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Date: 	Mon, 19 Aug 1996 08:53:56 -0500
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190853 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 50647
WTPN31 PGTW 191500
1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z3 --- 17.6N4 123.2E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 123.2E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z2 --- 17.8N6 121.4E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z5 --- 17.7N5 119.4E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z3 --- 17.6N4 117.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z6 --- 17.9N7 114.7E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z7 --- 19.4N4 110.1E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
191500Z6 POSITION 17.6N4  122.8E3
TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT
APPROXIMATELY 10 NOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD
MOTION SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED
TO MAKE LANDFALL ON LUZON ISLAND WITHIN THE NEXT SIX
HOURS. AT ITS CURRENT RATE OF INTENSIFICATION TS NIKI MAY
REACH MINIMAL TYPHOON INTENSITY BEFORE LANDFALL, BUT
WEAKEN AGAIN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE ISLAND. AFTER TS NIKI
CROSSES THE PHILIPPINES AND REACHES THE SOUTH CHINA SEA
IT IS FORECAST TO REORGANIZE AND INTENSIFY TO TYPHOON
INTENSITY BEFORE REACHING HAINAN DAO. NEXT WARNINGS AT
192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1),
200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 14 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION.//

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