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Date:	Mon, 5 Apr 1999 09:14:57 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere
To:	[email-masked]
Status: U

999
WTXS32 PGTW 051500
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GWENDA) WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z8 --- NEAR 13.1S5 118.5E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.1S5 118.5E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z6 --- 14.2S7 116.5E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z9 --- 15.4S0 114.7E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
105 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z7 --- 16.8S5 113.1E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
115 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z0 --- 18.1S0 111.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
125 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
051500Z1 POSITION NEAR 13.4S8  118.0E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GWENDA) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
AT 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 051130Z0 SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 KNOTS). TC 32S HAS TRACKED UNDER THE
STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST.
THIS IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE STEERING THE SYSTEM IN GENERALLY THE
SAME DIRECTION DURING THE INITIAL 24 HOURS. AN APPROACHING MID-
LATTITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TURNING TC 32S (GWENDA) MORE
TOWARDS THE SOUTH AFTER THIS PERIOD AND THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF
THE FORECAST. TC 32S HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED AND CONSOLIDATED
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH
THE APPROACHING TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN INHIBITING FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT AFTER THIS PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
051200Z8 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060153Z5) AND
061500Z2 (DTG 061353Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 31S (FREDERIC-
EVRINA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
BT
#0001

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