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Date:	Sun, 12 Apr 1998 12:35:36 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN

031
ABIO10 PGTW 121800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/121800Z/131800Z APR 98//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/121351Z APR 98//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST
OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 121200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED
AT 14.7S2 78.0E5 MOVING EASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS.  SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA)
WARNING NR 12 (WTXS31 PGTW 121500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14S5
58E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 58E3.  THIS AREA OF CONVECTION
HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR 36 HOURS AND IS BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED.  A 120629Z0 SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATES THE
PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION.  HOWEVER, A 121422Z2
MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS INDICATES THAT THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION
IS STILL LINEAR.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS.  MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
1008 MB.  THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI//

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