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Date: Fri, 21 Jan 2005 06:12:31 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion
21/01/2005
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO20 FMEE 211211
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/01/2005
AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 016/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY    21/01/2005 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9 (EX-DAREN) 998 HPA
POSITION:           16.9S / 64.8E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT
DEGREES
EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          WEST-SOUTH-WEST 13 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER, EXTENDING
UP TO
300 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI CIRCLE.

NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 30 NM
RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING UP TO 70 NM IN THE SOUTHERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/01/22 AT 00 UTC:
17.2S / 62.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/01/22 AT 12 UTC:
17.8S / 60.0E, MAX WIND = 28 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
DAREN UNDERGOES A MODERATE  NORTHNORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR. THE CENTER
REMAINS FULLY EXPOSED ON THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE RESIDUAL
CONVECTION
. THE SYSTEM IS MEETING DRY ENVIRONMENT UNFAVORABLE TO
REINTENSIFICATION.
IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING GENERALLY WEST TO
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS
ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES AND WEAKENING.
NWP
AGRRE TO TRACK IT IN THE VICINITY OF MASCAREIGNES ISLANDS.
STRONGER WINDS EXIST FAR IN THE SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO GRADIENT
EFFECT WITH SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.=

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