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Date: Sun, 01 Feb 2004 00:40:52 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 010600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 25/6/20032004
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6  (EX-ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/01 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.8S / 43.0E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 996 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 120   SE: 100   SO: 100   NO: 200

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/01 18 UTC: 18.2S/42.6E, MAX WIND=035KT.
24H: 2004/02/02 06 UTC: 17.0S/42.9E, MAX WIND=035KT.
36H: 2004/02/02 18 UTC: 16.7S/43.7E, MAX WIND=035KT.
48H: 2004/02/03 06 UTC: 17.6S/45.0E OVERLAND.
60H: 2004/02/03 18 UTC: 18.3S/46.5E OVERLAND.
72H: 2004/02/04 06 UTC: 19.1S/48.0E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
GOING BACK OVER WARM WATERS OF MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, EX-ELITA SHOULD
FIND
AGAIN GOOD CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION.=

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