Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190911 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 19 Oct 1996 09:11:08 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 60891
WTPN33 PGTW 191500
1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 025
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   191200Z3 --- 18.9N8 116.7E5
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 116.7E5
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   200000Z2 --- 18.9N8 115.1E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   201200Z5 --- 18.6N5 113.3E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   210000Z3 --- 18.2N1 111.7E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z6 --- 17.5N3 109.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z7 --- 15.9N5 106.2E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
191500Z6 POSITION 18.9N8  116.3E1
DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON BETH (32W) HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. THIS SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING
SHEAR AND OUTFLOW IS ALSO RESTRICTED IN ALL QUADRANTS
EXCEPT TO THE NORTHEAST. AN EYE IS NOT APPARENT IN
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT NUMEROUS VERY COLD,
OVERSHOOTING TOPS (-91 TO -94C) WERE NOTED NEAR THE
SYSTEM CENTER WHICH HAS KEPT US FROM TAKING BETH=S
INTENSITY DOWN EVEN MORE. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON
19/1130Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (75
TO 85 KNOTS) FROM JTWC AND KGWC, NO EYE FEATURE, AND A
CENTRAL COLD COVER CLOUD PATTERN. MINIMUM SEA- LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 967 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT
192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0), 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3),
200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 23 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION.//

NNNN

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