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Date:	Mon, 23 Sep 1996 00:41:23 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -230041 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 118773
WTPN22 PGTW 230600
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 230555Z SEP 96//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.9N6
144.7E6 TO 10.8N9 142.1E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA
ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT
230426Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 8.1N9 144.6E5.  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED 300 NM SOUTH OF GUAM,
AND IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS
DISTURBANCE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH
AND IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT,
WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.  CONVECTION
HAS BEGUN TO CONCENTRATE NEAR THE APPARENT LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS.
3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 240600Z2.//

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