Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160845 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 16 Sep 1996 08:45:42 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 54682
WTPN33 PGTW 161500
1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 018
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   161200Z0 --- 20.5N7 126.5E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            150 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 126.5E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   170000Z8 --- 21.2N5 126.6E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            150 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   171200Z1 --- 22.9N3 126.8E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   180000Z9 --- 24.7N3 128.0E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z2 --- 26.1N9 129.7E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z3 --- 28.4N4 134.4E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            140 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
161500Z3 POSITION 20.7N9  126.5E4
TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT APPROXIMATELY
02 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES THIS
SYSTEM HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS AND HAS LOST SOME OF ITS ORGANIZATION, ALTHOUGH THE
EYEWALL REGION IS STILL WELL-DEFINED WITH A 20 NM
DIAMETER EYE. TY VIOLET IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING
NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN
NORTH-EASTWARD, PASSING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. WE
BELIEVE TYVIOLET HAS REACHED PEAK INTENSITY, ALTHOUGH IT
IS POSSIBLE THAT SMALL FLUCTUATIONS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS MAY
OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM CROSSES AND MOVES NORTH OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. BEYOND 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM
SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN SLOWLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0
(DTG 161957Z9), 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1), 170900Z7 (DTG
170757Z7) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171357Z4). MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER
TO TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

NNNN