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Date: 	Wed, 14 Aug 1996 03:37:58 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140337 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 59328
WTPN31 PGTW 140900
1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 043
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z1 --- 33.8N4 131.6E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 33.8N4 131.6E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 37.3N3 135.2E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
150 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 40.7N1 141.0E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 43.2N9 147.3E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 45.0N9 153.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 47.3N4 163.9E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
140900Z4 POSITION 34.7N4  132.5E1
TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS.
WE ARE VERY CONFIDENT IN OUR WARNING LOCATION WHICH IS
A COMBINATION OF DETAILED SYNOPTIC DATA, NUMEROUS RADAR
FIXES, AND VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRA-RED SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST
PHILOSOPHY FOR TY KIRK. IT IS MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE
NORTHEAST AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. IT IS NOT ANTICIPATED TO REINTENSIFY ONCE IT
MOVES BACK OVER THE OPEN WATER OF THE SEA OF JAPAN. AFTER
CROSSING NORTHERN HONSHU AND MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC
AGAIN TY KIRK IS EXPECTED TO UNDERGO EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION INTO A MIDLATITUDE LOW. TRANSITION IS FORECAST
TO BE COMPLETE AT 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 DTG
141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG
150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9). MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 23 FEET OVER THE
INLAND SEA BETWEEN HONSHU AND KYUSHU. REFER TO WWPW30
PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM MARTY (16W) WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE
FINAL WARNING ON TS MARTY. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS
15W AND 17W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW AND WTPN34 PGTW) FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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