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Date:	Fri, 19 Dec 1997 09:20:44 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 069
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

146
WTPN31 PGTW 191500
1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 069
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z3 --- 16.1N8 135.1E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE

PAGE 03 RUHPSGG9341 UNCLAS
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 135.1E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z2 --- 16.8N5 133.7E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z5 --- 17.4N2 132.2E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE

PAGE 04 RUHPSGG9341 UNCLAS
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z3 --- 17.6N4 130.7E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z6 --- 17.3N1 129.4E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:

PAGE 05 RUHPSGG9341 UNCLAS
221200Z7 --- 16.5N2 126.9E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS: 191500Z POSITION: 16.3N0 134.7E5
TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION
THROUGH 24 HOURS. THERE, IT IS EXPECTED TO ENCOUNTER
SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR, ALLOWING FOR A
GRADUAL LOSS OF LATITUDE AND SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 28 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6),
200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 202751Z7) AND
201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2).//
BT
#9341

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