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Date: Sun, 05 Jan 2003 01:29:28 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Africa):
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report=

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 050700
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE REMNANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) IS OVER LAND
NEAR 14.7S2 38.7E8 AND TRACKING TOWARD THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST,
APPROXIMATELY 120 NM WEST OF THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FAIRLY ORGANIZED, SMALL
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PERSISTS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE REGION IS UNDER A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW PATTERN ASSOCIATED
WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AND A PASSING LONGWAVE TROUGH. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED FAIR AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1).
FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/LAM/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA//

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