

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Fri, 21 Jan 2005 08:32:32 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx2.ust.hk (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0L0WSAo091200	for
<[email-masked]>; Fri, 21 Jan 2005 08:32:30 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0KLL8dk088356; Thu,
20 Jan 2005 18:26:05 -0600
Received: from LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU
(LISTSERV-TCP/IP release          1.8e)
with spool id 245330 for [email-masked]; Thu,
20 Jan 2005 18:26:05 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0L0Q4Dk014734
for <[email-masked]>; Thu, 20 Jan 2005 18:26:04 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j0L0Px16009881
for          <[email-masked]>; Thu,
20 Jan 2005 18:25:59 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11/Submit)
id j0L0PxCK009880 for [email-masked]; Thu,
20 Jan 2005 18:25:59 -0600 (CST)
Date: Thu, 20 Jan 2005 18:25:59 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO30 FMEE 210024

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 10/8/20042005
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 8  (ERNEST)

2.A POSITION 2005/01/21 AT 0000 UTC :
15.0S / 42.7E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL SEVEN
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.0/4.5 /W  0.5/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 970 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 150   SE: 120   SO: 100   NO: 100
50 KT       NE: 050   SE: 050   SO: 050   NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/21 12 UTC: 16.8S/41.8E, MAX WIND=070KT.
24H: 2005/01/22 00 UTC: 18.7S/41.3E, MAX WIND=065KT.
36H: 2005/01/22 12 UTC: 20.7S/41.2E, MAX WIND=060KT.
48H: 2005/01/23 00 UTC: 22.7S/41.3E, MAX WIND=050KT.
60H: 2005/01/23 12 UTC: 24.6S/41.7E, MAX WIND=045KT.
72H: 2005/01/24 00 UTC: 26.8S/43.0E, MAX WIND=040KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=4.0, CI=4.5-
ERNEST IS A SMALL SYSTEM, WITH A ROUGHLY 300 KM DIAMETER.
ERNEST IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS THEN SOUTHWARDS
IN
THE CHANNEL AND INTENSIFYING REGULARY.
JUAN DE NOVA SHOULD BE DIRECTLY CONCERNED IN THE NEXT HOURS.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.