

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Tue, 11 Jan 2005 22:20:51 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0BEKlZP069910	for
<[email-masked]>; Tue, 11 Jan 2005 22:20:48 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0BCxxFi085120; Tue,
11 Jan 2005 08:14:07 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release          1.8e)
with spool id 35055 for [email-masked]; Tue,
11 Jan 2005 08:14:07 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0BEE6QJ076474
for <[email-masked]>; Tue, 11 Jan 2005 08:14:06 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0BEE0J9006951
for          <[email-masked]>; Tue,
11 Jan 2005 08:14:00 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11/Submit)
id j0BEE0vC006950 for [email-masked]; Tue,
11 Jan 2005 08:14:00 -0600 (CST)
Date: Tue, 11 Jan 2005 08:14:00 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTPS31 PGTW 111500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08P (KERRY) WARNING NR 014
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
111200Z5 --- NEAR 20.5S7 159.9E4
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.5S7 159.9E4
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z3 --- 21.3S6 160.1E8
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z6 --- 22.2S6 159.7E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z4 --- 23.0S5 158.8E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
111500Z8 POSITION NEAR 20.7S9 160.0E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08P (KERRY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 380
NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-
EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSI-
TION IS BASED ON 111130Z7 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY.
THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55 KNOTS AND A SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING TREND
NOTED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
DECREASING CONVECTION AND DEEP INFLOW OF COOL, DRY AIR INTO THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 08P IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH-
WARD AND THEN SOUTHWESTWARD AFTER TAU 12 ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED
SOUTH AND WEST OF THE SYSTEM. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
STEADILY AND DISSIPATE BY TAU 36 AS IT TRACKS INTO AN ENVIRON-
MENT OF HIGHER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOL, DRY AIR. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 120300Z6 AND 121500Z9.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.