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Date:	Mon, 19 Jan 1998 21:17:29 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

551
WTXS31 PGTW 200300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 006
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
200000Z2 --- 21.5S8 35.2E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

PAGE 02 RUHPSGG5050 UNCLAS
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 21.5S8 35.2E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z5 --- 23.0S5 35.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z3 --- 24.5S1 36.1E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z6 --- 26.0S8 36.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5050 UNCLAS
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z4 --- 27.5S4 37.0E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
200300Z5 POSITION 21.9S2   35.3E1
TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08
KNOTS ALONG THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST. THE SYSTEM'S CURRENT
INTENSITY DOES NOT MEET OUR WARNING CRITERIA. HOWEVER, TC
13S IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY RE-INTENSIFY AFTER IT MOVES
OFF-SHORE NEAR THE 12 HOUR POSITION AND THROUGHOUT THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2).
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS (WTPS31
PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
BT
#5050

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