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Date:	Wed, 11 Nov 1998 21:01:30 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Ing Nr 009
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

445
WTXS31 PGTW 120200
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAR
ING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WARNING POSITION:
120000Z3 --- NEAR 19.5S5 92.0E1
MOVEMPT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITQKQAVNM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATEDOY SAOLPL PREST WIND CTRIBUTIOVM
A
X SUSTAINED WINDFS-<;65 KT GUSTS  0 K
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 077;,.
RADIUS OS 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
06 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 92.#E1
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z6 --- 20.41-6 92.2E3
MAX SUSTAI
AD WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS O  050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RA
USGPET KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST EEMICIRCLE
0         01-   - 535 NM ELUEWHERE
VECTOR TOH2= YHOSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS
-   24 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z4 --- 21.5S82RE5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -,050 W, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 F WINDS - 0)NM SOUOGEAST
HVCNIRCLE
,/            055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECOT 36 HR POSIT: 155 $3< -

36 HRS, VALID AT:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSOY PRT KT
- DHSI
AS A SIGCQWCANT TROPUCAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KLS
B    AAV
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:- 48-#4-, VALID AT:
MAX SASTAINED IPDS - 025 KTN GQSTQ HQZT KT DISKIPAOED AS A SIGNIFI
C
ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REVARKS:
?180300Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.7-7 92.0E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISMN) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 5 KNOTS OVERT
E PASTPHOURS. THE WARNING OSITION
DINTENSITY
ARE BSED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED  IICIMAGERY. TC 04S (ALISON)
IS FORECAST TO OA2 - -975#-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK FOR THE
RMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER.0ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IIMAGE
RY IPWCATEXSTC 04S (ALISON) IS UNDERGOING MODERATE TO
SEVE
E SHEAR. HENCE, TS 04S (ALISON) STOULS<8)NLOVER
WATY THE :7 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAHEIGHT
AT 120000(+3 ISP15 FEET9 EXT WAR
NLS AT 121500MLKDTG 121351Z3)
AND 12Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).//

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