

by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA44584;
Wed, 17 Mar 1999 02:43:58 -0600
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 11916166 for
[email-masked]; Wed, 17 Mar 1999 02:43:32 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id CAA30994 for
<[email-masked]>; Wed, 17 Mar 1999 02:43:31 -0600
Received: by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.9.2/8.9.2) id CAA07618 for
[email-masked]; Wed, 17 Mar 1999 02:43:30 -0600 (CST)
Date:	Wed, 17 Mar 1999 02:43:30 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 29s Warning Nr 002
To:	[email-masked]
Status: O

999
WTXS33 PGTW 170900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29S WARNING NR 002
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
170600Z4 --- NEAR 13.6S0 73.6E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6S0 73.6E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z7 --- 14.0S5 72.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z5 --- 14.4S9 71.2E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z8 --- 14.9S4 69.6E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z6 --- 15.2S8 67.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
120 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z8 --- 15.7S3 64.3E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
105 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
170900Z7 POSITION NEAR 13.7S1 73.4E4. TROPICAL CYCLONE 27S HAS
MOVED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 3 KTS OFF THE SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA, OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 180530Z6
ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF
25 AND 35 KNOTS. A 170008Z6 TRMM MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS SHOWS A
DEFINITE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND SOME WEAK BANDING
FEATURES. TROPICAL CYCLONE 29S WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE WEST AS
IT IS STEERED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. DEVELOPMENT
SHOULD CONTINUE SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN MORE RAPIDLY OUT
TO 72 HOURS, AS IT MOVES WESTWARD, IN A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON AN AVERAGE SIZED
STORM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2), 172100Z1 (DTG 171955Z8),
180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 27P (HALI) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE  28S (ELAINE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
BT
#0001

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.