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Date: Sat, 03 Jan 2004 02:26:41 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTXS31 PGTW 030900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (DARIUS) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
030600Z9 --- NEAR 22.0S4 58.2E5
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 22.0S4 58.2E5
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
031800Z2 --- 24.6S2 58.8E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z0 --- 28.0S0 60.1E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
041800Z3 --- 31.7S1 62.3E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z1 --- 36.7S6 65.1E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 22.7S1 58.3E6.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (DARIUS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM
EAST OF LA REUNION, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
CURRENT SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45, 55 AND 65 KNOTS. TC
06S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS. TC 06S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AND TRANSITION TO AN
EXTRATROPICAL LOW AS IT LINKS UP WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY PASSING
SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR. TC 06S WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION
BY 48 HOURS AND ACCELERATE RAPIDLY TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE FORECAST
IS BASED ON A BLEND OF NOGAPS, UKMET (EGRR), GFDN, NCEP GFS AND
WBAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 AND 040900Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S
WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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