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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 034
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
X-UIDL: c116f264343c16578d33bd6a11387ca3
Status: RO
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963
WTPN31 PGTW 102100
1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 034

PAGE 02 RUEDMCB0263 UNCLAS //NO3145//
UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM 05C
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z0 --- 6.9N5 169.9E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND
BY DOPPLER RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 169.9E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:

PAGE 03 RUEDMCB0263 UNCLAS //NO3145//
110600Z8 --- 7.0N7 168.2E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z1 --- 7.2N9 166.3E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z9 --- 7.4N1 164.6E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT

PAGE 04 RUEDMCB0263 UNCLAS //NO3145//
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z2 --- 7.6N3 162.8E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z3 --- 7.9N6 159.3E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE

PAGE 05 RUEDMCB0263 UNCLAS //NO3145//
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS: 102100Z POSITION: 6.9N5 169.0E6
TYPHOON PAKA (05C) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS.  THERE
IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.  THE
SYSTEM HAS SHOWN IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW OVER THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS.  WARNING POSITION
AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
DOPPLER RADAR FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366).  WIND RADII
HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS FROM
JALUIT (WMO 91369) AND ALINGLAPALAP (WMO 91367).  MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 21 FEET.  REFER TO
WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.  NEXT
WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG
10751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 112100Z5 (DTG
111951Z7).//
BT
#0263

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