

by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA39130;
Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:16:05 -0500
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8261816 for
[email-masked]; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:16:00 -0500
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA49864 for
<[email-masked]>; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:15:59 -0500
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA13396
for [email-masked]; Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:15:55 -0500 (CDT)
Date:	Tue, 7 Apr 1998 22:15:55 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s Warning Nr 003a
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

221
WTXS31 PGTW 080300 COR
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WARNING NR 003A
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z8 --- 13.8S2 072.2E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM
REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 072.2E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 14.5S0 072.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 15.3S9 072.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z2 --- 16.0S7 072.2E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z1 --- 16.8S5 071.8E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
080300Z1 POSITION 14.0S5  072.3E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S IS TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS.
THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 072201Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS IS BASED ON A
SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI3.0
(KWBC). ANIMATION OF FENGYUN SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE
MERGER OF TC 32S AND TC33S. THIS RESULTED IN A BROAD AND WEAK
WIND FIELD. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD CIRRUS
OUTFLOW ABOVE THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WILL BEGIN A
TURN TOWARD THE SOUTH IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN A MORE SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS THE SUBTROPCIAL
RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. TC 32S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. JUSTIFICATION: TO CHANGE TC
NUMBERS IN LINE 8 AND LINE 11 OF REMARKS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG
081351Z8) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6).//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.