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Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 12:58:11 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western
And/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXII, Probability=32%, Report=SUBJ_HAS_SPACES

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC
ABPW10 PGTW 241900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND/
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN REISSUED/241900Z/250600ZJAN2003//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) A BROAD CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 13.0S4 162.0E9,
APPROXIMATELY 230 NM SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS. ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASING ORGANIZATION AND DEEP
CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. RECENT TROPICAL RAINFALL
MEASURING MISSION (TRMM) AND QUIKSCAT PASSES INDICATE THAT THE BROAD
CIRCULATION IS CONSOLIDATING. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT
THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ENVIRONMENT, WITH
WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) AS FAIR AREA.
FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/INGRAM/RONSSE/ANDERSON/MENEBROKER//

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