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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
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X-UIDL: 35b414e40001aee7

WTXS32 PGTW 070300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (WALTER) WARNING NR 009
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
070000Z7 --- NEAR 15.1S7 95.0E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 95.0E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z0 --- 16.9S6 94.5E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z8 --- 18.5S4 93.5E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 20.0S2 92.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 20.7S9 90.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 15.5S1 94.9E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (WALTER), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 062330Z4
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED IMAGERY
SHOWS THE PULSATING, PERSISTENT CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS.
THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 17S IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE
PERIOD. TC 17S SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD STRONG
UPPER NORTHWESTERLIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE POLAR FRONT JET.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 AND 080300Z1. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S
(EVARISTE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER
TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (SOSE) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

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