

id AAA17359; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:43:19 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143)
id <[email-masked]>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:33:19 +0700
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3279490 for
[email-masked]; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:27:03 +1900
Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3])
by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA161856 for
<[email-masked]>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:35 -0500
Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61113
(5.67a/IDA-1.5 for [email-masked]); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:35 -0500
Date:	Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:35 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -151523 (AUTOMATIC)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
Apparently-to: [email-masked]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
X-Envelope-to: [email-masked], [email-masked],
[email-masked]
Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
Status: OR

ZCZC DD+ 44214
WTPN33 PGTW 152100
1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 010
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z5 --- 17.8N6 128.4E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 128.4E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 17.9N7 127.1E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 18.0N9 125.6E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
015 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 18.1N0 123.9E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z7 --- 18.0N9 122.1E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z8 --- 17.7N5 117.4E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
152100Z9 POSITION 17.8N6  128.1E2
DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) HAS
TRACKED WESTWARD AND STEADILY INTENSIFIED. DEEP
CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED IN ALL
QUADRANTS. THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS
BECOME BETTER DEVELOPED AND NUMEROUS OVERSHOOTING TOPS OF
-88 TO -91C WERE NOTED JUST SOUTH AND WEST OF THE SYSTEM
CENTER. WIND RADII AND CURRENT INTENSITY ARE BASED ON
15/1400Z SCATTEROMETER DATA AND A 15/1730Z DVORAK
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS).
WE HAVE HELD THE INTENSITY DOWN SLIGHTLY BASED ON
SCATTEROMETER DATA AND SLIGHT EASTERLY SHEAR ON THE
SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 991
MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160155Z8),
160900Z6 (DTG 160755Z4), 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1) AND
162100Z0 (DTG 161955Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 151800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION  30W (ABEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W
WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

NNNN

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.