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Date: Sun, 30 Jan 2005 22:11:34 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%,
Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 3.4, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2_1 0, __HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

AXPZ20 KNHC 310411
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON JAN 31 2005

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0315 UTC.

..ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 4N78W  6N110W  5N123W  7N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 115W TO 1`20W AND
WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS W OF 1135W.

..DISCUSSION...
W OF 100W...
DEEP LAYER POSITIVELY TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM WELL
DEFINED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER OVER NEW MEXICO THROUGH
30N114W TO 20N127W.  TROUGH STRONG ENOUGH TO FORCE PREVIOUSLY
WELL-ANCHORED HIGHLY AMPLIFIED RIDGE WITH AXIS NOW ALONG 92W.
MODERATE SUBSIDENCE WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH AXIS.
JET STREAM ON E SIDE OF TROUGH ADVECTING MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
TROPICAL MOISTURE NE ACROSS S BAJA CALIFORNIA...N HALF OF MEXICO
AND INTO TEXAS WITH CORE SPEEDS TOPPING 140 KT.
AT THE SURFACE...STRONG RIDGE EXTEND ALONG 130W PRODUCING
MODERATE TO STRONG NE TRADES ALONG WIDE SWATH OF E PAC ALONG ITS
PERIPHERY.

E OF 100W...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH VERY STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERED VIRTUALLY
ENTIRE AREA E OF 100W.

AT THE SURFACE...NE TO E WIND OF 20-25 KT OVER GULFS OF PAPAGAYO
AND TEHUANTEPEC SHOULD ABATE AS RIDGE IS PUSHED E WITHIN NEXT 24
HR.

$$
WALLY BARNES

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