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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
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WTXS32 PGTW 050300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (WALTER) WARNING NR 005
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
050000Z5 --- NEAR 11.0S2 96.8E3
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
080 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 11.0S2 96.8E3
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z8 --- 12.0S3 95.3E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z6 --- 13.4S8 94.3E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z9 --- 14.9S4 93.5E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
090 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z7 --- 16.3S0 92.9E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
050300Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.3S5 96.4E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (WALTER), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM NORTH OF
COCOS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE DURING
THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 042330Z2 VISIBLE
AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS. ENHANCED
INFRARED ANIMATION DEPICTS SOME STRENGTHENING DURING THE PAST 12
HOURS. BURSTS OF DEEP CONVECTION HAVE BECOME MORE FREQUENT NEAR THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK
BENEATH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. AT 050000Z5, COCOS ISLAND
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS FROM THE EAST-
SOUTHEAST AT 23 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 34 KNOTS. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S
IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE
TRACKING INCREASINGLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AS A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. TC 17S SHOULD INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 22
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 AND 060300Z9. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 16S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY
UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS33
PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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