

by imaila.ust.hk (8.9.3/8.9.3) with ESMTP id BAA09531
for <[email-masked]>; Mon, 10 Apr 2000 01:58:50 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11])
by mailgw.ust.hk (8.9.3/8.9.3) with ESMTP id BAA16671
for <[email-masked]>; Mon, 10 Apr 2000 01:53:33 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11])
by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.9.3/8.9.3) with ESMTP id MAA53176;
Sun, 9 Apr 2000 12:40:35 -0500
Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8d) with spool id 14694069 for
[email-masked]; Sun, 9 Apr 2000 12:40:34 -0500
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.9.3/8.9.3) with ESMTP id MAA13462 for
<[email-masked]>; Sun, 9 Apr 2000 12:38:56 -0500
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.9.3/8.9.3) id MAA11776
for [email-masked]; Sun, 9 Apr 2000 12:38:17 -0500 (CDT)
Message-ID:  <[email-masked]>
Date:         Sun, 9 Apr 2000 12:38:17 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
Indian
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e400000995

717
ABIO10 PGTW 091800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/091800Z/101800Z APR 00//
REF/A/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090751Z APR 00//
AMPN/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST
OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 090600Z5, TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (HUDAH) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 38.5E6, IN NORTHEASTERN, MOZAMBIQUE,
AND WAS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE
REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 090900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THE
SYSTEM.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
9.0S9 53.0E8, NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR IS NOW LOCATED
NEAR 12.0S3 53.0E8. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
CONVECTION ORGANIZED AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). SYNOPTIC DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE A
MONSOON TROUGH AND POSSIBLE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
8.5S3 102.5E8 HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY. ANIMATED
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION.
SCATTEROMETER AND SYNOPTIC DATA SHOWS A BROAD TROUGHING
OVER THE REGION WITH STRONG CONVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
(3) A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LLCC HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE
PAST 12 HOURS IN THE SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL NEAR
26.5S3 37.5E5. VISIBLE ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THE AREA HAS NO CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH IT.
AN EARLIER SCATTEROMETER PASS INDICATED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM NEAR 20 KNOTS.   MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(4) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: COX/MORRIS/DAWSON//