

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Wed, 02 Apr 2003 22:27:35 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32ERRBc052340	for <[email-masked]>;
Wed, 02 Apr 2003 22:27:29 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h327hPsS030000; Wed,
02 Apr 2003 08:14:08 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release          1.8d) with spool id 1795131 for
[email-masked]; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:13:46 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.9/8.12.9) with ESMTP id h32EDjeQ007842
for          <[email-masked]>; Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:13:45 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h32EDHid020028
for          <[email-masked]>; Wed,
02 Apr 2003 08:13:17 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit)
id          h32EDH2L020027 for [email-masked]; Wed,
02 Apr 2003 08:13:17 -0600 (CST)
Date: Wed, 02 Apr 2003 08:13:17 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXX, Probability=30%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING,
SPAM_PHRASE_01_02, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100

WTXS31 PGTW 021500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z5 --- NEAR 11.3S5 118.5E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 11.3S5 118.5E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z3 --- 11.7S9 117.3E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z6 --- 12.3S6 116.0E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z4 --- 13.0S4 114.6E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z7 --- 13.7S1 113.5E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 11.4S6 118.2E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SUMBA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
021130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY
IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 50 AND 55
KNOTS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES SYSTEM ORGANIZATION HAS CONTINUED
TO IMPROVE OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH 36 HOURS UNDER THE STEERING
INFLUENCE OF THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. AFTER
36 HOURS, TC 26S IS FORECAST TO SLOW DOWN SLIGHTLY AND TRACK MORE
SOUTHWEST TOWARDS A WEAKNESS DEVELOPING IN THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE. TC
26S IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE UNDER A
FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, WITH ENHANCED POLEWARD OUTFLOW,
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF UKMET
GLOBAL (EGRR), NCEP AVIATION (AVN), AFWA MM5, GFDN, NOGAPS, AND THE
AUSTRALIAN GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH
THIS SCENARIO. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE
AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 AND 031500Z9. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.