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Date: Mon, 02 Feb 2004 00:45:26 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 020600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 29/6/20032004
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 6  (ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/02 AT 0600 UTC :
19.2S / 42.5E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.5/3.5 /D  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 985 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 500   SE: 150   SO: 500   NO: 500
50 KT       NE:       SE: 050   SO: 050   NO: 200

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1300
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/02 18 UTC: 19.3S/43.0E, MAX WIND=050KT.
24H: 2004/02/03 06 UTC: 19.7S/43.6E, MAX WIND=055KT.
36H: 2004/02/03 18 UTC: 20.3S/44.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, OVERLAND.
48H: 2004/02/04 06 UTC: 21.1S/44.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, OVERLAND.
60H: 2004/02/04 18 UTC: 21.7S/46.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, OVERLAND.
72H: 2004/02/05 06 UTC: 22.3S/48.3E, MAX WIND=035KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=3.5
ELITA EVOLVES IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO ITS INTENSIFICATION.
EXTENSION OF WINDS ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA OF THIS MORNING 0313Z.=

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