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Date: Sun, 14 Mar 2004 11:01:22 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

ABIO10 PGTW 141800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN /141800Z-151800ZMAR2004//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15.0S6 91.9E9,
APPROXIMATELY 350 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, HAS
PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL AND
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) TO THE EAST OF CYCLING DEEP
CONVECTION. RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A RECENT
QUIKSCAT PASS ALSO INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN LLCC. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
RELEASED BY: LT BRYANT, USN.
FORECAST TEAM: BRYANT/NOREN/ANDERSON//

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