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Date:	Tue, 4 Nov 1997 02:40:02 -0600
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In North Indian Ocean
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
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Status: U
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017
WTIO32 PGTW 040900
1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH INDIAN OCEAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z0 --- 13.6N0 97.5E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
040 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 97.5E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z3 --- 14.8N3 95.4E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z1 --- 15.7N3 93.8E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z4 --- 16.4N1 92.6E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z2 --- 17.2N0 91.4E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z3 --- 20.0N2 90.2E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
040900Z3 POSITION 13.9N3   97.0E6
TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT
13 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION WAS BASED UPON 040530Z2
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT VERY LITTLE CONVECTION IS OVER THE SYSTEM
AS IT HAS TRACKED INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI
3.0 ( 45 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
AGAIN BY 24 HOURS, AND THEN SLOWLY INTENSIFY DURING THE
FORECAST PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS FORECAST
TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH 48 HOURS THEN TRACK MORE
NORTHWARD BY THE 72 HOUR POSITION AS IT ENTERS A WEAKNESS
IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 040600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2),
050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0).//

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