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Date:	Thu, 4 Feb 1999 03:25:22 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

778
WTXS32 PGTW 040900
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
R - MAM SUSTAINE
D WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WARNING POSITION:
040600Z0 --- NEAR 18.9F8 55.60
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 20 (+   -POSITION ACCUR
A
TE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATEL
ITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 3 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER ATE
REPEAT POSIT: 18.9S8 55.6E6
FORECASTS:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROI T CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 14 KTS
24 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z1 --- 19.9S9 49.5E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS
36#YS, VALID AT:
051800Z4 --- 20.7S9 47.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REMARKS:
040900Z3 POSITION NEAR 19.0S0 54.8E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD AT
20 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS SHEARED WITH DEEP CONVECTION ELONGATING TO THE
SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE LOCATED TO THE SOUTH DUE TO TRANSLATIONAL SPEED

OF MOVEMENT. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE C
031730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS.
TROPIAL CYCL
NPQUS (CHIKITA) IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERA)6
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBOOPICAL RIDGE
QTB T
HE SUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO STEADILY WEAKEN DUE TO
STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ON MADAGASCAR IN
APPROXIMATELY 30 HOURS. MAIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z
IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATIO
N
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARN
NG
CENTER (NNPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI).  THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY

MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATIOTMXX
BT
?0001

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