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Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 20:31:51 -0500
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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WTXS31 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
080000Z8 --- NEAR 19.8S8 115.2E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S8 115.2E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z1 --- 21.0S3 115.6E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
090000Z9 --- 22.8S2 117.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.1S3 115.3E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
072330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY
IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55
KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE TO THE SOUTHEAST, LEAVING THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) FULLY EXPOSED. THE LLCC HAS TRACKED ALMOST
DUE SOUTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, AND LANDFALL IS NOW FORECAST
FURTHER TO THE WEST, BETWEEN ONSLOW AND KARRATHA. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC
AIDS ARE NOW WIDELY DISPARATE WITH RESPECT TO MOTION OF TC 26S OVER
LAND. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS,
GIVEN THE NOW FULLY EXPOSED LLCC, AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080900Z7, 081500Z4 AND 082100Z1. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.//

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