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Date: Wed, 14 Jan 2004 03:28:06 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIII, Probability=33%, Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489,
HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 1.454, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001,
LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

AXPZ20 KNHC 140928
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED 14 JAN 2004

EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 32N TO THE EQUATOR...EAST OF 140W.

THE TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH OF THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER/TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER IS CONSIDERING
CHANGING THE FORMAT OF THIS PRODUCT. A SUMMARY OF THE PROPOSED
CHANGES AND AN EXAMPLE ARE POSTED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESS:
WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/NEWTWDFORMAT.SHTML. THE EVALUATION PERIOD WILL
END APRIL 30 2004.  DURING THIS PERIOD WE ENCOURAGE YOUR
COMMENTS OR SUGGESTIONS FOR IMPROVEMENTS. A LINK TO A FEEDBACK
FORM IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB SITE GIVEN ABOVE. YOUR FEEDBACK
WILL HELP US TO DETERMINE PRODUCT QUALITY...IF MODIFICATIONS ARE
NEEDED...AND WHETHER THE PROPOSED CHANGES WILL BE ADOPTED.

SPECIAL FEATURES...
NONE.

SURFACE SYNOPTIC ANALYSIS VALID 14/0600 UTC...
..A 1024 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTER IS NEAR 30N124W.  A RIDGE
EXTENDS SW ALONG 25N130W TO 21N140W.
..A WEAKENING COLD FRONT ENTERS THE AREA NEAR 32N132W AND
EXTENDS SW ALONG 28N136W TO 25N140W.
..A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE SEA OF CORTEZ NEAR 26N110W THROUGH
A 1012 MB LOW CENTERED SW OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR
22N113W.  THE TROUGH CONTINUES S ALONG 18N111W TO 11N115W.
THE LOW IS MOVING NE NEAR 15 KT. AREAS OF RAIN AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE SPREADING NE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE BAJA PENINSULA...THE SEA OF CORTEZ AND INTO
MAINLAND MEXICO.

INTERPRETATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 14/0900 UTC...AXIS
OF ITCZ RELATED CLOUDS AND CONVECTION IS CENTERED ALONG 2N78W
4N96W 8N105W 5N130W 5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
WITHIN A 75 NM RADIUS OF 8N104W.

ELSEWHERE S OF 32N...
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE LOW
NEAR 22N114W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75
NM OF LINE ALONG 23N108W 18N108W 15N110W. AREAS OF RAIN AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE SPREADING N AND NE ACROSS THE BAJA
PENINSULA AND SEA OF CORTEZ S OF 27.5N.

$$
BROWN

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