

id MAA08324; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 12:17:53 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143)
id <[email-masked]>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 12:18:41 +0700
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2739170 for
[email-masked]; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 23:19:37 +1900
Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu ([email-masked] [128.174.5.3])
by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA82610 for
<[email-masked]>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 23:19:36 -0500
Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43650
(5.67a/IDA-1.5 for [email-masked]); Sun, 1 Sep 1996 23:19:35 -0500
Date:	Sun, 01 Sep 1996 23:19:35 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -012319 (AUTOMATIC)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
Apparently-to: [email-masked]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
X-Envelope-to: [email-masked], [email-masked],
[email-masked]
Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
Status: O

ZCZC DD+ 65919
WTPN32 PGTW 020300 COR
1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 046A CORRECTED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z2 --- 34.6N3 146.0E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
140 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 34.6N3 146.0E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z5 --- 36.7N6 148.5E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
120 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z3 --- 38.8N9 151.5E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z6 --- 40.4N8 155.6E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTR$L
D

RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z4 --- 41.7N2 160.8E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z5 --- 43.4N1 171.9E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
020300Z5 POSITION 35.1N9  146.6E7
TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS.
IT IS NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. WIND FLOW AROUND
THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE STEERING IT TO THE NORTHEAST, AND
AS TY ORSON MOVES FURTHER NORTH THE STRENGTH OF THIS
STEERING FLOW SHOULD INCREASE, ACCELERATING THE MOTION OF
THIS SYSTEM. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO
OCCUR BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS, WITH COMPLETE TRANSITION
TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY 040000Z4 SEP. THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE
DURATION OF THE TRANSITION. NOTE THAT GALE FORCE WIND
RADII ARE NOT INDICATED FOR EXTRATROPICAL POSITIONS. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG
021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG
030153Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS
24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED WIND RADII TYPO AT
72 HOUR POSITION.//

NNNN