Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -310023 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 31 Oct 1996 00:23:50 -0600

ZCZC DD+ 71473
ABPW10 PGTW 310600
MSID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z OCT 96/010600Z NOV 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/292021Z OCT 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 301800Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WAS LOCATED
AT 12.6N9 99.3E1, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W
WARNING NR 04 (WTPN31 PGTW 302100)) FOR FINAL WARNING
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 8N8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 148E3.SYNOPTIC
DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR THIS
CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL WATER VAPOR WINDS INDICATE THE
PRESENCE OF AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL
QUADRANTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA
OF CONVECTION INCREASED DRAMATICALLY DURING DIURNAL MAX,
BUT HAS SINCE WEAKENED WITH MINIMAL LOW- OR MID-LEVEL
ORGANIZATION. ENOUGH PERSISTENT CONVECTION REMAINS WITH
THIS SYSTEM THAT CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN
DURING DIURNAL MAX TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 06N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER
CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD//

NNNN

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