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Date:	Sun, 14 Feb 1999 08:58:09 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: O
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

947
WTXS31 PGTW 141500
SUBJ:  ORMPUCAL CYCLONE WARNICG
O
IMMEKLDELIVERYIREQ TO WVEMBASSYORT LOUQSO
1; TROPICAL CYCLONE )6S WURNIH NR UQH
02#NUPE TOPIVAB CYCLONES IN YTUHGERN HEMISPHERZNGVP IOAX SJVIIBCIK
B
NLON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
8  WARNING POSILIOC:,
141200Z: --- NW 22.8Y-9.6E8
08   MOVEMENTHPAS SPX HOUREMQ#- DEGREES AO 07 KTS
W   I VVWTION ACCURATEHTTZITHIN 090 N
N  POSITION BASED ON CECTER LO
TEBIBY SAOELLITE
OW   RESENT WUND BRUTION:
MAX SUSMAINED WINDS - 040 KT, VUSTUH050 KTMM
-  RADIUS ODI0 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTWESOVICNRCLE
28

88
88

801; NMPELSEWHERE
REVEAT POSPB: 22.81
LEOYEI
K ORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
MAXNSUETWQNED WINDS - 0(0 KT, GUSTS 0508;5
US OF LPETIKTIWIVXQ5 NM NORTHWEST  EMICIRCLE
I       HU         PTP NM ELSEWNERE
A VEKTOR TO 24 HR POSIT:#
285 ;$3</ 04 KTSON
AAV
7$#41 4VALIWT:
;151-80Z97--- 22.0S4 39.5E7
MAX SCNIMOLWINDS - 0.5 KT, GUSOY 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035#T WINDS - 845 NM SOOH SEMICPJCLE
.                         #065;NM EGSEWHECZ
VECTOR TO EY HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 STS
36
4-, VALID AT:
L  QHPPPVZ7 --- 2-.3S- 38.3E4
MAX SUSTAINELWINDS - 050 FT, #7-57 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - #15 NM SOUTH SENICIRCLE
,00        08          015 NM ELSEWERE
RADUS OFP035 KT 8,$- - IT NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
-      8      015 NM ELHFYE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSITUA DEG/ 06 KTS
8  EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
161200Z0 --- 22.4S8 37.1E1
MAX SUYTAQNEDHUISIQ55 KT, (#OE 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050,-;:
0135 NMOUTH SEMIKIRCLE
.   #8               030 NMPLEWHERE
LB   RADIUS OF 035 KT WIND
S - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
#     8    #6               090 NM ZLSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HDPOSIT:  DEV/ 06 JZ    --=
/   171200Z1 --- 22.5S5 3(.3E0
MX SUQTAINED WINDY - 1353KT, GQSTS 0:5 KT
DISSINATIMG AS A SPGNIFICAMT TJNICAL KXUTOME OVER LAND
141500Z1 IOSNEAR 22;7Q EOMIEAMTROPICAL CYVLONUCS HAS
O
TRACKED EWST-FORTHE
XVCCAT 07 EATS OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS IN THE
MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL..5#3 2-4,8,< 09-8589, 8-8?--3$ 709, 141130Z#
ANIMATEDYINFRAREDSEWOELL TLUMAGEJY. THE WARNING INTEVYUTY IS BASED
UPON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIATESHOF 25 AND $8KNOTS SPAREHCON
S
ISVENTNWITH TME MREVWOUS FORECAST. ANIMATED INFRARE
ATELLITE IMAGERY INDICAOESHTHE DEZQ CONVECTION IS SHEWRED TO THE
TSOU
THEAST OF THE MW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (GLCC). THEILLCC IS
DPWLTO PINPOINT AS THE FIX POSITIMPS OVER THE PHBQLHOURS
ARE VAIEDHM THIS ORCASNFMAKES ABGEAKPROM TVUFITUSNORECAST
PHILOUJAKLT
C 21S REVURVINGOCHE SMUTHEAST AROUND THE
SUROPICALIRIFGEBM VC 21S IAAW EXPECTEX TO CONTINUE TO THE EAST=
NORTHEAT UNDER THE STZING INFLUENCE OF AIPASSING TROUGH SOUOH OF
THEHSKGAS THE TROUGH CONTINUEY OOWARD, THE SUBTROPICA RIDGE
IS O3:53$ 59 ?UILD IN FROMITPE SOUTHEAST AND PROVIDE A WESTWACD
STEERUNGNFLUENCZ OVER TC 2S. HZNCE, OUR NEW FOQPB-##
TC WQ TQAVELLING EASTPNOTHEAFZARD FORLTHE NEXT 12 HMURS SWFP
RTURNIIG
MOREHWESTWARD AS THZPSUBOWIDGE BUILDS IVPFROMPTHE
SOUTH. TC 21S IQ EXPECTED TO MM
)SEBAQOIAO, MONOIQUE INMROXIMATELY 60 HOURS.-THIS SY
STEM IS
FORECAST OO IMOZSIFY THROUGH 60 HOURS, AS AN UPPERLDV
IANTIYC.03-?3=
3)90- 5;34 85, ENHNCINP THE OUTFLOW ALOFT. TVENZN TC
21S SHOU D DPSSIPATD RAPIDLY AFTER MAKINGNLANDFALL MAXIMUV
SGNIFICANT WWME YEIVK AT 14121,T IS 16 FEET.(43= 59 228931 PGFW
FOR ADDITIONAL SEWHHEIPHONIMJO
MATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8
(T1419-3Z+0, 15;3PZ9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1)
NDVQCQ+2 (DTG 151353ZUPLREFER TO TRTPICAL SCLONE 19P (ELLA)
WARNINGF (ZTPS32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL ZAJNIMX ONTPIS SYSO.//

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