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Date: Sun, 09 Jan 2005 14:14:11 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO31 PGTW 092100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 005
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z8 --- NEAR 6.4N0 83.5E6
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N0 83.5E6
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z7 --- 6.7N3 83.7E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z0 --- 6.0N6 83.7E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z8 --- 5.8N3 81.7E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z1 --- 5.5N0 79.1E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z2 --- 5.3N8 74.2E3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
---
REMARKS:
092100Z2 POSITION NEAR 6.5N1 83.5E6.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST OF
COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091730Z0
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS.
RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED
DEEP CONVECTION OVER A DIFFICULT TO LOCATE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). THE SYSTEM IS VERY WEAK AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
WEAKENING. THE SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT
AND IS FORECAST TO PERSIST POLEWARD BEFORE TRACKING WESTWARD UNDER
THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE BUILDING FROM THE WEST. SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z8 IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPWIO31 PHNC FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4,
100900Z0, 101500Z7 AND 102100Z4.//

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