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Date:	Mon, 22 Mar 1999 01:57:21 -0600
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 30s (vance) Warning Nr 015
To:	[email-masked]

999
WTXS34 PGTW 220900
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (VANCE) WARNING NR 015
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z0 --- NEAR 23.0S5 114.3E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0S5 114.3E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z3 --- 25.7S4 115.0E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z1 --- 28.7S7 117.1E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 23.7S2 114.5E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 30S (VANCE) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE SOUTH AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, MAKING LANDFALL IN THE SOUTHERN
EXMOUTH GULF. PREVIOUS SYNOPTIC DATA CONFIRMED THE 50 AND 35 KNOT
WIND RADII. SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES INDICATE THE
SYSTEM HAS DECREASED INTENSITY TO T5.5 (102 KNOTS). TC 30S (VANCE)
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DISSIPATING DUE TO INTERACTION WITH LAND.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARD, DISSIPATING
OVER LAND BY THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG
221357Z0), 222100Z7 (DTG 221957Z6), AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230157Z8).//

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