Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140112 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 14 Nov 1996 01:12:22 -0600

ZCZC DD+ 39741
ABPW10 PGTW 140600 COR
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z NOV 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131955Z NOV 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140157Z NOV 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 131800Z3 TYPHOON DALE (36W) WAS LOCATED AT
36.4N5 160.3E0, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 50 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING
NR 39 (WTPN31 PGTW 132100)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS
SYSTEM.
(2) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WAS
LOCATED AT 14.1N6 115.1E8, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13
KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM
ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN32 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8
176E4.  VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOW THAT THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY
24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA OF CONVECTION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/DEOCARIZA/UROGI//

NNNN

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