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Date: Mon, 06 Jan 2003 00:22:25 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW:    A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None.
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC
ABPW10 PGTW 060600
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 2.0N2 163.0E0,
APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTH OF KOSRAE. MULTISPECTRAL ANIMATION
INDICATES STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENCE NORTH OF A
POTENTIAL LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC DATA AND A RECENT QUIKSCAT
PASS SUPPORT A NEAR EQUATORIAL TROUGH EXTENDING EAST-WEST IN THE
VICINITY. UPPER AIR ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE OUTFLOW ALOFT IS
ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.4S6
135.4E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8S1 134.0E8, OVER LAND IN AUSTRALIA
APPROXIMATELY 170 NM EAST OF DARWIN. MULTISPECTRAL ANIMATION
INDICATES WEAKENING CONVECTION IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER
AIR ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE LLCC REMAINS UNDER A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO
30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. SEE
REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 060100) FOR THE CANCELLATION REMARKS. THE
POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/WAUGMAN/KUMAGA/NUTONGLA//

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