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Date: Wed, 04 Feb 2004 15:56:21 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTXS31 PGTW 042100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (ELITA) WARNING NR 015
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z3 --- NEAR 25.9S6 49.4E7
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 25.9S6 49.4E7
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z1 --- 27.3S2 49.1E4
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
042100Z7 POSITION NEAR 26.2S0 49.3E6.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (ELITA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM
SOUTHWEST OF LA REUNION, HAS MOVED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041730Z5
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. TC 09S HAS
BEEN SHEARED APART AND ONLY THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
REMAINS. THE FULLY EXPOSED LLCC HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD IN RESPONSE
TO A PASSING LOW LEVEL RIDGE PASSING POLEWARD OF THE SYSTEM.
TC 09S IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
041800Z3 IS 18 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE
JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE
10S (FRANK) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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