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Date: 	Wed, 14 Aug 1996 00:43:35 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140043 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 78088
ABPW10 PGTW 140600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN
PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z AUG 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z AUG 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/132153Z AUG 96//
REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/132155Z AUG 96//
REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140257Z AUG 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 140000Z5 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT
32.2N7 130.3E7, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING
NR 42 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 131800Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED
AT 31.6N0 161.8E6, MOVING EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 4
(WTPN32 PGTW 132100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) AT 131800Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED
AT 20.6N8 106.9E6, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 01 KNOT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR
02 (WTPN33 PGTW 132100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(4) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS LOCATED
AT 30.2N5 177.9E4, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF D (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W
WARNING NR 01 (WTPN34 PGTW 140600)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 14N5 138E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 133E7. SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION NEAR
AN EXPOSED WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. SATELLITE IMAGERY
ALSO INDICATES THE AREA OF DEEPER CONVECTION IS BEING
SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SYNOPTIC DATA
INDICATES THIS SYSTEM IS IN A REGION OF RELATIVELY HIGH
PRESSURE AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 28N0 176E4 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WARNING. REFER TO PARAGRAPH 1.B.(4) ABOVE FOR
DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W.
(3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 10N1 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 151E7. SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR
OVER 48 HOURS AND IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER-
LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY (SSM/I)
INDICATES A CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT NEAR THE SURFACE.
SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO SUPPORT A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION NEAR THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 20N2 107E8 IN THE GULF OF TONKIN IS NOW THE SUBJECT
OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. REFER TO PARAGRAPH
1.A.(3) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION
16W.
(5) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 33N6 138E2 HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IS NO
LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
(6) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/EDSON/HAM/MILLER/UROGI/HONG//

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