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Date:	Sun, 8 Feb 1998 14:14:18 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

036
WTXS31 PGTW 082100
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z7 --- 12.7S0 60.7E3
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S0 60.7E3
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z5 --- 13.0S4 59.5E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z8 --- 13.3S7 58.3E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z7 --- 13.6S0 57.2E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z0 --- 13.9S3 56.0E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z1 --- 14.3S8 54.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
082100Z1 POSITION 12.8S1   60.4E0
TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS.
THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE
BASED ON 081730 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG
090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND
092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).//

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