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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 24s (errol) Warning Nr 004
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e4000245c8

WTXS32 PGTW 110900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (ERROL) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
110600Z8 --- NEAR 6.1S7 96.9E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.1S7 96.9E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z1 --- 6.4S0 96.5E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z9 --- 6.6S2 96.0E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z2 --- 7.0S7 94.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z0 --- 7.4S1 93.6E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 6.2S8 96.8E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (ERROL), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM
NORTH OF THE COCOS ISLANDS IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, HAS DRIFTED
WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION
IS BASED ON 110530Z0 MULTISPRECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45
KNOTS. ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS
COALESCING OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 24S IS FORECAST
TO TRACK SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS THE LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE TO
THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST MOVES EASTWARD. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 15
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE 23S (KESINY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY
UPDATES.//

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