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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 04s (ando) Warning Nr 002
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
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580
WTXS31 PGTW 030900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ANDO) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z9 --- NEAR 11.6S8 59.6E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 11.6S8 59.6E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z2 --- 12.2S5 59.0E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z0 --- 12.9S2 58.3E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
080 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z3 --- 14.3S8 57.1E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
060 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z1 --- 15.7S3 55.8E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
---
REMARKS:
030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 11.7S9  59.5E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04S (ANDO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 600 NM EAST O
F
THE NORTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS
TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 TO 55 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED AND VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED
BANDING CURVATURE. A 030620Z1 TROPICAL RAINFALL MEASURING
MISSION PASS DEPICTS A DEVELOPING EYE WITH A PRIMARY BAND WRAPPING
IN TOWARDS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER FROM THE NORTHWEST. THE
SOUTH SEMI-CIRCLE, HOWEVER, IS VIRTUALLY DEEP CONVECTION FREE. MID-
LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING EAST FROM SOUTHERN MADAGASCAR ALONG 25S7
SHOULD WEAKEN BY MID PERIOD WITH AN APPROACH OF A MID-LATITUDE
SYSTEM CURRENTLY OVER SOUTH AFRICA. TC 04S IS FORECAST TO TRACK
SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE SYSTEM SHOULD INTENSIFY
AS IT TRACKS BENEATH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG
031952Z0) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040752Z8).//