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Date:	Sun, 15 Feb 1998 01:54:18 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

788
WTXS33 PGTW 150900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
150600Z2 --- 19.9S9 094.4E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 19.9S9 094.4E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 20.5S7 091.3E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 20.8S0 088.9E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 21.0S3 086.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
150900Z5 POSITION 20.1S3  093.6E8
TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE
WEST AT 18 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE
BASED ON 150530Z4 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY.
NO CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING. TROPICAL CYCLONE
22S (VICTOR) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND
WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT DISSIPATES OVER COOLER WATER. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z2 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO
WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151355Z0), 152100Z9 (DTG 151955Z6),
160300Z0 (DTG 160155Z8) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160755Z4).//

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