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Date:	Tue, 15 Oct 1996 21:19:25 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -152119 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 60054
WTPN33 PGTW 160300
1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 011
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
160000Z7 --- 17.9N7 127.6E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 127.6E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z0 --- 17.9N7 126.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
015 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z8 --- 17.9N7 124.3E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z1 --- 17.9N7 121.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z9 --- 17.7N5 119.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z0 --- 17.6N4 115.7E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
160300Z0 POSITION 17.9N7  127.2E2
TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
AT 07 KNOTS AND BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED.  VISUAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 15/2330Z INDICATES THAT BETH=S LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS NOW MOVED UNDER IT=S CENTRAL
CONVECTIVE AREA AND ITS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS NOW
BECOMING MORE SYMMETRIC. OUTER WIND RADII ARE BASED,
IN PART, ON A RECENT 15/1400Z ERS-2 SATELLITE
SCATTEROMETER PASS OVER THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM BETH
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND REACH LUZON IN
APPROXIMATELY 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG
160755Z4), 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1), 162100Z0 (DTG
161955Z7) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9). THIS WARNING
SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 122351Z OCT
96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 130000 )
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 15 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION  30W WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION  31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

NNNN

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