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Date: Fri, 12 Mar 2004 08:29:12 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 121217

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 8/10/20032004
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 10  (HELMA)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/12 AT 1200 UTC :
19.7S / 85.5E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/3.5 /W  1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 985 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 180   SE: 180   SO: 180   NO: 180

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA 8.A VERTICAL
EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/13 00 UTC: 20.4S/84.5E, MAX WIND=030KT.
24H: 2004/03/13 12 UTC: 21.6S/83.4E, MAX WIND=030KT.
36H: 2004/03/14 00 UTC: 23.7S/82.6E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2004/03/14 12 UTC: 25.4S/81.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL.
60H: 2004/03/15 00 UTC: 27.2S/80.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
72H: 2004/03/15 12 UTC: 29.0S/79.0E DISSIPATING.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=2.5+, CI=3.5-.
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE CLEARLY APPEARS ON THE IMAGERY IN THE
NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE RESIDUAL CONVECTION. HELMA IS STRONGLY
NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED. THE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR SHOULD INCREASE AS THE SYSTEM
TRACKS POLEWARDS.

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