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Date:	Mon, 16 Mar 1998 19:47:48 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

380
WTXS32 PGTW 170300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
170000Z8 --- 25.4S1 76.7E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.4S1 76.7E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z1 --- 26.5S3 76.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z9 --- 27.2S1 76.2E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
170300Z1 POSITION 25.7S4   76.6E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON
162330Z5 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE CONVECTION IS SHEARED
80 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION SHOULD BE STEERED TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST UNDER
WEAK EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S (ELSIE) IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD
AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
COLDER WATERS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 12
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0).//

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