

by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id CAA33748;
Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:21:01 -0600
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7818391 for
[email-masked]; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:20:39 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA24234 for
<[email-masked]>; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:20:38 -0600
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id CAA17000
for [email-masked]; Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:20:37 -0600 (CST)
Date:	Sat, 14 Feb 1998 02:20:37 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

884
WTXS33 PGTW 140900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
140600Z1 --- 17.9S7 103.3E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 17.9S7 103.3E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 18.0S9 101.3E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
015 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 18.3S2 098.9E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
010 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 18.7S6 096.7E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
005 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 19.1S1 094.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 20.0S2 090.2E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
140900Z4 POSITION 17.9S7  102.8E1
TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT
09 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 140530Z3
VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS
SYSTEM HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW
IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS
ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD AND WEAKEN THROUGHOUT
THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
140600Z1 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWI030 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA
HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9),
142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5), 150300Z9 (DTG 150155Z7) AND 150900Z5
(DTG 150755Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE)
WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.