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Date:	Sat, 21 Sep 1996 01:33:54 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -210133 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 56809
ABPW10 PGTW 210600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z SEP 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210157Z SEP 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z SEP 96//
REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210051Z SEP 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT
27.6N5 134.4E2, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W)
WARNING NR 036 (WTPN33 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WAS
LOCATED AT 19.8N8 108.5E4, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM
WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 014 (WTPN32 PGTW 201500)) AND
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
9.5N4 168.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 168.5E0 AND IS
THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE
REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21
PGTW 210100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
5N5 152E8 REMAINS NEAR THAT LOCATION. SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH INTERMITTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. WATER
VAPOR DERIVED-WINDS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MODERATE UPPER-
LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS ARE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AT THIS
TIME. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/WOFFORD/BOGLE/PUGH//

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