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Date:	Wed, 11 Sep 1996 01:50:52 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -110150 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 86048
ABPW10 PGTW 110600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z SEP 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z SEP 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110155Z SEP 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED
AT 17.4N2 117.0E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR
08 (WTPN32 PGTW 110300)) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED NEAR 11N2 155E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.1N4
153.1E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION
ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 102030)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 13N4 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 135E9. SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION
LYING ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH NO CLEARLY
IDENTIFIABLE LOW- OR MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION.
SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTIVE REGION LIES NEAR A
BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 16N7 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 170E8. SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH IN THE EASTERLY TRADE
WIND FLOW, AND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT APPARENT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6
169E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN
AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH
AXIS WHICH IS MOVING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS POOR.
(5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/MILLER/UROGI//

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