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Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject:      Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian
Ocean)
To: [email-masked]
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WTIO30 FMEE 280600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 10/12/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (IKALA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  28/03/2002 : 18.7S/78.5E (EIGHTEEN
DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/4.5 PLUS /W 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 965 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 65 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30: 350 KM   SE30: 700 KM
SW30: 700 KM   NW30: 250 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 19.7S / 79.6E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 21.2S / 79.0E FI=2.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 22.6S / 77.3E FI=
EXTRATROPICAL
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=3.5-, CI=4.5-. LOW LEVEL
CENTRE IS CLEARLY VISIBLE AND CONVECTION HAS NEARLY
DISAPPEARED. IKALA WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY WEAKEN AS IT
TRACKS IN A DEFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG VERTICAL
WINDSHEAR, AND COOLER AND DRIER AIR.=

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