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Date: Tue, 08 Feb 2005 19:08:25 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Numero: 2/14 (sud-ouest De L'ocean Indien)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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WTIO21 FMEE 090005
METEO-FRANCE/CENTRE DES CYCLONES TROPICAUX DE LA REUNION
BMS MARINE LE 09/02/2005 A 0000 UTC.
NUMERO: 2/14 (SUD-OUEST DE L'OCEAN INDIEN)

VITESSES DU VENT MOYEN SUR 10 MINUTES EN NOEUDS (KT)
(LES RAFALES SUR MER PEUVENT EXCEDER D'ENVIRON 40% LA VALEUR DU VENT
MOYEN).
PRESSION MINIMALE AU NIVEAU DE LA MER EN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(VALEUR INDICATIVE).

AVERTISSEMENT
DEBUT DE VALIDITE: MERCREDI 09/02/2005 A 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENE:         PERTURBATION TROPICALE 14 1003 HPA
POSITION:           18.1S / 56.2E
(DIX-HUIT DEGRES UN SUD ET CINQUANTE-SIX DEGRES DEUX EST) A 0000 UTC
DEPLACEMENT:       STATIONNAIRE 0 KT

ZONES MENACEES:
TEMPS A GRAINS DANS UN RAYON DE 20 MN AUTOUR DU CENTRE, S'ETENDANT
JUSQU'A 180 MN DU CENTRE DANS LE QUADRANT NORD-EST.

CIRCULATION DEPRESSIONNAIRE 15/20 KT ET MER AGITEE PRES DU CENTRE,
ATTEIGNANT LOCALEMENT 25/30 KT ET MER FORTE DANS LE DEMI-CERCLE EST JUSQU
'A 90 MN DU CENTRE.
FORTES RAFALES SOUS GRAINS.

PREVISIONS: POSITION ET INTENSITE PREVUES:
A 12H POUR LE 09/02/2005 A 12 UTC:
18.3S / 56.0E, VENT MAX = 25 KT.
A 24H POUR LE 10/02/2005 A 00 UTC:
18.5S / 55.5E, VENT MAX = 25 KT.

INDICATIONS COMPLEMENTAIRES:
L'AMAS NUAGEUX ASSOCIE A CE SYSTEME NE PRESENTE PAS DE REELLE
ORGANISATION ET RESTE D'ACTIVITE FLUCTUANTE. IL EST MAINTENANT SITUE SUR
LE CENTRE DE BASSES COUCHES.
LE POTENTIEL D'INTENSIFICATION N'EST PAS IMPORTANT DANS L'IMMEDIAT.
LE SYSTEME DEVRAIT SE DIRIGER LENTEMENT VERS LE SUD-OUEST, EN LONGEANT LA
FACE OUEST DE LA DORSALE.
L'INTENSITE ACTUELLE DE CE SYSTEME NE NECESSITE PAS L'EMISSION DE
BULLETINS REGULIERS.

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