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Date: Thu, 24 Feb 2005 03:53:22 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

ABIO10 PGTW 241000
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN REISSUED/241000Z-241800ZFEB2005//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.0S8 86.0E4,
APPROXIMATELY 805 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. RECENT MICROWAVE AND
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO
CONSOLIDATE AROUND A POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE LLCC IS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF VERY
FAVORABLE POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. 850 MB
VORTICITY HAS INCREASED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, HOWEVER IT IS ELON-
GATED AND NOT SYMMETRIC. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTI-
MATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADE PARA 2.B.(1) TO POOR.
FORECAST TEAM: CHARLIE//

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