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Date: Wed, 28 Jan 2004 18:20:02 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 290000

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 6/7/20032004
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/29 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.3S / 63.8E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.5/4.5 /D  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 970 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 180   SE: 280   SO: 200   NO: 120
50 KT       NE: 040   SE: 040   SO: 040   NO: 040

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 700 KM 8.A
VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/29 12 UTC: 16.1S/63.2E, MAX WIND=065KT.
24H: 2004/01/30 00 UTC: 16.7S/62.7E, MAX WIND=070KT.
36H: 2004/01/30 12 UTC: 17.0S/62.3E, MAX WIND=075KT.
48H: 2004/01/31 00 UTC: 17.3S/62.0E, MAX WIND=080KT.
60H: 2004/01/31 12 UTC: 17.5S/61.5E, MAX WIND=085KT.
72H: 2004/02/01 00 UTC: 17.7S/61.1E, MAX WIND=085KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=4.5-.
A SMALL, VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IR IMAGERY, HAS FORMED DURING LAST HOURS. THE
SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD, THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOW
DOWN DUE TO THE BUILDING MID LEVEL RIDGE IN THE SOUTH.

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