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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
Ocean)
To: [email-masked]
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WTIO30 FMEE 051800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 11/8/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  05/02/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 16.9S/79.6E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND
SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/5.0  /W 2.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 952 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 80 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30: 280 KM   SE30: 470 KM
SW30: 470 KM   NW30: 280 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1100
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 17.7S / 80.4E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.5S / 81.0E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 20.0S / 81.8E FI=4.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=4.0+ AND CI=5.0+. AT
SHORT RANGE, THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO TRAKC
SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE IN THE NORTHEAST
AT 500 HPA AND A TROUGH IN THE SOUTHEAST.=

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