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Date: Mon, 03 Jan 2005 15:49:59 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%,
Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 3.4, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2_1 0, __HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

AXPZ20 KNHC 032149
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON JAN 03 2005

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2115 UTC.

..ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS ALONG 4N77W 5N100W 7N120W 8N130W 8N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60-90 NM OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 118W AND 132W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 81W.

..DISCUSSION...

N OF 15N...
WELL-DEFINED MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE AREA N OF 15N
E OF 130W WITH ITS AXIS ALONG 123W. DRY AIR ALOFT IS LOCATED
8-10 DEGREES EITHER SIDE OF THE TROUGH AXIS. FURTHER
UPSTREAM...OVER THE NW PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA...FLOW IS
BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY AHEAD OF A RIDGE AXIS LOCATED ALONG 146W.
A STRONG JET WRAPS CYCLONICALLY AROUND THE TROUGH EXTENDING
THROUGH 32N137W TO 21N125W NE THROUGH CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA.
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT COVERS MOST OF MEXICO N OF 20N. AT THE
SURFACE A 1014 MB LOW IS LOCATED NEAR 28N116W WITH A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING FROM THE LOW TO 19N120W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE LOCATED
ALONG AND UP TO 240 NAUTICAL MILES SE OF THE FRONT. ALSO A
STRONG COLD FRONT IS LOCATED THROUGH 32N117W TO 24N125W. NW
WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE ARE LOCATED W OF THE FRONT.

S OF 15N...
LIGHT WINDS...MAINLY WESTERLY...COVER THE DEEP TROPICS. GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC WINDS ARE N TO NE 20 TO 25 KT AND OVER THE GULF OF
PAPAGAYO WINDS ARE NE 20 TO 30 KT.

$$
CAB

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