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Date:	Fri, 24 Apr 1998 13:12:00 -0500
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN

931
ABIO10 PGTW 241800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z/251800Z APR 98//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST
OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14S5 54E9 IS QUASI-
STATIONARY. METEOSAT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FROM 241544Z INDICATES
THAT LIGHT TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS STILL OCCURRING
ACROSS THE DISTURBANCE CENTER. THE LATEST NAVY OPERATIONAL MODEL
RUNS SUGGEST THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR RANGING FROM LIGHT TO
MODERATE IN STRENGTH MAY CONTINUE OVER THE DISTURBANCE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
THAT CONVECTION OVER THE DISTURBANCE HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST
08 HOURS. THIS DECREASE MAY BE DIURNALLY RELATED, AND MAY
INCREASE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS STILL FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREA.
FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/LUNDSFORD/SCHIBER/MCCULLOCH/BACON

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