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Date: Wed, 12 Jan 2005 06:01:28 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC
ABPW10 PGTW 121200
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN
/AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/121200Z-130600ZJAN2005//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZJAN2005//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 2.4N6 156.1E3,
APPROXIMATELY 375 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHUUK, HAS PERSISTED OVER
THE  PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS DEEP CONVECTION BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE OVER
A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). UW-CIMSS CHARTS
DEPICT INCREASING LOW LEVEL VORTICITY WITH THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND WEAK VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS EST-
IMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (KERRY) WAS LOC-
ATED NEAR 20.9S1 160.3E0, APPROXIMATELY 360 NM WEST-NORTHWEST
OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW
120300) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE:  ADDED PARA 1.B.(1) AS A POOR AREA.
FORECAST TEAM: BRAVO//

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