

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Fri, 12 Mar 2004 21:06:40 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i2CD6mEe090396	for
<[email-masked]>; Fri, 12 Mar 2004 21:06:49 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i2CCC7E3062726; Fri,
12 Mar 2004 07:01:27 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release          1.8e) with spool id 1504033 for
[email-masked]; Fri, 12 Mar 2004 07:01:22 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i2CD1LD1042718
for <[email-masked]>; Fri, 12 Mar 2004 07:01:21 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id i2CD1L9Z011773
for          <[email-masked]>; Fri,
12 Mar 2004 07:01:21 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit)
id          i2CD1L5q011771 for [email-masked]; Fri,
12 Mar 2004 07:01:21 -0600 (CST)
Date: Fri, 12 Mar 2004 07:01:21 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 121305
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 41/9/20032004
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 9  (EX-GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/12 AT 1200 UTC :
21.9S / 46.3E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL THREE
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1500
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/13 00 UTC: 22.3S/47.2E FILLING UP.
24H: 2004/03/13 12 UTC: 22.9S/48.1E DISSIPATING.
36H: 2004/03/14 00 UTC: DISSIPATED.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
EX-GAFILO SLOWLY FILLS UP AND CONVECTION IS COMPLETELY DISORGANIZED.
HOWEVER, THE CENTRE OF THE BROAD AND RESIDUAL CIRCULATION REMAINS
VISIBLE
ON THE ANIMATED IMAGERY.
EVEN IF THE CIRCULATION CENTRE IS LED TO GO BACK TO SEA, THE SYSTEM
WOULD
HAVE LITTLE CHANCE TO REINTENSIFY AS IT WOULD ENCOUNTER UNFAVORABLE
CONDITIONS OF VERTICAL WINDSHEAR.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.