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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Pacific-NW: 1. Typhoon Keith (29w) Warning Nr 044
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
X-UIDL: 37222d48e6e6d035b7df28c4fb5d9155
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111
WTPN31 PGTW 071500
1. TYPHOON KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 044
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z0 --- 26.6N4 142.9E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
205 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N4 142.9E6
---
FORECASTS:

PAGE 03 RUHGSGG8324 UNCLAS
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z8 --- 29.1N2 147.0E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
205 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 31.5N9 151.8E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
185 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:

PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8324 UNCLAS
090000Z9 --- 33.9N5 157.6E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z2 --- 36.5N4 164.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 35 KTS
---
60 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z1 --- 39.1N3 172.3E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
071500Z3 POSITION 27.2N1  143.9E7
DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON KEITH (29W) HAS TRACKED

PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8324 UNCLAS
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK WHILE
RAPIDLY WEAKENING. WARNING INTENSITY OF 65 KNOTS IS BASED
ON A BLEND OF SATELLITE T-NUMBERS OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS) AND
CURRENT INTENSITY NUMBERS OF CI4.5 (75 KNOTS) FROM JTWC,
KGWC, AND KWBC SATELLITE ANALYSTS, AND THE VERY RAGGED
AND SHALLOW CONVECTIVE CLOUD PATTERN. CLOUD TOPS AROUND
THE SYSTEM CENTER HAVE NOW WARMED TO AROUND -71C
INDICATING THAT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD OCCUR
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 30 HOURS AS KEITH MOVES OVER 25C
AND COOLER SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW
FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7),
080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3) AND 081500Z4 DTG 081353Z0).//
BT
#8324

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