

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Fri, 02 Jan 2004 23:37:57 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i02FdBLv027668	for
<[email-masked]>; Fri, 02 Jan 2004 23:39:12 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i014Shcd080650; Fri,
02 Jan 2004 09:32:52 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release          1.8e)
with spool id 408654 for [email-masked]; Fri,
02 Jan 2004 09:32:52 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i02FWpD1038858
for <[email-masked]>; Fri, 02 Jan 2004 09:32:51 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id i02FWVnN002496
for          <[email-masked]>; Fri,
02 Jan 2004 09:32:31 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit)
id          i02FWVoO002495 for [email-masked]; Fri,
02 Jan 2004 09:32:31 -0600 (CST)
Date: Fri, 02 Jan 2004 09:32:31 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTXS32 PGTW 021500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 003
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
021200Z5 --- NEAR 16.5S2 119.3E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.5S2 119.3E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z3 --- 16.6S3 117.5E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z6 --- 16.7S4 116.1E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z4 --- 16.9S6 115.0E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z7 --- 17.1S9 114.0E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
051200Z8 --- 17.5S3 112.6E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM
---
REMARKS:
021500Z8 POSITION NEAR 16.5S2 118.8E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 245 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PORT HEDLAND, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION
IS BASED ON 021130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY.
THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25, 30 AND 30 KNOTS. TC 08S IS EXPECTED
TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST ALONG THE NORTHWEST
PERIPHERY OF A MID LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
SYSTEM. TC 08S IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT.
RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) APPROXIMATELY 70 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF
NCEP GFS, UKMET (EGRR), WBAR AND THE BETA ADVECTION MODELS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 022100Z5, 030300Z6, 030900Z2 AND 031500Z9. REFER
TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (DARIUS) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.