Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -182112 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 18 Aug 1996 21:12:17 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 52812
WTPN31 PGTW 190300
1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 005
   UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   190000Z0 --- 17.4N2 125.6E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 125.6E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z3 --- 17.1N9 123.2E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z2 --- 17.0N8 121.1E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   201200Z5 --- 17.0N8 119.0E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   210000Z3 --- 17.1N9 117.0E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z4 --- 17.7N5 112.8E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
190300Z3 POSITION 17.3N1  125.0E8
TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
TOWARD THE ISLAND OF LUZON. NIKI IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY
AS IT APPROACHES LUZON. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED BETWEEN THE
12-HOUR AND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AS TS NIKI
PASSES OVER THE TOPOGRAPHY OF LUZON IT IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN. NIKI IS THEN FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY AS IT
REORGANIZES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT
190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2),
192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1).
MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190000Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW
FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

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