Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -061355 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 13:55:08 -0600

ZCZC DD+ 102093
WTPN32 PGTW 062100
1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 010
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   061800Z5 --- 11.8N0 123.1E7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 123.1E7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   070600Z3 --- 13.1N5 121.6E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   071800Z6 --- 13.9N3 120.0E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   080600Z4 --- 14.7N2 118.4E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   081800Z7 --- 15.3N9 117.1E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            100 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   091800Z8 --- 16.6N3 115.1E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            125 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
062100Z9 POSITION 12.1N4  122.7E2
TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS THROUGH THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. STEERING FLOW
INDUCED BY A COMBINATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS
AND THE MONSOON TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TS
ERNIE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD, ALTHOUGH MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN
AS TS ERNIE MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 061730Z7 SATELLITE IMAGERY
ANALYSIS INDICATING 45 KNOT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
(DVORAK T3.0). NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070157Z0),
070900Z6 (DTG 070757Z6), 071500Z3 (DTG 071357Z3) AND
072100Z0 (DTG 071957Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 061800Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE
(36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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