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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis
To: [email-masked]
Status:
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WTXS33 PGTW 060900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EVARISTE) WARNING NR 006
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
060600Z2 --- NEAR 16.2S9 61.0E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 61.0E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z5 --- 17.8S6 61.1E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z3 --- 19.9S9 61.2E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z6 --- 22.6S0 61.7E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z4 --- 25.9S6 62.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
065 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
060900Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.6S3 61.0E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (EVARISTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM
NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 05 KTS
DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 060530Z4
VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 060528Z1 TROPICAL
RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) IMAGE. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED UPON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. THE TRMM
IMAGE DEPICTED A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVECTION ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE. TC 18S IS FORECAST
TO TRACK SOUTHWARD WITH INCREASING SPEED OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD.
LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
AFTERWARD, A SLOW WEAKENING TREND IS FORECAST BEFORE BAROCLINIC
INTERACTION WITHIN THE MID-LATITUDES BEGINS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 AND
070900Z6. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (SOSE) WARNINGS (WTPS31
PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S
(WALTER) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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