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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
Indian
To: [email-masked]
Status: RO
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TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 051800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/051800Z/061800Z APR 02//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.0S1
99.2E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.5S6 100.9E0, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM
NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. SATELLITE ANIMATION DEPICTS AN
INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE BROAD, LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 0511006Z3 QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATED 15 TO
20 KNOT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. THIS MORNINGS 200 MB ANAL
REVEALS THAT THE SUB-EQUATORIAL RIDGE IS PROVIDING IMPROVED OUTFLOW
OVER THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. BECAUSE OF THE INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE, AND IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: ROBERTS/JACOBS/SHERRY//

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