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Date: 	Fri, 18 Oct 1996 14:43:55 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -181443 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 92597
WTPN33 PGTW 182100
1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 022
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
181800Z8 --- 18.6N5 119.8E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
060 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
140 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 119.8E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z6 --- 18.9N8 119.0E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z9 --- 18.9N8 117.8E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z8 --- 18.8N7 116.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z1 --- 18.6N5 115.7E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z2 --- 18.1N0 113.4E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
182100Z2 POSITION 18.7N6  119.6E7
TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS, AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF LUZON. ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TY BETH HAS
MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE
TERRAIN OF LUZON IS STILL INTERFERING WITH THE CYCLONIC
FLOW TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER
WHILE THE NORTHEASTERLY MONSOON IS ENHANCING FLOW
NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. TY BETH IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE
RAPIDLY ACROSS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA DUE TO THE ANTICYCLONE
OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA. IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE INTERFERENCE FROM LUZON
DECREASES. BEYOND 36 HOURS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE TY BETH TO BEGIN WEAKENING. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1), 190900Z9 (DTG
190755Z7), 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4) AND 192100Z3 (DTG
191955Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS
24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION.//

NNNN

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