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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Paka (05c) Warning Nr 032
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
X-UIDL: da34a7aea16171a4a22c7be2ce581c76
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885
WTPN31 PGTW 100900
1. TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 032

PAGE 02 RUEOMCB2780 UNCLAS //NO3145//
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z7 --- 6.9N5 171.1E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 171.1E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z0 --- 7.0N7 169.4E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT

PAGE 03 RUEOMCB2780 UNCLAS //NO3145//
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z8 --- 7.2N9 167.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z1 --- 7.4N1 166.1E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS

PAGE 04 RUEOMCB2780 UNCLAS //NO3145//
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z9 --- 7.6N3 164.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z0 --- 8.0N8 159.3E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:  100900Z POSITION:  6.9N5 170.7E5
TROPICAL STORM PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS.
THIS SYSTEM IS NOW FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY

PAGE 05 RUEOMCB2780 UNCLAS //NO3145//
THROUGH THE 24-HOUR POSITION TO TYPHOON INTENSITY AND
MAINTAIN AT LEAST 50 KNOTS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THE WARNING LOCATION IS BASED ON PREVIOUS
SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MAJURO (WMO 91376) AND ANIMATED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A
COMBINATION OF SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF CI3.0 (45 KNOTS) PGTW AND CI3.5 (55 KNOTS)
KGWC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z IS 18
FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z),
102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z),
BT
#2780

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