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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion 
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Date: Tue, 22 Mar 2022 02:48:50 +0000
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AXPZ20 KNHC 220248
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Mar 22 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0255 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 07N79W to 03N105W. The 
ITCZ continues from 03N105W to 05N120W to 05N130W to beyond 
06N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is 
observed from 02N to 07N and between 84W and 95W, and from 05N 
to 10N and between 110W and 118W. Scattered moderate to strong 
convection is present from 05N to 15N west of 124W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Fresh to locally strong N to NW winds remain present across the 
Baja offshore waters. Seas along the Baja offshore waters N of 
Punta Eugenia are in the 8-10 ft range in NW swell, and 8-9 ft 
southward to the Los Cabos area. Moderate to fresh NW to W winds
prevail across most of the Gulf of California, except fresh 
northerly winds near the gulf entrance. Seas across the Gulf are 
3-4 ft, except up to 5 ft near the entrance of the gulf. Gentle 
to locally moderate NW winds are along the SW Mexican offshore 
waters with wave heights of 4-6 ft. Gentle to moderate onshore 
winds are present off the Gulf of Tehuantepec where seas are 4-6 
ft.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NW winds in the Gulf of 
California will prevail through Wed and increase to fresh to 
strong speeds Wed night through Thu. Gale-force winds are likely 
to develop in the Tehuantepec region on Thu and continue at or 
near gale force through late Sat.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh to locally strong gap winds continue across the Papagayo 
region with seas of 6-8 ft. These winds cover most of the 
Nicaragua waters to offshore east of 90W. Fresh N to NE winds 
are in the Gulf of Panama with 3-5 ft seas. Light to gentle winds
are elsewhere along with wave heights of 4-6 ft due to SW swell.

Fore the forecast, fresh to locally strong NE to E winds are 
forecast to continue across the Papagayo region through Tue. 
Moderate to fresh NE to E winds will then continue across the 
Nicaragua offshore waters through Fri. The winds in the Gulf of 
Panama are expected to diminish to gentle to moderate later 
today. Cross equatorial SW swell will continue to affect the 
offshore forecast waters through the end of the week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

A 1031 mb high pressure system located near 36N131W remains the
most important feature N of the ITCZ and W of about 115W. This 
weather pattern will continue to support fresh to occasionally 
strong NE to E winds and high seas in mixed swell across much of 
the forecast waters W of 110W through late Wed. Seas of 8 to 10 
ft are expected in this region through Wed before subsiding to 
between 6 and 9 ft on Thu. A large low pressure system and 
associated cold front will enter the NW corner of the tropical
Pacific during the upcoming the weekend.

$$
DELGADO


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