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Date: Wed, 24 Mar 2004 08:37:56 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, __UPPERCASE_75_100 0,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, __HAS_MSGID 0, __SANE_MSGID 0, __TO_MALFORMED_2 0'

WTXS33 PGTW 241500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WARNING NR 003
03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
241200Z9 --- NEAR 8.7S5 56.1E2
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 8.7S5 56.1E2
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z7 --- 9.0S9 55.8E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
241500Z2 POSITION NEAR 8.8S6 56.0E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 21S, IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 835 NM NORTHEAST
OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR IN THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN, AND HAS BEEN
QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS
BASED ON 241130Z1 MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON A RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. RECENT ANIMATED
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT A SINGLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) CONTINUES TO BE VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE, WHICH IS CONCLUSIVE
EVIDENCE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS YET TO BEGIN TO DEVELOP. UPPER LEVEL
AND SATELLITE ANALYSIS SHOWS THAT THE SYSTEM HAS DISSIPATED DUE TO
HIGH WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY VERTIAL WIND SHEAR AND LACK OF CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 12FEET.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THIS AREA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT SO THE REMNANTS WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S
(FAY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (OSCAR) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

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