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Date: Tue, 01 Feb 2005 16:30:26 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%,
Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 3.4, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2_1 0, __HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

AXPZ20 KNHC 012230
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE FEB 01 2005

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2145 UTC.

..ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...4N77W  7N85W  5N112W  7N125W
5N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 101W TO 106W.

DISCUSSION...
W OF 105W...
DEEP LAYER LONGWAVE TROUGH COVERED AREA N OF 20N WITH MODERATE
TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE DRYING AIR MASS N OF 21N FROM 120W TO
135W.  BROAD SWATH OF TROPICAL MOISTURE N OF 10N E OF 120W
ADVECTING INTO CENTRAL MEXICO AND ITS GULF.  SHORT WAVE TROUGH
NEAR 25N 105W ENHANCING CONVECTION ACROSS S TIP OF TEXAS AND ERN
MEXICO WITH DIFFLUENT JET CORE INCREASING SPEEDS FROM 80 KT TO
ABOVE 100 KT.

AT HTE SURFACE...BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE COVERS E PAC S OF 10N
W OF 120W MAINTAINING STRONG WIND AROUND ITS PERIPHERY.

E OF 105W...
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH VERY STRONG SUBSIDENCE COVERED ENTIRE
AREA E OF 105W.  SUBSIDENCE PREVENTS ANY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ALONG ITCZ.  STRONG WIND CONTINUE ACROSS BOTH GULF OF PANAMA AND
GULF OF PAPAGAYO LIKELY TO REMAIN THROUGH NEXT 48 HRS.  GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS COLD FRONT CROSSES E OF 95W
IN SW GULF OF MEXICO.

$$
WALLY BARNES

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