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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
Ocean)
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WTIO30 FMEE 051800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 6/9/20002001
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (EVARISTE)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  05/04/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 15.0S/61.2E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND
SIXTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0 MOINS /D 2.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 977 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30: 220 KM   SE30: 240 KM
SW30: 120 KM   NW30: 100 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 16.3S / 61.0E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 17.8S / 60.7E FI=4.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 21.2S / 60.0E FI=4.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=4.0-.CDO PATTERN.
THE SYSTEM SHOULD GO ON INTENSIFYING DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THEN, AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWARD, THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME MORE AND
MORE SHEARED, CAUSING THE WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM.=

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