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Date: Thu, 30 Jan 2003 23:22:47 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW: South Pacific Ocean/310600zjan2003/010600zfeb2003//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC
ABPW10 PGTW 310600
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/310600ZJAN2003/010600ZFEB2003//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310151ZJAN2003//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 1.0N1
156.0E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 310000Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR
22.1S5 168.1E6, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA,
HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 310300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 24.1S7 165.5W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.7S4 164.9E0,
APPROXIMATELY 760 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PAGO PAGO, TUTUILA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) REMAINS, WITH DEEP CONVECTION TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE LLCC. 200 MB ANALYSIS DEPICTS WEAK TO MODERATE
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN/NUTONGLA//

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