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Date:	Mon, 8 Jun 1998 15:06:07 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 018
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

373
WTIO31 PGTW 081500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z1 --- 19.7N7 67.7E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 67.7E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 21.8N1 67.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z2 --- 23.8N3 68.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z1 --- 25.6N3 70.7E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z4 --- 27.0N9 73.1E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
081500Z4 POSITION 20.2N4   67.8E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS.  THERE
IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.  THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN 18 TO 24 HOURS NEAR
THE PAKISTAN/INDIA BORDER, AT OR CLOSE TO THE CURRENT
INTENSITY.  WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON BOTH INFRARED AND
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY.  MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
081200Z IS 22 FEET.  REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA
HEIGHT INFORMATION.  NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4),
090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5
(DTG 091351Z9).//
BT
#1933

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