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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 015
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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466
WTPN31 PGTW 310900
1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
310600Z0 --- 9.1N0 156.6E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 9.1N0 156.6E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z3 --- 9.8N7 154.9E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
105 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z7 --- 10.8N9 152.9E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
125 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z0 --- 11.7N9 150.5E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
135 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z8 --- 12.8N1 147.8E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
145 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z9 --- 14.7N2 142.4E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
145 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
310900Z3 POSITION  9.3N2  156.2E4
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 310530Z2 INDICATES THAT
TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS MAINTAINED A FORWARD SPEED OF
09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. FORECAST TRACK IS SIMILAR
TO PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH SPEED ADJUSTED FOR A SLOWER
FORWARD MOTION. A RECENT 310003Z7 SCATTEROMETER PASS WAS
USED TO HELP INTERPRET THE WIND RADII ON THE WESTERN TO
NORTHWESTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW
FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2), 010300Z4
(DTG 010153Z0) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6).//

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