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Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
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416
WTIO30 FMEE 031800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 4/3/20002001
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (ANDO)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  03/01/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 12.4S/58.7E (TWELVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0  /D 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 972 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30: 200 KM   SE30: 140 KM
SW30: 200 KM   NW30: 140 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1700
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 13.2S / 57.7E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 14.4S / 56.5E FI=5.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 18.0S / 54.6E FI=5.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM SHOULD INCURVE
SOUTHWESTWARD THEN SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD AND SPEED UP, IN
DIRECTION OF THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURES LOCATED SOUTH OF
MADAGASCAR.=