

by ims1.ust.hk (iPlanet Messaging Server 5.2 Patch 1 (built Aug 19 2002))
with ESMTPS id <[email-masked]> for alau@ims-ms-daemon
(ORCPT [email-masked]); Thu, 17 Feb 2005 04:49:07 +0800 (CST)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by mx1.ust.hk (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j1GKn3xV052979	for
<[email-masked]>; Thu, 17 Feb 2005 04:49:04 +0800 (HKT)
Received: from vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.113])
by vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j1GHW2Z3029528; Wed,
16 Feb 2005 14:39:52 -0600
Received: by LISTSERV.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 14.3)
with spool id          361562 for [email-masked]; Wed,
16 Feb 2005 14:39:52 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222])
by          vacuum.cso.uiuc.edu (8.12.11/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j1GKdofF043146
for <[email-masked]>; Wed, 16 Feb 2005 14:39:50 -0600
Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (localhost [127.0.0.1])
by delyte.lib.siu.edu          (8.13.3/8.12.11) with ESMTP id j1GKdb2A002912
for          <[email-masked]>; Wed,
16 Feb 2005 14:39:37 -0600 (CST)
Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.13.3/8.12.11/Submit)
id          j1GKdbf8002911 for [email-masked]; Wed,
16 Feb 2005 14:39:37 -0600 (CST)
Date: Wed, 16 Feb 2005 14:39:37 -0600
From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//
Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products
<[email-masked]>
To: [email-masked]
Reply-to: [email-masked]
Message-id: <[email-masked]>
Precedence: list
X-LibAffairs-MailScanner: Found to be clean
X-MailScanner-From: [email-masked]
X-Perlmx-Spam: Gauge=X, Probability=10%, Report='LINES_OF_YELLING_3 0.671,
__HAS_MSGID 0, __LINES_OF_YELLING 0, __SANE_MSGID 0'

WTPS31 PGTW 162100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18P (NANCY) WARNING NR 008
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
161800Z6 --- NEAR 23.9S4 161.2W0
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REPEAT POSIT: 23.9S4 161.2W0
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z4 --- 25.2S9 162.4W3
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
---
REMARKS:
162100Z0 POSITION NEAR 24.2S8 161.5W3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18P (NANCY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 180 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF RAROTONGA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 161730Z8
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 AND 45 KNOTS
WITH A 05 KNOT REDUCTION TO REFLECT A SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING TREND
AND FINAL-T ANALYSIS OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS. TC 18P HAS RAPIDLY WEAKENED
OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED ENHANCED WATER VAPOR AND
MICROWAVE IMAGERY REVEALS SIGNIFICANT REDUCTION IN DEEP CONVECTION
AND REFLECTS RAPID WEAKENING OF TC 18P. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER ALTHOUGH WELL ORGANIZED HAS BECOME DECOUPLED FROM THE
CONVECTION AND IS FULLY EXPOSED TO THE WEST OF THE REMAINING
CONVECTION. THE REMNANTS OF TC 18P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING
SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 09 FEET.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING
CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (OLAF) WARNINGS
(WTPS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.