

id NAA11146; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 13:43:25 -0600
Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93)
id NAA11151; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 13:43:17 -0600 (MDT)
Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102365-9642>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:42:08 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4)
id DAA04412; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:44:20 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143)
id <[email-masked]>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:40:56 +0700
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3338223 for
[email-masked]; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:42:39 -0500
Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3])
by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA238234 for
<[email-masked]>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:42:38 -0500
Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA87923
(5.67a/IDA-1.5 for [email-masked]); Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:42:38 -0500
Date: 	Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:42:38 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -201442 (AUTOMATIC)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
Apparently-to: [email-masked]
To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
X-Envelope-to: [email-masked], [email-masked],
[email-masked]
Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
Status: OR

ZCZC DD+ 50544
WTPN33 PGTW 202100
1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 030
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
201800Z1 --- 16.7N4 111.6E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
110 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 111.6E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z9 --- 16.1N8 109.7E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
100 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z2 --- 15.7N3 108.1E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z0 --- 15.3N9 106.7E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z3 --- 15.0N6 105.2E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z4 --- 14.6N1 102.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
202100Z5 POSITION 16.5N2  111.1E4
TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AND REMAINED STEADY IN INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 06
HOURS. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE
OVERALL AMOUNT OF CONVECTION HAS INCREASED CONSIDERABLY,
ESPECIALLY AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER. HOWEVER,
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS ELONGATED
NORTHEAST- SOUTHWEST WHICH SUGGESTS THAT SIGNIFICANT
SHEAR STILL REMAINS ON TS BETH. WE EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE
IN INTENSITY AS BETH TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL VIETNAM
COAST, ALTHOUGH SOME SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY CAN
BE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO OUR TRACK FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.
MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 991 MB.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4), 210900Z2 (DTG
210755Z0), 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7) AND 212100Z6 (DTG
211955Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS
20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION.//

NNNN

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.