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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Mort (31w) Warning Nr 017
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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264
WTPN31 PGTW 142100
1. TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z4 --- 14.1N6 126.0E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 126.0E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 14.6N1 123.8E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 15.3N9 122.1E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 16.1N8 120.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
142100Z8 POSITION 14.2N7  125.5E3
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES OVER
THE PAST 3 HOURS CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
AND MORE CENTRALLY LOCATED TO TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W).
THE FORECAST INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF
NUMEROUS SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS AND A SATELLITE DERIVED
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF BETWEEN 45 AND 55 KNOTS. THE
FORECAST TRACK CONCURS WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST,
HOWEVER THE FORECAST INTENSITIES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED
SLIGHTLY BASED ON THE RECENT INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND
INTENSITY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT APPROACHES THE
PHILLIPINE ISLAND OF LUZON. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED
CLOSELY FOR ADDITIONAL ORGANIZATION AND INCREASE IN
INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS
15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5),
150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1), 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8) AND
152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4).//

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