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Date: Mon, 30 Dec 2002 05:12:01 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Ocean Reissued/301100z/301800zdec2002//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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ABIO10 PGTW 301100
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN REISSUED/301100Z/301800ZDEC2002//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 16.1S8 43.3E0,
APPROXIMATELY 65 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL,
HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 300505Z3 SPECIAL SENSOR MICROWAVE IMAGER
(SSM/I) PASS REVEAL A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
ASSOCIATED CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES
GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE REGION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) AS A POOR AREA.
FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/INGRAM/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/MENEBROKER/COOK//

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