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Date: Sat, 21 Feb 2004 15:05:25 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC
ABPW10 PGTW 212100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/
AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/212100Z-220600ZFEB2004//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/212021ZFEB2004//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.8S4
172.0E0, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2S9 172.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 340
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF DEEP CONVECTION
OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS. EARLIER QUIKSCAT IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER UNDER THE CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS PUTS THE AREA IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD
DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 212030Z) FOR
MORE INFORMATION. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD
FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/NOREN/VOHS//

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