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Date: Wed, 12 Mar 2003 14:42:56 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING,
SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100

WTPS33 PGTW 122100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24P (CRAIG) WARNING NR 009
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
121800Z2 --- NEAR 16.3S0 142.0E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 140 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 142.0E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
130600Z0 --- 17.0S8 143.2E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z3 --- 17.0S8 144.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
122100Z6 POSITION NEAR 16.5S2 142.3E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (CRAIG), LOCATED OVER LAND 220 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEAST AT 17 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED 121730Z4
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS.
TC 24S HAS DE-COUPLED IN LATEST ENHANCED INFRARED AND MICROWAVE
IMAGERY, WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OVER CAPE
YORK, AND THE UPPER-LEVELS STREAMING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN RESPONSE TO
A TUTT CELL OVER SOUTHEAST AUSTRALIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS,
CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN)
ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH THIS DISSIPATION SCENARIO, KEEPING THE
MID AND UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM ON A EAST-SOUTHEAST TRACK INTO THE CORAL
SEA. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE ABOVE LISTED AIDS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z2 IS 12 FEET. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS
(WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE
25P (ESETA) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.//

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