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Date:	Mon, 14 Dec 1998 14:28:08 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N:    01 Active Tropical Cyvlone In Northio
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

552
WTIO31 PGTW 142000
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYVLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONMHMIV
QIVIERAGE
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z4 --- NEAR 15.3N9 66.5E7
-  MOVEMEVT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POEITION AQCURATE TO WITHIN 60 NM
POSITION BASED MN CENTER LOCAED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBIUIVQ
H
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 66.5E7
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 17.5N3 65.7E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 CT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 05 090 NM ELSEWHERE
VENOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 19.8N8 62.2E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 087KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM
P     090 NM
ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48
/ 10 KTS
EXTENDED OIQUOKVEEDA

LBAGHTS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 20QN3 60.0E6
OAX SUSTAQNED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 10 K
RADIUY OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM
ALFJB4

> 035 KT WINDS - 150 OM NORTH
EMICIRCLE
WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
72 HRS, VALID AT:
1718PMQ
GMH GUATN7 57.1E3
MAX SUSTAINED WD
LC

F 050 KT WINDUG PPNM OVER WATFRN
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
060 NM ELSEWHMSA
VER WATER
REMARKS:
142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.8N4   66.3E5.
TROICAL CYCLONE 08(- #-- 54-:(3$ ,945#-MMVGVNAP YFH CDQJIGKNOTS
OVSR THE PAST 6 HOURS. TGNBP SZAE POSITION IS BASED ON 141630Z5
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNI
O INTENSITY OFP60,(,95- 8-
KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A HAS BEEN MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN
THE STEKQPG XLOW FROVPTHE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS EAST. THE SYSTEM
IS FORECADMLOO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WEST-
NORTHWESTWAR
AS THE SUBTYOPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH BEGINS TO
PROVIDE THE PRIMARX$.
$ 8,>)73,:3. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS
FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL PRIOR TO THE 72-HOUR TRACK POSITION.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THVOUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL. MAXIMUM DPNIFICANT NBEOM
V
LVO AT 141800Z4 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 ($5< 150O+3),
150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z- (DTG
151951Z2).//

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