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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
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364
WTIO30 FMEE 020600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/1/20012000
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  02/08/2000 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 6.2S/77.2E (SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY
SEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /S  /12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30:        SE30:
SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 6.3S / 77.0E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 6.4S / 76.5E FI=2.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 6.5S / 75.0E FI=2.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : FLUCTUATING CONVECTION
AROUND THE CENTRE.DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM STILL HINDERED BY
PERSISTENT MODERATE EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR DUE TO THE
FLOW BLOWING NORTH OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS SOUTH OF 10S.THE
SYSTEM HAS SLOWED DOWN (COL ARRIVING SOUTH OF 20S).=