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Date: 	Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:17:09 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -161517 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 104158
WTPN33 PGTW 162100 PAA
1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 014
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W)
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
161800Z6 --- 17.6N4 125.1E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT
GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
015 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 125.1E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS
VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 17.5N3 123.3E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT
GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS
VALID AT:
171800Z7 --- 17.5N3 121.5E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT
GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS
VALID AT:
180600Z5 --- 17.3N1 119.7E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT
GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS
VALID AT:
181800Z8 --- 17.2N0 117.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT
GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS
VALID AT:
191800Z9 --- 16.9N6 113.6E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT
GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
162100Z0 POSITION 17.6N4  124.7E4
TROPICAL STORM BETH HAS RESUMED A WESTWARD COURSE AND
INTENSIFIED INTO TYPHOON BETH (32W) DURING THE PAST 06
HOURS. AN INTERMITTENT CLOUD-FILLED EYE FEATURE HAS BEEN
APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 16/1730Z DVORAK
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) ARE
THE REASONS FOR OUR INCREASE TO TYPHOON INTENSITY.
OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD TO EXCELLENT IN ALL QUADRANTS WHILE
THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS REMAINED STEADY.
COLD OVERSHOOTING TOPS OF -86 TO -88C WERE STILL NOTED IN
THE EYEWALL WHICH SUGGESTS CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS
LIKELY BEFORE TYPHOON BETH MAKES LANDFALL ON THE
NORTHEAST COAST OF LUZON NEAR DIVALACAN BAY IN ABOUT 18
HOURS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 976
MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9)
170900Z7
(DTG 170755Z5)

NNNN

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