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Date: Wed, 28 Jan 2004 14:05:07 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N:  Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIII, Probability=17%, Report='UPPERCASE_50_75 1.152,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001,
TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO30 FMEE 281800

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 11/6/20032004
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 6  (EX-ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/28 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.2S / 46.3E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 150   SE: 070   SO: 070   NO: 400
50 KT       NE: 020   SE: 020   SO: 040   NO: 040

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/29 06 UTC: 17.3S/47.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, OVERLAND.
24H: 2004/01/29 18 UTC: 18.6S/47.9E, MAX WIND=035KT, OVERLAND.
36H: 2004/01/30 06 UTC: 19.9S/48.6E, MAX WIND=025KT, OVERLAND.
48H: 2004/01/30 18 UTC: 20.5S/49.0E, MAX WIND=025KT.
60H: 2004/01/31 06 UTC: 20.9S/48.9E, MAX WIND=025KT.
72H: 2004/01/31 18 UTC: 21.3S/48.7E, MAX WIND=025KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS WEAKNENING RAPIDLY OVER LAND. IT HAS MADE LANDFALL JUST
SOUTH OF MAJENGA AT AROUND 14 H UTC.

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