

by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA28744;
Fri, 26 Mar 1999 19:41:16 -0600
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 12024818 for
[email-masked]; Fri, 26 Mar 1999 19:41:05 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.8.8/8.8.8) with ESMTP id TAA16388 for
<[email-masked]>; Fri, 26 Mar 1999 19:40:49 -0600
Received: by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.9.2/8.9.2) id TAA13590 for
[email-masked]; Fri, 26 Mar 1999 19:40:49 -0600 (CST)
Date:	Fri, 26 Mar 1999 19:40:49 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 31s Warning Nr 004
To:	[email-masked]
Status: U

999
WTXS31 PGTW 270300
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 31S WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z9 --- NEAR 14.0S5 112.1E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S5 112.1E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z2 --- 14.6S1 109.7E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z0 --- 15.2S8 107.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z3 --- 15.9S5 105.8E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z1 --- 16.5S2 103.9E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
120 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z3 --- 17.3S1 100.0E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
130 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
270300Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.2S7 111.5E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 31S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS SOUTH OF
JAVA OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE
BASED UPON 262330Z6 ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
WITH CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES TC 31S CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER THE
STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. THE
FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS BASICALLY UNCHANGED EXCEPT FOR A SLIGHT
SLOWING OF THE FORECAST TRACK DUE TO HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN THE
SYSTEMS POSITION AS IT CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8
(DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND
280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7).//
BT
#0004

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.