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Date: Wed, 19 Jan 2005 12:34:53 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__FRAUD_419_BADTHINGS 0, __HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO22 FMEE 191834
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/01/2005
AT
1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 005/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 19/01/2005 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 1004 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.4S / 47.9E
(TWELVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES
EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-WEST 11 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 07S AND 15S, FROM 43.5E TO 56.0E.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RAIUS
OF
THE ESTIMATED CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/01/20 AT 06 UTC:
13.8S / 46.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/01/20 AT 18 UTC:
15.3S / 45.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CENTRE AT 0600Z HAS BEEN RELOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST OF THE
CONVECTION.
ESTIMATED CENTRE IN THE NORTH OF MADAGASCAR, ROUGHLY 150 KM IN THE
NORTH
OF ANTSIRANANA. CONVECTION REMAINS MODERATE TO STRONG,  HOWEVER
ASSOCIATED WINDS REMAIN RATHER WEAK.
THIS LOW SHOULD TRACK SOPUTHWESTWARDS IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.=

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