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Date: 	Sat, 23 Nov 1996 13:33:22 -0600
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic)
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411
WTPS31 PGTW 232100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
231800Z4 --- 15.6S2 161.1E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 161.1E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z2 --- 17.9S7 161.3E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z5 --- 20.1S3 161.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z3 --- 22.0S4 162.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z6 --- 23.2S7 164.7E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
232100Z8 POSITION 16.2S9  161.1E9
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) IS TRACKING SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA. TC 06P IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD NEW
CALEDONIA AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT
240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 23/1800Z4 IS 12
FEET.//

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