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Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 03:38:16 -0500
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report=LINES_OF_YELLING,
SPAM_PHRASE_02_03, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY, UPPERCASE_75_100, __UPPERCASE_75_100

WTXS31 PGTW 070900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 018
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
070600Z3 --- NEAR 17.5S3 113.8E3
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5S3 113.8E3
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z6 --- 19.3S3 115.3E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
OVER WATER
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
080600Z4 --- 21.3S6 117.9E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
081800Z7 --- 23.2S7 120.6E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
070900Z6 POSITION NEAR 17.9S7 114.2E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 260 NM
NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
070530Z5 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS.
VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS THE DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED EAST OF THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 26S SHOULD CONTINUE TRACKING
SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES AND
MAKE LANDFALL WEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. THE CYCLONE IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING UNDER UNFAVORABLE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND SHOULD DISSIPATE IN 24 TO 36 HOURS AS IT TRACKS OVER LAND. THE
AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH OUR FORECAST
TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE AND A
CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 070600Z3 IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3, 072100Z0,
080300Z1 AND 080900Z7.//

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