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Subject: Indian-N: Dems-rsmc Special Tropical Cyclones New Delhi Dated 24.03.2022 
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WTIN20 DEMS 240720

DEMS-RSMC SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 24.03.2022
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND
ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
24.03.2022 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF 24.03.2022.
BAY OF BENGAL:
YESTERDAY\U2019S WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER MYANMAR FURTHER
WEAKENED INTO A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE SAME REGION AT 0900 UTC OF
23RD
MARCH AND BECAME LESS MARKED AT 0000 UTC OF 24TH MARCH 2022.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION
OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL NORTH ANDAMAN SEA GULF OF MARTABAN.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK CONVECTION OVER
NORTHWEST & WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL OFF SOUTH ODISHA-ANDHRA PRADESH
COASTS AND EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS
OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS
24-48 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION OVER EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF KARNATAKA COAST.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION OVER REST OF EAST ARABIAN SEA AND GULF OF CAMBAY.
SCATTERED LOW
AND MEDIUM CLOUDS OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
24 HOURS
24-48 HOURS
48-72 HOURS
72-96 HOURS
96-120 HOURS
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
NIL
REMARKS:
NIL.
PAGE 2
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION):NIL: 0%, LOW:
1-33%, , MODERATE: 34-66% AND HIGH: 67-100% THIS IS A
GUIDANCE BULLETIN FOR THE WMO/ESCAP PANEL MEMBER COUNTRIES,. PLEASE
VISIT RESPECTIVE NATIONAL WEBSITES FOR COUNTRY SPECIFIC BULLETINS
NO CYCLOGENESIS OVER NORTH INDIAN OCEAN
DURING NEXT 24 HOURS=

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= = = == = =
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