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Date: Mon, 10 Jan 2005 11:40:30 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
ABIO10 PGTW 101800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/101800Z-111800ZJAN2005//
REF/A/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100752ZJAN2005//
REF/B/MSG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/100751ZJAN2005//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 100600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B WAS LOCATED
NEAR 6.8N4 83.2E3, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI
LANKA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS
GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 100900) FOR THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.8N2 87.7E2,
APPROXIMATELY 475 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA. ANI-
MATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION ASSO-
CIATED WITH AN AREA OF BROAD TROUGHING. EARLIER MICROWAVE IMAGERY
ALSO INDICATES A BROAD TROUGH BUT NO CLEAR LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE AND
WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED AT 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A SIG-
NIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 100600Z7 TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 09S (SALLY) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 16.4S1 99.1E9, APPROXIMATELY 285 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
OF THE COCOS ISLANDS, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ES-
TIMATED AT 20 KNOTS GUSTING TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS31 PGTW
100900) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: ALPHA//

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