

id RAA01838; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 17:34:24 GMT
Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93)
id KAA04616; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:34:10 -0700 (MST)
Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102499-12109>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:33:02 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4)
id BAA04576; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:35:19 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143)
id <[email-masked]>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:31:37 +0700
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3524301 for
[email-masked]; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:01:08 +1800
Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3])
by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA252726 for
<[email-masked]>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 09:26:20 -0600
Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68339
(5.67a/IDA-1.5 for [email-masked]); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 09:26:19 -0600
Date: 	Tue, 05 Nov 1996 09:26:19 -0600
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050926 (AUTOMATIC)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
Apparently-to: [email-masked]
To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
X-Envelope-to: [email-masked], [email-masked],
[email-masked]
Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
Status: OR

ZCZC DD+ 102128
WTPN31 PGTW 051500
1. TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z8 --- 10.5N6 153.1E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 153.1E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z6 --- 11.0N2 152.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z9 --- 11.4N6 150.9E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z7 --- 11.9N1 148.6E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z0 --- 12.4N7 146.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 12.9N2 141.6E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
051500Z1 POSITION 10.6N7  152.9E7
TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY
APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. THIS WARNING
IS ISSUED AS RELOCATED BECAUSE A VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE
PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION TO THE CURRENT POSITION IS NOT
REPRESENTATIVE OF RECENT PAST MOTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE
IMAGERY CLEARLY INDICATES THE MAIN CIRCULATION CENTER
IS FURTHER EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED AND IT LIES
UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOONAL
WINDS ARE FEEDING INTO THIS SYSTEM AND ARE ACCOUNTED FOR
IN THE ENLARGED WIND RADII TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TS DALE.
WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A  COMBINATION OF SATELLITE
AND SYNOPTIC DATA. SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS YIELDS 35
KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T2.5). SYNOPTIC DATA FROM
DRIFTING BUOYS IN THE VICINITY OF TS DALE SUPPORT A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BELOW 996 MB, WHILE CORRELATES
ON AVERAGE TO 37 KNOTS OR GREATER; THUS THE INTENSITY HAS
BEEN BROUGHT UP TO 40 KNOTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8
(DTG 051955Z5), 060300Z9 (DTG 060155Z7), 060900Z5 (DTG
060755Z3) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061355Z0). MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER
TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

NNNN

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.