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Date:	Wed, 18 Nov 1998 12:55:30 -0600
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
Indian
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

230
ABIO10 PGTW 181800 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/181800Z/191800Z NOV 98//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/181051Z NOV 98//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
12N3 95E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 93.2E4 AND IS THE
SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION HAS
SHEARED AWAY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). HOWEVER, A 181138Z2
MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES THE LLCC HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
SEE REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 181100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16N7 70E7 IS NO LONGER DISCERNABLE. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LLCC HAS
DISSIPATED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THE CIRCULATION
IS NO LONGER APPARENT ON THE 181200Z2 SURFACE ANALYSIS.
HENCE, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM:
SCHIBER/WAKEHAM/HATFIELD/GOODMAN/TIRSHELL/HOWELLS/
JACKSON/BROOKS/BALDINGER//

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