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Date:	Sun, 13 Dec 1998 01:23:20 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

951
WTXS32 PGTW 130900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 017
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z0 --- NEAR 18.8S7 122.6E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S7 122.6E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z3 --- 19.1S1 121.2E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z1 --- 19.6S6 119.8E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 20.2S4 118.5E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 20.9S1 117.1E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
---
REMARKS:
130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.9S8  122.2E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON
130530Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ALTHOUGH STILL OVER LAND, THE
SYSTEM IS MAINTAINING ITS ORGANIZATION AND SOME CENTRAL CONVECTION.
AS TC 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE CLOSER TO AND THEN OVER THE
WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS, SOME RE-INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED
BEFORE WEAKENING AGAIN OVER LAND. THE PRIMARY STEERING INFLUENCE IS
ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2) AND 140900Z4
(DTG 40753Z0).//

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