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Date: 	Tue, 29 Oct 1996 00:27:33 -0600
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -290027 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 64558
ABPW10 PGTW 290600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z OCT 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/282021Z OCT 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1)  THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
6N6 108E9 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 103E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 282030)) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR
14N5 147E2. 29/0037Z SCATTEROMETRY DATA AS WELL AS
28/1958Z MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A
VERY WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WATER VAPOR
WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY
SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR
10N1 158E4. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WATER VAPOR
WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY
SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/EBARLE/HONG/GILL//

NNNN

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