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Date:	Mon, 22 Mar 1999 07:43:37 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30s (vance) Warning Nr 016
To:	[email-masked]
Status: U

999
WTXS34 PGTW 221500
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (VANCE) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
221200Z7 --- NEAR 24.9S5 115.0E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 24.9S5 115.0E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z5 --- 28.1S1 117.3E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z8 --- 31.3S7 120.2E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
221500Z0 POSITION NEAR 25.7S4 115.6E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (VANCE) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 20
KNOTS FOR THE PAST SIX HOURS. SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES
INDICATE THE SYSTEM HAS DECREASED INTENSITY TO NEAR T4.0 (65
KNOTS). TC 30S (VANCE) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE RAPIDLY DISSIPATING
DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND AND THE ENTRAINMENT OF DRY AIR. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ACCELERATING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AS
THE SYSTEM WEAKENS, DISSIPATING OVER LAND BY THE 24 FORECAST PERIOD.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230157Z8).//

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