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Date: Thu, 12 Dec 2002 11:11:25 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/121800z/131800zdec2002//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report=

ABIO10 PGTW 121800
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN/121800Z/131800ZDEC2002//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.5S4 IS
NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.9S7 47.4E4, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST
OF MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A
WEAKENING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH LITTLE DEEP
CONVECTION REMAINING AROUND THE LLCC. UW-CIMSS UPPER AIR ANALYSIS
INDICATES LITTLE TO NO DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 10 TO 15 KTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
1010 MB. DUE TO THE POOR UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, THE VERY WEAK
REMAINING CONVECTION, AND OVERALL WEAKENING TREND THE AREA IS NO
LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/HEATH/EDBERG/SHERRY//

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