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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 053
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
X-UIDL: 95cd851c7577939882dd88e4e7b04b6b
Status: RO
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538
WTPN31 PGTW 151500
1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 053
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z9 --- 13.0N4 148.3E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE

PAGE 03 RUEOMCB0108 UNCLAS //NO3145//
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 148.3E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 146.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z0 --- 13.5N9 144.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM

PAGE 04 RUEOMCB0108 UNCLAS //NO3145//
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z8 --- 13.6N0 142.8E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z1 --- 13.7N1 141.2E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT

PAGE 05 RUEOMCB0108 UNCLAS //NO3145//
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z2 --- 13.8N2 138.6E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS: 151500Z POSITION: 13.2N6 147.4E6
SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
12 KNOTS. CONTINUED SLOWING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM
STAYS EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. 35 KNOT WIND
RADII ARE EXPANDED ON THE NORTHEASTERN SIDE BASED ON

PAGE 06 RUEOMCB0108 UNCLAS //NO3145//
SYNOPTIC DATA. HOWEVER, THE REPORT, LOCATED AT 17.8N
147.8E, MAY BE INDICATIVE OF A RELATIVELY NARROW INFLOW
CHANNEL RATHER THAN ACTUAL STORM BANDING AND LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AFTER 12
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 39
FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2),
160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4),160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND
161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7).//
BT
#0108

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