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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
Ocean)
To: [email-masked]
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WTIO30 FMEE 021800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 8/4/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (BAKO) EX-BESSI
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  02/12/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 17.0S/85.8E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND
EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.5/4.5  /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 966 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 68 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30: 200 KM   SE30: 500 KM
SW30: 300 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 17.6S / 85.6E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.0S / 84.3E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 18.5S / 81.2E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES AN
INCREASING WIND SHEAR, CARACTERISTIC ARCUS OF CIRRUS IS
PRESENT ON INFRARED IMAGERY. THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS FORECAST
TO TRACK WESTWARD ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE AFTER THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN SHEARED.=

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