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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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430
ABPW10 PGTW 280600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z NOV 97//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 12S3 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9S9 156E2. SYNOPTIC
DATA FROM ANKI, MALAITA ISLAND (WMO 91507) AND KIRA (WMO
91527) SHOW A CIRCULATION WITH WIND REPORTS BETWEEN 5 AND
10 KNOTS. 280430Z7 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN
AREA OF INTENSE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED TO THE WEST OF
THESE TWO REPORTING STATIONS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY INDICATES WEAK WIND SHEAR ALOFT. THIS CIRCULATION
IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE THAT EXTENDS
FROM EASTERN NEW GUINEA TO THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6
163E0. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD
AREA OF CONVECTION DEVELOPED EAST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS
AND HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. THE CONVECTION IS
DISORGANIZED AND SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS AN
AREA OF TROUGHING WITH NO EVIDENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA
OF DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/MCCULLOCH/HALL/JONES//

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