

id EAA25336; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 04:26:09 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143)
id <[email-masked]>; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 04:22:51 +0700
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3064676 for
[email-masked]; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:24:17 -0500
Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3])
by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA60466 for
<[email-masked]>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:23:55 -0500
Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47175
(5.67a/IDA-1.5 for [email-masked]); Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:23:54 -0500
Date:	Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:23:54 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -271523 (AUTOMATIC)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
Apparently-to: [email-masked]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
X-Envelope-to: [email-masked], [email-masked],
[email-masked]
Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
Status: OR

ZCZC DD+ 35140
WTPN32 PGTW 272100
1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z8 --- 22.3N7 125.4E2
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
120 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 125.4E2
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z6 --- 23.3N8 125.2E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
155 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z9 --- 24.4N0 125.2E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
160 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z7 --- 25.4N1 125.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z0 --- 26.1N9 126.9E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
180 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z2 --- 27.2N1 130.5E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
170 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
272100Z2 POSITION 22.6N0  125.3E1
TYPHOON ZANE (29W) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED DURING THE
PAST 6 HOURS WHILE DEVELOPING A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE. CLOUD
TOPS HAVE COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE EYE WALL AND THE
EYE TEMPERATURE HAS WARMED MORE THAN 50C (-17C) SINCE
27/12Z. ZANE IS TRACKING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND
IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT 12-
24 HOURS. RECURVATURE IS EXPECTED BY 36 HOURS AS ZANE
REACHES THE RIDGE AXIS CURRENTLY ALONG 26-27N LATITUDE.
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AND STEADILY IMPROVING IN THE
INCREASINGLY BACKING 200 MB FLOW AND ZANE IS EXPECTED TO
PEAK AT 115-120 KT BY 24 HOURS. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST AND THE WIND RADII ON
THE NORTH SIDE OF ZANE HAVE BEEN EXPANDED ACCORDINGLY.
ESTIMATED SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 938 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT
280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9), 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5),
281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 28 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

NNNN