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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio
To: [email-masked]
Status:
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e40001c1ae

WTIO32 PGTW 270900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z5 --- NEAR 18.6N5 67.6E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 67.6E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z8 --- 19.7N7 67.1E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z6 --- 20.7N9 67.0E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z9 --- 21.7N0 67.2E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z7 --- 22.5N9 67.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z9 --- 23.9N4 68.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
270900Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.9N8 67.5E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380 NM SOUTH OF KARACHI,
PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED SLOWLY NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS DURING THE PAST
SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 270530Z7 VISIBLE
AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH WELL-DEFINED CLOUD LINES. INFRARED ANIMATION
SHOWS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION SOUTHWEST OF THE LLCC. THE 200 MB
ANALYSIS SHOWS A HIGH CENTERED NEAR 25N7 65E1 WITH MODERATE
EASTERLIES OVER THE SYSTEM. THE UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE
TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TC 01A SHOULD TRACK NORTHWARD THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 01A IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z5 IS 18
FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5, 272100Z2, 280300Z3 AND 280900Z9.//

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