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Date: Wed, 16 Feb 2005 13:39:24 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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WTIO22 FMEE 161806
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2005 AT
1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 25/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 16/02/2005 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 1003 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.2S / 51.8E
(TWENTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES
EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT:          QUASI-STATIONARY 2 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 50 NM ET 120 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE
EASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM
RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 25/30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH
SEAS  UP TO 250 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN  QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/02/17 AT 06 UTC:
22.1S / 51.3E, MAX WIND = 20 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/17 AT 18 UTC:
21.9S / 50.9E, MAX WIND = 20 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS UNFAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION.
LOCATED AT PRESENT NORTH OF THE TROUGH, THE SYSTEM IS QUASISTATIONARY. IT
SHOULD TRACK  WESTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24  HOURS, ON THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH BUILDING IN THE SOUTHWEST, PROGRESSIVELY
FILLING UP.

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