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From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number  18
[182037]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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861
WTPZ23 KNHC 182037
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0897
2100Z FRI JUL 18 1997

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 124.6W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW
12 FT SEAS..200NE  90SE  90SW 200NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 124.6W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 123.9W

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 16.0N 126.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.4N 128.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 16.9N 131.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 124.6W

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.3N 133.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 138.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW

NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z

DEMARIA

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