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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
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044
WTIO30 FMEE 020600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 1/3/20002001
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  02/01/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 10.9S/62.0E (TEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY
TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30:        SE30:
SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1600
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 11.2S / 61.0E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 11.6S / 59.8E FI=2.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 13.2S / 57.8E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : CONVECTION REMAINS
FLUCTUATING, WITH A NEW CONVECTIVE MASS WHICH HAS FORMED IN
THE END OF THE LAST NIGHT.
THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAINTAIN ON ITS WESTSOUTHWESTWARD TRACK DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN MIGHT INCURVE SOUTHWESTWARD ON THE
EDGE OF THE RIDGE.