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Date: Mon, 02 Feb 2004 00:31:00 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Storm Warning For Metarea Vii
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO24 FMEE 020600
SECURITE
STORM WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 02/02/2004 AT 0600
UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 025/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE).

STORM WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY    02/02/2004 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 6 (ELITA) 985 HPA
POSITION:           19.2S / 42.5E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES
EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT:          QUASI-STATIONARY 2 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY
UP TO 300 NM FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

STORM FORCE WINDS 50 KT AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH SEAS WITHIN 25 NM RADIUS OF
THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 120 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT.
GALE FORCE WINDS 35/45 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 35 NM RADIUS
OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 180 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT.
NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS
OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300 NM IN THE WESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE AND
IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2004/02/02 AT 18 UTC:
19.3S / 43.0E, MAX WIND = 50 KT.
24H, VALID 2004/02/03 AT 06 UTC:
19.7S / 43.6E, MAX WIND = 55 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
ELITA IS UNDER GOOD CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP.
STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE
WELL ESTABLISHED MONSOON FLOW  IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CHANNEL.

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