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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 09s (vincent) Warning Nr 004
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
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X-UIDL: 35b414e400019f0d

WTXS31 PGTW 132100
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (VINCENT) WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
131800Z3 --- NEAR 15.6S2 117.0E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 117.0E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z1 --- 16.2S9 118.6E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 17.3S1 119.9E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 18.3S2 120.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 19.6S6 120.2E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
132100Z7 POSITION NEAR 15.8S4 117.4E3.
TC 09S (VINCENT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 131730Z5
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 45 KTS. ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEVELOPING DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED ABOUT 40 NM
WEST. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOW A
HIGH OVER THE SYSTEM. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO TRACK EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD, WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH, UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE
OF STRONG EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES THROUGH THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.
AFTERWARDS, TC 09S SHOULD BEGIN TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHWARD
UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE
SOUTHEAST. TC 09S SHOULD GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE BUILDS BACK OVER THE SYSTEM BY MID PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG
140751Z8) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1).//

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