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Date:	Sat, 5 Dec 1998 19:46:34 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cycponptvkbilly))warning Nr 014
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

362
WTXS31 PGTW 060200
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCPONPTVKBILLY))WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL YCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WARNING POSITION:
060000Z6 --- NEAR 20.8S# 11
.9E5
MOVEMENT PAST  HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATE
OY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICNTTROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
0                   0 03 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: NEAR 20.8S0 114.9E5
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z9 --- 21.3S6 114.8E4
MAX SUSTWINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFCANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 03 KTS
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z7 --- 21.9S2 114.6E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 048KTS
36 HRS, VALID AT:
-071200Z0 --- 22.8S2 114.5E1
MU SUSTAINE WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAMD
REMARKS:
060300Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.9S1 114.9E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BILLY) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON A 052330Z3
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A
COMBINATION OF A SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 35 KNOTS
AND CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S
(BILLY) CONTINUES TO TRAKK SLOWLY SOUHWARD TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST
COAST OF AUSTRALIA NENORT EXMOUTH. ALTHOUGH THE STEERING
INFLUENCE REMAINS THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE SOUTHEAST, TC 05S
(BILLY) IS IN AN AREA WITH LQGHT LOW LEVEL STEER
G, WHICH ACCOUNTS
VF

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