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Date: Fri, 20 Feb 2004 16:22:20 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC
ABPW10 PGTW 202200
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/
AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/202200Z-210600ZFEB2004//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
7.3N0 142.6E3, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8N0 140.6E1,
APPROXIMATELY 195 NM NORTHEAST OF THE ISLAND OF YAP.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS
DISORGANIZED, CYCLING CONVECTION OCCURRING OVER A WEAK
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSES
INDICATES A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK DIFFLUENCE AND
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 15.6S2 172.7E7 APPROXIMATELY
350 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SUVA, FIJI, HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST
12 HOURS. EARLY VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS INCREASING CONVECTION OVER
A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF GOOD DIFFLUENCE AND WEAK TO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED A POOR TO PARA 2.B.(1) AND UP-
DATED PARA 1.B.(1).
FORECAST TEAM: KENDALL/WAUGAMAN/VOHS/FUNK//

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