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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
Ocean)
To: [email-masked]
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WTIO30 FMEE 081800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 12/14/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KESINY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  08/05/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 11.7S/53.3E (ELEVEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/3.5  / 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 984 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 50 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30: 100 KM   SE30: 300 KM
SW30: 300 KM   NW30: 100 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 12.1S / 51.8E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 13.3S / 49.7E FI= OVERLAND
3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 14.1S / 46.2E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK MORE SOUTHWESTWARDS TOMORROW,IN DIRECTION OF THE
NORTHERN EXTREMITY OF MALAGASY. IT MAY INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY.=

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