

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:47:29 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.5/8.12.5) with ESMTP id h143lMBF009397	for <[email-masked]>;
Tue, 04 Feb 2003 11:47:24 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h143XKDq038664; Mon,
03 Feb 2003 21:40:38 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release          1.8d)
with spool id 802819 for [email-masked]; Mon,
03 Feb 2003 21:40:38 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.3/8.12.3) with ESMTP id h143eaCw042522
for          <[email-masked]>; Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id h143eaid027343
for          <[email-masked]>; Mon,
03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit)
id          h143ea8M027341 for [email-masked]; Mon,
03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600 (CST)
Date: Mon, 03 Feb 2003 21:40:36 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Ocean Reissued/040330z/041800zfeb2003//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report=

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 040330
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN REISSUED/040330Z/041800ZFEB2003//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3S5
115.9E6, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.7S9 114.6E2 APPROXIMATELY 180 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF JAVA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS POORLY
DEFINED CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT WITH A POINT SOURCE
NEAR THE LLCC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.7S8
98.5E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 98.4E1, APPROXIMATELY 120 NM
NORTHEAST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED AND
RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE
200 MB ANALYSIS SHOWS GOOD DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION, THE
POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(2) TO FAIR.
FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/JACOBS/VAN LOAN//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.