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Date:	Tue, 19 May 1998 05:36:08 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Dhaka And Amembassy New Delhi
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

738
WTIO31 PGTW 190900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA, AMEMBASSY
DHAKA AND AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

PAGE 02 RUEDMCB1460 UNCLAS
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z6 --- 20.1N3 090.4E3
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 090.4E3
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z9 --- 21.7N0 090.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER

PAGE 03 RUEDMCB1460 UNCLAS
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z8 --- 23.4N9 090.6E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z1 --- 24.9N5 090.6E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z9 --- 26.4N2 090.6E5

PAGE 04 RUEDMCB1460 UNCLAS
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
190900Z9 POSITION 20.5N7   090.4E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 9 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 190530Z8
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
A 190530Z8 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 45 KNOTS. TROPICAL
CYCLONE 01B IS TRACKING NORTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE
OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM. THIS
STEERING SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY UNTIL AFTER
THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AT WHICH TIME IT IS EXPECTED TO
MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE GANGES RIVER. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30
PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5
(DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5).//
BT
#1460

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