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Date:	Tue, 16 Mar 1999 20:00:01 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    03 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere
To:	[email-masked]
Status: U

999
WTXS33 PGTW 170300
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29S WARNING NR 001
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
170000Z8 --- NEAR 13.4S8 73.8E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.4S8 73.8E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z1 --- 13.6S0 73.2E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180000Z9 --- 14.0S5 71.9E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z2 --- 14.3S8 70.3E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z0 --- 14.6S1 68.2E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
120 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
170300Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.5S9   73.6E6. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29S HAS
FORMED IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AND IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 2 KNOTS.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH.  THE CYCLONE IS IN A LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW INTENSIFICATION AT A NORMAL RATE.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000 IS 14 FEET.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN 160851Z MAR 99
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS23 PGTW 160900 )
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 28S (ELAINE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW)
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
//

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