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Date:	Wed, 3 Feb 1999 06:50:07 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products <[email-masked]>
From:	SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Trohical Cyclone Qas (chikita))ingpnr 009a Relocated
To:	Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL <[email-masked]>
Status: U

248
WTXS32 PGTW 030900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY JEQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROHICAL CYCLONE QAS (CHIKITA))INGPNR 009A RELOCATED
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERZM
WARNING POSITION:
0306082+9 -- NEAR 19.7Q7 63;9.(..22

8;.9;33,5 0--5 -8/ #974- - 270 DEGREES AT 24 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
MA   8 POSITION BASED ON CENTE
R LOCATED BY SWOB)853
PRESENT WIND DISRLVC73-#) MAX SUSTAINEWQPKIA PET KT, 4;045 KT
O
EPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 63.5E4
FORECASTS:
12 HRSN VALID AT:
031800Z2 --- 19.7S7 58.4E7
MAX SUSTA
ED WINDS -.0-90(5N GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIDICANT ROPICAL CYCLONEOVER WATER
VECTOR TTNWR HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 22 KTS
W  AA
24 HE, VALID AT:
040600Z0 --- 20.1S3 53.8E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 3 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VEOR TOGEY HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 19 KTS
36 HRYN VALID AT:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVERSWATER
REMARS:
030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.7S7   62.2MKU
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (CHIKITA) HAS TRACKED TOWARDS THE WEST AT
24 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOSRS. THE RNING POSITION IS BASED ON
U QNZ4 SATELLITE IMAGERY (KGWC AND FJDG). THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION FROMTHE PREVIOUS WARNIN INTENSITY. THE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION ASOCIATED WITH C 17S (CHIKITA) HAUOME
EMSED AND RELOCATED THREE DEGREES WELTHE ORIGINAL 030600Z9
WAOG POSITIOVV THE SYSTEMS REMAINS UNDER THEPSTEERING INFLUENCE
OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGLTOPTHE SOUTH. THE MECAST PHILOSOPHY
REMAINS THE SAME AS THMRIGINAL 030600Z9 WARNING. TC 17S (CHIKITA)
IS FOO CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWRDS THE WEST, WITH A WEST=
SGOHMMQ FLTURN AFTER THZ 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE SYSM
MOVES TOWARDS THE RIDGEPWXIS. TC 17S (CHIITMKIS EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN A 35 KNOT WINDFIELD OPEMT 24 HOURS. THE ASSOCIATED
CONVECTION EXTENT OF THE WINDFQETD WILL DECREASE AS THE SYSTEM
BEGINS TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER.,TC 17S (CHIKITA)IQPMRECAST TO
DISIPATE OVER WAT
OY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICJNT WAEIGHT AT 030600Z IS -4 FEET. REFER TO WQIO30 FW
FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION; NEXTPWARNINGS AT 032100Z6
(DTG 031951Z9) AND 0409003 (DTGN040751Z7).
//

AUOO
IN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RPHMMCC12500341226

NVVV

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