

by imaila.ust.hk (8.11.0/8.11.0) with ESMTP id g46LXgx20125
for <[email-masked]>; Tue, 7 May 2002 05:33:42 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.2/8.12.2) with ESMTP id g46LXbub028751
for <[email-masked]>; Tue, 7 May 2002 05:33:39 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.11.4/8.11.4) with ESMTP id g46LCx656116;
Mon, 6 May 2002 16:13:00 -0500
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release
1.8d) with spool id 1820015 for [email-masked]; Mon, 6
May 2002 16:12:59 -0500
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.11.4/8.11.4) with ESMTP id g46LCs641800 for
<[email-masked]>; Mon, 6 May 2002 16:12:54 -0500
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.9.3+Sun/8.9.3) id
QAA11134 for [email-masked]; Mon, 6 May 2002 16:12:47 -0500
(CDT)
Message-ID:  <[email-masked]>
Date:         Mon, 6 May 2002 16:12:47 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N:    01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e40002441d

WTIO31 PGTW 062100
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
061800Z5 --- NEAR 11.2N4 65.6E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.2N4 65.6E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
070600Z3 --- 12.1N4 64.4E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z6 --- 12.6N9 63.1E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z4 --- 12.9N2 61.8E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z7 --- 13.4N8 60.4E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
062100Z9 POSITION NEAR 11.4N6 65.3E4.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01A, HAS DEVELOPED IN THE CENTRAL ARABIAN
SEA APPROXIMATELY 630 NM SOUTHWEST OF BOMBAY, INDIA.
TC 01A HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 061730Z7 INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION HAS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS IMPROVED OUTFLOW IN THE
WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER NORTHWESTERN
INDIA. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF AVAILABLE NWP, INCLUDING
NOGAPS, AVN, AND UKMET. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5
IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A,
NAVPACMETOCCEN 052251Z MAY 02 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTIO21 PGTW 052300). NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 AND 072100Z0.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.centerone.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.