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Date: Sat, 06 Mar 2004 11:33:43 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian/
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

ABIO10 PGTW 061800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/
OCEAN/061800Z-071800ZMAR2004//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060751Z MAR 04//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 060600Z2, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 16S (GAFILO) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 14.6S1 53.4E2, APPROXIMATELY 410 NM NORTHWEST OF
MAURITIUS, AND HAD TRACKED WEST AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 060900) FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE REMNANTS OF TC 15P (EVAN) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
18.6S5 118.5E5, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.0S0 116.3E1, APPROXIMATELY
150 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA. RECENT SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATES INTERMITTENT CONVECTION. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY
INDICATES A DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE AREA IS MARGINABLY FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
RELEASED BY: LT MOHAMMED, USN.
FORECAST TEAM:  MOHAMMED/DIXON/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/HEILER//

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