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Date: 	Thu, 07 Nov 1996 23:54:11 -0600
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -072354 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 96904
WTPN32 PGTW 080300 AMD
1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 015A AMENDED
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z8 --- 12.5N8 119.1E2
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 119.1E2
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 13.0N4 118.9E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 13.4N8 118.5E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z2 --- 13.8N2 117.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z1 --- 14.2N7 116.5E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z2 --- 15.6N2 115.6E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
080300Z1 POSITION 12.6N9  119.1E2
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANIMATION CLEARLY SHOWS THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE LAST
18 HOURS. STEERING FLOW IS VERY WEAK. MODERATE VERTICAL
SHEAR SHOULD HINDER INTENSIFICATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3), 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0),
082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 14 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION  38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//

NNNN

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