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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 26
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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757
WTPN31 PGTW 022100
1. SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 26
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:

PAGE 03 RUHGSGG3493 UNCLAS
021800Z1 --- 15.2N8 142.9E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 150 KT, GUSTS 180 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 142.9E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z9 --- 16.0N7 140.3E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE

PAGE 04 RUHGSGG3493 UNCLAS
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z2 --- 16.6N3 138.2E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z0 --- 18.0N9 136.5E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE

PAGE 05 RUHGSGG3493 UNCLAS
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z3 --- 19.7N7 135.8E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z4 --- 23.0N5 136.0E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM

PAGE 06 RUHGSGG3493 UNCLAS
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
022100Z5 POSITION 15.4N0  142.3E0
SUPER TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE MAINTAINING ITS
INTENSITY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE
CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSES RANGING FROM CI7.0 (140 KNOTS)
TO CI7.5 (155 KNOTS) AND FOR THE CIRCULAR, 15 NM DIAMETER
THAT HAS DECREASED IN SIZE IN RADAR IMAGERY DURING THE
PAST 03 HOURS. BY 72 HOURS, RECURVATURE IS A DISTINCT
POSSIBILITY AS KEITH TRACKS INTO A DEVELOPING WEAKNESS IN
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
021800Z1 IS 44 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG
030153Z2), 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG
031353Z5) AND  032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1). REFER TO TYPHOON

PAGE 07 RUHGSGG3493 UNCLAS
LINDA (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
BT
#3493

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