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Date:	Mon, 02 Sep 1996 02:37:48 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -020237 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 60508
WTPN32 PGTW 020900
1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 047
DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON ORSON (19W)
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
020600Z8 --- 36.2N1 146.8E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
140 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 36.2N1 146.8E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z1 --- 39.4N6 150.0E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
120 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z9 --- 41.8N3 154.9E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z2 --- 43.0N7 160.8E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z0 --- 44.1N9 167.0E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z1 --- 47.0N1 179.9W6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
020900Z1 POSITION 37.0N0  147.6E8
TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 17
KNOTS. IT IS SLOWLY WEAKENING WHILE MOVING POLEWARD INTO
A HIGHER WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION
IS ANTICIPATED TO COMMENCE WITHIN 24 HOURS AND BE
COMPLETE WITHIN 48 HOURS (BY 040000Z4). ALL AVAILABLE
OBJECTIVE FORECAST GUIDANCE IS IN VERY CLOSE AGREEMENT
WITH OUR FORECAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG
021355Z6), 022100Z5 (DTG 021955Z2), 030300Z6 (DTG
030155Z4) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030755Z0). MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

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