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Date:	Tue, 19 May 1998 23:45:55 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

635
WTIO31 PGTW 200300 RTD
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY
DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
200000Z2 --- 21.7N0 90.8E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 21.7N0 90.8E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z5 --- 22.5N9 91.0E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z3 --- 23.2N7 91.2E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z6 --- 24.1N7 91.4E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z4 --- 25.1N8 91.8E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
200300Z5 POSITION 21.9N2   90.8E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 4
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS.  THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED
ON 192330Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY.  THE WARNING INTENSITY
IS BASED ON 192330Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65
KNOTS.  TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B IS SLOWLY TRACKING NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD UNDER THE CONTINUING INFLUENCE OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM.  THIS STEERING
FLOW SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.  TROPICAL
CYCLONE 01B CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND SHOULD CONTINUE
TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 12 HOUR POSITION.  AFTER THIS TIME,
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MOUTHS OF
THE GANGES RIVER AND SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 15 FEET.  REFER TO
WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.  NEXT
WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2),
202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0).//

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