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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
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645
WTIO30 FMEE 130600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/2/20002001
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  13/11/2000 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 10.0S/80.2E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY
DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.5/2.5  /S 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 30 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30: 50 KM   SE30: 50 KM
SW30: 90 KM   NW30: 50 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 10.0S / 80.4E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 10.0S / 80.6E FI=2.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 10.2S / 81.0E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=2.5-. CONVECTION IS
FLUCTUATING NEAR THE CENTRE (EXPOSED LLCC IN THE END OF THE
NIGHT). THE SYSTEM SHOULD NOT INTENSIFY AT SHORT RANGE.=