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Date:	Sun, 25 Jan 1998 21:29:45 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

403
WTXS31 PGTW 260300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z8 --- 18.1S0 118.9E9

PAGE 02 RUHPSGG8670 UNCLAS
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1S0 118.9E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z1 --- 18.5S4 117.9E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:

PAGE 03 RUHPSGG8670 UNCLAS
270000Z9 --- 18.9S8 117.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z2 --- 19.4S4 116.0E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z0 --- 20.1S3 115.2E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT

PAGE 04 RUHPSGG8670 UNCLAS
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
085 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
260300Z1 POSITION 18.2S1  118.6E6
TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 05 KNOTS. STEADY INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO MOVE IN THIS DIRECTION. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY
SHOWS SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW POLEWARD OF THE SUB-
TROPICAL RIDGE. NEAR 48 HOURS, A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SOUTHWARD
MOTION IS ANTICIPATED AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES DIRECTLY
POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED
ON 252330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG
261351Z8) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).//
BT
#8670

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