

by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id IAA56500;
Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:57:31 -0600
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 10714430 for
[email-masked]; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:57:30 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id IAA44712 for
<[email-masked]>; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:57:29 -0600
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id IAA01891
for [email-masked]; Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:57:28 -0600 (CST)
Date:	Sat, 14 Nov 1998 08:57:28 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

204
WTIO31 PGTW 141500
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
141200Z8 --- NEAR 15.5N1 85.0E3
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
010 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 85.0E3
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 --- 17.6N4 83.6E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151200Z9 --- 19.2N2 82.8E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
010 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z7 --- 20.4N6 82.8E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z7 --- 21.4N6 82.9E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
141500Z1 POSITION NEAR 16.0N7 84.6E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 13 KNOTS
FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED
ON 141130Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 141227Z7 MICROWAVE
IMAGERY. TC 06B HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06B IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING TOWARDS THE
NORTHWEST AND CONTACT THE COAST OF INDIA BY THE END OF THE 12-HOUR
PERIOD. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE
12-HOUR FORECAST AS WELL. AFTERWARDS, INTERACTION WITH LAND IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS THE NORTH. TC
06B IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY
THE END OF THE 48-HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
141200Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9
(DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG
151351Z6).//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.