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From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-EN: Hurricane Guillermo Forecast/advisory Number  11
[020835]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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432
WTPZ24 KNHC 020835
TCMEP4
HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0997
0900Z SAT AUG 02 1997

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 105.8W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 105.8W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 105.2W

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 13.9N 107.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...127NE  75SE  75SW 125NW

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...125NE  75SE  75SW 125NW

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 14.9N 111.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
34 KT...150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 105.8W

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 15.3N 113.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 16.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z

RAPPAPORT

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