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Date: Wed, 26 Feb 2003 11:42:30 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES

ABIO10 PGTW 261800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN/261800Z/271800ZFEB2003//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZFEB2003//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 261500Z4, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 19S WAS LOCATED NEAR
21.4S7 39.2E4, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST OF MADAGASCAR, TRACKING
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE
REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 261500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17.5S3
118.7E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.3S1 118.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM
NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
SPORADIC WEAK CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY. A 261338Z3 SSM/I PASS
INDICATES A POSSIBLE WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
LITTLE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS PLACES THE AREA
EQUATORWARD OF THE RIDGE AXIS UNDER MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22.5S9
42.4E0 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA
2.A.(1) FOR DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF.
FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/RONSSE/ANDERSON//

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