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Date: 	Wed, 06 Nov 1996 08:36:31 -0600
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060836 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 78214
WTPN32 PGTW 061500
1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
061200Z9 --- 11.3N5 124.1E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N5 124.1E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z7 --- 12.6N9 122.6E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z0 --- 13.6N0 121.0E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z8 --- 14.2N7 119.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 14.9N4 117.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z2 --- 16.1N8 114.9E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
061500Z2 POSITION 11.6N8  123.7E3
TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS. IT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR THE NORTHERN
TIP OF CEBU BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND
RADAR FIXES FROM GUIUAN (WMO 98558) ON SAMAR. TS ERNIE IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE NEAR
TERM, AND SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE VISAYAN AND SIBUYA SEAS
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS IT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE VERDE ISLAND PASSAGE BETWEEN
LUZON AND MINDORO AND THEN REACH THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TS
ERNIE IS NOT FORECAST TO INTENSIFY MUCH WHILE IN THE
PHILIPPINE ARCHIPELAGO, BUT IS EXPECTED TO REACH TYPHOON
INTENSITY AFTER CROSSING INTO THE OPEN WATER OF THE SOUTH
CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061957Z8),
070300Z0 (DTG 070157Z0), 070900Z6 (DTG 070757Z6) AND
071500Z3 (DTG 071357Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 061200Z9 IS 11 FEET. THIS WARNING IS ISSUED AS
RELOCATED BASED ON THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY RADAR AND
SYNOPTIC DATA NOT PREVIOUSLY AVAILABLE. OUR CURRENT
POSITION IS OVER 90 NM FROM THE POSITION FORECAST FOR
THIS TIME BY THE PREVIOUS WARNING, AND A VECTOR DRAWN
FROM THE PREVIOUS TO THE CURRENT POSITION IS NOT
REPRESENTATIVE OF RECENT PAST MOTION. REFER TO WWPW30
PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS
(WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

NNNN

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