

by imaila.ust.hk (8.11.0/8.11.0) with ESMTP id g43LONe11211
for <[email-masked]>; Sat, 4 May 2002 05:24:23 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.2/8.12.2) with ESMTP id g43LOI6K039064
for <[email-masked]>; Sat, 4 May 2002 05:24:20 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.11.4/8.11.4) with ESMTP id g43LOC680568;
Fri, 3 May 2002 16:24:12 -0500
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release
1.8d) with spool id 1772725 for [email-masked]; Fri, 3
May 2002 16:24:12 -0500
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by
vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.11.4/8.11.4) with ESMTP id g43LOB630516 for
<[email-masked]>; Fri, 3 May 2002 16:24:11 -0500
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.9.3+Sun/8.9.3) id
QAA16298 for [email-masked]; Fri, 3 May 2002 16:24:04 -0500
(CDT)
Message-ID:  <[email-masked]>
Date:         Fri, 3 May 2002 16:24:04 -0500
Reply-To: [email-masked]
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning
To: [email-masked]
Status:  O
X-Mozilla-Status: 8001
X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000
X-UIDL: 35b414e400024303

WTXS31 PGTW 032100
SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 002
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
031800Z2 --- NEAR 9.8S7 65.9E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 9.8S7 65.9E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z0 --- 10.7S8 65.6E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z3 --- 11.5S7 64.7E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z1 --- 12.2S5 63.8E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z4 --- 13.0S4 62.9E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
032100Z6 POSITION NEAR 10.0S1 65.8E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S, LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS
TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
031730Z4 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON QUIKSCAT DATA INDICATING 35 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED ANIMATION
AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICT THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEGUN
BUILDING OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
SITUATED SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA IS FORECAST TO BUILD THROUGH THE
PERIOD CREATING A MORE SOUTHWESTWARD STEERING MOTION FOR TC 23S.
AVAILABLE NWP AGREE WITH A TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST. THIS MORNINGS 200
MB ANAL REVEALED WEAK CYCLONIC OUTFLOW OVER THE SYSTEM. TC 23S
SHOULD INTENSIFY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS BENEATH THE SUB-TROPICAL
RIDGE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 031800Z2 IS 15 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 AND 042100Z7.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.centerone.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.