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Date: Tue, 18 Jan 2005 20:14:45 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__FRAUD_419_LOC 0, __HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 190230
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN REISSUED/190230Z-191800ZJAN2005//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181952ZJAN2005//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.3N9
85.4E7, APPROXIMATELY 330 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA HAS DISSIPATED
AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 181800Z8, TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 11S WAS LOCATED NEAR
12.4S7 80.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 585 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA,
AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS GUSTING TO 55
KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 182100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.4S5
54.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S3 52.9E6, APPROXIMATELY 645 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF MAURITIUS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS
CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OVER AN ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES AN ENVIRONMENT OF LOW TO MODERATE
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND MODERATE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED AT 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNI-
FICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.9S4
100.5E6, APPROXIMATELY 265 SOUTHEAST OF COCOS ISLAND HAS DISSIPATED
AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: DOWNGRADED PARA 2.A.(1) AND 2.B.(2).
FORECAST TEAM: DELTA//

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