

id MAA24716; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:21:43 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143)
id <[email-masked]>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:21:54 +0700
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2781814 for
[email-masked]; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 18:14:08 +1900
Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu ([email-masked] [128.174.5.3])
by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA06804 for
<[email-masked]>; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 18:14:07 -0500
Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82980
(5.67a/IDA-1.5 for [email-masked]); Wed, 4 Sep 1996 18:14:06 -0500
Date:	Wed, 04 Sep 1996 18:14:06 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -041814 (AUTOMATIC)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
Apparently-to: [email-masked]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
X-Envelope-to: [email-masked], [email-masked],
[email-masked]
Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
Status: O

ZCZC DD+ 43553
WTPN21 PGTW 042300
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 042251Z SEP 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/032251Z SEP 96//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW
032300)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.6N0
135.2E1 TO 16.5N2 131.9E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA
ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT
042030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 14.2N7 134.8E6.  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THIS SUPERSEDES REF A.
ISSUANCE OF AN INITIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM IS VERY LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WE HAVE
NOTICED A SIGNIFICANT DISCREPANCY BETWEEN DATA SOURCES AS
TO THE LOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM. WE WILL HAVE GOOD
CONFIDENCE ON THE ACTUAL LOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM WITHIN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS, HOWEVER THE PREVIOUS TCFA (REF A) WAS
DUE TO EXPIRE BEFORE ADEQUATE INFORMATION FOR A WARNING
COULD ARRIVE.
3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 052300Z0.//

NNNN