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From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
Indian
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TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
593
ABIO10 PGTW 261800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z AUG 97//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST
OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7
91E0. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA
INDICATE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION EXISTS NORTHWEST OF
COCO ISLAND (WMO 48109) IN THE ANDAMAN SEA. UPPER LEVEL
WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE WEAK OUTFLOW EXISTS
OVER THE CONVECTION, HOWEVER, THEY ALSO SHOW
PREDOMINANTLY NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST VERTICAL SHEAR OVER
MOST OF THE REGION WHICH IS BLOWING MOST OF THE
CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 KNOTS (ON THE
NORTH SIDE)TO 25 KNOTS (ON THE SOUTH SIDE). MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL
FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SANCHEZ/UROGI//

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