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Date:	Tue, 4 Nov 1997 10:18:03 -0600
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Subject:      Indian-N: Dhaka
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776
WTIO32 PGTW 041500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY
DHAKA
1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 016 RELOCATED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
041200Z7 --- 13.4N8 95.7E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N8 95.7E1
---
FORECASTS:

PAGE 03 RUHGSGG4605 UNCLAS
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z5 --- 14.4N9 93.9E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z8 --- 15.6N2 92.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z6 --- 16.9N6 90.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER

PAGE 04 RUHGSGG4605 UNCLAS
WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z9 --- 18.3N2 89.3E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
---
REMARKS:
041500Z0 POSITION 13.7N1   95.3E7
LATEST ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 041130Z9 AND
SSM/I MICROWAVE (85H) IMAGERY FROM AFGWC INDICATE THAT
TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING TOWARDS THE WEST-
NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS BUT IS REPOSITIONED FURTHER TOWARDS
THE SOUTHWEST THAN THE PREVIOUS WARNING. THE LOW LEVEL
CENTER IS NOW PARTIALLY EXPOSED WITH MOST OF THE
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION LOCATED 60NM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. BOTH WATER VAPOR AND

PAGE 05 RUHGSGG4605 UNCLAS
INFRARED IMAGERY SHOW THAT TS LINDA IS UNDER MODERATE TO
STRONG UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. LATEST NUMERICAL
MODELS FROM THE 040000Z0 DATA BASE INDICATE THAT THIS
VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD AND INCREASE AS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
MOVES NORTH OF 15N. TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS NOW FORECAST
TO DISSIPATE IN THE BAY OF BENGAL BY THE 48 HR FORECAST
PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 12
FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0),
050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND
051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5).//
BT
#4605

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