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Date: Mon, 24 Jan 2005 06:37:35 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO30 FMEE 241210

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 24/8/20042005
1.A EXTRATROPICAL DEPRESSION 8  (EX-ERNEST)

2.A POSITION 2005/01/24 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 31.1S / 52.7E
(THIRTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 988 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 250   SE: 180   SO: 180   NO: 200
50 KT       NE: 020   SE: 020   SO: 020   NO: 020

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/25 00 UTC: 35.0S/58.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2005/01/25 12 UTC: 39.0S/65.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2005/01/26 00 UTC: 42.0S/72.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM ERNEST TRACKS SOUTHESTWARDS RATHER QUICKLY AND NOW SHOWS
EXTRA-TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. WINDS REMAIN STRONG, ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST
OF THE SYSTEM WITH THE GRADIENT EFFECT. WITH EXTRA-TROPICAL TRANSITION,
NEAR GALE  WINDS EXTENSION IS WIDER.

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