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Date: 	Thu, 07 Nov 1996 19:47:43 -0600
From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -071947 (AUTOMATIC)
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ZCZC DD+ 90261
WTPN31 PGTW 080300 COR
1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 016A CORRECTED
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z8 --- 11.6N8 143.3E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
270 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 143.3E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 12.0N3 140.4E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
275 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 12.5N8 137.6E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
185 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z2 --- 13.4N8 134.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
105 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
190 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z1 --- 14.8N3 132.1E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
110 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
185 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z2 --- 19.2N2 128.0E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
185 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
080300Z1 POSITION 11.7N9  142.6E3
TYPHOON DALE IS 130 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM,
MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR AND
SATELLITE EYE FIXES, WITH A  RADAR EYE DIAMETER OF 30 NM
AND A SATELLITE EYE DIAMETER OF 25 NM. INTENSITY IS BASED
ON A SATELLITE DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 5.0
(90 KNOTS). MOVEMENT IS DIRECTED BY A STRONG RIDGE TO THE
NORTH OF TY DALE. NOGAPS MODEL FIELDS INDICATE
NORTHWESTERLY STEERING INFLUENCING TRACK BETWEEN 48 AND
72 HOUR POSITIONS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG
080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG
081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER
TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION  38W
WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
JUSTIFICATION: CHANGES ERNIE TO DALE IN RMKS
SECTION.//

NNNN

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