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Date:	Wed, 21 Jan 1998 20:55:08 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 010
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

594
WTXS31 PGTW 220300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z4 --- 25.4S1 41.6E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 25.4S1 41.6E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z7 --- 26.2S0 44.2E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z5 --- 27.4S3 47.5E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
220300Z7 POSITION 25.6S3 42.3E9
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS
CONTINUED TO TRACK TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AND HAS
INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED TO 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING
POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 212302Z0 INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT WIND
SHEER FROM THE WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION
AS IT INCREASES ITS FORWARD SPEED. ADDITIONALLY,THE SYSTEM
IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
BY THIS TIME PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
220000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG
221353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) WARNINGS
(WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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