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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 051
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
X-UIDL: ad943722379c79707cfdf778dbecf31d
Status: U
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102
WTPN31 PGTW 150300
1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 051
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
150000Z6 --- 12.4N7 150.8E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM

PAGE 03 RUEDMCA5263 UNCLAS //NO3145//
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 12.4N7 150.8E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z9 --- 13.1N5 148.3E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z7 --- 13.4N8 146.0E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT

PAGE 04 RUEDMCA5263 UNCLAS //NO3145//
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z0 --- 13.5N9 144.2E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z8 --- 13.5N9 142.7E4

PAGE 05 RUEDMCA5263 UNCLAS //NO3145//
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z9 --- 13.5N9 140.6E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION: 12.5N8 150.2E8
SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO MOVE AT A RAPID
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION AT 17 KNOTS. FORECAST IS FOR
A DRAMATIC DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WITHIN THE NEXT 12

PAGE 06 RUEDMCA5263 UNCLAS //NO3145//
TO 24 HOURS AS THE CYCLONE BEGINS TO FEEL THE AFFECTS OF
A NEW LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OFF OF ASIA. SUPER
TYPHOON PAKA (05C) REMAINS A VERY INTENSE TYPHOON WITH
INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE
PAST 6 HOURS OF BETWEEN 130 AND 140 KNOTS. SUPER TYPHOON
PAKA (05C) HAS A FAIRLY SMALL BUT WELL DEFINED 15 NM EYE.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 36 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z),
151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z), AND
160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z).//
BT
#5263

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