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Date:	Sat, 12 Dec 1998 20:55:29 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

057
WTIO31 PGTW 130300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08A WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX YUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z4 --- NEAR 10.3N4 68.3E7
MOVEMENT PAET SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AO 9 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N4 68.3E7
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z7 --- 10.3N4 67.0E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z5 --- 10.4N5 65.8E9
MAX YUSTAINED WIND- 045 KT, GUSTS 055 K
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
190 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEGOP KTS
14120Z8 -2- UUN8 64.5E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
:0)                  0908NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 EG/ 09 KTS
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 ---114$,6 62.8E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
4-$87- 9> 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
0#;090 NM ELSEWHERE
VEITOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS
72 HRSWN VALID AT:
160000Z7 --- 13.9N3 60.0E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035-KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
095 NM ELSOFYE
REMARKS:
130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.3N4  68.0E4.
TC 08A HAE TRAV
LWESTWARD AT 5 WATS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE
SYSTEM REMAINS BROAD AND BISORGANIZED, BUT SYNOPTIC REPORTS AND
A 121752Z8 SCATTEROMETER PAS SUPORT THE PRESENCE OF 35 KNOT WINDS.
TC 08A IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FIRST 24 HOURS.
AFTERWARDS, AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. THE FORECAST TRACK INDICATES
A CONTINUED STEERING DOMINANCE BY THE SUBTYOPICAL RIDGE THROUGH
THE FIRST 24 TO 36 HOURS. NEAR 48 HOURS, NUMERICAL MODBLSCBDS
INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF AND SUBSEQUENT STEERING INFLUENCE OF
PERIPHERAL RIDGING TO THE SYSTEMS SOUTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INKORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND
CANCELS NAVPACMOCCEN WEST GU 112259Z DEC 98 TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION ALERT 258921 PGTW 110) NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z30DTG
1307-#Z7),131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z8) =
140300Z8 (DTG 140151BQU

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