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Date:	Tue, 10 Feb 1998 20:25:49 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

557
WTXS33 PGTW 110300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z2 --- 15.8S4 117.6E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 117.6E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z5 --- 15.9S5 116.2E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z3 --- 16.2S9 114.5E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
015 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z6 --- 16.7S4 112.7E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z4 --- 17.0S8 110.6E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
110300Z5 POSITION 15.8S4 117.2E1
TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS.
THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 102330Z9
VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES
TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S
(VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD TO
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH STRENGTHENS. THIS SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AS ITS UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 14 FEET.
REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6) AND 120300Z6
(DTG 120155Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE)
WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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