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Date:         Tue, 3 Apr 2001 03:44:01 -0500
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj:  Tropical Cyclone Warning
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e40001ad92

WTXS31 PGTW 030900
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S WARNING NR 002
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z9 --- NEAR 13.7S1 84.2E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 13.7S1 84.2E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z2 --- 14.0S5 82.6E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
045 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z0 --- 14.2S7 81.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
075 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z3 --- 14.7S2 79.1E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z1 --- 15.0S6 76.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
125 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z2 --- 15.1S7 73.8E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
035 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
125 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 13.8S2 83.8E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 11 KTS IN
THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS CURRENTLY APPROXIMATELY 800 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA ISLAND. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
UPON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AND SYNOPTIC DATA. A
RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) PASS REVEALED A
COMPACT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND DEEP CONVECTION
OVERHEAD. TC 16S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK IN A WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY
DIRECTION TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC 16S IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH 48 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 AND 040900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S
(WALTER) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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