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Date: Tue, 03 Feb 2004 18:16:18 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion
03/02/2004 At 1800
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
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Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XIIIIIIIII, Probability=19%,
Report='UPPERCASE_75_100 1.489, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
LINES_OF_YELLING 0.001, LINES_OF_YELLING_2 0.001, TO_BE_REMOVED_REPLY 0.000'

WTIO24 FMEE 031800
SECURITE
GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/02/2004 AT 1800
UTC. WARNING NUMBER: 029/06 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA) (INDICATIVE FIGURE).

GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY   03/02/2004 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        OVERLAND DEPRESSION 6 (EX-ELITA)
POSITION:          WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.5S / 47.4E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES
EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT:          EAST-SOUTH-EAST 10 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO
360 NM IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR, AND LOCALLY UP TO 500 MN IN THE SOUTHEASTERN
QUADRANT.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS ALONG THE EASTERN
AND WESTERN MALAGASY COASTS, UP TO 180 NM FROM THE COASTS BETWEEN  10S AND
30S, AND EXTENDING UP TO 300 NM BETWEEN 25S AND 30S, FROM 40E TO  55E.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2004/02/04 AT 06 UTC:
22.4S / 48.4E, MAX WIND = 40 KT.
24H, VALID 2004/02/04 AT 18 UTC:
23.3S / 49.7E, MAX WIND = 50 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
EX-ELITA IS NOW CROSSING MADAGASCAR, AND SHOULD REACH THE EASTERN MALAGASY
COAST BETWEEN THE TOWNS OF FARAFANGANA AND MANANJARY AROUND 0000Z, AND THEN
REINTENSIFY. STRONG WINDS EXTEND FAR FROM THE CENTRE DUE TO THE GRADIENT
EFFECT WITH THE WELL ESTABLISHED MONSOON FLOW  IN THE NORTH, AND DUE TO THE
GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH. NEAR GALE
FORCE WINDS BLOW IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL AND IN THE INDIAN OCEAN, ALONG
THE EASTERN MA LAGASY COAST.

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