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Date:	Tue, 10 Feb 1998 23:55:06 -0600
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 20s (anacelle) Warning Nr 011a
Amended
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

525
WTXS31 PGTW 110300 AMD
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 011A AMENDED
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z2 --- 18.2S1 59.2E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
140 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S1 59.2E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z5 --- 19.5S5 59.2E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
145 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z3 --- 20.6S8 59.3E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
150 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z6 --- 22.4S8 59.7E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 005 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
140 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z4 --- 24.7S3 60.8E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
120 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
110300Z5 POSITION 18.5S4   59.2E6
TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD
THE SOUTH AT 09 KNOTS. JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDMENT: WIND
RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON 110000Z2 SHIP SYNOPTIC
DATA, A 110000Z2 SYNOPTIC REPORT FROM PLAISANCE (WMO 61990)
AND EXTRAPOLATION OF 101913Z5 SCATTEROMETER DATA. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO
WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG
120151Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE  22S (VICTOR) WARNINGS
(WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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