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Date: 	Sat, 03 Aug 1996 20:07:46 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -032007 (AUTOMATIC)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
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ZCZC DD+ 60841
WTPN32 PGTW 040300
1. TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 024 RELOCATED
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
040000Z4 --- 32.8N3 155.6E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 32.8N3 155.6E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z7 --- 33.5N1 155.5E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z5 --- 34.4N1 155.2E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z8 --- 35.4N2 155.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z6 --- 36.7N6 155.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z7 --- 40.0N4 156.8E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
040300Z7 POSITION 33.0N6  155.6E7
TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. IT MADE A
SHARPER TURN TO THE NORTH THAN INDICATED ON THE PREVIOUS FORECAST,
WHICH IS WHY THIS IS A RELOCATED WARNING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST
TO CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING NORTH WHILE LOSING ITS IDENTITY AS A
TROPICAL CYCLONE. UPPER LEVEL WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO SHEAR
THE DEEP CONVECTION AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH IS
EXPOSED. THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA ARE COOL AND AS
TS JOY MOVES FURTHER NORTH THE COOLER WATER SHOULD QUICKLY WEAKEN
THE SYSTEM. OUR FORECAST IS FOR TS JOY TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY
48 HOURS (060000Z6) AND MERGE INTO THE DEVELOPING BAROCLINIC LOW
MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG
040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2) AND
050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 040000Z ARE 14 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER
TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13WWARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//

BT
#7848

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