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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Mort (31w) Warning Nr 012
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
X-UIDL: 93c97403d97a1126b71328492f7c5a8c
Status: RO
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620
WTPN31 PGTW 131500
1. TYPHOON MORT (31W) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z7 --- 13.7N1 131.1E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
010 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 131.1E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z5 --- 13.9N3 129.6E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
010 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z8 --- 14.2N7 128.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 --- 14.7N2 126.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z9 --- 15.4N0 125.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z0 --- 16.9N6 123.1E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
131500Z0 POSITION 13.7N1  130.7E1
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TYPHOON MORT (31W) HAS
CONTINUED ON A MOSTLY WESTWARD TRACK AND HAS MAINTAINED ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND
INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 131130Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND
A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 4.0 (65 KNOTS) RESPECTIVELY.
TYPHOON MORT IS FORECAST TO TRACK IN A GENERALLY WEST TO WEST-
NORTHWEST DIRECTION THROUGH THE 36 HOUR PERIOD WHERE IT IS
EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO A MOSTLY NORTHWEST TRACK DUE TO A
WEAKENING IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MORT IS FORECAST TO
INTENSIFY AT LESS THAN A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY BASED
ON A 130134Z2 SCATTEROMETER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 131200Z7 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7
(DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG
140753Z0) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7).//

AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG10503171353

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