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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
Ocean)
To: [email-masked]
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WTIO30 FMEE 031800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 2/14/20012002
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  03/05/2002 : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 9.3S/65.6E (NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY
FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.5/2.5  /S  /12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 30 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30: 40 KM   SE30: 50 KM
SW30: 180 KM   NW30: 80 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1005 HPA / 1000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 9.5S / 65.0E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 10.0S / 64.4E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 11.2S / 63.2E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM IS BEING
HAMPERED BY SLIGHT NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR EQUATORWARD OF THE
UPPER RIDGE AND CONVECTION IS LACKING THOUGH BEING EXPECTED
TO UNDERGO NIGHTIME FLARE UP. SLOW INTENSIFICATION PREDICTED
AND SLOW MOTION FORECASTED WITH SOUTHWESTWARD HEADING.=

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