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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The
Indian
To: [email-masked]
Status: RO
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TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 221800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/221800Z/231800Z MAR 02//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.7S5
83.3E4, IS NOW NEAR 8.7S5 81.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 540 NM EAST OF DIEGO
GARCIA. SURFACE ANALYSIS AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
DEPICT A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED VISIBLE
IMAGERY INDICATED IMPROVING ORGANIZATION OF THE CONVECTION NEAR THE
LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS JUST EQUATORWARD OF
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS. UW-CIMMS CHARTS SHOW THERE IS WEAK
VERTICAL SHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG 13.0S4. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: VILPORS/WAUGAMAN/NUTONGLA//

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