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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Ocean/261800z/271800z Mar 02//
To: [email-masked]
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TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 261800
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/261800Z/271800Z MAR 02//
REF/A/RMG/FLENUMMETOCCEN DATA MONTEREY CA/260845Z MAR 02/
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 260600Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 20S (IKALA) WAS LOCATED NEAR
13.5S9 73.7E7, APPROXIMATELY 1000 NM EAST-NORTHEAST
OF PORT LOUIS, AND HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS DURING
THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED TO BE
65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 260900) FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 7.5S2 55.6E6,
APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTH OF SEYCHELLES. EARLIER ANIMATED VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS SATELLITE DERIVED WINDS ANALYSES
INDICATE THAT THE AREA IS UNDER WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: CANTRELL/SHERRY//

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