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Date:	Sat, 24 Jan 1998 21:36:31 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

345
WTXS31 PGTW 250300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
250000Z7 --- 17.1S9 121.0E4

PAGE 02 RUHPSGG6449 UNCLAS
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1S9 121.0E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251200Z0 --- 17.2S0 119.6E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z8 --- 17.5S3 118.2E2

PAGE 03 RUHPSGG6449 UNCLAS
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z1 --- 18.0S9 116.8E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z9 --- 18.6S5 115.4E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE

PAGE 04 RUHPSGG6449 UNCLAS
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
250300Z0 POSITION 17.1S9  120.6E9
TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION DUE TO
EASTERLY STEERING BY THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH.
INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 13 FEET. IN THE
FUTURE, TWELVE-HOURLY WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 260300Z1 (DTG
260151Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNINGS (WTPS32
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
BT
#6449

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