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Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 19:46:24 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING,
SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100

WTPS32 PGTW 140300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25P (ESETA) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z5 --- NEAR 24.1S7 166.8W1
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 26 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 24.1S7 166.8W1
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
141200Z8 --- 28.1S1 160.0W7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 33 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
150000Z6 --- 33.3S9 155.4W5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
140300Z8 POSITION NEAR 25.1S8 165.1W3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 25P (ESETA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 425 NM
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 132330Z2
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC 25P IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A RAPID EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK. THE SYSTEM
HAS CONTINUED A RAPID WEAKENING TREND, INTERACTING WITH A DEVELOPING
MID-LATITUDE LOW NORTH OF NEW ZEALAND, TRAVELING ALONG THE
ASSOCIATED FRONT POLEWARD. TC 25P IS ALMOST EXTRATROPICAL, AND WILL
COMPLETE THE TRANSITION IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE
DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP
AVIATION (AVN) ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 21 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON
THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN).
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 22P (ERICA) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW)FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.//

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