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Date: Mon, 08 Mar 2004 18:22:10 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 090024
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 28/9/20032004
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9  (GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/09 AT 0000 UTC :
19.1S / 42.4E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.0/3.0 /D  0.5/18 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 987 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 450   SE: 250   SO: 500   NO: 500

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1300
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/09 12 UTC: 20.2S/42.1E, MAX WIND=050KT.
24H: 2004/03/10 00 UTC: 21.5S/42.7E, MAX WIND=055KT.
36H: 2004/03/10 12 UTC: 22.9S/43.7E OVERLAND.
48H: 2004/03/11 00 UTC: 23.8S/44.5E OVERLAND.
60H: 2004/03/11 12 UTC: 24.1S/45.2E OVERLAND.
72H: 2004/03/12 00 UTC: 24.5S/46.0E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=3.0+. GOOD POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION. STRONGEST WINDS ARE
LOCATED
IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. GAFILO SHOULD TRACK MORE
SOUTHEASTWARDS.GAFILO
IS FORECASTED TO LAND A SECOND TIME OVER THE SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR,
DURING
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.=

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