AND 169W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 42N136W 1005 MB MOVING NE 20 KT AND
SECOND CENTER 44N136W 1006 MB MOVING NE 15 KT. WITHIN 240 NM SE
AND SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 32N TO 44N BETWEEN 129W AND 144W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO
10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N133W 990 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SW AND W
QUADRANTS...AND WITHIN 120 NM E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM 46N131W
TO 44N129W TO 42N128W WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 46N128W 988 MB. WITHIN 180 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 31N
TO 52N BETWEEN 124W AND 143W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 20
FT...HIGHEST WITHIN 480 NM SW QUADRANT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED E OF AREA AND CONDITIONS
ABSORBED BY LOW 50N147W DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...GALE WARNING...
.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 49N147W 1000 MB MOVING NE 10 KT AND
SECOND CENTER 52N148W 1004 MB. WITHIN 120 NM SE AND SW QUADRANTS
OF MAIN CENTER WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 30N TO 53N BETWEEN 146W AND 154W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 14 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW AND ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW
47N157W DESCRIBED ABOVE.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 47N174E 994 MB MOVING E 25 KT. WITHIN 420 NM S AND SW
QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 30N
W OF 177E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW ABSORBED BY LOW 47N157W DESCRIBED ABOVE.
FROM 30N TO 49N BETWEEN 168W AND 173E AREA OF NW WINDS 25 TO 40
KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT...HIGHEST NEAR 41N177W. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST ASSOCIATED CONDITIONS ABSORBED BY LOW 50N147W
DESCRIBED ABOVE

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 44N166E 999 MB AND
SECOND CENTER W OF AREA NEAR 43N159E 1002 MB. WITHIN 540 NM S
QUADRANT OF MAIN CENTER WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 32N TO 47N W OF 168E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 44N179E 989 MB AND
SECOND CENTER 46N175W 990 MB. WITHIN 540 NM SW QUADRANT OF SECOND
CENTER...AND WITHIN 120 NM E AND SE OF A FRONT TO EXTEND FROM
45N173W TO 42N173W TO 39N176W TO 36N179E WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS
11 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 50N W OF 171W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N BETWEEN 164W AND
179W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF
165W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N
BETWEEN 158W AND 179E.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.COMPLEX LOW WITH MAIN CENTER 56N160W 992 MB MOVING NE 10 KT AND
SECOND CENTER 53N173W 993 MB MOVING E 05 KT. N OF 30N BETWEEN
154W AND 166W...AND N OF 53N E OF 154W...AND N OF 44N BETWEEN
166W AND 175E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT...HIGHEST WITHIN
420 NM S QUADRANT OF MAIN CENTER.
.24 HOUR FORECAST COMBINED LOW 52N175W 992 MB. N OF 52N W OF
172W...AND N OF 52N E OF 162W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N176W 993 MB. NW OF A LINE FROM 50N162E
TO 52N170E TO 53N180W TO 54N172W TO 58N165W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS TO 11 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 35N BETWEEN 118W AND 121W AREA OF
NW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 52N TO 59N
BETWEEN 176W AND 172E...AND FROM 52N TO 57N BETWEEN 154W AND
172W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 57N E OF 147W...AND FROM 45N TO
52N BETWEEN 153W AND 167W...AND N OF 55N BETWEEN 160W AND 170W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG WITHIN 180 NM NW AND N OF A FRONT TO
EXTEND FROM 49N156W TO 52N153W TO 54N146W TO 54N138W...AND FROM
44N TO 47N BETWEEN 175W AND 174E.

.HIGH 32N129W 1030 MB MOVING SW 05 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 30N131W 1028 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 32N127W 1028 MB.

.HIGH 35N147W 1025 MB MOVING NE 25 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH ABSORBED BY HIGH 30N131W.

.HIGH 34N165E 1025 MB MOVING SE 25 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N178E 1027 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N165W 1024 MB.

.FORECASTER FOLMER. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT MAR 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN MAR 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON MAR 14.

.WARNINGS.

...STORM WARNING...
.09 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 15N96W TO 16N96W TO 16N94W TO
14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 35 TO 45 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.15 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 14N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 40
TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 14N93W TO 14N96W TO
16N96W TO 16N95W TO 15N93W TO 14N93W N WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 
12 TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 11N96W TO 13N98W TO 15N97W 
TO 14N95W TO 13N93W TO 11N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94W TO 13N95W TO 13N96W TO 15N96W TO
16N94W TO 14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 11N96W TO
11N99W TO 16N95W TO 15N93W TO 14N93W TO 11N96W N TO NE WINDS 30 
TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 12N92W TO 
11N96W TO 14N99W TO 16N94W TO 14N92W TO 12N92W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N95W TO 14N97W TO 16N96W TO 16N95W TO
16N94W TO 13N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 09N92W TO 
07N98W TO 10N103W TO 14N102W TO 15N95W TO 09N92W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 13N95W TO 14N96W TO 15N97W TO 16N95W TO
16N93W TO 13N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 05N93W TO 05N100W
TO 10N105W TO 14N96W TO 10N92W TO 05N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 08N131W TO 05N135W TO 05N140W TO 18N140W TO 16N133W TO
08N131W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE...EXCEPT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.

.WITHIN 25N108W TO 22N108W TO 23N109W TO 30N114W TO 31N113W TO
25N108W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA...NW TO N WINDS 20 TO 30 
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 09N87W TO 09N89W TO 10N90W TO 11N88W TO
11N86W TO 09N87W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 10N89W TO 11N90W TO 12N89W TO
12N87W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0950 UTC SAT MAR 12...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE COAST OF PANAMA NEAR 07N78W TO
03N95W TO 03N106W. THE ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N106W TO BEYOND
03N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 02N TO 07N BETWEEN 126W TO 135W.


.FORECASTER TORRES-FALCON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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