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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
Ocean)
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WTIO30 FMEE 061800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 8/14/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KESINY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  06/05/2002 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 10.5S/60.2E (TEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY
DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/4.0  /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 974 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30: 220 KM   SE30: 380 KM
SW30: 380 KM   NW30: 220 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1100
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 10.5S / 59.0E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 10.6S / 57.5E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 10.8S / 54.4E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAINTAIN
ITS WESTWARD TRACK ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH
PRESSURES.=

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