

by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with SMTP id WAA63510;
Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:57:45 -0500
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 8835525 for
[email-masked]; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:57:40 -0500
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id WAA26874 for
<[email-masked]>; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:57:39 -0500
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.8.7/8.8.7) id WAA03800
for [email-masked]; Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:57:38 -0500 (CDT)
Date:	Sat, 6 Jun 1998 22:57:38 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 012
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

850
WTIO31 PGTW 070300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z7 --- 14.3N8 068.0E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 068.0E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z0 --- 15.6N2 067.1E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z8 --- 17.2N0 066.8E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 18.7N6 067.0E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 20.3N5 067.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
100000Z1 --- 23.4N9 068.2E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
070300Z0 POSITION 14.6N1   067.8E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 062225Z7 INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS IS BASED ON A
SATELLITE DERIVED DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI4.5 (77
KNOTS). THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR FORECAST TRACK.  TC
03A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD MOTION FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN BEGIN A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST.

TC 03A IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY DUE TO WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO
WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7),
072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5).//
BT
#2205

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.