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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj:  Tropical Cyclone Warning
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
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WTXS33 PGTW 071500
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EVARISTE) WARNING NR 009
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z0 --- NEAR 23.0S5 61.9E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 23.0S5 61.9E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z8 --- 26.4S2 60.9E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 29.9S0 60.3E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 32.5S0 60.2E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
071500Z3 POSITION NEAR 23.8S3 61.6E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (EVARISTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF RODRIGUES ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT
19 KTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
071130Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55
KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TC 18S HAS DECOUPLED IN
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS
FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWARD AND DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 18 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 AND 080300Z1 REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE
17S (WALTER) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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