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Date:	Tue, 3 Feb 1998 12:47:25 -0600
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: RO

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN

862
ABIO10 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/031800ZFEB98/041800ZFEB98//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM/020153ZFEB98//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO
COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20S2
36E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18S9 40E4. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER
THE PAST 12 HOURS. HOWEVER, IT APPEARS TO HAVE WARMED OVER THE
PAST 4 HOURS AND LOSE SOME ORGANIZATION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AFFECTS HAVE DECREASED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
TO BE 20 KNOTS TO 25 KNOTS.  MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB.  THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/LUNDSFORD/JOHNSON/BOYD//

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