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From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number  21
[191431]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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273
WTPZ23 KNHC 191431
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0897
1500Z SAT JUL 19 1997

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 128.8W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW
34 KT.......120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW
12 FT SEAS..250NE 120SE 120SW 250NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 128.8W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 128.1W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 16.0N 130.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW
34 KT...110NE 110SE 110SW 110NW

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.4N 133.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.9N 136.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 128.8W

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 17.5N 138.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 18.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z

PASCH

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