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Date:	Wed, 16 Jul 1997 01:19:42 -0500
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
[160600]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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795
ABPW10 PGTW 160600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z JUL 97//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
16N7 116E8 IS NOW NEAR 15N6 115E7. THE CONVECTION HAS
BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. THERE
IS CURRENTLY NO EVIDENCE TO SUPPORT A SURFACE
CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15
TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
4N4 161E8 REMAINS NEAR 4N4 161E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE
OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CONVECTION IS
CURRENTLY SCATTERED AND DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS POOR.
(3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
8N8 141E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 137E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE
OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. DEVELOPMENT IS
NOW BEING INHIBITED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5
157E3.  VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA
INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED
CONVECTION.  THIS SYSTEM HAS FORMED AS A TWIN TO THE
CIRCULATION MENTIONED IN B.2 ABOVE.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: MALMQUIST/HAM/PUGH//

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