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Date:         Tue, 11 Jun 2002 12:36:49 -0500
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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
Indian
To: [email-masked]
Status:
X-Mozilla-Status: 0001
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TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 111800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z JUN 02//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.4S3
78.0E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.6S7 81.0E9, APPROXIMATELY 540 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. A 111227Z4
QUIKSCAT PASS REVEALED A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) WITH A 25 KNOT SPEED MAX IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTED AN AREA OF CYCLING DEEP
CONVECTION SHEARED SOUTH OF THE LLCC. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES
THE AREA IS UNDERNEATH AN AREA OF DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING ALONG 12.0S3. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED AT 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS
FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/WAUGAMAN/DANIEL/CUTMAN//

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