

by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id UAA36148;
Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:37:27 -0600
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 7633047 for
[email-masked]; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:36:57 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id UAA36076 for
<[email-masked]>; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:36:52 -0600
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id UAA10968
for [email-masked]; Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:36:51 -0600 (CST)
Date:	Thu, 29 Jan 1998 20:36:51 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

400
WTXS32 PGTW 300300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 013
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z3 --- 15.1S7 126.5E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 126.5E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z6 --- 15.6S2 125.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z4 --- 16.1S8 124.1E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z7 --- 16.6S3 122.7E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z1 --- 17.1S9 121.4E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z2 --- 18.1S0 118.6E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
300300Z6 POSITION 15.2S8  126.2E1
TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS. THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER LAND BUT IS MAINTAINING ITS
ORGANIZATION WELL. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE BASED ON
292330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. HOWEVER, FORECAST INTENSITY
AND WIND RADII ARE SUBJECT TO A HIGHER THAN AVERAGE UNCERTAINTY.
DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF LAND, A SMALL VARIATION IN THE
ACTUAL TRACK MAY MAKE A LARGE DIFFERENCE IN THE AFFECTS OF LAND
INTERACTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 13
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG
301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1) AND 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3).
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW)
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.