Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -310135 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 31 Aug 1996 01:35:07 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 71803
ABPW10 PGTW 310600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z AUG/010600Z SEP 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310155Z AUG 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310151Z AUG 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WAS
LOCATED AT 29.1N2 145.1E1, MOVING NNORTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W
WARNING NR 38 (WTPN32 PGTW 310300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) WAS
LOCATED AT 31.2N6 172.3E3 AND QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR
09 (WTPN31 PGTW 310300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 16N7 126E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND
IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
      (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 23N5 137E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER
CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
      (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 09N9
112E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE
PRESENCE OF A LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH
CONVERGENT WIND FLOW NEAR THE SURFACE. THIS MCC HAS
PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETRY DO NOT SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF
A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.
      (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/CAVALIERI/HAM/UROGI//

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