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Date: Fri, 05 Mar 2004 11:37:45 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Ocean/051800z-061800zmar2004//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

ABIO10 PGTW 051800
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN/051800Z-061800ZMAR2004//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050751Z MAR 04//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 050600Z1, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GAFILO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 13.5S9 56.7E8, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM NORTH OF
MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT
90 KNOTS GUSTING TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 050900)
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 15P (EVAN) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
18.0S9 119.4E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.6S5 118.5E5, APPROXIMATELY
110 NM NORTH OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY
INDICATES A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE AREA IS MARGINABLY FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN.
FORECAST TEAM:  MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SPANSKI//

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