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Date:	Wed, 30 Sep 1998 01:45:47 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

125
WTIO31 PGTW 300300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z3 --- 18.2N1 65.7E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 65.7E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z6 --- 18.1N0 64.7E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
---

PAGE 03 RUHPSGG4334 UNCLAS
24 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z1 --- 18.0N9 63.8E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z4 --- 18.0N9 63.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z2 --- 18.0N9 62.1E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
300300Z6 POSITION 18.2N1   65.4E5.

PAGE 04 RUHPSGG4334 UNCLAS
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT 7 KNOTS FOR
THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON
300000Z3 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WEAK STEERING FLOW IS
WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BETWEEN THE EAST-WEST
ORIENTED TROUGH TO ITS SOUTH AND THE RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TC 04A IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON ITS SLOW WESTWARD TRACK, WEAKENING DUE TO
INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30
PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2).//
BT
#4334

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