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Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 15:47:52 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report=

AXPZ20 KNHC 162147
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN 16 FEB 2003

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W.

SPECIAL FEATURES...
NONE.

BASED ON 16/1800 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS...
..A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS JUST W OF THE AREA BUT IS AFFECTING
THE REGION.  1008 MB LOW IS NEAR 24N142W SLOWLY MOVING
EASTWARD.  THE SYSTEM IS DISPLAYING A NICE COMMA HEAD ON
SATELLITE PICTURES AND IS PROBABLY BEGINNING TO OCCLUDE.
COLD FRONT EXTENDS SE TO 22N140W THEN SW BEYOND 18N142W.
WARM FRONT STRETCHES OUT OF THE LOW CENTER TO THE NE ALONG
28N136W TO 29N128W.  WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COLD FRONT AND SIMILAR
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE LOW CENTER.
..HIGH PRESSURE NOSES INTO THE AREA FROM THE N BETWEEN THE LOW
AND BAJA CALIFORNIA WITH A RIDGE AXIS FROM 30N124W THROUGH
24N120W SE TO 18N109W.

INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 16/2115 UTC...

ITCZ...
AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 6N78W
6N85W 3N96W 4N115W 9N137W 7N140W.  WIDELY SCATTERED
MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF AXIS FROM 82W-86W.
ISOLATED MODERATE IS WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 135W-140W AND
87W-91W.  DISSIPATING MODERATE CONVECTION IS NEAR 4N115W.

ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N...
NONE.

$$
BLAKE

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