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Date: Sun, 30 Jan 2005 08:26:40 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__FRAUD_419_LOC 0, __HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

ABIO10 PGTW 301430
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN REISSUED/301430Z-301800ZJAN2005//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/301351ZJAN2005//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3
71.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S2 69.4E9, APPROXIMATELY 730 NM
EAST-NORTHEAST OF MAURITIUS. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY DEPICTS
AN ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION AND
CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE OVER THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS REVEALS LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE
OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25
TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1002 MB. BASED ON IMPROVING ORGANIZATION THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO GOOD. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 301400)
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO GOOD.
FORECAST TEAM: ALPHA//

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