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Date: Wed, 16 Feb 2005 06:16:12 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
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WTIO22 FMEE 161215
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 16/02/2005
AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 024/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 16/02/2005 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 1002 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.9S / 51.7E
(TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY ONE DECIMAL SEVEN
DEGREES EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-SOUTH-WEST 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING
UP
TO 300 NM IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 80 NM
RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH
SEAS
UP TO 200 NM FROM THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN  QUADRANT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/02/17 AT 00 UTC:
23.8S / 51.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/17 AT 12 UTC:
24.3S / 51.7E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE ENVIRONMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS NOT FAVOURABLE FOR AN
INTENSIFICATION.
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE SYSTEM RECENTLY SHIFTED
SOUTHWARDS
AT LOW SPEED, TRACKING TOWARDS THE TROUGH. STRONGEST WINDS EXTEND FAR
FROM THE CENTER IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE TO THE GRADIENT WITH
THE
SUBTROPICAL
HIGH PRESSURES.=

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