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Date: Wed, 19 Jan 2005 13:11:59 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Securite
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO22 FMEE 191911 CCA
*************** CORRECTIVE **************
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/01/2005
AT
1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 005/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEAS LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 19/01/2005 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 1004 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.4S / 47.9E
(TWELVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SEVEN DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES
EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-WEST 11 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WHITHIN 200NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE MAINLY IN
THE
NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE, EXTENDING LOCALLY UP TO 300NM FROM THE
CENTRE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS
OF
THE ESTIMATED CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/01/20 AT 06 UTC:
13.8S / 46.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/01/20 AT 18 UTC:
15.3S / 45.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THIS SYSTEM HAS CURVED SOUTHWESTWARD,  ALONG THE NORTHERN EDGE OF
MADAGASCAR.
WINDS ARE WEAK AND THE MINIMAL PRESSURE REMAINS RATHER HIGH, BUT
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS IMPORTANT AND CAN GENERATES GUSTS AND HEAVY
RAINS
FAR FROM THE CENTRE.
POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION IS POOR.=

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