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Date: Thu, 05 Feb 2004 01:00:14 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 050600 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 35/7/20032004
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/05 AT 0600 UTC :
19.9S / 69.9E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.5/5.0 /W  0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 945 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 85 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 400   SE: 400   SO: 250   NO: 350
50 KT       NE: 120   SE: 100   SO: 100   NO: 120

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 1000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/05 18 UTC: 20.9S/70.1E, MAX WIND=080KT .
24H: 2004/02/06 06 UTC: 22.3S/71.0E, MAX WIND=070KT .
36H: 2004/02/06 18 UTC: 23.0S/71.3E, MAX WIND=060KT .
48H: 2004/02/07 06 UTC: 23.8S/71.9E, MAX WIND=050KT .
60H: 2004/02/07 18 UTC: 24.8S/72.4E, MAX WIND=045KT .
72H: 2004/02/08 06 UTC: 26.0S/73.1E, MAX WIND=040KT .

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS INCREASING.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF A
TROUGH.=

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