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Date:	Mon, 21 Jul 1997 03:16:55 -0500
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 01s Warning Nr 005 [210900]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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708
WTXS31 PGTW 210900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
210600Z9 --- 7.1S8 75.8E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 7.1S8 75.8E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z2 --- 7.6S3 74.8E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
220600Z0 --- 8.3S1 73.9E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z3 --- 8.9S7 72.9E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z1 --- 9.4S3 71.9E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z2 --- 10.2S3 69.6E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
---
REMARKS:
210900Z2 POSITION  7.2S9   75.5E7
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS.
SYSTEM INTENSITY HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO 45 KNOTS BASED ON
210530Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY (DVORAK T3.0) POSITION
AND INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY MICROWAVE DATA, WHICH
CONTINUES TO SHOW A TIGHTLY WRAPPED SURFACE CIRCULATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z9 IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) 211500Z9 (DTG
211353Z5), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), AND 221500Z0 (DTG
221353Z6).//

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