Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -311505 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 31 Aug 1996 15:05:20 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 94768
WTPN32 PGTW 312100
1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 041
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   311800Z3 --- 30.5N8 143.6E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            130 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 143.6E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   010600Z7 --- 31.6N0 143.3E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            140 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   011800Z0 --- 32.8N3 143.6E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            130 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   020600Z8 --- 34.8N5 144.6E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            110 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   021800Z1 --- 36.8N7 146.2E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            110 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   031800Z2 --- 41.3N8 153.6E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            100 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
312100Z7 POSITION 30.8N1  143.5E3
TYPHOON ORSON (19W) CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD. ORSON
IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BETWEEN THE 24- AND THE 36-HOUR
FORECAST POSITION. ORSON IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK
INTENSITY BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO BEGIN
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BETWEEN THE 48- AND THE 72-HOUR
POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2),
010900Z0 (DTG 010755Z8), 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5) AND
012100Z4 (DTG 011955Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 311800Z ARE 22
FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK)
(WTPN31 PGTW 311500) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.//

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