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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
Ocean)
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WTIO30 FMEE 040600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/14/20012002
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (KESINY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  04/05/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 9.7S/66.1E (NINE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY
SIX DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.5/2.5 PLUS / 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 995 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 35 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30: 150 KM   SE30: 200 KM
SW30: 250 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 9.8S / 65.9E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 10.3S / 65.3E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 10.5S / 63.3E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEME STILL UNGERGOES
SLIGTH NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR, BUT THE CENTRE IS YET UNDER
CONVECTION. SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS.=

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