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Date: Sun, 16 Feb 2003 21:45:15 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=, Probability=0%, Report=

AXPZ20 KNHC 170345
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON 17 FEB 2003

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W.

SPECIAL FEATURES...
NONE.

BASED ON 17/0000 UTC SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS...
..THE SECOND SIGNIFICANT LOW OF THE SEASON HAS MOVED INTO THE
AREA.  1004 MB LOW IS NEAR 23.5N140W SLOWLY MOVING ENE.  THE
LOW HAS AN IMPRESSIVE SIGNATURE ON SATELLITE WITH A GOOD
COMMA SHAPE.  THE SYSTEM HAS OCCLUDED WITH A FRONT TIGHTLY
CURVED CLOCKWISE FROM THE LOW CENTER TO 25N139W THEN INTO THE
TRIPLE POINT NEAR 24N138W.  BRANCHING FROM THE TRIPLE POINT..
A WARM FRONT EXTENDS NE ALONG 28N136W TO 29N132W WHILE A COLD
FRONT STRETCHES SW TO BEYOND 17N140W. WIDELY SCATTERED
WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF THE COLD FRONT N
OF 18N FANNING TO THE NE TO A BAND ABOUT 120 NM WIDE NEAR THE
TRIPLE POINT. SCATTERED WEAK/MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60
NM OF 25N139W.
..A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO WITH
AXIS FROM 30N120W SE TO 15N105W.

INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 17/0315 UTC...

ITCZ...
AXIS OF ITCZ-RELATED CLOUDS/CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 5N78W
5N85W 3N96W 3N125W 6N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION
IS WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W-90W.  ISOLATED WEAK/MODERATE
WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 135W.

ELSEWHERE SOUTH OF 32N...
A FEW SHOWERS BETWEEN 6N-10N BETWEEN 130W-140W.

$$
BLAKE

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