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Date:	Tue, 6 Oct 1998 23:23:34 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03s Warning Nr 001
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: O

933
WTXS31 PGTW 070300
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z7 --- 11.1S3 91.6E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.1S3 91.6E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z0 --- 11.6S8 92.0E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z8 --- 12.3S6 92.9E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 13.2S6 93.9E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 14.2S7 95.2E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
070300Z0 POSITION 11.2S4 91.7E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
. THE SYSTEM HAS SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED ITS LOW-LEVEL ORGANIZATION IN
SPITE OF CONTINUED UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSI
TY ARE BASED ON 070130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR ABOUT
24 HOURS BEFORE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF RIDGING LO
CATED TO ITS WEST. MODERATE INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO CONSOL

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