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Date: 	Thu, 07 Nov 1996 20:36:49 -0600
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -072036 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 3113
WTPN32 PGTW 080300
1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 015
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z8 --- 13.5N9 116.6E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 116.6E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 14.2N7 115.2E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 14.5N0 114.4E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z2 --- 14.8N3 113.7E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z1 --- 15.1N7 113.1E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z2 --- 16.2N9 112.4E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
080300Z1 POSITION 13.7N1  116.2E0
TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT
11 KNOTS. ERNIE=S FORWARD MOTION IS SLOWING AS THE MID
LEVEL STEERING FLOW BECOMES SYMMETRIC ABOUT THE
CIRCULATION. LOW LEVEL 30 KNOT NORTH-EASTERLIES TO THE
NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE VERTICAL
SHEAR ON ERNIE AND KEEP INTENSIFICATION RATE LESS THAN
CLIMATOLOGICAL. WIND RADII ASYMMETRIES ARE DUE TO THE
INTERACTION WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3), 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0),
082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 14 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION  38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

NNNN

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