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Date: Sun, 13 Feb 2005 06:17:45 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO22 FMEE 131216
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2005
AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 015/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY    13/02/2005 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 1003 HPA
POSITION:           20.4S / 58.6E
(TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX
DEGREES
EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH 5 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING
UP TO
300 NM IN THE  EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS
OF
THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 25/30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS  IN THE EASTERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/02/14 AT 00 UTC:
22.0S / 58.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/14 AT 12 UTC:
22.9S / 56.7E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM IS VERY FLUCTUATNG AND POORLY
ORAGNIZED. A CLUSTER IS ALWAYS LOCATED EAST TO THE CENTRE.
THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARDS OVER THE LAST  HOURS, IT SHOULD
TRACK
SOUTHWESTWARDS AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH
PRESSURES.

SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.=

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