Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -220324 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 22 Oct 1996 03:24:30 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 72621
WTPN31 PGTW 220900
1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   220600Z0 --- 19.3N3 147.6E8
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            010 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 147.6E8
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   221800Z3 --- 19.9N9 146.7E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            010 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   230600Z1 --- 20.5N7 145.7E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   231800Z4 --- 21.0N3 144.1E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            020 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   240600Z2 --- 21.3N6 142.1E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            025 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   250600Z3 --- 21.8N1 138.2E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            025 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
220900Z3 POSITION 19.5N5  147.4E6
TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
TOWARD THE NORTHERN MARIANAS. CARLO IS EXPECTED TO COME
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHICH WILL HINDER THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THE SYSTEM. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG
221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG
230153Z4) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0). MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

NNNN

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