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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
Indian
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
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668
ABIO10 PGTW 020700
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/020700Z/021800Z JUL 00//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0S9
97.0E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5S3 96.2E7 NORTH OF COCOS ISLAND.
ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OVER
THE PAST 4 HOURS. A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS AND SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS
INDICATE AN FAIRLY WELL DEVELOPED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS REVEALS WEAK TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION: UPGRADED AREA TO FAIR IN PARA. 2.B.(1).
FORECAST TEAM: WAKEHAM/THOMAS/BALDINGER/EDBERG//