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Date: 	Sat, 26 Oct 1996 00:36:38 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -260036 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 58165
ABPW10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z OCT 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260153Z OCT 96
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WAS
LOCATED AT 35.1N9 152.1E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 22
KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM CARLO
(33W) WARNING NR 21 (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 7N7 167E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED
SUSPECT.
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9
151E7. ANIMATED SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES
THIS IS A NEW AND DISTINCT REGION OF CONVECTION INITIATED
BY THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL
THAT FORMED THE FORMER SUSPECT AREA LISTED DIRECTLY
ABOVE. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE WEAK LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC
FLOW WAS INITIATED BY THE PRIOR CONVECTIVE BURST, AND
ALSO INDICATES THIS MAY BE OCCURRING UNDER THE NEW REGION
OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
05 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD//

NNNN

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