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Date:	Mon, 20 Jul 1998 04:19:49 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

395
ABIO10 PGTW 200600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/200600Z/201800Z JULY 98//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO
COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 5S5
86E4, NORTHEAST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 06S6 083E1. MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM
192346Z5 INDICATES THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS
BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS.
HOWEVER, ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOW THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO
THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DUE TO
NORTHEASTERLY WIND SHEAR.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15-20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUANCE: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT
AREA IN PARAGRAPH 2.B.1.
FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/HONG/GOODMAN//

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