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Date:	Fri, 13 Feb 1998 09:40:44 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

639
WTXS33 PGTW 131500 COR
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 011A
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131200Z7 --- 17.7S5 106.7E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7S5 106.7E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z5 --- 18.6S5 104.2E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z8 --- 19.5S5 101.7E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
095 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 --- 20.1S3 99.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
095 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z9 --- 20.4S6 97.2E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
095 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z0 --- 20.7S9 93.2E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
095 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
131500Z0 POSITION 17.9S7  106.1E8
TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
09 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST
PHILOSOPHY. ANIMATED INFRARED AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATE THAT THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF THE
SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO HINDER OUTFLOW IN THAT QUADRANT. WIND
RADII ARE ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THE INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT
WEST OF TC 22S (VICTOR). WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE
BASED ON 131130 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGER AND A 131058
MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
131200Z IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (121955Z3),
140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9). REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED NEXT
WARNING TIMES.//

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