

id AA10802; Sun, 18 Aug 96 20:21:28 -0600
Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93)
id UAA20287; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 20:21:19 -0600 (MDT)
Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102149-16660>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:20:27 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4)
id KAA05956; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:18:25 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143)
id <[email-masked]>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:18:59 +0700
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2569969 for
[email-masked]; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 21:12:19 -0500
Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu ([email-masked] [128.174.5.3])
by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA58064 for
<[email-masked]>; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 21:12:18 -0500
Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67407
(5.67a/IDA-1.5 for [email-masked]); Sun, 18 Aug 1996 21:12:17 -0500
Date: 	Sun, 18 Aug 1996 21:12:17 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -182112 (AUTOMATIC)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
Apparently-To: [email-masked]
To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Message-Id: <[email-masked]>
X-Envelope-To: [email-masked], [email-masked],
[email-masked]
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
Status: O

ZCZC DD+ 52812
WTPN31 PGTW 190300
1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 005
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z0 --- 17.4N2 125.6E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 125.6E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z3 --- 17.1N9 123.2E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z2 --- 17.0N8 121.1E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z5 --- 17.0N8 119.0E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z3 --- 17.1N9 117.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z4 --- 17.7N5 112.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
190300Z3 POSITION 17.3N1  125.0E8
TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
TOWARD THE ISLAND OF LUZON. NIKI IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY
AS IT APPROACHES LUZON. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED BETWEEN THE
12-HOUR AND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AS TS NIKI
PASSES OVER THE TOPOGRAPHY OF LUZON IT IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN. NIKI IS THEN FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY AS IT
REORGANIZES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT
190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2),
192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1).
MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190000Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW
FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

NNNN