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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 04s (ando) Warning Nr 011
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
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519
WTXS31 PGTW 072100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ANDO) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
071800Z6 --- NEAR 23.7S2 51.9E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 23.7S2 51.9E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z4 --- 25.1S8 50.7E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z7 --- 26.4S2 49.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z5 --- 28.2S2 48.6E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z8 --- 30.2S5 48.2E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
072100Z0 POSITION NEAR 24.0S6 51.6E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (ANDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF MANAKARA, MADAGASCAR IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS
TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING
POSITION IS BASED ON 071730Z8 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES
OF 102 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTED A 9 NM
CLOUD-FILLED EYE. A 071704Z9 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS
DEPICTED DEEP CONVECTION CONFINED PRIMARILY TO THE SOUTHEAST
QUADRANT. TC 04S (ANDO) SHOULD TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD WITHIN A
WEAKNESS CREATED BY A SLOW MOVING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH, SITUATED OFF
THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF AFRICA, THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE
STORM SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE PERIOD. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080900Z7 (DTG 080752Z2) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081952Z5). REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES.//