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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 21s Warning Nr 002
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e40001cba2

WTXS31 PGTW 220900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
220600Z0 --- NEAR 25.9S6 39.0E2
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM
REPEAT POSIT: 25.9S6 39.0E2
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221800Z3 --- 25.8S5 41.2E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 095 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z1 --- 25.9S6 43.1E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z4 --- 26.2S0 44.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z2 --- 26.7S5 46.1E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
220900Z3 POSITION NEAR 25.9S6 39.6E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 340 NM EAST OF
MAPUTO. THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 220530Z2 VISIBLE
AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS. THIS
SYSTEM IS VERY SMALL IN DIAMETER AND TRACKING EASTWARD UNDER THE
STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE
NORTH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR AND SHOULD

WEAKEN TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 AND
230900Z4.//

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