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From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number  22
[192031]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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217
WTPZ23 KNHC 192031
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0897
2100Z SAT JUL 19 1997

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 130.2W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT.......100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE 100SE 100SW 200NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 130.2W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 129.5W

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.1N 132.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.5N 134.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 137.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 130.2W

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 17.8N 140.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 19.0N 144.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z

PASCH

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