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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id u24-20020a4ad0d8000000b00320fdd6aeb3si8540047oor.80.2022.03.13.09.48.13 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Sun, 13 Mar 2022 09:48:13 -0700 (PDT) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166257.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 22DF8IVf026051 for ; Sun, 13 Mar 2022 16:48:12 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3erm9jrnnd-10 for ; Sun, 13 Mar 2022 16:48:12 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id A3F89E2D38; Sun, 13 Mar 2022 11:48:11 -0500 (CDT) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 606CFE1603 for ; Sun, 13 Mar 2022 11:48:00 -0500 (CDT) Received: from pps.filterd (m0272703.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 22DGVvdj009266 for ; Sun, 13 Mar 2022 16:48:00 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3erhnassbr-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Sun, 13 Mar 2022 16:47:59 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 22DGlxH5032541-22DGlxH7032541 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Sun, 13 Mar 2022 11:47:59 -0500 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.15; Sun, 13 Mar 2022 11:47:58 -0500 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.15 via Frontend Transport; Sun, 13 Mar 2022 11:47:58 -0500 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id AEEBE1C0EF0; Sun, 13 Mar 2022 16:47:58 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian Message-ID: <20220313164758.AEEBE1C0EF0@weather.cod.edu> Date: Sun, 13 Mar 2022 16:47:58 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 priorityscore=372 phishscore=0 mlxscore=0 malwarescore=0 bulkscore=0 spamscore=0 clxscore=337 adultscore=1 impostorscore=0 mlxlogscore=775 lowpriorityscore=0 suspectscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2202240000 definitions=main-2203130103 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 283764 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1647190082-112669-16851" X-Proofpoint-GUID: oAd9gWslFqziv4aBZ1D1XY6FAZSol1Ev X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: oAd9gWslFqziv4aBZ1D1XY6FAZSol1Ev X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 priorityscore=1501 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 impostorscore=0 clxscore=1034 bulkscore=0 spamscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 phishscore=0 malwarescore=0 mlxscore=0 mlxlogscore=999 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2202240000 definitions=main-2203130103 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1647190082-112669-16851 Content-Type: text/plain TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ABIO10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/131800Z-141800ZMAR2022// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/130851ZMAR2022// NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.0S 107.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.6S 104.3E, APPROXIMATELY 440 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COCOS ISLANDS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 131133Z 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LLCC WITH IMPROVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING. ADDITIONALLY, A 131429Z METOP-B ASCAT BULLSEYE PASS INDICATES A DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH NUMEROUS 30-KNOT WIND VECTORS OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY; STRONG RADIAL OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90S WILL GENERALLY TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD, HOWEVER THEY ARE STILL SPLIT ON INTENSIFICATION WITH ECMWF SHOWING SLOWER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A ------------=_1647190082-112669-16851 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1647190082-112669-16851--