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Date:	Mon, 23 Sep 1996 21:18:18 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -232118 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 98654
WTPN31 PGTW 240300
1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
240000Z6 --- 16.3N0 152.7E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 152.7E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z9 --- 16.2N9 150.1E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z7 --- 16.3N0 147.5E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z0 --- 16.8N5 144.6E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
140 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z8 --- 17.8N6 141.6E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
150 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z9 --- 20.5N7 135.9E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
160 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
240300Z9 POSITION 16.3N0  152.1E9
TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST
6 TO 12 HOURS WHILE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING. YATES HAS
MAINTAINED A 6-8 NM DIAMETER EYE AND HAS A WELL
ESTABLISHED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN. TYPHOON YATES IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF DUE WEST OWING TO
INTERACTION WITH TD 29W LOCATED WEST OF GUAM, AND THEN
RESUME A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK AFTER YATES PASSES
WEST OF THE MARIANAS ISLANDS IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. DUE TO
YATES= SMALL SIZE, THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THAT
THE SYSTEM COULD REACH SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY IN 18
HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2
(DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG
250151Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS
23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA
HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION  29W
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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