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Date: Wed, 04 Feb 2004 01:58:05 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 040600 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 37/6/20032004
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 6  (ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/04 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.8S / 50.3E
(TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 /D  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 988 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 150   SE: 500   SO: 500   NO: 030

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A
VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/04 18 UTC: 26.2S/51.6E, MAX WIND=040KT .
24H: 2004/02/05 06 UTC: 27.3S/51.8E, MAX WIND=050KT .
36H: 2004/02/05 18 UTC: 28.0S/51.9E, MAX WIND=050KT .
48H: 2004/02/06 06 UTC: 28.8S/51.9E, MAX WIND=045KT .
60H: 2004/02/06 18 UTC: 29.3S/51.8E, MAX WIND=045KT .
72H: 2004/02/07 06 UTC: 30.0S/51.7E, MAX WIND=040KT , BECOMING
EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
PRESSURE RE-EVALUATED ACCORDING TO SHIPPING OBSERVATIONS.
THIS INORGANIZED SYSTEM ON SATELLITE IMAGERY EXISTS IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH
VERY LOW PRESSURES AND GENERATES STRONG WINDS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN
SECTOR.

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