

by imaila.ust.hk (8.11.0/8.11.0) with ESMTP id g1EHEvg26514
for <[email-masked]>; Fri, 15 Feb 2002 01:14:57 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.11.6/8.11.6) with ESMTP id g1EHEoW07086
for <[email-masked]>; Fri, 15 Feb 2002 01:14:51 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.11.4/8.11.4) with ESMTP id g1EHDI612352;
Thu, 14 Feb 2002 11:13:18 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release
1.8d) with spool id 695851 for [email-masked]; Thu, 14
Feb 2002 11:13:18 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.11.4/8.11.4) with ESMTP id g1EHDH646950 for
<[email-masked]>; Thu, 14 Feb 2002 11:13:18 -0600
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.9.3+Sun/8.9.3) id
LAA19102 for [email-masked]; Thu, 14 Feb 2002 11:13:12 -0600
(CST)
Message-ID:  <[email-masked]>
Date:         Thu, 14 Feb 2002 11:13:12 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
Indian
To: [email-masked]
Status:
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e400022b8b

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 141800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/141800Z/151800Z FEB 02//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVERGENCE PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.0S9
51.4E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.2S1 .7E0 OFF THE EAST COAST OF
MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY AND A 142329Z1 TROPICAL
RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) PASS REVEAL A WEAK LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EXISTS. DEEP CONVECTION REMAIN CYCLIC AS
THE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST OF MADAGASCAR IN A REGION OF
WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE.
MODELS INCLUDING NOGAPS, NCEP AVIATION (AVN) AND UKMET (EGRR)
INDICATE MODERATE DEVELOPMENT IN 48 TO 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/BRYANT/JACOBS/KUMAGA//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.centerone.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.