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Date: Wed, 19 Jan 2005 18:26:09 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO30 FMEE 200025

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 10/9/20042005
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9  (DAREN)

2.A POSITION 2005/01/20 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.3S / 72.7E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.0/3.0 /D  1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 988 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 060   SE: 090   SO: 090   NO: 060

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/20 12 UTC: 17.8S/70.0E, MAX WIND=050KT.
24H: 2005/01/21 00 UTC: 18.9S/67.3E, MAX WIND=050KT.
36H: 2005/01/21 12 UTC: 19.6S/64.8E, MAX WIND=045KT.
48H: 2005/01/22 00 UTC: 20.4S/62.2E, MAX WIND=040KT.
60H: 2005/01/22 12 UTC: 21.0S/59.9E, MAX WIND=040KT.
72H: 2005/01/23 00 UTC: 21.3S/57.5E, MAX WIND=040KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=3.0+
DAREN SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY ON
THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
WINDSHEAR IS WEAK, UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS GOOD, BUT WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY REVEALS A DRY ENVIRONMENT, AND MONSOON FLOW IS WEAK.
POTENTIAL
FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAINS LIMITED.=

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