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Date: Tue, 22 Feb 2005 09:38:18 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
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X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=XXXIIIIIIII, Probability=38%,
Report='HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2 3.4, LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HASHBUSTER_BLOCK_V2_1 0, __HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

AXPZ20 KNHC 221538
TWDEP

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE FEB 22 2005

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM
EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...
AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1500 UTC.

..ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS ALONG 4N77W 3N85W 6N105W 6N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION.

DISCUSSION...
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS LOCATED N OF 25N W OF 133W. THE UPPER
LEVEL FLOW IS MOSTLY ZONAL FROM 10N TO 25N...WITH A 90-100 KT
JET FROM 22N140W TO 21N115W THEN NE INTO NORTHERN MEXICO NEAR
28N102W. MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS INDICATED FROM 20N-27N
W OF 120W.

MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS N OF 23N BETWEEN 130W AND 115W WITH
AXIS ALONG 32N121W 23N120W. MID/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE IS LOCATED
JUST N OF THE AREA OFF THE COAST OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA NEAR
POINT CONCEPTION.  ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDS FROM
THE NORTHERN  BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 32N116W TO 26N120W THEN WSW TO
24N130W. BROKEN TO OVERCAST COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS IS NW OF THE
TROUGH.

MID/UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS BEING ADVECTED NE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA INTO MEXICO WITHIN 360 NM SE OF
THE JET STREAM.

STRONG SUBSIDENCE AND DRY CONDITIONS ALOFT NOTED S OF 15N E OF
110W WHICH IS SUPPRESSING CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ.

MODERAT TO STRONG NE WINDS ARE SPREADING W ACROSS CENTRAL
AMERICA INTO THE E PACIFIC OFF THE COAST OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA
RICA.

$$
DGS

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