Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -090102 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 09 Sep 1996 01:02:05 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 24134
ABPW10 PGTW 090600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z SEP 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090151Z SEP 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090451Z SEP 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 090000Z9 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WAS
LOCATED AT 21.0N3 111.7E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON SALLY (23W)
WARNING NR 17 (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
14N5 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 133E7 AND IS THE
SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.
SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION  ALERT (WTPN22
PGTW 090500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
 (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
20N2 170E8 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
 (3) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 10N1 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 157E3.
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DECREASED CONVECTION.
SYNOPTIC AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THAT THIS
CIRCULATION IS VERY SMALL WITH ONLY WEAK WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH IT AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.
 (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
 2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG//

NNNN