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Date: 	Mon, 25 Nov 1996 13:41:44 -0600
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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic)
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596
WTPS31 PGTW 252100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z6 --- 19.2S2 160.9E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 160.9E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z4 --- 20.0S2 161.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z7 --- 20.9S1 162.8E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z5 --- 21.7S0 163.6E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
---
REMARKS:
252100Z0 POSITION 19.4S4  161.1E9
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD IN
THE CORAL SEA NEAR NEW CALEDONIA. TC 06P REMAINS UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
WHICH IS PREVENTING THE SYSTEM FROM INTENSIFYING. TC 06P
IS FORECAST TO REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER-
LEVEL SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND WILL BE
DISSIPATED BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 262100Z1 (DTG
261951Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS
13 FEET.//

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