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Date: Thu, 18 Mar 2004 10:59:55 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, __UPPERCASE_75_100 0,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000, __HAS_MSGID 0, __SANE_MSGID 0, __TO_MALFORMED_2 0'

ABIO10 PGTW 181800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN/181800Z-191800ZMAR2004//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR/180751ZMAR2004//
AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 180600Z5 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (FAY) WAS
LOCATED AT 13.2S6 126.4E3, APPROXIMATELY 635 NM NORTHEAST OF PORT
HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, AND HAD BEEN QUASISTATIONARY OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65
GUSTING TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 180900) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
16.5S2 83.0E1, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.6S3 73.3E3, APPROXIMATELY
530 NM SOUTH OF DIEGO GARCIA. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY INDICATES A
WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION IS WEAK AND CYCLIC. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS MODERATELY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT WITH WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
RELEASED BY: CAPT LEEJOICE, USAF.
FORECAST TEAM: LEEJOICE/DIXON/RONSSE/TINOCO//

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