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Date: 	Thu, 14 Nov 1996 02:00:31 -0600
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140200 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 52794
WTPN32 PGTW 140900
1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 039
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z1 --- 13.6N0 113.9E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 113.9E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 12.8N1 111.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 12.1N4 109.4E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 11.6N8 107.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 11.2N4 105.4E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 10.4N5 101.4E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
---
REMARKS:
140900Z4 POSITION 13.4N8  113.3E8
TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) CONTINUES TRACKING
SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA.  ERNIE IS A SMALL
SYSTEM WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION.
THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY
MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.  THE LOW-LEVEL
NORTHEAST MONSOON FLOW SHOULD PREVENT ERNIE FROM GAINING
MUCH LATITUDE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.  ERNIE IS
FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST VIETNAM NEAR THE
24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION.  NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1
(DTG 141357Z1), 142100Z8 (DTG 141957Z7), 150300Z9 (DTG
150157Z9) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150757Z5).  MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 14/0600Z1 IS 14 FEET.  REFER
TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

NNNN

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