

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Sun, 07 Mar 2004 02:13:58 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i26IE0Om086083	for
<[email-masked]>; Sun, 07 Mar 2004 02:14:02 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i26621JR077156; Sat,
06 Mar 2004 12:11:09 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release          1.8e) with spool id 1408594 for
[email-masked]; Sat, 06 Mar 2004 12:11:09 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.10/8.12.10) with ESMTP id i26IB8D1044898
for <[email-masked]>; Sat, 06 Mar 2004 12:11:08 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.12.6/8.12.6) with ESMTP id i26IB79Z029962
for          <[email-masked]>; Sat,
06 Mar 2004 12:11:08 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.6/8.12.6/Submit)
id          i26IB7Z2029960 for [email-masked]; Sat,
06 Mar 2004 12:11:07 -0600 (CST)
Date: Sat, 06 Mar 2004 12:11:07 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 061813
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 19/9/20032004
1.A VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 9  (GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/06 AT 1800 UTC :
15.0S / 51.5E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 7.0/7.0 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 895 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 125 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 600   SE: 550   SO: 500   NO: 600
50 KT       NE: 200   SE: 200   SO: 180   NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1200
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/07 06 UTC: 15.4S/49.7E, MAX WIND=100KT, OVERLAND.
24H: 2004/03/07 18 UTC: 16.6S/48.0E OVERLAND.
36H: 2004/03/08 06 UTC: 18.0S/46.6E OVERLAND.
48H: 2004/03/08 18 UTC: 20.0S/45.2E OVERLAND.
60H: 2004/03/09 06 UTC: 22.0S/45.2E OVERLAND.
72H: 2004/03/09 18 UTC: 24.0S/46.2E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=7.0+.
THE EYE REMAINS CIRCULAR AND WELL DEFINED, WITH A DIAMETER OF 16 NM.
THE CENTRE SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL IN VICINITY OF ANTALAHA, FOR THE END
OF
NEXT NIGHT.
DURING THE EYE CYCLE, AN EXTERNAL RING HAS FORMED (SSMI DATA)
ANNOUNCING
A WEAK DIMINUTION OF STRONGER WINDS.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.