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Date:	Mon, 14 Oct 1996 01:14:54 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140114 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 74691
ABPW10 PGTW 140600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z /150600Z OCT 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z OCT 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140153Z OCT 96//
REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140155Z OCT 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WAS
LOCATED AT 19.3N3 114.9E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((TROPICAL STORM
ABEL (30W) WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED
AT 15.8N4 147.3E5, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W
WARNING NR 04 (WTPN32 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WAS LOCATED
AT 15.7N3 132.1E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNING NR
03 (WTPN33 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED NEAR 7N7 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 155E1.
SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION BUT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS AREA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR
11N2 172E0 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER
CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
(3) AN AREA OF PERSISTENT, DEEP CONVECTION IS
LOCATED NEAR 12N3 176E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SHORT WAVE
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA WITH GOOD ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW
ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI//

NNNN

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