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Date: Wed, 19 Jan 2005 06:24:17 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='DCC_BULK_LOW! 0,
LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671, __DCC_BODY 0, __DCC_FUZ1 0, __DCC_FUZ2 0,
__FRAUD_419_BADTHINGS 0, __HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO22 FMEE 191219
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/01/2005 AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 004/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 19/01/2005 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8 1004 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.1S / 49.3E
(ELEVEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          WEST 12 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS BETWEEN 07S AND 15S, FROM 43.5E TO 56.0E.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 20 NM RAIUS OF
THE ESTIMATED CENTRE. STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/01/20 AT 00 UTC:
11.3S / 47.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/01/20 AT 12 UTC:
12.6S / 46.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CENTRE AT 0600Z HAS BEEN RELOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CONVECTION.
ESTIMATED CENTRE IN THE NORTH OF MADAGASCAR, ROUGHLY 150 KM IN THE NORTH
OF ANTSIRANANA. CONVECTION REMAINS MODERATE TO STRONG,  HOWEVER
ASSOCIATED WINDS REMAIN RATHER WEAK.
THIS LOW SHOULD TRACK SOPUTHWESTWARDS IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

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