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Date: 	Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:13:21 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -170313 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 60517
ABPW10 PGTW 170600 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z /180600Z OCT 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161951Z OCT 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170153Z OCT 96//
REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170155Z OCT 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 170600Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WAS
LOCATED AT 12.9N2 109.2E2 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN31 PGTW 162100))
AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 170000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED
AT 23.5N0 140.6E1, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR
12 (WTPN32 PGTW 170300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) AT 170000Z8 TYPHOON BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT
17.5N3 123.9E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
85 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 15
(WTPN33 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 6.0N6 179.0E7 IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MODERATE SPEED
CONVERGENCE ZONE AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR
8.2N0 175.5E8 IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK LOW-
LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
(3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 139.0E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO
LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
(4) AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS LOCATED
NEAR 17N8 168E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
FAIR.
(5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI//

NNNN

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