

by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id UAA29608;
Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:08:03 -0600
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7286667 for
[email-masked]; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:07:42 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id UAA29568 for
<[email-masked]>; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:07:39 -0600
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA29156
for [email-masked]; Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:07:20 -0600 (CST)
Message-ID: <[email-masked]>
Date:	Thu, 11 Dec 1997 20:07:20 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 039
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
X-UIDL: 84a784b51d2f2a11a0ba7a44331b2d6e
Status: RO
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001

587
WTPN31 PGTW 120300
1. TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 039
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z3 --- 7.6N3 166.5E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
100 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 7.6N3 166.5E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z6 --- 7.9N6 165.0E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
110 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z4 --- 8.1N9 163.3E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
120 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z7 --- 8.4N2 161.6E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
125 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z5 --- 8.8N6 159.8E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
125 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 --- 9.5N4 156.1E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
125 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION: 7.7N4 166.3E6
TYPHOON PAKA (05C) HAS BEEN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 9 KNOTS FOR THE PAST 6 HOURS.  THE WARNING POSITION IS
BASED UPON 112330Z0 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
120000Z DOPPLER RADAR OBSERVATION FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO
91366).  THE SYSTEM IS NO LONGER RAPIDLY DEVELOPING, AND
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A SATELLITE DERIVED
ESTIMATE OF 105 KNOTS.  TYPHOON PAKA (05C) SHOULD TRACK A
LITTLE MORE WESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BUT THEN
TURN MORE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.  THIS TRACK BRINGS THE SYSTEM FURTHER NORTHWARD
THAN THE PREVIOUS FORECASTS.  TYPHOON PAKA (05C) SHOULD
CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY ALTHOUGH AT A SLOWER RATE AND THIS
IS REFLECTED IN THE FORECAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 23 FEET.  REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.  NEXT WARNINGS AT
120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3),
122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.