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Date: 	Sat, 02 Nov 1996 00:17:32 -0600
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -020017 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 34080
ABPW10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZNOV96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020151ZNOV96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WAS LOCATED
AT 11.8N0 114.6E2, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS.  SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W
WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 020000)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
6N6 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 140E5. SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION EXISTS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS CONVECTION.
THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS SITUATED WITHIN THE MONSOON
TROUGH. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES LIGHT UPPER-LEVEL
WIND SHEAR OVER THIS SYSTEM, ALTHOUGH NO SIGNS OF AN
UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
14N5 162E9 NO LONGER HAS AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH IT. A TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) IS APPROACHING THIS SYSTEM
FROM THE NORTH.  THE TUTT IS CAUSING THE PATTERN OF
CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM TO ELONGATE ON AN EAST-WEST
AXIS. SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT OVER
THIS SYSTEM IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TUTT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. GIVEN THE
LACK OF AN IDENTIFIABLE CIRCULATION CENTER, THIS AREA IS
NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
(3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
11N2 117E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 114E6 AND IS THE
SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A
(TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW
020000)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/PUGH//

NNNN

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