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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 05s (bindu) Warning Nr 005
To: [email-masked]
Status:
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998
WTXS32 PGTW 092100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BINDU) WARNING NR 005
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z8 --- NEAR 16.2S9 72.7E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 16.2S9 72.7E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z7 --- 16.5S2 72.6E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
085 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z0 --- 16.6S3 72.0E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
095 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z8 --- 16.7S4 71.1E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
115 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z1 --- 16.7S4 70.1E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
130 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 16.3S0   72.7E6.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 530 NM SOUTH OF
DIEGO GARCIA OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT
02 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
091716Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 77 AND 90 KNOTS.
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS STRONG CONVECTION TO THE
EAST OF THE SYSTEM AND A 12 NM CLOUD FILLED EYE. UW-CIMSS VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR PRODUCT INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY OVER
THE SYSTEM, HOWEVER, INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EVIDENT SOUTH
OF THE SYSTEM. A MID TO UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE HAS WEAKENED THE SUB-
TROPICAL RIDGE, AND THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DRIFT IN WEAK STEERING
FLOW THROUGH THE 12 HOUR PERIOD. TC 05S  WILL THEN TRACK WESTWARD
UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE BUILDING IN, JUST SOUTH OF
THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 22 FEET.
REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 102100Z4 (DTG
101951Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE  04S (ANDO) WARNINGS (WTXS31
PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//