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Date:	Tue, 10 Sep 1996 03:13:40 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -100313 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 18028
WTPN32 PGTW 100900
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z7 --- 14.5N0 124.8E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 124.8E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z0 --- 14.8N3 122.1E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z8 --- 15.1N7 119.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z1 --- 15.6N2 116.9E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z9 --- 16.2N9 114.8E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z0 --- 17.6N4 111.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
100900Z0 POSITION 14.6N1  124.1E8
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT
APPROXIMATELY 18 KNOTS. THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF THIS TD
IS VERY DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE, EVEN WITH THE USE OF BOTH
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE MAIN AREA OF DEEP
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 24W IS ALREADY MOVING OVER
AND PAST THE ISLAND OF LUZON. IT IS LIKELY THAT THE LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION OF TD 24W WILL BE LEFT BEHIND ON THE
EAST SIDE OF LUZON WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AS THE
DOMINANT MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF THE TD MOVES INTO THE
SOUTH CHINA SEA. OUR FORECAST IS FOR THE SYSTEM TO MOVE
ACROSS LUZON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND
REGENERATE A LOW-LEVEL CENTER ON THE OTHER SIDE FROM THE
MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH APPEARS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH
TO CROSS THE ISLAND. ONCE OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT
101500Z7 (DTG 101355Z5), 102100Z4 (DTG 101955Z1),
110300Z5 (DTG 110155Z3) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110755Z9).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 08 FEET.
REFER TO (WWPW30 PGFW) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON SALLY (23W) FINAL WARNING
(WTPN31 PGTW 091500) FOR DETAILS ON THE OTHER ACTIVE
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE REGION.//

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