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Date: Wed, 28 Jan 2004 09:03:33 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N:  Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 281200

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 4/7/20032004
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/28 AT 1200 UTC :
14.2S / 64.4E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.5/3.5 /D  2.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 982 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 150   SE: 300   SO: 300   NO: 150

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/29 00 UTC: 15.2S/64.0E, MAX WIND=055KT .
24H: 2004/01/29 12 UTC: 16.2S/63.8E, MAX WIND=065KT .
36H: 2004/01/30 00 UTC: 16.8S/63.4E, MAX WIND=065KT .
48H: 2004/01/30 12 UTC: 17.2S/63.0E, MAX WIND=080KT .
60H: 2004/01/31 00 UTC: 17.5S/62.7E, MAX WIND=080KT .
72H: 2004/01/31 12 UTC: 17.8S/62.3E, MAX WIND=085KT .

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=3.5+.
UPPER LEVELS CONDITIONS  ALLOWS TO EXPECT A RAPID INTENSIFICATION.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO TRACK GENERALY SOUTHWARD, THEN IT IS EXPECTED
TO SLOW DOWN DUE TO THE BUILDING MID LEVEL RIDGE IN THE SOUTH.

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