

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Tue, 15 Feb 2005 08:26:21 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j1F0QGkZ021272	for
<[email-masked]>; Tue, 15 Feb 2005 08:26:17 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j1EMoJ0S088462; Mon,
14 Feb 2005 18:20:56 -0600
Received: by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.3)
with spool id          322523 for [email-masked]; Mon,
14 Feb 2005 18:20:55 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j1F0KsM4012416
for <[email-masked]>; Mon, 14 Feb 2005 18:20:55 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.13.3/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j1F0KiTA014708
for          <[email-masked]>; Mon,
14 Feb 2005 18:20:44 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.13.3/8.12.11/Submit)
id          j1F0KhgN014705 for [email-masked]; Mon,
14 Feb 2005 18:20:43 -0600 (CST)
Date: Mon, 14 Feb 2005 18:20:43 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-LibAffairs-MailScanner: Found to be clean
X-MailScanner-From: [email-masked]
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO22 FMEE 150019
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 15/02/2005
AT
0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 018/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY   15/02/2005 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 1001 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.9S / 55.8E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT
DEGREES EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-WEST 4 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 80 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING
UP TO
400 NM IN THE  EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF
THE
CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS  FAR FROM THE CENTRE IN
THE
SOUTHEASTERN  SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/02/15 AT 12 UTC:
22.3S / 55.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/16 AT 00 UTC:
23.3S / 53.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE WEST-NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WINDSHEAR HAS WEAKEN, SO DEEP
CONVECTION
HAS INCREASED, BUT ALWAYS LOCATED EAST OF THE CENTRE.
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SLOWLY
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS AND PASSING THIS NIGHT ABOUT 30 NM SOUTH OF
REUNION
ISLANDS COAST AND THEN TO CONTINUE IN THIS DIRECTION WITHIN 36 TO 48
HOURS IN A UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT TO RE-INTENSIFY.
STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXTENDING FAR FROM THE CENTER IN THE
SOUTH-EASTERN
SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH
PRESSURES.

SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.