Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 26 Dec 1996 01:25:46 -0600

226
WTPS31 PGTW 260900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (PHIL) WARNING NR 006
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   260600Z4 --- 13.3S7 135.8E7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 135.8E7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   261800Z7 --- 13.2S6 133.6E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   270600Z5 --- 13.2S6 131.6E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   271800Z8 --- 13.5S9 129.5E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   280600Z6 --- 13.7S1 127.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
260900Z7 POSITION 13.3S7  135.3E2
TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (PHIL) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT
APPROXIMATELY 10 KNOTS. IT HAS MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE
WESTERN COASTLINE OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. IT IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN
TERRITORY, PASSING SOUTH OF DARWIN. IT SHOULD MOVE INTO
THE TIMOR SEA WITHIN 36 HOURS AND BEGIN TO REINTENSIFY.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6) AND 270900Z8
(DTG 270753Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
260600Z4 IS 14 FEET IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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