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Date: Thu, 03 Feb 2005 20:08:22 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
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TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 040200
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN REISSUED/040200Z-041800ZFEB2005//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031951ZFEB2005//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 031800Z2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S WAS LOCATED NEAR
23.0S5 58.0E3, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM SOUTHEAST OF LA REUNION,
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 032100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.5S0
117.8E7, APPROXIMATELY 500 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH,
AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A
CONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL INFLOW AND A
032158Z9 QUIKSCAT IMAGE SHOWS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED PARA 2.B.(1) AS A POOR AREA.
FORECAST TEAM: BRAVO//

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