

by imaila.ust.hk (8.11.0/8.11.0) with ESMTP id g0I8kch22746
for <[email-masked]>; Fri, 18 Jan 2002 16:46:38 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.11.6/8.11.6) with ESMTP id g0I8nsp08340
for <[email-masked]>; Fri, 18 Jan 2002 16:49:55 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.11.4/8.11.4) with ESMTP id g0I8nn626734;
Fri, 18 Jan 2002 02:49:49 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release
1.8d) with spool id 313702 for [email-masked]; Fri, 18
Jan 2002 02:49:49 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.11.4/8.11.4) with ESMTP id g0I8nm636932 for
<[email-masked]>; Fri, 18 Jan 2002 02:49:48 -0600
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.9.3+Sun/8.9.3) id
CAA29465 for [email-masked]; Fri, 18 Jan 2002 02:49:41 -0600
(CST)
Message-ID:  <[email-masked]>
Date:         Fri, 18 Jan 2002 02:49:41 -0600
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis
To: [email-masked]
Status:
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e40002226e

WTXS31 PGTW 180900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (DINA) WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
180600Z5 --- NEAR 13.6S0 69.9E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 18 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.6S0 69.9E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z8 --- 15.3S9 67.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
190600Z6 --- 16.1S8 66.2E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z9 --- 16.7S4 64.6E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z8 --- 17.2S0 63.2E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10S (DINA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 18
KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
180530Z7 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS.
RECENT SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) INDICATED A
DEVELOPING EYEWALL WITH 180716Z3 METSAT-5 VISIBLE IMAGERY NOW
SHOWING A VERY WELL DEFINED 17 NM DIAMETER EYE. THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF THE
LOW TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTH THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CREATE A
WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LATITUDE RIDGE AND CAUSE THE SYSTEM TO SLOW DOWN
AS STEERING FLOW TO THE SOUTH WEAKENS BY 48 HOURS. 180900Z8 POSITION
NEAR 14.0S5 69.4E9. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS
18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 AND 190900Z9.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.centerone.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.