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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 040
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
X-UIDL: 495f4e3f03bbc1cb15d3294b0f190175
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438
WTPN31 PGTW 120900
1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 040
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
120600Z9 --- 7.8N5 165.8E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N5 165.8E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z2 --- 8.1N9 164.5E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
110 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z0 --- 8.4N2 162.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
120 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z3 --- 8.8N6 160.6E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
125 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z1 --- 9.4N3 158.0E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
130 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 10.5N6 152.3E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
130 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
120900Z POSITION: 7.9N6 165.5E2
TYPHOON PAKA (05C) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS.  THE WARNING POSITION
IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 120530Z1 VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 120600Z9 DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATION FROM
KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366).  THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
UPON A SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 115 KNOTS.
THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK
PHILOSOPHY.  MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z
IS 23 FEET.  REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA
HEIGHT INFORMATION.  NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG
121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG
130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z6).//

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