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Date: Sat, 08 Feb 2003 00:17:29 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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WTIO30 FMEE 080600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 1/10/20022003
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  08/02/2003 : WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF
POINT 14.8S/55.6E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 999 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
NE30:        SE30:
SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 14.9S / 55.2E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 15.0S / 54.8E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 15.7S / 54.0E FI=4.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=2.0+. POTENTIAL OF
INTENSIFICATION IS IMPORTANT, DUE TO A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE, A WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEAR AND A GOOD INFLOW IN
LOW LEVEL.=

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