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From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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213
WTIO32 PGTW 100900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---

PAGE 02 RUHGSGG9470 UNCLAS
WARNING POSITION:
100600Z7 --- 11.0N2 69.0E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N2 69.0E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z0 --- 11.1N3 67.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z8 --- 11.3N5 66.4E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT

PAGE 03 RUHGSGG9470 UNCLAS
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z1 --- 11.6N8 65.2E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z9 --- 12.0N3 64.1E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:

PAGE 04 RUHGSGG9470 UNCLAS
130600Z0 --- 12.8N1 62.5E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
100900Z0 POSITION 11.0N2   68.7E1
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON 100530Z9
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM HAS SLOWED
SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TROPICAL CYCLONE
04A SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. ITS FORWARD SPEED WILL CONTINUE TO
DECREASE AS IT MOVES INTO A WEAKNESS THAT DEVELOPS IN THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
SHOULD DEVELOP BY 48 HOURS WHICH WILL INHIBIT FUTURE
DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z3), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z9),

PAGE 05 RUHGSGG9470 UNCLAS
110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z1) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z7).//
BT
#9470

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