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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 11s Warning Nr 001
To: [email-masked]
Status:
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e40002251c

WTXS32 PGTW 240900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
240600Z2 --- NEAR 12.1S4 88.5E1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 12.1S4 88.5E1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z5 --- 12.9S2 88.0E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
250600Z3 --- 14.2S7 87.8E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z6 --- 15.6S2 87.7E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z4 --- 16.7S4 87.2E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
240900Z5 POSITION NEAR 12.3S6 88.4E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH
APPROXIMATELY 5 NM WEST OF COCOS ISLAND. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S HAS
TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 240530Z4 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES
OF 30 KNOTS. VISIBLE ANIMATION DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING
OVER THE VORTEX CENTER AND A WEAK BANDING FEATURE WRAPPING IN FROM
THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING OFF OF THE
NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA SHOULD INFLUENCE THE SYSTEMS TRACK
THROUGH THE PERIOD. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON THE UKMET SPECTRAL, THE
AVIATION RUN OF THE MRF, AND THE MEDIUM BETA ADVECTION MODEL BASED
OFF OF THE 240000Z6 NOGAPS RUN. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
240600Z2 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A,
NAVPACMETOCCEN 231351Z JAN 02 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTXS22 PGTW 231400). NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 AND 250900Z6. REFER
TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (DINA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

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