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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
Indian
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN

469
ABIO10 PGTW 051800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/051800Z/0618
0Z DEC 98//
REF/HXNAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/051351Z DEC 98//
REF/B/NAVPACMEOCCEN WEST GU/050753Z DEC 98//
NARR/REF A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINS P GQH
U
UUPEAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT J-1 130.5E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINE
R
BI
SYAED)--)25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 CNOTS. SEE REF B (NMKDQNIVPGTW CAUAIC
G
FOR
FURTHER H
M LQGM
KEL NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9S9 87E5 IS
NOW NEAR 10S1 88E6. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS THIS AREA
OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12
HOURS, BUT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO RE-DEVELOP. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS OUTFLOW ALOFT IS FAIR, BUT VERTICAL WINHHT
S
8#-( WITH THTLINCREASE IN VERTICAL WINDSHEAR, THIS AREA IS
DOWNGRADED FROM FAIR TO POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL

CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM:
PARSONS/MCCLLOCH/HERRON/PARKER/BALDINGER/JACKSON/JONES//

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