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Date:	Mon, 30 Dec 1996 07:22:55 -0600
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Subject:      Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic)
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508
WTPS32 PGTW 301500
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
301200Z6 --- 38.1S2 176.3E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 28 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 38.1S2 176.3E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z4 --- 43.3S0 177.6E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
301500Z9 POSITION 39.4S6  176.6E0
TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) IS CURRENTLY MAKING
LANDFALL ON THE NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND. CURRENT
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS
SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM NORTH ISLAND (HICKS BAY (WMO 93196)
AND MOKOHINAU (WMO 93069)). CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON
EXTRAPOLATION OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING WHICH IS CONSISTENT
WITH THE ABOVE MENTIONED SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE
13P WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE
NEXT TWELVE HOURS WHILE CONTINUING ITS SOUTHWARD
MOVEMENT. ALTHOUGH NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE THE
REMNANTS OF TC 13P WILL REMAIN A POWERFUL WEATHER SYSTEM.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE
SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION.//

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