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Date:	Tue, 17 Feb 1998 20:30:12 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

576
WTXS33 PGTW 180300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 024
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
180000Z9 --- 22.6S0 76.3E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.6S0 76.3E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z2 --- 23.5S0 73.2E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z0 --- 24.5S1 70.0E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z3 --- 25.4S1 66.8E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z2 --- 26.3S1 63.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
180300Z2 POSITION 22.8S2   75.5E7
TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
17 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS MAINTAINING A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
WITH SPORADIC DEEP CONVECTION. IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND IN SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS THROUGH 48 HOURS. HENCE, THIS WARNING COVERS 48
HOURS VICE 36 HOURS. NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, THE
SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO BE APPROACHING COOLER SEA-SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. THEREFORE NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN INTENSITY
IS EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 180000Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3)
AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE  23S
(BELTANE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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