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Date: Sun, 16 Jan 2005 14:58:07 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO31 PGTW 162100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
161800Z6 --- NEAR 5.1N6 85.6E9
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 5.1N6 85.6E9
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 5.4N9 85.6E9
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
171800Z7 --- 5.8N3 85.7E0
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z5 --- 6.4N0 85.9E2
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z8 --- 7.4N1 86.2E6
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z9 --- 9.2N1 86.7E1
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 5.2N7 85.6E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 360 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED
ON 161730Z8 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF
25 AND 30 KNOTS. ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAK LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF THE ASSOCIATED DEEP
CONVECTION. TC 02B IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY TRACK POLEWARD FOR THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT. AFTER TAU 24,
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING POLEWARD AND INTERACT
WITH AN APPROACHING TROUGH. TC 02B IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGH-
OUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE BY
THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 161800Z6 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA
HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 AND 172100Z1.//

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