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Date:	Wed, 5 Nov 1997 08:21:14 -0600
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From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Dhaka
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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445
WTIO32 PGTW 051500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEBASSY
DHAKA
1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 020
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z8 --- 14.5N0 92.9E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 92.9E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z6 --- 15.5N1 91.5E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z9 --- 16.6N3 90.4E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z7 --- 17.6N4 89.6E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z0 --- 18.7N6 89.1E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 20.8N0 88.4E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
---
REMARKS:
051500Z1 POSITION 14.8N3   92.5E6
TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) HAS CONTINUED ON ITS WEST-
NORTHWEST TRACK AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 8
KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTION
HAS BECOME MORE INTENSE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, HOWEVER
THE LOW LEVEL CENTER STILL REMAINS ON THE SOUTHWEST SIDE
OF THIS CONVECTION DUE TO UPPER LEVEL SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR
OVER THE REGION. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM
INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF
BETWEEN 45 AND 50 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM LINDA IS FORECAST
TO WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY AFTER THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD
AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL WIND
SHEAR FROM THE WEST. LINDA IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THE 72 HOUR FORECAST
PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 15
FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1),
060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND
061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6).//

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