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Date:	Mon, 20 Apr 1998 09:10:53 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 006
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

404
WTXS31 PGTW 201500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
201200Z5 --- 11.7S9 68.4E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.7S9 68.4E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z3 --- 12.5S8 66.3E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z6 --- 13.2S6 64.2E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z4 --- 13.8S2 62.0E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z7 --- 14.6S1 59.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
201500Z8 POSITION 11.9S1   67.9E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS.  POSITION IS
BASED ON ANIMATED GOMS INFRARED AND METEOSAT VISUAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NORTH OF THE MAIN
CONVECTION AS IT HAS CONTINUED TO SHEAR AND WEAKEN. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK AND CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN OVER THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 201200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0)
AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3).//

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