

by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id JAA49890;
Wed, 8 Apr 1998 09:51:06 -0500
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8267211 for
[email-masked]; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 09:50:38 -0500
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id JAA20154 for
<[email-masked]>; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 09:50:36 -0500
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id JAA20035
for [email-masked]; Wed, 8 Apr 1998 09:50:35 -0500 (CDT)
Date:	Wed, 8 Apr 1998 09:50:35 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 32s Warning Nr 004
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

721
WTXS31 PGTW 081500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
081200Z1 --- 14.5S0 71.4E2
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 060 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S0 71.4E2
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 15.0S6 70.3E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091200Z2 --- 15.7S3 69.3E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z1 --- 16.5S2 68.3E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z4 --- 17.5S3 67.6E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
081500Z4 POSITION 14.6S1   71.1E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS FOR THE PAST 06 HOURS.  THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
081130Z3 AND 081201Z2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY.  THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 081130Z3 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE
OF 45 KNOTS AND A 081201Z2 SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 55
KNOTS.  TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LEVEL STEERING FLOW FROM THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.  THIS STEERING
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE 32S SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD
DURING THIS TIME.  TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S SHOULD CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN AN AREA OF WEAK TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 14 FEET.  NEXT
WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 091500Z5 (DTG
091351Z9).//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.