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Date:	Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:12 -0500
From:	Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -151523 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 61086
WTPN31 PGTW 152100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 018
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
151800Z5 --- 14.9N4 111.1E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 111.1E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 109.9E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 12.8N1 108.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 12.4N7 107.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
152100Z9 POSITION 14.6N1 110.8E0
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD DURING
THE PAST 12 HOURS WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR ALOFT,
BUT OCCASIONAL FLAREUPS OF DEEP CONVECTION CAN BE
EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
VIETNAM IN 18 TO 24 HOURS. OUR CURRENT INTENSITY IS
SUPPORTED BY SCATTEROMETER DATA AND 15/12Z SHIP REPORTS.
MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 162100Z0
(DTG 161951Z3). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH
TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.  OTHERWISE, 36
HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY
12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS
09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION  31W WARNINGS
(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//

NNNN

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