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Message-ID:  <[email-masked]>
Date:         Fri, 12 Jul 2002 12:22:40 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Africa):
To: [email-masked]
Status:

ABIO10 PGTW 121800
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.4S7
94.5E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.3S9 94.9E2, APPROXIMATELY
455 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED CYCLING CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH BROAD SURFACE TROUGHING. UW-CIMSS
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE AREA REMAINS IN A DIFFLUENT REGION OF
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IN A REGION OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. THE MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: MAZANY/KENDALL/AYALA/EDBERG/SCHAEFER//

NNNN

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