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447
WTPS32 PGTW 240300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---

WARNING POSITION:
240000Z6 --- 13.3S7 159.5E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 159.5E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z9 --- 14.4S9 159.0E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z7 --- 15.4S0 158.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
005 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z0 --- 16.3S0 158.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
010 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z8 --- 17.3S1 158.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
240300Z9 POSITION 13.6S0  159.4E9
NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0) AND 250300Z0
(DTG 250155Z8). TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) HAS FORMED
SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS AND IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED
ON 232330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE
BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. FERGUS
IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY SOUTHWARD AND INTENSIFY AT
A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST
GU 231521Z DEC 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTPS21 PGTW 231530 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
240000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P
WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0) AND 250300Z0
(DTG 250155Z8).//

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