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Date:	Tue, 6 Oct 1998 04:35:38 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98//
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: O

629
WTXS21 PGTW 060800
WAGE 02 BUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98//
RMKS/$
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN JRARE ESTIMATED
TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS9 METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z
INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER ISLOCATED NEAG
VGMIS9
091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY.
2. REMARKS:
;XMBQONSO
PL
TAD ITS CONVECTION OVER THE
PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH.
TOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER-
LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTM WILL MOST LIKELY
ZREMOWN DIFFIC
IFCLUPOF UNTIL IT BEGINS TO
DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER
PASS AIDS IN ESTABLISHING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION AND APSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF SOOPG POLAR
INFLOW.
PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS
BT
?6463

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