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Date: Sat, 12 Feb 2005 18:11:32 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTIO22 FMEE 130010
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 13/02/2005
AT
0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 014/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY    13/02/2005 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 1003 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.5S / 59.5E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES
EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-EAST 10 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING
UP TO
250 NM IN THE  NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS
OF
THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 25/30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS  IN THE EASTERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/02/13 AT 12 UTC:
20.6S / 59.7E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/14 AT 00 UTC:
21.8S / 59.2E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM IS VERY FLUCTUATNG AND POORLY
ORAGNIZED. A CLUSTER HAS REBUILT HOWEVER OVER LAST HOURS NORTH-WEST
OF
THE ESTIMATED CENTRE.
THE SYSTEM HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS, IT
SHOULD
TRACK POLEWARDS AROUND THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL
STEERING RIDGE.

SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.=

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