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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis
To: [email-masked]
Status: RO
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X-UIDL: 35b414e4000233e9

WTXS31 PGTW 130300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (HARY) WARNING NR 016
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
130000Z4 --- NEAR 28.3S3 55.9E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 28.3S3 55.9E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z7 --- 29.9S0 57.1E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL

RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z5 --- 31.4S8 58.6E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
130300Z7 POSITION NEAR 28.7S7 56.2E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (HARY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM SOUTH
OF LA REUNION ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS DURING
THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 122330Z1 INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTION AND SHEARING BY NORTHWESTERLY
UPPER LEVEL WINDS. TC 18S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING
SOUTHEASTWARD AS IT INTERACTS WITH AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
TC 18S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT COMPLETES
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE
DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF GFDN, NOGAPS, AVN, AND UK MET GLOBAL ARE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON PERSISTENCE AND A
BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 130000Z4 IS 24 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0.//

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