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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 036
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
X-UIDL: 81f50c5effdc374919dcfe04c19c7b43
Status: RO
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676
WTPN31 PGTW 051500
1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 036
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z8 --- 19.0N0 135.4E3
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 135.4E3
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z6 --- 20.2N4 135.9E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
180 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z9 --- 21.8N1 135.9E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
160 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z7 --- 23.5N0 137.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
140 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z0 --- 25.4N1 139.2E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 29.3N4 144.6E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
051500Z1 POSITION 19.3N3  135.5E4
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS MADE
A SHORT TERM TRACK TOWARDS THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS. THE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 100 KNOTS IS BASED ON 051130Z0
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS A 20 NM RAGGED EYE. TY
KEITH IS FORECAST TO MAKE AN S TYPE TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGH
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER JAPAN MOVES OFF
TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF
KEITH IS FORECAST TO KEEP KEITH MOVING SLOWLY IN A NORTH TO
NORTHEAST DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31
PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3), 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5), 060900Z5 (DTG
060753Z1) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8).//

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