Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -220236 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 22 Oct 1996 02:36:24 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 36870
ABPW10 PGTW 220600 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z OCT 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220153Z OCT 96
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WAS
LOCATED AT 18.8N7 148.3E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM
CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 05 RELOCATED (WTPN31 PGTW 220300))
AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
 (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
     (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
7N7 142E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED
SUSPECT.
(2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 4N4
160E7. THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION SUPPORTED BY SYNOPTIC DATA WITH
DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT
FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS POOR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI//

NNNN

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