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Date: 	Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:16:30 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -180116 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 42183
ABPW10 PGTW 180600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z /190600Z OCT 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170751Z OCT 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171353Z OCT 96//
REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z OCT 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 180600Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WAS
LOCATED AT 14.3N8 108.3E2 MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W
(ABEL) WARNING NR 21 (WTPN31 PGTW 170900)) FOR THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
(2) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED
AT 25.6N3 140.1E6, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR
13 (WTPN32 PGTW 171500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM.
(3) AT 180000Z9 TYPHOON BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT
17.8N6 121.4E8, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING
NR 19 (WTPN33 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 17N8 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 162E9.
ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE
OF A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) INDUCED
LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI//

NNNN

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