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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e400019491

745
WTXS31 PGTW 290900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z7 --- NEAR 15.9S5 122.1E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S5 122.1E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z0 --- 16.4S1 119.8E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z9 --- 17.3S1 118.2E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z2 --- 18.5S4 117.1E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z0 --- 20.0S2 116.6E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
OVER WATER
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z7 --- 22.2S6 115.9E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
290900Z0 POSITION NEAR 16.0S7 121.5E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 07S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600NM
NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 10
KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS
BASED ON 290530Z9 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY.
THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT ESTIMATES
OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS ORGANIZING CONVECTION ABOUT A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL THE
CIRCULATION CENTER. UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS PRODUCT INDICATES THE
SYSTEM IS IN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH FAVORABLE
OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECT TO TRACK WESTWARD UNDER
THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A MIDLEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.
AFTER THE 24HR PERIOD THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD
RESPONDING TO A WEAKNESS IN THE MID LEVEL RIDGE. TC 07S IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT ENCOUNTERS LAND SHORTLY AFTER THE 48HR
PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 9 FEET.
THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 290121Z
JAN 01 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 290130Z)
NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300900Z2 (DTG
300751Z6).//

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