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Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2003 00:06:57 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western
And/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC
ABPW10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600ZJAN2003//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151ZJAN2003//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) (1) AT 260000Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (BENI) LOCATED NEAR
12.2S5 161.8E6, APPROXIMATELY 180 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HONIARA,
SOLOMON ISLANDS, HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY NORTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS GUSTING TO 50
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 260300) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6
175.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.8S3 177.5E0, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), HOWEVER THE DEEP CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES
FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WESTERN QUADRANT OF AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/NUTONGLA//

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