Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.139.28;
From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-N: Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre-tropicalcyclones, 
Message-ID: <20220322204418.E6D811C0EEF@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Tue, 22 Mar 2022 20:44:18 +0000
MIME-Version: 1.0
Reply-To: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Errors-To: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu
Precedence: list
Precedence: bulk
Sender: wx-tropl-request@lists.illinois.edu
Archived-At: <https://lists.illinois.edu/lists/arcsearch_id/wx-tropl/2022-03/20220322204418.E6D811C0EEF%40weather.cod.edu>
Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1647981862-33134-307"

This is a multi-part message in MIME format...

------------=_1647981862-33134-307
Content-Type: text/plain

WTIN20 DEMS 222040

REGIONAL SPECIALISED METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE-TROPICALCYCLONES,
NEWDELHI TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 22.03.2022


SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF
BENGAL  AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 2030 UTC
OF 22.03.2022 BASED ON 1800 UTC OF 22.03.2022.


SUBJECT: DEPRESSION OVER COASTAL MYANMAR AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL
BAY OF BENGAL


THE DEPRESSION OVER COASTAL MYANMAR AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BAY
OF BENGAL MOVED NEARLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF 19 KMPH
DURING LAST 06 HOURS, AND LAY CENTERED AT 1800 UTC OF 22ND MARCH,
OVER COASTAL MYANMAR AND ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6ON AND LONGITUDE 94.5OE, ABOUT 200 KM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF YANGON (48097), 100KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THANDWE (48080), 550 KM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAYABUNDAR (43309) AND 690 KM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
PORT BLAIR (43333).


IT WOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NEARLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS AND WEAKEN
GRADUALLY INTO A WELL-MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA BY MORNING OF TODAY,
THE 23RD MARCH 2022.


FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY ARE GIVEN IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE:


DATE/TIME        POSITION            MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    CATEGORY OF
(UTC)           (LAT. 0N/ LONG. 0E)  SURFACE WIND         CYCLONIC
                              SPEED (KMPH)         DISTURBANCE


22.03.22/1800    17.6/94.5      40-50 GUSTING TO 60       DEPRESSION

23.03.22/0000    18.6/94.7      25-35 GUSTING TO 45       WELL-MARKED
                                                          LOW


AS PER INSAT 3D IMAGERY, THE SYSTEM CENTER IS OVER MYANMAR(ARAKAN
COAST) ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. ASSOCIATED BROKEN
LOW/MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION OVER
EASTCENTRAL ADJOINING NORTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL, NORTH ANDAMAN SEA
BETWEEN LAT. 14.00N TO 20.00N LONG. 90.00E TO 95.00E AND ALSO OVER
SOUTH MYANMAR ARAKAN COAST & GULF OF MARTABAN. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURE IS AROUND MINUS 600C. INTENSE CONVECTION LIES IN THE
NORTH-WEST QUADRENT OF THE SYSTEM CENTER.


THE ESTIMATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO
35 KNOTS. THE SEA CONDITION IS VERY LIKELY TO REMAIN ROUGH TO VERY
ROUGH ALONG & OFF NORTH MYANMAR AND ADJOINING BANGLADESH COASTS AND
ADJOINING AREAS OF EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL TILL MORNING OF TODAY,
THE 23RD MARCH AND GRADUALLY IMPROVE THEREAFTER. THE ESTIMATED
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 HPA.


REMARKS:

LOW LEVEL VORTICITY IN LAST 6 HOURS REMAINS AROUND 70-80 X10-6 S-1
TO THE SOUTH OF SYSTEM CENTRE WITH VERTICAL EXTENSION UPTO 500 HPA
LEVEL. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS 10X10-5 S-1 IN NORTHEAST DIRECTION
OF SYSTEM CENTRE. UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS AROUND 10 X10-5 S-1
SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTRE. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS MODERATE TO HIGH
(15-20 KNOTS) AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTRE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARDS ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF ANTICYCLONE LYING
TO IT\U2019S NORTHEAST OVER MYANMAR & ADJOINING THAILAND. UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE IS SEEN NEAR 190N.


SHASHI KANT)

SCIENTIST-C

RSMC NEW DELHI=

------------=_1647981862-33134-307
Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8"
Content-Disposition: inline
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit
MIME-Version: 1.0

= = = == = =
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to
https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email
Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL.
------------=_1647981862-33134-307--