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Date: Sat, 31 Jan 2004 07:37:19 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 311200

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 16/7/20032004
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/31 AT 1200 UTC :
15.5S / 61.9E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 5.0/5.5 PLUS /W  1.0/18 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 940 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 180   SE: 230   SO: 180   NO: 230
50 KT       NE: 090   SE: 090   SO: 090   NO: 090

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A
VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/01 00 UTC: 16.1S/62.5E, MAX WIND=090KT.
24H: 2004/02/01 12 UTC: 17.0S/63.4E, MAX WIND=100KT.
36H: 2004/02/02 00 UTC: 18.0S/64.6E, MAX WIND=105KT.
48H: 2004/02/02 12 UTC: 19.0S/66.2E, MAX WIND=095KT.
60H: 2004/02/03 00 UTC: 19.3S/68.2E, MAX WIND=090KT.
72H: 2004/02/03 12 UTC: 19.8S/70.3E, MAX WIND=080KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM HAS LIGHTLY WEAKENED DUE TO THE COOLER SEAS (DUE TO ITS ALMOST
-STATIONNARITY AT THIS PLACE SINCE MORE THAN 24 HOURS). IT SEEMS TO HAVE
STARTED TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD. DURING NEXT DAYS IT SHOULD
TEMPORARILY AND SLOWLY RE-INTENSIFY AS IT TRACK SOUTHEASWARD.

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