

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Thu, 29 Jan 2004 01:45:26 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i0SHjLXW043012	for
<[email-masked]>; Thu, 29 Jan 2004 01:45:22 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i0S4V4al028118; Wed,
28 Jan 2004 11:34:12 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release          1.8e)
with spool id 781022 for [email-masked]; Wed,
28 Jan 2004 11:34:11 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i0SHYAD1059170
for <[email-masked]>; Wed, 28 Jan 2004 11:34:10 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id i0SHXAnN015936
for          <[email-masked]>; Wed,
28 Jan 2004 11:33:11 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit)
id          i0SHXAZn015934 for [email-masked]; Wed,
28 Jan 2004 11:33:10 -0600 (CST)
Date: Wed, 28 Jan 2004 11:33:10 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

ABIO10 PGTW 281800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN/281800Z-291800ZJAN2004//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/281651ZJAN2004//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280751ZJAN2004//
REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/280451ZJAN2004//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS. REF C IS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 281200Z3, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (ELITA) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 15.5S1 45.7E6, APPROXIMATELY 225 NM NORTHWEST OF
ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09
KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS GUSTING TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW
281500 COR) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 280600Z6, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10S (FRANK) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 13.2S6 64.8E8, APPROXIMATELY 570 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA,
TRACKING SOUTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS GUSTING TO 65
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 280900) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0S6
89.5E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.0S7 90.2E1, APPROXIMATELY 1075 NM
EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. A MICROWAVE PASS AT 281327Z3 REVEALS A LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ON THE NORTHEASTERN EDGE OF THE CYCLING
DEEP CONVECTION. 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. RELEASED BY: CAPT KENDALL, USAF.
FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/KLINZMANN/VOHS//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.