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Date: Mon, 31 Jan 2005 00:30:37 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO22 FMEE 310629
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 31/01/2005
AT
0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 016/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY    31/01/2005 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 (EX-FELAPI) 1000 HPA
POSITION:           22.2S / 50.5E
(TWENTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES
EAST
) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT:          NORTH 2 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE,MAINLY IN
THE
NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 60
NM
RADIUS OF THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/01/31 AT 18 UTC:
22.0S / 50.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/01 AT 06 UTC:
22.5S / 49.2E, MAX WIND = 20 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
EX-FELAPI HAS LOST IN ORGANIZATION. THERE ARE NO CLUSTERS CLOSE TO
THE
CENTRE. ITS MOVEMENT IS ALMOST STATIONARY. THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN
BETWEEN MADAGASCAR AND MASCARENES ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT 18 TO 24
HOURS,
WEAKENING, AND THEN TRACK SOUTHWARDS.=

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