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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
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261
WTIO30 FMEE 030600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 5/1/20012000
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  03/08/2000 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 8.8S/74.5E (EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30:        SE30:
SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1100
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 10.0S / 73.8E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 10.6S / 72.5E FI=2.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 10.8S / 70.0E FI=2.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE
TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THEN INCURVE WESTSOUTHWESTWARD WITH
THE ARRIVAL OF HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH. SOUTH OF 10S,
NORTHEASTERLY SHEARING WILL WEAKEN BUT THE SEASURFACE
TEMPERATURES WILL BE LESS FAVOURABLE.=