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From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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008
ABIO10 PGTW 152300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/152300Z/161800Z NOV 97//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO
COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
11.6N8 83.1E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.9N1 82.5E5 AND HAS
BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-
LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED AND MORE CENTRALIZED WHILE ANIMATED IMAGERY
INDICATES WEAK CYCLONIC TURNING OF THE CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO
20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR RE-ISSUANCE: REMOVE MENTION OF
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151351Z NOV 97// SINCE
TC 04A HAS ALREADY DISSIPATED AND TO UPGRADE POOR SUSPECT
AREA TO FAIR SUSPECT AREA IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1).
FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON//

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