

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Tue, 08 Feb 2005 00:21:31 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j17GLQmo051200	for
<[email-masked]>; Tue, 08 Feb 2005 00:21:28 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j17FxmL1004012; Mon,
07 Feb 2005 10:18:05 -0600
Received: by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.3)
with spool id          170677 for [email-masked]; Mon,
07 Feb 2005 10:18:04 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j17GI43c054926
for <[email-masked]>; Mon, 07 Feb 2005 10:18:04 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.13.3/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j17GHqMP013555
for          <[email-masked]>; Mon,
07 Feb 2005 10:17:52 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.13.3/8.12.11/Submit)
id          j17GHqfF013554 for [email-masked]; Mon,
07 Feb 2005 10:17:52 -0600 (CST)
Date: Mon, 07 Feb 2005 10:17:52 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-LibAffairs-MailScanner: Found to be clean
X-MailScanner-From: [email-masked]
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%,
Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 3.4, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2_1 0, __HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

AXPZ20 KNHC 071617
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON FEB 07 2005

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

..ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE 3N77W 5N105W 8N125W 5N140W.
WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FOUND WITHIN 45 NM OF
THE ZONE FROM 125W TO 135W.

OTHER CONVECTION...TROUGH FROM 15N115W TO 7N127W WITH WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM E OF TROUGH.

DISCUSSION...
WEST OF 100W...
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MAINTAINS STEADY ANTICYCLONIC FLOW W OF
131W WHILE SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALONG 128W JUST N OF ITCZ SLIDES
INTO BASE OF BROAD LARGE AMPLITUDE LONGWAVE TROUGH NOW ALONG W
CONUS COAST.  DRY AIR MID AND UPPER LEVELS WITH IMPLIED MODERATE
TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE W OF SHORTWAVE.  AT THE SURFACE...WEAK
TROUGH ALONG 15N120W TO 8N125W WITH WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION
WITHIN 90 NM W OF AXIS. ELSEWHERE...WELL ANCHORED BROAD RIDGE
DRIFTS SE THROUGH NEXT 24 HRS.

EAST OF 100W...
DRY AIR MASS ACROSS MID AND UPPER LEVELS DUE TO MODERATE TO
STRONG SUBSIDENCE ALOFT AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS IN POSITION
E OF 100W COVERING CENTRAL AMERICA...ENTIRE CARIBBEAN AND NW
PART OF S AMERICA.

AT THE SURFACE...WIND CONTINUES TO BLOW OVER CENTRAL AMERICA
ISTHMUS MAINLY ACROSS GULFS OF PAPAGAYO AND PANAMA.  NO
SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION ALONG ITCZ DUE TO DRYNESS OF AIRMASS.

$$
WALLY BARNES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.