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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 04s (ando) Warning Nr 010
To: [email-masked]
Status:
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221
WTXS31 PGTW 070900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ANDO) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z3 --- NEAR 22.3S7 52.2E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
050 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 22.3S7 52.2E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z6 --- 23.4S9 51.3E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
040 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z4 --- 24.5S1 50.3E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
030 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z7 --- 26.2S0 49.4E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
025 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
090600Z5 --- 27.8S7 48.5E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 22.6S0  52.0E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (ANDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 230 NM EAST
OF MANAKARA, MADAGASCAR IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING
POSITION IS BASED ON 070530Z5 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A 25-NM ROUND EYE. A 070522Z6 SPECIAL
SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS DEPICTS A PRIMARY BAND OF CONVECTION
SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER, WRAPPING INTO THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT.
TC 04S (ANDO) SHOULD TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD WITHIN A WEAKNESS
CREATED BY A SLOW MOVING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH, SITUATED OFF THE
SOUTHEAST COAST OF AFRICA, THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE STORM
SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z3 IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
072100Z0 (DTG 071952Z4) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080752Z2).//