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Date: Wed, 09 Feb 2005 06:12:04 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO22 FMEE 091210
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 09/02/2005
AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 09/02/2005 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 1003 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.2S / 55.6E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX
DEGREES
EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-WEST 3 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING
UP TO
200 NM IN THE NORTHERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS
FROM
THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 25 KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE IN
THE
EASTERN  SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/02/10 AT 00 UTC:
18.4S / 54.9E, MAX WIND = 20 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/10 AT 12 UTC:
18.9S / 54.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
ACTIVITY REMAINS FLUCTUATING, AND UNTIL NOW, THE SYSTEM DOES NOT SEEM
TO
INTENSIFY. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY SOUTHWESTRWARDS ON
THE
WESTERN EDGE OF THE RIDGE.
SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.=

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