

id KAA06021; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 10:43:56 -0600
Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93)
id KAA27647; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 10:43:50 -0600 (MDT)
Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102547-22087>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 00:42:44 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4)
id AAA05308; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 00:44:55 +0800
Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143)
id <[email-masked]>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 00:39:46 +0700
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3367943 for
[email-masked]; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 14:24:49 +1900
Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3])
by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA106730 for
<[email-masked]>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 14:24:31 -0500
Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69942
(5.67a/IDA-1.5 for [email-masked]); Tue, 22 Oct 1996 14:24:30 -0500
Date: 	Tue, 22 Oct 1996 14:24:30 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -221424 (AUTOMATIC)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
Apparently-to: [email-masked]
To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
X-Envelope-to: [email-masked], [email-masked],
[email-masked]
Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
Status: OR

ZCZC DD+ 71219
WTPN31 PGTW 222100
1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z3 --- 19.7N7 146.3E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 146.3E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z1 --- 20.3N5 144.8E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z4 --- 21.0N3 143.3E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z2 --- 22.0N4 141.9E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z5 --- 23.3N8 141.0E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z6 --- 25.8N5 140.7E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
222100Z7 POSITION 19.8N8  145.9E9
TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 08 KNOTS. WE ANTICIPATE TS CARLO TO CONTINUE MOVING IN
THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AND
THEN TURN NORTHWARD TOWARDS A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE AXIS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON
A 22/1730Z SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 55 KNOT
WINDS (DVORAK T3.5), INCREASED BASED ON SUBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS. IT APPEARS THAT WHILE THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE
WARMED SLIGHTLY ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, THE
PATTERN IS IMPROVING, WHICH INDICATES THE SYSTEM
MAY BE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8
(DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG
231353Z7) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3). MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

NNNN

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.