

by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id VAA34846;
Sat, 18 Apr 1998 21:22:55 -0500
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8386067 for
[email-masked]; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 21:22:49 -0500
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id VAA27914 for
<[email-masked]>; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 21:22:48 -0500
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id VAA01331
for [email-masked]; Sat, 18 Apr 1998 21:22:47 -0500 (CDT)
Date:	Sat, 18 Apr 1998 21:22:47 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 001
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

252
WTXS31 PGTW 190300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z0 --- 10.2S3 74.9E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 10.2S3 74.9E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z3 --- 10.2S3 75.8E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z2 --- 10.5S6 73.7E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z5 --- 11.1S3 71.8E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z3 --- 11.9S1 70.0E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z4 --- 13.5S9 66.4E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
190300Z3 POSITION 10.2S3   75.1E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S HAS FORMED AND IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS
IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS IS
BASED ON A SATELLITE-DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI2
.5
(35 KNOTS). TC 34S IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.