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Date: Thu, 01 Jan 2004 12:13:38 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 011800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN/011800Z-021800ZJAN2004//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010751JAN2004//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011451JAN2004//
NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING, REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE/
FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 010600Z7, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (DARIUS) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 16.9S6 58.8E1, APPROXIMATELY 220 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS,
AND WAS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS.
SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 010900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED OVERLAND IS NOW LOCATED
NEAR 16.4S1 123.1E7, JUST OFF THE WEST COAST OF AUSTRALIA. RECENT MICROWAVE
AND ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER HAS MOVED OVER WATER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 998 MB.
SEE REF B (WTXS22 PGTW 011500 COR) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
UPGRADED TO GOOD.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF.
FORECAST TEAM: FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/JACOBS/SPANSKI/VOHS//

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