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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Super Typhoon Paka (05c) Warning Nr 063
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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243
WTPN31 PGTW 180300
1. SUPER TYPHOON PAKA (05C) WARNING NR 063
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z9 --- 14.3N8 139.7E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 160 KT, GUSTS 195 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 139.7E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z2 --- 14.9N4 138.4E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z0 --- 15.2N8 137.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z3 --- 15.2N8 135.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z2 --- 15.5N1 134.0E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z3 --- 15.7N3 131.0E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:  180000Z9 POSITION: 14.4N9 139.4E7
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUPER TYPHOON
PAKA (05C) HAS REINTENSIFIED TO 160 KNOTS. THIS IMAGERY,
WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY SPECIAL MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I),
INDICATES THAT PAKA HAS REACHED NEAR THE MAXIMUM LIMIT
CAPABLE OF BEING ESTIMATED WITH SATELLITE-ONLY
TECHNIQUES. THIS CYCLONE REMAINS FAIRLY WELL COMPACT
WITH AN EYE DIAMETER OF APPROXIMATELY 25NM AND GALE FORCE
WINDS REACHING OUT ONLY TO BETWEEN 70NM AND 150NM.  LATEST IMAGERY IN
DICATES THAT PAKA HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 09 KNOTS IN A WES
T-NORTHWEST DIRECTION.  ALL FORECAST MODELS EXPECT A SLOW DOWN IN FORW
ARD SPEED IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORE
CAST PERIOD AS STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAK.  MAXIMUM SIGNIFIC
ANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 33 FEET.  REFER TO WWPW3 PGFW FOR ADDITI
ONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.  NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8, 181500Z5, 182
100Z2 AND 190300Z3.//

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