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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id 7-20020aca0907000000b002ef0c3475desi6407000oij.94.2022.03.22.18.23.14 (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Tue, 22 Mar 2022 18:23:15 -0700 (PDT) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 22N035ZM029127; Wed, 23 Mar 2022 01:23:14 GMT Received: from lists.techservices.illinois.edu (connect.techservices.illinois.edu [130.126.157.8]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3eyqh2gvd7-1; Wed, 23 Mar 2022 01:23:13 +0000 Received: by lists.techservices.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 993) id 5C545247D7ED; Tue, 22 Mar 2022 20:23:13 -0500 (CDT) Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.techservices.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTP id 1F3EE277CD6E for ; Tue, 22 Mar 2022 20:23:08 -0500 (CDT) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166259.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 22N1Mb5p013267 for ; Wed, 23 Mar 2022 01:23:07 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3eymqutc3g-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Wed, 23 Mar 2022 01:23:07 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 22N1N7er022411-22N1N7et022411 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Tue, 22 Mar 2022 20:23:07 -0500 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.15; Tue, 22 Mar 2022 20:23:06 -0500 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.15 via Frontend Transport; Tue, 22 Mar 2022 20:23:06 -0500 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id B51801C0EEF; Wed, 23 Mar 2022 01:23:06 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (invest 94s)// Message-ID: <20220323012306.B51801C0EEF@weather.cod.edu> Date: Wed, 23 Mar 2022 01:23:06 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 phishscore=0 adultscore=0 priorityscore=292 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxlogscore=355 clxscore=310 spamscore=0 mlxscore=0 malwarescore=0 impostorscore=0 bulkscore=0 suspectscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2202240000 definitions=main-2203230006 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 283937 Errors-To: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk Sender: wx-tropl-request@lists.illinois.edu X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: , List-Subscribe: , List-Unsubscribe: , List-Post: List-Owner: List-Archive: Archived-At: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1647998593-32384-500" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: rkyVDQ4wei_niV2WLDwvKqItdL6AimhM X-Proofpoint-GUID: rkyVDQ4wei_niV2WLDwvKqItdL6AimhM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 suspectscore=0 mlxscore=0 adultscore=0 impostorscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 clxscore=1034 malwarescore=0 phishscore=0 mlxlogscore=869 bulkscore=0 priorityscore=1501 spamscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2202240000 definitions=main-2203230006 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1647998593-32384-500 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS21 PGTW 230130 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 94S)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.8S 77.7E TO 14.1S 74.7E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 28 TO 33 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 230000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S 77.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.7S 79.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8S 77.2E, APPROXIMATELY 439 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ENHANCED ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 222233Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICTS ACCELERATED INTENSIFICATION AND STRUCTURE WITH CONSOLIDATING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT DEFINED BY STRONG POLEWARD AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94S WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND DEVELOP WITH POTENTIAL FOR RAPID INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 240130Z.// NNNN ------------=_1647998593-32384-500 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 8bit MIME-Version: 1.0 = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1647998593-32384-500--