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Date:	Sun, 13 Oct 1996 10:15:26 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131015 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 36282
WTPN32 PGTW 131500 COR
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 002
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z7 --- 14.0N5 150.3E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 150.3E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z5 --- 13.7N1 149.3E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z8 --- 13.6N0 148.0E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 --- 13.6N0 146.4E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z9 --- 14.3N8 144.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z0 --- 17.9N7 142.5E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
131500Z0 POSITION 13.9N3  150.0E6
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OR
REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE
REMAINING STEADY IN INTENSITY. THE SLOW SOUTHWARD DRIFT
IS CONFIRMED BY SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY. AS A
RESULT, THIS FORECAST IS SIGNIFICANTLY FARTHER SOUTH THAN
THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND IS SUPPORTED BY THE 13/00Z
NOGPAS MODEL. HOWEVER WE DO EXPECT TD 31W TO GRADUALLY
RESUME A WESTWARD COURSE AS TD 32W TO THE WEST MOVES
FARTHER AWAY. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE 1002 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4),
140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6), 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2) AND
141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 131200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM ABEL (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.JUSTIFICATION FOR COR:  CORRECTED
HEADER FROM WTPN33 TO WTPN32.//

NNNN

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