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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
Indian
To: [email-masked]
Status:
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
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ABIO10 PGTW 050500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN REISSUED/050500Z/051800Z MAR 02//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.5S7
66.1E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3S4 66.5E7, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. A RECENT QUICKSCAT PASS INDICATES A
BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WHILE ANIMATED SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS INCREASED ORGANIZATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION NEAR
THE LLCC. A 050137Z6 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGE (SSMI) PASS ALSO
REVEALS IMPROVED SYSTEM ORGANIZATION. 200MB ANALYSIS SHOWS THE AREA
IS UNDER WEAK DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR.
FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/WAUGAMAN/CUTMAN//

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