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Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 09:04:30 -0500
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING,
SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100

WTXS31 PGTW 071500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 019
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
071200Z0 --- NEAR 18.3S2 114.8E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 114.8E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
080000Z8 --- 20.0S2 116.6E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 22.0S4 119.2E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
071500Z3 POSITION NEAR 18.7S6 115.2E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
071130Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 65 KNOTS.
ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED
EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 26S SHOULD CONTINUE
TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE
WESTERLIES AND MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. THE
CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING UNDER UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR AND SHOULD DISSIPATE IN 18 TO 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS OVER
LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH OUR
FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND
A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 071200Z0 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0, 080300Z1 AND
080900Z7.//

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