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Date:	Tue, 27 Aug 1996 01:17:19 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -270117 (AUTOMATIC)
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Status: OR

ZCZC DD+ 40134
ABPW10 PGTW 270600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z AUG 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270155Z AUG 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270153Z AUG 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 270000Z9 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT
26.4N2 151.2E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W
WARNING NR 22 (WTPN32 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WAS LOCATED
AT 32.0N5 160.1E8, MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR
03 (WTPN31 PGTW 270300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 131E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR
16N7 128E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE
THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
LOCATED WITHIN  THE MONSOON TROUGH. CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE IS MINIMAL. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 23N5
166E3.  THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SUPPORTED BY SYNOPTIC DATA AND
ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/EBARLE/BOYD//

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