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Date:	Sun, 25 Aug 1996 18:26:20 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -251826 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 118385
WTPN21 PGTW 252330
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 252321Z AUG 96//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN 170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30.4N7
161.9E7 TO 35.6N4 161.4E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 01 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA
ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METEOSAT IMAGERY AT
252230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 30.9N2 162.0E9.  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT
12 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN
THE MONSOON TROUGH, BETWEEN TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W)
AND TYPHOON ORSON (19W). UPPER-LEVEL DATA FAVORS
CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. AT THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO FOLLOW PIPER (20W) UP THE MIDLATITUDE TROUGH
AXIS.  A WARNING MESSAGE IS FORTHCOMING.
3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 262330Z6.//

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