

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Sat, 15 Jan 2005 21:52:00 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0FDpurJ075963	for
<[email-masked]>; Sat, 15 Jan 2005 21:51:58 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0F3XS8a060062; Sat,
15 Jan 2005 07:48:27 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release          1.8e)
with spool id 129224 for [email-masked]; Sat,
15 Jan 2005 07:48:27 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0FDmQG1032900
for <[email-masked]>; Sat, 15 Jan 2005 07:48:26 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0FDmKM4020114
for          <[email-masked]>; Sat,
15 Jan 2005 07:48:21 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11/Submit)
id j0FDmKf5020113 for [email-masked]; Sat,
15 Jan 2005 07:48:20 -0600 (CST)
Date: Sat, 15 Jan 2005 07:48:20 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO31 PGTW 151500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 004
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
151200Z9 --- NEAR 4.9N3 86.5E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 4.9N3 86.5E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
160000Z7 --- 4.8N2 86.3E7
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
161200Z0 --- 4.8N2 86.1E5
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 01 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
170000Z8 --- 5.0N5 85.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
171200Z1 --- 5.3N8 85.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
181200Z2 --- 6.3N9 85.6E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
151500Z2 POSITION NEAR 4.9N3 86.5E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 410 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 151100Z8 MULTISPECTRAL SAT-
ELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SAT-
ELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS FROM ALL
AGENCIES. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MODERATE POLE-
WARD OUTFLOW AND CYCLING DEEP CONVECTION OFFSET TO THE
WEST OF A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC
02B IS FORECAST TO REMAIN RELATIVELY QUASI-STATIONARY FOR
THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT BALANCED
BY A LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND
WESTERLIES ALONG THE EQUATOR. TC 02B IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
TRACKING MORE POLEWARD LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT
INTERACTS WITH A TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. WEAK
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST AFTER TAU 36 AS THE SYSTEM BE-
GINS TO TRACK POLEWARD AND THE OUTFLOW IMPROVES. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z9 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO
WWIO31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 152100Z9, 160300Z0, 160900Z6 AND 161500Z3.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.