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Date:	Tue, 10 Nov 1998 20:15:42 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Soihern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

276
WTXS31 PGTW 110200
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOIHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINEWINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WARNING POSITION:
110000Z2 --- NEAR 17.5S3 92.4;-5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACC R TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CEDZLQATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MSUSTAINED WINDS - 06-KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 92.4E5
<   FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z5 --- 18.5S4 92.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 06# KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
<;3:594 59 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS
UAIIVH
24 HRS, JLID AT:
120000Z3 --- 19.4S4 92.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 TS
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z6 --- 20.1S3 92.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
EI IPING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROHICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 0/PNV EAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
O
007VECTMC TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALZCKAAVL QEPPPPZ4 --- 20.8SP OWMRE5
MAX SUSTAI
ELNDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REMARKSCT
#10300Z# POWCLNEAR .8S6 92#4E5.
2NIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY S
HOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S
(ALISON) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTH OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS.  THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 1=
GO INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY.
THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE
DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATES.  THE NURRENT WIND RADII HAVE B3;M
, 100343Z1 SCATTEROMETRY DATA. TC 04S IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING GENERALLY TOWARDS THE SOUTH
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.  ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM IS
EXPTED TO WEAKEN EUE TO COLDER SEA SURJXLEMPERATURES AND
CREASED WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z2
IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNING  AT 11)500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2) AND 12030#Z6
(DTG 1201511+0).//

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