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Date: 	Mon, 21 Oct 1996 09:47:07 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210947 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 68599
WTPN31 PGTW 211500
1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 003
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLO (33W)
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
211200Z6 --- 19.3N3 148.6E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 148.6E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z4 --- 20.0N2 147.5E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z7 --- 20.7N9 146.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z5 --- 21.5N8 144.8E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z8 --- 22.1N5 143.2E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
010 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z9 --- 23.0N5 139.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
211500Z9 POSITION 19.5N5  148.3E6
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD DURING
THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL STORM
CARLO. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION HAS INCREASED AND A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST
FEATURE IS DEVELOPING. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL
QUADRANTS AND IMPROVING. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED
ON A 21/1130Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5
(35 TO 40 KNOTS). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE 997 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9),
220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND
221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 211200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 32W (BETH) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

NNNN

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