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Date:         Mon, 2 Apr 2001 21:15:58 -0500
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
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X-UIDL: 35b414e40001ad6c

WTXS32 PGTW 030300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (WALTER) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
030000Z3 --- NEAR 10.1S2 103.9E3
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 10.1S2 103.9E3
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z6 --- 10.1S2 101.2E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z4 --- 10.3S4 98.9E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z7 --- 10.9S0 97.0E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050000Z5 --- 11.5S7 95.5E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
030300Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.1S2 103.2E6.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (WALTER) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 022330Z0
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA REPORTS OF
GUSTS TO 23 KNOTS FROM CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES A STRONG BAND OF CONVECTION IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE.
UW-CMISS ANALYSIS PRODUCTS INDICATE A FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL
ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. TC 17S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK IN
A GENERAL WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THIS FORECAST SCENARIO IS CONSISTENT WITH THE EGRR, BETA
ADVECTION MODELS, CLIPER, AND HPAC. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 030000Z3 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A,
NAVPACMETOCCEN 021952Z APR 01 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTXS21 PGTW 022000). NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 AND 040300Z7. REFER
TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW 022100) FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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