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Date:	Sun, 18 Jan 1998 08:28:55 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 003
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

922
WTXS31 PGTW 181500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z2 --- 17.2S0 35.9E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 35.9E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z0 --- 17.9S7 35.2E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z3 --- 18.5S4 34.6E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z2 --- 19.2S2 34.2E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
---
REMARKS:
181500Z5 POSITION 17.4S2   35.7E5
TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS BEEN TRACKING FURTHER INLAND
DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS.  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS AND HAS SLOWED AS IT IS BEING
STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE INTO A NEARBY MOUNTAIN
RANGE.  THE SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FURTHER AS
IT IS INTERACTING WITH 2000 TO 7000 FOOT MOUNTAINS.  AN
OBSERVATION FROM QUELIMANE (WMO NUMBER 67283)
APPROXIMATELY 60 MILES FROM THE SYSTEM INDICATED WIND
GUSTS OF ONLY 24 KNOTS AT 180900Z8.  THE SYSTEM SHOULD
REMAIN OVER LAND DURING THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD AND
SLOWLY WEAKEN.  MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
181500Z IS 12 FEET ALONG NEARBY COASTAL AREAS.  NEXT
WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 191500Z6 (DTG
191353Z2).  REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE  12P (KATRINA)
WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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