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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 11s (eddy) Warning Nr 003
To: [email-masked]
Status:
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e40002257b

WTXS32 PGTW 250900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (EDDY) WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
250600Z3 --- NEAR 14.9S4 88.6E2
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM
REPEAT POSIT: 14.9S4 88.6E2
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z6 --- 16.6S3 88.4E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z4 --- 18.3S2 87.9E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z7 --- 19.5S5 86.9E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z5 --- 20.4S6 85.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
250900Z6 POSITION NEAR 15.3S9   88.6E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (EDDY), LOCATED OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN,
HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS.
THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 250530Z5 VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 KNOTS. VISIBLE ANIMATION AND MICROWAVE
IMAGERY CONTINUE TO DEPICT AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AS NEW BURSTS OF
DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOP OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER.
A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING OFF OF THE NORTHWEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA
SHOULD INFLUENCE THE SYSTEMS TRACK THROUGH THE PERIOD. OUR FORECAST
IS BASED ON THE UKMET SPECTRAL, THE AVIATION RUN OF THE MRF, AND
NOGAPS MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 18
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 AND 260900Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL
CYCLONE  10S (DINA) (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING.//

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