Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -111847 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 11 Sep 1996 18:47:58 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 94846
WTPN33 PGTW 112100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 001
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   111800Z1 --- 15.9N5 130.0E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 130.0E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z9 --- 16.4N1 129.1E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   121800Z2 --- 17.0N8 128.4E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   130600Z0 --- 17.7N5 127.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
112100Z5 POSITION 16.0N7  129.8E0
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TD 26W) HAS FORMED IN THE
PHILIPPINE SEA. SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED
OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A SLOW WEAKENING
TREND. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 900 NM WEST OF
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TD 25W), WHICH IS LOCATED EAST
OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. BOTH SYSTEMS ARE LOCATED
WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT
FOR DEVELOPMENT. TD25W (NEAR THE NORTHERN MARIANAS) IS
FAVORED AS THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION BY DYNAMIC MODELS AND
IS THE BASIS FOR OUR INTENSIFICATION FORECAST FOR TD26W.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120757Z2) AND 122100Z6
(DTG 121957Z5). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH
TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.  OTHERWISE,
36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED
EVERY 12 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111051Z SEP 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 111100 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW
FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION  24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION  25W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

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