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Date: Tue, 25 Feb 2003 16:27:14 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advio*y For The Indian
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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ABIO10 PGTW 251800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR H WVXJTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVIO*Y FOR THE INDIAN
OC*AN9251800Z/261800,5<3?2003//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFMWCA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUOMARY: NONE.
BTM TROPICAL DISTIRBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2.;SOUTH INDIAN*OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:)NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
EAR 17.5S3
118.5E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3 118.7;37,  DROXIMATELY 160 NM
NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED VISIBTE SATELLITE IMAGEV SHOWS
SPOR*ZIC*WEAK CONMECTION IN THE VICINITY. AVWWTPORUZ7 QUICSCAT PASS
INDICATE**LROAD LOW LEVEL C
RCULATIO
CDNTER (LLCC) WITY THE
STRONGEST WINDS ON THE EQUATORWARV SIDE*VLONG 16.0S7. 200 MB
ANALYSIE PLAC*S THE AREA EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER
MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEA
. T
XIMUM SUSTAINED SURFA
E
WINDS ARE ESTIMA**D AT 12 TO LWI VNOTS9 ;.8,8.7. 3- )3;3) 043743 8

ESOUMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNWFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21.6S9
42.4E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.3S6 42.1E7, IN THE MOZAMZNQ

VCHANNEL. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE V*A Y CHNTINUED CYCLING DEEP
CONVECTION ALONG AND OFF THE COAST OF MADAGASCAR. A 250343Z7
QUIKSCAT PASS INDICATES A NARROW BAND OF TROUGHING ALONG*22.0S4.
200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT WITH WEAK
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 24 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE 106 .?. ;#3 0953,58-) >94 5#3 $3;3)90.3,5 9> - 8<,8>8:-,5
(54908L
CYNTTNZ WITHIN THE NEXT WR HOURS REMAINS FAIR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJO
CE, USAF
FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/**ATH/EDBERG//

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