

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Mon, 24 Jan 2005 08:21:40 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0O0LaIu089527	for
<[email-masked]>; Mon, 24 Jan 2005 08:21:37 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0NMkC3U048616; Sun,
23 Jan 2005 18:17:25 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release          1.8e)
with spool id 317248 for [email-masked]; Sun,
23 Jan 2005 18:17:24 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0O0HOw9013306
for <[email-masked]>; Sun, 23 Jan 2005 18:17:24 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.13.3/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0O0HG06006809
for          <[email-masked]>; Sun,
23 Jan 2005 18:17:16 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.13.3/8.12.11/Submit)
id          j0O0HGxF006808 for [email-masked]; Sun,
23 Jan 2005 18:17:16 -0600 (CST)
Date: Sun, 23 Jan 2005 18:17:16 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-LibAffairs-MailScanner: Found to be clean
X-MailScanner-From: [email-masked]
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO30 FMEE 240015

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 22/8/20042005
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 8  (ERNEST)

2.A POSITION 2005/01/24 AT 0000 UTC :
28.3S / 47.9E
(TWENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL
NINE
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.0/3.5 MOINS /W  1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 985 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 110   SE: 110   SO: 110   NO: 110
50 KT       NE: 020   SE: 020   SO: 020   NO: 020

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 300 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/24 12 UTC: 31.5S/51.8E, MAX WIND=050KT, BECOMING
EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2005/01/25 00 UTC: 34.9S/57.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2005/01/25 12 UTC: 38.8S/63.5E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2005/01/26 00 UTC: 42.5S/71.0E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
ERNEST  QUICKLY EVACUATES WITH THE TROUGH. IT SHOULD BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AN OTHER CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD STILL GENERATE
HEAVY
RAINFALLS OVER THE SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.