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From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-EN: Hurricane Felicia Forecast/advisory Number  11
[170239]
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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482
WTPZ23 KNHC 170239
TCMEP3
HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP0897
0300Z THU JUL 17 1997

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 116.4W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 116.4W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 116.1W

FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 13.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 14.0N 119.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 14.4N 121.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 116.4W

EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 14.9N 123.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 15.8N 128.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z

GROSS

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