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Date:	Tue, 9 Jun 1998 03:26:05 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 021
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

606
WTIO31 PGTW 090900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
090600Z5 --- 22.6N0 70.1E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 70.1E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z8 --- 24.6N2 71.5E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z7 --- 26.8N6 72.3E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
090900Z8 POSITION 23.1N6   70.5E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE GULF OF KUTCH
AND IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS
BASED ON 090600Z5 VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC DATA FROM WMO NUMBERS 42634 AND 42280. THE
OBSERVATION FROM WMO NUMBER 42634 INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF
45 KNOTS AND A SURFACE PRESSURE OF 981 MILLIBARS. THE WIND RADII
WERE ADJUSTED DUE TO OBSERVATIONS FROM 42634 AND 42280 INDICATING
A LARGER WIND RADII THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED. THE SYSTEM SHOULD
CONTINUE TRACKING INLAND, RAPIDLY WEAKENING, THEREFORE
DISSIPATING BY THE 24 HOUR POINT. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNING AT 091500Z5 (DTG
091351Z9).//

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