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585
WTIO32 PGTW 112100
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 008

PAGE 02 RUHGSGG0152 UNCLAS
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
111800Z1 --- 13.5N9 65.0E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 65.0E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z9 --- 14.0N5 64.2E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM

PAGE 03 RUHGSGG0152 UNCLAS
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z2 --- 14.5N0 63.3E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z0 --- 15.1N7 62.6E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
---

PAGE 04 RUHGSGG0152 UNCLAS
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z3 --- 15.9N5 62.0E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
015 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 17.6N4 61.3E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
112100Z5 POSITION 13.6N0   64.8E8

PAGE 05 RUHGSGG0152 UNCLAS
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS IN THE ARABIAN SEA. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
TO THE FORECAST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
INTENSIFY THROUGH 36-HOURS AS IT TURNS TO THE NORTHWEST.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A REMAINS RELATIVELY ORGANIZED BUT
CONTINUES TO BE DIFFICULT TO POSITION. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO
WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG
120751Z6), 121500Z9  (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG
121951Z9).//
BT
#0152

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