Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -251524 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 25 Oct 1996 15:24:37 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 46083
WTPN31 PGTW 252100
1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 020
   DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON CARLO (33W)
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   251800Z6 --- 33.7N3 150.6E2
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 25 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM SOUTH QUADRANT
                            020 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH QUADRANT
                            200 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 33.7N3 150.6E2
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   260600Z4 --- 37.4N4 154.7E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH QUADRANT
                            200 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   261800Z7 --- 40.5N9 160.1E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   270600Z5 --- 43.0N7 167.2E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 29 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   271800Z8 --- 44.8N6 174.9E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
   VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 32 KTS
    ---
   66 HRS, VALID AT:
   281200Z3 --- 47.3N4 171.8W7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
252100Z0 POSITION 34.6N3  151.6E3
TYPHOON CARLO (33W) HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL
STORM. CARLO=S POSITION IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. CARLO=S DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED
AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER, WHICH WILL GRADUALLY
DECREASE IN INTENSITY. EXTRATROPICAL TRNSITION
SHOULD BE COMPLETE BY 36 HOURS, AND FRONTAL MERGER WILL
OCCURE AFTER 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG
260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG
261351Z8) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4). MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

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