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Date:	Sun, 08 Sep 1996 00:48:32 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -080048 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 77413
ABPW10 PGTW 080600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z SEP 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080151Z SEP 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 080000Z8 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WAS
LOCATED AT 19.5N5 119.8E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON SALLY (23W)
WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
13N4 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 141E6. SYNOPTIC DATA
AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THE PRESENCE OF A
BROAD MONSOON DEPRESSION WITH THE CENTER LOCATED NEAR
13N4 141E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS LIMITED TO
A BROAD RING APPROXIMATELY 600 NM IN DIAMETER, CENTERED
ON THE ABOVE LOCATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND ARE LIMITED TO CONVECTIVE
REGIONS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(2)  AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2
170E8.  SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE
PRESENCE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW (TUTT CELL) WHICH IS
ENHANCING CONVECTION EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THIS LOCATION.
NO CIRCULATION IS YET EVIDENT AT THE SURFACE. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(3) A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED
NEAR 10N1 160E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS NO ORGANIZED
CONVECTION IS YET ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG//

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