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Date:	Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:22:35 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141422 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 23120
WTPN31 PGTW 142100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 016
DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W)
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z4 --- 18.1N0 113.0E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 113.0E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 17.4N2 111.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 16.9N6 109.8E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 16.5N2 108.2E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
---
REMARKS:
142100Z8 POSITION 17.9N7  112.6E0
TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) HAS WEAKENED WHILE TRACKING
SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. SOUTHWESTERLY
UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS WEAKENED AND DISPLACED THE DEEP
CONVECTION 50 TO 100 NM NORTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION WHICH IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED. AS A RESULT, THIS
SYSTEM IS BEING DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W.
MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 152100Z9
(DTG 151953Z4). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH
TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.  OTHERWISE, 36
HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY
12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS
13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 32W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//

NNNN

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