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Date: Sat, 07 Feb 2004 06:13:50 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 071223
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 50/6/20032004
1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 6  (EX-ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/07 AT 1200 UTC :
25.8S / 52.7E
(TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 992 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE:       SE: 450   SO: 450   NO: 400

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/08 00 UTC: 26.5S/53.3E EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2004/02/08 12 UTC: 27.2S/53.1E EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2004/02/09 00 UTC: 27.4S/52.2E EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2004/02/09 12 UTC: 27.4S/51.1E EXTRATROPICAL.
60H: 2004/02/10 00 UTC: DISSIPATED.
72H: 2004/02/10 12 UTC: DISSIPATED.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
MODELS DIFFER A LOT ABOUT THE FORECASTED TRACK. THEY ALL MAKE IT SLOW
ON
ERRATIC TRAK, BUT IN DIFFERENT DIRECTIONS, FOLLOWING THE STRONGEST
INFLUENCE OF THE MONSOON FLOW OR THE INFLUENCE OF THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH
BUILDING IN THE SOUTHWEST.=

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