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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis
To: [email-masked]
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WTXS31 PGTW 192100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (DINA) WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
191800Z9 --- NEAR 17.2S0 65.7E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 65.7E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200600Z8 --- 17.7S5 64.3E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201800Z1 --- 18.2S1 62.3E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210600Z9 --- 18.5S4 60.5E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211800Z2 --- 18.7S6 58.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.3S1 65.4E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10S (DINA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM
NORTHEAST OF RODRIGUES ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS COOLING CLOUD TOPS AND A RAGGED
EYE FORMING AT THIS TIME. A MID-LEVEL HIGH HEIGHT CENTER SITUATED
OVER THE SOUTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR IS FORECAST TO BUILD GRADUALLY
EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS CREATING A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
MOTION IN THE SYSTEM. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF AVAILABLE
NWP (NOGAPS, AVN, GFDN, UKMET SPECTRAL). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 AND
202100Z5.//

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