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Date:	Thu, 1 Oct 1998 10:22:49 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 006
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

525
WTXS31 PGTW 011500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z4 --- 13.4S8 71.2E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST
SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 71.2E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z2 --- 15.7S3 69.1E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
4 H
, VALID AT:
021200Z5 --- 17.4S2 67.1E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATNGAS SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z3 --- 17.8S6 65.4E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
---
REMARKS:
011500Z7 POSITION 14.0S5   70.7E4.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS RE-GENERATED IN THE SOUTHERN
INDIAN OCEAN AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS
THE PAST 06  HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON
ANALYSIS OF 011130Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
WARNING INTENSITY OF 40 KNOTS IS BASED UPON A
COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30
KNOTS, A PRVHSU
;SA SCATTEROMETER PASS SHOWING
AT LEAST 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE QPHEF THA
CI?,TION9A SHIP REPORT FROM 010000Z1
INDICATING 30 KNOT WINDS (10 MDDE AVERPTXM
A

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