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Date:	Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:53:56 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 015
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

162
WTIO31 PGTW 072100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z6 --- 16.6N3 067.9E2
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 067.9E2
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z4 --- 18.2N1 067.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z7 --- 19.8N8 067.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z5 --- 21.8N1 068.0E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z8 --- 23.7N2 068.7E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z0 --- 26.4N2 071.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
072100Z0 POSITION 17.0N8   067.9E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THERE IS
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.  WARNING
POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY 071252Z MICROWAVE SENSOR (SSM/I)
PASS.  72 HOUR INTENSITY AND WIND RADII FORECAST ADJUSTED TO
REFLECT BASIC LAND EFFECTS.  MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 071800Z IS 21 FEET.  REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.  NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG
080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8)
AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).//
BT
#1670

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