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Date: Sat, 29 Jan 2005 18:47:12 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 300100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN REISSUED/300100Z-301800ZJAN2005//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3S5
72.0E9, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S3 71.3E1, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA. RECENT QUIKSCAT IMAGERY SHOWED
AN ELONGATED AREA OF TURNING WITH TWO POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCU-
LATION CENTERS (LLCC). ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMA-
GERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS CONSOLIDATING OVER THE WESTERN
LLCC, AND THAT OVERALL ORGANIZATION OF THE SYSTEM IS IMPROVING.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND AND
GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. BASED ON IMPROVING ORGANIZATION,
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED PARA 2.B.(1) TO FAIR.
FORECAST TEAM: BRAVO//

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