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Date:	Sat, 12 Oct 1996 09:51:11 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -120951 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 40724
WTPN31 PGTW 121500
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
121200Z6 --- 17.5N3 119.7E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 119.7E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z4 --- 17.9N7 118.4E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z7 --- 18.6N5 116.9E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z5 --- 19.6N6 115.3E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z8 --- 21.0N3 114.1E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
100 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z9 --- 24.1N7 112.5E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
---
REMARKS:
121500Z9 POSITION 17.6N4  119.4E5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY
WHILE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND RE-ORGANIZING FARTHER TO
THE EAST NEAR LUZON. 12/1200Z SYNOPTIC DATA CLEARLY
INDICATES THE PRESSURE CENTER OF TD 30W IS APPROXIMATELY
60 NM SOUTHWEST OF LAOAG (RPML/WMO 98223) AND THIS THE
REASON FOR THE RELOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM. A BAND OF
STRONG CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST IS ASSOCIATED WITH A
NORTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET AND HAS WEAKENED WHILE
TRACKING NORTH-WESTWARD. HOWEVER, SATELLITE IMAGERY
DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS INDICATES NEW CONVECTIVE CELLS
HAVE DEVELOPED OVER AND JUST EAST OF THE SURFACE PRESSURE
CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE NORTH AND
NORTHEAST, BUT TD 30W REMAINS UNDER SIGNIFICANT SHEAR
FROM THE SOUTHEAST. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG
121955Z3), 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5), 130900Z3 (DTG
130755Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8). MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

NNNN

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