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Date:         Tue, 13 Feb 2001 01:54:42 -0600
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 09s (vincent) Warning Nr 003
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
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WTXS31 PGTW 130900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (VINCENT) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z0 --- NEAR 15.1S7 115.3E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S7 115.3E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z3 --- 15.6S2 117.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z1 --- 16.1S8 119.7E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z4 --- 16.7S4 121.0E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 17.4S2 122.2E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
130900Z3 POSITION NEAR 15.2S8 115.8E5.
TC 09S (VINCENT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM NORTH OF LEARMONTH,
AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 130530Z2 VISIBLE AND
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 TO 35 KTS. MULTI-SPECTRAL
ANIMATION DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH
ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED APPROXIMATELY 125 NM TO THE
WEST. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO TRACK EASTWARD TO EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD,
WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH, UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF STRONG
EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 09S SHOULD
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK
OVER THE SYSTEM BY MID PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
130600Z0 IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND
140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8).//

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