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Date: Tue, 05 Nov 2002 11:03:18 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES

ABIO10 PGTW 051800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN/051800Z/061800ZNOV2002//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/042051ZNOV2002//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8N4
51.4E0 HAS ENTERED SOMALIA AND IS THEREFORE NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.6S3
63.3E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.6S3 60.0E6, APPROXIMATELY 700 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. RECENT ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER
WEAK LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AS THE AREA TRACKS EQUATORWARD OF
THE RIDGE AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE
18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1004 MB.
SEE REF A (WTXS PGTW 042100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS GOOD.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/DUKES/COOK//

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