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Date: 	Sun, 04 Aug 1996 14:42:04 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -041442 (AUTOMATIC)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
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Status: OR

ZCZC DD+ 63921
WTPN31 PGTW 042100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z3 --- 26.1N9 130.5E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 130.5E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z1 --- 27.2N1 129.6E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z4 --- 28.1N1 128.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z2 --- 29.4N5 127.6E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z5 --- 30.9N2 127.3E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z6 --- 33.9N5 128.7E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
042100Z7 POSITION 26.4N2  130.3E7
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W HAS BEGUN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND
HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE REMAINS ERRATIC ON THIS POORLY ORGANIZED SYSTEM. TD 13W IS
FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN
BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD.  TD 13W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8),
051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1). REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
MAXIMUM SEAS AT 041800Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR
BT
#7860

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