Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -310859 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 31 Aug 1996 08:59:40 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 111620
WTPN32 PGTW 311500
1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 040
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   311200Z7 --- 29.8N9 143.9E7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            120 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 143.9E7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   010000Z1 --- 30.4N7 143.1E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            120 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   011200Z4 --- 31.2N6 142.7E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            130 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z2 --- 32.0N5 142.8E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            140 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z5 --- 34.0N7 143.5E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            110 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   031200Z6 --- 39.1N3 149.5E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            025 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            100 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
311500Z0 POSITION 30.0N3  143.7E5
TYPHOON ORSON (19W) CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
TOWARD THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU. ORSON IS FORECAST TO
BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE 24- AND THE 36-HOUR
FORECAST POSITION AND TO INTENSIFY. AFTER THE 36-HOUR
FORECAST POSITION, ORSON IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING
NORTHEASTWARD AND TO WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4),
010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2), 010900Z0 (DTG 010755Z8) AND
011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 311200Z ARE 19
FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK)
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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