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Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 13:48:20 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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WTXS31 PGTW 312100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (DELFINA) WARNING NR 003
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
311800Z3 --- NEAR 16.1S8 40.4E8
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 40.4E8
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z7 --- 16.1S8 39.3E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z0 --- 16.2S9 38.3E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
312100Z7 POSITION NEAR 16.1S8 40.1E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S (DELFINA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 18 NM
EAST OF MOZAMBIQUE OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, HAS TRACKED WEST AT
06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED
ON 311730Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 311725Z9 SSM/I
PASS. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF 3.5 (55 KTS) AND THE SSM/I PASS DEPICTING POSSIBLE EYE
FEATURE DEVELOPMENT. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING OVER THE MOZAMBIQUE
CHANNEL SHOULD PROVIDE A WESTWARD STEERING ENVIRONMENT THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z3 IS 10 FEET.
NEXT WARNING AT 010900Z0.//

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