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Date: 	Sun, 29 Dec 1996 21:00:50 -0600
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Subject:      Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic)
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802
WTPS32 PGTW 300300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 013
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z3 --- 32.5S0 176.0E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 27 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
095 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 32.5S0 176.0E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z6 --- 37.8S8 177.1E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z4 --- 43.5S2 179.3E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
300300Z6 POSITION 33.8S4  176.3E7
TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AND
IS MOVING SOUTH AT 27 KNOTS. FERGUS SHOULD BE NEAR THE
NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND WITHIN 12 HOURS AS IT
CONTINUES ITS TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM.
FERGUS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN
24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS
20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301357Z9).//

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