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Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 08:52:53 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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WTXS32 PGTW 151500
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (GERRY) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z9 --- NEAR 27.8S7 66.8E0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 27.8S7 66.8E0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z7 --- 28.3S3 67.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 27.9S8 67.1E4.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700 NM
SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151130Z1 VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS AND AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWING
A BROAD AREA OF GALE FORCE WINDS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
AN EXPOSED BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES
TO WEAKEN OVER COOL WATERS AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 16 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE ALTERNATE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(FLENUMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HAPE) FOR THE FINAL
WARNING (WTXS33 PGTW). ALTERNATE JTWC SENDS.//

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