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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 09s (vincent) Warning Nr 006
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
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X-UIDL: 35b414e400019f4f

WTXS31 PGTW 142100
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (VINCENT) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
141800Z4 --- NEAR 16.7S4 120.0E3
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.7S4 120.0E3
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z2 --- 17.5S3 120.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
151800Z5 --- 18.6S5 121.0E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z3 --- 19.8S8 120.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
161800Z6 --- 21.4S7 120.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
142100Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.9S6 120.2E5.
TC 09S (VINCENT), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 141730Z6
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KTS AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS OF 25
KNOTS. MULTI-SPECTRAL ANIMATION DEPICTS A PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH  CONVECTION SHEARED 7 NM TO THE
WEST OF THE CENTER. TC 09S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD,
WITHIN A MONSOON TROUGH, UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF STRONG
EQUATORIAL WESTERLIES THROUGH THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THEN, TC 09S SHOULD
BEGIN TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD TO SOUTHWARD UNDER THE STEERING
INFLUENCE OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 09S SHOULD
GRADUALLY INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE TEMPORARILY BUILDS BACK OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG
150751Z9) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2).//

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