

by imaila.ust.hk (8.11.0/8.11.0) with ESMTP id f0O8Irb28320
for <[email-masked]>; Wed, 24 Jan 2001 16:18:53 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu ([email-masked] [128.174.5.113])
by mailgw.ust.hk (8.11.0/8.11.0) with ESMTP id f0O8H5m05313
for <[email-masked]>; Wed, 24 Jan 2001 16:17:05 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu ([email-masked] [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.11.2/8.11.2) with ESMTP id f0O81rq07448;
Wed, 24 Jan 2001 02:01:54 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release
1.8d) with spool id 16039613 for [email-masked]; Wed, 24
Jan 2001 02:01:53 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.11.2/8.11.2) with ESMTP id f0O81rq09736 for
<[email-masked]>; Wed, 24 Jan 2001 02:01:53 -0600
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.9.3+Sun/8.9.3) id
CAA24579 for [email-masked]; Wed, 24 Jan 2001 02:01:52 -0600
(CST)
Message-ID:  <[email-masked]>
Date:         Wed, 24 Jan 2001 02:01:52 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 06s (charly) Warning Nr 010
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e400018666

305
WTXS31 PGTW 240900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (CHARLY) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z2 --- NEAR 22.6S0 64.6E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
REPEAT POSIT: 22.6S0 64.6E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z5 --- 23.3S8 61.6E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
020 NM ELSEWHERE
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
070 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z3 --- 24.2S8 58.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
050 NM ELSEWHERE
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z6 --- 25.6S3 56.0E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z4 --- 27.2S1 53.7E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 22.8S2 63.8E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (CHARLY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 420 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 16
KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
240530Z4 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55
KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TC 06S HAS
CONTINUED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND HAS LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION
REMAINING. THE UW-CIMSS UPPER LEVEL WIND ANALYSIS INDICATES THE
SYSTEM HAS MOVED SOUTH OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND IS IN AN AREA OF
20 TO 30 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
DEPICTS DRIER AIR BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE WEST
WHICH HAS ALSO SERVED TO WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO
MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR POLEWARD
OF THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z2 IS 18
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250900Z6 (DTG
250751Z0).//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.centerone.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.