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Date:	Tue, 10 Sep 1996 01:13:07 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -100113 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 121027
ABPW10 PGTW 100600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z SEP 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z SEP 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100155Z SEP 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 091200Z2 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WAS LOCATED AT
22.0N4 107.2E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 19
(WTPN31 PGTW 091500)) FOR FINAL WARNING DETAILS.
(2) AT 100000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED
AT 15.0N6 125.7E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR
04 (WTPN32 PGTW 100300)) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 15N6 133E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE
WARNING. REFER TO PARAGRAPH 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER
DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W.
(2) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 155E1.
ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION
IS CONTINUALLY BUILDING AND COLLAPSING NEAR THIS
CIRCULATION. SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD MONSOON
DEPRESSION ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH, AND CONVECTION IS
PREDOMINANTLY ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD
CIRCULATION. CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER REMAINS WEAK, BUT
PERSISTENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4
140E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS
IS A CONVECTIVE REGION FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 24W THAT HAS SEPARATED FROM TD 24W AND
REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY AS TD 24W MOVES WEST. THE DEEP
CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS, BUT A LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CANNOT YET BE DETECTED. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7
174E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS
CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH IN THE
EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW, AND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS
NOT APPARENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/MILLER/UROGI//

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