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Date: 	Mon, 21 Oct 1996 01:58:35 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -210158 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 48154
ABPW10 PGTW 210600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z OCT 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210155Z OCT 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z OCT 96
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WAS
LOCATED AT 16.1N8 110.5E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM
BETH (32W) WARNING NR 31 (WTPN33 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON DEPRESSION 33W WAS LOCATED
AT 19.0N0 149.8E2, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W
WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
16.5N2 152.1E8 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE
WARNING. REFER TO 1. A. (2) ABOVE.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
7N7 137E1 IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE IN THE AVAILABLE
SYNOPTIC DATA AND IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND IS
THEREFORE NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
(3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
6N6 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 142E. AVAILABLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT THE PRESENCE
OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW STILL EXISTS OVER THIS
DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/EBARLE/HONG//

NNNN

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