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Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
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917
WTIO30 FMEE 181800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 8/2/20002001
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  18/11/2000 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 12.8S/86.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30:        SE30:
SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 13.4S / 85.0E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 13.2S / 83.7E FI=2.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 11.5S / 80.5E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE CENTRE IS LOCATED UNDER
THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE CONVECTION, WHICH IS LESS
IMPORTANT ACTUALLY. THE SYSTEM IS NORTH TO NORTEASTERLY
SHEARED. TRADE WINDS, FORECASTED STRONGER IN 24 HOURS, SHOULD
INTENSIFY THE SYSTEM.=