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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 05s (bindu) Warning Nr 003
To: [email-masked]
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110
WTXS32 PGTW 082100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BINDU) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
081800Z7 --- NEAR 15.2S8 73.1E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 15.2S8 73.1E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z5 --- 15.8S4 72.8E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
091800Z8 --- 16.3S0 72.3E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
095 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z7 --- 16.5S2 71.4E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
115 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z0 --- 16.5S2 70.4E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
055 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
130 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.4S0 73.0E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 470 NM SOUTH OF
DIEGO GARCIA OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
WARD AT 03 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS
BASED ON 081730Z9 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY
IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 75
KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT IMPROVED
ORGANIZATION AND CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IMAGERY
ALSO SHOWS TIGHTLY CURVED BANDING. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS AND ANIMATED
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICT IMPROVING OUTFLOW OVER THE SYSTEM. TC 05S
IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING FLOW
OF THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE 24-HOUR
POINT. AFTERWARDS TC 05S SHOULD TRACK INCREASINGLY WESTWARD AS THE
MID-LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD
INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO
WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ANDO) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW)FOR TWELVE-HOURLY
UPDATES.//