Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140347 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:47:13 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 72632
WTPN31 PGTW 140900
1. TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNING NR 014
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   140600Z1 --- 18.8N7 114.0E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 114.0E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   141800Z4 --- 18.1N0 112.1E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   150600Z2 --- 17.4N2 110.0E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   151800Z5 --- 16.9N6 108.0E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   160600Z3 --- 16.6N3 105.9E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   170600Z4 --- 16.5N2 102.8E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
140900Z4 POSITION 18.6N5  113.5E0
TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED TO THE NORTH-
NORTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS A RESULT
OF STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR. THE SHEAR ON THE SYSTEM SHOULD PREVENT
INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W)
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND
TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1),
150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 12 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (WTPN32
PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

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