From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 31 20:15:53 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA11059; Wed, 31 Jul 96 20:15:53 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA07545; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 20:15:47 -0600 (MDT) Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK ([147.8.1.9]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <18912-3600>; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 10:14:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Q8W3L3HC009GDE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 16:57:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2381427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:26:42 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA138040 for ; Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:26:42 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47350 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:26:41 -0500 Date: Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:26:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -302126 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199607310226.AA47350@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55795 WTPN34 PGTW 310300 1. SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 24.0N6 124.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 425 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 124.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 25.1N8 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 405 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 26.2N0 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 310 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 27.0N9 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 280 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 27.7N6 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 28.5N5 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 24.3N9 124.1E8 SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. HERB HAS ACCELERATED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE MAINTAINING INTENSITY. THE EYE OF HERB IS FORECAST TO PASS JUST NORTH OF TAIWAN AND CONTINUE TOWARD THE EAST COAST OF CHINA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310755Z1), 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8), 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (IAN) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 310000Z ARE 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW BT #7797 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 1 02:54:38 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA13563; Thu, 1 Aug 96 02:54:38 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA29181; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 02:54:31 -0600 (MDT) Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK ([147.8.1.9]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <18918-3596>; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 16:53:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Q8W3L3HC009GDE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 17:08:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2381560 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:35:04 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA77916 for ; Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:35:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61318 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:35:01 -0500 Date: Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:35:01 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -302135 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199607310235.AA61318@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 53635 WTPN32 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 26.9N7 153.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.9N7 153.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 27.4N3 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 28.3N3 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 29.1N2 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 30.2N5 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 33.3N9 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 27.0N9 153.0E9 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. JOY IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AND TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9), 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0). REFER TO SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION (11W) (IAN) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 310000Z ARE 10 FEET. FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW.// BT #7799 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 1 03:06:37 1996 Received: from meeker.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA13652; Thu, 1 Aug 96 03:06:37 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by meeker.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Backup Central Post Office 04/22/91) id DAA03657; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 03:06:23 -0600 (MDT) Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK ([147.8.1.9]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <18923-3600>; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 17:05:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Q8W3L3HC009GDE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 17:00:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2382076 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:59:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA35008 for ; Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:59:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69345 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:59:12 -0500 Date: Tue, 30 Jul 1996 21:59:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -302159 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199607310259.AA69345@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 83166 WTPN21 PGTW 310300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 300729Z JUL 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300729Z JUL 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 300730)// RMKS/ 1. THIS CANCELS REF A. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOOSLEY ORGANIZED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS.// BT #7803 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 1 03:02:04 1996 Received: from meeker.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA13634; Thu, 1 Aug 96 03:02:04 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by meeker.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Backup Central Post Office 04/22/91) id DAA03639; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 03:02:02 -0600 (MDT) Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK ([147.8.1.9]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <18931-3596>; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 17:00:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Q8W3L3HC009GDE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 18:55:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2384925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 01:27:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA82948 for ; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 01:27:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63252 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 31 Jul 1996 01:27:44 -0500 Date: Wed, 31 Jul 1996 01:27:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -310127 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199607310627.AA63252@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 83985 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z JUL 96/010600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310155Z JUL 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/301951Z JUL 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310153Z JUL 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.0N6 124.8E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN34 PGTW 310300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 310600Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (IAN) WAS LOCATED AT 27.3N2 137.9E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (IAN) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN31 PGTW 302100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.9N7 153.1E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN32 PGTW 310300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 150E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 172E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/EDSON/DEOCARIZA/CROSS/BOYD// BT #7805 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 31 09:29:35 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA08004; Wed, 31 Jul 96 09:29:35 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA20972; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 09:29:24 -0600 (MDT) Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK ([147.8.1.9]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <19024-16881>; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 23:28:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Q8W3L3HC009GDE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 19:08:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2385397 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 02:38:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA123778 for ; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 02:38:31 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53547 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 31 Jul 1996 02:38:31 -0500 Date: Wed, 31 Jul 1996 02:38:31 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -310238 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199607310738.AA53547@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 82216 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z JUL 96/010600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310155Z JUL 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/301951Z JUL 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310153Z JUL 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.0N6 124.8E5, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 140 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 170 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) WARNING NR 32 (WTPN34 PGTW 310300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 310600Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (IAN) WAS LOCATED AT 27.3N2 137.9E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (IAN) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN31 PGTW 302100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.9N7 153.1E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN32 PGTW 310300) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 150E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 172E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/EDSON/DEOCARIZA/CROSS/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 31 22:56:09 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA11236; Wed, 31 Jul 96 22:56:09 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id WAA16468; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 22:56:02 -0600 (MDT) Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK ([147.8.1.9]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <18918-3596>; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 12:53:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Q8W3L3HC009GDE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 19:14:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2385510 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:16:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA103408 for ; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:16:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65454 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:16:13 -0500 Date: Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:16:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -310316 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199607310816.AA65454@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 76459 WTPN31 PGTW 310900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (IAN) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 28.5N5 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 28.5N5 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 29.1N2 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 29.6N7 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 28.7N7 137.8E9 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (IAN) IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER UNDER THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WIND FLOW FROM SUPER TYPHOON HERB (10W). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THIS SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO SUPER TYPHOON HERB (10W) (WTPN34 PGTW) BT #7804 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 1 02:18:09 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA13481; Thu, 1 Aug 96 02:18:09 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA27768; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 02:17:59 -0600 (MDT) Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK ([147.8.1.9]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <18923-3596>; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 16:17:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Q8W3L3HC009GDE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 19:15:00 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2385527 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:21:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA117108 for ; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:21:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53754 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:21:55 -0500 Date: Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:21:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -310321 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199607310821.AA53754@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 83959 WTPN34 PGTW 310900 1. TYPHOON HERB (10W) WARNING NR 033 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 24.1N7 123.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 425 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 123.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 24.8N4 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 405 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 25.5N2 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 310 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 26.0N8 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 280 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 27.0N9 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 28.3N3 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 24.3N9 123.3E9 SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. HERB HAS TAKEN A MORE WESTWARD TURN OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE EYE OF HERB PASSED JUST SOUTH OF THE ISLAND OF ISHIGAKIJIMA (STATION ID #47918) WHO REPORTED SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 93 KNOTS AT 944 MB. HERB IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WITH THE NORTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN AT THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8), 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4), 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010755Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (IAN) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 310600Z ARE 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #7803 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Jul 31 18:25:10 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10967; Wed, 31 Jul 96 18:25:10 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id SAA01598; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 18:25:05 -0600 (MDT) Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK ([147.8.1.9]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <18898-3594>; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 08:23:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Q8W3L3HC009GDE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 19:18:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2385689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:53:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA108154 for ; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:53:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA19975 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:53:33 -0500 Date: Wed, 31 Jul 1996 03:53:33 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -310353 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199607310853.AA19975@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 61700 WTPN32 PGTW 310900 1. TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 26.6N4 153.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N4 153.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 27.1N0 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 27.7N6 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 28.5N5 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 29.4N5 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 31.9N3 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 26.7N5 153.2E1 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. TROPICAL STORM JOY IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311353Z6), 312100Z7 (DTG 311953Z2), 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6). REFER TO SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 310600Z ARE 10 FEET. FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW.// BT #7802 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 1 02:18:23 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA13485; Thu, 1 Aug 96 02:18:23 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA27773; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 02:18:18 -0600 (MDT) Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK ([147.8.1.9]) by uxmail.ust.hk with ESMTP id <18918-3599>; Thu, 1 Aug 1996 16:17:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Q8W3L3HC009GDE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 19:22:01 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2385929 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 04:10:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA139086 for ; Wed, 31 Jul 1996 04:10:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68512 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 31 Jul 1996 04:10:26 -0500 Date: Wed, 31 Jul 1996 04:10:26 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -310410 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199607310910.AA68512@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 58781 WTPN34 PGTW 310900 COR 1. SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) WARNING NR 033 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 24.1N7 123.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 425 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 123.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 24.8N4 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 220 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 405 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 25.5N2 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 310 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 26.0N8 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 145 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 280 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 27.0N9 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 165 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 28.3N3 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 24.3N9 123.3E9 SUPERTYPHOON HERB (10W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. HERB HAS TAKEN A MORE WESTWARD TURN OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE EYE OF HERB PASSED JUST SOUTH OF THE ISLAND OF ISHIGAKIJIMA (STATION ID #47918) WHO REPORTED SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 93 KNOTS AT 944 MB. HERB IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WITH THE NORTHERN TIP OF TAIWAN AT THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8), 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4), 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010755Z8). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W (IAN) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 310600Z ARE 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #7806 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Aug 2 19:51:16 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA04153; Fri, 2 Aug 96 19:51:16 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA29409; Fri, 2 Aug 1996 19:51:12 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19030-8196>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 09:50:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA12708; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 09:48:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7U2D7748W00AHJD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 09:49:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2426724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 2 Aug 1996 20:50:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA54818 for ; Fri, 2 Aug 1996 20:49:02 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA35481 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 2 Aug 1996 20:49:01 -0500 Date: Fri, 02 Aug 1996 20:49:01 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -022049 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608030149.AA35481@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 76438 WTPN32 PGTW 030300 1. TYPHOON JOY (12W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 32.1N6 154.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.1N6 154.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 32.2N7 155.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 32.7N2 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 33.5N1 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 34.6N3 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 38.3N4 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 32.1N6 154.4E4 TYPHOON JOY (12W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS AND IS SLOWLY WEAKENING. A COMPLEX SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ORIENTATION IS ANTICIPATED TO SLOW THE FORWARD MOTION OF TY JOY WITHIN 24 HOURS. AN ANTICYCLONE IS FORECAST TO BUILD UP IN FRONT OF THE CURRENT PATH OF TY JOY WHICH SHOULD FORCE IT INTO A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION. IT IS THEN FORECAST TO BEGIN TRANSFORMATION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AND MERGE INTO THE OUTER CIRCULATION OF A DEVELOPING EXTRATROPICAL LOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8), 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1) AND 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 030000Z ARE 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #837 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 3 00:24:45 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA04593; Sat, 3 Aug 96 00:24:45 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA14164; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 00:22:18 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19049-8196>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 14:21:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA03966; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 14:19:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7UAM5J7LC009VDU@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 14:20:20 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2429155 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 01:18:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA150150 for ; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 01:09:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA80509 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 3 Aug 1996 01:09:47 -0500 Date: Sat, 03 Aug 1996 01:09:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -030109 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608030609.AA80509@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 81018 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030153Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030021Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TYPHOON JOY (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.1N6 154.2E2, MOVING EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON JOY (12W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN32 PGTW 030300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.8N7 139.3E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 136.14E1, AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 030021Z)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 08N8 119E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BAND OF DEEP AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION LYING OVER THE PHILIPPINES ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON DEPRESSION TO THE EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES (SEE PARAGRAPH 1.B.(1) IMMEDIATELY ABOVE). OUR SURFACE STREAMLINE ANALYSIS OF THE REGION INDICATES THIS CONVECTION IS BEING DRIVEN BY CONVERGENCE INTO THE AFOREMENTIONED MONSOON DEPRESSION. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A SECONDARY CIRCULATION MAY FORM IN THIS REGION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/UROGI// BT #7839 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 3 01:29:19 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA07322; Sat, 3 Aug 96 01:29:19 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA17857; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 01:29:13 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19051-8193>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 15:28:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA08391; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 15:26:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7UCDMGUW0009VHE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 15:27:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2429463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 02:28:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA118574 for ; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 02:28:32 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75478 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 3 Aug 1996 02:28:31 -0500 Date: Sat, 03 Aug 1996 02:28:31 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -030228 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608030728.AA75478@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 63187 WTPN32 PGTW 030900 1. TYPHOON JOY (12W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 32.0N5 154.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.0N5 154.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 32.0N5 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 32.3N8 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 33.1N7 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 34.2N9 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 36.0N9 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 32.0N5 154.9E9 TYPHOON JOY (12W) CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. IT HAS BEGUN TO SHOW SIGNS OF INCREASED SHEARING FROM STRONG UPPER LEVEL NORTHWESTERLIES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM THE PREVIOUS TWO WARNINGS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 031500Z9 (DTG 031353Z5), 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3) AND 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 030600Z ARE 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #7840 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 3 05:07:16 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA07578; Sat, 3 Aug 96 05:07:16 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id FAA25727; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 05:04:38 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18965-8197>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 19:03:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id TAA19387; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 19:01:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7ULOCK6XC00AJ0C@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 19:02:36 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2430069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 06:03:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id GAA123484 for ; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 06:03:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49618 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 3 Aug 1996 06:03:49 -0500 Date: Sat, 03 Aug 1996 06:03:49 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -030603 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608031103.AA49618@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 57039 WTPN21 PGTW 031100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 031051Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030021Z AUG 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 030030)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.8N5 134.2E0 TO 23.0N5 132.0E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 030830Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N2 133.9E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE MONSOON DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO SHIFT ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE ORGANIZING NEAR 18N9 133E7 WHICH PLACES THE SYSTEM OUTSIDE OF THE PREVIOUS TCFA BOX. THIS IS THE JUSTIFICATION FOR THE REISSUANCE OF THE TCFA. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE REGION CONTINUES TO BE GOOD WITH MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. BT #7841 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 3 07:43:58 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA07707; Sat, 3 Aug 96 07:43:58 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA03867; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 07:43:52 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19031-8197>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 21:43:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA26659; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 21:40:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7UOQA2AU8009TFZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 21:41:56 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2430827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 08:43:13 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA29108 for ; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 08:43:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA76767 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 3 Aug 1996 08:43:12 -0500 Date: Sat, 03 Aug 1996 08:43:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -030843 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608031343.AA76767@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55772 WTPN32 PGTW 031500 1. TYPHOON JOY (12W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 32.0N5 155.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.0N5 155.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 32.1N6 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 32.4N9 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 33.3N9 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 35.1N9 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 38.7N8 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 32.0N5 155.7E8 TYPHOON JOY (12W) CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. JOY IS FORECAST TO TAKE A NORTHWARD TURN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 031200Z ARE 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #7842 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 3 08:34:47 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA07742; Sat, 3 Aug 96 08:34:47 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id IAA06519; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 08:34:42 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19017-8193>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 22:34:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA29604; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 22:31:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7UOQA2AU8009TFZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 22:32:42 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2431002 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 09:34:08 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA108240 for ; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 09:34:08 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA74566 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 3 Aug 1996 09:34:07 -0500 Date: Sat, 03 Aug 1996 09:34:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -030934 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608031434.AA74566@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60227 WTPN32 PGTW 031500 COR 1. TYPHOON JOY (12W) WARNING NR 022A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031200Z6 --- 32.0N5 155.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.0N5 155.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 32.1N6 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 32.4N9 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 33.3N9 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 35.1N9 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 38.7N8 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 031500Z9 POSITION 32.0N5 155.7E8 TYPHOON JOY (12W) CONTINUES MOVING EASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. JOY IS FORECAST TO TAKE A NORTHWARD TURN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 032100Z6 (DTG 031953Z1), 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9) AND 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 031200Z ARE 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTION TO WIND RADII.// BT #7842 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 3 13:38:13 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA08049; Sat, 3 Aug 96 13:38:13 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA23008; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 13:38:07 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19059-8195>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 03:37:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA03729; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 03:35:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7V3M18YF400A37H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 03:36:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2432989 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 14:37:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA145100 for ; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 14:37:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58764 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 3 Aug 1996 14:37:26 -0500 Date: Sat, 03 Aug 1996 14:37:26 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -031437 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608031937.AA58764@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 62345 WTPN32 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 023 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON JOY (12W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 32.5N0 156.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.5N0 156.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 33.0N6 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 34.1N8 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 35.5N3 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 36.8N7 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 40.2N6 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 32.6N1 156.2E4 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM JOY IS FORECAST TO TAKE A MORE NORTHWARD TURN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040153Z3), 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 031800Z ARE 18 FEET. REFER TO BT #7845 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 3 14:14:49 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA08090; Sat, 3 Aug 96 14:14:49 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA25096; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 14:14:46 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19059-8197>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 04:14:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA04457; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 04:11:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7V3M18YF400A37H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 04:12:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2433677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 15:14:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA34670 for ; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 15:06:35 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57151 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 3 Aug 1996 15:06:34 -0500 Date: Sat, 03 Aug 1996 15:06:34 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -031506 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608032006.AA57151@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 45372 WTPN31 PGTW 032100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 031800Z2 --- 20.6N8 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 133.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 22.0N4 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 23.4N9 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 24.8N4 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 25.8N5 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 26.7N5 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 032100Z6 POSITION 20.9N1 133.4E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 13W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040300Z7 (DTG 040151Z1), 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4) AND 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 031051Z AUG 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 031100). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 031800Z ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #7846 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 3 19:09:00 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA08355; Sat, 3 Aug 96 19:09:00 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA12625; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 19:08:51 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18890-118>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 09:08:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA10886; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 09:05:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7VBG06NB400A4HH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 09:06:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2435093 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 20:08:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA104636 for ; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 20:07:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69548 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 3 Aug 1996 20:07:46 -0500 Date: Sat, 03 Aug 1996 20:07:46 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -032007 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608040107.AA69548@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60841 WTPN32 PGTW 040300 1. TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 024 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 32.8N3 155.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.8N3 155.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 33.5N1 155.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 34.4N1 155.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 35.4N2 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 36.7N6 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 40.0N4 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 33.0N6 155.6E7 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. IT MADE A SHARPER TURN TO THE NORTH THAN INDICATED ON THE PREVIOUS FORECAST, WHICH IS WHY THIS IS A RELOCATED WARNING. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING NORTH WHILE LOSING ITS IDENTITY AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE. UPPER LEVEL WINDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO SHEAR THE DEEP CONVECTION AWAY FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH IS EXPOSED. THE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA ARE COOL AND AS TS JOY MOVES FURTHER NORTH THE COOLER WATER SHOULD QUICKLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM. OUR FORECAST IS FOR TS JOY TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 48 HOURS (060000Z6) AND MERGE INTO THE DEVELOPING BAROCLINIC LOW MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040753Z9), 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 040000Z ARE 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13WWARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7848 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 3 20:58:45 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA08430; Sat, 3 Aug 96 20:58:45 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA19107; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 20:58:41 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18884-121>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 10:58:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA15883; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 10:55:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7VHC9KSPC009VBJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 10:56:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2435733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 21:58:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA104620 for ; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 21:58:08 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA79586 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 3 Aug 1996 21:58:06 -0500 Date: Sat, 03 Aug 1996 21:58:06 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -032158 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608040258.AA79586@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 58591 WTPN31 PGTW 040300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040000Z4 --- 22.2N6 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 23.7N2 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 24.9N5 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 26.1N9 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 27.1N0 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 28.9N9 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040300Z7 POSITION 22.6N0 132.4E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. IT APPEARS TO BE LINKED TO THE TAIL END OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND IS HELPING TO FORM WHAT APPEARS TO BE A SMALL MONSOON GYRE OVER THE EAST CHINA SEA AND PHILIPPINE SEA. NUMERICAL MODELS HAVE A VERY DIFFICULT TIME HANDLING SCENARIOS SUCH AS THIS AND CONFIDENCE IN NUMERICAL PREDICTIONS AT THIS TIME IS LOW. THE FORECAST TRACK IS BASED ON AN ASSUMED PATH AROUND THE FORMING GYRE AND BLENDED TOWARD CLIMATOLOGY FOR SUCH SYSTEMS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z3 (DTG 040751Z7), 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4), 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0) AND 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 040000Z ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7849 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 3 23:51:50 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA08596; Sat, 3 Aug 96 23:51:50 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA28803; Sat, 3 Aug 1996 23:51:44 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18885-118>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 13:50:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA24843; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 13:48:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7VODEEI6O009YUK@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 13:49:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2437358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 00:50:40 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA123466 for ; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 00:49:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61434 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 4 Aug 1996 00:49:11 -0500 Date: Sun, 04 Aug 1996 00:49:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -040049 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608040549.AA61434@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 73207 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040153Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040151Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.8N3 155.6E7, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN32 PGTW 040300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 040000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WAS LOCATED AT 22.2N6 132.6E2, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 040300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.4N7 136.14E1 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REFER TO PARAGRAPH 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 08N8 119E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 113E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BAND OF DEEP AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION LYING WEST THE PHILIPPINES ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 24N6 178E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CIRCULATION TO THE NORTHWEST OF THIS CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR ELEMENT DRIFT WINDS INDICATE THIS TUTT CELL IS ENHANCING UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE OVER THE CONVECTION. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS NOT YET BEEN DETECTED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OR SCATTEROMETRY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/UROGI// BT #7852 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 4 03:02:11 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10109; Sun, 4 Aug 96 03:02:11 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA09102; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 03:02:04 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18890-121>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 17:01:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA04832; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 16:58:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7VV7KUW4G009W0F@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 16:59:51 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2437904 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 04:01:15 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA106240 for ; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 04:01:14 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63802 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 4 Aug 1996 04:01:13 -0500 Date: Sun, 04 Aug 1996 04:01:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -040401 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608040901.AA63802@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 82231 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 23.5N0 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 24.7N3 129.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 55 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: ??? DEG/ ?? KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 26.3N1 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: ??? DEG/ ?? KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 28.5N5 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: ??? DEG/ ?? KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 30.4N7 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: ??? DEG/ ?? KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 32.8N3 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040600Z0 POSITION 23.5N0 131.2E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. IT IS LOCATED AT THE END OF THE MONSOON TROUGH, WHICH HAS BEEN SWINGING NORTHWARD. CURRENT INDICATIONS FROM ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORT THE CONCEPT OF A MONSOON GYRE FORMING IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC TO THE WEST OF TD 13W. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO ADVECT AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THIS MONSOON GYRE AND THEN ESCAPE OUT TO THE NORTH. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AT AN AVERAGE RATE AND REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WITHIN APPROXIMATELY 12-24 HOURS. OUR APOLOGIES FOR ISSUING THIS WARNING LATER THAN USUAL. WE HAVE SUFFERED A MAJOR COMPUTER CRASH OF OUR AUTOMATED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST (ATCF) SYSTEM AS WELL AS A CRASH OF OUR LOCAL AREA NETWORK. THIS WARNING HAS BEEN HAND EDITED FROM THE PREVIOUS ISSUED WARNING, AND EXACT VECTORS AND DIRECTIONS TO EACH POSITION ARE NOT YET AVAILABLE. NEXT WARNING AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041351Z4). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 040600Z ARE 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7849 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 4 04:01:08 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10144; Sun, 4 Aug 96 04:01:08 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id EAA11263; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 04:01:02 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18885-118>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 18:00:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA07564; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 17:58:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7VV7KUW4G009W0F@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 17:58:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2438033 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 05:00:26 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id FAA126652 for ; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 05:00:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53977 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 4 Aug 1996 05:00:25 -0500 Date: Sun, 04 Aug 1996 05:00:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -040500 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608041000.AA53977@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 58582 WTPN32 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 33.1N7 155.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 33.1N7 155.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 33.7N3 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 34.4N1 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 35.1N9 154.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 36.5N4 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 39.7N9 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 33.3N9 155.1E2 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) IS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. IT HAS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS SHEARING APART RAPIDLY EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS ANTICIPATED TO BE COMPLETE BY 060000Z6 OUR APOLOGIES FOR ISSUING A LATE WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. WE ARE RECOVERING FROM A COMPUTER SYSTEM AND LOCAL AREA NETWORK CRASH. NEX WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 (DTG 041353Z6), 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2), 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4) AND 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 040600Z ARE 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNINGS (WTPN31PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7854 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 4 07:49:58 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10328; Sun, 4 Aug 96 07:49:58 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA21336; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 07:49:53 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18926-121>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 21:49:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA19413; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 21:46:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7VZPUNVOW00AMYX@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 21:47:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2438704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 08:49:13 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA104212 for ; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 08:49:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61533 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 4 Aug 1996 08:49:11 -0500 Date: Sun, 04 Aug 1996 08:49:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -040849 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608041349.AA61533@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 75610 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 25.0N7 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 26.9N7 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 28.8N8 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 31.2N6 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 33.5N1 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 37.1N1 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 25.5N2 129.5E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD OKINAWA. TD13W IS FORECAST TO REACH OKINAWA BY THE 12 HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041951Z0), 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 041200Z ARE 12 FEET. BT #7855 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 4 08:10:12 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10348; Sun, 4 Aug 96 08:10:12 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id IAA22435; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 08:10:05 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18938-121>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 22:09:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA20667; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 22:06:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7VZPUNVOW00AMYX@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 22:07:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2438767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 09:08:57 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA106274 for ; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 09:08:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66083 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 4 Aug 1996 09:08:56 -0500 Date: Sun, 04 Aug 1996 09:08:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -040908 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608041408.AA66083@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 34080 WTPN32 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 33.9N5 154.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 33.9N5 154.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 35.3N1 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 36.6N5 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 38.4N5 155.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 40.1N5 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 43.8N5 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 34.2N9 154.8E8 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. JOY IS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041953Z2), 050300Z8 (DTG 050153Z4), 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051353Z7). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 041200Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT BT #7856 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 4 13:00:21 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10697; Sun, 4 Aug 96 13:00:21 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA10885; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 13:00:10 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18938-121>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 02:59:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id CAA23727; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 02:57:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7WF6ID11C00A9BV@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 02:58:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2440418 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 13:59:38 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA144526 for ; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 13:59:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA32510 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 4 Aug 1996 13:59:36 -0500 Date: Sun, 04 Aug 1996 13:59:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -041359 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608041859.AA32510@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 73211 ABPW10 PGTW 041800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/041800Z/050600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041353Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041351Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041200Z7 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 33.9N5 154.9E9, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN32 PGTW 041500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 041200Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WAS LOCATED AT 25.0N7 130.0E4, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN31 PGTW 041500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 13N4 113E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 111E3. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BAND OF DEEP AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION LYING WEST THE PHILIPPINES ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24N6 178E6 REMAINS NEAR 24N6 178E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CIRCULATION TO THE NORTHWEST OF THIS CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR ELEMENT DRIFT WINDS INDICATE THIS TUTT CELL IS ENHANCING UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE OVER THE CONVECTION. A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS NOT YET BEEN DETECTED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY OR SCATTEROMETRY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// BT #7862 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 4 13:42:44 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10737; Sun, 4 Aug 96 13:42:44 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA14082; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 13:42:38 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18949-122>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 03:41:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA24703; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 03:39:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7WF6ID11C00A9BV@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 03:40:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2440672 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 14:42:05 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA40116 for ; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 14:42:05 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA33972 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 4 Aug 1996 14:42:04 -0500 Date: Sun, 04 Aug 1996 14:42:04 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -041442 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608041942.AA33972@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 63921 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 26.1N9 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 27.2N1 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 28.1N1 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 29.4N5 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 30.9N2 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 33.9N5 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 26.4N2 130.3E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W HAS BEGUN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE REMAINS ERRATIC ON THIS POORLY ORGANIZED SYSTEM. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050151Z2), 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 041800Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR BT #7860 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 4 15:12:16 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10811; Sun, 4 Aug 96 15:12:16 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA20779; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 15:12:10 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18953-122>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 05:11:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA26344; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 05:09:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7WF6ID11C00A9BV@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 05:10:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2441228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 16:11:48 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA130586 for ; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 16:07:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69398 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 4 Aug 1996 16:07:16 -0500 Date: Sun, 04 Aug 1996 16:07:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -041607 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608042107.AA69398@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71187 WTPN32 PGTW 042100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (JOY) WARNING NR 027 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 34.5N2 154.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 34.5N2 154.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 36.1N0 154.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 38.1N2 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 39.9N1 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 34.9N6 154.5E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (JOY) CONTINUES MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. TD 12W (JOY) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TD12W (JOY) TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS DOWNGRADED TO 36 HR TROPICAL DEPRESSION, WARNINGS WHICH WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050753Z0), AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051953Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 041800Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 4 20:40:56 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA11150; Sun, 4 Aug 96 20:40:56 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA09312; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 20:40:46 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18948-12555>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 10:39:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA09886; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 10:37:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7WVANP1KW00A2HU@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 10:38:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2442810 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 21:39:12 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA140662 for ; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 21:39:11 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA34185 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 4 Aug 1996 21:39:10 -0500 Date: Sun, 04 Aug 1996 21:39:10 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -042139 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608050239.AA34185@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 82054 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 26.8N6 130.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 130.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 28.1N1 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 29.2N3 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 29.8N9 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 30.4N7 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 31.3N7 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 27.1N0 130.5E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST AND SLOW OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.0. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 050000Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #7864 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 4 22:45:38 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA11319; Sun, 4 Aug 96 22:45:38 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id WAA16102; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 22:45:29 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18948-12557>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 12:44:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA22599; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 12:42:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7WVANP1KW00A2HU@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 12:43:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2443578 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 23:44:30 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA35714 for ; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 23:44:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA79043 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 4 Aug 1996 23:44:29 -0500 Date: Sun, 04 Aug 1996 23:44:29 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -042344 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608050444.AA79043@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60864 WTPN23 PGTW 050430 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050425Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 130 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.7N5 113.9E4 TO 26.1N9 113.7E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 050230Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N9 114.3E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA OF DEEP AND PERSISTENT CONVECTION. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME MORE ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 060430Z3. // BT #7866 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 4 23:24:01 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA11362; Sun, 4 Aug 96 23:24:01 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA18021; Sun, 4 Aug 1996 23:23:54 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18948-12557>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 13:23:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA25941; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 13:20:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7WVANP1KW00A2HU@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 13:21:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2444239 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 00:23:00 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA137534 for ; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 00:08:14 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA32874 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 5 Aug 1996 00:08:09 -0500 Date: Mon, 05 Aug 1996 00:08:09 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -050008 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608050508.AA32874@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77670 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/042003Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151Z AUG 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050425Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 041800Z3 TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WAS LOCATED AT 34.5N2 154.6E6, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM JOY (12W) WARNING NR 27 (WTPN32 PGTW 042100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WAS LOCATED AT 26.8N6 130.6E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 13W WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 111E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 114E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 050430)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24N6 178E6 HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC OCEAN AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DUARTE/HAM/UROGI/HONG// BT #7862 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 5 01:12:09 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA13807; Mon, 5 Aug 96 01:12:09 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA24402; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 01:12:02 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18884-12555>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 15:11:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA07277; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 15:08:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7X5HFXNGG00AY0O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 15:09:56 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2444847 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 02:10:58 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA147342 for ; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 02:10:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62071 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 5 Aug 1996 02:10:55 -0500 Date: Mon, 05 Aug 1996 02:10:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050210 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608050710.AA62071@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 82548 WTPN32 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (JOY) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 34.9N6 154.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 34.9N6 154.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 35.6N4 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 36.4N3 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 35.1N9 154.2E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (JOY) IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS. TD 12W (JOY) IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY 06/06Z. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 050600Z ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7868 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 5 01:46:40 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA13826; Mon, 5 Aug 96 01:46:40 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA26414; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 01:46:34 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18884-12555>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 15:42:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA10710; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 15:40:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7X6NKZAOG00B13K@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 15:41:01 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2444896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 02:42:27 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA61394 for ; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 02:42:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73081 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 5 Aug 1996 02:42:25 -0500 Date: Mon, 05 Aug 1996 02:42:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050242 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608050742.AA73081@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 66934 WTPN31 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 27.8N7 130.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.8N7 130.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 29.0N1 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 29.9N0 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 30.8N1 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 31.6N0 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 33.2N8 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 28.1N1 130.0E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTARD AT 10 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.0 (30 KTS). TD 12W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 050600Z ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #7869 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 5 02:54:23 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA13878; Mon, 5 Aug 96 02:54:23 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA29250; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 02:54:12 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <18961-12555>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 16:53:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA18152; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 16:50:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7X94PBW5S00A6RL@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 16:51:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2444968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 03:43:54 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA125018 for ; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 03:43:54 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65885 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 5 Aug 1996 03:43:53 -0500 Date: Mon, 05 Aug 1996 03:43:53 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050343 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608050843.AA65885@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 80218 WTPN33 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 18.9N8 113.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 113.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 20.4N6 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 21.8N1 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 23.1N6 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 24.3N9 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 26.4N2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 19.3N3 113.7E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TD 14W IS CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 8 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T1.0 (25 KTS) AN SYNOPTIC REPORTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051355Z9), 052100Z8 (DTG 051955Z5), 060300Z9 (DTG 060155Z7) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060755Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050425Z AUG 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 050430 ) MAXIMUM SEAS AT 050600Z ARE 11 FEET. BT #7870 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 5 10:45:48 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA14602; Mon, 5 Aug 96 10:45:48 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA14592; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 10:45:31 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19048-12555>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 00:44:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA28861; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 00:42:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7XDCP6H3K00A2BJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 00:36:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2446745 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 09:22:01 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA146988 for ; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 09:22:00 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA38163 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 5 Aug 1996 09:21:59 -0500 Date: Mon, 05 Aug 1996 09:21:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050921 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608051421.AA38163@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 61711 WTPN31 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 27.7N6 130.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N6 130.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 28.2N2 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 28.3N3 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 28.4N4 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 28.4N4 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 28.2N2 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 27.8N7 130.4E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS MOVING NORTHWARD. TD 13W HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD SPEED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. TD 13W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO INTENSIFY BEYOND THE 24 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (JOY) (WTPN32 PGTW O50900) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 051200Z ARE 10 FEET. REFER BT #7872 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 5 11:50:12 1996 Received: from meeker.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA14886; Mon, 5 Aug 96 11:50:12 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by meeker.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Backup Central Post Office 04/22/91) id LAA05209; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 11:50:07 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19057-12560>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 01:49:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA08476; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 01:47:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7XDCP6H3K00A2BJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 00:37:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2447065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 09:46:50 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA117400 for ; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 09:46:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66763 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 5 Aug 1996 09:46:17 -0500 Date: Mon, 05 Aug 1996 09:46:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050946 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608051446.AA66763@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 62920 WTPN33 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 17.7N5 113.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 113.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 18.4N3 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 19.0N0 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 19.8N8 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 21.1N4 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 23.2N7 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 17.9N7 114.0E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TD 14W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AND INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE WARNING PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051955Z5), 060300Z9 (DTG 060155Z7), 060900Z5 (DTG 060755Z3) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061355Z0). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (JOY) (WTPN32 PGTW 050900) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 051200Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #7873 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 5 13:54:35 1996 Received: from meeker.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA15298; Mon, 5 Aug 96 13:54:35 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by meeker.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Backup Central Post Office 04/22/91) id NAA10460; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 13:54:26 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19059-12557>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 03:53:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA26282; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 03:51:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7XRWK8THC006CVH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 03:52:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2450252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 14:53:52 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA88844 for ; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 14:53:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72518 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 5 Aug 1996 14:53:47 -0500 Date: Mon, 05 Aug 1996 14:53:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -051453 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608051953.AA72518@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60227 WTPN31 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 28.1N1 131.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N1 131.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 28.3N3 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 28.5N5 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 28.5N5 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 28.5N5 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 28.3N3 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 28.1N1 131.1E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS SLOWLY MOVING NORTHEASTWARD. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS SLOW EASTWARD MOVEMENT AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (JOY) (WTPN32 PGTW 050900) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES ON THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 051800Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #7877 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 5 15:27:26 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA15907; Mon, 5 Aug 96 15:27:26 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA27648; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 15:27:18 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19060-12558>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 05:26:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA29872; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 05:24:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7XRWK8THC006CVH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 05:25:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2451220 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 16:26:38 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA147218 for ; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 16:26:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72889 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 5 Aug 1996 16:26:36 -0500 Date: Mon, 05 Aug 1996 16:26:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -051626 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608052126.AA72889@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65718 WTPN33 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 18.0N9 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 114.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 18.8N7 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 19.6N6 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 20.6N8 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 21.8N1 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 24.1N7 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 18.2N1 114.2E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TD 14W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060155Z7), 060900Z5 (DTG 060755Z3), 061500Z2 (DTG 061355Z0) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061955Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (JOY) (WTPN32 PGTW 050900) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 051800Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// BT #7878 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 5 21:22:00 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA17023; Mon, 5 Aug 96 21:22:00 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id VAA19431; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 21:21:12 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19013-29964>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 11:20:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA18899; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 11:18:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7YAHB0A7K00AAIQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 11:19:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2453230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 22:19:42 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA130412 for ; Mon, 5 Aug 1996 22:19:41 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53376 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 5 Aug 1996 22:19:40 -0500 Date: Mon, 05 Aug 1996 22:19:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -052219 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608060319.AA53376@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 64381 WTPN33 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL STORM LISA (14W) WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 19.7N7 114.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 114.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 21.1N4 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 22.6N0 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 23.8N3 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 24.6N2 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 25.3N0 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 20.0N2 115.0E7 TROPICAL STORM LISA (14W), UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION, IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THE SAME COURSE AND MAKE LANDFALL AFTER 070000Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060755Z3), 061500Z2 (DTG 061355Z0), 062100Z9 (DTG 061955Z6) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070155Z8). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 0600Z ARE 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES, AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (JOY) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// BT #7880 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 6 03:58:54 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA00818; Tue, 6 Aug 96 03:58:54 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA05275; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 02:43:32 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19067-29970>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 16:42:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA24084; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 16:40:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7YJNF77S0009RXH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 16:41:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2454873 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 03:42:18 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA127774 for ; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 03:42:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67794 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 6 Aug 1996 03:42:16 -0500 Date: Tue, 06 Aug 1996 03:42:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060342 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608060842.AA67794@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 74191 WTPN33 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL STORM LISA (14W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 21.0N3 115.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 115.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 22.9N3 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 24.3N9 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 25.6N3 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 26.3N1 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 26.7N5 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 21.5N8 116.1E9 TROPICAL STORM LISA (14W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE CHINESE COAST BY 070600Z. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061355Z0), 062100Z9 (DTG 061955Z6), 070300Z0 (DTG 070155Z8) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070755Z4). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 060600Z ARE 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM KIRK (12W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7885 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 6 03:58:27 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA00761; Tue, 6 Aug 96 03:58:27 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA06315; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 03:14:13 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19067-29964>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 17:13:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA26717; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 17:11:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7YJNF77S0009RXH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 17:12:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2454985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 04:13:23 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA132170 for ; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 04:12:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59899 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 6 Aug 1996 04:12:35 -0500 Date: Tue, 06 Aug 1996 04:12:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -060412 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608060912.AA59899@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 59640 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050753Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060151Z AUG 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060155Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050600Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (JOY) WAS LOCATED AT 34.9N6 154.3E3, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12W (JOY) WARNING NR 28 (WTPN32 PGTW 050900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.5N4 131.3E8, EASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 10 RELOCATED (WTPN31 PGTW 060300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL STORM LISA (14W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.7N7 114.8E4, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM LISA (14W) WARNING NR 04 RELOCATED (WTPN33 PGTW 060300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 25N7 155E1. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MINAMITORISHIMA (WMO ID 47991) INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS LOCATED TO THE WEST OF THE DISTURBANCE AND IS ENHANCING UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER IT. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS MINIMAL AND ORGANIZATION IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 33N6 172E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THIS DISTURBANCE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TUTT CELL, WHICH HAS DEVELOPED TOWARDS THE SURFACE. THE DEEPEST CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 172E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 11N2 168E5. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH DIVERGENT UPPER LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW. OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/EBARLE/HONG/REZA// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 6 03:58:24 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA00758; Tue, 6 Aug 96 03:58:24 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA06326; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 03:14:20 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19063-29968>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 17:13:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA26759; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 17:11:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7YJNF77S0009RXH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 17:12:26 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2455004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 04:13:44 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA28748 for ; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 04:13:42 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66578 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 6 Aug 1996 04:13:41 -0500 Date: Tue, 06 Aug 1996 04:13:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060413 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608060913.AA66578@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 53263 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 27.2N1 131.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N1 131.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 26.7N5 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 26.2N0 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 25.8N5 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 25.5N2 132.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 26.9N7 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 27.1N0 132.0E6 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER, AFTER 48 HOURS, EXPECT AN EASTERLY TRACK FORECAST DUE TO EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS NORTHERLY UPPER- LEVEL SHEAR HAS RELAXED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 060600Z ARE 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM LISA (14W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 6 13:51:55 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA03151; Tue, 6 Aug 96 13:51:55 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA11938; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 13:51:48 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <19066-29969>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 03:51:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA00895; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 03:48:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Z53FEN0W009KC2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 03:49:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2459026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 14:51:10 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA70544 for ; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 14:51:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA50597 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 6 Aug 1996 14:51:08 -0500 Date: Tue, 06 Aug 1996 14:51:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -061451 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608061951.AA50597@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 31906 WTPN33 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (LISA) WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM LISA (14W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 24.2N8 118.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 118.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 26.5N3 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 27.8N7 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND - REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 24.8N4 118.8E8 TROPICAL STORM LISA (14W) HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) AND CURRENT RADAR FIXES, BOTH PLACING THE SYSTEM OVER WATER IN THE TAIWAN STRAIT. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 14W HAS BEEN SHEARED TO THE NORTHWEST INTO CHINA, LEAVING THE SYSTEM=S LOW-LEVEL CENTER BEHIND. BASED ON CURRENT POSITION, THE LOW-LEVEL IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT APPROXIMATELY 17 KNOTS. TD14W IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN CHINA WITHIN 12 HOURS AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070155Z8), 070900Z6 (DTG 070755Z4) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071355Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 06180000Z ARE 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM KIRK (14W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY WARNINGS.// BT #7891 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 6 15:45:16 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA03612; Tue, 6 Aug 96 15:45:16 -0600 Received: from ustsu15 by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA19789; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 15:45:05 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102151-254>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 05:44:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA03729; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 05:14:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Z53FEN0W009KC2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 05:15:36 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2459805 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 16:17:05 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA125018 for ; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 16:15:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75756 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 6 Aug 1996 16:15:55 -0500 Date: Tue, 06 Aug 1996 16:15:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -061615 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608062115.AA75756@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 80617 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 26.5N3 132.5E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N3 132.5E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 26.0N8 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 25.6N3 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 25.5N2 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 25.9N6 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 26.7N5 130.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 26.4N2 132.7E3 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM WEST OF OKINAWA AND IS MOVING SLOWLY TO THE SOUTHEAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 061800Z ARE 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY WARNINGS.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 6 20:20:04 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA04079; Tue, 6 Aug 96 20:20:04 -0600 Received: from uxmail by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA06237; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 20:19:53 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102153-256>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 10:18:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA18832; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 10:16:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Z53FEN0W009KC2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 10:17:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2462482 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 21:18:37 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAB88954 for ; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 21:17:41 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72503 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 6 Aug 1996 21:17:40 -0500 Date: Tue, 06 Aug 1996 21:17:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -062117 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608070217.AA72503@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65588 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 25.7N4 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.7N4 133.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 25.1N8 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 24.7N3 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 24.6N2 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 25.1N8 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.3N1 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 25.5N2 133.4E1 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS, AS THE TRACK BECOMES EASTERLY. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 070000Z ARE 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (LISA) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// BT #7893 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 6 20:23:16 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA04083; Tue, 6 Aug 96 20:23:16 -0600 Received: from uxmail by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA06282; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 20:22:56 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102153-256>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 10:21:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA19149; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 10:19:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Z53FEN0W009KC2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 10:20:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2462504 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 21:21:47 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA78018 for ; Tue, 6 Aug 1996 21:21:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA31840 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 6 Aug 1996 21:21:45 -0500 Date: Tue, 06 Aug 1996 21:21:45 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -062121 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608070221.AA31840@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 64349 WTPN33 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (LISA) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 24.9N5 117.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 0#( GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT JRI24.9N5 117.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 26.4N2 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 25.3N0 117.4E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (LISA) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER CHINA. SYNOPTIC DATA CLEARLY INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF ZHANGZHOU (WMO ID 59126). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SEAS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AT 070000Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// BT #7894 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 7 00:41:51 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA04439; Wed, 7 Aug 96 00:41:51 -0600 Received: from uxmail by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA20851; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 00:41:46 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102168-254>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 14:40:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA14310; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 14:38:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I7Z53FEN0W009KC2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 14:39:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2464615 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 01:40:45 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA89552 for ; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 01:40:44 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75644 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 7 Aug 1996 01:40:43 -0500 Date: Wed, 07 Aug 1996 01:40:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -070140 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608070640.AA75644@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48761 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070155Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 25.7N4 133.3E0, SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (LISA) WAS LOCATED AT 24.9N5 117.6E5, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (LISA) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN33 PGTW 070300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25N7 155E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24N6 155E1. VISIBLE NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 7 03:01:31 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA05373; Wed, 7 Aug 96 03:01:31 -0600 Received: from uxmail by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA28144; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 03:01:25 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102168-253>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 17:00:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA28658; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 16:58:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I801H8J8N400AGR3@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 16:59:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2465077 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 04:00:47 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA55822 for ; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 04:00:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA52254 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 7 Aug 1996 04:00:45 -0500 Date: Wed, 07 Aug 1996 04:00:45 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070400 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608070900.AA52254@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 54299 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 25.4N1 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.4N1 133.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 24.9N5 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 25.0N7 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 25.4N1 134.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 26.0N8 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 26.4N2 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 25.3N0 133.5E2 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM=S MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW, AND IS FORECAST TO BECOME WESTWARD AFTER 081800Z HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 070600Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 02:55:34 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06216; Sat, 10 Aug 96 02:55:34 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA14880; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 02:55:25 -0600 (MDT) Received: by uxmail.ust.hk id <102301-253>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 16:53:50 +0800 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102179-9773>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 21:53:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA24756; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 21:51:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8040L5FLC009Y1V@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 21:51:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2466267 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 08:53:18 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA126792 for ; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 08:53:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72824 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 7 Aug 1996 08:53:16 -0500 Date: Wed, 07 Aug 1996 08:53:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070853 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608071353.AA72824@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 61557 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 25.2N9 134.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 134.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 25.0N7 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 25.4N1 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 26.0N8 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 26.5N3 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 27.0N9 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 25.1N8 134.2E0 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS. KIRK IS EXPECTED TO SLOW IN ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT AND BEGIN TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 071200Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR BT #7899 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 02:55:00 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06196; Sat, 10 Aug 96 02:55:00 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA14836; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 02:54:53 -0600 (MDT) Received: by uxmail.ust.hk id <102269-256>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 16:53:52 +0800 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102179-9773>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 22:06:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA25953; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 22:04:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8040L5FLC009Y1V@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 22:05:20 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2466502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 09:06:33 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA28956 for ; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 09:06:31 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63156 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 7 Aug 1996 09:06:30 -0500 Date: Wed, 07 Aug 1996 09:06:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070906 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608071406.AA63156@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 82609 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 016A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 25.2N9 134.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 120 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 134.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 25.0N7 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 25.4N1 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 26.0N8 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 26.5N3 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 27.0N9 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 25.1N8 134.2E0 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 06 KNOTS. KIRK IS EXPECTED TO SLOW IN ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT AND BEGIN TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 071200Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIO NAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION: LAST BT #7899 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 7 20:12:01 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA08804; Wed, 7 Aug 96 20:12:01 -0600 Received: from uxmail by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA01032; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 20:11:52 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102153-17355>; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 10:11:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA07464; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 10:08:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I812ANCOJ400004M@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 10:06:01 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2470178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 15:51:50 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA38254 for ; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 15:50:38 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66355 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 7 Aug 1996 15:50:37 -0500 Date: Wed, 07 Aug 1996 15:50:37 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -071550 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608072050.AA66355@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 63024 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 24.8N4 134.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 134.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 24.8N4 134.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 25.6N3 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 26.2N0 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 26.5N3 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 27.0N9 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 24.8N4 134.3E1 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST AND HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 171800Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 7 20:26:02 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA08820; Wed, 7 Aug 96 20:26:02 -0600 Received: from uxmail by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA01853; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 20:25:56 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102153-17363>; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 10:25:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA10492; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 10:22:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I812YOMHDC00004Q@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 10:23:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2472320 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 21:12:45 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA38314 for ; Wed, 7 Aug 1996 21:09:00 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51386 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 7 Aug 1996 21:08:56 -0500 Date: Wed, 07 Aug 1996 21:08:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -072108 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608080208.AA51386@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60855 WTPN31 PGTW 080300 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 24.7N3 134.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 134.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 24.9N5 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 25.1N8 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.8N5 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 26.3N1 133.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 26.9N7 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 24.7N3 134.0E8 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY AT THIS TIME. VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT AN EYE IS PARTIALLY FORMED IN TS KIRK ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE. THIS EYE IS NOT FULLY WRAPPED AROUND THE SYSTEM DUE PRIMARILY TO THE STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRESENT. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS WIND SHEAR HAS BEGUN TO DECREASE, AND ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON THIS PARTIAL EYE FORMATION COUPLED WITH OTHER SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSES INDICATING 55 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK T3.5). SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS TS KIRK RESPONDS TO THE DECREASE IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY (SSM/I) AND SCATTEROMETRY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 080000Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 8 00:53:08 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09307; Thu, 8 Aug 96 00:53:08 -0600 Received: from uxmail by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA16733; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 00:53:01 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102200-17354>; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 14:51:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA29308; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 14:49:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I818DJYPGW0000WW@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 14:50:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2474243 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 01:51:41 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA91098 for ; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 01:51:41 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59223 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 8 Aug 1996 01:51:40 -0500 Date: Thu, 08 Aug 1996 01:51:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -080151 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608080651.AA59223@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 39764 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080151Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.7N3 134.0E8 AND WAS QUASISTATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (LLCC) PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 24N6 155E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 34N7 172E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 36N9 168E5. IT HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE PREDOMINANTLY HIGH PRESSURE IN THE IMMEDIATE REGION. VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM HAS SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IS MOVING NORTHEAST AND AWAY FROM THE DEEP TROPICS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 12N3 158E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 30N3 140E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 30N3 142E7. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS LLCC IS LOCATED ALONG THE SAM E TROUGH AXIS AS TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W). WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS INHIBITING ANY COVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME, ALTHOUGH IT HAS FLARED UP PERIODICALLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. A NEW THUNDERSTORM HAS RECENTLY BUILT NEAR THIS LLCC AS OF 08/0430Z. MAXIMU M SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (5) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 165E2. SATELLIT E IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS INDICATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FEW LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES SPIRALING INTO THIS CONVECTION ALSO SUPPORTING THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POOR. (6) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/CROSS/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 8 02:30:28 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10915; Thu, 8 Aug 96 02:30:28 -0600 Received: from uxmail by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA21958; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 02:30:20 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102200-17355>; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 16:29:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA08797; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 16:27:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I81FCHJ50G0001N3@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 16:27:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2474766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 03:28:54 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA139390 for ; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 03:28:53 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA78440 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 8 Aug 1996 03:28:52 -0500 Date: Thu, 08 Aug 1996 03:28:52 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080328 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608080828.AA78440@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 45413 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 019 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 24.7N3 134.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 134.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 24.9N5 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KTS RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 25.1N8 133.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 25.4N1 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 25.5N2 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 25.4N1 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 24.7N3 134.1E9 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. IT IS STILL QUASI-STATIONARY. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY INTENSITY ANALYSIS INDICATING 65 KNOTS (DVORAK T4.0). ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRESENT OVER TY KIRK IS CONTINUING TO RELAX, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR CONTINUED SLOW INTENSIFICATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 080600Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 8 07:49:02 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA11359; Thu, 8 Aug 96 07:49:02 -0600 Received: from uxmail by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA04664; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 07:48:51 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102210-17355>; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 21:47:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA09544; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 21:45:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I81HLU760W0001QN@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 21:46:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2476568 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 08:48:02 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA25858 for ; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 08:46:35 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58652 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 8 Aug 1996 08:46:34 -0500 Date: Thu, 08 Aug 1996 08:46:34 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080846 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608081346.AA58652@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 75545 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 24.9N5 133.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.9N5 133.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 25.1N8 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.4N1 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 25.9N6 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.8N5 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 25.9N6 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 25.0N7 133.7E4 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) HAS STARTED SLOWLY MOVING WESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. KIRK CURRENTLY HAS A RAGGED EYE AND HAS IMPROVED ITS ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS DESPITE MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. TYPHOON KIRK IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN FOLLOW A WESTWARD TRACK AFTER THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 081200Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 02:55:12 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06204; Sat, 10 Aug 96 02:55:12 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA14865; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 02:55:06 -0600 (MDT) Received: by uxmail.ust.hk id <102273-257>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 16:53:52 +0800 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102233-1794>; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 15:28:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA02720; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 15:26:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I81SXVTGGW0003F6@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 04:13:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2481516 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 15:15:13 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA54796 for ; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 15:15:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA64491 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 8 Aug 1996 15:15:05 -0500 Date: Thu, 08 Aug 1996 15:15:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -081515 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608082015.AA64491@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 67560 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 25.2N9 133.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 133.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 25.7N4 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 26.0N8 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 26.0N8 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 25.5N2 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 25.3N0 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 25.3N0 133.3E0 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. KIRK REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. KIRK IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE WARNING PERIOD AND TO BEGIN TRACKING WESTWARD AFTER THE 48-HOUR WARNING POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 081800Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 02:54:50 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06192; Sat, 10 Aug 96 02:54:50 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA14822; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 02:54:44 -0600 (MDT) Received: by uxmail.ust.hk id <102258-257>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 16:53:51 +0800 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102226-1798>; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 15:26:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA02301; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 15:24:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I82EYZQXA80006JK@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 09:47:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2484955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 20:47:20 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA150300 for ; Thu, 8 Aug 1996 20:46:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA80968 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 8 Aug 1996 20:46:55 -0500 Date: Thu, 08 Aug 1996 20:46:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -082046 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608090146.AA80968@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 74053 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 25.3N0 132.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N0 132.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 25.6N3 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 25.5N2 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.4N1 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 25.4N1 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 25.7N4 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 25.4N1 132.7E3 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. IT HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY OVERNIGHT AS UPPER LEVEL WINDS HAVE DECREASED, DIMINISHING THE AMOUNT OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRESENT. IT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON THIS INTENSIFICATION TREND THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 090000Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 02:55:07 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06200; Sat, 10 Aug 96 02:55:07 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA14850; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 02:54:59 -0600 (MDT) Received: by uxmail.ust.hk id <102274-256>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 16:53:52 +0800 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102246-1798>; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 16:35:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA10326; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 16:33:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I82QNMXMO00008MH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 16:34:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2487237 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 03:32:19 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA42318 for ; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 03:32:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67764 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 9 Aug 1996 03:32:17 -0500 Date: Fri, 09 Aug 1996 03:32:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -090332 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608090832.AA67764@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60337 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 25.2N9 132.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 132.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 25.3N0 131.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 25.2N9 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 25.2N9 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 25.1N8 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 25.6N3 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 25.2N9 132.1E7 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. IT HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE CURRENT FORWARD SPEED OF MOTION IS DUE PRIMARILY TO STEERING FLOW INDUCED BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS, ONCE AGAIN DIMINISHING THE FORCE OF THE STEERING FLOW, WHICH IS WHY OUR FORECAST IS FOR FORWARD MOTION TO DECREASE TO 2 KNOTS AGAIN DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. SLIGHTLY GREATER STEERING FLOW SHOULD RESUME TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, BRINGING FORWARD MOTION BACK UP TO AROUND 5 KNOTS. TY KIRK IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH HAS INHIBITED INTENSIFICATION OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE PAST WEEK IS DIMINISHING, AND STRONGER CONVECTION IS ENHANCING SYSTEM OUTFLOW ALOFT FURTHER DECREASING THE INHIBITING EFFECT OF THE WIND SHEAR. THUS TY KIRK SHOULD INTENSIFY AT OR VERY NEAR TO A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE (APPROXIMATELY 1 DVORAK T-NUMBER PER DAY). NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 090600Z ARE 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 02:55:26 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06212; Sat, 10 Aug 96 02:55:26 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA14878; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 02:55:20 -0600 (MDT) Received: by uxmail.ust.hk id <102275-257>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 16:53:52 +0800 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102258-1793>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 00:22:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA23737; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 00:20:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I82V6RKDQO00091J@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 00:21:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2491004 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 11:21:56 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id LAA102414 for ; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 11:21:51 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48119 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 9 Aug 1996 11:21:50 -0500 Date: Fri, 09 Aug 1996 11:21:50 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -091121 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608091621.AA48119@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 42996 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 25.1N8 131.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.1N8 131.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 25.0N7 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 25.0N7 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 25.3N0 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 25.5N2 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 26.2N0 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 25.1N8 131.0E5 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 9 KNOTS. KIRK IS FORECAST TO BEGIN GAINING LATITUDE AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5), 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 091200Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 02:55:20 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06208; Sat, 10 Aug 96 02:55:20 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA14873; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 02:55:11 -0600 (MDT) Received: by uxmail.ust.hk id <102276-256>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 16:53:52 +0800 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102262-1794>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 03:47:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA07359; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 03:45:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I82V6RKDQO00091J@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 03:46:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2493341 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 14:47:38 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA135712 for ; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 14:47:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA60403 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 9 Aug 1996 14:47:24 -0500 Date: Fri, 09 Aug 1996 14:47:24 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -091447 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608091947.AA60403@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 51440 WTPN31 PGTW 092100 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091800Z8 --- 24.6N2 130.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.6N2 130.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 24.1N7 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 24.1N7 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 24.3N9 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 25.0N7 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 26.6N4 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 092100Z2 POSITION 24.5N1 130.8E2 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) HAS BEGUN MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. TYPHOON KIRK IS FORECAST TO BEGIN GAINING LATITUDE FOLLOWING THE 24- HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8), 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1) AND 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 091800Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 10:32:21 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06677; Sat, 10 Aug 96 10:32:21 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA05799; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 10:32:14 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102184-256>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:31:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA06427; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:29:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I82V6RKDQO00091J@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:30:04 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2494776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 16:55:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA49850 for ; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 16:55:20 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA52359 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 9 Aug 1996 16:55:19 -0500 Date: Fri, 09 Aug 1996 16:55:19 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -091655 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608092155.AA52359@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 64388 ABPW10 PGTW 091800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/091800Z/100600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 25.1N8 131.3E8 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 091500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 11N2 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 159E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS INDICATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW OVER THIS SYSTEM. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME IS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS FAIR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 30N3 143E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 31N4 144E9. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS LLCC IS LOCATED ALONG THE SAME TROUGH AXIS AS TYPHOON KIRK (13W). WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON KIRK WHICH CONTINUES TO INHIBIT ANY COVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 34N7 151E7 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 35N8 150E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER EDDY ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS CURRENTLY VERY STRONG AND INHIBIT ING ANY SIGNIFICANT ORGANIZATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED A T 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 10:35:02 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06687; Sat, 10 Aug 96 10:35:02 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA05958; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 10:34:55 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102273-256>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:34:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA07073; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:31:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I82V6RKDQO00091J@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:32:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2496763 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 21:20:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA146278 for ; Fri, 9 Aug 1996 21:20:53 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82840 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 9 Aug 1996 21:20:51 -0500 Date: Fri, 09 Aug 1996 21:20:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -092120 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608100220.AA82840@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71317 WTPN31 PGTW 100300 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100000Z1 --- 24.5N1 130.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.5N1 130.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 24.4N0 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 24.5N1 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 24.8N4 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 25.5N2 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 27.3N2 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100300Z4 POSITION 24.5N1 130.6E0 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY MOVING SLOWLY TO THE WEST- SOUTHWEST AND HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. KIRK (13W) IS EXPECTED TO ASSUME A GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND INTENSIFY. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN REDUCED BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) DERIVED WINDS. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z0 (DTG 100751Z4), 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7) AND 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 100000Z ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 10:39:17 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06699; Sat, 10 Aug 96 10:39:17 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA06175; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 10:39:10 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102184-256>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:38:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08105; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:36:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I82V6RKDQO00091J@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:34:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2498458 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 03:35:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA29078 for ; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 03:35:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82495 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 10 Aug 1996 03:35:26 -0500 Date: Sat, 10 Aug 1996 03:35:26 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -100335 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608100835.AA82495@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 83004 WTPN31 PGTW 100900 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 027 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 24.3N9 130.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 130.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 24.3N9 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 24.5N1 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 24.8N4 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 25.5N2 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 27.9N8 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 24.3N9 130.7E1 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS QUASISTATIONARY - APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. KIRK (13W) IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER INTENSIFY AND ASSUME A GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITHIN 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101351Z1), 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 100600Z ARE 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 10:38:02 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA06695; Sat, 10 Aug 96 10:38:02 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA06140; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 10:37:52 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102275-256>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:36:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA07698; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:34:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I82V6RKDQO00091J@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:35:03 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2499564 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 09:22:39 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA120828 for ; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 09:22:39 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72448 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 10 Aug 1996 09:22:38 -0500 Date: Sat, 10 Aug 1996 09:22:38 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -100922 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608101422.AA72448@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55293 WTPN31 PGTW 101500 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 24.1N7 130.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 130.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 24.0N6 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 24.5N1 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 25.1N8 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 26.0N8 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 28.2N2 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 24.1N7 130.5E9 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY, WITH A SOUTHWARD DRIFT OF 02 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO MOVE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AFTER 110000Z, AS IT CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101951Z7), 110300Z5 (DTG 110151Z9), 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 101200Z ARE 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 20:30:55 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA07405; Sat, 10 Aug 96 20:30:55 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA08099; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 20:30:48 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102279-256>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 10:30:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA24139; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 10:27:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8583X8MOW000HQM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 10:28:46 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2503100 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 21:30:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA14210 for ; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 21:24:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83359 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 10 Aug 1996 21:24:03 -0500 Date: Sat, 10 Aug 1996 21:24:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -102124 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608110224.AA83359@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65436 WTPN31 PGTW 110300 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 24.2N8 130.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 130.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 24.5N1 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 25.1N8 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 25.9N6 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 27.0N9 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 29.4N5 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 24.3N9 130.2E6 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. KIRK (13W) IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST WITHIN 24 HOURS AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 110000Z ARE 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 10 23:40:33 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA07578; Sat, 10 Aug 96 23:40:33 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA18475; Sat, 10 Aug 1996 23:40:28 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102282-257>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 13:39:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA02046; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 13:37:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I85F7HEXSG000IDG@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 13:38:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2504011 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:39:36 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA141914 for ; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:38:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA81947 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:38:57 -0500 Date: Sun, 11 Aug 1996 00:38:57 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -110038 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608110538.AA81947@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 82712 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110151Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.2N8 130.3E7 AND MOVING NORTHWARD AT 01 KNOT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN31 PGTW 110300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 152E8. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION NEAR A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS INDICATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 30N3 146E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 162E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24N6 169E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTION AND SLIGHT SYSTEM ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO THE EAST, PO0R OTHERWISE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/NICKLAS/MEST/BOGLE// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 11 02:14:37 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA08851; Sun, 11 Aug 96 02:14:37 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA27542; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 02:14:30 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102294-255>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 16:13:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA07787; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 16:11:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I85LH1TQU8000IAX@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 16:12:25 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2504270 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 03:13:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA139272 for ; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 03:13:23 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82812 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 11 Aug 1996 03:13:22 -0500 Date: Sun, 11 Aug 1996 03:13:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -110313 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608110813.AA82812@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60793 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 24.8N4 130.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 130.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 25.6N3 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 26.4N2 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 27.4N3 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 29.3N4 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 32.7N2 129.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 25.0N7 130.1E5 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS NO LONGER QUASI-STATIONARY AND IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 06 KNOTS. KIRK HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, HOWEVER FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 110600Z ARE 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 11 07:48:45 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09100; Sun, 11 Aug 96 07:48:45 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA10570; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 07:48:39 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102283-256>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 21:47:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA22516; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 21:45:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I85VPJ4MYO000IMG@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 21:46:26 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2505192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 08:47:52 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA78770 for ; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 08:47:51 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47174 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 11 Aug 1996 08:47:50 -0500 Date: Sun, 11 Aug 1996 08:47:50 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -110847 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608111347.AA47174@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 75587 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 032 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 25.2N9 129.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 129.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 26.1N9 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 27.2N1 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 28.6N6 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 30.3N6 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 33.9N5 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 25.4N1 129.4E6 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS, AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THIS COURSE FOR THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS, AFTERWHICH A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK IS EXPECTED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8), 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 111200Z ARE 36 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 11 14:42:51 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09549; Sun, 11 Aug 96 14:42:51 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA03731; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 14:42:45 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102212-256>; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 04:42:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA11116; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 04:39:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I86AD8OL5C000K32@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 04:40:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2506808 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 15:42:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA108520 for ; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 15:42:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA50282 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 11 Aug 1996 15:42:16 -0500 Date: Sun, 11 Aug 1996 15:42:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -111542 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608112042.AA50282@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 63591 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 25.6N3 129.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.6N3 129.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 26.6N4 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 27.9N8 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 29.5N6 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 31.3N7 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 35.0N8 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 25.9N6 128.7E8 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS LOCATED 70 NM SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA, AND IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER OKINAWA WITHIN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS. SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM GAINS LATITUDE AND ASSUMES A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 111800Z ARE 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 11 20:30:52 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09942; Sun, 11 Aug 96 20:30:52 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA23060; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 20:30:44 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102267-9317>; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 10:29:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA23735; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 10:27:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I86I6IF0DS000KG4@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 10:28:37 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2508723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 21:29:21 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA121388 for ; Sun, 11 Aug 1996 21:26:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47205 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 11 Aug 1996 21:26:53 -0500 Date: Sun, 11 Aug 1996 21:26:53 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -112126 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608120226.AA47205@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 83298 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 034 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 25.9N6 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.9N6 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 27.1N0 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 28.8N8 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 30.5N8 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 32.4N9 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 35.9N7 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 26.2N0 128.0E1 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MAKING LANDFALL AT OKINAWA. KIRK HAS A VERY LAR GE (NEARLY 90 NM DIAMETER) EYE WITH MAXIMUM WINDS RESTRICTED TO THE EY EWALL. HIGHEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH KIRK ARE LOCATED WITHIN THE EYEWA LL SOUTHEAST OF SYSTEM CENTER. KIRK (13W) HAS WEAKENED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPA TED AS KIRK=S TRACK BECOMES MORE NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFI CANT WAVE HEIGHT WITHIN 35 KNOT WIND RADIUS AT 120000Z IS 22 FEET. RE FER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 12 00:16:57 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10155; Mon, 12 Aug 96 00:16:57 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA05447; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 00:16:51 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102302-9315>; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 14:16:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA15116; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 14:13:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I86V23C5E8000M2D@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 14:14:48 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2509716 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 01:16:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA138200 for ; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 01:16:14 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA81652 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 12 Aug 1996 01:16:13 -0500 Date: Mon, 12 Aug 1996 01:16:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -120116 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608120616.AA81652@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 68081 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z/130600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 25.9N6 128.3E4 AND MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 152E8 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 141E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS INDICATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 1 0 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. T HE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 33N6 159E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SUB-TROPICAL SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25-30 KNOTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCL ONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24N6 169E6 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 29N1 169E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES INCREASED CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMA TED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/NICKLAS/MEST/HONG/BOGLE// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 12 01:42:02 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA11832; Mon, 12 Aug 96 01:42:02 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA10408; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 01:41:53 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102311-9317>; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 15:40:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA22903; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 15:38:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I86XI44ZEO000LFO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 15:39:34 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2509868 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 02:39:05 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA108558 for ; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 02:39:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA80724 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 12 Aug 1996 02:39:03 -0500 Date: Mon, 12 Aug 1996 02:39:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -120239 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608120739.AA80724@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 82513 WTPN32 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 33.2N8 159.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 33.2N8 159.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 33.5N1 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 33.7N3 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 34.0N7 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 33.3N9 159.5E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD IN THE WESTERN N ORTH PACIFIC. THE SYSTEM IS SUB-TROPICAL WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 KNOTS, GUS TS TO 35 KNOTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121953Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AT 120600 Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON KIRK (13W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// XMT 82RS KADENA AB JA//DO/IN// USS HOLLAND USNS WILKES AMCROSS GU 8FW KUNSAN AB KOR//OC// BT UNCLAS //N03145// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 12 02:32:16 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA11880; Mon, 12 Aug 96 02:32:16 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA13004; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 02:31:58 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102309-9309>; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:30:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA28039; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:28:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I870L3Q90G000M2Y@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:29:43 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2509963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 03:30:37 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA33160 for ; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 03:30:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83427 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 12 Aug 1996 03:30:35 -0500 Date: Mon, 12 Aug 1996 03:30:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -120330 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608120830.AA83427@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 81632 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 035 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 26.4N2 127.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 127.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 27.5N4 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 29.2N3 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 31.2N6 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 33.2N8 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 37.8N8 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 26.7N5 127.6E6 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS LOCATED AT OKINAWA. KIRK (13W) NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 12 14:13:31 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA15269; Mon, 12 Aug 96 14:13:31 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA09271; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 14:13:25 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102316-9315>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:12:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA29184; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:10:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I870L3Q90G000M2Y@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:11:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2515153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 15:12:43 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA127666 for ; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 15:06:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA50345 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 12 Aug 1996 15:06:20 -0500 Date: Mon, 12 Aug 1996 15:06:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -121506 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608122006.AA50345@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 36262 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 27.2N1 127.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N1 127.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 28.6N6 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 30.4N7 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 32.3N8 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 34.8N5 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 41.0N5 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 27.5N4 127.5E5 TYPHOON KIRK IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM=S TRACK BECOMES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 15/1800Z. SYSTEM STILL DISPLAYS A LARGE 60 NM DIAMETER EYE. STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO THE EYE WALL. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 12/1800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 12 15:03:32 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA15806; Mon, 12 Aug 96 15:03:32 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA13170; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 15:03:26 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102317-9317>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 05:02:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA00564; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 05:00:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I870L3Q90G000M2Y@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 05:01:16 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2515555 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:02:37 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA88238 for ; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:01:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA81466 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:01:45 -0500 Date: Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:01:45 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -121601 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608122101.AA81466@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 73527 WTPN32 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 32.9N4 160.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.9N4 160.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 32.8N3 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 32.6N1 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 32.7N2 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 32.9N4 160.4E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS SUBTROPICAL AND IS NOT FORECASTED TO DEEPEN AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE AT THIS TIME. NEAR GALE TO GALE FORCE WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM DUE TO PRESSURE GRADIENT FORCE BETWEEN THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AT 121800Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON KIRK (13W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 12 15:46:03 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA16121; Mon, 12 Aug 96 15:46:03 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA16372; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 15:45:56 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102317-9313>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 05:45:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA02124; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 05:43:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I870L3Q90G000M2Y@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 05:43:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2516233 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:45:27 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA119306 for ; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:45:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58585 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:45:25 -0500 Date: Mon, 12 Aug 1996 16:45:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -121645 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608122145.AA58585@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 75478 ABPW10 PGTW 122100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/122100Z/130600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/122151Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/122153Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 121800Z2 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.2N1 127.5E5, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 37 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 121800Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 33.2N8 159.4E9, MOVING EASTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN32 PGTW 122100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 141E6 REMAINS NEAR 10N1 141E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS INDICATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 1 0 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. T HE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEX T 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 29N1 169E6 I S NOW LOCATED NEAR 30N3 170E8. ENHANCED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THA T CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. SATELLITE-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WINDS INDICATE THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE, WHICH FAVORS CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 160E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATE LY 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFIC ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/HAM/UROGI// BT #7950 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 12 20:37:08 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA17102; Mon, 12 Aug 96 20:37:08 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA04222; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 20:33:55 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102329-1071>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 10:32:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA18434; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 10:30:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I87ZASPPGG000SZD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 10:31:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2518565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 21:32:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA55032 for ; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 21:32:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51170 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 12 Aug 1996 21:32:18 -0500 Date: Mon, 12 Aug 1996 21:32:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -122132 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608130232.AA51170@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 32223 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 27.8N7 127.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.8N7 127.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 29.5N6 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 31.6N0 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 34.0N7 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 36.6N5 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 41.0N5 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 28.2N2 127.8E8 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. IT IS MOVING AWAY FROM OKINAWA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES ITS EYE IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED OUT OVER THE OPEN WATER. AS TY KIRK CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO UNOBSTRUCTED OPEN WATER IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER BEFORE BEING INFLUENCED BY THE LANDMASS OF KYUSHU. AFTER CROSSING THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF KYUSHU, TY KIRK IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN AND MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 12 23:36:53 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA17299; Mon, 12 Aug 96 23:36:53 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA14323; Mon, 12 Aug 1996 23:36:45 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102329-1065>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 13:35:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA05102; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 13:33:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I887GYW78G000TZ6@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 13:34:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2520003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 00:35:38 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA41690 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 00:35:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA33911 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 00:35:33 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 00:35:33 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -130035 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608130535.AA33911@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77940 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/122153Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z2 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.8N7 127.8E8, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 121800Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 33.2N8 159.4E9, MOVING EASTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN32 PGTW122100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 141E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 138E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION NEAR A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS INDICATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 30N3 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 176E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. VISIBLE IMAGERY ALSO SHOWS THERE ARE SEVERAL SMALL EDDIES ALONG THE ROUGH AXIS IN WHICH THIS SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED. SCATTEROMETRY INDICATES A BROAD AREA OF WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 157E3. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS AND IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER- LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 107E8 IN THE GULF OF TONKIN. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK CIRCULATION ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH WHICH IS OVERLAND. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS CIRCULATION FEATURE IS NOT MOVING TOWARD THE WATER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 05 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 33N6 138E2, APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS AND IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON WIND FLOW FEEDING TYPHOON KIRK (13W). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (6) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/DUARTE/MILLER/HAM/UROGI/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 13 03:37:30 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA00607; Tue, 13 Aug 96 03:37:30 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA25208; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 03:18:02 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102338-1071>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 17:16:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA24726; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 17:14:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I88GSP0DDS000URI@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 17:15:43 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2520707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:15:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA115276 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:15:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72633 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:15:06 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:15:06 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130415 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608130915.AA72633@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 32950 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 32.0N5 160.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.0N5 160.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 31.7N1 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 31.5N9 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 31.5N9 161.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 31.9N3 160.5E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY SOUTHEAST OVER THE PAST12 HOURS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM WHICH HAS DISPLAYED SUBTROPICAL SIGNS APPEARS TO BEBECOMING MORE TROPICAL IN NATURE. VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES A VERY WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, BUT NO DEEP CONVECTION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 13 03:37:35 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA00624; Tue, 13 Aug 96 03:37:35 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA25351; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 03:20:58 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102339-1073>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 17:20:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA24981; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 17:18:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I88GSP0DDS000URI@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 17:19:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2520721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:16:12 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA57816 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:16:11 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69076 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:16:10 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:16:10 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130416 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608130916.AA69076@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 72657 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 28.5N5 128.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.5N5 128.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 30.4N7 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 33.0N6 130.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 36.0N9 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 38.8N9 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 42.0N6 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 29.0N1 128.2E3 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. IT HAS A VERY WELL DEVELOPED INDUCED ANTICYCLONE TO ITS SOUTHEAST WHICH IS EVIDENT FROM THE SURFACE ALL THE WAY TO THE UPPER TROPOSPHERE. THIS INDUCED ANTICYCLONE IS MOVING NORTH WITH TY KIRK AND SHOULD INHIBIT A SHARP RECURVATURE FROM OCCURING PRIOR TO LANDFALL ON KYUSHU. TY KIRK HAS NOT YET REINTENSIFIED AFTER MOVING OFF OF OKINAWA, BUT IT IS LIKELY TO RESUME A SLIGHT REINTENSIFICATION TREND DUE TO BEING OVER OPEN, UNOBSTRUCTED WARM WATER, AND HAVING VERY GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. PEAK INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 12 AND 24 HOURS FROM NOW, AND MAY STILL EXCEED 100 KNOTS. ALL AVAILABLE NUMERICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 13 04:33:34 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA00709; Tue, 13 Aug 96 04:33:34 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id EAA27588; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 04:33:26 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102348-1072>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 18:32:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id SAA01958; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 18:30:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I88J17RGWG000UK1@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 18:31:20 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2520911 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 05:32:46 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id FAA21496 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 05:32:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68925 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 05:32:44 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 05:32:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130532 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608131032.AA68925@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 55098 WTPN33 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 20.4N6 106.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 106.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.2N4 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.3N5 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.5N7 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 20.4N6 107.1E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W HAS FORMED IN THE GULF OF TONKIN. IT FORMED FROM A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY OVERLAND ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH WHICH HAS MOVED OUT OVER WATER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 07 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES, AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:14:15 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01127; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:14:15 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA27743; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 13:39:25 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102273-1065>; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 03:38:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA15861; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 03:36:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I88MPUTX68000V2R@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 03:37:25 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2524956 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 14:38:52 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA48538 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 14:38:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63939 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 14:38:16 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 14:38:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131438 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608131938.AA63939@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 56512 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 Z. A TIME-PHASED HWD IS AVAILABLE VIA FAX UPON REQUEST. ACC WSU FCSTR/QC: SRA BROWN, SSGT RESS/SSGT FILLMORE (DSN 574-2007). NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:12:20 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01087; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:12:20 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA01339; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 14:26:14 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102352-1065>; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 04:25:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA17321; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 04:23:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I88MPUTX68000V2R@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 04:24:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2525439 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 15:24:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA122796 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 15:24:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41778 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 15:24:56 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 15:24:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131524 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608132024.AA41778@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 38191 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 041 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 31.1N5 129.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 31.1N5 129.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 33.8N4 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 37.3N3 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 39.9N1 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 42.2N8 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 45.2N1 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 31.8N2 129.7E9 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN JAPANESE ISLAND OF KYUSHU. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE DEVIATION TO THE TRACK OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. KIRK IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W(WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W(WTPN33 PGTW).// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:09:36 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01059; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:09:36 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA07022; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 15:41:36 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102353-1071>; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 05:40:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA19866; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 05:38:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I88MPUTX68000V2R@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 05:39:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2525995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 16:40:53 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA69806 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 16:40:52 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51182 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 16:40:51 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 16:40:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131640 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608132140.AA51182@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 37099 WTPN32 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 31.6N0 161.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.6N0 161.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 31.8N2 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 32.5N0 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 33.1N7 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 31.6N0 162.1E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. 15W HAS A CLEARLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH VERY LITTLE CENTRAL CONVECTION. TD 15W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON ITS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON KIRK (13W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:09:39 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01060; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:09:39 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA07239; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 15:44:11 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102353-1065>; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 05:43:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA19995; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 05:41:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I88MPUTX68000V2R@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 05:42:12 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2526035 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 16:43:40 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA132776 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 16:43:39 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73759 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 16:43:38 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 16:43:38 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131643 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608132143.AA73759@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 71964 WTPN33 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 20.6N8 106.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 106.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.7N9 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.9N1 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 21.0N3 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 20.6N8 107.0E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE GULF OF TONKIN. THE DEVELOPMENT OF 16W IS BEING INHIBITED DUE TO WESTERLY LOW-LEVEL INFLOW ACROSS LAND. MINIMAL ORGANIZATION AND INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON KIRK (13W)(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:37:14 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01250; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:37:14 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA11522; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:36:54 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102379-24421>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:36:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA19695; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:33:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I89EM73O2O0011RO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:33:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2528118 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 21:19:49 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA34472 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 21:19:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62960 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 21:19:47 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 21:19:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132119 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608140219.AA62960@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 46829 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 042 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 32.2N7 130.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N7 130.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 36.2N1 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 39.6N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 41.8N3 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 43.1N8 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 45.8N7 162.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 33.2N8 130.9E3 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MAKING LANDFALL ON KYUSHU AT THIS TIME. STRONG STEERING FLOW FROM THE ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TY KIRK IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE TY KIRK QUICKLY ACROSS THE ISLAND AND BACK OUT TO WATER OVER THE SEA OF JAPAN WITHIN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS. THE TERRAIN OF KYUSHU SHOULD SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISH THE INTENSITY OF TY KIRK AS IT CROSSES THE ISLAND, ALTHOUGH IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT TYPHOON INTENSITY UNTIL LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER TY KIRK CROSSES NORTHERN HONSHU ON ITS WAY BACK OUT TO THE PACIFIC OCEAN IT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. COMPLETE TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IS ANTICIPATED BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W AND 16W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW AND WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES ON THOSE SYSTEMS.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:36:17 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01242; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:36:17 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA11511; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:36:10 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102378-24421>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:35:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA19514; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:33:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I89EM73O2O0011RO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:33:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2528184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 21:35:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA128304 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 21:35:22 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69084 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 21:35:18 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 21:35:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -132135 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608140235.AA69084@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 46809 WTPN21 PGTW 140100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 140100Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 045 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.5N5 113.1W6 TO 20.1N3 115.6W3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 132315Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N5 113.0W5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 140300Z8. 2. REMARKS: METSAT DATA WITHIN LAST EIGHTEEN HOURS INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF BAJA PENINSULA. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 150100Z7. NPMOC PEARL HARBOR SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RHHMSGG93982270232 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:38:06 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01255; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:38:06 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA11644; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:37:57 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102379-24423>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:37:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA20094; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:35:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I89EM73O2O0011RO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:35:05 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2528827 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 23:34:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA110302 for ; Tue, 13 Aug 1996 23:34:33 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA50915 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 13 Aug 1996 23:34:25 -0500 Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 23:34:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132334 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608140434.AA50915@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 66016 WTPN34 PGTW 140400 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 001 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 30.2N5 177.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.2N5 177.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 31.0N4 179.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 31.5N9 178.6W2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 31.8N2 176.0W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 140400Z8 POSITION 30.4N7 178.3E9 LATEST ANIMATED VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT A NEW TROPICAL DPERESSION HAS FORMED IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE, APPROXIMATELY 270NM NORTHWEST OF MIDWAY ISLAND. WIND INTENSITY IS BASED ON ESTIMATES FROM INFRARED/VISUAL IMAGERY AND SPECIAL MICROWAVE IMAGERY. VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITH CONVECTION PRIMARILY TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141357Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150157Z9). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W AND 16W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW AND WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES ON THESE SYSTEMS.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:38:52 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01258; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:38:52 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA11679; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:38:47 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102377-24419>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:37:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA20312; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:35:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I89EM73O2O0011RO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:35:37 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2529170 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 00:43:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA10608 for ; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 00:43:38 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49419 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 14 Aug 1996 00:43:35 -0500 Date: Wed, 14 Aug 1996 00:43:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140043 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608140543.AA49419@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 78088 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/132153Z AUG 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/132155Z AUG 96// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140257Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.2N7 130.3E7, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 42 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 131800Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 31.6N0 161.8E6, MOVING EASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 4 (WTPN32 PGTW 132100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 131800Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WAS LOCATED AT 20.6N8 106.9E6, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 01 KNOT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN33 PGTW 132100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WAS LOCATED AT 30.2N5 177.9E4, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF D (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN34 PGTW 140600)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 14N5 138E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 133E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION NEAR AN EXPOSED WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES THE AREA OF DEEPER CONVECTION IS BEING SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS SYSTEM IS IN A REGION OF RELATIVELY HIGH PRESSURE AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 28N0 176E4 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. REFER TO PARAGRAPH 1.B.(4) ABOVE FOR DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 151E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 48 HOURS AND IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER- LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY (SSM/I) INDICATES A CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT NEAR THE SURFACE. SYNOPTIC DATA ALSO SUPPORT A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 20N2 107E8 IN THE GULF OF TONKIN IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. REFER TO PARAGRAPH 1.A.(3) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W. (5) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 33N6 138E2 HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (6) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/EDSON/HAM/MILLER/UROGI/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:40:02 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01265; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:40:02 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA11792; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:39:48 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102379-24423>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:39:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA20636; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:36:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I89EM73O2O0011RO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:35:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2529691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 01:49:59 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA105148 for ; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 01:49:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA33186 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 14 Aug 1996 01:49:57 -0500 Date: Wed, 14 Aug 1996 01:49:57 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140149 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608140649.AA33186@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 62879 WTPN33 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM MARTY (16W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARTY (16W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 20.3N5 106.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 106.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.3N5 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 20.3N5 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 20.3N5 106.1E8 TROPICAL STORM MARTY (16W) IS UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM THE REGION SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF 35 KNOT SUSTAINED 1-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS. IT HAS MOVED INLAND OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND IS FORECAST TO STAY INLAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:40:09 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01269; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:40:09 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA11816; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:40:03 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102380-24421>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:39:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA20722; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:37:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I89EM73O2O0011RO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:36:05 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2529796 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 02:37:29 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA88056 for ; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 02:37:29 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69087 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 14 Aug 1996 02:37:28 -0500 Date: Wed, 14 Aug 1996 02:37:28 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140237 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608140737.AA69087@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 66524 WTPN32 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 005 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 31.1N5 162.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.1N5 162.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 30.9N2 163.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 30.8N1 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 30.6N9 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 31.0N4 162.5E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W CONTINUES DRIFTING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 3 KNOTS. IT IS SLOWLY MOVING DOWN THE MONSOON TROUGH. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CLEARLY DEFINES THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEVELOPED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM MARTY (16W) WARNING(WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON TS MARTY. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNINGS (WTPN34) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:40:41 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01272; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:40:41 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA11840; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:40:34 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102377-24421>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:39:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA20860; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:37:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I89EM73O2O0011RO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:36:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2529932 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 03:38:00 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA81638 for ; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 03:37:59 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83139 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 14 Aug 1996 03:37:58 -0500 Date: Wed, 14 Aug 1996 03:37:58 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140337 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608140837.AA83139@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 59328 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 043 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 33.8N4 131.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 33.8N4 131.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 37.3N3 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 40.7N1 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 43.2N9 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 45.0N9 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 47.3N4 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 34.7N4 132.5E1 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. WE ARE VERY CONFIDENT IN OUR WARNING LOCATION WHICH IS A COMBINATION OF DETAILED SYNOPTIC DATA, NUMEROUS RADAR FIXES, AND VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRA-RED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FOR TY KIRK. IT IS MOVING RAPIDLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS NOT ANTICIPATED TO REINTENSIFY ONCE IT MOVES BACK OVER THE OPEN WATER OF THE SEA OF JAPAN. AFTER CROSSING NORTHERN HONSHU AND MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC AGAIN TY KIRK IS EXPECTED TO UNDERGO EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION INTO A MIDLATITUDE LOW. TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE AT 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 23 FEET OVER THE INLAND SEA BETWEEN HONSHU AND KYUSHU. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM MARTY (16W) WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON TS MARTY. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSIONS 15W AND 17W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW AND WTPN34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:54:22 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01323; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:54:22 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA12335; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:48:22 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102379-24423>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:47:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA22646; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:45:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I89EM73O2O0011RO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:41:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2531714 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 09:25:25 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA25274 for ; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 09:25:24 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66364 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 14 Aug 1996 09:25:23 -0500 Date: Wed, 14 Aug 1996 09:25:23 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140925 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608141425.AA66364@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54841 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 044 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 35.2N0 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.2N0 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 38.2N3 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 40.8N2 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 43.1N8 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 45.1N0 153.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 48.2N4 162.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 36.0N9 134.8E6 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE ISLAND OF HONSHU AT 22 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND RADAR DATA SUPPORT A WARNING POSITION JUST SOUTH OF YONAGO (STATION ID #47744). CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE APPROXIMATELY 980 MB. KIRK IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. FOR SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (WTPN34 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (MARTY) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 10:54:34 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01324; Wed, 14 Aug 96 10:54:34 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA12341; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:48:44 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102377-24423>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:48:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA22796; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:45:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I89EM73O2O0011RO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 00:41:55 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2532102 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:08:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id KAA102212 for ; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:08:22 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA38286 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:08:21 -0500 Date: Wed, 14 Aug 1996 10:08:21 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141008 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608141508.AA38286@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54411 WTPN34 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W WARNING NR 002 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 30.2N5 179.4W1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 30.2N5 179.4W1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 29.7N8 177.1W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 29.1N2 175.0W3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 28.2N2 172.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 141600Z2 POSITION 30.0N3 178.6W2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z7 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES AND TYPHOON KIRK (13W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (MARTY) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNDER MANOP HEADER (WTPA21 PHNL).// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 14:18:29 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA02164; Wed, 14 Aug 96 14:18:29 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA27409; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 14:18:11 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102377-24421>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 04:17:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA05186; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 04:15:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8AB77G3OG0015JI@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 04:16:12 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2534489 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 15:17:41 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA76744 for ; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 15:17:40 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55136 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 14 Aug 1996 15:17:39 -0500 Date: Wed, 14 Aug 1996 15:17:39 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141517 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608142017.AA55136@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 82525 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 045 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 37.4N4 137.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 35 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 37.4N4 137.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 39.9N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 42.7N3 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 44.8N6 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.3N3 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 48.9N1 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 38.0N1 138.2E4 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE SEA OF JAPAN AT 35 KNOTS. KIRK IS WEAKENING AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36- HOUR WARNING POSITION. FOR SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (MARTY) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2).// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 15:07:33 1996 Received: from [128.117.7.10] by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA02278; Wed, 14 Aug 96 15:07:33 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA00868; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 15:03:26 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102379-24421>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 05:02:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA06438; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 05:00:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8AB77G3OG0015JI@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 05:01:24 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2534774 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 16:02:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA45232 for ; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 16:02:20 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA78127 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 14 Aug 1996 16:02:19 -0500 Date: Wed, 14 Aug 1996 16:02:19 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141602 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608142102.AA78127@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54316 WTPN32 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 32.1N6 163.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.1N6 163.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 33.0N6 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 34.0N7 165.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 35.3N1 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 32.3N8 163.8E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. TD 15W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON KIRK (13W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (MARTY) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 15:31:10 1996 Received: from [128.117.7.10] by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA02335; Wed, 14 Aug 96 15:31:10 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA02574; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 15:27:02 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102379-24423>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 05:26:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA07306; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 05:24:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8AB77G3OG0015JI@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 05:24:54 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2535090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 16:26:19 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA69660 for ; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 16:22:54 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72001 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 14 Aug 1996 16:22:51 -0500 Date: Wed, 14 Aug 1996 16:22:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141622 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608142122.AA72001@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 72766 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 COR 1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 045A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 37.4N4 137.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 35 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 37.4N4 137.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 39.9N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 42.7N3 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 44.8N6 153.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.3N3 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 48.9N1 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 38.0N1 138.2E4 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE SEA OF JAPAN AT 35 KNOTS. KIRK IS WEAKENING AS IT INTERACTS WITH LAND AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36- HOUR WARNING POSITION. FOR SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W (MARTY) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3), 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2). JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: THERE ARE 3 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 14 20:29:13 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA03149; Wed, 14 Aug 96 20:29:13 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA23939; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 20:29:52 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102275-256>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 10:28:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA22570; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 10:26:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8AQT4JHFK0015N2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 10:27:25 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2537688 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 21:28:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA109536 for ; Wed, 14 Aug 1996 21:28:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65131 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 14 Aug 1996 21:28:16 -0500 Date: Wed, 14 Aug 1996 21:28:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -142128 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608150228.AA65131@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 82792 WTPN31 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 046 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON KIRK (13W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 38.5N6 139.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 38.5N6 139.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 40.7N1 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 43.0N7 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 44.6N4 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 46.1N1 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 50.7N2 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 39.1N3 140.8E3 TYPHOON KIRK (13W) HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM. KIRK (13W) IS LOCATED OVERLAND ON THE JAPANESE ISLAND OF HONSHU AND IS WEAKENING. KIRK (13W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9), 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 24 FEET, IN THE SEA OF JAPAN. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 15 01:52:09 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA04651; Thu, 15 Aug 96 01:52:09 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA13033; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 01:52:02 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102370-255>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 15:51:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA24102; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 15:48:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8B5MFFP4W001A9R@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 15:49:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2539892 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 02:50:29 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA38932 for ; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 02:50:29 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65170 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 15 Aug 1996 02:50:28 -0500 Date: Thu, 15 Aug 1996 02:50:28 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150250 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608150750.AA65170@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 45967 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 32.2N7 165.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N7 165.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 32.8N3 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.7N3 167.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 34.6N3 167.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 32.3N8 165.4E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2).IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE,36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 15 02:24:04 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA04804; Thu, 15 Aug 96 02:24:04 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA15074; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 02:23:50 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102384-253>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 16:22:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA27275; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 16:20:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8B5MFFP4W001A9R@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 16:21:36 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2539986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 03:22:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA48512 for ; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 03:22:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36297 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 15 Aug 1996 03:22:54 -0500 Date: Thu, 15 Aug 1996 03:22:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150322 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608150822.AA36297@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54726 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 047 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 40.3N7 141.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 40.3N7 141.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 43.1N8 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 45.1N0 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 46.5N5 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 48.4N6 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 52.3N0 164.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 41.0N5 142.8E5 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) HAS PASSED OVER THE JAPANESE ISLAND OF HONUSHU AND IS MOVING INTO THE OPEN WATERS OF THE PACIFIC. KIRK (13W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITHIN 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151351Z6), 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2), 160300Z0 (DTG 160151Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 15 08:57:04 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA05678; Thu, 15 Aug 96 08:57:04 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id IAA04433; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 08:56:37 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102389-253>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 22:55:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA04120; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 22:53:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8BC8XIP5C0019DY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 22:54:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2542542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 09:54:43 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA21450 for ; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 09:54:41 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA29781 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 15 Aug 1996 09:54:40 -0500 Date: Thu, 15 Aug 1996 09:54:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150954 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608151454.AA29781@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 38738 WTPN31 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 048 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 41.4N9 145.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 41.4N9 145.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 43.6N3 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 45.5N4 154.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 41.9N4 146.2E3 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 25 KNOTS. THE TROPICAL STORM IS TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRA-TROPICAL SYSTEM AND IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 16/1200Z. NEXT WARNING AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 15 14:20:58 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA07554; Thu, 15 Aug 96 14:20:58 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA28832; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 14:20:51 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102370-255>; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 04:19:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA25083; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 04:17:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8BC8XIP5C0019DY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 04:18:43 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2545798 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 15:20:07 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA17188 for ; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 15:20:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73551 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 15 Aug 1996 15:20:05 -0500 Date: Thu, 15 Aug 1996 15:20:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -151520 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608152020.AA73551@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 51020 WTPN32 PGTW 152100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 32.9N4 166.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.9N4 166.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 33.7N3 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 34.4N1 167.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 33.1N7 166.9E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER BY 16/1800Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 15/1800Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) (WTPN 31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Aug 16 08:02:36 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01367; Fri, 16 Aug 96 08:02:36 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA22916; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 20:10:03 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102151-23530>; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 10:09:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA09841; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 10:07:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8BC8XIP5C0019DY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 10:07:58 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2549293 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 21:09:25 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA81774 for ; Thu, 15 Aug 1996 21:09:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67416 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 15 Aug 1996 21:09:23 -0500 Date: Thu, 15 Aug 1996 21:09:23 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -152109 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608160209.AA67416@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 73813 WTPN31 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 050 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 43.6N3 149.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 43.6N3 149.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 45.8N7 154.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 47.9N0 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 44.2N0 150.9E5 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD, WEAKENING AS IT TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.NEXT WARNING AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0).MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Aug 16 07:45:33 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01141; Fri, 16 Aug 96 07:45:33 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA08251; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 00:20:04 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102154-23532>; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 14:18:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA03800; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 14:16:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8CHHUJG4W0018JO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 14:17:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2550888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 01:18:38 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA137222 for ; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 01:18:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55193 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 16 Aug 1996 01:18:36 -0500 Date: Fri, 16 Aug 1996 01:18:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -160118 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608160618.AA55193@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 73622 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160151Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151953Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 43.6N3 149.6E0 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 50 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 151800Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 32.9N4 166.7E0, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 7 (WTPN32 PGTW 142100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 123E6 HAS HAD A MARKED DECREASE IN CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 146E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 139E3. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, LOCATED APPOXIMATELY 150 NM SOUTH OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. THE SYSTEM HAS SHOWN A SLIGHT INCREASE IN CONVECTION, HOWEVER IT REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY NEAR 15N6 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 164E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED BENEATH AN AREA OF MODERATE STRENGTH EASTERLY WINDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/NICKLAS/MEST/HONG/BOGLE// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Aug 16 07:40:50 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01059; Fri, 16 Aug 96 07:40:50 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA11844; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 01:19:53 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102156-23531>; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 15:18:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA10034; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 15:16:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8CIYEXG40001HZ2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 15:17:26 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2551026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 02:18:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA121634 for ; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 02:18:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75621 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 16 Aug 1996 02:18:54 -0500 Date: Fri, 16 Aug 1996 02:18:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160218 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608160718.AA75621@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 69474 WTPN32 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 34.3N0 167.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. REPEAT POSIT: 34.3N0 167.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 35.6N4 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 36.8N7 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 34.6N3 167.6E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W IS SLOWLY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD INT O INCREASINGLY COLDER WATERS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Aug 16 07:40:10 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA01022; Fri, 16 Aug 96 07:40:10 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA13876; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 01:48:21 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102191-23531>; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 15:47:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA12897; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 15:45:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8CIYEXG40001HZ2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 15:45:56 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2551101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 02:45:48 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA119406 for ; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 02:45:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA54809 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 16 Aug 1996 02:45:47 -0500 Date: Fri, 16 Aug 1996 02:45:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160245 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608160745.AA54809@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 50198 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 051 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 44.9N7 153.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 29 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 44.9N7 153.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 47.7N8 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 51.3N9 168.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 45.6N5 155.5E6 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) CONTINUES TO TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TRANSITIONS TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 18 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU WWPW30 PGFW FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS AND SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. // NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Aug 16 14:56:44 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA03697; Fri, 16 Aug 96 14:56:44 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA28152; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 14:56:36 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102396-2877>; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 04:55:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA12278; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 04:53:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8CLHS33C0001HVB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 04:54:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2555972 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 15:55:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA45292 for ; Fri, 16 Aug 1996 15:55:54 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA60812 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 16 Aug 1996 15:55:53 -0500 Date: Fri, 16 Aug 1996 15:55:53 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -161555 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608162055.AA60812@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 38281 ABPW10 PGTW 162100 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/162100Z/170600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160751Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160753Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160600Z3 TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WAS LOCATED AT 44.9N7 153.6E5 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 29 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 51 (WTPN31 PGTW 160900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE FINAL WARNING. (2) AT 160600Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WAS LOCATED AT 34.3N0 167.5E9, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W WARNING NR 9 (WTPN32 PGTW 160900)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE FINAL WARNING. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 137E1. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, BUT REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS (3000 FEET) FROM YAP (WMO ID 91413) INDICATES THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED TO THEIR WEST AND FURTHER SOUTH OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WINDS INDICATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT OF THE DISTURBANCE, WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 161E8. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SUBSTATIONALLY OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WINDS INDICATE THAT THIS DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED TO THE NORTH OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL. THE DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DO SO. THE LATEST SCATTEROMETER DATA AT APPROXIMATELY 16/1200Z INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 17 00:14:55 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA04961; Sat, 17 Aug 96 00:14:55 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA29808; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 00:14:49 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102195-14243>; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 14:13:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA14892; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 14:11:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8DU9B99XS001HAD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 14:12:45 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2558629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 01:14:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA52130 for ; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 01:14:14 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA80792 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 17 Aug 1996 01:14:13 -0500 Date: Sat, 17 Aug 1996 01:14:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -170114 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608170614.AA80792@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 61333 WTPN21 PGTW 170600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 170549Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.8N2 134.7E5 TO 16.8N5 129.4E6 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 170330Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N1 133.3E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: CONVECTION SURROUNDING A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. WATER- VAPOR WINDS COURTESY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE LLCC WHICH IS ENHANCING THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 180600Z5.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 17 00:25:39 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA04968; Sat, 17 Aug 96 00:25:39 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA00580; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 00:25:33 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102195-14231>; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 14:24:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA15599; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 14:22:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8DU9B99XS001HAD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 14:23:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2558676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 01:25:06 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA86602 for ; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 01:25:06 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA71713 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 17 Aug 1996 01:25:05 -0500 Date: Sat, 17 Aug 1996 01:25:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -170125 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608170625.AA71713@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 81950 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170549Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 137E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 135E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AROUND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. WATER VAPOR-DERIVED UPPER-LEVEL WINDS INDICATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT OF THE DISTURBANCE, WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 170600)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 161E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 157E3. CONVECTION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. THE LATEST SCATTEROMETER DATA AT APPROXIMATELY 16/1200Z INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TD 17W IS LOCATED NEAR 26N8 179E7. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 112E4. THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION SUPPORTED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/MCELROY/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 17 16:35:56 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA07654; Sat, 17 Aug 96 16:35:56 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id QAA20763; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 16:35:50 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102201-257>; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 06:34:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA00303; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 06:32:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8EMN6E54G001I50@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 06:33:45 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2561962 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 17:35:21 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA151034 for ; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 17:35:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA71841 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 17 Aug 1996 17:35:20 -0500 Date: Sat, 17 Aug 1996 17:35:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -171735 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608172235.AA71841@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 79006 WTPN21 PGTW 172230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 172221Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170549Z AUG 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 170600)// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/172223Z AUG 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 172230)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.5N1 133.9E6 TO 19.9N9 130.7E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 172030Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 133.6E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE DISORGANIZED BUT REMAINS PERSISTENT. UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE ALSO REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 182230Z6. 4. SEE REF B FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 14.7N2 153.5E4.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 17 16:44:58 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA07659; Sat, 17 Aug 96 16:44:58 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id QAA21210; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 16:44:50 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102206-255>; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 06:44:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA00368; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 06:41:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8EMN6E54G001I50@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 06:42:48 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2561982 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 17:44:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA81600 for ; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 17:44:24 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66292 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 17 Aug 1996 17:44:22 -0500 Date: Sat, 17 Aug 1996 17:44:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -171744 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608172244.AA66292@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 56817 WTPN22 PGTW 172230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 172223Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/172221Z AUG 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 172230)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.8N3 154.7E7 TO 15.1N7 148.6E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 172130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N2 153.5E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED EAST OF THE MARIANAS HAS IMPROVED ITS CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE INDICATED BY WATER VAPOR WINDS COURTESY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN IS LOCATED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 182230Z6. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 16.1N8 133.6E3.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 17 20:40:48 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA07950; Sat, 17 Aug 96 20:40:48 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA05117; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 20:40:39 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102200-258>; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 10:39:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA06190; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 10:37:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8F1TS9E34001JIB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 10:38:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2563322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 21:39:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA82534 for ; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 21:39:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA31837 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 17 Aug 1996 21:39:55 -0500 Date: Sat, 17 Aug 1996 21:39:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -172139 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608180239.AA31837@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 61786 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 17.4N2 130.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 130.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.4N3 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.4N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.1N3 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.6N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.6N9 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 17.7N5 130.2E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 18W IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 180000Z ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 172221Z AUG 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 172230).// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 17 21:29:00 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA08021; Sat, 17 Aug 96 21:29:00 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id VAA07686; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 21:28:53 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102213-257>; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 11:28:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA07784; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 11:26:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8F1TS9E34001JIB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 11:26:54 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2563653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 22:28:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA139844 for ; Sat, 17 Aug 1996 22:28:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68249 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 17 Aug 1996 22:28:13 -0500 Date: Sat, 17 Aug 1996 22:28:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -172228 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608180328.AA68249@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 77974 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 001A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 17.4N2 130.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 130.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 18.4N3 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 19.4N4 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 20.1N3 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.6N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 21.6N9 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 17.7N5 130.2E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 18W IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 180000Z ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 172221Z AUG 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 172230). JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTION TO MESSAGE DATE TIME GROUP.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 18 20:20:18 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10798; Sun, 18 Aug 96 20:20:18 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA20139; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 20:20:10 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102149-16664>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:19:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA05809; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:17:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:18:00 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2564302 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 01:17:05 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA82930 for ; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 01:17:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63111 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 18 Aug 1996 01:16:56 -0500 Date: Sun, 18 Aug 1996 01:16:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -180116 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608180616.AA63111@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 69508 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/172223Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. AT 180000Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WAS LOCATED AT 17.4N2 130.6E0, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((WTPN31 PGTW 180300 COR) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 01) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 135E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REFER TO PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 150E6. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS; HOWEVER, THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE CLEARLY DEFINED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTPN22 PGTW 172230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N8 179E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 174E2. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 112E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 114E6. THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK, LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION SUPPORTED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/MCELROY/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 18 20:28:06 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10815; Sun, 18 Aug 96 20:28:06 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA20658; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 20:27:58 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102232-16664>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:27:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA06857; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:25:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:25:54 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2564496 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 02:36:05 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA126088 for ; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 02:36:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA80327 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 18 Aug 1996 02:36:03 -0500 Date: Sun, 18 Aug 1996 02:36:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180236 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608180736.AA80327@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 44740 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 18.0N9 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 18.8N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.6N6 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 20.1N3 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.9N1 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 22.7N1 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 18.2N1 128.9E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W CONTINUES MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 18W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 180600Z ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 18 20:10:43 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10786; Sun, 18 Aug 96 20:10:43 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA19641; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 20:10:34 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102238-16661>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:09:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA04149; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:07:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:07:00 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2564608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 04:39:08 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA151198 for ; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 04:39:08 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75654 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 18 Aug 1996 04:39:07 -0500 Date: Sun, 18 Aug 1996 04:39:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -180439 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608180939.AA75654@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 71811 WTPN22 PGTW 180930 COR SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 180921Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/172223Z AUG 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 172230)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.8N3 148.8E1 TO 15.8N4 139.8E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 180830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N4 147.8E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED EAST OF THE MARIANAS CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 20 KNOTS. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION CONTINUES TO BE POOR BUT THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS CLEARLY DEFINED. UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE CONTINUES TO ENHANCE THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 190930Z2.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 18 20:24:26 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10807; Sun, 18 Aug 96 20:24:26 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA20376; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 20:24:18 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102149-16658>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:23:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA06344; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:21:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:22:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2564620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 04:39:29 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA111584 for ; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 04:39:29 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53914 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 18 Aug 1996 04:39:28 -0500 Date: Sun, 18 Aug 1996 04:39:28 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -180439 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608180939.AA53914@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 33175 ABPW10 PGTW 180830 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180830Z/190600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/172223Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. AT 180600Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WAS LOCATED AT 18.0N9 129.4E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((WTPN31 PGTW 180900) TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 02) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 135E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REFER TO PARA 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 150E6. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DECREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS; HOWEVER, THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE CLEARLY DEFINED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTPN22 PGTW 172230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N8 179E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 174E2. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 112E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 114E6. THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK, LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION SUPPORTED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 31N 139E. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A TIGHTLY WRAPPED, EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS HINDERING THE SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA- LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (6) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/MCELROY/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 18 20:29:22 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10819; Sun, 18 Aug 96 20:29:22 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA20724; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 20:29:15 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102238-16658>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:28:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA07063; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:26:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:27:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2565261 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 08:42:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA58072 for ; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 08:42:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41853 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 18 Aug 1996 08:42:49 -0500 Date: Sun, 18 Aug 1996 08:42:49 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180842 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608181342.AA41853@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 63354 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 18.0N9 128.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 128.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.3N2 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 18.5N4 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.7N6 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.0N0 122.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.4N4 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 18.1N0 128.0E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 10 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TD 18W HAS LOST SOME ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. IT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING IN THE SAME DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS DUE TO STEERING FLOW FOR THE SUB- TROPICAL RIDGE. IT IS ALSO FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY IN THE NEAR TERM, AND THEN INTENSIFY AT AN AVERAGE RATE BEYOND 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 18 20:25:12 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10811; Sun, 18 Aug 96 20:25:12 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA20467; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 20:25:05 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102149-16658>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:24:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA06451; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:22:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:23:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2567154 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 15:06:06 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA70560 for ; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 15:06:06 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61232 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 18 Aug 1996 15:06:05 -0500 Date: Sun, 18 Aug 1996 15:06:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -181506 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608182006.AA61232@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 61741 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 17.8N6 127.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 127.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.7N5 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.9N7 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.1N0 122.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.6N5 120.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.9N8 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 17.8N6 126.8E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 11 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM MAY HAVE HAD A SLIGHT EQUATORWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. TD 18W IS FORECAST TO BRUSH THE NORTHERN COAST OF LUZON WITHIN 36 HOURS FROM NOW. OUR INTENSITY FORECAST AND FORECAST WIND RADII TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE EFFECT OF THE BASIC TERRAIN ON THIS SYSTEM. IF TD 18W DOES NOT APPROACH LUZON AS FORECAST GREATER INTENSIFICATION THAN INDICATED BY OUR FORECAST MAY BE POSSIBLE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 18 20:21:28 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10802; Sun, 18 Aug 96 20:21:28 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA20287; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 20:21:19 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102149-16660>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:20:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA05956; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:18:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:18:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2569969 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 21:12:19 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA58064 for ; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 21:12:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67407 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 18 Aug 1996 21:12:17 -0500 Date: Sun, 18 Aug 1996 21:12:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -182112 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608190212.AA67407@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 52812 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 17.4N2 125.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 125.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.1N9 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.0N8 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.0N8 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.1N9 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 17.7N5 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 17.3N1 125.0E8 TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE ISLAND OF LUZON. NIKI IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AS IT APPROACHES LUZON. LANDFALL IS EXPECTED BETWEEN THE 12-HOUR AND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AS TS NIKI PASSES OVER THE TOPOGRAPHY OF LUZON IT IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN. NIKI IS THEN FORECAST TO REINTENSIFY AS IT REORGANIZES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190000Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 18 21:17:59 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10866; Sun, 18 Aug 96 21:17:59 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id VAA23764; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 21:17:48 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102171-16664>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 11:16:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA11875; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 11:14:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 11:15:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2570629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 22:17:00 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA143782 for ; Sun, 18 Aug 1996 22:15:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA56655 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 18 Aug 1996 22:15:44 -0500 Date: Sun, 18 Aug 1996 22:15:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -182215 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608190315.AA56655@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 38220 WTPN22 PGTW 190330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 190321Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180923Z AUG 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 180930)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE NEAR THE MARIANAS HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE CENTRAL PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE SYSTEM WILL BE MONITORED FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 19 10:34:43 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA14797; Mon, 19 Aug 96 10:34:43 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA08291; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:34:29 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102399-16658>; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 00:33:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA23721; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 00:31:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 00:31:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2571674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 01:15:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA100774 for ; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 01:15:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59346 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 19 Aug 1996 01:15:32 -0500 Date: Mon, 19 Aug 1996 01:15:32 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -190115 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608190615.AA59346@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 75471 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190153Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL STORM NIKI WAS LOCATED AT 17.4N2 125.6E4, MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((WTPN31 PGTW 190300) TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NR 05) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N6 145E0. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE DISORGANIZED; HOWEVER, THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE CLEARLY DEFINED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 168E5. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 114E6 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 31N4 139E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 29N1 139E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS UNDER STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS HINDERING THE SYSTEM=S DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION NEAR 7N7 139E3. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION CONTINUE TO BE MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (6) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 170E8. SYNOPTIC DATA, SCATTEROMETRY, AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (7) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 19 12:10:13 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA15482; Mon, 19 Aug 96 12:10:13 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id MAA15981; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 12:09:59 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102405-16664>; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 02:09:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id CAA03893; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 02:07:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 00:32:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2572074 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 03:12:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA49046 for ; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 03:12:33 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53480 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 19 Aug 1996 03:12:32 -0500 Date: Mon, 19 Aug 1996 03:12:32 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190312 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608190812.AA53480@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 80869 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 17.5N3 124.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 124.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.5N3 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.6N4 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.7N5 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.0N9 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.1N1 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 17.5N3 123.6E2 TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. NIKI IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON LUZON BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES LUZON THEN REORGANIZE AND REINTENSIFY AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE WARM WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190600Z ARE 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7).// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 19 10:37:08 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA14801; Mon, 19 Aug 96 10:37:08 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA08420; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 10:36:57 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102240-16664>; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 00:36:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA25090; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 00:34:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 00:34:34 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2573670 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 08:53:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA140696 for ; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 08:53:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51930 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 19 Aug 1996 08:53:56 -0500 Date: Mon, 19 Aug 1996 08:53:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190853 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608191353.AA51930@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 50647 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 17.6N4 123.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 123.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.8N6 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.7N5 119.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.6N4 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.9N7 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.4N4 110.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 17.6N4 122.8E3 TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 10 NOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON LUZON ISLAND WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. AT ITS CURRENT RATE OF INTENSIFICATION TS NIKI MAY REACH MINIMAL TYPHOON INTENSITY BEFORE LANDFALL, BUT WEAKEN AGAIN AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE ISLAND. AFTER TS NIKI CROSSES THE PHILIPPINES AND REACHES THE SOUTH CHINA SEA IT IS FORECAST TO REORGANIZE AND INTENSIFY TO TYPHOON INTENSITY BEFORE REACHING HAINAN DAO. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 10:36:20 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09293; Wed, 21 Aug 96 10:36:20 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA09901; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 10:36:10 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102295-20155>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:35:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA20017; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:33:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:33:46 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2577219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 14:53:13 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA122758 for ; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 14:53:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65278 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 19 Aug 1996 14:53:10 -0500 Date: Mon, 19 Aug 1996 14:53:10 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -191453 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608191953.AA65278@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 37371 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 17.7N5 122.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 122.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.8N6 119.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.8N6 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.8N6 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.0N9 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.9N8 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 17.7N5 121.5E9 TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) HAS MADE LANDFALL ON NORTHERN LUZON. IT IS MOVING WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 11 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE ISLAND. ONCE IT REACHES THE SOUTH CHINA SEA IT IS EXPECTED TO REORGANIZE AND INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD TOWARD THE GULF OF TONKIN. ALL AVAILABLE DYNAMIC FORECAST GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS FORECAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 10:42:02 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09297; Wed, 21 Aug 96 10:42:02 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA10314; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 10:41:54 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102303-20151>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:41:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA21561; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:39:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:39:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2579719 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 20:33:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA136808 for ; Mon, 19 Aug 1996 20:33:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA32814 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 19 Aug 1996 20:33:56 -0500 Date: Mon, 19 Aug 1996 20:33:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -192033 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608200133.AA32814@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 82731 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 17.9N7 120.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 120.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 17.8N6 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.6N4 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.8N6 112.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.2N1 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.0N0 106.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 17.9N7 119.5E6 TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) HAS MOVED OVER THE ISLAND OF LUZON IN THE PHILIPPINES AND INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NIKI (18W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO TYPHOON INTENSITY AND CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 10:45:03 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09303; Wed, 21 Aug 96 10:45:03 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA10541; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 10:44:55 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102295-20151>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:43:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA22383; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:41:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:42:24 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2581454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 01:31:16 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA89034 for ; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 01:31:16 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA90481 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 20 Aug 1996 01:31:15 -0500 Date: Tue, 20 Aug 1996 01:31:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -200131 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608200631.AA90481@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 77166 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 120.2E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((WTPN31 PGTW 200300) TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NR 09) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N6 145E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 143E8. THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS CLEARLY DEFINED AND CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26N8 164E1. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS RELAXED OVER THIS AREA AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 29N1 139E3 REMAINS NEAR THAT LOCATION. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND IS MERGING WITH A MIDLATITUDE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 139E3 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (5) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22N4 171E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A PARTIALLY LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (6) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG/BOGLE// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 10:45:41 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09307; Wed, 21 Aug 96 10:45:41 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA10583; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 10:45:31 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102295-20153>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:44:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA22601; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:42:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:42:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2581618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 02:59:28 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA75362 for ; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 02:59:28 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88975 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 20 Aug 1996 02:59:27 -0500 Date: Tue, 20 Aug 1996 02:59:27 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200259 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608200759.AA88975@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 62348 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 17.6N4 118.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 118.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.6N4 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.8N6 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.1N0 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.5N4 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.5N5 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 17.6N4 117.9E8 TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY AND ORGANIZATION. NIKI (18W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 10:49:18 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09313; Wed, 21 Aug 96 10:49:18 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA10807; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 10:49:05 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102301-20155>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:48:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA23708; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:46:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:46:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2583831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 09:18:16 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA106256 for ; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 09:18:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73069 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 20 Aug 1996 09:18:14 -0500 Date: Tue, 20 Aug 1996 09:18:14 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200918 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608201418.AA73069@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 78442 WTPN31 PGTW 201500 1. TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 17.1N9 116.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 116.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.8N5 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.2N0 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.0N9 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.9N8 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.6N6 103.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 17.0N8 116.0E8 TYPHOON NIKI (18W), UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM, IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED AS IT BECAME BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS IT INTERACTS WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHWEST. AFTERWHICH THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE. SYSTEM IS ALSO EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE AFTER 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 20/1200Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 10:51:03 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09326; Wed, 21 Aug 96 10:51:03 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA10997; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 10:50:54 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102295-20153>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:50:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA24313; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:47:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:48:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2584942 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 11:08:23 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id LAA145244 for ; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 11:08:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA76450 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 20 Aug 1996 11:08:20 -0500 Date: Tue, 20 Aug 1996 11:08:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -201108 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608201608.AA76450@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 58015 ABPW10 PGTW 201600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/201600Z/210600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201353Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 201200Z5 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.1N9 116.7E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((WTPN31 PGTW 201500) TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NR 11) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 143E8 REMAINS NEAR 18N9 143E8. THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER IS CLEARLY DEFINED; HOWEVER, CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N8 164E1 REMAINS NEAR 26N8 164E1. SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL, WHICH HAS EXTENDED DOWN TO THE SURFACE. MOST OF THE CONVECTION REMAINS ISOLATED TO THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 29N1 139E3 IS WEAKENING AND IS POORLY ORGANIZED. THEREFORE, IT IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 22N4 171E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25N7 172E1. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, AS THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/REZA// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 11:00:03 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09332; Wed, 21 Aug 96 11:00:03 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA11666; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 10:59:55 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102301-20155>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:59:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA26875; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:57:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:57:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2590141 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 18:22:10 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA39132 for ; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 18:22:10 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73971 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 20 Aug 1996 18:22:08 -0500 Date: Tue, 20 Aug 1996 18:22:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -201822 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608202322.AA73971@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 81136 WTPN22 PGTW 202300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 202259Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.7N6 143.4E2 TO 24.0N6 141.3E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 201830Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N7 143.2E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE WEST OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN A REVERSE-ORIENTED (SOUTHWEST- NORTHEAST) MONSOON TROUGH, AND CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AND CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 212300Z8. // NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 11:00:47 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09336; Wed, 21 Aug 96 11:00:47 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA11716; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 11:00:39 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102305-20155>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:59:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA27041; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:57:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:57:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2591054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 19:10:05 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA57650 for ; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 19:09:52 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82760 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 20 Aug 1996 19:09:35 -0500 Date: Tue, 20 Aug 1996 19:09:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -201909 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608210009.AA82760@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 90693 WTPN31 PGTW 202100 1. TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 17.0N8 115.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 115.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.0N8 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 17.5N3 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.3N2 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.3N3 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.5N7 103.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 17.0N8 115.3E0 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) HAS SLOWED AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE AND INTENSIFY FURTHER OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS, PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL OVER THE VIETNAMESE COAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 20/1800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 11:01:23 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09341; Wed, 21 Aug 96 11:01:23 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA11728; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 11:01:14 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102303-20155>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:00:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA27181; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:58:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 00:58:24 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2591746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 20:24:30 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA54804 for ; Tue, 20 Aug 1996 20:24:29 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA85310 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 20 Aug 1996 20:24:26 -0500 Date: Tue, 20 Aug 1996 20:24:26 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -202024 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608210124.AA85310@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 90427 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 17.2N0 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N 114.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.5N3 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.3N2 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.0N0 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.6N6 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 19.8N8 101.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 17.3N1 113.5E0 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) CONTINUES TO IMPROVE IN ORGANIZATION AS IT MOVES WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD TOWARD HAINAN DAO. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 200000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 11:04:19 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09357; Wed, 21 Aug 96 11:04:19 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA11916; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 11:04:10 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102301-20153>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:03:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA27967; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:01:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:01:37 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2593962 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 01:24:51 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA46100 for ; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 01:24:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82502 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 21 Aug 1996 01:24:49 -0500 Date: Wed, 21 Aug 1996 01:24:49 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -210124 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608210624.AA82502@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 37187 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/202259Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.2N0 114.1E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((WTPN31 PGTW 210300) TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NR 13) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 143E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20N2 143E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 202300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 26N8 164E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25N7 162E9. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL, WHICH EXTENDS DOWN TO THE SURFACE. MOST OF THE CONVECTION REMAINS ISOLATED TO THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER ALTHOUGH DEEPER CONVECTION IS STARTING TO FORM NEAR THE CIRCULATION=S CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25N7 172E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 171E9. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DECREASED CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 27N9 134E8. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED NEAR THE SYSTEM=S CENTER OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MEST/BOGLE/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 11:06:06 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09361; Wed, 21 Aug 96 11:06:06 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA11990; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 11:05:58 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102301-20155>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:04:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA28394; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:02:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:02:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2594258 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 03:18:48 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA129950 for ; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 03:18:47 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45502 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 21 Aug 1996 03:18:46 -0500 Date: Wed, 21 Aug 1996 03:18:46 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210318 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608210818.AA45502@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 37051 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 17.4N2 112.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 112.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.0N9 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.7N6 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.4N4 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 19.9N9 104.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 20.3N5 101.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 17.6N4 112.3E7 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AT IT TRACKS WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 11:08:13 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA09370; Wed, 21 Aug 96 11:08:13 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA12064; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 11:08:05 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102295-20151>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:07:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA29198; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:05:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:05:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2595819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 08:44:07 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA122354 for ; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 08:42:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88325 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 21 Aug 1996 08:42:57 -0500 Date: Wed, 21 Aug 1996 08:42:57 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210842 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608211342.AA88325@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 56578 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 17.9N7 111.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 111.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.6N5 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.3N3 107.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.0N2 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.3N5 103.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 20.7N9 99.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 18.1N0 110.9E1 TYPHOON NIKI IS 80 NM SOUTHEAST OF HAINAN DAO, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL OVER THE VIETNAMESE COAST. NIKI (18W) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE TERRAIN OF HAINAN DAO, BUT IS EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY ONCE IN THE GULF OF TONKIN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 21/1200Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 13:33:27 1996 Received: from ncar.ucar.edu by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10128; Wed, 21 Aug 96 13:33:27 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA23255; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 13:33:15 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102303-20153>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 03:32:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA08377; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 03:30:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 03:31:16 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2599502 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 14:32:44 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA110312 for ; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 14:32:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA90842 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 21 Aug 1996 14:32:35 -0500 Date: Wed, 21 Aug 1996 14:32:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -211432 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608211932.AA90842@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 86231 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 18.3N2 110.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 110.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.0N0 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.8N8 105.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.3N5 103.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.6N8 101.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 21.1N4 97.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 18.5N4 109.7E7 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) IS MAKING LANDFALL OVER HAINAN DAO, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK, AND IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE VIETNAMESE COAST BY 22/1800Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 21/1800Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Aug 21 14:37:49 1996 Received: from [128.117.7.10] by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (931110.SGI/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AA10437; Wed, 21 Aug 96 14:37:49 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA28815; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 14:34:50 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102307-20155>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 04:33:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA10680; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 04:31:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 04:32:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2600784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 15:34:00 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA34598 for ; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 15:31:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA52920 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 21 Aug 1996 15:31:44 -0500 Date: Wed, 21 Aug 1996 15:31:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -211531 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-To: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-To: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-Id: <199608212031.AA52920@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-To: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 33205 WTPN32 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 22.2N6 143.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 143.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 23.0N5 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 23.6N1 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 24.3N9 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 24.9N5 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 26.2N0 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 22.4N8 143.1E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (19W) HAS DEVELOPED NORTHWEST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS, AND IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220155Z5), 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1), 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221955Z4). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 202259Z AUG 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 202300) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 21/1800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON NIKI (18W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 00:36:00 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102376-25819>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:35:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA17432; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:33:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:34:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2604163 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 20:43:49 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA17872 for ; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 20:43:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84010 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 21 Aug 1996 20:43:45 -0500 Date: Wed, 21 Aug 1996 20:43:45 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -212043 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608220143.AA84010@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 76071 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 22.4N8 143.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.4N8 143.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 23.0N5 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.6N1 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 24.6N2 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 25.7N4 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 28.0N0 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 22.6N0 143.2E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. TD 19W IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1), 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8), 222100Z7 (DTG 221955Z4) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON NIKI(18W)(WTPN31PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 00:37:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102372-25824>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:37:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA17693; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:35:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:35:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2604780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 21:43:14 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA81754 for ; Wed, 21 Aug 1996 21:28:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA21418 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 21 Aug 1996 21:28:24 -0500 Date: Wed, 21 Aug 1996 21:28:24 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -212128 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608220228.AA21418@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 82599 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 1. TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 18.6N5 109.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 109.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.3N3 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.0N2 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.7N9 102.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.3N6 101.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 18.8N7 108.6E5 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER HAINAN DAO AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. NIKI IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE VIETNAMESE COAST BY 22/1800Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 00:40:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102376-25821>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:40:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18562; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:38:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:37:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2606506 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:47:06 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA121846 for ; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:47:05 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48158 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:47:04 -0500 Date: Thu, 22 Aug 1996 01:47:04 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -220147 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608220647.AA48158@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 36891 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220153Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220155Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.6N5 109.1E1, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 18W WARNING NR 17 (WTPN31 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WAS LOCATED AT 22.4N8 143.2E0, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 3 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 2 (WTPN32 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25N7 162E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27N9 157E3. THIS AREA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL, WHICH EXTENDS DOWN TO THE SURFACE. MOST OF THE CONVECTION REMAINS ISOLATED TO THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER WITH DEEPER CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 171E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27N9 134E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28N0 132E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DUARTE/NICKLAS/EBARLE/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 00:40:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102400-25821>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:40:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18575; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:38:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:38:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2606720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 02:36:05 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA152104 for ; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 02:36:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88538 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 22 Aug 1996 02:36:03 -0500 Date: Thu, 22 Aug 1996 02:36:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -220236 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608220736.AA88538@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 37335 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 1. TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 19.1N1 107.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.1N1 107.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.9N9 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.8N0 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.6N9 102.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.5N9 100.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 19.3N3 107.4E2 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. NIKI IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER THE VIETNAMESE COAST AT 22/1800Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 00:40:40 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102372-25824>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:40:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18634; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:38:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:38:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2606811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 02:58:31 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA81658 for ; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 02:58:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43001 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 22 Aug 1996 02:58:29 -0500 Date: Thu, 22 Aug 1996 02:58:29 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -220258 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608220758.AA43001@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 72950 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 22.7N1 142.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.7N1 142.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 23.3N8 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.9N4 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 24.5N1 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 25.1N8 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 26.3N1 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 22.8N2 142.7E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS MOVING SLOWLY NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 3 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE IN A MORE WESTWARD TRACK AS IT IS STEERED TOWARDS THE WEST EQUATORWARD OF THE SUB-TROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221355Z8), 222100Z7 (DTG 221955Z4), 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON NIKI (18W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 00:45:00 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102374-25826>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:44:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA19912; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:42:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:41:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2608971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 08:31:06 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA113630 for ; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 08:31:06 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83025 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 22 Aug 1996 08:31:05 -0500 Date: Thu, 22 Aug 1996 08:31:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -220831 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608221331.AA83025@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 71758 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 1. TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 19.3N3 107.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 107.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 20.0N2 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.8N0 103.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.6N9 101.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 22.3N7 99.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 19.5N5 106.8E5 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE GULF OF TONKIN TOWARDS NORTHERN VIETNAM AT APPROXIMATELY 9 KNOTS. IT IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT SIX TO TWELVE HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVERLAND BY 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 00:46:00 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102374-25821>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:46:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA20245; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:43:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:42:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2609463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 09:23:20 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA26568 for ; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 09:23:16 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA26652 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 22 Aug 1996 09:23:15 -0500 Date: Thu, 22 Aug 1996 09:23:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -220923 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608221423.AA26652@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 85785 WTPN32 PGTW 221500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 22.9N3 142.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N3 142.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 23.5N0 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 23.9N4 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 24.3N9 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 24.6N2 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 25.1N8 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 23.1N6 142.4E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS. IT HAS REMAINED AT ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. STEERING FLOW IS VERY WEAK AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN THIS SYSTEM MORE WESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO BE VERY SLOW DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE TWO HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES LYING NORTH AND SOUTH OF TD 19W. THE MONSOON TROUGH IS FORECAST BY NUMEROUS GLOBAL MODELS TO REMAIN WEAK IN THE VICINITY OF TD 19W THROUGH 72 HOURS, THUS CONTRIBUTING TO SLOW INTENSIFICATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221955Z4), 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6), 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:00:00 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102374-25826>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:59:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA23713; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:57:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:53:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2612799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 15:04:53 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA118128 for ; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 14:54:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36984 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 22 Aug 1996 14:54:47 -0500 Date: Thu, 22 Aug 1996 14:54:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -221454 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608221954.AA36984@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 73333 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. TYPHOON NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 20.2N4 106.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 106.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.0N3 103.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.8N1 100.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.3N7 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 20.4N6 105.3E9 TYPHOON NIKI (18W) HAS MADE LANDFALL IN NORTHERN VIETNAME JUST SOUTH OF NAM DINH (WMO STN NO 48823). IT IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 13 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN RAPIDLY OVERLAND. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE EYE OF TY NIKI HAS COLLAPSED. THE DEEPEST CONVECTION LIES TO THE SOUTH OF THIS SYSTEM, WITH A NARROW BAND OF CONVECTION TO THE NORTH. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN30 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:00:40 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102376-25821>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:00:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA23923; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:58:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:55:31 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2613465 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 16:15:35 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA46540 for ; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 15:36:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA44371 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 22 Aug 1996 15:36:43 -0500 Date: Thu, 22 Aug 1996 15:36:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -221536 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608222036.AA44371@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 73296 WTPN32 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 005 RELOCATED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORSON (19W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 23.1N6 143.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.1N6 143.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 23.7N2 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 24.3N9 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 24.8N4 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 25.3N0 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 25.6N3 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 23.3N8 143.0E8 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION INTENSITY. IT IS DRIFTING VERY SLOWLY NORTH AT APPROXIMATELY 2 KNOTS OR LESS. TS ORSON LIES WITHIN A REVERSE ORIENTED MONSOON TROUGH. OUR FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY HAS CHANGED DUE TO THE EXTREMELY WEAK STEERING FLOW PRESENT. IT NOW APPEARS THAT TS ORSON WILL MOVE UP THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE NORTHEAST VERY SLOWLY. ANOTHER TROPICAL SYSTEM IS FORMING TO THE EAST OF TS ORSON AND THE FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY TREND OF TS ORSON DEPENDS HIGHLY ON OUR INTERPRETATION OF FUTURE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS OTHER SYSTEM. NUMERICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THIS OTHER SYSTEM WILL KEEP THE FORWARD MOTION OF TS ORSON SLOW AND COMPETE WITH TS ORSON FOR THE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW NEEDED FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230155Z6), 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2), 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON NIKI WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:06:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102374-25824>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:06:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA25656; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:04:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 00:59:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2616234 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 20:44:19 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA78814 for ; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 20:44:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51180 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 22 Aug 1996 20:44:15 -0500 Date: Thu, 22 Aug 1996 20:44:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -222044 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608230144.AA51180@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 53993 WTPN31 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 020 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON NIKI (18W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 20.5N7 105.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 105.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.0N3 103.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 21.4N7 102.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 21.8N1 100.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 20.6N8 104.7E2 TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM. NIKI IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:10:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102374-25819>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:10:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA26551; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:08:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:00:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2617069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 21:54:43 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA29432 for ; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 21:38:24 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73222 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 22 Aug 1996 21:38:22 -0500 Date: Thu, 22 Aug 1996 21:38:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -222138 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608230238.AA73222@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 85251 WTPN32 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 23.2N7 143.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.2N7 143.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 23.4N9 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 23.6N1 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.8N3 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.0N6 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.4N0 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 23.2N7 143.0E8 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 1 KNOT. ORSON IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230755Z2), 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9), 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 23000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:07:00 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102374-25821>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:06:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA25873; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:04:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:01:45 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2618159 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 23:49:28 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA68486 for ; Thu, 22 Aug 1996 23:49:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA114842 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 22 Aug 1996 23:49:26 -0500 Date: Thu, 22 Aug 1996 23:49:26 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -222349 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608230449.AA114842@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 105111 WTPN33 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 29.0N1 160.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.0N1 160.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 30.1N4 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 31.0N4 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 32.2N7 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 33.3N9 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 35.6N4 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 29.3N4 160.2E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W HAS DEVELOPED NORTHEAST OF MARCUS ISLAND. TD 20W IS MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTH AT 8 KNOTS AND IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 221451Z AUG 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 221500). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:08:50 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102376-25819>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:08:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA26273; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:06:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:02:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2618733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 01:16:15 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA77816 for ; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 01:16:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA103416 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 23 Aug 1996 01:16:13 -0500 Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 01:16:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -230116 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608230616.AA103416@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 98549 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230153Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230155Z AUG 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230151Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.5N7 105.1E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 18W WARNING NR 21 (WTPN31 PGTW 230300)) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.2N7 143.0E8, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 1 KNOT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 6 (WTPN32 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED AT 29.0N1 160.2E9, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20W WARNING NR 1 (WTPN33 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 28N0 132E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 29N1 131E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 131E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH LITLLE CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: DUARTE/NICKLAS/EBARLE/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:10:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102376-25819>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:10:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA26561; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:08:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:03:04 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2618923 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 02:46:43 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA97850 for ; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 02:46:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67016 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 23 Aug 1996 02:46:41 -0500 Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 02:46:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230246 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608230746.AA67016@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 113605 WTPN32 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 23.8N3 142.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N3 142.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 24.0N6 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 24.1N7 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 24.1N7 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.1N7 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.9N4 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 23.9N4 142.3E0 TROPICAL STORM ORSON IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 1 KNOT. ORSON IS FORECAST TO MOVE MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9), 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5), 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (19W) (WTPN33 PGTW 230600) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:10:30 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102409-25819>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:10:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA26566; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:08:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:03:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2618971 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 03:24:13 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA55114 for ; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 03:24:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA100687 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 23 Aug 1996 03:24:11 -0500 Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 03:24:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230324 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608230824.AA100687@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 97612 WTPN33 PGTW 230900 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 002 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 29.4N5 160.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.4N5 160.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 30.5N8 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 31.5N9 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 32.6N1 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 33.6N2 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 35.7N5 159.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 29.7N8 160.5E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER. PIPER IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7 KNOTS AND IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) (WTPN32PGTW 230600) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:10:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102410-25819>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:10:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA26570; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:08:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:03:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2619404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 04:08:30 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA82522 for ; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 04:08:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA118524 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 23 Aug 1996 04:08:29 -0500 Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 04:08:29 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230408 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608230908.AA118524@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 92153 WTPN32 PGTW 230900 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 007 CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 23.8N3 142.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.8N3 142.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 24.0N6 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 24.1N7 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 24.1N7 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.1N7 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 23.9N4 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 23.9N4 142.3E0 TROPICAL STORM ORSON IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 1 KNOT. ORSON IS FORECAST TO MOVE MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231355Z9), 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5), 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) (WTPN33 PGTW 230600) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: MESSAGE CORRECTED FOR IMPROPER CYCLONE NUMBER REFERENCE FOR TS PIPER IN REMARKS SECTION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:15:50 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102374-25819>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:15:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA27701; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:13:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:07:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2621536 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 09:23:00 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA19738 for ; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 09:22:59 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA93144 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 23 Aug 1996 09:22:57 -0500 Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 09:22:57 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230922 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608231422.AA93144@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 43989 WTPN33 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 30.4N7 160.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 30.4N7 160.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 32.0N5 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 33.4N0 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 34.8N5 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 36.4N3 159.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 40.6N0 159.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 30.8N1 160.8E5 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 09 KNOTS. WEAK INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BEYOND 48 HOURS TS PIPER IS FORCAST TO BE OVER COOLER WATER AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DISSIPATING. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON TS NIKI. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 01:17:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102421-25824>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:16:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA27940; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:14:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:08:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2621797 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 09:58:51 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA97114 for ; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 09:33:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA103065 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 23 Aug 1996 09:33:16 -0500 Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 09:33:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230933 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608231433.AA103065@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 95638 WTPN32 PGTW 231500 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 23.9N4 142.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 142.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 24.2N8 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 24.3N9 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.3N9 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.2N8 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 24.2N8 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 24.0N6 142.2E9 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS ESSENTIALLY QUASI- STATIONARY. IT IS DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITH THE SHIFTING MONSOON TROUGH. TS ORSON IS FORECAST TO REMAIN VIRTUALLY QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS THE MONSOON TROUGH MOVES IN RESPONSE TO THE MOVEMENT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TS ORSON WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY AS WELL. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231955Z5), 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7), 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3) AND 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON TS NIKI. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 03:54:52 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102337-25821>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 03:54:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA08455; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 03:52:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 03:53:31 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2625939 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 14:54:56 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA26506 for ; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 14:54:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47135 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 23 Aug 1996 14:54:54 -0500 Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 14:54:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -231454 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608231954.AA47135@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 97820 WTPN33 PGTW 232100 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 31.2N6 161.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM REPEAT POSIT: 31.2N6 161.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 32.7N2 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 34.0N7 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 35.5N3 160.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 37.2N2 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 41.0N5 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 31.6N0 161.0E8 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 08 KNOTS. SOUTHERLY STEERING FLOW IS BEING PROVIDED BY A STRONG ANTICYCLONE TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST OF TS PIPER, AND AS TS PIPER MOVES CLOSER TO IT THE TRACK IS FORECAST TO TURN SLIGHTLY WEST OF NORTH. ONCE TS PIPER MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE AXIS IT IS FORECAST TO TURN SLIGHTLY EAST OF NORTH, BUT BE PREVENTED FROM MAKING A SHARP RECURVATURE BY THE VERY BROAD ANTICYCLONE. BY 72 HOURS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND COOLER WATER IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN DISSIPATING TS PIPER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 24 04:16:02 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102337-25821>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 04:15:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA09207; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 04:13:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 04:14:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2626297 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 15:16:10 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA138644 for ; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 15:16:10 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA94862 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 23 Aug 1996 15:16:08 -0500 Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 15:16:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -231516 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608232016.AA94862@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 74891 WTPN32 PGTW 232100 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 23.7N2 142.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N2 142.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.7N2 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.9N4 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.0N6 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.2N8 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 00 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 24.3N9 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 23.7N2 142.4E1. THE FORECAST FOR TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) REMAINS UNCHANGED. TS ORSON IS QUASI-STATIONARY AND WILL REMAIN SUCH FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS. WE EXPECT TS ORSON TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD IN RESPONSE TO THE MOVEMENT OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240155Z7), 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3), 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 00:37:49 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102240-24914>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 00:37:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA04179; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 00:35:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 00:31:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2630444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 21:15:52 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA123250 for ; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 21:13:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43073 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 23 Aug 1996 21:13:45 -0500 Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 21:13:45 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -232113 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608240213.AA43073@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65854 WTPN32 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 23.9N4 143.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 143.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 24.1N7 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.3N9 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.4N0 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 24.6N2 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 25.1N8 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 24.0N6 143.2E0 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUASI-STATIONARY WITH A NORTHEASTWARD DRIFT THROUGH 48 HOURS. AFTERWHICH, THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NORTHWESTWARD. ORSON (19W) IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240755Z3), 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0), 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 24/0000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 00:38:09 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102240-24920>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 00:37:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA04222; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 00:35:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8GFM2LD2O0010KE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 00:31:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2630900 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 21:59:59 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA10384 for ; Fri, 23 Aug 1996 21:58:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA39193 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 23 Aug 1996 21:58:49 -0500 Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 21:58:49 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -232158 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608240258.AA39193@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 118550 WTPN33 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 31.7N1 160.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.7N1 160.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 32.7N2 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 33.7N3 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 34.8N5 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 36.7N6 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 40.7N1 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 32.0N5 159.7E2 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NORTHWARD AFTER 25/0000Z. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER AS IT GAINS LATITUDE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 24/0000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ORSON (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 03:06:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102240-24913>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:06:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA12969; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:04:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8OEGSDI1S002SHK@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:05:01 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2632651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 14:06:37 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA29466 for ; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:10:42 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57229 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:10:40 -0500 Date: Sat, 24 Aug 1996 01:10:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -240110 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608240610.AA57229@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 115849 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240155Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.9N4 143.1E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 10 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.0N1 160.2E9, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B(TROPICAL CYCLONE 20W WARNING NR 05 (WTPN33 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 29N1 131E5 HAS WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 131E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17N 132E. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS MINIMAL. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 72 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/REZA// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 07:55:05 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102152-257>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 07:54:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id HAA19722; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 07:52:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8OM6ZFMB4002EMU@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 07:53:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2634692 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 18:55:24 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA148222 for ; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 03:33:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA76403 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 24 Aug 1996 03:33:56 -0500 Date: Sat, 24 Aug 1996 03:33:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -240333 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608240833.AA76403@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 68208 WTPN32 PGTW 240900 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 24.3N9 143.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 143.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 24.9N5 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.3N0 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 25.7N4 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 26.2N0 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 27.2N1 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 24.5N1 144.2E1 TYPHOON ORSON (19W), UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM, IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z8 (DTG 241355Z0), 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 10:31:37 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102156-258>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 10:31:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA24130; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 10:29:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8OSU9G1KG002C0I@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 10:30:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2636130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 21:31:47 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA29514 for ; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 03:44:16 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA93658 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 24 Aug 1996 03:44:15 -0500 Date: Sat, 24 Aug 1996 03:44:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -240344 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608240844.AA93658@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 76503 WTPN33 PGTW 240900 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 32.2N7 159.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N7 159.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 33.1N7 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 34.5N2 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 36.1N0 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 38.0N1 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 42.5N1 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 32.4N9 159.1E6 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AROUND THE BLOCKING HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SYSTEM=S NORTHEAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 15:45:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102146-257>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 15:44:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA08348; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 15:42:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8P556L75C002RL0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 15:43:34 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2638915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 02:45:07 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA113712 for ; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 08:38:52 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45443 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 24 Aug 1996 08:38:51 -0500 Date: Sat, 24 Aug 1996 08:38:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -240838 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608241338.AA45443@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 77440 WTPN32 PGTW 241500 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 24.2N8 144.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 144.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 24.5N1 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.8N4 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 25.3N0 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 25.9N6 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.0N9 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 24.3N9 144.7E6 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST. ORSON IS EXPECTED TO ASSUME A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK AFTER 260000Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241955Z6), 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8), 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 16:05:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102167-256>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 16:04:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA09327; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 16:02:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8P556L75C002RL0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 16:03:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2639158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:05:13 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA68560 for ; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 09:29:52 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA81041 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 24 Aug 1996 09:29:51 -0500 Date: Sat, 24 Aug 1996 09:29:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -240929 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608241429.AA81041@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 37518 WTPN33 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 32.4N9 159.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.4N9 159.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 33.2N8 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 34.3N0 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 35.9N7 156.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 38.5N6 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 44.6N4 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 32.6N1 159.0E5 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW OF TYPHOON ORSON (19W), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 900 NM TO THE SOUTHWEST. PIPER (20W) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWARD AND MERGES WITH AN APPROACHING MIDLATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 03:40:02 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102229-24920>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:39:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA14122; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:37:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8OEGSDI1S002SHK@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:38:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2632916 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 14:40:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA121208 for ; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 14:39:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61715 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 24 Aug 1996 14:39:33 -0500 Date: Sat, 24 Aug 1996 14:39:33 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -241439 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608241939.AA61715@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 71440 WTPN32 PGTW 242100 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 24.3N9 145.5E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 145.5E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 24.6N2 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 24.9N5 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.4N1 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 26.0N8 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.3N2 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 24.4N0 145.8E8 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED (SCATTEROMETER) WINDS DEPICTING LARGER GALE AREA SOUTHWEST OF SYSTEM CENTER. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS SHOW UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8), 250900Z6 (DTG 250755Z4), 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 04:02:22 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102306-24913>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 04:02:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA14588; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 04:00:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8OEGSDI1S002SHK@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 04:00:54 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2633031 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 15:02:30 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA145908 for ; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 14:55:51 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41906 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 24 Aug 1996 14:55:50 -0500 Date: Sat, 24 Aug 1996 14:55:50 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -241455 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608241955.AA41906@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 68015 WTPN33 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 33.3N9 159.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.3N9 159.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 34.3N0 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 35.4N2 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 36.6N5 156.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 38.2N3 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 43.5N2 157.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 33.6N2 159.2E7 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) IS WEAKENING SLOWLY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD IN THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC. PIPER IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN 72 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 12:00:27 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102156-254>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 12:00:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA28652; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 11:58:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8OUOFYHGG002UGD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 11:59:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2636632 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 23:00:46 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA09580 for ; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 21:36:49 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA70881 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 24 Aug 1996 21:36:46 -0500 Date: Sat, 24 Aug 1996 21:36:46 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -242136 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608250236.AA70881@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 55518 WTPN33 PGTW 250300 1. TYPHOON PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 34.1N8 158.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.1N8 158.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 35.7N5 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 37.5N5 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 39.8N0 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 42.8N4 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 50.3N8 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 34.5N2 158.6E0 TYPHOON PIPER (20W), UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM, IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ITS NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 25/0000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W)(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 12:34:47 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102160-256>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 12:34:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA00100; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 12:32:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8OXTATFHS0022HO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 12:33:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2636915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 23:35:00 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA83236 for ; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 21:43:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA80295 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 24 Aug 1996 21:43:44 -0500 Date: Sat, 24 Aug 1996 21:43:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -242143 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608250243.AA80295@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 100772 WTPN32 PGTW 250300 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 24.3N9 146.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 085 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.3N9 146.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 24.6N2 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 25.3N0 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 26.1N9 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 27.P>^G^G^G^G^G ZD:2R6LU,Z6,IHZ NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 13:37:50 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102165-258>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 13:37:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA02596; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 13:35:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8OXTATFHS0022HO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 13:36:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2637599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 00:37:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA72032 for ; Sat, 24 Aug 1996 22:08:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55427 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 24 Aug 1996 22:08:33 -0500 Date: Sat, 24 Aug 1996 22:08:33 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -242208 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608250308.AA55427@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 26752 WTPN33 PGTW 250300 COR 1. TYPHOON PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 09A CORRECTED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 34.1N8 158.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.1N8 158.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 35.7N5 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 37.5N5 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 39.8N0 157.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 42.8N4 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 50.3N8 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 34.5N2 158.6E0 TYPHOON PIPER (20W), UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM, IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ITS NORTHWEST. JUSTIFICATION: WARNING NUMBER SHOULD HAVE READ NR 09A. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 25/0000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W)(WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 14:01:00 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102146-257>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 14:00:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA03100; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 13:58:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8P1IASWK0002AWW@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 13:59:37 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2637749 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 01:01:13 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA131624 for ; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 00:59:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA111788 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 25 Aug 1996 00:59:57 -0500 Date: Sun, 25 Aug 1996 00:59:57 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -250059 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608250559.AA111788@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 60329 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250155Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.3N9 146.6E7, MOVING EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 100 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 14 (WTPN32 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.0N1 160.2E9, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20W WARNING NR 09 (WTPN33 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 132E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 131E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, BUT REMAINS MINIMAL. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 96 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 21N3 116E8. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THIS DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL. THE DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 21N3 180E9. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS MOSTLY UNORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/REZA// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 16:16:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102167-257>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 16:16:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA09808; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 16:14:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8P556L75C002RL0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 16:15:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2639271 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:16:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA131594 for ; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:13:38 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75311 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:13:37 -0500 Date: Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:13:37 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250313 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608250813.AA75311@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 78892 WTPN32 PGTW 250900 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 24.7N3 147.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 147.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 25.3N0 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.8N5 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 26.4N2 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE ,;E,- RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 26.9N7 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 28.0N0 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 24.8N4 147.8E0 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251355Z1), 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7), 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 25/0600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON PIPER (20W) (WTPN33 PGTW).// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 17:28:33 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102146-258>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 17:28:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA12832; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 17:26:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8P8CC32XS002N9S@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 17:27:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2639660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 04:28:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA148112 for ; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:36:32 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66424 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:36:31 -0500 Date: Sun, 25 Aug 1996 03:36:31 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250336 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608250836.AA66424@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 56693 WTPN33 PGTW 250900 1. TYPHOON PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 35.4N2 158.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 35.4N2 158.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 37.8N8 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 40.1N5 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 42.7N3 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 45.5N4 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 36.0N9 158.3E7 TYPHOON PIPER (20W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE GAINING LATITUDE AND WILL INTERACT AND MERGE WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE TO ITS WEST. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 25/0600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 22:02:34 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102168-256>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 22:02:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA26951; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 22:00:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8PHIK6Y74002V19@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 22:01:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2641742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 09:02:48 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA63404 for ; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 09:02:41 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA70647 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 25 Aug 1996 09:02:40 -0500 Date: Sun, 25 Aug 1996 09:02:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250902 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608251402.AA70647@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 118772 WTPN32 PGTW 251500 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 24.9N5 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.9N5 148.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 25.4N1 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 26.0N8 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.6N4 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 M EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.1N0 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.3N3 151.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 25.0N7 148.5E8 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 115 KNOTS. ORSON IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER INTENSIFY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251955Z7), 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9), 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Aug 25 22:04:54 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102168-256>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 22:04:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA27046; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 22:02:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8PHIK6Y74002V19@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 22:03:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2641839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 09:05:03 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA105912 for ; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 09:05:02 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA118551 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 25 Aug 1996 09:04:59 -0500 Date: Sun, 25 Aug 1996 09:04:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250904 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608251404.AA118551@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 109844 WTPN33 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 011 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON PIPER (20W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 36.4N3 158.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.4N3 158.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 38.7N8 158.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 41.3N8 158.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 44.1N9 160.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 37.0N0 158.5E9 TYPHOON PIPER (20W) HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. PIPER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING SLOWLY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND MERGES WITH AN APPROACHING MIDLATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM. PIPER (20W) IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY 270000Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 26 03:55:36 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102174-256>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 03:55:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA11275; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 03:53:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8PQSHSWCG002VY3@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 03:54:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2645734 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 14:56:01 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA58316 for ; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 14:46:59 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75380 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 25 Aug 1996 14:46:57 -0500 Date: Sun, 25 Aug 1996 14:46:57 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -251446 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608251946.AA75380@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 114801 WTPN33 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 37.6N6 158.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 37.6N6 158.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 40.2N6 158.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 42.7N3 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 45.4N3 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 38.3N4 158.5E9 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. PIPER IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT MOVES NORTHWARD AND MERGES WITH AN APPROACHING MIDLATITUDE FRONTAL SYSTEM. PIPER IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY 270000Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 26 04:08:56 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102173-258>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 04:08:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA11622; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 04:06:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8PQSHSWCG002VY3@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 04:07:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2645940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 15:09:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA14954 for ; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 15:09:08 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA78960 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 25 Aug 1996 15:09:07 -0500 Date: Sun, 25 Aug 1996 15:09:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -251509 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608252009.AA78960@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 50285 WTPN32 PGTW 252100 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 25.3N0 149.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.3N0 149.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 25.8N5 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 26.2N0 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 26.7N5 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.3N2 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.2N2 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 25.4N1 149.4E8 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE WESTERLY VERTI CAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 115 KNOTS. ORSON IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER INTENSIFY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNIN GS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260155Z9), 260900Z7 (DTG 260755Z5), 261500Z4 (DTG 261355Z2) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261955Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 26 07:25:58 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102158-20303>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 07:25:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id HAA15605; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 07:23:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8PWIO80U8002SPA@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 07:24:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2648200 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 18:26:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA69290 for ; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 18:26:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA76916 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 25 Aug 1996 18:26:20 -0500 Date: Sun, 25 Aug 1996 18:26:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -251826 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608252326.AA76916@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 118385 WTPN21 PGTW 252330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 252321Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 170 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30.4N7 161.9E7 TO 35.6N4 161.4E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 01 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METEOSAT IMAGERY AT 252230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N2 162.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, BETWEEN TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) AND TYPHOON ORSON (19W). UPPER-LEVEL DATA FAVORS CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. AT THIS TIME, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FOLLOW PIPER (20W) UP THE MIDLATITUDE TROUGH AXIS. A WARNING MESSAGE IS FORTHCOMING. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 262330Z6.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 26 10:23:35 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102175-20299>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 10:23:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA22878; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 10:21:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8Q7SWUGA8002XBY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 10:22:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2649448 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 21:23:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA11426 for ; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 21:14:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58252 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 25 Aug 1996 21:14:44 -0500 Date: Sun, 25 Aug 1996 21:14:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -252114 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608260214.AA58252@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 70793 WTPN33 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 40.0N4 158.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 40.0N4 158.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 44.7N5 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 48.8N0 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 41.2N7 159.0E5 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 24 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 270000Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 26 11:28:55 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102175-20303>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 11:28:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA28281; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 11:26:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8Q7SWUGA8002XBY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 11:27:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2650161 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 22:29:06 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA20184 for ; Sun, 25 Aug 1996 22:07:16 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA114816 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 25 Aug 1996 22:07:15 -0500 Date: Sun, 25 Aug 1996 22:07:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -252207 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608260307.AA114816@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77437 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 31.4N8 161.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.4N8 161.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 32.3N8 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 33.1N7 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 33.9N5 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 31.6N0 161.9E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W HAS DEVELOPED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, BETWEEN TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) AND TYPHOON ORSON (19W). WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE-BASED MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) ANALYSIS, WHICH SUPPORT A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH 25 KNOT WINDS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED WITHIN A MODERATE VERTICAL WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT DUE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM TYPHOON ORSON (19W). VERTICAL WINDSHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS; THEREFORE, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND EVENTUALLY DISSIPATE OVER WATER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 252321Z AUG 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 252330). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW), AND TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 26 14:15:17 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102159-20303>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 14:15:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA07962; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 14:13:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8QGBGVH8G002YED@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 14:14:00 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2651819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 01:15:37 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA64272 for ; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 01:15:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45398 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 26 Aug 1996 01:15:34 -0500 Date: Mon, 26 Aug 1996 01:15:34 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -260115 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608260615.AA45398@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 82003 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260155Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z AUG 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260153Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 25.4N1 149.7E1, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 18 (WTPN32 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WAS LOCATED AT 40.4N8 158.6E0, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 24 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20W WARNING NR 13 (WTPN33 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WAS LOCATED AT 31.4N8 161.9E7, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 131E5 REMAINS NEAR 18N9 131E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE IS MINIMAL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21N3 116E8 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21N3 180E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24N6 177E5. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS MOSTLY UNORGANIZED, WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED EASTWARD OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (WEST OF 180 LONGITUDE). (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/REZA// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 26 16:52:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102180-20297>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 16:52:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA16084; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 16:50:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8QJHAUT1S002I4M@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 16:51:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2652105 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 03:52:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA65552 for ; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 03:52:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57861 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 26 Aug 1996 03:52:44 -0500 Date: Mon, 26 Aug 1996 03:52:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260352 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608260852.AA57861@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 119554 WTPN33 PGTW 260900 1. TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 42.9N5 160.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 31 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 42.9N5 160.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 48.3N5 164.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 44.2N0 161.0E8 TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS MERGED WITH THE EXISTING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. PIPER (20W) IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 261200Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN (WWPN31 PHNC) FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS. REFER TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Aug 26 21:49:25 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102229-20300>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 21:49:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA27968; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 21:47:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8QQK1RYAO002YWH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 21:47:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2653803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 08:49:36 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA100878 for ; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 08:30:00 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61834 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 26 Aug 1996 08:29:58 -0500 Date: Mon, 26 Aug 1996 08:29:58 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260829 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608261329.AA61834@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 57991 WTPN32 PGTW 261500 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 26.2N0 150.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.2N0 150.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 26.9N7 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 27.3N2 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.7N6 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 28.4N4 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 29.4N5 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 26.4N2 150.8E4 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 100 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW IN ITS FORWARD MOTION AND FURTHER INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261955Z8), 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0), 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM PIPER (20W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 27 05:14:00 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102339-20303>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 05:13:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA20589; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 05:11:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8QQK1RYAO002YWH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 05:12:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2658422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 16:14:08 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA29584 for ; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 15:16:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA100819 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 26 Aug 1996 15:16:41 -0500 Date: Mon, 26 Aug 1996 15:16:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -261516 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608262016.AA100819@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 115920 WTPN32 PGTW 262100 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 26.3N1 151.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N1 151.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 26.6N4 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.0N9 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.6N5 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 28.3N3 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 29.4N5 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 26.4N2 151.0E7 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. ORSON IS EXPECTED TO BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270155Z0), 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6), 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 27 09:56:47 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102213-13536>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:56:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA05234; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:54:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8QQK1RYAO002YWH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:55:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2661858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 20:56:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA81572 for ; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 20:56:22 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA26710 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 26 Aug 1996 20:56:20 -0500 Date: Mon, 26 Aug 1996 20:56:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -262056 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608270156.AA26710@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 73555 WTPN32 PGTW 270300 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 26.4N2 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 26.6N4 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 27.0N9 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 27.5N4 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 27.9N8 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.8N8 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 26.5N3 151.2E9 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY. ORSON IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY UNTIL THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THEN BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AS IT COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONGER SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270755Z6), 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3), 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 270000Z ARE 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 27 10:23:17 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102363-13535>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 10:23:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA07988; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 10:21:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8QQK1RYAO002YWH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 10:21:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2662103 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 21:23:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA122988 for ; Mon, 26 Aug 1996 21:23:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA31900 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 26 Aug 1996 21:23:12 -0500 Date: Mon, 26 Aug 1996 21:23:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -262123 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608270223.AA31900@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 105625 WTPN31 PGTW 270300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 32.0N5 160.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.0N5 160.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 32.4N9 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 33.5N1 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 35.0N8 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 32.1N6 159.9E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 4 KNOTS AS IT ORBITS AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF TYPHOON ORSON (19W). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4), 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1), 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9). REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE,36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 27 14:17:39 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102227-24474>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 14:17:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA03279; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 14:15:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8RRAERX2O0035IL@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 14:16:20 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2664153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 01:17:21 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA67366 for ; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 01:17:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA56777 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 27 Aug 1996 01:17:19 -0500 Date: Tue, 27 Aug 1996 01:17:19 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -270117 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608270617.AA56777@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40134 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270155Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270153Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.4N2 151.2E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 22 (WTPN32 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 270000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WAS LOCATED AT 32.0N5 160.1E8, MOVING WESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 03 (WTPN31 PGTW 270300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18N9 131E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 128E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE DISTURBANCE IS MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 23N5 166E3. THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER SUPPORTED BY SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/EBARLE/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 27 16:21:13 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102166-27941>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 16:21:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA15541; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 16:19:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8RYZ4YKY80035EL@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 16:19:58 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2664485 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 03:20:06 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA104534 for ; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 03:20:06 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA94068 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 27 Aug 1996 03:20:04 -0500 Date: Tue, 27 Aug 1996 03:20:04 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270320 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608270820.AA94068@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 98673 WTPN32 PGTW 270900 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 26.5N3 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.5N3 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 27.0N9 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 27.4N3 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 27.8N7 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 28.3N3 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 29.0N1 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 26.6N4 151.4E1 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) CONTINUES TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY. ORSON IS FORECAST TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY UNTIL THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THEN BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AS IT COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONGER SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3), 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9), 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 270600Z ARE 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 27 22:14:07 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102358-27940>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 22:14:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA12508; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 22:11:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 22:12:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2666647 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:13:48 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA67378 for ; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:13:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA50366 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:13:12 -0500 Date: Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:13:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270913 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608271413.AA50366@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 57275 WTPN32 PGTW 271500 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 26.4N2 151.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 151.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 26.7N5 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 27.2N1 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 28.0N0 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 28.7N7 151.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.6N7 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 26.5N3 151.7E4 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. ORSON IS MAINTAINING INTENSITY AND IS FORECAST TO FURTHER INTENSIFY OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271955Z9), 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1), 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (WTPN31 PGTW 270300) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Aug 27 22:27:27 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102162-27939>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 22:27:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA13346; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 22:25:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 22:26:05 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2666819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:27:35 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA130372 for ; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:27:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA115484 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:27:32 -0500 Date: Tue, 27 Aug 1996 09:27:32 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270927 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608271427.AA115484@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 66329 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 32.9N4 158.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.9N4 158.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 34.1N8 157.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 35.5N3 156.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 33.2N8 158.0E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KTS. TD 21W IS FORCAST TO DISSIPATE OVER WATER IN THE NEXT 24 HRS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW 271500) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 29 00:34:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102393-12529>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:34:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA29138; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:32:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:32:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2670082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 14:08:44 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA103442 for ; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 14:08:22 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA70746 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 27 Aug 1996 14:08:21 -0500 Date: Tue, 27 Aug 1996 14:08:21 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -271408 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608271908.AA70746@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 106327 WTPN32 PGTW 272100 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 26.2N0 151.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.2N0 151.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 26.3N1 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 26.7N5 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 27.4N3 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 28.6N6 152.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.9N0 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 26.2N0 151.9E6 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 2 KNOTS AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST AFTER 36 HOURS. ORSON IS WEAKENING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1), 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7), 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 29 00:41:51 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102358-12528>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:41:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01297; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:39:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:38:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2663652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 21:20:04 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA10222 for ; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 21:18:10 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83009 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 27 Aug 1996 21:18:09 -0500 Date: Tue, 27 Aug 1996 21:18:09 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -272118 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608280218.AA83009@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 65342 WTPN32 PGTW 280300 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 26.2N0 151.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.2N0 151.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.6N4 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 27.0N9 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.6N5 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.1N1 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 29.0N1 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 26.3N1 151.8E5 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) CONTINUES TO REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY. ORSON IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280755Z7), 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4), 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 280000Z ARE 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 29 00:41:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102393-12522>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:41:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01267; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:39:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:38:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2663887 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 21:41:40 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA144360 for ; Tue, 27 Aug 1996 21:39:11 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA110708 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 27 Aug 1996 21:39:07 -0500 Date: Tue, 27 Aug 1996 21:39:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -272139 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608280239.AA110708@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 118385 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 22.9N3 170.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N3 170.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 23.2N7 170.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.9N4 171.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.9N5 170.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 23.0N5 170.4E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W HAS FORMED NORTH OF WAKE ISLAND. TD 22W IS UN DER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE O UTFLOW OF TYPHOON ORSON (19W). NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 29 00:43:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102393-12529>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:43:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01836; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:41:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:40:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2666539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 01:14:35 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA123074 for ; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 01:14:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA118375 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 28 Aug 1996 01:14:31 -0500 Date: Wed, 28 Aug 1996 01:14:31 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -280114 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608280614.AA118375@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 103012 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280155Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.2N0 151.8E5, MOVING EASTWARD AT 01 KNOT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 26 (WTPN32 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WAS LOCATED AT 22.9N3 170.2E0, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 128E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 128E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 25N7 136E0. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/EBARLE/BOGLE// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 29 00:46:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102358-12533>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:46:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA02490; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:44:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:41:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2666767 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 03:12:48 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA51380 for ; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 03:12:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55928 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 28 Aug 1996 03:12:46 -0500 Date: Wed, 28 Aug 1996 03:12:46 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280312 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608280812.AA55928@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 86133 WTPN32 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 26.4N2 151.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 151.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 26.8N6 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 27.6N5 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 28.3N3 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 29.0N1 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 30.9N2 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 26.5N3 151.7E4 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) REMAINS QUASI-STATIONARY. TYPHOON ORSON IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281355Z4), 282100Z3 (DTG 281955Z0), 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 280600Z ARE 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 29 00:52:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102396-12522>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:52:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA04135; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:50:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:44:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2669594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 08:43:14 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA12296 for ; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 08:43:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62359 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 28 Aug 1996 08:43:12 -0500 Date: Wed, 28 Aug 1996 08:43:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280843 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608281343.AA62359@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 119700 WTPN32 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 26.4N2 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 27.0N9 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.7N6 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.5N5 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.3N4 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 31.3N7 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 26.6N4 151.3E0 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS. ORSON IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 29 00:53:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102397-12533>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:52:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA04218; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:50:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 00:44:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2670000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 09:20:26 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA127216 for ; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 09:20:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA115752 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 28 Aug 1996 09:20:25 -0500 Date: Wed, 28 Aug 1996 09:20:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280920 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608281420.AA115752@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 93989 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 23.9N4 172.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 23.9N4 172.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.9N6 173.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 28.1N1 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 30.0N3 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 24.4N0 173.0E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. TD 22W REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM TYPHOON ORSON (19W). TD 22W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN MOVING TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AFTER THE 24 HOUR FORCAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1).IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW 281500) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 29 03:33:15 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102231-12522>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 03:33:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA15783; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 03:31:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 03:31:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2674245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 14:33:21 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA131080 for ; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 14:33:20 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA87473 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 28 Aug 1996 14:33:18 -0500 Date: Wed, 28 Aug 1996 14:33:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -281433 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608281933.AA87473@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 65454 WTPN32 PGTW 282100 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 26.4N2 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 27.3N2 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 28.0N0 149.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.9N9 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.9N0 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 32.4N9 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 26.6N4 150.9E5 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY WESTWARD AT 2 KNOTS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF WEAK SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING. ORSON IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND MOVE TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST OVER THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290155Z2), 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8), 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (WTPN31 PGTW 280300) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 29 10:13:12 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102237-11261>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 10:13:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA04617; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 10:10:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 10:11:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2679599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 21:13:07 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA27826 for ; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 21:12:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA87813 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 28 Aug 1996 21:12:56 -0500 Date: Wed, 28 Aug 1996 21:12:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -282112 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608290212.AA87813@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 24066 WTPN32 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 26.3N1 150.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N1 150.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.5N3 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.9N7 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.4N3 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 28.1N1 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 29.3N4 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 26.4N2 149.9E3 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY GAIN LATITUDE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SATELLITE-BASED MICROWAVE DATA (SCATTEROMETER). NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290755Z8), 29150 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Aug 29 10:37:43 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102212-11262>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 10:37:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA07127; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 10:35:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 10:36:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2680266 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 21:37:44 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA61248 for ; Wed, 28 Aug 1996 21:37:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67439 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 28 Aug 1996 21:37:23 -0500 Date: Wed, 28 Aug 1996 21:37:23 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -282137 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608290237.AA67439@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 12652 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 26.2N0 173.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.2N0 173.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.8N7 173.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 29.1N2 172.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 30.7N0 169.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 26.6N4 173.8E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION (22W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS SHEARED, WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION LOCATED TO THE EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WHICH IS COMPLETELY EXPOSED. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL TO THE SYSTEM=S WEST IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. SATELLITE-BASED MICROWAVE DATA (SCATTEROMETER) INDICATE NEAR-GALE FORCE WINDS OUT TO 250 NM TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 00:36:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102434-8074>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:35:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA10980; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:33:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:33:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2683629 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 01:06:53 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id BAA10856 for ; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 01:06:53 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.7.5/8.7.5ui) id BAA70612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 01:06:51 -0500 Date: Thu, 29 Aug 1996 01:06:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -290106 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608290606.BAA70612@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 67793 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z AUG 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290155Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.3N1 150.2E8, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 30 (WTPN32 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WAS LOCATED AT 26.2N0 173.9E0, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 03 (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 128E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 127E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 25N7 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25N7 137E1. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 00:37:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102431-8076>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:37:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA11324; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:35:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:35:01 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2684339 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 03:24:28 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id DAA08388 for ; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 03:24:28 -0500 Received: (from root@localhost) by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (8.7.5/8.7.5ui) id DAA97573 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 03:24:27 -0500 Date: Thu, 29 Aug 1996 03:24:27 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290324 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608290824.DAA97573@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 65314 WTPN32 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 031 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON ORSON (19W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 26.6N4 149.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N4 149.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.0N9 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.3N2 147.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.7N6 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 28.0N0 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 28.6N6 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 26.7N5 149.3E7 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W), DOWNGRADED FROM A TYPHOON, IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT WEAKENS SLIGHTLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291355Z5), 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1), 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 00:41:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102433-8074>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:40:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA12440; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:38:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:38:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2687263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 08:28:44 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA100314 for ; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 08:26:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59931 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 29 Aug 1996 08:26:44 -0500 Date: Thu, 29 Aug 1996 08:26:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290826 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608291326.AA59931@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 95512 WTPN32 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 26.9N7 148.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.9N7 148.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.3N2 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.5N4 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 27.7N6 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 28.0N0 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 28.3N3 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 27.0N9 148.6E9 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291955Z1), 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4), 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 00:41:11 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102434-8068>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:41:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA12450; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:38:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:39:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2688176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 09:33:26 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA52522 for ; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 09:17:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67738 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 29 Aug 1996 09:17:35 -0500 Date: Thu, 29 Aug 1996 09:17:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290917 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608291417.AA67738@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 103319 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 29.6N7 175.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N7 175.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 32.1N6 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 33.6N2 175.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 34.9N6 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 30.2N5 175.7E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (TD22W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION LOCATED EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. SATELLITE-BASED MICROWAVE IMAGERY (SSM/I) DATA INDICATES THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE LOCATED WELL AWAY FROM THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH WINDS BETWEEN 30-35 KNOTS PRESENT UP TO 240 NM EAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 00:50:11 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102435-8068>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:50:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA15283; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:48:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 00:46:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2692386 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 15:02:33 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA60000 for ; Thu, 29 Aug 1996 15:02:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83986 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 29 Aug 1996 15:02:16 -0500 Date: Thu, 29 Aug 1996 15:02:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -291502 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608292002.AA83986@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 7695 WTPN32 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 27.2N1 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N1 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.6N5 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.9N8 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 28.2N2 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 28.4N4 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 28.7N7 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 27.3N2 147.8E0 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4), 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0), 301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301955Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 05:43:45 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102442-8068>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 05:43:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA05791; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 05:41:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 05:42:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2704054 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 16:44:06 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA51704 for ; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:50:16 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA50810 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:50:15 -0500 Date: Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:50:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -301550 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608302050.AA50810@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 39543 WTPN32 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 27.2N1 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N1 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.6N5 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.9N8 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 28.2N2 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 28.4N4 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 28.7N7 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 27.3N2 147.8E0 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS TO THE WE ST-NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4), 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0), 301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301955Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPIC AL DEPRESSION 22W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 05:45:45 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102442-8073>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 05:45:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA06647; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 05:43:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 05:44:31 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2704108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 16:46:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA52286 for ; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:50:53 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA56728 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:50:51 -0500 Date: Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:50:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -301550 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608302050.AA56728@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 8341 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 29.6N7 175.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N7 175.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 32.1N6 176.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 33.6N2 175.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 34.9N6 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 30.2N5 175.7E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (TD22W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 16 KNOTS From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 06:01:27 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102452-8074>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 06:01:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA13199; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 05:59:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 05:59:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2704358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 17:01:34 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA48206 for ; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:52:20 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43950 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:52:18 -0500 Date: Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:52:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -301552 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608302052.AA43950@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 67755 WTPN32 PGTW 292100 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 27.2N1 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N1 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.6N5 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.9N8 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 28.2N2 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 28.4N4 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 28.7N7 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 27.3N2 147.8E0 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS TO THE WE ST-NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300155Z4), 300900Z2 (DTG 300755Z0), 301500Z9 (DTG 301355Z7) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301955Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPIC AL DEPRESSION 22W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 07:01:17 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102252-4989>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 07:01:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA24093; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 06:24:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8S4HC7CPS00331G@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 06:24:58 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2705002 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 17:26:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA52198 for ; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:59:22 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82394 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:59:21 -0500 Date: Fri, 30 Aug 1996 15:59:21 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -301559 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608302059.AA82394@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 43991 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) WARNING NR 008 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM RICK (22W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 31.6N0 171.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.6N0 171.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 32.5N0 171.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 33.3N9 171.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 33.8N4 172.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 31.8N2 171.8E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (TD 22W) HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM (RICK). TD 22W IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BY 011200Z SEP. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310151Z1), AND 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS, STARTING WITH THE 310300Z7 WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STROM ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDA TES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 09:05:37 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102311-4982>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 09:05:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA01883; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 09:03:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8X00VW9S0003RNY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 09:04:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2709348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 20:05:42 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA18014 for ; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 16:03:05 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36067 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 30 Aug 1996 16:03:03 -0500 Date: Fri, 30 Aug 1996 16:03:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -301603 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608302103.AA36067@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77792 WTPN32 PGTW 302100 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 28.7N7 145.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.7N7 145.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 29.4N5 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 29.8N9 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 30.5N8 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 31.6N0 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 35.7N5 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 28.9N9 145.2E2 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 8 KNOTS. ORSON IS EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310300Z7 (DTG 310155Z5), 310900Z3 (DTG 310755Z1), 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8) AND 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDA TES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 09:23:29 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102311-4984>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 09:23:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA09717; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 09:21:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8X00VW9S0003RNY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 09:22:05 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2709585 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 20:23:42 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA74478 for ; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 20:23:42 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49111 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 30 Aug 1996 20:23:40 -0500 Date: Fri, 30 Aug 1996 20:23:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -302023 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608310123.AA49111@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 41940 WTPN31 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 31.2N6 172.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 00 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 31.2N6 172.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 31.4N8 172.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 32.2N7 172.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 33.2N8 173.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 31.2N6 172.3E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) IS QUASI-STATIONARY. OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS ITS FORWARD MOTION HAS DROPPED FROM 08 KNOTS TO 00 KNOTS. TD 22W IS ANTICIPATED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND MERGE INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL FRONTAL BOUNDARY BY 01/12Z SEP. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311351Z4) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 10:38:29 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102310-4989>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 10:38:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA10962; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 10:36:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8X738X1M80039UE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 10:37:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2710353 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 21:38:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA60168 for ; Fri, 30 Aug 1996 21:31:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA56669 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 30 Aug 1996 21:31:29 -0500 Date: Fri, 30 Aug 1996 21:31:29 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -302131 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608310231.AA56669@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 47194 WTPN32 PGTW 310300 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310000Z4 --- 29.1N2 145.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 145.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z7 --- 29.8N9 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 30.4N7 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 31.8N2 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 33.5N1 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 37.1N1 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310300Z7 POSITION 29.3N4 144.7E6 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION OF TS ORSON HAS IMPROVED SLIGHTLY. IT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND IT WILL LIKELY REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY ONCE AGAIN BY 01/0000Z1 SEP. WE HAVE SEVERAL NUMERICAL FORECAST MODELS AVAILABLE WHICH INDICATE TS ORSON SHOULD INTENSIFY, BUT RECURVE BEFORE IT REACHES HONSHU. NONE OF OUR AVAILABLE NUMERICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATE THIS SYSTEM WILL REACH HONSHU, ALTHOUGH STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATE THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE IT MAY COME CLOSE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 310900Z3 (DTG 310755Z1), 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8), 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310000Z4 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 14:34:51 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102250-4987>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 14:34:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA29980; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 14:32:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8X738X1M80039UE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 14:33:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2713349 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 01:35:09 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA32776 for ; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 01:35:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47230 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 31 Aug 1996 01:35:07 -0500 Date: Sat, 31 Aug 1996 01:35:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -310135 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608310635.AA47230@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 71803 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z AUG/010600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310155Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/310151Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.1N2 145.1E1, MOVING NNORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 38 (WTPN32 PGTW 310300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 310000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) WAS LOCATED AT 31.2N6 172.3E3 AND QUASI-STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 09 (WTPN31 PGTW 310300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 16N7 126E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 23N5 137E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 09N9 112E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH CONVERGENT WIND FLOW NEAR THE SURFACE. THIS MCC HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETRY DO NOT SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/CAVALIERI/HAM/UROGI// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 15:40:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102250-4987>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 15:40:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA04244; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 15:38:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8XICV96IO003QA0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 15:39:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2713550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 02:40:11 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA53530 for ; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 02:40:11 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA79958 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 31 Aug 1996 02:40:09 -0500 Date: Sat, 31 Aug 1996 02:40:09 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -310240 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608310740.AA79958@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 76115 WTPN32 PGTW 310900 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 039 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 310600Z0 --- 29.4N5 144.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.4N5 144.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 30.2N5 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 31.1N5 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 32.5N0 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 34.2N9 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 37.5N5 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 310900Z3 POSITION 29.6N7 144.1E0 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM. IT IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT APPROXIMATELY 7 KNOTS. THERE IS ESSENTIALLY VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO OUR TRACK FORECAST. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED UPON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 65 KNOTS. CURRENT WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ENLARGED SLIGHTLY DUE TO RECENT SHIP OBS IN THE AREA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 311500Z0 (DTG 311355Z8), 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4), 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010755Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 310600Z0 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 21:59:43 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102454-4982>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 21:59:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA04246; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 21:57:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8XVIUVKN4002JVU@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 21:58:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2716228 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 08:59:43 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA23876 for ; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 08:59:41 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA108551 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 31 Aug 1996 08:59:40 -0500 Date: Sat, 31 Aug 1996 08:59:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -310859 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608311359.AA108551@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 111620 WTPN32 PGTW 311500 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 29.8N9 143.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 143.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 30.4N7 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 31.2N6 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 32.0N5 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 34.0N7 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 39.1N3 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 30.0N3 143.7E5 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU. ORSON IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE 24- AND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO INTENSIFY. AFTER THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, ORSON IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND TO WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z7 (DTG 311955Z4), 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2), 010900Z0 (DTG 010755Z8) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 311200Z ARE 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Aug 31 22:40:33 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102322-4989>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 22:40:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA06736; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 22:38:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8XVIUVKN4002JVU@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 22:39:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2716776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 09:40:44 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA29956 for ; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 09:39:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65988 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 31 Aug 1996 09:39:36 -0500 Date: Sat, 31 Aug 1996 09:39:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -310939 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608311439.AA65988@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 7361 WTPN31 PGTW 311500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z7 --- 32.3N8 173.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 32.3N8 173.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 33.2N8 174.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 34.1N8 177.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 311500Z0 POSITION 32.5N0 173.4E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS. TD 22W (RICK) IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 311200Z ARE 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HAWAII (WWPN31 PHNC) FOR FUTURE ADVISORIES ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO TYPHOON ORSON (19W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 1 04:05:06 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102455-4987>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 04:04:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA26041; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 04:02:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8Y3N9RHF4003HLE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 04:03:46 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2721062 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 15:05:23 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA95330 for ; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 15:05:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA118067 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 31 Aug 1996 15:05:20 -0500 Date: Sat, 31 Aug 1996 15:05:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -311505 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199608312005.AA118067@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 94768 WTPN32 PGTW 312100 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z3 --- 30.5N8 143.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.5N8 143.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 31.6N0 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 32.8N3 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 34.8N5 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 36.8N7 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 41.3N8 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 312100Z7 POSITION 30.8N1 143.5E3 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) CONTINUES MOVING NORTHWESTWARD. ORSON IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BETWEEN THE 24- AND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. ORSON IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BETWEEN THE 48- AND THE 72-HOUR POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2), 010900Z0 (DTG 010755Z8), 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011955Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 311800Z ARE 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) (WTPN31 PGTW 311500) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 1 10:08:53 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102182-261>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 10:08:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA05569; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 10:06:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8YBHPVI0W003SGG@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 10:07:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2723897 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 21:09:04 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA39890 for ; Sat, 31 Aug 1996 21:09:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA08699 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 31 Aug 1996 21:09:03 -0500 Date: Sat, 31 Aug 1996 21:09:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -312109 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609010209.AA08699@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 46328 WTPN32 PGTW 010300 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 042 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 30.9N2 143.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.9N2 143.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 31.9N3 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 33.6N2 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 35.8N6 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 38.4N5 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 42.3N9 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 31.2N6 143.4E2 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. IT HAS BEGUN ITS FORECASTED TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. AT THIS TIME IT STILL HAS A VERY LARGE RAGGED EYE. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED SLIGHTLY TO ACCOUNT FOR SYNOPTIC AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA, AND THE LARGE SIZE OF THE EYEWALL. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TRACK. ALL OF OUR OBJECTIVE FORECAST GUIDANCE, INCLUDING DYNAMICAL, STATISTICAL, AND CLIMATOLOGICAL METHODS, ARE IN VERY CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THIS FORECAST TRACK. TY ORSON IS FORECAST TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN TWELVE HOURS AS IT CROSSES THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURE CENTER. TY ORSON IS FORECAST TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY OUR 72 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 311500) FOR DETAILS ON THE OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE BASIN.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 1 13:50:25 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102323-264>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 13:50:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA16787; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 13:48:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8YQNWIF5C003F0Z@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 13:49:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2726026 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 00:50:16 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA73468 for ; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 00:50:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49037 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 1 Sep 1996 00:50:12 -0500 Date: Sun, 01 Sep 1996 00:50:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -010050 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609010550.AA49037@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 66698 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010155Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/311351Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 30.9N2 143.4E2, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 42(WTPN32 PGTW 010300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 311200Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) WAS LOCATED AT 32.3N8 173.0E1 MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 311500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS OF THE FINAL WARNING FOR THIS SYSTEM. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 09N9 112E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/CAVALIERI/HAM/UROGI// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 1 16:15:27 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102282-261>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 16:15:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA24170; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 16:13:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8YX8OPSNK0041T1@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 16:14:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2726358 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 03:15:30 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA16962 for ; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 03:15:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67710 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 1 Sep 1996 03:15:29 -0500 Date: Sun, 01 Sep 1996 03:15:29 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -010315 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609010815.AA67710@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 10107 WTPN32 PGTW 010900 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 043 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 31.4N8 143.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.4N8 143.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 33.3N9 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 35.5N3 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 38.0N1 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 40.5N9 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 43.3N0 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 31.9N3 143.2E0 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 06 KNOTS. VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE EYE OF TY ORSON HAS BECOME MORE RAGGED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. OUR FORECAST IS FOR TY ORSON TO CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND THEN TURN NORTHEAST. ALL OF OUR AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE FORECAST GUIDANCE AGREE WITH OUR FORECAST TRACK. AS TY ORSON MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION TY ORSON SHOULD BEGIN TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE BY 04/0000Z4 SEP, WITH THE SYSTEM CONTINUING TO SUSTAIN GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE TRANSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5), 012100Z4 (DTG 011955Z1), 020300Z5 (DTG 020155Z3) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 311500) FOR DETAILS ON THE OTHER ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 1 16:40:07 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102323-263>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 16:40:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA25223; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 16:37:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8YYT0G3SW004218@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 16:38:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2726459 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 03:40:24 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA85042 for ; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 03:40:23 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA76813 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 1 Sep 1996 03:40:22 -0500 Date: Sun, 01 Sep 1996 03:40:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -010340 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609010840.AA76813@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 76042 WTPN32 PGTW 010900 COR 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 043A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 31.4N8 143.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.4N8 143.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 33.3N9 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 35.5N3 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 38.0N1 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 40.5N9 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 43.3N0 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 31.9N3 143.2E0 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 06 KNOTS. VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE EYE OF TY ORSON HAS BECOME MORE RAGGED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. OUR FORECAST IS FOR TY ORSON TO CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND THEN TURN NORTHEAST. ALL OF OUR AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE FORECAST GUIDANCE AGREE WITH OUR FORECAST TRACK. AS TY ORSON MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. NEAR THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION TY ORSON SHOULD BEGIN TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO BE COMPLETE BY 04/0000Z4 SEP, WITH THE SYSTEM CONTINUING TO SUSTAIN GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE TRANSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5), 012100Z4 (DTG 011955Z1), 020300Z5 (DTG 020155Z3) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z7 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W (RICK) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 311500) FOR DETAILS ON THE OTHER ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED TO REMOVE 50 KT RADII FROM 48 HOUR OUTLOOK POSITION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 2 03:40:38 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102376-265>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 03:40:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA02196; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 03:38:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8ZINVEY3K003TLG@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 03:39:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2732653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 14:40:59 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA08274 for ; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 14:40:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA76239 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 1 Sep 1996 14:40:56 -0500 Date: Sun, 01 Sep 1996 14:40:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -011440 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609011940.AA76239@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 66764 WTPN32 PGTW 012100 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 045 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 33.8N4 145.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.8N4 145.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 36.1N0 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 38.0N1 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 39.9N1 153.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 41.4N9 158.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 44.0N8 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 34.4N1 145.5E5 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) CONTINUES MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 14 KNOTS. ORSON IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 48- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020155Z3), 020900Z1 (DTG 020755Z9), 021500Z8 (DTG 021355Z6) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021955Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 011800Z ARE 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 2 09:58:44 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102324-19694>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 09:58:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA18225; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 09:56:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8ZWH28RA8003VF4@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 09:57:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2737055 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 20:59:11 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA53734 for ; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 20:59:10 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61891 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 1 Sep 1996 20:59:07 -0500 Date: Sun, 01 Sep 1996 20:59:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -012059 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609020159.AA61891@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 54208 WTPN32 PGTW 020300 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 046 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 34.6N3 146.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.6N3 146.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 36.7N6 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 38.8N9 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 40.4N8 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 41.7N2 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 43.4N1 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 000 KT, GUSTS 010 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 35.1N9 146.6E7 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. IT IS NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. WIND FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE STEERING IT TO THE NORTHEAST, AND AS TY ORSON MOVES FURTHER NORTH THE STRENGTH OF THIS STEERING FLOW SHOULD INCREASE, ACCELERATING THE MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO OCCUR BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS, WITH COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY 040000Z4 SEP. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE TRANSITION. NOTE THAT GALE FORCE WIND RADII ARE NOT INDICATED FOR EXTRATROPICAL POSITIONS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 2 12:19:58 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102176-19694>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 12:19:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA08324; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 12:17:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I8ZWH28RA8003VF4@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 12:18:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2739170 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 23:19:37 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA82610 for ; Sun, 1 Sep 1996 23:19:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43650 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 1 Sep 1996 23:19:35 -0500 Date: Sun, 01 Sep 1996 23:19:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -012319 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609020419.AA43650@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 65919 WTPN32 PGTW 020300 COR 1. TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 046A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 34.6N3 146.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.6N3 146.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 36.7N6 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 38.8N9 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 40.4N8 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTR$L D RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 41.7N2 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 43.4N1 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 35.1N9 146.6E7 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. IT IS NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. WIND FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE STEERING IT TO THE NORTHEAST, AND AS TY ORSON MOVES FURTHER NORTH THE STRENGTH OF THIS STEERING FLOW SHOULD INCREASE, ACCELERATING THE MOTION OF THIS SYSTEM. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS FORECAST TO OCCUR BETWEEN 36 AND 48 HOURS, WITH COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY 040000Z4 SEP. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN GALE FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE TRANSITION. NOTE THAT GALE FORCE WIND RADII ARE NOT INDICATED FOR EXTRATROPICAL POSITIONS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z2 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTED WIND RADII TYPO AT 72 HOUR POSITION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 2 15:38:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102454-19697>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 15:38:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA01442; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 15:36:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I908ZY74DC003QYG@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 15:36:54 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2740773 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 02:37:49 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA66710 for ; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 02:37:49 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43615 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 2 Sep 1996 02:37:48 -0500 Date: Mon, 02 Sep 1996 02:37:48 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -020237 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609020737.AA43615@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 60508 WTPN32 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 047 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON ORSON (19W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 36.2N1 146.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.2N1 146.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 39.4N6 150.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 41.8N3 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 43.0N7 160.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 44.1N9 167.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 47.0N1 179.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 37.0N0 147.6E8 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. IT IS SLOWLY WEAKENING WHILE MOVING POLEWARD INTO A HIGHER WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS ANTICIPATED TO COMMENCE WITHIN 24 HOURS AND BE COMPLETE WITHIN 48 HOURS (BY 040000Z4). ALL AVAILABLE OBJECTIVE FORECAST GUIDANCE IS IN VERY CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH OUR FORECAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021355Z6), 022100Z5 (DTG 021955Z2), 030300Z6 (DTG 030155Z4) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030755Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z8 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 2 15:48:40 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102454-19694>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 15:48:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA02430; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 15:46:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I908ZY74DC003QYG@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 15:47:24 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2740844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 02:48:55 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA22064 for ; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 02:48:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA76970 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 2 Sep 1996 02:48:53 -0500 Date: Mon, 02 Sep 1996 02:48:53 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -020248 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609020748.AA76970@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 43687 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020155Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 34.6N3 146.0E1, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 46A (WTPN32 PGTW 020300 COR)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 145E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION SURROUNDING AN INVERTED TROUGH IN THE TRADE WIND FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/CAVALIERI/HAM/UROGI// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 2 21:29:14 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102305-19701>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 21:29:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA03903; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 21:27:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I90JK2Q15S003QYT@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 21:27:56 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2743806 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 08:29:35 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA36002 for ; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 08:26:03 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58650 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 2 Sep 1996 08:26:02 -0500 Date: Mon, 02 Sep 1996 08:26:02 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -020826 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609021326.AA58650@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 97815 WTPN32 PGTW 021500 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 048 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 38.4N5 148.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 38.4N5 148.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 41.7N2 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 43.8N5 159.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 45.1N0 165.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 46.2N2 171.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 48.1N3 174.3W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 39.2N4 150.2E8 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) CONTINUES TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 25 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LOSE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021955Z2), 030300Z6 (DTG 030155Z4), 030900Z2 (DTG 030755Z0) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031355Z7). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 021200Z ARE 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 3 04:44:09 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102472-19701>; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 04:44:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA09161; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 04:41:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I90V597F8G003FPF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 04:42:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2745519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 15:44:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA68092 for ; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 15:44:11 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61246 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 2 Sep 1996 14:56:43 -0500 Date: Mon, 02 Sep 1996 14:56:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -021456 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609021956.AA61246@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40507 WTPN32 PGTW 022100 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 049 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 40.0N4 151.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 40.0N4 151.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 42.7N3 156.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 44.3N1 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 45.5N4 167.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 46.5N5 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 46.9N9 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 40.7N1 152.8E6 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 25 KNOTS. ORSON IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AND TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24-HOUR WARNING POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG 030155Z4), 030900Z2 (DTG 030755Z0), 031500Z9 (DTG 031355Z7) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031955Z3). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 021800Z ARE 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 3 06:57:03 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102156-17072>; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 06:56:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA12460; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 06:54:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I90V597F8G003FPF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 06:55:46 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2749219 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 17:57:25 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA06658 for ; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 17:57:06 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA118257 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 2 Sep 1996 17:57:05 -0500 Date: Mon, 02 Sep 1996 17:57:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -021757 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609022257.AA118257@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71918 ABPW10 PGTW 022300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/022300Z/030600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/022155Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 021800Z1 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 40.0N4 151.4E1, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 49 (WTPN32 PGTW 021800)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 145E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 143E8. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT, WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/REZA/PUGH// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 3 09:43:56 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102160-17066>; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 09:43:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA22312; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 09:41:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I90V597F8G003FPF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 09:42:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2751203 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 20:44:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA26912 for ; Mon, 2 Sep 1996 20:44:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66650 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 2 Sep 1996 20:44:02 -0500 Date: Mon, 02 Sep 1996 20:44:02 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -022044 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609030144.AA66650@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 76119 WTPN32 PGTW 030300 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 050 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 41.1N6 153.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 41.1N6 153.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 42.7N3 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 44.2N0 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 41.5N0 154.8E8 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS AS IT BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BETWEEN 031200Z AND 031800Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030755Z0), 031500Z9 (DTG 031355Z7) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031955Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 3 14:16:18 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102481-17080>; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 14:16:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA23167; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 14:14:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I90V597F8G003FPF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 14:14:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2755581 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 01:16:02 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA03708 for ; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 01:13:41 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66245 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 3 Sep 1996 01:13:40 -0500 Date: Tue, 03 Sep 1996 01:13:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -030113 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609030613.AA66245@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 36034 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030155Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 41.1N6 153.6E5, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 50 (WTPN32 PGTW 030300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 143E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 142E7. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/BOGLE/PUGH// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 3 16:41:38 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102311-17080>; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 16:41:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA11271; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 16:39:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I91RABCX00003W1V@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 16:40:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2756156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 03:41:49 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA03786 for ; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 03:41:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66791 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 3 Sep 1996 03:41:47 -0500 Date: Tue, 03 Sep 1996 03:41:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -030341 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609030841.AA66791@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 52708 WTPN32 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WARNING NR 051 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 42.4N0 156.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 340 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 42.4N0 156.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 43.9N6 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 44.6N4 169.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 45.0N9 177.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 45.2N1 178.4W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 42.8N4 158.2E6 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) IS MOVING RAPIDLY AT 25 KNOTS TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN (WWPN31 PHNC) FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 4 07:15:35 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102189-17164>; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 07:15:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id HAA22952; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 07:13:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I91UT10T00003O0A@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 07:14:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2766771 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 18:15:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA57086 for ; Tue, 3 Sep 1996 18:15:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53114 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 3 Sep 1996 18:15:44 -0500 Date: Tue, 03 Sep 1996 18:15:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -031815 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609032315.AA53114@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 113527 WTPN21 PGTW 032300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 032251Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.8N0 138.8E0 TO 12.5N8 134.2E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 032131Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 138.1E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, NORTH OF YAP. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT ANTICYCLONIC FLOW, WHICH FAVORS CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. POSITION IS BASED PRIMARILY ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 042300Z9.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 5 00:31:30 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102207-17164>; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 00:31:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03789; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 00:29:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I91UT10T00003O0A@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 00:30:03 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2771944 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 00:55:19 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA03608 for ; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 00:55:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49084 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 4 Sep 1996 00:55:16 -0500 Date: Wed, 04 Sep 1996 00:55:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -040055 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609040555.AA49084@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 25273 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030755Z AUG 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/032351Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030600Z9 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT 42.4N0 156.5E7, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W WARNING NR 51 (WTPN32 PGTW 030900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 143E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 137E1 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 032300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/PUGH/BOGLE// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 5 00:38:30 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102486-17168>; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 00:38:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA05059; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 00:36:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I91UT10T00003O0A@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 00:34:55 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2775071 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 09:40:59 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA30402 for ; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 09:33:24 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49684 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 4 Sep 1996 09:33:22 -0500 Date: Wed, 04 Sep 1996 09:33:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -040933 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609041433.AA49684@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 100113 ABPW10 PGTW 041300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/041300Z/050600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/032251Z AUG 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 137E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 134.7E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 032300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 151E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE INCREASED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. AT 041200Z7, THE CIRCULATION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 151.0E7. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 6 12:23:57 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102243-10857>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:23:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA24716; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:21:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I95PAH6A1C00004X@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:21:54 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2781814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 18:14:08 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA06804 for ; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 18:14:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82980 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 4 Sep 1996 18:14:06 -0500 Date: Wed, 04 Sep 1996 18:14:06 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -041814 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609042314.AA82980@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 43553 WTPN21 PGTW 042300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 042251Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/032251Z SEP 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 032300)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.6N0 135.2E1 TO 16.5N2 131.9E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 042030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N7 134.8E6. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. ISSUANCE OF AN INITIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM IS VERY LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WE HAVE NOTICED A SIGNIFICANT DISCREPANCY BETWEEN DATA SOURCES AS TO THE LOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM. WE WILL HAVE GOOD CONFIDENCE ON THE ACTUAL LOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS, HOWEVER THE PREVIOUS TCFA (REF A) WAS DUE TO EXPIRE BEFORE ADEQUATE INFORMATION FOR A WARNING COULD ARRIVE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 052300Z0.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 6 12:28:27 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102232-10865>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:28:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA25739; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:26:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I95PAH6A1C00004X@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:24:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2782992 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 20:36:22 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA10132 for ; Wed, 4 Sep 1996 20:36:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53147 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 4 Sep 1996 20:36:19 -0500 Date: Wed, 04 Sep 1996 20:36:19 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -042036 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609050136.AA53147@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 70808 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 14.1N6 135.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 135.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 14.7N2 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.1N7 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.6N2 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.1N8 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.5N3 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 14.2N7 134.8E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. IT IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 04 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. THERE ARE NUMEROUS LOW CLOUD LINES SPIRALING INTO THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. THIS SYSTEM HAS TAKEN ITS TIME TO ORGANIZE, BUT HAS FORMED UP NICELY AFTER MOST OF THE CONVECTION COLLAPSED YESTERDAY. WE ANTICIPATE THIS SYSTEM TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING SLOWLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN TO INTENSIFY AT A MORE CLIMA- TOLOGICAL RATE BEYOND 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050751Z8), 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 042251Z SEP 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 042300) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 6 12:31:57 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102232-10865>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:31:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA26537; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:29:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I95PAH6A1C00004X@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:28:16 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2786996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 01:10:23 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA94392 for ; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 01:10:22 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA22090 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 5 Sep 1996 01:10:21 -0500 Date: Thu, 05 Sep 1996 01:10:21 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -050110 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609050610.AA22090@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 76103 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050151Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 050000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WAS LOCATED AT 14.1N6 135.0E9, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 23W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 134.7E5 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 151E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 165E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE LOW- LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 21N3 154E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE WITH WEAK UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/UROGI// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 6 12:33:47 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102168-10857>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:33:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA27141; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:31:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I95PAH6A1C00004X@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:29:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2788053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 04:23:54 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA71736 for ; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 04:23:53 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA120323 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 5 Sep 1996 04:23:52 -0500 Date: Thu, 05 Sep 1996 04:23:52 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050423 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609050923.AA120323@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 65792 WTPN31 PGTW 050900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 14.8N3 133.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.8N3 133.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 15.4N0 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 15.8N4 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.3N0 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 16.8N5 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.0N9 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 14.9N4 133.6E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. IT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE AND INTENSIFY. TD 23W IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO WEAK SOUTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051351Z5), 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION: MESSAGE CORRECTED FOR INCORRECT POSITIONS AT ALL FORECAST HOURS DUE TO ERRORS WITH COMPUTER SOFTWARE. ALL POSITIONS LISTED ON PREVIOUS MESSAGE WERE APPROXIMATELY 1 DEGREE TO THE EAST OF INTENDED WARNING POSITIONS.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 6 12:42:57 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102236-10863>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:42:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA00406; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:40:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I95PAH6A1C00004X@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:32:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2790089 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 09:19:53 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAB25882 for ; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 09:19:51 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88437 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 5 Sep 1996 09:19:50 -0500 Date: Thu, 05 Sep 1996 09:19:50 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050919 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609051419.AA88437@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 108658 WTPN31 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 14.7N2 133.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 133.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 15.1N7 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 15.4N0 131.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 15.9N5 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 16.4N1 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 17.1N9 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 14.8N3 132.8E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 23W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1), 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 051200Z ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 6 12:46:19 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102262-10861>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:46:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA01532; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:44:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I95PAH6A1C00004X@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:40:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2794696 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 15:13:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA50330 for ; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 15:06:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82977 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 5 Sep 1996 15:06:08 -0500 Date: Thu, 05 Sep 1996 15:06:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -051506 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609052006.AA82977@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 102430 WTPN31 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL STORM SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 15.4N0 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 16.0N7 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 16.6N3 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 17.0N8 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 17.3N1 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 17.6N4 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 15.6N2 132.1E7 TROPICAL STORM SALLY (23W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. TROPICAL STORM SALLY CONTINUES TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AT 7 KNOTS. SALLY IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 051800Z4 ARE 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 6 12:55:38 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102264-10863>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:55:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA04678; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:53:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I95PAH6A1C00004X@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 12:45:56 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2799642 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 20:57:47 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA39976 for ; Thu, 5 Sep 1996 20:57:47 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA92016 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 5 Sep 1996 20:57:44 -0500 Date: Thu, 05 Sep 1996 20:57:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -052057 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609060157.AA92016@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 84333 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL STORM SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 15.6N2 132.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 132.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 16.3N0 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 16.8N5 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 17.4N2 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 17.7N5 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 17.9N7 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 15.8N4 131.6E1 TROPICAL STORM SALLY (23W) IS INTENSIFYING QUICKLY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AND MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING A RANGE OF 45 TO 55 KNOT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T3.0 TO T3.5). CURRENT WIND RADII ARE BASED UPON QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS OF CLOUD FEATURES ON VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. VERY LITTLE SYNOPTIC DATA AND NO SCATTEROMETRY OR MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY (SSM/I) WAS AVAILABLE TO REFINE OUR WIND RADII ESTIMATES. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE IS FORMING, WHICH SUPPORTS OUR FORECAST OF REACHING TYPHOON INTENSITY WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. NUMERICAL MODELS INDICATE THIS SAME TREND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9), 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 6 13:33:40 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102271-10863>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 13:33:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA09838; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 13:31:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I95PAH6A1C00004X@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 13:32:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2802849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 00:33:48 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA48614 for ; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 00:33:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43592 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 6 Sep 1996 00:33:46 -0500 Date: Fri, 06 Sep 1996 00:33:46 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -060033 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609060533.AA43592@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 37957 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060151Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL STORM SALLY (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 132.0E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 05 (WTPN31 PGTW 060300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 11N2 165E2 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 21N3 154E0 IS DISSIPATING IN A REGION OF HIGH PRESSURE AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/MILLER/UROGI// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 6 15:39:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102260-10863>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 15:39:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA29543; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 15:37:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I95WGJI0KW00018D@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 15:38:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2804027 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 02:38:43 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA50730 for ; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 02:38:42 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA37970 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 6 Sep 1996 02:38:41 -0500 Date: Fri, 06 Sep 1996 02:38:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060238 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609060738.AA37970@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 107855 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 006 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM SALLY (23W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 16.5N2 130.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH QUADRANT 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 130.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 17.5N3 129.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 18.0N9 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 18.3N2 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 18.6N5 124.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 19.1N1 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 16.8N5 130.4E8 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 09 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. AS OF WARNING TIME AN EYE IS NOT QUITE VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT IT APPEARS CLOSE TO DEVELOPING. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED DIRECTLY ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 65 KNOT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T4.0). OUR WIND RADII ANALYSIS MAY LOOK A LITTLE UNUSUAL, BUT IT IS BASED ON VERY GOOD DATA FROM A SCATTEROMETRY PASS DIRECTLY OVER TY SALLY. THIS DATA HAS INDICATED OUR PREVIOUS WIND RADII WERE SLIGHTLY TOO LARGE AT ANAL TIME. OUR FORECAST TRACK AND INTENSITY PHILOSOPHY REMAINS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. DUE TO THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF TY SALLY, THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN AND HEAD DUE WEST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061351Z6), 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 6 22:00:14 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102523-10863>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 22:00:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA11676; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 21:58:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I962A5A7W00001II@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 21:58:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2806794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 09:00:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA69218 for ; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 09:00:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA77376 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 6 Sep 1996 09:00:16 -0500 Date: Fri, 06 Sep 1996 09:00:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060900 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609061400.AA77376@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 71741 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 17.2N0 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 129.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 18.1N0 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.5N4 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 18.6N5 123.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 18.6N5 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 18.9N8 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 17.4N2 128.9E0 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) CONTINUES TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. SALLY HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. SALLY IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING WESTWARD AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061951Z2), 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 061200Z9 ARE 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 7 03:59:40 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102538-10863>; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 03:59:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA10005; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 03:57:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I962A5A7W00001II@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 03:58:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2810689 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 14:59:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA60300 for ; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 14:59:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA78743 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 6 Sep 1996 14:59:55 -0500 Date: Fri, 06 Sep 1996 14:59:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -061459 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609061959.AA78743@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 66708 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 17.7N5 128.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 128.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 18.4N3 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 18.9N8 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 19.0N0 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.1N1 118.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 19.6N6 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 17.9N7 127.5E5 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) CONTINUES TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. SALLY IS FORECAST TO TURN WESTWARD NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070151Z4), 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 061800Z5 ARE 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 7 10:23:46 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102196-6907>; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 10:23:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA26500; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 10:21:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I96XBQBNWG0008JB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 10:22:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2814704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 21:24:01 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA90868 for ; Fri, 6 Sep 1996 21:22:35 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA98963 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 6 Sep 1996 21:22:34 -0500 Date: Fri, 06 Sep 1996 21:22:34 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -062122 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609070222.AA98963@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 75152 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 18.1N0 126.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 126.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 18.8N7 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.1N1 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 19.4N4 116.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 19.8N8 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 20.8N0 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 18.3N2 126.0E9 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. SALLY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070751Z0), 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 7 15:07:47 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102419-6901>; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 15:07:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA21357; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 15:05:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9793OGKZK0009QG@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 15:06:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2817784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 02:07:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA33140 for ; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 02:07:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53395 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 7 Sep 1996 02:07:49 -0500 Date: Sat, 07 Sep 1996 02:07:49 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -070207 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609070707.AA53395@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 24976 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070151Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z6 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.1N0 126.8E7, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 7 16:41:28 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102552-6901>; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 16:41:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA27349; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 16:39:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I97AYK76KG00091L@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 16:40:00 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2817934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 03:41:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA93144 for ; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 03:41:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA114816 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 7 Sep 1996 03:41:08 -0500 Date: Sat, 07 Sep 1996 03:41:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070341 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609070841.AA114816@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 51069 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 18.7N6 125.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 125.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 19.4N4 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 19.6N6 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 19.9N9 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.1N3 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 20.4N6 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 18.9N8 124.3E0 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND ACCELERATE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071351Z7), 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 7 22:17:29 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102563-6907>; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 22:17:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA15248; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 22:15:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I97L2X8GMO00093O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 22:16:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2819842 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 09:17:39 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA34828 for ; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 09:16:23 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66047 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 7 Sep 1996 09:16:22 -0500 Date: Sat, 07 Sep 1996 09:16:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070916 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609071416.AA66047@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 44796 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 18.9N8 123.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 123.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 19.3N3 120.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 19.7N7 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.3N5 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 20.6N8 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.2N5 104.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 19.0N0 122.8E3 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT SLOWLY GAINS LATITUDE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071951Z3), 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 8 00:38:13 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102567-6907>; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 00:38:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA24903; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 00:35:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I97L2X8GMO00093O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 00:36:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2821179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 11:38:17 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id LAA06740 for ; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 11:38:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA85011 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 7 Sep 1996 11:38:16 -0500 Date: Sat, 07 Sep 1996 11:38:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -071138 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609071638.AA85011@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 44560 ABPW10 PGTW 071600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/071600Z/080600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071351Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 071200Z0 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.9N8 123.6E2, MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 11 (WTPN31 PGTW 071500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 149E4. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTIION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS UNORGANIZED. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH TO THE SOUTHWEST (12N3 147E2) OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/PUGH/BOGLE// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 8 03:55:56 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102571-6901>; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 03:55:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA06455; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 03:53:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I97L2X8GMO00093O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 03:54:42 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2822839 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 14:56:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA54904 for ; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 14:53:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA50529 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 7 Sep 1996 14:53:35 -0500 Date: Sat, 07 Sep 1996 14:53:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -071453 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609071953.AA50529@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 56670 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. SUPER TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 19.2N2 121.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 121.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 19.8N8 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.4N6 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.9N1 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.2N5 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 21.0N3 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 19.3N3 121.1E5 SUPER TYPHOON SALLY (23W), UPGRADED FROM A TYPHOON, HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS. THE SYSTEMIS MOVING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, HOWEVER, IT MAY SHOW PERIODS OF INTENSIFICATION AND WEAKENING OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. AFTER 36 HOURS, A GENERAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH LAND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 8 10:32:54 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102197-256>; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 10:32:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA16830; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 10:30:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I98BL4KBU8000COZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 10:31:24 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2826525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 21:33:00 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA99054 for ; Sat, 7 Sep 1996 21:33:00 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA40701 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 7 Sep 1996 21:32:59 -0500 Date: Sat, 07 Sep 1996 21:32:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -072132 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609080232.AA40701@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 69882 WTPN31 PGTW 080300 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 19.5N5 119.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 119.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 20.2N4 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.8N0 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 21.2N5 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 21.6N9 105.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 21.6N9 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 19.7N7 118.8E8 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (125 KNOTS) HAVE BEEN REDUCED BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES, HOWEVER SALLY REMAINS A VERY STRONG TYPHOON. WIND RADII HAVE ALSO BEEN REDUCED BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA. SALLY (23W) IS EXPECTED TO PEAK IN INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 8 13:48:08 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102253-258>; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 13:48:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA28387; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 13:46:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I98BL4KBU8000COZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 13:46:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2829384 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 00:48:34 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA14268 for ; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 00:48:33 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA32872 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 8 Sep 1996 00:48:32 -0500 Date: Sun, 08 Sep 1996 00:48:32 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -080048 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609080548.AA32872@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77413 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080151Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.5N5 119.8E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 141E6. SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD MONSOON DEPRESSION WITH THE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13N4 141E6. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THAT CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS LIMITED TO A BROAD RING APPROXIMATELY 600 NM IN DIAMETER, CENTERED ON THE ABOVE LOCATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND ARE LIMITED TO CONVECTIVE REGIONS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 170E8. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW (TUTT CELL) WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTION EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THIS LOCATION. NO CIRCULATION IS YET EVIDENT AT THE SURFACE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 160E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS NO ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS YET ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 9 00:32:04 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102297-258>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 00:32:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA06014; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 00:30:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I98BL4KBU8000COZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 00:30:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2829921 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 02:55:29 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA61708 for ; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 02:55:28 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA100722 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 8 Sep 1996 02:55:27 -0500 Date: Sun, 08 Sep 1996 02:55:27 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080255 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609080755.AA100722@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 32879 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 19.8N8 117.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 117.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 20.4N6 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 20.9N1 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.3N6 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.7N0 103.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 22.4N8 98.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 20.0N2 116.6E4 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 08060000Z IS 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 9 00:33:34 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102301-256>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 00:33:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA06550; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 00:31:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I98BL4KBU8000COZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 00:31:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2831793 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 08:53:49 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA35020 for ; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 08:53:49 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA91824 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 8 Sep 1996 08:53:47 -0500 Date: Sun, 08 Sep 1996 08:53:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080853 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609081353.AA91824@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 120749 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 20.2N4 115.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 115.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 20.8N0 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 21.3N6 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 21.6N9 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.9N2 101.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 22.3N7 96.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 20.3N5 114.9E5 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND BEGIN ON AN OVERALL WEAKENING TREND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 81200Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 9 03:55:35 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102293-258>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 03:55:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA17264; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 03:53:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I98BL4KBU8000COZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 03:54:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2835252 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 14:55:59 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA96358 for ; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 14:54:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75322 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 8 Sep 1996 14:54:42 -0500 Date: Sun, 08 Sep 1996 14:54:42 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -081454 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609081954.AA75322@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 77367 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 20.7N9 113.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.7N9 113.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 21.3N6 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 21.7N0 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 21.9N2 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 22.0N4 100.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 22.2N6 96.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 20.8N0 112.7E1 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) CONTINUES TO MOVE RAPIDLY AT 19 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT INTERACTS WITH THE ASIAN LAND MASS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 9 09:42:58 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102301-16711>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 09:42:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA02827; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 09:40:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I98BL4KBU8000COZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 09:41:36 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2837955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 20:39:13 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA49918 for ; Sun, 8 Sep 1996 20:39:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA35074 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 8 Sep 1996 20:39:10 -0500 Date: Sun, 08 Sep 1996 20:39:10 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -082039 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609090139.AA35074@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 82431 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 21.0N3 111.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 111.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 21.5N8 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 21.7N0 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 21.9N2 101.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 22.1N5 98.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 21.1N4 110.7E9 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) CONTINUES TO RACE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN LUICHOW PENINSULA. SALLY (23W) WILL MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9), 092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100151Z8).MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 9 13:57:39 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102431-16710>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 13:57:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA07531; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 13:55:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I99WN8VJN4000HQN@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 13:56:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2841343 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 00:56:53 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA58768 for ; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 00:51:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75118 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 9 Sep 1996 00:51:25 -0500 Date: Mon, 09 Sep 1996 00:51:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -090051 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609090551.AA75118@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 115818 WTPN22 PGTW 090500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 090451Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.8N3 134.5E3 TO 15.9N5 126.0E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 090300Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 133.0E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEAL THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD MONSOON DEPRESSION WITH THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION CENTER AT THE ABOVE POSITION. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS LIMITED TO A BROAD RING APPROXIMATELY 600 NM IN DIAMETER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LIMITED TO THE CONVECTIVE REGIONS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS SYSTEM. LATEST METSAT IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE CLOSER TO THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION CENTER NEAR 15.0N6 133.0E7. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100500Z6.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 9 14:01:59 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102393-16711>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 14:01:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA08058; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 14:00:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I99WN8VJN4000HQN@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 14:00:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2841456 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 01:02:08 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA06322 for ; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 01:02:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA21065 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 9 Sep 1996 01:02:05 -0500 Date: Mon, 09 Sep 1996 01:02:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -090102 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609090602.AA21065@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 24134 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090451Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.0N3 111.7E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 17 (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 133E7 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 090500)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20N2 170E8 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 160E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 157E3. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES DECREASED CONVECTION. SYNOPTIC AND SCATTEROMETER DATA INDICATE THAT THIS CIRCULATION IS VERY SMALL WITH ONLY WEAK WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH IT AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 9 16:14:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102439-16713>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 16:14:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA29388; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 16:11:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9A2I6ZWCW000IAW@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 16:12:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2841934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 03:14:08 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA45350 for ; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 03:14:08 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62729 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 9 Sep 1996 03:14:07 -0500 Date: Mon, 09 Sep 1996 03:14:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -090314 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609090814.AA62729@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 90118 WTPN32 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 15.8N4 130.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 130.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 16.0N7 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.2N9 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 16.5N2 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 16.8N5 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.2N0 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 15.8N4 129.3E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (TD 24W) HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 24W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WITHIN 36 HOURS AND TRACK TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3), 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9), 100300Z4 (DTG 100155Z2) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100755Z8). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 090451Z SEP 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 090500 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON SALLY (23W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 10 00:36:52 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102205-16713>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 00:36:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA21563; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 00:34:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9A6U49DJK000IML@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 00:31:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2844216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 08:54:57 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA81372 for ; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 08:54:16 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65795 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 9 Sep 1996 08:54:16 -0500 Date: Mon, 09 Sep 1996 08:54:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -090854 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609091354.AA65795@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 57088 WTPN32 PGTW 091500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 15.4N0 129.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 129.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.4N0 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.5N1 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.6N2 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.7N3 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.1N8 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 128.6E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THIS SYSTEM VISUALLY DISPLAYS CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION; THEREFORE, THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE LOCATED ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9), 100300Z4 (DTG 100155Z2), 100900Z0 (DTG 100755Z8) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101355Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON SALLY (23W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 10 00:37:42 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102234-16710>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 00:37:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA21848; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 00:35:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9A6U49DJK000IML@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 00:32:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2844936 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 09:55:29 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA24870 for ; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 09:55:28 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA114711 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 9 Sep 1996 09:55:27 -0500 Date: Mon, 09 Sep 1996 09:55:27 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -090955 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609091455.AA114711@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 59412 WTPN32 PGTW 091500 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 15.4N0 129.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 129.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.4N0 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.5N1 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.6N2 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.7N3 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.1N8 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 128.6E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THIS SYSTEM VISUALLY DISPLAYS CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION; THEREFORE, THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE LOCATED ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. SYSTEM WILL INTENSIFY TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9), 100300Z4 (DTG 100155Z2), 100900Z0 (DTG 100755Z8) AND 101500Z7 (DTG 101355Z5). REFER TO TYPHOON SALLY (23W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED REFERENCE FOR FINAL WARNING ON TY SALLY (23W).// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 10 00:40:12 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102219-16713>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 00:40:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA22380; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 00:38:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9A6U49DJK000IML@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 00:32:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2844973 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 09:57:41 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA83838 for ; Mon, 9 Sep 1996 09:57:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA25165 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 9 Sep 1996 09:57:35 -0500 Date: Mon, 09 Sep 1996 09:57:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -090957 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609091457.AA25165@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 64842 WTPN31 PGTW 091500 1. TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 091200Z2 --- 22.0N4 107.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.0N4 107.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 22.5N9 103.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 22.9N3 100.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 23.2N7 98.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 091500Z5 POSITION 22.1N5 106.3E0 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) IS WEAKENING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVERLAND AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 10 14:15:52 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102257-14126>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 14:15:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA12295; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 14:13:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9BE3VGVU8000R6S@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 14:14:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2856290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 01:13:23 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA08030 for ; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 01:13:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46278 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 10 Sep 1996 01:13:07 -0500 Date: Tue, 10 Sep 1996 01:13:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -100113 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609100613.AA46278@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 121027 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100155Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 22.0N4 107.2E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 19 (WTPN31 PGTW 091500)) FOR FINAL WARNING DETAILS. (2) AT 100000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED AT 15.0N6 125.7E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN32 PGTW 100300)) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 15N6 133E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REFER TO PARAGRAPH 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 155E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION IS CONTINUALLY BUILDING AND COLLAPSING NEAR THIS CIRCULATION. SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD MONSOON DEPRESSION ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH, AND CONVECTION IS PREDOMINANTLY ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION. CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER REMAINS WEAK, BUT PERSISTENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 140E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS IS A CONVECTIVE REGION FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W THAT HAS SEPARATED FROM TD 24W AND REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY AS TD 24W MOVES WEST. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS, BUT A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CANNOT YET BE DETECTED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 174E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH IN THE EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW, AND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT APPARENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/MILLER/UROGI// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 10 15:42:15 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102435-14127>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 15:42:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA28332; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 15:44:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9BHKEARY8000RB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 15:40:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2856557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 02:42:01 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA66828 for ; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 02:42:00 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57768 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 10 Sep 1996 02:41:58 -0500 Date: Tue, 10 Sep 1996 02:41:58 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -100241 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609100741.AA57768@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 46757 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100155Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 091200Z2 TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WAS LOCATED AT 22.0N4 107.2E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON SALLY (23W) WARNING NR 19 (WTPN31 PGTW 091500)) FOR FINAL WARNING DETAILS. (2) AT 100000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED AT 15.0N6 125.7E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN32 PGTW 100300)) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 15N6 133E7 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REFER TO PARAGRAPH 1.A.(2) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W. (2) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 155E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTION IS CONTINUALLY BUILDING AND COLLAPSING NEAR THIS CIRCULATION. SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD MONSOON DEPRESSION ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH, AND CONVECTION IS PREDOMINANTLY ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION. CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER REMAINS WEAK, BUT PERSISTENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 140E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS IS A CONVECTIVE REGION FORMERLY ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W THAT HAS SEPARATED FROM TD 24W AND REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY AS TD 24W MOVES WEST. THE DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 12 HOURS, BUT A LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CANNOT YET BE DETECTED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 16N7 174E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH IN THE EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW, AND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT APPARENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/MILLER/UROGI// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 10 16:13:44 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102233-14127>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 16:13:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA02877; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 16:15:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9BHKEARY8000RB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 16:12:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2856691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 03:13:46 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA22184 for ; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 03:13:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA77167 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 10 Sep 1996 03:13:40 -0500 Date: Tue, 10 Sep 1996 03:13:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -100313 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609100813.AA77167@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 18028 WTPN32 PGTW 100900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 100600Z7 --- 14.5N0 124.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 100 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 124.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 14.8N3 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.1N7 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.6N2 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.2N9 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.6N4 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 100900Z0 POSITION 14.6N1 124.1E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 18 KNOTS. THE CIRCULATION CENTER OF THIS TD IS VERY DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE, EVEN WITH THE USE OF BOTH SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA. THE MAIN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 24W IS ALREADY MOVING OVER AND PAST THE ISLAND OF LUZON. IT IS LIKELY THAT THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION OF TD 24W WILL BE LEFT BEHIND ON THE EAST SIDE OF LUZON WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AS THE DOMINANT MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION OF THE TD MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. OUR FORECAST IS FOR THE SYSTEM TO MOVE ACROSS LUZON WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND REGENERATE A LOW-LEVEL CENTER ON THE OTHER SIDE FROM THE MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH APPEARS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO CROSS THE ISLAND. ONCE OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 101500Z7 (DTG 101355Z5), 102100Z4 (DTG 101955Z1), 110300Z5 (DTG 110155Z3) AND 110900Z1 (DTG 110755Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO (WWPW30 PGFW) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON SALLY (23W) FINAL WARNING (WTPN31 PGTW 091500) FOR DETAILS ON THE OTHER ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE REGION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 10 23:06:36 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102351-14129>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 23:06:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id XAA25996; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 23:08:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9BNRLLHWW000RWY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 23:05:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2859251 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 10:06:23 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA47590 for ; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 09:45:03 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA38263 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 10 Sep 1996 09:44:55 -0500 Date: Tue, 10 Sep 1996 09:44:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -100944 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609101444.AA38263@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 33140 WTPN32 PGTW 101500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z4 --- 16.5N2 120.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 120.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.3N1 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 18.0N9 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 18.8N7 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 19.0N0 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.6N5 102.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 101500Z7 POSITION 16.7N4 119.8E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE ISLAND OF LUZON. TD 24W IS A POORLY DEFINED SYSTEM BUT THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT. TD 24W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY AS THE SYSTEM REGAINS ORGANIZATION ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF LUZON. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 (DTG 101955Z1), 110300Z5 (DTG 110155Z3), 110900Z1 (DTG 110755Z9) AND 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 101200Z4 ARE 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON SALLY (23W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 11 03:55:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102351-14127>; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 03:55:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA23397; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 03:57:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9BNRLLHWW000RWY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 03:54:25 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2862831 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 14:55:06 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA100920 for ; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 14:55:03 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41396 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 10 Sep 1996 14:55:00 -0500 Date: Tue, 10 Sep 1996 14:55:00 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -101454 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609101955.AA41396@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 69807 WTPN32 PGTW 102100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 101800Z0 --- 17.6N4 117.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 117.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 18.3N2 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 18.7N6 111.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 18.8N7 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.9N8 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 18.6N5 101.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 102100Z4 POSITION 17.8N6 116.8E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS BEGINNING TO SHOW SIGNS OF REORGANIZATION ON THE WEST SIDE OF LUZON. TD 24W REMAINS A BROADLY DEFINED SYSTEM WITH MINIMAL CENTRAL CONVECTION. TD 24W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z5 (DTG 110155Z3), 110900Z1 (DTG 110755Z9), 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6) AND 112100Z5 (DTG 111955Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 101800Z0 ARE 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 23W (SALLY) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 11 06:01:13 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102530-14129>; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 06:01:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA27799; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 06:03:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9BNRLLHWW000RWY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 05:59:58 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2864169 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 17:01:15 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA21854 for ; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 16:08:32 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47570 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 10 Sep 1996 16:08:30 -0500 Date: Tue, 10 Sep 1996 16:08:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -101608 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609102108.AA47570@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 69839 WTPN21 PGTW 102030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 102021Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.5N7 154.3E3 TO 14.9N4 147.8E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 101930Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.1N4 153.1E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A PERSISTENT LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS BEEN PRESENT FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BELOW DIVERGENT OUTFLOW ALOFT INDICATED BY WATER-VAPOR DERIVED WINDS COURTESY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS ALSO LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF A TROPICAL UPPER- TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH WHICH IS ENHANCING UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.// 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 112030Z7.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 11 09:59:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102362-11338>; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 09:59:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA14977; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 10:01:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9BNRLLHWW000RWY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 09:58:01 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2867158 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 20:59:35 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA64720 for ; Tue, 10 Sep 1996 20:59:35 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA40385 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 10 Sep 1996 20:59:33 -0500 Date: Tue, 10 Sep 1996 20:59:33 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -102059 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609110159.AA40385@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40126 WTPN32 PGTW 110300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 17.4N2 117.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 117.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 17.2N0 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.1N9 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.1N9 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.8N6 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.9N9 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110300Z5 POSITION 17.4N2 116.8E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AT APPROXIMATELY 07 KNOTS. IT IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION IN RESPONSE TO A SURGE IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOON FLOW. A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE IS ANTICIPATED TO DEVELOP BEYOND 36 HOURS TO THE NORTHWEST OF TD 24W AND THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARDS THIS WEAKNESS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110755Z9), 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6), 112100Z5 (DTG 111955Z2) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO (WWPW31 PGFW) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 11 14:51:52 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102460-11340>; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 14:51:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA08266; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 14:53:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9BNRLLHWW000RWY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 14:50:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2870284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 01:50:54 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA13148 for ; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 01:50:53 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA109859 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 11 Sep 1996 01:50:52 -0500 Date: Wed, 11 Sep 1996 01:50:52 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -110150 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609110650.AA109859@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 86048 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091351Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110155Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED AT 17.4N2 117.0E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 08 (WTPN32 PGTW 110300)) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 11N2 155E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.1N4 153.1E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 102030)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 13N4 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 135E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION LYING ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH WITH NO CLEARLY IDENTIFIABLE LOW- OR MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTIVE REGION LIES NEAR A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 16N7 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 170E8. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH IN THE EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW, AND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT APPARENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 169E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG AN INVERTED TROUGH AXIS WHICH IS MOVING WESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/MILLER/UROGI// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 11 15:44:02 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102348-11338>; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 15:44:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA16897; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 15:45:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9CUZZM11S000VYB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 15:42:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2870461 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 02:44:03 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA35036 for ; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 02:44:02 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66668 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 11 Sep 1996 02:44:01 -0500 Date: Wed, 11 Sep 1996 02:44:01 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -110244 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609110744.AA66668@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 33129 WTPN32 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 17.4N2 116.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 116.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 17.2N0 116.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.0N8 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.9N6 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.1N9 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 18.3N2 111.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 17.4N2 116.5E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AT APPROXIMATELY 04 KNOTS. IT IS STILL A VERY BROAD SYSTEM WITH A POORLY DEFINED CENTER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6), 112100Z5 (DTG 111955Z2), 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z8 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO (WWPW30 PGFW) FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 12 00:33:49 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102580-11344>; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 00:33:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA16700; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 00:35:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9CUZZM11S000VYB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 00:30:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2871720 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 06:37:57 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id GAA81786 for ; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 06:37:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83075 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 11 Sep 1996 06:37:55 -0500 Date: Wed, 11 Sep 1996 06:37:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -110637 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609111137.AA83075@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 70272 WTPN23 PGTW 111100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 111051Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/102021Z SEP 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 102030)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.6N2 132.3E9 TO 17.5N3 124.8E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 110900Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N4 131.0E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT IN A WELL-ESTABLISHED MONSOON TROUGH FOR THE PAST 36 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 121100Z5. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 12.1N4 153.1E0.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 12 00:37:59 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102586-11338>; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 00:37:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA17899; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 00:40:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9CUZZM11S000VYB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 00:33:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2873090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 09:16:03 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA82278 for ; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 09:16:02 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43870 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 11 Sep 1996 09:15:53 -0500 Date: Wed, 11 Sep 1996 09:15:53 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -110915 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609111415.AA43870@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 70491 WTPN32 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 010 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 16.5N2 114.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 K REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 114.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.4N1 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.3N0 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.3N0 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 16.5N2 113.9E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TD 24W REMAINS A POORLY DEFINED SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN RELOCATED TO REFLECT A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION VERIFIED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. TD 24W IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z5 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 12 04:29:50 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102585-11344>; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 04:29:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA04953; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 04:31:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9CUZZM11S000VYB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 04:28:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2877447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 15:29:09 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA62582 for ; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 15:28:29 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA112302 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 11 Sep 1996 15:28:25 -0500 Date: Wed, 11 Sep 1996 15:28:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -111528 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609112028.AA112302@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 18091 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 14.6N1 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.6N1 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 15.9N5 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.0N8 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.5N4 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.0N2 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.9N2 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 14.9N4 149.4E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W HAS FORMED EAST OF GUAM. TD 25W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 11 KNOTS. TD 25W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0), 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 111800Z1 ARE 6 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 102021Z SEP 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 102030).// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 12 07:47:50 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102153-8905>; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 07:47:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id HAA13782; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 07:49:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9CUZZM11S000VYB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 07:46:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2879934 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 18:48:00 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA63322 for ; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 18:47:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA44673 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 11 Sep 1996 18:47:58 -0500 Date: Wed, 11 Sep 1996 18:47:58 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -111847 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609112347.AA44673@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 94846 WTPN33 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 15.9N5 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.4N1 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.0N8 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 17.7N5 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 16.0N7 129.8E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (TD 26W) HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY A SLOW WEAKENING TREND. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 900 NM WEST OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TD 25W), WHICH IS LOCATED EAST OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. BOTH SYSTEMS ARE LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. TD25W (NEAR THE NORTHERN MARIANAS) IS FAVORED AS THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION BY DYNAMIC MODELS AND IS THE BASIS FOR OUR INTENSIFICATION FORECAST FOR TD26W. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120757Z2) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121957Z5). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 111051Z SEP 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 111100 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 12 09:43:12 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102371-8905>; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 09:43:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA24311; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 09:45:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 09:41:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2881152 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 20:43:20 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA97906 for ; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 20:43:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA07421 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 11 Sep 1996 20:43:17 -0500 Date: Wed, 11 Sep 1996 20:43:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -112043 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609120143.AA07421@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 21498 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 16.1N8 147.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 147.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.2N0 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.1N0 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.6N5 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.1N1 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 20.0N2 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 16.4N1 147.1E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE SLOWLY. POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT GUAM (WMOID 91212) AND SAIPAN (WMOID 91232). THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED EAST OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS, APPROXIMATELY 200 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 06 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 00:36:26 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102497-8905>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:36:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA22105; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:38:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:34:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2882825 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 23:38:00 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA84684 for ; Wed, 11 Sep 1996 23:37:59 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA19865 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 11 Sep 1996 23:37:58 -0500 Date: Wed, 11 Sep 1996 23:37:58 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -112337 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609120437.AA19865@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 23702 WTPN32 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 15.1N7 110.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 110.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 15.0N6 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 15.3N9 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.9N5 108.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 15.1N7 110.2E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED IN CONVECTIVE AREAS APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTHEAST OF SYSTEM CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW IN ITS FORWARD MOVEMENT AND BEGIN MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. 25-30 KNOT WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED SOUTHEAST OF SYSTEM CENTER THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 00:38:06 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102497-8901>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:37:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA22440; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:40:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:35:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2884132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 00:56:38 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA101658 for ; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 00:55:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA40820 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 12 Sep 1996 00:55:25 -0500 Date: Thu, 12 Sep 1996 00:55:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -120055 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609120555.AA40820@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 46193 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z/120600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120155Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z SEP 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111957Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED AT 15.1N7 110.5E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 11 (WTPN32 PGTW 120300)) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WAS LOCATED AT 16.1N8 147.6E8, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 11180000Z TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WAS LOCATED AT 15.9N 130.0E4, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN33 PGTW 112100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 170E8 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 169E6 IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 00:40:16 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102497-8907>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:40:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA22996; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:42:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:36:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2884511 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 03:20:50 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA19188 for ; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 03:20:49 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84673 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 12 Sep 1996 03:20:48 -0500 Date: Thu, 12 Sep 1996 03:20:48 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -120320 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609120820.AA84673@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 70334 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 15.7N3 148.4E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 148.4E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.8N5 146.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.0N9 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.2N2 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.0N2 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 21.4N7 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 16.0N7 148.0E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W CONTINUES TO IMPROVE IN ORGANIZATION. SYSTEM POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND TRACK TO THE NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 00:40:46 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102609-8907>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:40:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA23219; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:42:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:36:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2884603 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 03:45:08 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA48602 for ; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 03:36:41 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA115789 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 12 Sep 1996 03:36:40 -0500 Date: Thu, 12 Sep 1996 03:36:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -120336 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609120836.AA115789@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 84554 WTPN33 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 16.1N8 130.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 130.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 16.4N1 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.7N4 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.0N8 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 16.2N9 130.5E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 6-12 HOURS, WITH A SLOW WEAKENING TREND ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 900 NM WEST OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (TD25W), WHICH IS LOCATED EAST OF THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. BOTH SYSTEMS ARE LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH, IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. TD25W (NEAR THE NORTHERN MARIANAS) IS FAVORED AS THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION BY DYNAMIC MODELS AND IS THE BASIS FOR OUR INTENSIFICATION FORECAST FOR TD26W. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7), 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3), 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 01:36:17 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102606-8907>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 01:36:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA01211; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 01:38:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 01:34:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2888651 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 12:35:30 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id MAA69876 for ; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 12:35:28 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA115840 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 12 Sep 1996 12:35:27 -0500 Date: Thu, 12 Sep 1996 12:35:27 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -121235 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609121735.AA115840@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 22909 WTPN32 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 16.0N7 109.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 109.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 16.5N2 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 17.0N8 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 17.4N2 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 16.1N8 109.3E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEMS FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW AND IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE WATER DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG66832561355 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 01:37:26 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102604-8907>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 01:37:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA01340; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 01:39:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 01:36:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2888718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 12:37:21 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id MAA66040 for ; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 12:35:59 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA34442 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 12 Sep 1996 12:35:58 -0500 Date: Thu, 12 Sep 1996 12:35:58 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -121235 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609121735.AA34442@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 115847 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 004 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 16.8N5 148.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 148.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.0N9 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.1N1 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.2N4 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.1N4 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.4N8 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 17.1N9 147.7E9 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W), UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION, IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM EAST- SOUTHEAST OF ALMAGAN ISLAND. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG66862561351 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 05:07:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102616-8901>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 05:07:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA12559; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 05:09:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 05:05:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2890965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 16:06:50 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA111312 for ; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 16:03:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA24634 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 12 Sep 1996 16:03:53 -0500 Date: Thu, 12 Sep 1996 16:03:53 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -121603 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609122103.AA24634@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 19767 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 17.6N4 147.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 147.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.8N7 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.8N8 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.7N9 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.3N6 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 22.9N3 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 17.9N7 147.6E8 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1), 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 05:35:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102619-8909>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 05:35:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA13498; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 05:37:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 05:33:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2891283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 16:35:19 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA100522 for ; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 16:11:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA85547 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 12 Sep 1996 16:11:55 -0500 Date: Thu, 12 Sep 1996 16:11:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -121611 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609122111.AA85547@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 24616 WTPN33 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL STORM VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 16.3N0 129.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 129.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 16.6N3 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 17.0N8 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 17.2N0 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.4N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 17.6N4 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 16.4N1 129.7E9 TROPICAL STORM VIOLET (26W), UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION, IS QUASI-STATIONARY WITH A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT OF 02 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130157Z7), 130900Z3 (DTG 130757Z3), 131500Z0 (DTG 131357Z0) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131957Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 10:01:38 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102163-7931>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 10:01:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA29537; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 10:03:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 10:00:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2894447 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:01:25 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA22126 for ; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:01:22 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA14949 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:01:20 -0500 Date: Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:01:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -122101 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609130201.AA14949@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 20834 WTPN33 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL STORM VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 16.5N2 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 16.7N4 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.9N6 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.3N1 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.0N9 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 19.4N4 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 16.6N3 129.3E5 TROPICAL STORM VIOLET (26W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUASI- STATIONARY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN MOVE VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130757Z3), 131500Z0 (DTG 131357Z0), 132100Z7 (DTG 131957Z6) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140157Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 10:22:18 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102174-7931>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 10:22:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA02148; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 10:24:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 10:21:00 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2894592 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:22:38 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA55700 for ; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:22:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA50366 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:22:24 -0500 Date: Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:22:24 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -122122 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609130222.AA50366@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71611 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 18.3N2 147.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 147.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.4N4 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.2N4 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.0N3 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 21.6N9 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 22.8N2 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 18.6N5 146.9E0 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 11:20:28 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102187-7925>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 11:20:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA12125; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 11:22:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 11:19:04 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2895015 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 22:00:51 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA111780 for ; Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:56:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA22822 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:56:41 -0500 Date: Thu, 12 Sep 1996 21:56:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -122156 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609130256.AA22822@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 59939 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 17.2N0 108.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 108.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.1N0 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 18.9N8 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.5N5 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 17.4N2 108.1E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD INTO THE GULF OF TONKIN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8), AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 13:52:48 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102506-7928>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 13:52:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA11149; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 13:54:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 13:51:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2897140 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:52:47 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA68698 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:52:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA15312 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:52:46 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 00:52:46 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -130052 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609130552.AA15312@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 115405 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130155Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z SEP 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130157Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED AT 17.2N0 108.4E3, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 13 (WTPN32 PGTW 130300)) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.3N2 147.2E4, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 130000Z TROPICAL STORM VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.5N2 129.4E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 04 (WTPN33 PGTW 130000)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 16:32:20 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102593-7926>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 16:32:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA21921; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 16:34:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 16:30:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2897525 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 03:31:51 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA79748 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 03:31:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA119819 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 03:31:50 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 03:31:50 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130331 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609130831.AA119819@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 120584 WTPN33 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 005 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM VIOLET (26W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 16.3N0 129.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 129.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 16.4N1 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.7N4 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.2N0 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.9N7 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.2N2 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 16.3N0 129.3E5 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM. VIOLET (26W) IS CURRENTLY QUASI-STATIONARY AND IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131357Z0), 132100Z7 (DTG 131957Z6), 140300Z8 (DTG 140157Z8) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140757Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPD ATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATE S.)// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 16:43:50 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102626-7928>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 16:43:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA23989; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 16:45:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9DVSUID7400183H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 16:42:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2897618 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 03:42:21 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA84030 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 03:42:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA42383 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 03:42:14 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 03:42:14 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130342 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609130842.AA42383@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40588 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 19.0N0 146.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 146.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.9N9 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.6N8 144.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.2N5 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 22.0N4 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 23.1N6 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 19.2N2 146.4E5 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 45 KNOTS AS IT CONTINUES MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPWIO30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 21:40:23 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102628-7926>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:40:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA25257; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:42:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9FU36M08W001K11@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:39:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2899108 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 08:40:45 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA91976 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 08:40:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA50526 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 08:40:43 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 08:40:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130840 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609131340.AA50526@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 19803 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 19.4N4 145.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 145.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.3N5 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.1N4 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.0N4 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.7N1 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 23.8N3 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 19.6N6 145.4E4 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 20 NM TO THE SOUTHEAST OF ASUNCION ISLAND, COMMONWEALTH OF THE NORTHERN MARIANAS ISLANDS, AND IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND BECOME NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 22:59:15 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102339-7928>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 22:59:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id XAA04744; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 23:01:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9FU36M08W001K11@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 22:57:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2899754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 09:58:43 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA29828 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 09:58:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63800 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 09:58:28 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 09:58:28 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130958 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609131458.AA63800@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 8501 WTPN33 PGTW 131500 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 16.4N1 129.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 129.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 16.6N3 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 17.2N0 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 17.8N6 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 18.4N3 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 19.4N4 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 16.5N2 128.8E9 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131957Z6), 140300Z8 (DTG 140157Z8), 140900Z4 (DTG 140757Z4) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141357Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 13 23:00:55 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102499-7931>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 23:00:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id XAA04868; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 23:02:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9FU36M08W001K11@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 22:59:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2899766 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 10:00:53 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAB107460 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 09:58:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA08514 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 09:58:32 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 09:58:32 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130958 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609131458.AA08514@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60479 WTPN32 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 18.1N0 107.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 107.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 18.8N7 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.5N5 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.9N9 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 18.3N2 107.1E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT SIX KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 18 TO 24 HOURS. STRONGEST WINDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH CONVECTIVE BANDS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. POSITION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND LAND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM DONG HOI (WMO ID 48848), VIETNAM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 15 00:38:53 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102385-4991>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:38:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA26744; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:40:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9FU36M08W001K11@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:33:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2902875 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 15:22:19 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA107594 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 15:13:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57194 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 15:13:05 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 15:13:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131513 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609132013.AA57194@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 91751 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 19.7N7 144.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 144.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.3N5 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.9N1 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 21.5N8 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 22.4N8 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 23.9N4 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 19.8N8 144.4E3 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND BECOME NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2), 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 15 00:42:03 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102383-4991>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:42:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA27469; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:44:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9FU36M08W001K11@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:34:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2903331 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 16:25:19 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA31342 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 16:22:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75124 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 16:22:24 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 16:22:24 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131622 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609132122.AA75124@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 52593 WTPN33 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 16.4N1 128.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 128.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 16.5N2 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.0N8 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.7N5 126.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.4N3 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 19.6N6 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 16.4N1 128.5E6 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140157Z8), 140900Z4 (DTG 140757Z4), 141500Z1 (DTG 141357Z1) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141957Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 15 00:46:03 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102375-4991>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:45:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA28526; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:47:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9FU36M08W001K11@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:38:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2907135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:53:02 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA89338 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:38:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68081 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:38:05 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:38:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132138 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609140238.AA68081@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 80366 WTPN33 PGTW 140300 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 16.5N2 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 16.8N5 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 17.4N2 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 18.1N0 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 18.8N7 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.0N3 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 16.6N3 128.1E2 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. VIOLET IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TURN NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN THE 48- AND THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON VIOLET IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140757Z4), 141500Z1 (DTG 141357Z1), 142100Z8 (DTG 141957Z7) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150157Z9). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 140000Z5 ARE 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 15 00:55:33 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102377-4994>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:55:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA00939; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:57:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9FU36M08W001K11@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:38:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2907050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:51:57 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA87982 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:47:39 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA120658 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:47:38 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:47:38 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132147 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609140247.AA120658@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 111695 WTPN32 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 18.6N5 106.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 106.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.1N1 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.7N7 104.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 20.1N3 102.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 18.7N6 106.1E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN 12 HOURS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED OVER LAND BY THE 36 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150155Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 15 00:46:03 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102382-4996>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:45:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA28535; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:47:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9FU36M08W001K11@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:38:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2907255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:57:56 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA110926 for ; Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:57:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA120629 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:57:54 -0500 Date: Fri, 13 Sep 1996 21:57:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132157 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609140257.AA120629@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 33841 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 20.0N2 144.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 144.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 20.6N8 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 21.2N5 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 22.0N4 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 22.8N2 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 24.8N4 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 20.2N4 144.0E9 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. TOM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWARD NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 140000Z5 ARE 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES AND TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 15 00:42:43 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102383-4991>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:42:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA27594; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:44:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9FU36M08W001K11@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:40:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2908877 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Sep 1996 01:19:07 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA53396 for ; Sat, 14 Sep 1996 01:19:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA119998 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 14 Sep 1996 01:19:06 -0500 Date: Sat, 14 Sep 1996 01:19:06 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140119 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609140619.AA119998@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 75195 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140155Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z SEP 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140157Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WAS LOCATED AT 18.6N5 106.4E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W WARNING NR 15 (WTPN32 PGTW 140300)) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. (2) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.0N2 144.3E2, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 140000Z5 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.5N2 128.3E4, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN33 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 165E2. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SURFACE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 15 00:43:43 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102383-4989>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:43:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA27927; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:45:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9FU36M08W001K11@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 00:41:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2909060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 14 Sep 1996 03:32:01 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA12424 for ; Sat, 14 Sep 1996 03:32:00 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA98962 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 14 Sep 1996 03:31:59 -0500 Date: Sat, 14 Sep 1996 03:31:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140331 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609140831.AA98962@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 112271 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 20.0N2 143.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 143.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.0N3 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 21.9N2 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 22.6N0 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 23.5N0 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 24.9N5 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 20.3N5 143.3E1 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. TOM IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. TOM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 140600Z1 ARE 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 24W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES AND TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 16 13:48:19 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102354-18757>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 13:48:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA05620; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 13:50:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9JP0PH4K0000ZYA@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 13:46:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2923621 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 00:45:46 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA77622 for ; Sun, 15 Sep 1996 21:13:47 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA120767 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 15 Sep 1996 21:13:45 -0500 Date: Sun, 15 Sep 1996 21:13:45 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -152113 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609160213.AA120767@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 41147 WTPN33 PGTW 160300 1. SUPERTYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 19.9N9 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 21.1N4 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 22.3N7 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 23.5N0 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 24.6N2 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 26.5N3 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 20.2N4 126.3E2 SUPERTYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. VIOLET IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160757Z6), 161500Z3 (DTG 161357Z3), 162100Z0 (DTG 161957Z9) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 160000Z7 ARE 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 16 14:01:29 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102375-18753>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 14:01:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA09065; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 14:03:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9JP0PH4K0000ZYA@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 14:00:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2923978 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 01:01:24 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA14560 for ; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 01:01:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66186 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 16 Sep 1996 01:01:16 -0500 Date: Mon, 16 Sep 1996 01:01:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -160101 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609160601.AA66186@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 32135 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160157Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 160000Z7 TYPHOON TOM (25W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.9N2 145.2E2, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 160000Z7 SUPERTYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.9N9 126.4E3, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF B (SUPERTYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 016 (WTPN33 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 16 16:10:40 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102398-18751>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 16:10:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA04867; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 16:12:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9JUSX1GYO001R90@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 16:09:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2924664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 03:06:34 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA114528 for ; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 03:06:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43822 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 16 Sep 1996 03:06:33 -0500 Date: Mon, 16 Sep 1996 03:06:33 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160306 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609160806.AA43822@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 91947 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 22.2N6 146.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 146.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 22.8N2 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 23.5N0 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 24.3N9 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 25.0N7 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 26.2N0 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 22.3N7 146.3E4 TYPHOON TOM (25W) IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE NORTHERNMOST MARIANA ISLANDS. TOM IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON TOM IS EXPECTED TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY AT THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161351Z7), 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 160600Z3 ARE 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO SUPERTYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 16 16:12:30 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102404-18751>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 16:12:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA05412; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 16:14:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9JUSX1GYO001R90@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 16:11:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2924683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 03:11:09 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA79058 for ; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 03:11:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA91798 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 16 Sep 1996 03:11:07 -0500 Date: Mon, 16 Sep 1996 03:11:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160311 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609160811.AA91798@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 40083 WTPN33 PGTW 160900 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 20.4N6 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 21.3N6 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.5N9 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.8N3 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 25.1N8 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.4N3 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 20.6N8 126.1E0 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. VIOLET IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161357Z3), 162100Z0 (DTG 161957Z9), 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170757Z7). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 160600Z3 ARE 32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 16 21:45:44 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102411-18750>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:45:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA22028; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:47:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9JUSX1GYO001R90@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:44:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2926623 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 08:46:00 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA31464 for ; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 08:45:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA15005 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 16 Sep 1996 08:45:42 -0500 Date: Mon, 16 Sep 1996 08:45:42 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160845 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609161345.AA15005@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54682 WTPN33 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 20.5N7 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 21.2N5 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.9N3 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 24.7N3 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.1N9 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 28.4N4 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 20.7N9 126.5E4 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 02 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND HAS LOST SOME OF ITS ORGANIZATION, ALTHOUGH THE EYEWALL REGION IS STILL WELL-DEFINED WITH A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE. TY VIOLET IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THEN TURN NORTH-EASTWARD, PASSING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF OKINAWA. WE BELIEVE TYVIOLET HAS REACHED PEAK INTENSITY, ALTHOUGH IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SMALL FLUCTUATIONS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS MAY OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM CROSSES AND MOVES NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. BEYOND 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN SLOWLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161957Z9), 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1), 170900Z7 (DTG 170757Z7) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171357Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 35 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 16 22:52:35 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102196-18757>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 22:52:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA00582; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 22:54:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9JUSX1GYO001R90@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 22:51:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2927375 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 09:52:43 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA102176 for ; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 09:52:41 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA35077 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 16 Sep 1996 09:52:39 -0500 Date: Mon, 16 Sep 1996 09:52:39 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160952 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609161452.AA35077@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40962 WTPN31 PGTW 161500 1. TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 22.6N0 146.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 146.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 23.3N8 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 24.0N6 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 24.6N2 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 25.2N9 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 26.3N1 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 22.8N2 146.7E8 TYPHOON TOM (25W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 07 KNOTS. TY TOM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD UP THE MONSOON TROUGH AND TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3), 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 17 05:20:51 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102408-18753>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 05:20:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA06387; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 05:22:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9JUSX1GYO001R90@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 05:19:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2930673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 16:19:36 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA260590 for ; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 15:41:59 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA08691 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 16 Sep 1996 15:29:56 -0500 Date: Mon, 16 Sep 1996 15:29:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -161529 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609162029.AA08691@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 99056 WTPN33 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 20.9N1 127.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 127.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 22.0N4 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 23.5N0 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 25.1N8 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 26.3N1 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 28.6N6 134.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 21.2N5 127.4E4 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT APPROXIMATELY 07 KNOTS. IT HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. AS TY VIOLET APPROACHES THE INDUCED RIDGE TO ITS EAST THE SOUTHERLY STEERING COMPONENT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE, RESULTING IN A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION BETWEEN 12 AND 24 HOURS. AFTER 24 HOURS TY VIOLET IS EXPECTED TO BE FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO MAKE A NORTHEASTWARD TURN AROUND THE RIDGE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 115 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK CI 6.0). WIND RADII AT WARNING TIME ARE A BLEND OF SYNOPTIC DATA, MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) ANALYSIS PROVIDED BY AFGWC (16/09Z), AND SCATTEROMETRY (16/14Z). NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170157Z1), 170900Z7 (DTG 170757Z7), 171500Z4 (DTG 171357Z4) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171957Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 17 07:56:29 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102208-17677>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 07:56:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id HAA11803; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 07:58:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9JUSX1GYO001R90@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 07:55:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2932905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 18:56:41 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA157566 for ; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 16:46:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA98899 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 16 Sep 1996 15:33:00 -0500 Date: Mon, 16 Sep 1996 15:33:00 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -161533 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609162033.AA98899@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 69200 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 1. TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 23.0N5 147.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.0N5 147.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 23.6N1 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 24.2N8 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 24.7N3 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 25.1N8 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.7N4 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 23.2N7 147.3E5 TYPHOON TOM (25W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 07 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BEGI N WEAKENING WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED O N ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 75 KNOTS (DVORAK CI 4.5). WIND RADII ARE A BLEND OF SYNOPTIC DATA, MICROWAVE IMAGER (SSM/I) DATA ANALYSIS PROVIDED BY AFGWC, AND SCATTEROMETRY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170151Z5), 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z6 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 17 10:28:10 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102277-17678>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 10:28:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA00683; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 10:30:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9JUSX1GYO001R90@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 10:26:42 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2935955 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:28:19 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA302778 for ; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:28:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA113265 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:28:16 -0500 Date: Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:28:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -162128 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609170228.AA113265@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 22126 WTPN31 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 23.6N1 147.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.6N1 147.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 24.4N0 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 24.8N4 148.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 25.0N7 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 25.3N0 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 25.8N5 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 23.8N3 147.5E7 TYPHOON TOM (25W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 7 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN SLOWLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1), 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 17 10:40:40 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102292-17676>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 10:40:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA03376; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 10:42:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9JUSX1GYO001R90@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 10:39:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2936049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:40:51 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA263898 for ; Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:40:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA22071 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:40:48 -0500 Date: Mon, 16 Sep 1996 21:40:48 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -162140 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609170240.AA22071@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 102452 WTPN33 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 21.4N7 127.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 127.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 22.4N8 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 23.5N0 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 24.6N2 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 26.0N8 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 28.6N6 136.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 21.7N0 127.9E9 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY TO ITS CURRENT INTENSITY OF 105 KNOTS. VIOLET IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170757Z7), 171500Z4 (DTG 171357Z4), 172100Z1 (DTG 171957Z0) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180157Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 17 14:01:03 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102275-17670>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 14:00:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA21648; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 14:03:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9L5TURRZK00211V@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 13:59:48 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2938128 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 01:01:18 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA240378 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 01:01:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72310 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 01:01:13 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 01:01:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -170101 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609170601.AA72310@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 23411 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z/180600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170157Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170000Z8 TYPHOON TOM (25W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.6N1 147.3E5, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. () AT 170000Z8 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.4N7 127.6E6, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 020 (WTPN33 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 108E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION SOUTHEAST OF SYSTEM CENTER. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 174W2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION REMAINS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 17 16:28:55 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102238-17678>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 16:28:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA21060; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 16:30:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LA70FZGG0020J6@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 16:27:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2938811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 03:27:24 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA417998 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 03:27:23 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82065 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 03:27:22 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 03:27:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170327 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609170827.AA82065@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 81806 WTPN33 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 21.8N1 128.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 128.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 22.6N0 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 23.5N0 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 24.4N0 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 25.3N0 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 27.0N9 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 22.0N4 128.6E7 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171357Z4), 172100Z1 (DTG 171957Z0), 180300Z2 (DTG 180157Z2) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180757Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 17 16:48:25 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102260-17670>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 16:48:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA25140; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 16:50:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LA70FZGG0020J6@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 16:47:12 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2938928 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 03:47:59 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA493632 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 03:47:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72274 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 03:47:24 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 03:47:24 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170347 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609170847.AA72274@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 81999 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 24.1N7 147.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 147.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 24.9N5 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 25.7N4 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 26.4N2 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 27.2N1 152.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 28.4N4 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 24.3N9 147.9E1 TYPHOON TOM (25W) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 70 KNOTS AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171351Z8), 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 17 19:44:08 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102260-17670>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 19:44:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id TAA22131; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 19:46:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 19:42:55 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2939664 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 06:44:10 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id GAA485318 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 06:44:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA113243 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 06:44:08 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 06:44:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -170644 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609171144.AA113243@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 87384 WTPN21 PGTW 171130 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 171121Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 095 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.0N9 108.2E1 TO 16.0N7 110.2E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 170930Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N2 108.9E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED SOUTH OF HAINAN DAO IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND DISPLAYS GOOD ORGANIZATION. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT, WHICH IS ENHANCING DEVELOPMENT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 181130Z4.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 17 22:32:30 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102411-17670>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 22:32:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA12757; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 22:34:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 22:31:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2941132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 09:32:31 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA89868 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 09:32:31 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47266 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 09:32:30 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 09:32:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170932 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609171432.AA47266@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 54175 WTPN33 PGTW 171500 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 22.2N6 128.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.2N6 128.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 23.0N5 129.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.8N3 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 24.5N1 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 25.2N9 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 26.4N2 133.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 22.4N8 129.2E4 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AND SLOW. THE SYSTEM IS ALSO EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD; HOWEVER, PERIODIC REINTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER WARM WATER AND IN A WEAK VERTICAL WINDSHEA R ENVIRONMENT. NEXT WARNINGS NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 18 01:16:25 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102422-17678>; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 01:15:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA01416; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 01:17:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 01:14:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2941573 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 10:09:19 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id KAA334440 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 10:03:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA20818 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 10:03:17 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 10:03:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -171003 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609171503.AA20818@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 47183 WTPN31 PGTW 171500 1. TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 24.8N4 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 355 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.8N4 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 25.9N6 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 26.9N7 150.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 255 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 27.9N8 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 29.0N1 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 32.1N6 157.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 25.1N8 148.4E7 TYPHOON TOM (25W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NORTHEASTWARD AND ACCELERATE. 35-KNOT WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171951Z4), 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 18 04:54:59 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102464-17677>; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 04:54:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA19882; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 04:56:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 04:53:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2944003 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 15:54:51 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA107318 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 15:51:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA39113 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 15:51:37 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 15:51:37 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -171551 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609172051.AA39113@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60870 WTPN33 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 22.5N9 129.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.5N9 129.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 23.3N8 130.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 24.1N7 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 24.9N5 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.5N2 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 26.7N5 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 22.7N1 130.0E4 TYPHOON VIOLET IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AFTER 24 HOURS, BUT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN THE SAME GENERAL DIRECTION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180157Z2), 180900Z8 (DTG 180757Z8), 181500Z5 (DTG 181357Z5) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181957Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:36:44 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102436-14888>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:36:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA28847; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:38:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:33:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2945193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 17:46:41 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA54626 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 17:44:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA35629 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 16:07:33 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 16:07:33 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -171607 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609172107.AA35629@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 38954 WTPN31 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON TOM (25W) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 25.2N9 148.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 355 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 148.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 26.0N8 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 335 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 27.0N9 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 210 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 28.3N3 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 29.8N9 155.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 33.8N4 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 25.4N1 149.3E7 TYPHOON TOM (25W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ACCELERATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180151Z6), 180900Z8 (DTG 180751Z2), 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 171800Z ARE 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:35:24 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102313-14888>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:35:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA28377; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:37:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:32:25 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2944648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 17:01:48 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA314500 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 17:00:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA20906 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 17:00:45 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 17:00:45 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -171700 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609172200.AA20906@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 35239 WTPN32 PGTW 172100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 17.0N8 109.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 109.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 16.4N1 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 16.0N7 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 15.8N4 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 15.8N4 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.1N8 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 16.8N5 109.4E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, SOUTH OF HAINAN DAO. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND INTENSIFY SLOWLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8), 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 171121Z SEP 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 171130). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 9 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:37:44 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102313-14889>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:37:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA29148; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:39:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:35:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2948468 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 20:25:29 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA88408 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 20:25:28 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA10821 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 20:25:11 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 20:25:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -172025 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609180125.AA10821@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 35905 WTPN33 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 024 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 22.9N3 130.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.9N3 130.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 23.4N9 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 24.0N6 131.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.7N3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 25.5N2 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 27.5N4 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 23.0N5 130.5E9 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS. CONTINUED NORTHEAST MOTION AND GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180757Z8), 181500Z5 (DTG 181357Z5), 182100Z2 (DTG 181957Z1) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190157Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:37:44 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102436-14888>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:37:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA29265; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:39:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:35:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2948996 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 21:08:16 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA305876 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 21:04:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65186 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 21:04:14 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 21:04:14 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -172104 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609180204.AA65186@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 10911 WTPN31 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 026 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON TOM (25W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 26.1N9 149.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 355 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 149.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.8N7 151.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 325 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 29.2N3 153.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 30.4N7 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 31.8N2 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 34.7N4 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 26.5N3 150.1E7 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED FROM A TYPHOON. TOM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING N NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:38:34 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102421-14889>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:38:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA29534; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:40:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:36:16 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2949721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 21:34:59 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA120162 for ; Tue, 17 Sep 1996 21:34:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69380 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 17 Sep 1996 21:34:54 -0500 Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 21:34:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -172134 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609180234.AA69380@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 34817 WTPN32 PGTW 180300 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 17.0N8 110.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 110.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 16.9N6 110.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 16.9N6 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.9N6 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.0N8 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.2N0 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 17.0N8 110.2E4 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON 171000Z SHIP (35 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS REPORTED FROM MV GECO EMERALD), 171521Z SCATTEROMETER DATA SUPPORTING 35 KNOTS, AND SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENT IN CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. WILLIE (27W) IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY EASTWARD AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180753Z4), 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:43:44 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102313-14888>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:43:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA00979; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:45:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:39:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2952063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 01:24:18 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA72334 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 01:24:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA15094 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 01:24:16 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 01:24:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -180124 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609180624.AA15094@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 43251 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z/190600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180157Z SEP 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.1N9 149.7E1, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 026 (WTPN31 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 180000Z9 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 22.9N3 130.3E7, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 024 (WTPN33 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.0N8 110.0E2, MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 002 (WTPN32 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 108E9 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 02 (WTPN32 PGTW 180300)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 174W2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 AND 179W7. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:45:15 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102505-14888>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:45:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01327; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:47:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:40:03 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2952408 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 02:39:44 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA304430 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 02:39:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49124 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 02:39:42 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 02:39:42 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180239 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609180739.AA49124@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 103649 WTPN31 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 027 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 27.0N9 150.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.0N9 150.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 29.0N1 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 265 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 31.0N4 153.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 33.3N9 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 35.2N0 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 39.2N4 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 27.5N4 150.6E2 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO THE EAST OF THE STORM BASED ON 180021Z SCATTEROMETER DATA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181351Z9), 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:44:54 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102313-14889>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:44:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01226; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:46:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:40:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2952517 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 03:02:22 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA217552 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 03:02:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA118611 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 03:02:20 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 03:02:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180302 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609180802.AA118611@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 34896 WTPN33 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 025 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 23.3N8 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 23.9N4 131.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 24.5N1 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.1N8 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 25.8N5 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 27.9N8 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 23.5N0 130.7E1 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS SLOWING IN ITS FORWARD MOTION AND HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS. CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181357Z5), 182100Z2 (DTG 181957Z1), 190300Z3 (DTG 190157Z3) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190757Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 31 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:45:14 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102270-14888>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:45:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01315; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:47:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:40:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2952691 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 03:46:20 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA324366 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 03:46:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA113349 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 03:46:18 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 03:46:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180346 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609180846.AA113349@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 77506 WTPN32 PGTW 180900 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 17.1N9 110.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 110.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.1N9 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.2N0 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.3N1 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.4N2 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.5N3 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 17.1N9 111.0E3 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND IMPROVE IN ORGANIZATION. WILLIE (27W) IS A VERY SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE AND HAS INTENSIFIED RAPIDLY OVER THE LAST 18 HOURS. WILLIE (27W) IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A REVERSE-ORIENTED (SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST) MONSOON TROUGH AND IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT EASTWARD UNDER WEAK WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181353Z1), 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:52:05 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102270-14888>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:52:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03453; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:54:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:45:36 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2954342 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 08:36:27 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA440966 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 08:36:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43249 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 08:36:25 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 08:36:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180836 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609181336.AA43249@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 45550 WTPN33 PGTW 181500 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 026 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 23.3N8 131.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.3N8 131.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 23.6N1 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.1N7 132.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 25.0N7 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 26.0N8 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 28.4N4 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 23.4N9 131.3E8 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE AND WEAKEN SLIGHTLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181957Z1), 190300Z3 (DTG 190157Z3), 190900Z9 (DTG 190757Z9) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191357Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:51:24 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102490-14888>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:51:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03183; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:53:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:46:58 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2954787 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 09:25:09 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA506666 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 09:09:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA77637 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 09:09:01 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 09:09:01 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180909 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609181409.AA77637@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 71746 WTPN31 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 028 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 27.9N8 151.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.9N8 151.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 29.8N9 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 31.7N1 155.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 33.7N3 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 35.8N6 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 39.7N9 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 28.4N4 151.7E4 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) HAS ACCELERATED AND IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THE SAME COURSE AND ACCELERATE SLIGHTLY AS IT BEGINS TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181951Z5), 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z ARE 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 00:54:54 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102270-14890>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:54:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA04373; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:56:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 00:48:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2955287 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 10:07:49 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA493364 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 09:55:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA98826 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 09:55:30 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 09:55:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180955 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609181455.AA98826@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 83463 WTPN32 PGTW 181500 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181200Z2 --- 18.0N9 111.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 111.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 18.7N6 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.4N4 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.9N9 113.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.0N2 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 20.2N4 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 181500Z5 POSITION 18.2N1 111.7E0 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 08 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM XISHA ISLAND (WMO ID 59981). NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z2 (DTG 181953Z7), 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5) AND 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z ARE 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 14:54:16 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102344-16056>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:54:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA02005; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:56:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:52:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2963924 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 01:54:10 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA67568 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 20:23:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA120262 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 15:16:58 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 15:16:58 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -181516 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609182016.AA120262@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 92099 WTPN33 PGTW 182100 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 027 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 23.7N2 131.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.7N2 131.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 24.6N2 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 25.5N2 132.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 26.6N4 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 28.1N1 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 31.2N6 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 23.9N4 131.6E1 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THE SAME GENERAL COURSE AND ACCELERATE AFTER 24 HOURS. 35-KNOT WIND RADII IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA FROM MINAMIDAITOJIMA (WMO ID 47945). NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190157Z3), 190900Z9 (DTG 190757Z9), 191500Z6 (DTG 191357Z6) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191957Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 14:50:56 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102432-16062>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:50:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA01530; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:52:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:49:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2963795 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 01:46:31 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA266840 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 20:18:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA70933 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 16:04:41 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 16:04:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -181604 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609182104.AA70933@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 63762 WTPN32 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 18.9N8 111.9E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 111.9E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 19.8N8 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 20.3N5 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 20.5N7 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.6N8 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 20.8N0 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 19.1N1 111.9E2 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 09 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD WITHIN THE TROUGH. HOWEVER, STEERING FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BE GENEREALLY WEAK= THEREFORE, TROPICAL CYCLONE MOTION MAYBE ERRATIC AFTER 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190153Z9), 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 14:46:06 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102395-16056>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:45:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA00171; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:48:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:44:48 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2963762 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 01:45:46 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA49570 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 20:17:11 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA12053 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 16:34:22 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 16:34:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -181634 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609182134.AA12053@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 108562 WTPN31 PGTW 182100 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 029 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 28.6N6 152.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.6N6 152.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 30.5N8 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 32.5N0 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 34.8N5 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 235 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 37.2N2 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 41.7N2 170.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 29.1N2 153.4E3 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW AFTER 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190151Z7), 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 10:20:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102330-16056>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:20:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA18411; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:22:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:19:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2957983 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 21:19:58 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA202518 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 21:10:22 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57302 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 21:10:15 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 21:10:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -182110 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609190210.AA57302@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 44755 WTPN33 PGTW 190300 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 028 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 24.0N6 131.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 131.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.7N3 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 25.5N2 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 26.6N4 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 28.2N2 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 31.6N0 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 24.2N8 131.7E2 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. VIOLET IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190757Z9), 191500Z6 (DTG 191357Z6), 192100Z3 (DTG 191957Z2) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200157Z5). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190000Z0 ARE 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 10:42:51 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102337-16062>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:42:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA23259; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:44:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:41:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2958193 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 21:39:13 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA506816 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 21:39:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA19009 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 21:39:03 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 21:39:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -182139 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609190239.AA19009@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 105278 WTPN33 PGTW 190300 COR 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 028A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 24.0N6 131.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.0N6 131.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 24.7N3 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 25.5N2 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 26.6N4 133.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 28.2N2 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 31.6N0 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 24.2N8 131.7E2 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. VIOLET IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO WEAKEN. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN THROUGHOUT FORECAST PERIOD VICE INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190757Z9), 191500Z6 (DTG 191357Z6), 192100Z3 (DTG 191957Z2) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200157Z5). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190000Z0 ARE 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 11:01:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102340-16059>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 11:01:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA26672; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 11:03:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 11:00:04 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2958569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 22:00:30 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA516618 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 22:00:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA98932 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 22:00:18 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 22:00:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -182200 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609190300.AA98932@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 19057 WTPN32 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 19.5N5 112.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 112.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 19.9N9 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 20.0N2 110.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.7N7 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.5N5 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.8N7 107.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 19.6N6 111.9E2 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WILLIE IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION AND TO BEGIN TRACKING WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. WILLIE WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AS THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH HAINAN DAO. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190753Z5), 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190000Z0 ARE 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 11:19:12 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102337-16062>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 11:19:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA00817; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 11:21:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 11:17:58 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2958860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 22:19:13 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA32176 for ; Wed, 18 Sep 1996 22:13:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43793 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 18 Sep 1996 22:13:36 -0500 Date: Wed, 18 Sep 1996 22:13:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -182213 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609190313.AA43793@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 99086 WTPN31 PGTW 190300 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 030 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190000Z0 --- 29.9N0 153.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.9N0 153.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 32.3N8 156.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 34.3N0 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 35.7N5 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 37.0N0 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 38.0N1 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190300Z3 POSITION 30.5N8 154.5E5 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. TOM IS TRANSITIONING TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TOM IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z9 (DTG 190751Z3), 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6) AND 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190000Z0 ARE 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 14:16:56 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102344-16056>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:16:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA23238; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:18:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 14:15:26 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2963130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 01:17:03 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA383288 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 01:10:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA118252 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 01:10:39 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 01:10:39 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -190110 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609190610.AA118252@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77288 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190157Z SEP 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190153Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WAS LOCATED AT 29.9N0 153.9E8, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 030 (WTPN31 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 190000Z0 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 24.0N6 131.7E2, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 028 (WTPN33 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 190000Z0 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.5N5 112.0E4, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 006 (WTPN32 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 179W7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 AND 174E2. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/EBARLE/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 15:57:47 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102364-16062>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 15:57:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA13747; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 15:59:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 15:56:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2964420 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 02:57:58 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA486166 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 02:57:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49061 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 02:57:56 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 02:57:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190257 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609190757.AA49061@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 80034 WTPN33 PGTW 190900 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 029 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 24.1N7 131.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 131.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 24.8N4 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 25.6N3 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 26.9N7 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 28.3N3 134.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 31.5N9 137.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 24.3N9 131.8E3 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) HAS SLOWED TO APPROXIMATELY 2 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. VIOLET IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD UNTIL THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION THEN TRACK NORTHEASTWARD THEREAFTER. VIOLET IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191357Z6), 192100Z3 (DTG 191957Z2), 200300Z5 (DTG 200157Z5) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200757Z1). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190600Z6 ARE 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 16:16:27 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102432-16062>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:16:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA17339; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:18:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:15:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2964445 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 03:16:42 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA108040 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 03:16:42 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62842 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 03:16:41 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 03:16:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190316 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609190816.AA62842@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 35959 WTPN32 PGTW 190900 1. TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 007 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 20.0N2 111.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.0N2 111.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 20.1N3 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 19.8N8 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 19.3N3 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 18.8N7 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.1N0 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 20.0N2 111.3E6 TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. WILLIE IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL ON HAINAN DAO. WILLIE WILL THEN REINTENSIFY AS IT REORGANIZES OVER OPEN WATER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2), 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190600Z6 ARE 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W)(WTPN31 PGTW) AND TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Sep 19 16:40:27 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102437-16062>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:40:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA22882; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:42:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9LEQF6D680027QY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:39:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2964503 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 03:33:10 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA196862 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 03:33:10 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA35944 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 03:33:08 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 03:33:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190333 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609190833.AA35944@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48997 WTPN31 PGTW 190900 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 031 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 31.7N1 154.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.7N1 154.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 34.0N7 156.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 245 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 35.7N5 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 36.8N7 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 37.7N7 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 38.1N2 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 32.3N8 154.8E8 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. TOM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191351Z0), 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190600Z6 ARE 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) AND TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) (WTPN 32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:35:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102583-13679>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:35:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03539; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:37:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:32:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2968187 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:33:39 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA48866 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 13:45:02 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA86029 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:13:04 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:13:04 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -191013 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609191513.AA86029@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 20746 WTPN33 PGTW 191500 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 030 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 24.2N8 132.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.2N8 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 24.8N4 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 26.0N8 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 27.5N4 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 29.1N2 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 32.3N8 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 24.3N9 132.2E8 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY ACCELERATE ALONG TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. WITHIN 72 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE MOVING AT APPROXIMATELY 10 KNOTS DUE TO WEAK SOUTHWESTERLY STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT TYPHOON INTENSITY THROUGH 72 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0), 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 ARE 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:36:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102556-13679>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:36:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03741; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:38:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:34:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2970746 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 18:11:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA319638 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 13:19:01 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA20799 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:14:47 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:14:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -191014 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609191514.AA20799@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 48956 WTPN32 PGTW 191500 1. TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 19.9N9 111.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 111.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 19.9N9 110.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 19.9N9 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.8N8 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.6N6 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.1N1 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 19.9N9 111.1E4 TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) IS MOVING WESTWARD VERY SLOWLY AT 03 KNOTS, VIRTUALLY A QUASI-STATIONARY SYSTEM JUST OFF OF HAINAN DAO. OUR FORECAST IS FOR IT TO MOVE WEST OVER NORTHERN HAINAN DAO AND CROSS INTO THE GULF OF TONKIN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1), 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z3 ARE 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:35:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102577-13677>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:35:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03434; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:37:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:32:45 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2968068 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:28:53 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA70820 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 13:44:33 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA20808 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:14:48 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 10:14:48 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -191014 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609191514.AA20808@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 48965 WTPN31 PGTW 191500 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 032 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 33.0N6 156.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.0N6 156.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 36.1N0 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 38.1N2 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 39.5N7 169.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 40.7N1 173.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 33.8N4 157.1E4 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 20 KNOTS. WIND INTENSITY WAS INCREASED TO 55 KNOTS TO REFLECT THIS INCREASE IN FORWARD MOTION AND AVAILABLE SHIP AND SCATTEROMETER DATA DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. WIND RADII ON THE FORWARD RIGHTHAND SIDE (EAST SEMICIRCLE) WAS ALSO INCREASED BASED ON THE 18/2353Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. EXPECT EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION TO BE COMPLETED BY 20/0600Z (18 HOURS). NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191951Z6), 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 19/1200Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:36:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102577-13679>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:36:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03708; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:38:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:34:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2970515 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 18:05:40 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA378746 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 15:41:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA33693 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 15:41:46 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 15:41:46 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -191541 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609192041.AA33693@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 62874 WTPN33 PGTW 192100 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 031 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 24.7N3 132.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.7N3 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 26.1N9 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 27.6N5 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 29.1N2 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 31.1N5 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 34.7N4 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 25.0N7 132.2E8 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND HAS AN EYE APPROXIMATELY 80 NM IN DIAMETER. IT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND THEN TURN NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. MOST OF OUR OBJECTIVE DYNAMICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT THE PATH OF THE FORECAST TRACK, BUT THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT ABOUT HOW FAST THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE ALONG THE TRACK. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF PAST SYSTEMS IN THIS TYPE OF SYNOPTIC SITUATION INDICATE THAT AN ALONG TRACK SPEED OF 12 KNOTS IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR NEAR THE 48 AND 72 HOUR TIME FRAMES. TY VIOLET IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN WEAKENING BEYOND 12 HOURS DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BUT REMAIN AT TYPHOON INTENSITY THROUGH 72 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200157Z5), 200900Z1 (DTG 200757Z1), 201500Z8 (DTG 201357Z8) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201957Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 34 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:35:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102556-13679>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:34:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03388; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:36:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:32:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2967977 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:25:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA147768 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:25:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA77063 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:25:33 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 16:25:33 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -191625 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609192125.AA77063@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 22020 WTPN31 PGTW 192100 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 033 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 33.2N8 157.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.2N8 157.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 35.1N9 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 37.6N6 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 39.8N0 170.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 42.3N9 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 33.7N3 158.7E1 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 17 KNOTS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ANALYSIS OF 45 KNOTS (DVORAK CI 3.0) COUPLED WITH RAPID FORWARD MOTION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:39:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102556-13683>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:38:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA04561; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:41:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:37:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2973399 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 20:46:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA430932 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 20:46:20 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53740 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 20:46:17 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 20:46:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -192046 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609200146.AA53740@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 110569 WTPN33 PGTW 200300 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 032 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 25.0N7 132.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.0N7 132.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 26.3N1 132.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 28.2N2 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 30.9N2 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 33.8N4 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 38.7N8 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 25.3N0 132.2E8 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AT 4 KNOTS. VIOLET IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD BEYOND THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER DUE TO THE FORWARD MOTION OF VIOLET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200757Z1), 201500Z8 (DTG 201357Z8), 202100Z5 (DTG 201957Z4) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 200000Z2 ARE 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:39:51 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102574-13683>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:39:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA04753; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:41:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:37:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2973718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 21:22:04 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA356828 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 21:22:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36069 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 21:22:02 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 21:22:02 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -192122 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609200222.AA36069@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 66018 WTPN32 PGTW 200300 1. TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 20.4N6 110.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 110.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 20.3N5 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.8N8 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.2N2 106.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.8N7 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.5N4 102.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 20.4N6 110.3E5 TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE LUICHOW PENINSULA. WILLIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7), 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 200000Z2 ARE 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:40:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102588-13683>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:40:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA04912; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:42:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:37:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2973925 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 21:47:11 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA292678 for ; Thu, 19 Sep 1996 21:47:11 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72602 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 19 Sep 1996 21:47:07 -0500 Date: Thu, 19 Sep 1996 21:47:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -192147 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609200247.AA72602@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 19351 WTPN31 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 034 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 33.7N3 159.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 330 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.7N3 159.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 35.4N2 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 37.6N6 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 39.7N9 169.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 40.7N1 173.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 34.1N8 160.2E9 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AND BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL. TOM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2), 202100Z5 (DTG 201951Z8) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210151Z0). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 200000Z2 ARE 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) AND TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:44:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102588-13677>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:44:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA06097; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:46:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:41:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2976221 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 02:57:59 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA503400 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 02:57:59 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41922 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 02:57:57 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 02:57:57 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200257 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609200757.AA41922@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 49087 WTPN33 PGTW 200900 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 033 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 25.5N2 132.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.5N2 132.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 26.7N5 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 28.3N3 133.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 30.6N9 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 33.3N9 137.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 38.3N4 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 25.8N5 132.2E8 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. VIOLET IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. VIOLET IS FORECAST TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD MOTION AS IT TURNS NORTHEASTWARD. STRONGEST WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201357Z8), 202100Z5 (DTG 201957Z4), 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210757Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 200600Z8 ARE 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:44:42 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102583-13672>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:44:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA06133; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:46:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:41:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2976255 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:11:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA461372 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:10:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA44573 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:10:17 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:10:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -200310 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609200810.AA44573@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 120858 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200157Z SEP 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200153Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WAS LOCATED AT 33.7N3 159.4E9, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 034 (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 200000Z2 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 25.0N7 132.2E8, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 032 (WTPN33 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 200000Z2 TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.4N6 110.6E8, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 010 (WTPN32 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 174E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 AND 170E8. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/EBARLE/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:44:51 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102580-13677>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:44:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA06165; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:46:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:41:31 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2976284 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:17:33 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA221192 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:17:33 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65202 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:17:32 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:17:32 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200317 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609200817.AA65202@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 121007 WTPN32 PGTW 200900 1. TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 20.3N5 109.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.3N5 109.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 20.1N3 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.5N5 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.1N1 106.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.8N7 104.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.2N1 101.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 20.3N5 109.6E6 TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD ACROSS THE LUICHOW PENINSULA. WILLIE IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF TONKIN AND TO INTENSIFY UNTIL THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AS WILLIE MAKES LANDFALL, IT WILL WEAKEN AND BE DISSIPATED BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201353Z4), 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8). MAXIMUM WINDS AT 200600Z8 ARE 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.,, NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:45:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102580-13679>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:44:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA06238; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:47:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:41:46 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2976367 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:32:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA40672 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:32:16 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA117325 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:32:15 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 03:32:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200332 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609200832.AA117325@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 114506 WTPN31 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 035 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 34.0N7 161.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 34.0N7 161.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 35.5N3 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 37.4N4 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 30 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 30 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 38.2N3 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 34.4N1 162.1E0 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. TOM HAS BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 200600Z8 ARE 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPN30 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) AND TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:49:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102577-13672>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:49:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA07614; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:51:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:45:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2978178 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 09:21:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA96312 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 09:20:10 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA91495 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 09:20:07 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 09:20:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200920 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609201420.AA91495@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 71012 WTPN33 PGTW 201500 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 034 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 26.0N8 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.0N8 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 27.8N7 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 30.1N4 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 32.9N4 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 35.8N6 142.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 41.5N0 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 26.4N2 132.9E5 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 6 KNOTS. VIOLET (26W) HAS WEAKENED TO ITS CURRENT INTENSITY OF 85 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AND ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201957Z4), 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6), 210900Z2 (DTG 210757Z2) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211357Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 00:51:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102574-13679>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:51:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08102; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:53:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 00:46:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2978541 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 09:43:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA329800 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 09:43:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA12101 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 09:43:15 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 09:43:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200943 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609201443.AA12101@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 84802 WTPN32 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 012 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 20.1N3 109.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 109.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 19.9N9 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.4N4 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.0N0 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.5N4 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.4N2 100.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 20.0N2 109.2E2 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED FROM A TYPHOON. WILLIE (27W) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WESTWARD INTO THE GULF OF TONKIN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201953Z0), 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 04:01:03 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102349-13679>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 04:00:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA27041; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 04:02:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 03:59:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2981879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:00:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA237820 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 14:59:41 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67623 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 14:59:39 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 14:59:39 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -201459 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609201959.AA67623@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 89892 ABPW10 PGTW 201900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/201900Z/210600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200751Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201357Z SEP 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/201353Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200600Z8 TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WAS LOCATED AT 34.0N7 161.3E1, MOVING EASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM TOM (25W) WARNING NR 035 (WTPN31 PGTW 200900)) FOR FINAL WARNING. (2) AT 201200Z5 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.0N8 132.6E2, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 034 (WTPN33 PGTW 201500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 201200Z5 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.1N3 109.6E6, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 012 (WTPN32 PGTW 201500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 168.5E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION HAS REMAINED PERSISTENT OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 152E8. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH INTERMITTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS ARE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/HAM/UROGI// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 04:36:43 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102593-13679>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 04:36:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA28410; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 04:38:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 04:35:26 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2982457 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:36:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA85048 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:35:53 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62364 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:35:52 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:35:52 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -201535 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609202035.AA62364@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 108185 WTPN33 PGTW 202100 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 035 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 26.8N6 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 29.1N2 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 31.8N2 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 34.9N6 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 38.5N6 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 44.0N8 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 27.4N3 133.6E3 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST. FURTHER WEAKENING AND ACCELERATION TO THE NORTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6), 210900Z2(DTG 210757Z2), 211500Z9 (DTG 211357Z9) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211957Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 04:58:13 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102463-13672>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 04:58:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA29184; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 05:00:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 04:56:55 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2982776 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:58:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA149088 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:54:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA94271 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:54:19 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:54:19 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -201554 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609202054.AA94271@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 100156 WTPN32 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 19.8N8 108.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 108.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 19.3N3 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.6N5 104.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.0N9 102.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 17.1N9 101.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 19.7N7 108.2E1 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD INTO THE GULF OF TONKIN. WESTWARD MOTION AND INTENSIFICATION ARE ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2), 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 04:59:23 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102463-13679>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 04:59:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA29227; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 05:01:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9O87P11C0002E9P@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 04:58:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2982819 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:59:49 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA163092 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:59:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63884 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:59:47 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 15:59:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -201559 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609202059.AA63884@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 105097 WTPN33 PGTW 202100 COR 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 035A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 26.8N6 133.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 133.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 29.1N2 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 31.8N2 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 34.9N6 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 38.5N6 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 44.0N8 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 27.4N3 133.6E3 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST. FURTHER WEAKENING AND ACCELERATION TO THE NORTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210157Z6), 210900Z2 (DTG 210757Z2), 211500Z9 (DTG 211357Z9) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211957Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: WIND RADII DELETED FROM 72-HOUR POSITION. SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 231200Z8.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 09:21:19 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102151-11382>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 09:21:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA11474; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 09:23:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9QHI2GNF4001X8I@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 09:20:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2985263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 20:21:44 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA294314 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 20:21:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA74079 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 20:21:41 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 20:21:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -202021 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609210121.AA74079@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 80988 WTPN21 PGTW 210100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 210051Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.2N3 167.2E6 TO 12.8N1 160.5E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 202330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N6 166.6E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. VISIBLE AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE GOOD UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT OF THE DISTURBANCE, WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 220010Z5.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 10:28:11 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102307-11382>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 10:28:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA18779; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 10:29:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9QHI2GNF4001X8I@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 10:26:42 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2985850 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 21:28:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA217348 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 21:28:20 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA77497 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 21:28:18 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 21:28:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -202128 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609210228.AA77497@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65206 WTPN33 PGTW 210300 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 036 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 27.6N5 134.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 050 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.6N5 134.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 29.7N8 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 225 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 32.8N3 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 37.0N0 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 41.6N1 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 49.2N5 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 28.1N1 135.0E9 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210757Z2), 211500Z9 (DTG 211357Z9), 212100Z6 (DTG 211957Z5) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220157Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 10:47:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102146-11382>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 10:47:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA21966; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 10:49:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9QHI2GNF4001X8I@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 10:46:05 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2985919 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 21:47:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA437790 for ; Fri, 20 Sep 1996 21:47:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA54354 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 20 Sep 1996 21:47:17 -0500 Date: Fri, 20 Sep 1996 21:47:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -202147 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609210247.AA54354@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65103 WTPN32 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 19.8N8 108.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 108.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.5N5 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 19.1N1 106.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.6N5 104.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.0N9 103.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 19.7N7 108.2E1 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8),211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 14:33:57 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102171-16556>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 14:33:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA28532; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 14:36:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9QRAZQ66O002WMC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 14:32:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2987848 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 01:33:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA222534 for ; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 01:33:54 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA90092 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 21 Sep 1996 01:33:54 -0500 Date: Sat, 21 Sep 1996 01:33:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -210133 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609210633.AA90092@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 56809 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210157Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z SEP 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210051Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.6N5 134.4E2, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 036 (WTPN33 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.8N8 108.5E4, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 014 (WTPN32 PGTW 201500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 168.5E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.5N4 168.5E0 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 210100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 152E8 REMAINS NEAR THAT LOCATION. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH INTERMITTENT CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. WATER VAPOR DERIVED-WINDS CONTINUE TO INDICATE MODERATE UPPER- LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS ARE INHIBITING DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/WOFFORD/BOGLE/PUGH// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 16:10:37 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102307-16554>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 16:10:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA07722; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 16:12:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9QVWEZK740033KB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 16:09:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2988249 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 03:10:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA222610 for ; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 03:10:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48991 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 21 Sep 1996 03:10:16 -0500 Date: Sat, 21 Sep 1996 03:10:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210310 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609210810.AA48991@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 59484 WTPN33 PGTW 210900 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 28.1N1 134.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N1 134.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 30.4N7 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 33.8N4 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 38.0N1 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 42.5N1 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 45.4N3 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 28.7N7 135.5E4 TYPHOON VIOLET (27W) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 80 KNOTS. VIOLET (27W) IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AND ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON 201348Z SCATTEROMETER DATA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211357Z9), 212100Z6 (DTG 211957Z5), 220300Z7 (DTG 220157Z7) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220757Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 16:17:37 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102443-16555>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 16:17:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA08435; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 16:19:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9QVWEZK740033KB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 16:16:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2988268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 03:17:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA466396 for ; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 03:17:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82163 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 21 Sep 1996 03:17:26 -0500 Date: Sat, 21 Sep 1996 03:17:26 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210317 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609210817.AA82163@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40688 WTPN32 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 19.6N6 107.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.6N6 107.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.3N3 106.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 18.9N8 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.4N3 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.8N6 102.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 19.5N5 107.6E4 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) IS MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD IN THE GULF OF TONKIN. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS, PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL OVER NORTHERN VIETNAM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 21:53:19 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102488-16556>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:53:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA01980; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:55:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9R7SE6L4G002GCD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:52:03 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2989583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 08:53:44 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA119366 for ; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 08:53:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA87085 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 21 Sep 1996 08:53:41 -0500 Date: Sat, 21 Sep 1996 08:53:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210853 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609211353.AA87085@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 49194 WTPN33 PGTW 211500 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 038 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 29.1N2 136.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.1N2 136.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 31.6N0 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 35.0N8 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 39.0N2 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 42.8N4 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 45.8N7 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 29.7N8 136.7E7 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD. VIOLET (26W) IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN SLOWLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211957Z5), 220300Z7 (DTG 220157Z7), 220900Z3 (DTG 220757Z3) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221357Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 21 22:25:29 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102485-25149>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 22:25:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA04622; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 22:27:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9R7SE6L4G002GCD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 22:24:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2989801 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 09:25:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA158676 for ; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 09:25:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA35788 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 21 Sep 1996 09:25:57 -0500 Date: Sat, 21 Sep 1996 09:25:57 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210925 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609211425.AA35788@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 99017 WTPN32 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 19.2N2 107.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 107.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 18.7N6 105.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 18.2N1 104.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 17.8N6 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.4N2 102.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 19.1N1 106.9E6 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (26W) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 6 KNOTS IN THE GULF OF TONKIN. SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL IN NORTHERN VIETNAM IN APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 22 03:57:14 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102498-25148>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 03:57:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA00143; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 03:59:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9R9MBWGQO002UN4@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 03:55:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2991721 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 14:57:16 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA96952 for ; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 14:55:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59439 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 21 Sep 1996 14:55:17 -0500 Date: Sat, 21 Sep 1996 14:55:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -211455 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609211955.AA59439@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 50988 WTPN33 PGTW 212100 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 30.9N2 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.9N2 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 34.7N4 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 38.7N8 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 240 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 42.2N8 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 45.7N6 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 49.9N2 160.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 31.9N3 138.8E0 TYPHOON VIOLET HAS ACCELERATED AND IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220157Z7), 220900Z3 (DTG 220757Z3), 221500Z0 (DTG 221357Z0) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221957Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z ARE 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 22 04:29:26 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102523-25148>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 04:29:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA00938; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 04:31:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9R9MBWGQO002UN4@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 04:28:12 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2992050 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 15:29:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA291968 for ; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 15:29:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA98807 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 21 Sep 1996 15:29:55 -0500 Date: Sat, 21 Sep 1996 15:29:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -211529 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609212029.AA98807@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 77556 WTPN32 PGTW 212100 1. TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 017 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 19.3N3 107.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 107.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 19.0N0 106.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 18.6N5 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.2N1 104.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.9N7 102.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 19.2N2 107.1E9 TYPHOON WILLIE (27W), UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM, IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UPGRADED. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 20 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW >$$LMUD:2 ,M;D$INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 22 09:07:23 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102156-1157>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 09:07:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA09023; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 09:09:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9RUY7OUAO002ZI9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 09:06:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2993896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 20:07:52 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA258790 for ; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 20:07:51 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA86106 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 21 Sep 1996 20:07:50 -0500 Date: Sat, 21 Sep 1996 20:07:50 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -212007 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609220107.AA86106@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40535 WTPN21 PGTW 220100 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 220051Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210051Z SEP 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 210100)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.9N3 162.5E4 TO 16.1N8 157.9E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 212330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 162.2E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS MOVED NORTHEAST OF ENEWETAK (WMO ID 91251) OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS MAINTAINED ITS ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. DIFFLUENT UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO FAVOR DEVELOPMENT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 230100Z6.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 22 10:03:56 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102156-1160>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 10:03:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA11611; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 10:06:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9RUY7OUAO002ZI9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 10:02:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2994172 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:04:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA514944 for ; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:00:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51158 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:00:43 -0500 Date: Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:00:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -212100 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609220200.AA51158@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 69075 WTPN33 PGTW 220300 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 040 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 32.5N0 139.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 32.5N0 139.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 36.1N0 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 40.2N6 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 44.1N9 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 47.7N8 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 51.7N3 160.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 33.4N0 139.8E1 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW BY 231200Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220757Z3), 221500Z0 (DTG 221357Z0), 222100Z7 (DTG 221957Z6) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230157Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 22 10:23:56 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102163-1160>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 10:23:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA13018; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 10:25:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9RUY7OUAO002ZI9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 10:22:36 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2994362 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:24:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA126076 for ; Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:24:16 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51181 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:24:13 -0500 Date: Sat, 21 Sep 1996 21:24:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -212124 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609220224.AA51181@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48874 WTPN32 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 018 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON WILLIE (27W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 19.2N2 106.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N2 106.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.0N0 105.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 18.7N6 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 18.3N2 103.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 18.0N9 101.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 19.1N1 106.5E2 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W), DOWNGRADED FROM A TYPHOON, IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS IN THE GULF OF TONKIN. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND BY 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 22 14:13:38 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102188-1145>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:13:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA29013; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:15:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9S64W7T68002HLH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:12:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2995859 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 01:13:59 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA222636 for ; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 01:13:59 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA100685 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 22 Sep 1996 01:13:58 -0500 Date: Sun, 22 Sep 1996 01:13:58 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -220113 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609220613.AA100685@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 10058 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220157Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220153Z SEP 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220051Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 32.5N 139.3E6, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 090 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 040 (WTPN33 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.2N2 106.8E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 018 (WTPN32 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 164.0E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 161.0E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 220100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 145E0. ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO INDICATE A MARKED INCREASE IN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MOST OF THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS MONSOON DEPRESSION IS CONFINED TO THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. CURRENTLY THERE IS NOT A PERSISTENT CONVECTIVE FEATURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/BOGLE/PUGH// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 22 15:50:58 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102233-1160>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 15:50:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA05902; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 15:52:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9S9IB3WGG00307H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 15:49:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2996225 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 02:50:38 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA14860 for ; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 02:50:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA118053 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 22 Sep 1996 02:50:36 -0500 Date: Sun, 22 Sep 1996 02:50:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -220250 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609220750.AA118053@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 102690 WTPN33 PGTW 220900 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 041 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 35.0N8 140.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 35.0N8 140.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 39.4N6 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 42.9N5 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 46.2N2 149.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 48.7N9 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 52.0N7 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 36.1N0 141.5E1 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 28 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE BY 231200Z. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC LAND REPORTS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SYNOPTIC PRESSURE REPORT OF 962.4 MB FROM HACHIJO-JIMA (WMO ID 44678) AS THE SYSTEM PASSED NEARBY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221357Z0), 222100Z7 (DTG 221957Z6), 230300Z8 (DTG 230157Z8) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230757Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z ARE 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 22 16:19:58 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102200-1145>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 16:19:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA07630; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 16:21:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9SABRF3XC0038WH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 16:18:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2996271 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 03:20:15 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA119416 for ; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 03:20:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47172 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 22 Sep 1996 03:20:13 -0500 Date: Sun, 22 Sep 1996 03:20:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -220320 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609220820.AA47172@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 118081 WTPN32 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 19.3N3 106.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 106.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.1N1 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 18.7N6 103.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 18.4N3 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.0N9 101.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 19.3N3 106.0E7 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 23 06:34:02 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <103515-18885>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 06:33:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA25835; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 03:33:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9SXT5AWDC0038HQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 03:29:51 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2998879 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:31:34 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA261772 for ; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:30:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA09597 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:30:36 -0500 Date: Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:30:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -221430 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609221930.AA09597@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 117626 WTPN32 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 021 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 18.2N1 105.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 105.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 17.8N6 104.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.5N3 103.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 17.2N0 102.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 18.1N0 105.2E8 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM AND IS DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3). REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 23 06:34:10 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <103579-18881>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 06:34:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA26309; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 03:49:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9SXT5AWDC0038HQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 03:46:26 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 2999020 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:48:10 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA23746 for ; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:48:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47357 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:48:08 -0500 Date: Sun, 22 Sep 1996 14:48:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -221448 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609221948.AA47357@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54522 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 15.3N9 158.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 158.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 16.3N0 156.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.3N1 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.3N2 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 15.5N1 158.3E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W HAS FORMED NORTHWEST OF ENEWETAK. TD 28W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 14 KNOTS AS IT TRAVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION LOCATED TO IT=S SOUTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 220051Z SEP 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 220100 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW 31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 23 06:42:30 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102156-18881>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 06:42:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA00233; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 06:44:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9T19YKR68002KRE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 06:41:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3000120 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 17:42:50 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA293134 for ; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 17:42:49 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA102764 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 22 Sep 1996 17:42:48 -0500 Date: Sun, 22 Sep 1996 17:42:48 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -221742 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609222242.AA102764@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 28265 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 AMD 1. TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) WARNING NR 001A AMENDED UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 28W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 15.3N9 158.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.3N9 158.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 16.4N1 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 17.4N2 153.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.3N2 150.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 19.1N1 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 20.3N5 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 15.6N2 158.2E6 TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. JUSTIFICATION: THIS WARNING HAS BEEN AMENDED BASED ON INTENSITY. SATELLITE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THIS SYSTEM IS TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. DUE TO ITS SMALL SMALL SIZE AND DIFFLUENT WINDS ALOFT, RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2), 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 23 10:49:13 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102166-21964>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 10:49:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA26313; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 10:51:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9TA0YYSTC0021P0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 10:47:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3002294 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 21:49:20 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA160432 for ; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 21:49:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49154 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 22 Sep 1996 21:49:17 -0500 Date: Sun, 22 Sep 1996 21:49:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -222149 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609230249.AA49154@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48895 WTPN33 PGTW 230300 1. TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 044 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 41.5N0 146.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 260 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 135 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 41.5N0 146.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 45.1N0 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 48.0N2 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 50.3N8 159.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 42.4N0 147.7E9 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 25 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE A VERY STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW WITHIN SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). REFER TO NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU (WWPW30 PGFW) FOR FURTURE STORM WARNINGS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z ARE 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 23 11:05:33 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102166-21964>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 11:05:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA00158; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 11:07:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9TA0YYSTC0021P0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 11:04:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3002475 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 22:05:49 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA368694 for ; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 22:05:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA77437 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 22 Sep 1996 22:05:46 -0500 Date: Sun, 22 Sep 1996 22:05:46 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -222205 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609230305.AA77437@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 49274 WTPN32 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (WILLIE) WARNING NR 022 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 18.0N9 104.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 104.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 17.7N5 102.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.4N2 101.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 17.9N7 103.8E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (WILLIE) IS MOVING WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER LAND. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 23 11:26:14 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102189-21962>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 11:26:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA04807; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 11:28:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9TA0YYSTC0021P0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 11:24:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3002646 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 22:26:30 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA200596 for ; Sun, 22 Sep 1996 22:26:28 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA19436 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 22 Sep 1996 22:26:27 -0500 Date: Sun, 22 Sep 1996 22:26:27 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -222226 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609230326.AA19436@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 100329 WTPN31 PGTW 230300 1. TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 15.9N5 157.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 157.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 16.9N6 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 17.9N7 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 18.7N6 147.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 19.5N5 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 20.6N8 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 16.2N9 156.3E5 TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. THIS SMALL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230751Z8), 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 23 13:41:05 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102179-21963>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 13:41:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA12916; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 13:43:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9TJ4FLTRK003511@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 13:39:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3003758 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 00:41:26 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA377438 for ; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 00:41:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA35320 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 23 Sep 1996 00:41:23 -0500 Date: Mon, 23 Sep 1996 00:41:23 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -230041 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609230541.AA35320@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 118773 WTPN22 PGTW 230600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 230555Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.9N6 144.7E6 TO 10.8N9 142.1E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 230426Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 144.6E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED 300 NM SOUTH OF GUAM, AND IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH AND IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW ALOFT, WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO CONCENTRATE NEAR THE APPARENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST 12 TO 24 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 240600Z2.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 23 14:14:35 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102176-21964>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 14:14:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA21840; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 14:16:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9TKBEO63K00338H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 14:13:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3003915 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 01:11:21 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA500778 for ; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 01:11:20 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA42339 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 23 Sep 1996 01:11:18 -0500 Date: Mon, 23 Sep 1996 01:11:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -230111 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609230611.AA42339@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 83552 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230157Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230153Z SEP 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230151Z SEP 96// REF/D/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230555Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT 41.5N0 146.7E8, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 27 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 080 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WARNING NR 044 (WTPN33 PGTW 230300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (WILLIE) WAS LOCATED AT 18.0N9 104.3E8, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W (WILLIE)WARNING NR 022 (WTPN32 PGTW 230300)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.9N5 157.1E4, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 145E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 144.6E5. ENHANCED INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO INDICATE A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. SEVERAL CONVERGING BANDS OF DEEP CONVECTION WERE NOTED SPIRALING INTO THE SYSTEM CENTER AND AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED ABOVE THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD AND THIS SYSTEM IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF D (WTPN22 PGTW 230600) FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 08N8 171.5E4 OR ABOUT 180 NM EAST OF KWAJALEIN. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BENEATH WEAK UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENT FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO MODERATE NORTHERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. (3) AN AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 09.5N4 126.5E4. SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THAT A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CO-LOCATED BENEATH A SMALL WELL-DEFINED ANTICYCLONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/STEWART/WOFFORD/BOGLE/PUGH// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 23 16:14:36 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102198-21965>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 16:14:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA21117; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 16:16:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9TNIVTHY80034XF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 16:13:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3004446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 03:14:19 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA302280 for ; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 03:14:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36008 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 23 Sep 1996 03:14:17 -0500 Date: Mon, 23 Sep 1996 03:14:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230314 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609230814.AA36008@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 82084 WTPN31 PGTW 230900 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 16.1N8 156.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 156.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 16.6N3 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 17.2N0 150.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 18.1N0 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 18.9N8 145.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 21.1N4 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 16.2N9 155.4E5 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND NOW DISPLAYS AN 8 NM DIAMETER EYE. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AND ACCELERATE SLIGHTLY AFTER 24 HOURS. WIND RADII IS BASED ON SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231351Z5), 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1), 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 23 22:17:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102207-21965>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 22:17:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA18638; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 22:19:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9TUWFQ880003583@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 22:16:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3006694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 09:17:49 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA123170 for ; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 09:17:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53427 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 23 Sep 1996 09:17:43 -0500 Date: Mon, 23 Sep 1996 09:17:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230917 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609231417.AA53427@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 79536 WTPN31 PGTW 231500 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 16.4N1 154.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 154.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 16.9N6 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 17.5N3 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 18.4N3 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 19.4N4 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.8N0 138.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 16.5N2 154.4E4 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS TOWARDS THE MARIANA ISLANDS. IT HAS DEVELOPED VERY RAPIDLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND CURRENTLY DISPLAYS A 7 NM DIAMETER EYE. THIS SYSTEM IS SMALL AND MAY CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP DURING THE NEAR TERM. ACCELERATION ALONG TRACK IS ANTICIPATED DURING THE 24 TO 48 HOUR TIME FRAME IN RESPONSE TO INTERACTION WITH A DEVELOPING SYSTEM TO THE SOUTHWEST OF TY YATES. BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS TY YATES IS ANTICIPATED TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION DUE TO FORMATION OF A REVERSE-ORIENTED TROUGH. DUE TO THE SMALL SIZE OF TY YATES, A MORE WESTWARD (VICE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD) TRACK MAY BE POSSIBLE DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE OTHER DEVELOPING TROPICAL SYSTEM. DUE TO THE SLOPPY NATURE OF THIS OTHER SYSTEM AT THIS TIME IT IS DIFFICULT TO ESTIMATE THE DEGREE OF INTERACTION THAT MAY OCCUR IF THIS OTHER SYSTEM DOES INDEED BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IT APPEARS THIS OTHER SYSTEM IS DEVELOPING FROM A MUCH LARGER SCALE CIRCULATION, ROUGHL NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 24 03:47:23 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102169-21965>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:47:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA20211; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:49:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9TUWFQ880003583@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:46:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3010906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 14:47:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA99764 for ; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 14:47:03 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA52230 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 23 Sep 1996 14:47:00 -0500 Date: Mon, 23 Sep 1996 14:47:00 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -231447 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609231947.AA52230@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 109059 WTPN31 PGTW 232100 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 16.4N1 153.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N1 153.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 16.5N2 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.8N5 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.5N3 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.8N7 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 22.5N9 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 16.4N1 153.2E1 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 11 KNOTS. IT HAS CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, BUT NOT AS RAPIDLY AS OVER THE PREVIOUS 6 HOURS. IT STILL HAS A VERY WELL DEFINED EYE AND IS EASY TO LOCATE IN ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY. A MONSOON DEPRESSION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF TY YATES, CURRENTLY THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (REFER TO WTPN22 PGTW) IS FORECAST TO INTERACT WITH TY YATES. THE INTERACTION IS ANTICIPATED TO RESULT IN ACCELERATION OF TY YATES TO THE WEST ALONG OUR FORECAST TRACK. AS THE TWO SYSTEMS INTERACT, THEY ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP A REVERSE-ORIENTED MONSOON TROUGH, WHICH SHOULD SLOW THE FORWARD MOTION OF BOTH SYSTEMS AND RESULT IN TY YATES TURNING TOWARD A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK BY 72 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240151Z3), 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2). MAXIMUM NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 24 04:21:53 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102233-21964>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 04:21:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA21507; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 04:23:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9TUWFQ880003583@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 04:20:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3011351 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 15:22:11 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA48764 for ; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 15:22:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63788 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 23 Sep 1996 15:22:02 -0500 Date: Mon, 23 Sep 1996 15:22:02 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -231522 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609232022.AA63788@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 91945 WTPN22 PGTW 232030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 232025Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230555Z SEP 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 230600)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.4N5 142.5E2 TO 15.0N6 136.0E0 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 231730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N2 141.9E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF GUAM HAS BEGUN TO MOVE MUCH QUICKER THAN ACCOUNTED FOR IN OUR PREVIOUS TCFA. THE LOCATION OF OUR SATELLITE FIX POSITIONS ARE ON THE EDGE OF OUR PREVIOUS TCFA BOX. THIS TCFA IS RE-ISSUED TO ESTABLISH A NEW FORMATION ALERT BOX. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 242030Z1.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 24 10:29:47 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102286-16874>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 10:29:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA22663; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 10:31:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9UPHN3U400007FB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 10:28:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3015616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 21:18:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA27558 for ; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 21:18:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA109153 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 23 Sep 1996 21:18:18 -0500 Date: Mon, 23 Sep 1996 21:18:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -232118 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609240218.AA109153@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 98654 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 16.3N0 152.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 152.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 16.2N9 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 16.3N0 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.8N5 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.8N6 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 20.5N7 135.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 16.3N0 152.1E9 TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS WHILE RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING. YATES HAS MAINTAINED A 6-8 NM DIAMETER EYE AND HAS A WELL ESTABLISHED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW PATTERN. TYPHOON YATES IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF DUE WEST OWING TO INTERACTION WITH TD 29W LOCATED WEST OF GUAM, AND THEN RESUME A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK AFTER YATES PASSES WEST OF THE MARIANAS ISLANDS IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. DUE TO YATES= SMALL SIZE, THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THAT THE SYSTEM COULD REACH SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY IN 18 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9), 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 24 10:52:27 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102276-16878>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 10:52:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA29745; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 10:54:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9UPHN3U400007FB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 10:51:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3016135 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 21:51:45 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA54008 for ; Mon, 23 Sep 1996 21:51:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA100839 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 23 Sep 1996 21:51:43 -0500 Date: Mon, 23 Sep 1996 21:51:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -232151 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609240251.AA100839@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 49380 WTPN32 PGTW 240300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 14.3N8 139.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3N8 139.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 16.3N0 137.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.7N5 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 18.2N1 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.6N5 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.3N6 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 14.8N3 139.1E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 29W IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN THE 12- AND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TD 29W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1), 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 240000Z6 ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 232021Z SEP 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 232030).// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 24 13:52:00 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102359-16873>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 13:51:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA14045; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 13:52:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9USRKJN8G00080O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 13:49:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3018052 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 00:50:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA109856 for ; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 00:50:14 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA79506 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 24 Sep 1996 00:50:11 -0500 Date: Tue, 24 Sep 1996 00:50:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -240050 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609240550.AA79506@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54415 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240153Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3N0 152.7E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W WAS LOCATED AT 14.3N8 139.7E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8.1N9 144.6E5 HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W. (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 08N8 171.5E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 167E4. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BENEATH A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO A LACK OF PERSISTENT, ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. (3) AN AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 09.5N4 126.5E4 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE TWO WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS IN THE MONSOON TROUGH BENEATH A REGION OF WEAK UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/KALAFSKY/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 24 16:14:52 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102361-16873>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 16:14:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA18534; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 16:16:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9USRKJN8G00080O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 16:13:34 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3018599 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:10:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA36572 for ; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:10:53 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66684 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:10:51 -0500 Date: Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:10:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -240310 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609240810.AA66684@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 86649 WTPN31 PGTW 240900 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 16.2N9 151.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 151.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.2N9 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 16.4N1 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 16.9N6 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 17.9N7 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 20.6N8 135.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 16.2N9 151.2E9 TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS TRACKED A LITTLE SOUTH OF DUE WEST DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS ALONG OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK AND, AS A RESULT, OUR CURRENT TRACK IS AN EXTENSION OF OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK. LATEST SYNOPTIC AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF TYPHOON YATES HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGHTEN AND BUILD WESTWARD. THE RIDGE, IN COMBINATION WITH WEAK BINARY INTERACTION WITH TD 29W, SHOULD KEEP YATES ON A GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 24-36 HOURS, WITH A RETURN TO A MORE WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK AS TD 29W PULLS NORTHWESTWARD AND INCREASES THE SEPARATION BETWEEN THE TWO STORMS. OUR TRACK FORECAST REMAINS TO THE LEFT (SOUTH) OF MOST OF OUR NUMERICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241351Z6), 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z ARE 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W (WTPN 32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 24 16:12:52 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102361-16867>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 16:12:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA17947; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 16:14:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9USRKJN8G00080O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 16:11:25 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3018606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:12:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA116082 for ; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:11:32 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58768 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:11:31 -0500 Date: Tue, 24 Sep 1996 03:11:31 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -240311 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609240811.AA58768@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 34445 WTPN32 PGTW 240900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 15.0N6 138.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.0N6 138.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 16.5N2 136.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.5N3 134.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.7N5 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 17.9N7 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.3N3 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 15.4N0 138.0E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 29W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BETWEEN THE 24- AND THE 36- HOUR POSITION. TD 29W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6) AND 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2). MAXIMUM SEAS AT 2406000Z2 ARE 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 24 22:04:37 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102229-16873>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 22:04:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA13541; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 22:06:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9V5326TPS003BU9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 22:03:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3020324 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 09:03:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA39714 for ; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 09:02:40 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46282 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 24 Sep 1996 09:02:38 -0500 Date: Tue, 24 Sep 1996 09:02:38 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -240902 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609241402.AA46282@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 9671 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 16.1N8 150.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 150.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.9N5 147.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.0N7 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.6N3 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.4N3 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 23.0N5 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 16.0N7 149.6E0 TYPHOON YATES (28W) CONTINUES MOVING JUST SOUTH OF DUE WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 12 KNOTS. IT REMAINS A SMALL SYSTEM. VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE VERY SMALL EYE OF TY YATES HAS BECOME CLOUD COVERED. AS OF WARNING TIME THE EYE COULD NOT BE DISCERNED. WARNING INTENSITY HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS TO REFLECT FILLING OF THE EYE, ALTHOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ROUGHLY THE SAME OVERALL CHARACTERISTICS. WIND RADII AT WARNING TIME ARE BASED HEAVILY ON THE LATEST MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY (SSM/I) ANALYSIS PROVIDED BY AFGWC, BLENDED WITH AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. THE FORECAST TRACK FOR TY YATES IS A CONTINUED WESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 24 HOURS. AS TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY TO THE WEST OF TY YATES INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS WILL INCREASE. BEYOND 36 HOURS TY YATES WILL BE IN A REGION OF SYNOPTIC SCALE POLEWARD WIND FLOW AROUND TS ZANE, AND THIS IS ANTICIPATED TO TURN TY YATES ONTO A MORE NORTHWEST TO NORTHWARD TRACK NEAR THE 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITIONS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2), 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Sep 24 22:37:37 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102342-16874>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 22:37:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA18097; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 22:39:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9V5326TPS003BU9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 22:36:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3020985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 09:37:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA32728 for ; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 09:37:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA94407 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 24 Sep 1996 09:37:18 -0500 Date: Tue, 24 Sep 1996 09:37:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -240937 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609241437.AA94407@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 98756 WTPN32 PGTW 241500 1. TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 15.6N2 136.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 136.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 17.2N0 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.6N4 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.7N5 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.9N7 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 18.8N7 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 16.0N7 136.4E4 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 15 KNOTS. IT HAS ORGANIZED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS NOW AT MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND THEN TURN WESTWARD IN RESPONSE TO EASTERLY WINDS FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THIS SYSTEM IS INTERACTING WITH TY YATES (28W), WHICH IS A MUCH SMALLER SYSTEM TO ITS EAST. TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, TS ZANE IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION IN RESPONSE TO THE MOTION OF TY YATES TO THE NORTH. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6), 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 25 04:22:29 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102209-16873>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 04:22:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA01633; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 04:24:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9V5326TPS003BU9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 04:21:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3025389 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 15:22:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA76116 for ; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 15:22:01 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA109183 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 24 Sep 1996 15:21:59 -0500 Date: Tue, 24 Sep 1996 15:21:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -241521 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609242021.AA109183@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 52604 WTPN32 PGTW 242100 1. TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 16.2N9 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 17.2N0 133.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.7N5 131.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 17.9N7 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.0N9 127.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.0N0 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 16.5N2 135.3E2 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. IT IS STILL A RATHER BROAD SYSTEM, BUT ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM ORGANIZATION IS IMPROVING. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DERIVED WINDS, COURTESY OF UW-CIMSS, INDICATE THIS SYSTEM HAS VERY GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. THIS, COUPLED WITH STRONG LOW- LEVEL INFLOW AND VERY WARM SEA SURFACE CONDITIONS, INDICATES THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. TS ZANE LIES WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND HAS A WELL DEFINED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. THIS RIDGE SHOULD FORCE TS ZANE INTO A MORE WESTWARD TRACK BEYOND 24 HOURS. TS ZANE APPEARS TO ALREADY BE TURNING WESTWARD AND SLOWING ITS FORWARD MOTION IN RESPONSE TO THIS RIDGE. TS ZANE IS FORECAST TO DRAMATICALLY SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION NEAR THE 72 HOUR POSITION DUE TO INTERACTION WITH TY YATES (28W) TO ITS EAST. TY YATES IS FORECAST TO BE MOVING NORTH TOWARD A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AT THIS POINT IN TIME AND THIS NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW THE MOTION OF TS ZANE TOWARD THE WEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6), 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 25 04:29:39 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102209-16873>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 04:29:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA01915; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 04:31:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9V5326TPS003BU9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 04:28:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3025549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 15:30:04 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA66756 for ; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 15:30:03 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69122 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 24 Sep 1996 15:30:00 -0500 Date: Tue, 24 Sep 1996 15:30:00 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -241530 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609242030.AA69122@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40703 WTPN31 PGTW 242100 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 16.0N7 149.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 149.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.9N5 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 15.9N5 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 16.6N3 141.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.5N4 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 23.7N2 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 16.0N7 148.5E8 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. CURRENT MOTION IS JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST. THE LATEST AVAILABLE INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EYE WHICH HAS REGENERATED. THE EYE IS APPROXIMATELY 10 NM IN DIAMETER. INTERACTION WITH TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) IS STILL ENHANCING WESTWARD MOTION OF TY YATES. A WELL DEFINED SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS NORTH OF TY YATES IS ALSO A STRONG FACTOR IN THIS MOTION. AT APPROXIMATELY 48 HOURS A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE AXIS IS FORECAST TO EXIST TO THE NORTHWEST OF TY YATES AND RESULT IN A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION TOWARD THIS BREAK. ALL OF OUR AVAILABLE DYNAMIC FORECAST GUIDANCE SUPPORTS MOTION TOWARD THIS WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE WITH THE LONG RANGE OUTLOOK, BUT THE SAME FORECAST GUIDANCE IS HAVING TROUBLE WITH THE SHORT TERM MOTION DUE WEST. ALL OF OUR PRIMARY DYNAMIC GUIDANCE HAS MISSED THIS WESTWARD MOTION FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY OF 110 KNOTS IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS. WIND RADII AT WARNING TIME ARE BASED UPON THE LATEST AVAILABLE MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY (SSM/I) ANALYSIS PROVIDED BY AFGWC BLENDED WITH AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250151Z4), 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 25 10:10:07 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102241-14241>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 10:10:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA26794; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 10:12:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9V5326TPS003BU9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 10:08:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3029412 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 21:10:17 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA46344 for ; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 21:08:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA10948 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 24 Sep 1996 21:08:41 -0500 Date: Tue, 24 Sep 1996 21:08:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -242108 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609250208.AA10948@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 113089 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. SUPERTYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 15.9N5 147.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, DOPPLER RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 147.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 15.8N4 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.3N0 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.4N2 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.6N6 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 24.4N0 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 15.9N5 147.2E4 SUPERTYPHOON YATES (28W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD (265 DEGREES) AT 13 KNOTS TOWARD THE CENTRAL MARIANA ISLANDS. YATES HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS WITH VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATING A CLEARLY DEFINED, 15 NM DIAMETER EYE. YATES IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN SUPERTYPHOON INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. YATES REMAINS A VERY SMALL, BUT VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0), 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 25 11:03:48 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102268-14241>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 11:03:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA11051; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 11:05:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9W63DIL74003SFT@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 11:02:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3029993 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 22:03:36 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA64860 for ; Tue, 24 Sep 1996 22:01:35 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48801 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 24 Sep 1996 22:01:34 -0500 Date: Tue, 24 Sep 1996 22:01:34 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -242201 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609250301.AA48801@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 58014 WTPN32 PGTW 250300 1. TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 16.8N5 133.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 133.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 17.5N3 130.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 18.0N9 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.5N4 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.2N2 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 20.1N3 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 17.0N8 132.9E5 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. ZANE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. ZANE IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z7 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO SUPERTYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 25 14:02:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102458-14241>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 14:02:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA28022; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 14:04:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9W63DIL74003SFT@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 14:01:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3031513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 01:02:31 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA10048 for ; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 01:01:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA98854 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 25 Sep 1996 01:01:13 -0500 Date: Wed, 25 Sep 1996 01:01:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -250101 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609250601.AA98854@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 29731 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250153Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 SUPERTYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.9N5 147.8E0, MOVING WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 130 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 160 KNOTS. SEE REF A (SUPERTYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 10 (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 250000Z7 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.8N5 133.6E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 05 (WTPN32 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 167E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 162E9. A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BENEATH A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO A LACK OF PERSISTENT, ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. (2) THE AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 09.5N4 126.5E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 25 16:09:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102511-14239>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 16:09:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA28181; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 16:11:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WGW7GSW0003316@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 16:08:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3032000 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 03:09:34 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA122842 for ; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 03:09:33 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA96672 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 25 Sep 1996 03:09:33 -0500 Date: Wed, 25 Sep 1996 03:09:33 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250309 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609250809.AA96672@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 66205 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. SUPERTYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 15.9N5 146.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, DOPPLER RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 146.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 16.0N7 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 16.6N3 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.1N0 139.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 20.3N5 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 24.9N5 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 15.9N5 146.0E1 SUPERTYPHOON YATES (28W) CONTINUES TRACKING WESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL MARIANA ISLANDS. YATES IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR PEAK INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. YATES IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AFTER THE 24- HOUR WARNING POSITION AND NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE 48- AND THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 25 16:25:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102523-14241>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 16:25:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA02114; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 16:27:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WHKUGTRK003D4H@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 16:24:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3032043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 03:22:39 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA58922 for ; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 03:22:39 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA99181 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 25 Sep 1996 03:22:38 -0500 Date: Wed, 25 Sep 1996 03:22:38 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250322 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609250822.AA99181@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 66154 WTPN32 PGTW 250900 1. TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 16.8N5 132.4E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.8N5 132.4E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 17.1N9 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 17.7N5 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.2N1 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 18.8N7 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 19.9N9 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 16.9N6 131.9E4 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. ZANE IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD TURNING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHILE SLOWING ITS FORWARD MOTION. ZANE IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5), 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2503000Z0 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO SUPERTYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 25 22:16:38 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102571-14236>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:16:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA26939; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:18:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:15:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3033568 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:16:47 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA85182 for ; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:16:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53694 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:16:44 -0500 Date: Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:16:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250916 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609251416.AA53694@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 52923 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 16.0N7 145.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 145.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.3N0 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.3N1 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.1N1 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.2N5 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.0N8 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 16.1N8 145.2E2 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE MARIANA ISLAND CHAIN AT 09 KNOTS. THE EYE HAS JUST PASSED THE ISLAND OF FARALLON DE MEDINILLA AND ITS NORTHERN EDGE IS AFFECTING ANATAHAN ISLAND AT THIS TIME. OUR WARNING POSITION ACCURACY IS VERY HIGH ON THIS SYSTEM, WITH EXCELLENT FIXES PROVIDED BY DOPPLER RADAR AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE EYEWALL HAS BEEN CLEARLY EVIDENT ON RADAR FOR OVER TWELVE HOURS NOW. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL PORTION OF THE EYE HAS BECOME CLOUD FILLED AND SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, WHICH IS WHY WE HAVE DROPPED THE MAXIMUM WIND INTENSITY BY 5 KNOTS (CROSSING THE THRESHOLD BACK INTO TYPHOON CATEGORY FROM SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY). ANIMATED RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL EYEWALL IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AGAIN AND WE ANTICIPATE REACHING SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY AGAIN WITHIN THE NEXT SIX TO TWELVE HOURS. RADAR DATA IS ALSO BEGINNING TO INDICATE A VERY SMALL NORTHWARD COMPONENT TO THE PREDOMINANTLY WESTWARD MOTION OF TY YATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 2 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 25 22:25:58 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102571-14234>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:25:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA28005; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:27:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:24:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3033658 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:26:10 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA108420 for ; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:26:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA33674 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:26:07 -0500 Date: Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:26:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250926 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609251426.AA33674@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 53127 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 COR 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNNG POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 16.0N7 145.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 145.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 16.3N0 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.3N1 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 19.1N1 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.2N5 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 26.0N8 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 16.1N8 145.2E2 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE MARIANA ISLAND CHAIN AT 09 KNOTS. THE EYE HAS JUST PASSED THE ISLAND OF FARALLON DE MEDINILLA AND ITS NORTHERN EDGE IS AFFECTING ANATAHAN ISLAND AT THIS TIME. OUR WARNING POSITION ACCURACY IS VERY HIGH ON THIS SYSTEM, WITH EXCELLENT FIXES PROVIDED BY DOPPLER RADAR AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE EYEWALL HAS BEEN CLEARLY EVIDENT ON RADAR FOR OVER TWELVE HOURS NOW. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE UPPER-LEVEL PORTION OF THE EYE HAS BECOME CLOUD FILLED AND SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, WHICH IS WHY WE HAVE DROPPED THE MAXIMUM WIND INTENSITY BY 5 KNOTS (CROSSING THE THRESHOLD BACK INTO TYPHOON CATEGORY FROM SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY). ANIMATED RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT THE LOW-LEVEL EYEWALL IS BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AGAIN AND WE ANTICIPATE REACHING SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY AGAIN WITHIN THE NEXT SIX TO TWELVE HOURS. RADAR DATA IS ALSO BEGINNING TO INDICATE A VERY SMALL NORTHWARD COMPONENT TO THE PREDOMINANTLY WESTWARD MOTION OF TY YATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 27 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Sep 25 22:40:58 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102591-14239>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:40:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA29884; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:42:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:39:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3033814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:37:00 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA88052 for ; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:36:59 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA21234 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:36:51 -0500 Date: Wed, 25 Sep 1996 09:36:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250936 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609251436.AA21234@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 12271 WTPN32 PGTW 251500 1. TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 17.2N0 131.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.2N0 131.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.7N5 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 18.1N0 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.6N5 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.1N1 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 20.3N5 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 17.3N1 130.8E2 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. IT IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION IN RESPONSE TO THE BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH. TS ZANE IS ALSO FORECAST TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. AT THIS TIME ITS SYNOPTIC SCALE CIRCULATION IS LARGER THAN AVERAGE AND SHOULD THUS INTENSIFY SLOWER THAN CLIMATOLOGY WOULD INDICATE BECAUSE RAPID ORGANIZATION IS UNLIKELY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5), 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7), 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 00:35:33 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102605-29817>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:35:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA06795; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:37:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:31:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3037162 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 14:51:25 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA40780 for ; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 14:51:24 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA60760 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 25 Sep 1996 14:51:22 -0500 Date: Wed, 25 Sep 1996 14:51:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -251451 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609251951.AA60760@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 43093 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 16.1N8 144.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 144.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 16.6N3 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 17.7N5 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.4N4 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.8N1 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 26.0N8 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 16.2N9 144.3E2 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS AWAY FROM THE MARIANA ISLANDS. IT HAS BEGUN TO SLOWLY GAIN LATITUDE AS INDICATED BY DOPPLER RADAR FROM GUAM. DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THAT THE EYE WALL CLOUD IS STILL WELL- DEFINED, ALTHOUGH INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE EYE IS CLOUD FILLED AT THE UPPER-LEVELS. OUR FORECAST IS FOR TY YATES TO CONTINUE WESTWARD OUT BEYOND THE MARIANA ISLANDS AND BEGIN A NORTHWARD TURN. ALL OF OUR AVAILABLE DYNAMIC FORECAST GUIDANCE IS REACHING CLOSER AGREEMENT, AND IS CLUSTERED AROUND OUR FORECAST TRACK. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 00:37:13 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102614-29817>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:37:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA07242; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:39:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:32:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3037643 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 15:32:09 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA74654 for ; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 15:31:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (AIX 3.2/UCB 5.64/4.03) id AA51233; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 15:31:52 -0500 Date: Wed, 25 Sep 1996 15:31:52 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -251531 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <9609252031.AA51233@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 52766 WTPN32 PGTW 252100 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 008 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 18.1N0 130.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 130 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 130.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.0N0 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 19.3N3 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.5N5 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 19.7N7 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 20.1N3 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 18.3N2 129.6E8 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IT HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TY ZANE APPEARS TO HAVE A CLOUD COVERED EYE AT THIS TIME, BUT WITHOUT VISIBLE IMAGERY THIS CANNOT YET BE CONFIRMED. TY ZANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS NORTH AND IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION DRASTICALLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO PUSHING UP AGAINST THE RIDGE AXIS. ALL OF OUR AVAILABLE DYNAMIC FORECAST GUIDANCE INDICATES A VERY SLOW MOTION AT 72 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7), 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 00:43:03 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102605-29818>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:43:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08952; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:45:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:39:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3042534 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:27:42 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA34350 for ; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:27:42 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA112702 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:27:40 -0500 Date: Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:27:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -252227 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609260327.AA112702@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71995 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 16.5N2 144.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 144.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 17.3N1 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.2N1 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 19.9N9 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.8N1 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 26.7N5 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 16.7N4 143.6E4 TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS WHILE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY. YATES REMAINS A SMALL BUT VERY INTENSE SYSTEM. A WELL-DEFINED 15 TO 18 NM DIAMETER EYE REMAINS VISIBLE ON THE GUAM WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM TY ZANE (29W) IS CAUSING SHEAR ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF YATES AND IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WEAKENING TREND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG71262700151 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 00:43:03 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102616-29817>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:43:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08969; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:45:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:39:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3042549 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:29:51 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA50402 for ; Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:29:44 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA103514 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:29:41 -0500 Date: Wed, 25 Sep 1996 22:29:41 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -252229 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609260329.AA103514@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 53591 WTPN32 PGTW 260300 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 009 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 19.0N0 129.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 129.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 20.5N7 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 21.3N6 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.8N1 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.1N5 123.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 24.0N6 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 19.4N4 129.0E2 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) HAS DEVELOPED AN EYE DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION AS ZANE TRACKS TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0), 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES 28W (WTPN31 PGTW).// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG71272700153 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 00:58:53 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102607-29818>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:58:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA13365; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 01:00:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:41:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3044361 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 01:00:27 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA49340 for ; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 01:00:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA34951 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 26 Sep 1996 01:00:19 -0500 Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 01:00:19 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -260100 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609260600.AA34951@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 121476 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260153Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.5N2 144.0E9, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 14 (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 260000Z8 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.0N0 129.5E7, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN32 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 167E4 HAS WEAKENED AND BEEN ABSORBED INTO THE MONSOON TROUGH AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION HAS MOVED ACROSS THE DATELINE AND WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 179.9E6. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION THAT IS LOCATED BENEATH STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO A LACK OF PERSISTENT, ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. (3) THE BAND OF STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 9.5N4 128.5E6 EASTWARD TO 13.0N4 133.5E2 TO 14.5N0 147.0E2 TO 16.0N7 157.03. THE MOST LIKELY REGIONS FOR ANY DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK LOW PRESSURE WAVES LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 133.5E2 AND 14.5N0 147.0E2. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30-35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO CLOSE INTERACTION WITH TYPHOON YATES (28W) AND TYPHOON ZANE (29W). (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/WOFFORD/PUGH// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 00:55:33 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102607-29818>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:55:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA12507; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:57:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:42:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3044941 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 03:36:57 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA12444 for ; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 03:33:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA107660 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 26 Sep 1996 03:33:08 -0500 Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 03:33:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260333 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609260833.AA107660@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 120969 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 17.0N8 143.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 143.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 18.2N1 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.8N8 140.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.5N8 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.3N8 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 27.1N0 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 17.3N1 142.6E3 TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT TRACKS TOWARD A DEVELOPING BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TYPHOON YATES MAY BRIEFLY REACH SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY (130 KT) LATER TONIGHT NOW THAT THE NORTHWESTERLY WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED. A SLOW WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD AS YATES BECOMES ELONGATED NORTH-SOUTH IN THE BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8), 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 00:59:43 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102607-29818>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:59:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA13519; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 01:01:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:42:26 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3045059 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 03:53:49 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA10284 for ; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 03:53:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA86200 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 26 Sep 1996 03:53:47 -0500 Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 03:53:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260353 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609260853.AA86200@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 113077 WTPN32 PGTW 260900 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 19.8N8 128.5E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 128.5E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 21.0N3 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.7N0 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.3N7 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.5N0 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.3N0 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 20.1N3 128.1E2 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON ZANE (29W) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED AS THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH HAS LINKED UP WITH THE MID-LATITUDE SOUTHWESTERLIES. ZANE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND POSSIBLY REACH SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON ZANE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO A WEAK STEERING FLOW PATTERN BY THE 24 TO 36 HOUR TIME PERIOD AND TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD TO THE EAST OF TAIWAN. HOWEVER, THE FLOW PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY COMPLEX AND RECURVATURE CAN NOT BE RULED OUT AT THIS TIME. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0), 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6), 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES 28W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 01:06:43 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102605-29815>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 01:06:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA16191; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 01:08:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:46:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3046770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 08:53:39 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA10348 for ; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 08:53:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA113547 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 26 Sep 1996 08:53:34 -0500 Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 08:53:34 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260853 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609261353.AA113547@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 24968 WTPN31 PGTW 261500 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 17.3N1 142.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 142.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 18.6N5 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 20.3N5 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.0N4 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 23.6N1 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.5N3 142.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 17.6N4 142.1E8 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AWAY FROM THE MARIANA ISLANDS AT 8 KNOTS. YATES IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN CURRENT INTENSITY FOR 12 HOURS BEFORE GRADUALLY WEAKENING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. YATES IS FORECAST TO RECURVE, TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD BEFORE TURNING NORTHWARD AND THEN NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4), 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 ARE 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 01:04:23 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102605-29815>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 01:04:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA15720; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 01:06:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9WL9HYEOG0034BF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 00:46:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3046777 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 08:55:40 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA74098 for ; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 08:53:38 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA70293 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 26 Sep 1996 08:53:35 -0500 Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 08:53:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260853 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609261353.AA70293@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 113554 WTPN32 PGTW 261500 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 011 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 20.1N3 127.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 127.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 20.8N0 126.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 21.4N7 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.0N4 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.5N9 124.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 23.2N7 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 20.3N5 127.4E4 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AT 8 KNOTS. ZANE IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW IMPINGING ON THE SYSTEM. ZANE WILL GRADUALLY TURN NORTHEASTWARD AFTER THE 36- HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE MONSOON TROUGH BECOMES REVERSE ORIENTED. ZANE IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6), 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8), 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 04:32:24 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102622-29818>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 04:32:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA05675; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 04:34:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9YDWD5FG00044AF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 04:31:05 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3052057 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 15:32:08 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA142524 for ; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 15:30:58 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49816 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 26 Sep 1996 15:30:56 -0500 Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 15:30:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -261530 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609262030.AA49816@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 50581 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 18.0N9 141.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 141.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 19.6N6 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.2N5 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.7N1 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.4N0 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.9N8 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 18.4N3 141.4E0 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS WEST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS. YATES IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. YATES HAS BEGUN RECURVATURE AND IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD BY THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6), 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 04:37:14 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102622-29818>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 04:37:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA05815; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 04:39:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9YDWD5FG00044AF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 04:35:48 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3052078 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 15:37:22 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA54496 for ; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 15:31:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA32427 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 26 Sep 1996 15:31:12 -0500 Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 15:31:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -261531 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609262031.AA32427@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 59048 WTPN32 PGTW 262100 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 012 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 20.4N6 127.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 127.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 20.8N0 126.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.3N6 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 21.8N1 125.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 22.3N7 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 23.0N5 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 20.5N7 126.9E8 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AT 6 KNOTS. ZANE CONTINUES TO SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION AND IS FORECAST TO MAKE A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. ZANE IS EXPECTED TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8), 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4), 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TY YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 10:25:45 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102294-10119>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 10:25:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA08075; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 10:27:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9YDWD5FG00044AF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 10:24:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3056723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 21:25:47 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA128724 for ; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 21:25:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58935 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 26 Sep 1996 21:25:44 -0500 Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 21:25:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -262125 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609270225.AA58935@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 68148 WTPN31 PGTW 270300 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 18.9N8 141.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 141.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 20.5N7 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.0N4 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 23.7N2 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.4N1 140.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 29.1N2 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 19.3N3 141.0E6 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE 36 TO 48 HOURS, AFTERWARDS A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270751Z2), 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 10:56:57 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102279-10121>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 10:56:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA15157; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 10:58:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9YDWD5FG00044AF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 10:55:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3057014 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 21:56:31 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA30392 for ; Thu, 26 Sep 1996 21:56:29 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57940 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 26 Sep 1996 21:56:29 -0500 Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 21:56:29 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -262156 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609270256.AA57940@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 56913 WTPN32 PGTW 270300 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 21.0N3 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.0N3 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 22.0N4 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.7N1 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 23.4N9 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 24.2N8 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 25.6N3 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 21.3N6 126.2E1 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NORTHWARD AS RIDGING BUILDS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TO THE NORTH. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4), 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1), 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 14:12:39 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102301-10121>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 14:12:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA10846; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 14:14:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9YDWD5FG00044AF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 14:11:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3058512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 01:12:50 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA116846 for ; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 01:09:52 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55976 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 27 Sep 1996 01:09:51 -0500 Date: Fri, 27 Sep 1996 01:09:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -270109 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609270609.AA55976@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 43941 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/270153Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 270000Z9 TYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.9N8 141.2E8, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 270000Z09 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.0N3 126.5E4, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 13 (WTPN32 PGTW 270300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 179.9E6 HAS WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE BAND OF STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH AN ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH PREVIOUSLY EXTENDING FROM 9.5N4 128.5E6 EASTWARD TO 13.0N4 133.5E2 TO 14.5N0 147.0E2 TO 16.0N7 157.03 NOW EXTENDS FROM 10.0N1 127.0E0 TO 12.0N3 137.0E1 TO 19.0N 149.0N4. LOW-LEVEL/GRADIENT (3000 FT) ANALYSIS INDICATES THIS CONVERGING SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW REMAINS NEAR TYPHOONS YATES (28) AND ZANE (29W). TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS; THEREFORE, THIS REGION IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT, BUT WILL CONTINUED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED AS THE TWO TYPHOONS MOVE FURTHER NORTHWARD. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1 110E9. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. CONVECTION IS UNORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/BOGLE/PUGH NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 16:06:10 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102484-10119>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 16:06:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA08717; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 16:08:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9Z6SEVHBK003JF9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 16:04:54 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3058814 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 03:06:17 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA118506 for ; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 03:06:16 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67045 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 27 Sep 1996 03:06:16 -0500 Date: Fri, 27 Sep 1996 03:06:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270306 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609270806.AA67045@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 44002 WTPN31 PGTW 270900 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 19.8N8 140.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 140.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 21.5N8 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.9N3 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.5N1 139.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.2N0 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 30.5N8 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 20.2N4 140.2E7 TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS INTENSIFIED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND NOW DISPLAYS A 15 NM DIAMETER, RAGGED, CLOUD- FILLED EYE. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK AFTER 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271351Z9), 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 16:45:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102384-10114>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 16:45:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA18197; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 16:47:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9Z6SEVHBK003JF9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 16:44:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3058976 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 03:45:49 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA119170 for ; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 03:45:31 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63632 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 27 Sep 1996 03:45:30 -0500 Date: Fri, 27 Sep 1996 03:45:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270345 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609270845.AA63632@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 56973 WTPN32 PGTW 270900 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 014 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270600Z5 --- 21.5N8 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 126.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 22.5N9 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.4N9 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.1N7 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.0N7 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.0N9 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270900Z8 POSITION 21.8N1 125.8E6 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM DISPLAYS A 7 NM DIAMETER, CLOUD-FILLED EYE. THE SYSTEM=S TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME NORTHEASTWARD AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH BY 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1), 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7), 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9) AND 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 22:19:28 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102427-10117>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 22:19:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA22856; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 22:21:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 22:18:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3061090 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 09:19:34 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA83728 for ; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 09:19:32 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43860 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 27 Sep 1996 09:19:23 -0500 Date: Fri, 27 Sep 1996 09:19:23 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270919 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609271419.AA43860@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 62289 WTPN31 PGTW 271500 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 20.2N4 139.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 139.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 21.6N9 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 23.4N9 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.1N8 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.1N0 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 31.3N7 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 20.5N7 139.5E8 TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS AND IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 8 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO RECURVE, TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271951Z5), 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 80900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z2 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Sep 27 22:24:18 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102458-10121>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 22:24:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA23284; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 22:26:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 22:23:03 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3061132 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 09:24:43 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA122124 for ; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 09:20:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61823 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 27 Sep 1996 09:20:25 -0500 Date: Fri, 27 Sep 1996 09:20:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -270920 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609271420.AA61823@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 58748 WTPN32 PGTW 271500 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 015 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 21.8N1 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.8N1 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 22.6N0 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 23.5N0 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 24.5N1 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.5N2 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.0N9 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 22.0N4 125.4E2 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON ZANE (29W) HAS SLOWED IN FORWARD SPEED WHILE TRACKING TO THE NORTHWEST. ZANE HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY WITH NUMEROUS OVERSHOOTING COLD TOPS AROUND -85 TO -88C NOTED IN THE RE-DEVELOPING EYEWALL. OUTFLOW REMAINS RESTRICTED TO THE WEST, BUT IS EXCELLENT IN THE OTHER QUADRANTS. ESTIMATED SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 949 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7), 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9), 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z ARE 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 28 04:21:22 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102332-10117>; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 04:21:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA25180; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 04:23:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 04:19:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3064653 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:21:39 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA133106 for ; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:21:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36599 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:21:36 -0500 Date: Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:21:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -271521 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609272021.AA36599@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 35316 WTPN31 PGTW 272100 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 20.9N1 139.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N1 139.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 22.6N0 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.4N0 138.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.4N2 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 28.3N3 141.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 32.1N6 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 21.3N6 139.0E3 TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD. THE EYE HAS ONCE AGAIN BECOME CLOUD COVERED AND YATES INTENSITY MAY FLUCUATE SLIGHTLY DURING THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. HOWEVER, A GENERAL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED, ESPECIALLY AFTER 24 HOURS WHEN YATES ENCOUNTER STRONG WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 933 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280151Z7), 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 27/1800Z IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Sep 28 04:24:12 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102308-10117>; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 04:24:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA25336; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 04:26:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 04:22:51 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3064676 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:24:17 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA60466 for ; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:23:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47175 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:23:54 -0500 Date: Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:23:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -271523 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609272023.AA47175@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 35140 WTPN32 PGTW 272100 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 016 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271800Z8 --- 22.3N7 125.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 125.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 23.3N8 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 155 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.4N0 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.4N1 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.1N9 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.2N1 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 272100Z2 POSITION 22.6N0 125.3E1 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE DEVELOPING A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE. CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE EYE WALL AND THE EYE TEMPERATURE HAS WARMED MORE THAN 50C (-17C) SINCE 27/12Z. ZANE IS TRACKING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT 12- 24 HOURS. RECURVATURE IS EXPECTED BY 36 HOURS AS ZANE REACHES THE RIDGE AXIS CURRENTLY ALONG 26-27N LATITUDE. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AND STEADILY IMPROVING IN THE INCREASINGLY BACKING 200 MB FLOW AND ZANE IS EXPECTED TO PEAK AT 115-120 KT BY 24 HOURS. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST AND THE WIND RADII ON THE NORTH SIDE OF ZANE HAVE BEEN EXPANDED ACCORDINGLY. ESTIMATED SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 938 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9), 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5), 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 00:37:02 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102403-5679>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:36:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA07960; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:39:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:34:04 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3067899 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 21:29:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA121954 for ; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 21:29:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69311 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 27 Sep 1996 21:29:55 -0500 Date: Fri, 27 Sep 1996 21:29:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -272129 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609280229.AA69311@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60092 WTPN32 PGTW 280300 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 22.8N2 125.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 170 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 125.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 23.6N1 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 24.5N1 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.3N0 126.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 26.1N9 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 27.7N6 131.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 23.0N5 125.4E2 TYPHOON ZANE (28W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. IT IS IN A REGION OF VERY WEAK STEERING BUT HAS CONTINUED MOVING AT THE SAME SPEED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. NEITHER RADAR NOR SATELLITE FIXES INDICATE THIS SYSTEM HAS MADE AN EASTWARD TURN YET. WE ANTICIPATE TY ZANE TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS DUE TO WEAK STEERING FROM THE ANTICYCLONE TO ITS SOUTHEAST AND THE WEAK INDUCED RIDGING TO ITS EAST. BY 36 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS ANTICIPATED TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD AROUND THE NORTHERN END OF THE INDUCED RIDGE AND START TO SLOWLY ACCELERATE IN RESPONSE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WINDS. A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE NORTH OF TY ZANE HAS ALREADY BEGUN TO ACCENTUATE SURFACE WINDS NORTH OF TY ZANE, AND WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO REFLECT THIS QUICKER ONSET OF PRESSURE GRADIENT ENHANCED WINDS. OTHERWISE THIS FORECAST IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5), 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 00:37:23 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102353-5679>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:37:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA07988; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:39:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:34:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3067975 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 21:39:30 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA53246 for ; Fri, 27 Sep 1996 21:37:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59994 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 27 Sep 1996 21:37:55 -0500 Date: Fri, 27 Sep 1996 21:37:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -272137 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609280237.AA59994@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48727 WTPN31 PGTW 280300 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 21.1N4 138.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.1N4 138.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 22.2N6 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.7N2 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.8N5 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.9N8 140.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 32.2N7 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 21.4N7 138.5E7 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. IT HAS INCREASED INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND DEVELOPED A VERY WARM EYE. DUE TO THIS VERY PRONOUNCED EYE CYCLE THE SYSTEM IS VERY CLOSE TO SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY AT THIS TIME. DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY START WEAKENING. WITHIN 72 HOURS WE ANTICIPATE THIS SYSTEM TO BEGIN TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280900Z9 (DTG 280751Z3), 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 00:41:52 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102403-5679>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:41:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA09084; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:43:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:35:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3069480 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 00:30:58 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA12538 for ; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 00:30:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62848 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 28 Sep 1996 00:30:57 -0500 Date: Sat, 28 Sep 1996 00:30:57 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -280030 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609280530.AA62848@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 47741 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280153Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 280000Z0 TYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 21.1N4 138.6E8, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 125 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 150 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 280000Z0 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 22.8N2 125.4E2, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 17 (WTPN32 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 110E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 149E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH BOTH THE MONSOON TROUGH AND CONVERGENCE INTO TYPHOON YATES (28W) AND WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL EAST OF TY YATES. ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER INITIATED BY THE SYNOPTIC SITUATION HAS RECENTLY COLLAPSED, LEAVING AN ANNULUS OF CONNECTED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. THE FAVORABLE SYNOPTIC SITUATION STILL EXISTS AND COULD LEAD TO RECONSOLIDATION OF THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 00:41:22 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102403-5679>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:41:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08952; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:43:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:36:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3069981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 02:52:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA12964 for ; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 02:52:14 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46387 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 28 Sep 1996 02:52:13 -0500 Date: Sat, 28 Sep 1996 02:52:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280252 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609280752.AA46387@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55088 WTPN32 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.5N0 125.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 125.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.7N3 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 195 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.5N2 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.3N1 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.2N1 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 29.5N6 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 23.8N3 125.2E0 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. IT HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS LIKELY TO UNDERGO ANOTHER DIURNAL CONVECTIVE PEAK TONIGHT. TY ZANE IS STILL MOVING JUST WEST OF NORTH AT THIS POINT IN TIME, AS INDICATED BY BOTH RADAR AND VISIBLE SATELLITE FIXES. A WEAK ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TY ZANE IS SHIFTING NORTH WITH TY ZANE, BUT NOT QUITE AS FAST. TY ZANE IS ANTICIPATED TO TOP OVER THE INDUCED RIDGE NEAR 24 HOURS AND BEGIN A SLOW ACCELERATION TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTER TY ZANE MOVES NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING THE SYSTEM DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EFFECTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8), 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNINS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 00:41:32 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102421-5675>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:41:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08980; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:43:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:36:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3070035 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 03:24:27 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA28256 for ; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 03:24:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47400 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 28 Sep 1996 03:24:26 -0500 Date: Sat, 28 Sep 1996 03:24:26 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280324 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609280824.AA47400@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 64037 WTPN31 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 21.4N7 138.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.4N7 138.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 22.4N8 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 24.0N6 137.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.3N1 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.4N4 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 33.0N6 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 21.7N0 138.1E3 TYPHOON YATES (29W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. IT HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN NEAR THIS INTENSITY THROUGH DIURNAL CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM, AS IT HAS EITHER REMAINED AT INTENSITY, OR INTENSIFIED, NIGHTLY DURING DIURNAL CONVECTIVE MAXIMUM FOR THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. IT IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE SLOWLY MOVING NORTHWESTWARD, BEING IMPEDED IN FORWARD MOTION BY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS TO ITS NORTHEAST AND THE INDUCED ANTICYCLONE OF TY ZANE (29W) TO ITS WEST. ANIMATED VISIBLE, INFRARED, AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IS BECOMING PINCHED OFF AND A SIGNIFICANT BREAK IN THE RIDGE AXIS IS DEVELOPING NORTH OF TY YATES. THIS SHOULD ALLOW YATES TO MOVE NORTH OF THE RIDGE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS AND START TO ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST BY 48 HOURS. DUE TO THE STRONG MIDLATITUDE UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SOMETIME BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281351Z0), 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 00:45:02 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102353-5675>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:44:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA09697; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:47:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:38:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3071453 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 09:05:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA43434 for ; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 09:05:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63370 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 28 Sep 1996 09:05:30 -0500 Date: Sat, 28 Sep 1996 09:05:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280905 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609281405.AA63370@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48519 WTPN32 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 019 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 24.4N0 125.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 125.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 25.6N3 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 195 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.3N1 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.1N0 128.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.0N0 130.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 29.6N7 134.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 24.7N3 125.5E3 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. ZANE IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD BEYOND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. ZANE IS ALSO FORECAST TO BEGIN WEAKENING SLIGHTLY BEYOND THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8), 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 00:44:42 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102403-5675>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:44:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA09630; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:46:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:38:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3071687 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 09:35:11 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA98948 for ; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 09:35:11 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA64573 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 28 Sep 1996 09:35:10 -0500 Date: Sat, 28 Sep 1996 09:35:10 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -280935 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609281435.AA64573@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 63290 WTPN31 PGTW 281500 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 024 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 21.9N2 137.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 325 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 137.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.0N5 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 24.2N8 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 25.5N2 136.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.3N2 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 31.3N7 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 22.2N6 137.6E7 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. YATES IS FORECAST TO TRACK NORTHWARD THEN NORTHEASTWARD BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. YATES IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 72- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 282100Z3 (DTG 281951Z6), 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 04:36:06 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102181-5675>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:36:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA22636; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:38:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:34:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3074245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 15:36:35 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA124934 for ; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 15:19:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41494 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 28 Sep 1996 15:19:56 -0500 Date: Sat, 28 Sep 1996 15:19:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -281519 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609282019.AA41494@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65811 WTPN32 PGTW 282100 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 020 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 25.4N1 126.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 25.4N1 126.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 26.8N6 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.8N7 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.9N9 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.6N7 135.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 31.0N4 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 25.7N4 126.4E3 TYPHOON ZANE (28W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD NEAR OKINAWA. SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR SHOW THAT ZANE HAS BEGUN MAKING THE TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. ZANE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AFTER THE 12- HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER DUE TO THE FORWARD MOTION OF THE STORM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 04:44:56 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102181-5673>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:44:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA22992; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:46:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:43:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3074391 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 15:45:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA125838 for ; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 15:31:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55481 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 28 Sep 1996 15:31:17 -0500 Date: Sat, 28 Sep 1996 15:31:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -281531 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609282031.AA55481@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65206 WTPN31 PGTW 282100 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281800Z9 --- 22.8N2 137.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.8N2 137.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 24.8N4 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.5N3 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.7N7 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 31.0N4 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 35.3N1 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 282100Z3 POSITION 23.3N8 138.1E3 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AT 09 KNOTS. YATES IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD BEYOND THE 12- HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. YATES IS FORECAST TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290151Z8), 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1) AND 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 09:52:50 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102248-23599>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 09:52:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA01386; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 09:54:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 09:51:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3076304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 20:53:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA24690 for ; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 20:53:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA49402 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 28 Sep 1996 20:53:16 -0500 Date: Sat, 28 Sep 1996 20:53:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -282053 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609290153.AA49402@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 53751 WTPN32 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 021 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 26.4N2 126.4E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.4N2 126.4E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.7N6 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.7N7 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 29.6N7 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 30.4N7 136.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 32.1N6 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 26.7N5 126.8E7 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. RADAR DATA OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS INDICATE THAT IT HAS TURNED SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE TRACK IT HAD BEEN FOLLOWING FOR THE PREVIOUS THREE TO SIX HOURS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THIS IS DUE TO THE INDUCED RIDGE BETWEEN TY ZANE AND TY YATES (28W) SHIFTING SLIGHTLY NORTH DURING THIS TIME. BECAUSE OF THIS SHIFT IT IS LIKELY THAT TY ZANE WILL MOVE FAR ENOUGH NORTH BEFORE MAKING THE EASTWARD TURN AROUND THE TOP OF THE RIDGE TO STAY NORTH OF OKINAWA. THE LIKELIHOOD OF EYE PASSAGE IS THUS REDUCED OVER OKINAWA BUT INCREASED OVER THE NORTHERN RYUKYU ISLANDS SUCH AS AMAMI, TOKUNO, AND OKINO ISLANDS. DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES, TY ZANE IS EXPECTED TO MAKE A SHARP ENOUGH TURN TOWARD THE EAST BY 24 HOURS TO REMAIN SEAWARD OF THE MAIN JAPANESE ISLANDS OF HONSHU, SHIKOKU, AND KYUSHU. DUE TO THE STRENGTH OF THE INDUCED PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN TY ZANE AND THE HIGH PRESSURE CELL NORTH OF JAPAN STRONG WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF JAPAN CAN BE ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNIGNS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 10:31:02 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102221-23592>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 10:31:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA03327; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 10:33:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01I9ZGH1RJQO003TB9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 10:29:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3076593 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 21:31:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA116550 for ; Sat, 28 Sep 1996 21:25:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41695 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 28 Sep 1996 21:25:04 -0500 Date: Sat, 28 Sep 1996 21:25:04 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -282125 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609290225.AA41695@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 61404 WTPN31 PGTW 290300 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 23.4N9 138.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 020 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.4N9 138.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.3N0 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.9N8 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 30.7N0 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 33.4N0 148.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 37.3N3 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 23.9N4 138.4E6 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO OUR FORECAST TRACK FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TY YATES IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TURNING GRADUALLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WHILE WEAKENING. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD BEGIN AT APPROXIMATELY 48 HOURS WHILE THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY EAST OF JAPAN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290900Z0 (DTG 290751Z4), 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z1 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Sep 29 13:20:12 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102248-23593>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 13:20:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA15405; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 13:22:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA1SY80W3K003ZFV@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 13:18:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3077837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:20:29 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA64202 for ; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:20:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36678 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:20:00 -0500 Date: Sun, 29 Sep 1996 00:20:00 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -290020 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609290520.AA36678@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 62018 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z SEP 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290153Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 23.4N9 138.2E4, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 26 (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 26.4N2 126.4E3, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 110 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 135 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 21 (WTPN32 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 20N2 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21N3 148E3. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORTS A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AS INDICATED BY LOW CLOUD LINES SPIRALING AROUND THE SINGLE CONVECTIVE MASS. WHILE THE CONVECTION REMAINS SMALL IN AREAL EXTENT IT IS IN THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS AND HAS SEPARATED FROM THE INFLOW OF TYPHOON YATES (28W). SYNOPTIC DATA DO NOT YET INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A CIRCULATION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 02:44:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102804-23592>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 02:44:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id CAA18289; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 02:46:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA2HMTMSSG004OPY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 02:43:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3078683 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 03:14:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA40228 for ; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 03:14:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA64676 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 29 Sep 1996 03:14:55 -0500 Date: Sun, 29 Sep 1996 03:14:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290314 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609290814.AA64676@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 66209 WTPN32 PGTW 280900 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 018 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280600Z6 --- 23.5N0 125.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 125.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 24.7N3 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 195 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290600Z7 --- 25.5N2 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.3N1 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 205 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.2N1 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 29.5N6 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 085 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280900Z9 POSITION 23.8N3 125.2E0 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. IT HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND IS LIKELY TO UNDERGO ANOTHER DIURNAL CONVECTIVE PEAK TONIGHT. TY ZANE IS STILL MOVING JUST WEST OF NORTH AT THIS POINT IN TIME, AS INDICATED BY BOTH RADAR AND VISIBLE SATELLITE FIXES. A WEAK ANTICYCLONE TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TY ZANE IS SHIFTING NORTH WITH TY ZANE, BUT NOT QUITE AS FAST. TY ZANE IS ANTICIPATED TO TOP OVER THE INDUCED RIDGE NEAR 24 HOURS AND BEGIN A SLOW ACCELERATION TO THE NORTHEAST. AFTER TY ZANE MOVES NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE THE STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING THE SYSTEM DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR EFFECTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2), 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8), 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0) AND 290900Z0 (DTG 290753Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 2 NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 02:44:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102797-23592>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 02:44:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id CAA18276; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 02:46:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA2HMTMSSG004OPY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 02:43:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3078851 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:04:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA74754 for ; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 03:40:24 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62108 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 29 Sep 1996 03:40:24 -0500 Date: Sun, 29 Sep 1996 03:40:24 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290340 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609290840.AA62108@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65177 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 24.1N7 138.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1N7 138.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 26.0N8 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.6N6 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 31.4N8 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 22 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 34.0N7 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 38.1N2 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 24.6N2 138.9E1 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING NORTH--NORTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. IT IS MOVING NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY AFTER 24 HOURS DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTERACTION WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS ANTICIPATED TO BE COMPLETE AT APPROXIMATELY 02/0600Z OCT. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291351Z1), 292100Z4 (DTG 291951Z7), 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 02:44:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102803-23592>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 02:44:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id CAA18286; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 02:46:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA2HMTMSSG004OPY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 02:43:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3078968 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:16:38 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA73636 for ; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:16:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62272 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:16:35 -0500 Date: Sun, 29 Sep 1996 04:16:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290416 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609290916.AA62272@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 36669 WTPN32 PGTW 290900 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 022 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 27.0N9 126.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.0N9 126.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 27.9N8 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 28.4N4 128.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 29.1N2 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 175 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 29.9N0 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 31.8N2 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 27.2N1 126.7E6 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND INFRARED IMAGERY OVER THE PAST THREE HOURS INDICATE THIS SYSTEM HAS SLOWED ITS FORWARD MOTION SIGNIFICANTLY. RADAR ANIMATION FROM THE WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR ON OKINAWA ALSO SUGGEST THIS SYSTEM HAS SLOWED, AND POSSIBLY THAT ITS MOTION IS MORE NORTHWARD THAN INDICATED BY SATELLITE IMAGERY. OUR SHORT TERM FORECAST IS FOR TY ZANE TO CONTINUE MOVING VERY SLOWLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, AND THEN MAKE A SHARP EASTWARD TURN BY 24 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3), 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-H NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 01:13:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102798-23592>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 01:13:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA10903; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 01:15:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA2HMTMSSG004OPY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 01:12:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3079882 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 08:38:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA14610 for ; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 08:38:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63275 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 29 Sep 1996 08:38:13 -0500 Date: Sun, 29 Sep 1996 08:38:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290838 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609291338.AA63275@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 49448 WTPN31 PGTW 291500 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 027 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 25.1N8 139.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 030 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS -From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 03:32:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102782-23592>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 03:31:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA20289; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 03:33:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA2HMTMSSG004OPY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 03:30:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3082125 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 14:32:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA127346 for ; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 14:32:20 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA70608 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 29 Sep 1996 14:32:20 -0500 Date: Sun, 29 Sep 1996 14:32:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -291432 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609291932.AA70608@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 33229 WTPN31 PGTW 292100 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 26.7N5 139.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.7N5 139.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 29.4N5 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 32.2N7 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 34.8N5 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 37.1N1 155.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 41.2N7 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 27.4N3 140.0E5 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 150 NM NORTHWEST OF IWOJIMA (WMO ID 47981), MOVING NORTH- NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. SLOW WEAKENING AND CONTINUED MOTION TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300151Z0), 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 04:03:11 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102806-23592>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 04:03:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA21009; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 04:05:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA2HMTMSSG004OPY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 04:01:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3082298 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 15:03:39 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA128670 for ; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 15:03:39 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61525 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 29 Sep 1996 15:03:38 -0500 Date: Sun, 29 Sep 1996 15:03:38 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -291503 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609292003.AA61525@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 52818 WTPN32 PGTW 292100 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 024 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 27.1N0 127.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 127.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 27.5N4 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.8N7 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 28.4N4 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 29.1N2 137.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 30.4N7 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 27.2N1 127.3E3 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 60 NM NORTHWEST OF OKINAWA. THE POSITION HAS BEEN RELOCATED BASED ON IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF THE EYEWALL AS SEEN IN RADAR IMAGERY AND HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN RADAR FIX POSITIONS OVER THE PAST TWO HOURS. ANIMATED DOPPLER RADAR AT KADENA SHOWS ZANE IS DRIFTING SLOWLY EASTWARD. ZANE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLOWLY AND CONTINUE MOVING ON A GENERALLY EASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 10:23:24 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102220-11102>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 10:23:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA17464; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 10:25:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA2HMTMSSG004OPY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 10:22:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3085286 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 21:23:39 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA139116 for ; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 21:22:33 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA44096 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 29 Sep 1996 21:22:32 -0500 Date: Sun, 29 Sep 1996 21:22:32 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -292122 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609300222.AA44096@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 51517 WTPN32 PGTW 300300 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 025 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 27.1N0 128.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.1N0 128.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 27.1N0 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 27.4N3 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 28.0N0 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 28.7N7 139.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 29.9N0 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 27.1N0 128.5E6 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 09 KNOTS. IT IS CURRENTLY NORTH OF OKINAWA MOVING TOWARD YORON ISLAND (WMO STN 479425; RORY) WHICH IS FORECAST TO HAVE DIRECT PASSAGE. DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM THE WSR-88D ON OKINAWA SHOWS THE NORTHERN TIP OF OKINAWA IS BEING BRUSHED BY THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE EYEWALL, AS IS OKINO ISLAND TO THE NORTH. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE AIRMASS IMMEDIATELY SURROUNDING THE WESTERN SIDE OF TY ZANE HAS BECOME MUCH DRYER OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS, AND THIS DRYER AIR IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ENTRAINING INTO TY ZANE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS, WHICH SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO THE WEAKENING OF THIS SYSTEM. MODERATE STRENGTH MID- AND UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLIES IMPINGING ON TY ZANE HAVE CREATED A MODERATE STRENGTH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS CONTRIBUTING TO WEAKENING OF TY ZANE AT THIS TIME. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT BINARY INTERACTION WITH TYPHOON YATES (28W) TO THE EAST HAS CONTINUED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS INTERACTION IS EXPECTED TO KEEP TY ZANE FROM MOVING VERY FAR NORTH WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IS ANTICIPATED BY 72 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 21 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 11:05:24 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102403-11100>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 11:05:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA26533; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 11:07:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA2HMTMSSG004OPY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 11:04:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3085512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 22:04:19 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA109712 for ; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 21:37:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66521 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 29 Sep 1996 21:37:55 -0500 Date: Sun, 29 Sep 1996 21:37:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -292137 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609300237.AA66521@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60374 WTPN31 PGTW 300300 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 28.3N3 140.4E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.3N3 140.4E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 31.5N9 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 34.8N5 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 37.3N3 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 39.4N6 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 42.9N5 166.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 29.1N2 140.8E3 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120 NM NORTHWEST OF CHICHIJIMA AND IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. TY YATES IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY TAU 72. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300751Z6), 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9) AND 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z3 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 14:06:09 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102443-11100>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 14:06:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA13586; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 14:08:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA3BI017M8004AOX@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 14:04:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3087588 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 01:06:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA127386 for ; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 01:06:23 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45220 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 30 Sep 1996 01:06:22 -0500 Date: Mon, 30 Sep 1996 01:06:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -300106 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609300606.AA45220@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60321 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z SEP/010600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300151Z SEP 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/300153Z SEP 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 300000Z3 TYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.3N3 140.4E9, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN31 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 300000Z3 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 27.1N0 128.1E2, MOVING EASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 25 (WTPN32 PGTW 300300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 21N3 148E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 117E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IN A CONVERGENT REGION OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION JUST WEST OF LUZON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/MURRAY/HILL/HAM/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 16:14:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102468-11100>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:14:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA19507; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:16:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA3G5S50FK004ROP@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:12:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3087849 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 03:11:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA123244 for ; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 03:11:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA64137 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 30 Sep 1996 03:11:56 -0500 Date: Mon, 30 Sep 1996 03:11:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -300311 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609300811.AA64137@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48006 WTPN32 PGTW 300900 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 026 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 27.2N1 129.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N1 129.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 27.2N1 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 085 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 27.5N4 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 28.1N1 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 29.0N1 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 30.9N2 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 27.2N1 129.9E1 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE RYUKYU ISLANDS, AND HAS JUST CROSSED YORON ISLAND (WMO 479425; RORY). DURING EYE PASSAGE YORON HAD A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 960.1 MB, WHICH EQUATES TO 83 KNOT SUSTAINED 1-MINUTE WINDS OVER THE OPEN OCEAN. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA INDICATE THAT TY ZANE UNDERWENT A RAPID WEAKENING DURING THE PREVIOUS SIX HOUR PERIOD BUT HAS MAINTAINED INTENSITY THESE PAST SIX HOURS. AFTER THE EYE APPEARED TO WASH OUT IN BOTH RADAR DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY, IT HAS REFORMED AS A SPIRAL BANDED EYE OF APPROXIMATELY 8 NM IN DIAMETER. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING WINDS OF 90 KNOTS OR LESS (DVORAK CI 5.0). WIND RADII ARE BASED ON A 30/0345Z MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY (SSM/I) ANAL PROVIDED BY KGWC AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA. DATA FROM NUMEROUS ISLANDS AROUND THE CIRCULATION DO A GOOD JOB OF IDENTIFYING THE GALE WIND AND 50 KNOT RADII. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG 301953Z1), 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 17:12:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102470-11100>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 17:12:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA04472; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 17:14:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA3IERRKSG003YUD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 17:11:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3088134 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 04:12:18 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA13668 for ; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 03:45:59 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA44304 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 30 Sep 1996 03:45:59 -0500 Date: Mon, 30 Sep 1996 03:45:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -300345 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609300845.AA44304@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 49677 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 29.8N9 141.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 141.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 32.8N3 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 34.9N6 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 36.9N8 152.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 38.6N7 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 43.1N8 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 30.6N9 142.2E9 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS LOCATED 330 NM SOUTHEAST OF HONSHU AND IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. TY YATES IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY TAU 48. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301351Z3), 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8) AND 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 22:19:38 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102490-11100>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 22:19:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA15431; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 22:21:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA3IERRKSG003YUD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 22:18:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3089837 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 09:16:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA138332 for ; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 09:16:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55364 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 30 Sep 1996 09:16:44 -0500 Date: Mon, 30 Sep 1996 09:16:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -300916 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609301416.AA55364@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 69697 WTPN31 PGTW 301500 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 032 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 31.3N7 144.0E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 24 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.3N7 144.0E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 33.8N4 148.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 35.9N7 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 38.0N1 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 40.1N5 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 43.8N5 169.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 31.9N3 145.2E2 DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS, TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS RAPIDLY ACCELERATED TO THE NORTHEAST WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING. YATES= EYE IS NO LONGER APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES SIGNIFICANT SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 963 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 302100Z6 (DTG 301951Z9), 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8), 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Sep 30 01:10:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102790-23586>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 01:10:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA10671; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 01:12:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA2HMTMSSG004OPY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 01:09:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3080060 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 09:35:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA105482 for ; Sun, 29 Sep 1996 09:32:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63141 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 29 Sep 1996 09:32:43 -0500 Date: Sun, 29 Sep 1996 09:32:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290932 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609291432.AA63141@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48034 WTPN32 PGTW 291500 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 023 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 27.2N1 126.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 27.2N1 126.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 27.8N7 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 28.2N2 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z1 --- 28.8N8 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 29.5N6 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 30.6N9 143.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 27.3N2 126.9E8 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS QUASISTATIONARY, CURRENTLY LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 75 NM NORTHWEST OF OKINAWA. ANIMATED DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN STATIONARY FOR APPROXIMATELY THE PAST 3 HOURS. HIGHEST WINDS ARE CURRENTLY LOCATED WITHIN THE EYEWALL NORTH OF SYSTEM CENTER. ZANE IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING EASTWARD WITHIN 12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASINGLY STRONGER WESTERLY WINDS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z4 (DTG 291953Z9), 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG 300753Z8) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 1 05:24:26 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102354-11100>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 05:24:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA23355; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 05:26:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA3IERRKSG003YUD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 05:23:03 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3094732 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:24:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA113332 for ; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:00:54 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61643 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:00:50 -0500 Date: Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:00:50 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -301600 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609302100.AA61643@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 46792 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 32.8N3 146.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.8N3 146.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 35.6N4 152.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 38.2N3 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 39.9N1 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 41.7N2 164.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 43.8N5 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 33.5N1 148.3E6 TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS CONTINUED TO RAPIDLY ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST AND SLOWLY WEAKEN. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 30/1726Z SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.5 (70-75 KNOTS). MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 968 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010151Z8), 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 1 05:30:26 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102354-11102>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 05:30:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA23575; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 05:32:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA3IERRKSG003YUD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 05:29:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3094872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:30:51 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA63806 for ; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:02:51 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45664 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:02:50 -0500 Date: Mon, 30 Sep 1996 16:02:50 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -301602 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199609302102.AA45664@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 46941 WTPN32 PGTW 302100 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 028 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 27.7N6 132.2E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.7N6 132.2E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z7 --- 28.4N4 136.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 29.1N2 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 29.9N0 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 30.8N1 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 32.0N5 157.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 27.9N8 133.2E9 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) HAS CONTINUED TO ACCELERATE EAST- NORTHEASTWARD AND WEAKEN. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 30/1726Z SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.5 (75-80 KNOTS) AND A RAGGED EYE APPEARANCE ON SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR. ZANE WILL TRACK RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AND UNDERGO SIGNIFICANT SHEAR WHICH WILL WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AND CAUSE THE TYPHOON TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY 36 HOURS. ESTIMATED SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 972 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010153Z0), 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6), 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3) AND 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301800Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 1 10:17:25 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102374-8211>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 10:17:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA22163; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 10:19:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA3IERRKSG003YUD@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 10:16:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3098319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 21:17:05 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA154516 for ; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 21:17:02 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69744 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 30 Sep 1996 21:16:59 -0500 Date: Mon, 30 Sep 1996 21:16:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -302116 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610010216.AA69744@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 41325 WTPN31 PGTW 010300 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 034 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 33.6N2 149.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.6N2 149.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 35.2N0 155.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 36.7N6 159.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 37.9N9 164.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 39.0N2 168.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 40.1N5 172.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 34.0N7 151.1E8 TYPHOON YATES (28W) HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AS IT MOVES EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN A STRONG WESTERLY WINDSHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND IS FORECASTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 020000Z. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010751Z4), 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 1 11:34:16 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102528-8207>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 11:34:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA10877; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 11:36:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4JHC0PWG0052R2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 11:33:03 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3098878 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 22:24:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA89826 for ; Mon, 30 Sep 1996 22:18:06 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA54002 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 30 Sep 1996 22:18:05 -0500 Date: Mon, 30 Sep 1996 22:18:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -302218 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610010318.AA54002@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 67823 WTPN32 PGTW 010300 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 029 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010000Z1 --- 28.5N5 134.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.5N5 134.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z4 --- 29.3N4 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 30.1N4 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 30.9N2 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 31.7N1 149.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 33.0N6 154.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010300Z4 POSITION 28.7N7 135.1E0 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THE SAME TRACK FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS, THEN SLOW AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z0 (DTG 010753Z6), 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3), 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9) AND 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z IS FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 1 13:33:29 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102521-8211>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 13:33:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA10046; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 13:35:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4JHC0PWG0052R2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 13:32:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3100234 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 00:30:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA84396 for ; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 00:12:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA56847 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Oct 1996 00:12:47 -0500 Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 00:12:47 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -010012 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610010512.AA56847@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48908 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z /020600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010153Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010000Z1 TYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 33.6N2 149.7E1, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 010300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 010000Z1 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.5N0 134.1E9, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 29 (WTPN32 PGTW 010300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 117E9 HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR 17N8 118E0. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. WATER-VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED BENEATH A WELL-DEFINED UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE, WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/BOGLE/PUGH// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 1 17:02:46 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102614-8207>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 17:02:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA01569; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 17:04:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4RMP46PC004VGC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 17:01:34 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3101263 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 03:50:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA06770 for ; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 03:26:08 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51360 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Oct 1996 03:26:07 -0500 Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 03:26:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -010326 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610010826.AA51360@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 69277 WTPN32 PGTW 010900 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 030 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 28.8N8 136.2E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.8N8 136.2E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 29.7N8 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 170 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 30.8N1 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 31.9N3 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 33.0N6 152.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 34.6N3 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 29.0N1 137.2E3 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND HAS ACCELERATED SLIGHTLY. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD AND TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011353Z3), 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9), 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 1 17:09:36 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102617-8209>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 17:09:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA03051; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 17:11:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4RMP46PC004VGC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 17:08:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3101416 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 04:09:43 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA07718 for ; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 03:48:32 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58963 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Oct 1996 03:48:31 -0500 Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 03:48:31 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -010348 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610010848.AA58963@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 78672 WTPN31 PGTW 010900 1. TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 035 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 010600Z7 --- 34.0N7 152.0E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.0N7 152.0E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 011800Z0 --- 35.1N9 156.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 36.2N1 161.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 37.2N2 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 37.7N7 167.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 010900Z0 POSITION 34.3N0 153.2E1 TYPHOON YATES (28W) IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND IS EXPECTED TO BE EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 011500Z7 (DTG 011351Z1), 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9) AND 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010600Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 1 18:19:49 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102593-8207>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 18:19:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id SAA15305; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 18:21:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4RMP46PC004VGC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 18:18:20 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3101840 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 05:19:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id FAA123384 for ; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 05:12:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48896 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Oct 1996 05:12:16 -0500 Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 05:12:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -010512 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610011012.AA48896@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 79357 ABPW10 PGTW 011000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/011000Z /020600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010751Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010753Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 010600Z7 TYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT 34.0N7 152.0E8, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 35 (WTPN31 PGTW 010900)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 010600Z7 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.8N0 136.2E2, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN32 PGTW 010900)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 118E0 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 01/00Z SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. WATER-VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED BENEATH A WELL-DEFINED UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE, WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 12 HOURS NEAR 09N9 163E0 AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN A SHARP, WELL- DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE. THIS AREA IS LOCATED BENEATH A REGION OF GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE AND A WEAK UPPER ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO HIGH SURFACE PRESSURES AND THE LACK OF ANY PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/MEST/HONG// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 2 07:18:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102175-7567>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 07:18:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id HAA03670; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 07:20:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4RMP46PC004VGC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 07:17:03 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3108709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 18:18:48 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id KAA238076 for ; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 10:36:02 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36484 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Oct 1996 10:36:01 -0500 Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 10:36:01 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -011036 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610011536.AA36484@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 65921 WTPN32 PGTW 011500 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 031 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 29.3N4 138.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.3N4 138.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 30.0N3 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 30.8N1 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POST: 080 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 31.5N9 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 32.2N7 155.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 33.5N1 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 29.5N6 139.7E0 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) HAS ACCELERATED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE SYSTEM FROM THE WEST. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES DRY AIR HAS WRAPPED COMPLETELY AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER AND THE CENTRAL DEEP CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED WITH CLOUD TOPS AROUND -70C. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS) TO T4.5 (75 KNOTS) AND THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED EYE. MINIMUM SEA- LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 972 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011953Z9), 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1), 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 2 07:25:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102153-7567>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 07:25:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id HAA03910; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 07:27:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4RMP46PC004VGC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 07:24:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3108817 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 18:25:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id KAA174544 for ; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 10:44:02 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA79405 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Oct 1996 10:44:01 -0500 Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 10:44:01 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -011044 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610011544.AA79405@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 63530 WTPN31 PGTW 011500 1. TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) WARNING NR 036 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON YATES (28W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011200Z4 --- 34.5N2 154.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 34.5N2 154.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z2 --- 35.5N3 159.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 36.3N2 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 37.1N1 166.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 011500Z7 POSITION 34.8N5 155.7E8 TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) IS RAPIDLY UNDERGOING EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR THE DOWNGRADE FROM TYPHOON TO TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY SHEAR HAS WEAKENED AND DISPLACED THE DEEP CONVECTION AT LEAST 60 TO 100 NM TO THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. LAST RELIABLE SATELLITE POSITION WAS 01/0930Z. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 984 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z4 (DTG 011951Z7), 020300Z5 (DTG 020151Z9), 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5) AND 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 2 03:53:55 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102288-8211>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 03:53:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA23641; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 03:55:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4RMP46PC004VGC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 03:52:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3106453 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 14:53:30 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA31756 for ; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 14:53:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA74692 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Oct 1996 14:52:59 -0500 Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 14:52:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -011452 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610011952.AA74692@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 37825 WTPN31 PGTW 012100 1. TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 35.3N1 157.8E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL REPEAT POSIT: 35.3N1 157.8E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 36.8N7 163.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 38.2N3 168.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 30 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 30 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 39.1N3 171.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 35.7N5 159.2E7 TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) HAS RAPIDLY BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM AND NO LONGER POSSESSES ANY DEEP CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. ESTIMATED SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 991 MB. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 19 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION AND FUTURE GALE WARNINGS. REFER TO TYPHOON ZANE (29W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 2 07:46:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102179-7568>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 07:46:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id HAA04838; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 07:48:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4RMP46PC004VGC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 07:45:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3109232 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 18:46:54 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA244216 for ; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 14:56:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45599 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Oct 1996 14:56:14 -0500 Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 14:56:14 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -011456 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610011956.AA45599@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 62748 WTPN32 PGTW 012100 1. TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 032 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON ZANE (29W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 011800Z0 --- 29.6N7 140.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.6N7 140.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z8 --- 30.3N6 144.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 080 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 31.0N4 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 31.8N2 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 33.0N6 156.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 33.7N3 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 012100Z4 POSITION 29.8N9 141.3E9 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) HAS LOST ITS EYE FEATURE AND IS BEGINNING TO EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO STRONG WESTERLY SHEAR AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR THE DOWNGRADE FROM TYPHOON INTENSITY. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 980 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020300Z5 (DTG 020153Z1), 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4) AND 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM YATES (28W) WARNING NUMBER 37 (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 2 10:31:33 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102211-7569>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 10:31:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA04533; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 10:33:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4RMP46PC004VGC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 10:30:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3111548 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 21:31:13 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA239884 for ; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 21:28:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68026 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Oct 1996 21:28:48 -0500 Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 21:28:48 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -012128 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610020228.AA68026@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55479 WTPN32 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 033 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 29.4N5 142.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.4N5 142.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 29.8N9 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 31.0N4 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 32.4N9 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 34.5N2 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 29.5N6 143.7E5 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY GAIN LATITUDE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, AS ITS TRACK BECOMES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BY 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW WITHIN 24 HOURS AS IT EXPERIENCES STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND MOVES OVER COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 2 10:45:13 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102202-7574>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 10:45:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA11072; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 10:47:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA4RMP46PC004VGC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 10:44:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3111656 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 21:45:29 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA294710 for ; Tue, 1 Oct 1996 21:40:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75150 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 1 Oct 1996 21:40:54 -0500 Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 21:40:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -012140 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610020240.AA75150@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77963 WTPN32 PGTW 020300 COR 1. TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 033A 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 29.4N5 142.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 20 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.4N5 142.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 29.8N9 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 31.0N4 151.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 32.4N9 154.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 34.5N2 157.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 29.5N6 143.7E5 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) IS MOVING EASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY GAIN LATITUDE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, AS ITS TRACK BECOMES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BY 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW WITHIN 24 HOURS AS IT EXPERIENCES STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL WESTERLY WIND SHEAR AND MOVES OVER COLDER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020753Z7), 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: SYSTEM IS MOVING EASTWARD.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 2 14:05:38 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102194-7568>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 14:05:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA05145; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 14:07:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA64KF0FSG0058SU@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 14:04:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3112994 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 00:53:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA90560 for ; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 00:50:10 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65508 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 2 Oct 1996 00:50:07 -0500 Date: Wed, 02 Oct 1996 00:50:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -020050 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610020550.AA65508@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 51681 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020000Z /030000Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010753Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.8N0 136.2E2, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 30 (WTPN32 PGTW 010900)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 118E0 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 9N9 163E0 IS NO LONGER ORGANIZED AND HAS WEAKENED. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/PUGH// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 2 17:09:18 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102284-7568>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 17:09:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA22566; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 17:11:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA68G1ZAXC004NYJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 17:07:56 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3116087 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 04:07:50 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA322160 for ; Wed, 2 Oct 1996 04:07:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68093 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 2 Oct 1996 04:07:48 -0500 Date: Wed, 02 Oct 1996 04:07:48 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -020407 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610020907.AA68093@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54778 WTPN32 PGTW 020900 1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 034 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 29.8N9 145.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 080 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N9 145.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 30.7N0 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 175 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 32.0N5 153.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 170 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 33.8N4 157.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 35.6N4 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 36.6N5 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 30.0N3 146.3E4 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS AND HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES THROUGH 24 HOURS; THEREFORE, WARNING LENGTH HAS BEEN INCREASED AS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS ANTICIPATED BY 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021353Z4), 022100Z5 (DTG 021953Z0), 030300Z6 (DTG 030153Z2) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030753Z8).MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020600Z IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 4 14:26:29 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102216-14941>; Fri, 4 Oct 1996 14:26:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA10525; Fri, 4 Oct 1996 14:28:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA8QA0KW4W005EBN@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 4 Oct 1996 14:25:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3144463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Oct 1996 01:26:19 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA144520 for ; Fri, 4 Oct 1996 01:26:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA60547 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 4 Oct 1996 01:26:18 -0500 Date: Fri, 04 Oct 1996 01:26:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -040126 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610040626.AA60547@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 36224 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z /050600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/031353Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.8N2 155.8E9, MOVING EASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 39 (WTPN32 PGTW 031500)) FOR FINAL WARNING DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8N8 148E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 143E8. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION AND A FEW LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES MOVING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH SIDE. SYNOPTIC DATA DOES NOT INDICATE WHETHER A CLOSED CIRCULATION EXISTS OR NOT, BUT DOES SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 21N3 123E6 HAS WEAKENED AND LEFT BEHIND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 23N5 123E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN A WEAK TROUGH. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME, BUT IT MAY BUILD OVERNIGHT DURING DIURNAL MAXIMUM DUE TO LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE INTO THE TROUGH AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 21N3 132E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK CIRCULATION ALONG THE SAME TROUGH AXIS AT THE SUSPECT AREA LISTED IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(2) ABOVE. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED THAN WITH THE SUSPECT AREA LISTED ABOVE, BUT STILL NOT VERY DEEP OR EXTENSIVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK CIRCULATION MAY HAVE SPUN UP NORTHEAST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE TROUGH IS NOT YET VERY ACTIVE OR DEEP BUT HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 4 14:51:49 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102390-14939>; Fri, 4 Oct 1996 14:51:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA16593; Fri, 4 Oct 1996 14:53:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IA8YOHWR28004EYW@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 4 Oct 1996 14:50:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3144508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 4 Oct 1996 01:47:25 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA243232 for ; Fri, 4 Oct 1996 01:47:24 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA78478 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 4 Oct 1996 01:47:23 -0500 Date: Fri, 04 Oct 1996 01:47:23 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -040147 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610040647.AA78478@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 34955 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z /050600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/031353Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 031200Z6 TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.8N2 155.8E9, MOVING EASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 39 (WTPN32 PGTW 031500)) FOR FINAL WARNING DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8N8 148E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 143E8. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION AND A FEW LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES MOVING INTO THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH SIDE. SYNOPTIC DATA DOES NOT INDICATE WHETHER A CLOSED CIRCULATION EXISTS OR NOT, BUT DOES SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 21N3 123E6 HAS WEAKENED AND LEFT BEHIND A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION NEAR 23N5 123E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN A WEAK TROUGH. NO DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME, BUT IT MAY BUILD OVERNIGHT DURING DIURNAL MAXIMUM DUE TO LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE INTO THE TROUGH AXIS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 21N3 132E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK CIRCULATION ALONG THE SAME TROUGH AXIS AT THE SUSPECT AREA LISTED IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(2) ABOVE. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED THAN WITH THE SUSPECT AREA LISTED ABOVE, BUT STILL NOT VERY DEEP OR EXTENSIVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK CIRCULATION MAY HAVE SPUN UP NORTHEAST OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE TROUGH IS NOT YET VERY ACTIVE OR DEEP BUT HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 3. JUSTIFICATION: CORRECTION ISSUED FOR REVERSED POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT CLASSIFICATIONS IN PARAGRAPHS 1.B.(1) AND (2). FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu Sat Oct 5 13:28:39 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102267-12492>; Sat, 5 Oct 1996 13:28:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA08881; Sat, 5 Oct 1996 13:30:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAA71AQATC00623U@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 5 Oct 1996 13:27:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3156510 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 5 Oct 1996 00:25:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA67360 for ; Sat, 5 Oct 1996 00:25:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA38907 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 5 Oct 1996 00:25:54 -0500 Date: Sat, 05 Oct 1996 00:25:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -050025 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610050525.AA38907@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 35064 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z /060600Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 16N7 149E4. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 120NM WEST OF THE CONVECTION. ALTHOUGH A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS VISIBLE WITHIN THE CONVECTION ON SATELLITE IMAGERY, BOTH RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT THE CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY WITHIN AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST WHICH IS LIKELY TO INCREASE THE UPPER LEVEL SHEAR OVER THE AREA, THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 159E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK MONSOONAL LOW LEVEL PRESSURE AREA EXIST PRIMARILY SOUTH OF THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 9N9 143E8 HAS WEAKENED. A WEAK 1008MB MONSOONAL LOW PRESSURE AREA REMAINS NEAR 8N8 141E6 AND IS ANALYZED IN BOTH THE SYNOPTIC DATA AND WEAKLY IN THE LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES; HOWEVER, HIGHER PRESSURE APPEARS TO BE BUILDING IN OVER THE AREA AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A DRYING TENDENCY IN THIS REGION. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) THE CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 23N5 123E6 HAS DISSIPATED UNDER A STRONG PUSH FROM A FRONTAL SYSTEM AND SHEAR ZONE THAT MOVED IN FROM THE NORTH. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (5) THE AREA OF CONVECTION AND CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 21N3 132E6 HAS WEAKENED UNDER THE SAME PUSH FROM THE FRONTAL SYSTEM MENTIONED IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(4) ABOVE. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (6) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6S6 157E3 HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER SHOWS ANY SIGN OF ORGANIZATION. ALTHOUGH VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SMALL LEVEL CIRCULATION IN THE AREA, IT APPEARS TO BE UNRELATED TO THE ISOLATED CONVECTION IN THIS REGION. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/BOGLE/PUGH// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 7 00:39:18 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102319-2327>; Mon, 7 Oct 1996 00:39:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA14592; Mon, 7 Oct 1996 00:41:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAAN5FMJFK0062SQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 7 Oct 1996 00:35:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3165557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 6 Oct 1996 00:15:34 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA71850 for ; Sun, 6 Oct 1996 00:12:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA37226 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 6 Oct 1996 00:12:25 -0500 Date: Sun, 06 Oct 1996 00:12:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -060012 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610060512.AA37226@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60518 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z /070600Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 145E0 AND HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY. ORGANIZATION HAS DECREASED IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM/SHEAR LINE NORTH OF THE REGION. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 154E0. BOTH RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA, WINDS DERIVED FROM VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK SURFACE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE AREA. CONVECTION OVER THIS AREA IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED AS MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR EXIST OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/BOGLE/PUGH// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 8 00:42:51 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102402-21402>; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 00:42:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA19458; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 00:44:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAAN5FMJFK0062SQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 00:39:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3175780 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Oct 1996 01:14:26 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA174582 for ; Mon, 7 Oct 1996 01:03:22 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA80996 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 7 Oct 1996 01:03:20 -0500 Date: Mon, 07 Oct 1996 01:03:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -070103 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610070603.AA80996@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71521 WTPN21 PGTW 070600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 070551Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.7N4 146.5E6 TO 10.3N4 138.3E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 070430Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 8.0N8 145.5E5. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS FORMED IN THE CAROLINE ISLANDS APPROXIMATELY 300NM SOUTH OF GUAM AND JUST EAST OF WOLEAI ATOLL. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A 1007MB SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER EXISTS UNDER A SERIES OF WEAKLY ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE BANDS. A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE EXISTS OVER THE REGION THAT SHOULD ENCOURAGE CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 080600Z4.// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 8 00:43:21 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102448-21406>; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 00:43:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA19644; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 00:45:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAAN5FMJFK0062SQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 00:40:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3176063 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 7 Oct 1996 01:46:45 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA127528 for ; Mon, 7 Oct 1996 01:46:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA71607 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 7 Oct 1996 01:46:43 -0500 Date: Mon, 07 Oct 1996 01:46:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -070146 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610070646.AA71607@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 58804 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z /080600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070551Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9N9 147.5E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 145.5E5 OR APPROXIMATELY 300 NM SOUTH OF GUAM AND JUST EAST OF WOLEAI ATOLL. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS UNDER A SERIES OF WEAKLY ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE BANDS. CURRENTLY, CONVECTION IS NOT CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER. ALTHOUGH, FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS NOW PRESENT OVER THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) A NEW AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 17N8 167E4. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A SMALL SURFACE CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN A LOOSELY ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE REGION. THIS CONVECTION IS BEING ENHANCED BY THE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH CELL, LOCATED JUST TO THE WEST OF THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/MCELROY/PUGH/MEST// NNNN From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 8 14:35:14 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102601-18114>; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 14:35:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA20793; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 14:37:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAAN5FMJFK0062SQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 14:33:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3189748 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 01:27:24 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA55588 for ; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 01:21:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57932 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 8 Oct 1996 01:21:17 -0500 Date: Tue, 08 Oct 1996 01:21:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -080121 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610080621.AA57932@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 51273 WTPN21 PGTW 080600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080551Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070551Z OCT 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 070600)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.9N7 141.6E2 TO 11.5N7 134.9E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 080430Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 140.3E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE BROAD TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF GUAM HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. IT IS MOVING TOWARD ULITHI AND YAP AND SYNOPTIC CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM MAY BE CONSOLIDATING TOWARD THE LOW- LEVEL CENTER, BUT OVERALL CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED DURING DIURNAL MINIMUM. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090600Z5.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 8 14:41:04 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102588-18114>; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 14:40:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA23116; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 14:43:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAAN5FMJFK0062SQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 14:39:42 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3189853 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 01:40:52 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA146404 for ; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 01:38:52 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA44971 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 8 Oct 1996 01:38:51 -0500 Date: Tue, 08 Oct 1996 01:38:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -080138 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610080638.AA44971@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 43176 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 8 17:05:59 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102586-18114>; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 17:05:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA10105; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 17:07:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAEMYVIEKW005RQU@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 17:04:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3190791 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 04:06:08 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA250744 for ; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 03:56:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57132 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 8 Oct 1996 03:56:49 -0500 Date: Tue, 08 Oct 1996 03:56:49 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -080356 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610080856.AA57132@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 28713 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z /090600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080551Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9.9N8 141.9E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 140.3E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. REFER TO REF A (WTPN21 PGTW), THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT, FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 12.0N3 161.5E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 160E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXISTS BENEATH A REGION OF FAIR UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. SYNOPTIC DATA DO NOT CLEARLY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CENTER, BUT DO SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 110E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN AREA OF WEAK CONVERGENCE JUST NORTHWEST OF BORNEO WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8S8 154E0. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH FAVORABLE UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW. OVERALL ORGANIZATION IS POOR AT THIS TIME. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD/FITZPATRICK// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 9 04:45:24 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102658-15911>; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 04:45:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA20462; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 04:38:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAEMYVIEKW005RQU@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 04:35:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3196594 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 15:37:20 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA265920 for ; Tue, 8 Oct 1996 15:26:40 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA80613 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 8 Oct 1996 15:26:29 -0500 Date: Tue, 08 Oct 1996 15:26:29 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -081526 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610082026.AA80613@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 76258 ABPW10 PGTW 081900 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/081900Z /090600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080551Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 9.3N2 140.3E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 139.0E3 WITH ANOTHER CIRCULATION CENTER POSSIBLE NEAR 12.0N3 138.0E2. THIS AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS BUT IS STILL THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. REFER TO REF A (WTPN21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. (2) AN AREA OF STRONG, DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 18 HOURS NEAR 5.0N5 171.0E9 AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. 08/12Z AND 08/18Z SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE 24 HOUR SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS OF 2 TO 3 MB ACROSS ALL OF THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS BASED ON 08/18Z SYNOPTIC DATA FROM KWAJALEIN (WMO 91366) AND MAJURO (WMO 91376). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO THE LOW-LATITUDE LOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM. (3) THE AREA CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 12.0N3 160.0E7 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND SPEED CONVERGENCE BENEATH A REGION OF FAIR UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 5N5 110E2 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN AREA OF WEAK CONVERGENCE JUST NORTHWEST OF BORNEO WITH GOOD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8S8 154E0 HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS BASED ON 08/12Z SYNOPTIC DATA. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 9 13:45:30 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102438-22210>; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 13:45:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA00049; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 13:47:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAFM6T31O0006GTC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 13:44:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3202222 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 00:46:07 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA228926 for ; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 00:46:06 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69570 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 9 Oct 1996 00:46:05 -0500 Date: Wed, 09 Oct 1996 00:46:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -090046 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610090546.AA69570@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 86719 WTPN21 PGTW 090600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION 090551Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080551Z OCT 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 080600)// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE SUSPECT AREA HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED GOOD. THIS AREA WILL BE CARRIED ON THE SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC AS A POOR SUSPECT AREA AND MONITORED CLOSELY FOR ANY SIGNS OF REORGANIZATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 9 14:28:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102438-22214>; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 14:28:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA13534; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 14:30:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAFM6T31O0006GTC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 14:27:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3202404 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 01:26:48 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA229050 for ; Wed, 9 Oct 1996 01:26:47 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53309 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 9 Oct 1996 01:26:46 -0500 Date: Wed, 09 Oct 1996 01:26:46 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -090126 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610090626.AA53309@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 35130 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z /100600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090551Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 9.0N9 139.0E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11N2 135E9. THIS SYSTEM WAS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. REFER TO REF A (WTPN21 PGTW) FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION. THIS DISTURBANCE IS DISPLAYING CHARACTERISTICS OF A BROAD MONSOON DEPRESSION. ANIMATED HIGH RESOLUTION VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES VERY ACCURATELY WHERE THE OVERALL CIRCULATION CENTER IS. ALSO EVIDENT ON VISIBLE IMAGERY IS THAT THIS CIRCULATION HAS VERY LIMITED CLOUDINESS AND NO DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER; A FEW WEAK CUMULUS CELLS ROTATING AROUND THE CENTER ARE ALL THAT IS PRESENT NEAR THE CENTER. ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM THERE ARE CURRENTLY THREE CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE AREAS, EACH LYING BEYOND 250 NM FROM THE CENTER. SYNOPTIC DATA FROM NEARBY ISLANDS AND SHIPS INDICATES THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS MONSOON DEPRESSION ARE ALONG THE PERIPHERY, BUT ARE VERY WEAK AT 15 KNOTS OR LESS. NEAR THE CENTER WINDS AT BOTH THE SURFACE AND GRADIENT LEVEL ARE ON THE ORDER OF 02 TO 05 KNOTS. DUE TO THE VERY WEAK CIRCULATION AND WEAKENING NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM THE FORMATION ALERT WAS CANCELLED, BUT THIS SYSTEM MAY BE ABLE TO SLOWLY ORGANIZE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 5.0N5 171.0E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 165E2. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE A LARGE AREA OF SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION WITH EXCELLENT UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IN ALL DIRECTIONS. TURNING OF THE CIRRUS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS INDICATES AN ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING OVER THIS SYSTEM. 09/00Z SYNOPTIC DATA FROM EBON (WMO 91442; SOUTHERLY AT 10 KT), SHIP C6KP2 (BETWEEN EBON AND KOSRAE; NORTHERLY AT 10 KT), AND KOSRAE (WMO 91356; NORTHERLY AT 10 KT) INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS NEAR 4.8N2 162.5E4. PRESSURE FALLS OF 2 MB ACROSS THE NEAR EQUATORIAL PACIFIC HAVE BEEN NOTED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH WINDS APPROACHING 25 KNOTS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM IN A REGION OF ENHANCED TRADE WIND FLOW. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 12.0N3 160.0E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 156E2. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AS SUPPORTED BY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY BUT NOT INDICATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A SMALL CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) TYPE FEATURE MAY BE TRYING TO FORM TO THE SOUTHWEST SIDE OF THE CONVECTIVE AREA, ALTHOUGH THIS HAS NOT BEEN A PERSISTENT FEATURE. UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE IS FAIR TO THE EAST BUT RESTRICTED TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 5N5 110E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 108E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN AREA OF WEAK CONVERGENCE JUST NORTHWEST OF BORNEO WITH GOOD UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8S8 154E0 HAS LOST ORGANIZATION AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD/FITZPATRICK// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 11 00:48:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102568-15409>; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:48:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA22561; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:50:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAFM6T31O0006GTC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:36:31 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3217442 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Oct 1996 02:16:33 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA271040 for ; Thu, 10 Oct 1996 02:15:42 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88446 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 10 Oct 1996 02:15:34 -0500 Date: Thu, 10 Oct 1996 02:15:34 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -100215 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610100715.AA88446@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 78202 ABPW10 PGTW 100600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z /110600Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 11N2 135E9 HAS SPLIT INTO TWO SEPARATE SYSTEMS; THE FURTHEST WEST SYSTEM IS LOCATED NEAR 13N4 127E0. THE EASTERN SYSTEM WILL BE DISCUSSED IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(2). ANIMATED VISUAL IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF A NEWLY FORMED CONVECTIVE BAND. THIS BAND HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR ONLY 18 HOURS BUT IS SHOWING SIGNS OF INCREASED ORGANIZATION. AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS PRESENT HALF WAY BETWEEN THIS SYSTEM AND THE ONE TO THE EAST AND IS ENHANCING OUTFLOW TOWARDS THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THIS SYSTEM IS LOCATED 140NM SOUTHWEST OF CATADUANES ISLAND IN THE PHILIPPINES AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS DEPENDENT UPON ANY INTERACTION OF THE CIRCULATION WITH THE ISLANDS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR, BUT MAY IMPROVE DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. (2) THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE CONVECTIVE AREA THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 135E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 132E6. CONVECTION REMAINS WEAKLY ORGANIZED AND NORTH AND EAST OF A BROAD MONSOONAL CIRCULATION CENTER. OUTFLOW IS GOOD TOWARDS THE NORTH AND EAST AS THE UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE EXISTS HALF WAY BETWEEN THIS SYSTEM AND THE SYSTEM TO THE WEST, HOWEVER THERE IS SOME EVIDENCE IN THE ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION TOWARD THE WEST IS BEGINNING TO DOMINATE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 14N5 156E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 150E. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT, ALTHOUGH THE ENTIRE AREA IS PART OF AN EXTENDED TROUGH THAT STRETCHES BACK TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST AS FAR AS 8N8 165E2. CONVECTIVE BANDS IN THE AREA ARE PRIMARILY NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER AND THE TROUGH AXIS AND ARE POORLY ORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE IS FAIR TO THE EAST AND SOUTH BUT RESTRICTED TO THE WEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 6N6 165E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 159E5. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS PRESENT, HOWEVER, SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM 09/1207Z INDICATE THAT THE WIND FIELD IS REPRESENTED BY AN EXTENSION OF A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS WESTWARD TOWARD THE SYSTEM DISCUSSED ABOVE IN PARAGRAPH 1.B.(3). CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED IN THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1008MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 6N6 108E9 HAS WEAKENED. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK 1009M SURFACE CIRCULATION IS STILL PRESENT, THERE IS NO ORGANIZED CONVECTION IN THIS AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (6) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/MCELROY/MEST/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 11 00:44:50 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102378-15411>; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:44:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA21509; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:46:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAFM6T31O0006GTC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:36:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3217608 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Oct 1996 02:32:19 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (root@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA270864 for ; Thu, 10 Oct 1996 02:32:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA85335 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 10 Oct 1996 02:32:16 -0500 Date: Thu, 10 Oct 1996 02:32:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -100232 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610100732.AA85335@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 86100 WTPN21 PGTW 100730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 100729Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.8N1 126.4E3 TO 14.5N0 121.9E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 100530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 126.0E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE A WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS DEVELOPED APPROXIMATELY 60NM NORTHEAST OF SAMAR AND 120NM SOUTHEAST OF CATADUANES ISLANDS IN THE PHILIPPINES. NEWLY DEVELOPED CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER BUT IS SHOWING SIGNS OF IMPROVED ORGANIZATION. THIS AREA HAS BROKEN AWAY FROM A LARGE MONSOONAL SYSTEM THAT IS LOCATED JUST TO THE EAST AND THERE STILL REMAINS SOME INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS. ALTHOUGH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT, DEVELOPMENT WILL NEED TO BE COMPLETED PRIOR TO ANY INTERACTION WITH THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS FOR A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE TO OCCUR. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 110730Z2.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 11 00:54:30 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102568-15411>; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:54:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA24390; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:56:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAFM6T31O0006GTC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:45:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3220497 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 10 Oct 1996 10:45:38 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id KAA106972 for ; Thu, 10 Oct 1996 10:45:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73023 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 10 Oct 1996 10:45:37 -0500 Date: Thu, 10 Oct 1996 10:45:37 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -101045 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610101545.AA73023@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 67388 WTPN22 PGTW 101530 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 101521Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100729Z OCT 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 100730)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.5N2 131.9E4 TO 20.2N4 128.6E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 151235Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N5 131.5E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE AND CONCENTRATE NEAR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS DEPICTED BY SYNOPTIC SHIP AND BUOY REPORTS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF ANOTHER LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WHICH IS ALSO THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 100730). BOTH OF THESE CIRCULATIONS ARE LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT, UPPER-LEVEL FLOW; HOWEVER, WATER VAPOR-DERIVED WINDS INDICATE AN ORGANIZED ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE EASTERN MOST CIRCULATION (THE SUBJECT OF THIS TCFA), WHICH FAVORS CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT INTO A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 111530Z1. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 13.0N4 126.0E9// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 00:43:23 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102679-11090>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:43:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA07145; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:45:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:42:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3230069 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:51:53 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA37570 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:51:52 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA38580 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:51:52 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 00:51:52 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -110051 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610110551.AA38580@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 40625 WTPN31 PGTW 110530 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110000Z2 --- 14.0N5 125.8E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 125.8E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 15.2N8 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.5N2 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 16.9N6 122.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.8N6 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.1N1 116.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110530Z5 POSITION 14.6N1 125.9E7 A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA APPROXIMATELY 80NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CATADUANES ISLAND IN THE PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 110430Z9 AND DATA FROM SEVERAL SHIP REPORTS EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES INDICATES THAT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED 1003MB LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS WITHIN A LARGER MONSOONAL CIRCULATION THAT STRETCHES ALMOST 400NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ALTHOUGH THE CIRCULATION IS CLEARLY DEFINED IN THE VISUAL IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA, ALMOST ALL THE HEAVY CONVECTION AND STRONGER WIND REPORTS ARE LOCATED IN TWO STRONG CONVECTIVE AREAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140NM TO THE NORTHWEST AND 350NM TO THE NORTHEAST, RESPECTIVELY. ALTHOUGH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT EVIDENT IN THE CONVECTION TOWARD THE NORTHEAST, THE FORECAST TRACK FOR THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD AND INTERACT WITH THIS PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WHILE CONSOLIDATION TAKES PLACE. A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS THEN EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINING PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER A STRONG WESTERLY STEERING RIDGE STRUCTURE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100530Z9 IS 08 FEET. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS BOTH NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 100729Z OCT 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 100730) AND 101521Z OCT 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 101530). NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z1 (DTG 110751Z5), 111500Z8 (DTG 111351Z2), 112100Z5 (DTG 111951Z8) AND 120300Z6 (DTG 120151Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 00:45:13 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102679-11077>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:45:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA07571; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:47:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:43:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3230392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 02:32:30 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA147324 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 02:32:29 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA89319 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 02:32:29 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 02:32:29 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -110232 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610110732.AA89319@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 89572 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z /110600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100521Z OCT 96 REF/B/RMG/NACPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100651Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WAS LOCATED AT 14.0N5 125.8E6, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 100530)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 127E0 AND 14N5 132E6 HAVE BEEN CONSOLIDATED INTO ONE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1), ABOVE, AND REF A. FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 12N3 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 144E9. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SAIPAN (WMO 91232) INDICATE A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. CONVECTION IN THIS AREA IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. A TROPICAL UPPER LEVEL TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS JUST TO THE WEST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION, WHILE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRIMARILY LOCATED OVER THE CONVECTION AND TO THE WEST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. REFER TO REF B (WTPN21 PGTW) FOR INFORMATION ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 9N9 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 154E0. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT AND CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. THE WIND FIELD DERIVED FROM ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS PRESENT TO THE EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE OVER THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/BOGLE// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 00:46:03 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102689-11087>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:45:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA07762; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:48:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:44:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3230410 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 02:46:29 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA159040 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 02:46:28 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84119 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 02:46:28 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 02:46:28 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -110246 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610110746.AA84119@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 44948 WTPN21 PGTW 110730 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 110651Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.7N3 144.6E5 TO 19.8N8 138.1E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 110330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.2N9 144.1E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST VISIBLE METSAT IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND DOPPLER RADAR PRODUCTS (NEXRAD TIME LAPSE) INDICATE A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA. VISIBLE METSAT IMAGERY INDICATES A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN CONVECTION TO THE NORTH AND TO THE EAST OF CIRCULATION CENTER. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE FAVORS FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS CONSIDERED GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 120730Z0.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 00:46:53 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102320-11087>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:46:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08005; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:48:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:44:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3230508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 03:57:34 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA226576 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 03:57:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA38578 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 03:57:33 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 03:57:33 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -110357 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610110857.AA38578@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 84143 WTPN31 PGTW 110900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z8 --- 14.4N9 125.9E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4N9 125.9E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 15.6N2 125.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 16.7N4 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 17.2N0 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.0N9 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 19.4N4 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 110900Z1 POSITION 14.7N2 125.8E6 LATEST ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA FROM NEARBY SHIPS, INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W REMAINS WELL SEPARATED FROM ITS ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE AREAS. THIS FORECAST CALLS FOR A CONSOLIDATION OF THIS LARGE MONSOON CIRCULATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE AN EVENTUAL MOVEMENT WESTWARD ACROSS LUZON IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7 IS 08 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 111500Z8 (DTG 111355Z6), 112100Z5 (DTG 111955Z2), 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4) AND 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0). REFER TO WWPW 30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 00:47:13 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102320-11090>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:47:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08045; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:49:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:45:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3230542 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 04:09:18 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA111266 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 04:07:00 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45055 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 04:07:00 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 04:07:00 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -110407 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610110907.AA45055@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54524 ABPW10 PGTW 110600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/110600Z /120600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100521Z OCT 96 REF/B/RMG/NACPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/100651Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 100000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WAS LOCATED AT 14.0N5 125.8E6, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 100530)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 127E0 AND 14N5 132E6 HAVE BEEN CONSOLIDATED INTO ONE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1), ABOVE, AND REF A. FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 12N3 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 144E9. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SAIPAN (WMO 91232) INDICATE A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. CONVECTION IN THIS AREA IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. A TROPICAL UPPER LEVEL TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS JUST TO THE WEST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION, WHILE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRIMARILY LOCATED OVER THE CONVECTION AND TO THE WEST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. REFER TO REF B (WTPN21 PGTW) FOR INFORMATION ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 9N9 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 154E0. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT AND CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. THE WIND FIELD DERIVED FROM ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS PRESENT TO THE EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE OVER THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/BOGLE// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 00:48:33 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102491-11090>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:48:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08470; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:50:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:46:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3230822 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 05:28:55 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id FAA315332 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 05:28:54 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36334 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 05:28:54 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 05:28:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -110528 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610111028.AA36334@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 45035 ABPW10 PGTW 111000 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z /110600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110521Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NACPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120651Z OCT 96// NARR REF A, TROP DEPRESSION 30W WRNG NR 01, REF B TROP CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 110000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WAS LOCATED AT 14.0N5 125.8E6, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 110530)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE TWO AREAS OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13N4 127E0 AND 14N5 132E6 HAVE BEEN CONSOLIDATED INTO ONE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1), ABOVE, AND REF A. FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 12N3 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 144E9. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA FROM SAIPAN (WMO 91232) INDICATE A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. CONVECTION IN THIS AREA IS POORLY ORGANIZED AND ALONG THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. A TROPICAL UPPER LEVEL TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS JUST TO THE WEST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION, WHILE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS PRIMARILY LOCATED OVER THE CONVECTION AND TO THE WEST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. REFER TO REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 110730) FOR INFORMATION ON THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 9N9 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 154E0. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT AND CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED. THE WIND FIELD DERIVED FROM ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS PRESENT TO THE EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE OVER THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. MESSAGE CORRECTED FOR INVALID DTG FOR REF A AND B AND IN PARAGRAPHS 1.A.(1), AND 1.B.(2). FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/BOGLE// DUPE ALL NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 00:49:53 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102679-11087>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:49:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08854; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:52:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:47:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3231262 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 07:32:31 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA61312 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 07:32:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84022 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 07:32:30 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 07:32:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -110732 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610111232.AA84022@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 74291 WTPN21 PGTW 111200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 111151Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/110651Z OCT 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 110700)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.5N9 149.5E9 TO 16.4N1 140.4E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA AND RADAR DATA AT 111130Z INDICATE THAT A BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N0 146.0E1. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE PREVIOUSLY LOCATED TO THE WEST OF GUAM AND THE SOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS HAS REFORMED FARTHER TO THE EAST BASED ON 11/0600Z SYNOPTIC DATA, AND 11/1130Z DOPPLER RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA. TWO CIRCULATIONS WERE EVIDENT IN RADAR IMAGERY NEAR 12.5N 145.7E AND 14.2N 146.3E. IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL AT THIS TIME WHICH CIRCULATION WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT ONE, BUT A MERGER OF THE TWO CIRCULATIONS EAST OF GUAM, ROTA, OR SAIPAN IS POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. DOPPLER RADAR IS INDICATING EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS FROM 500 TO 7,000 FT AND NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO MORE THAN 35 KNOTS FROM 8,000 TO 30,000 FT WHICH FURTHER INDICATES THAT THE MAIN CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED EAST OF THESOUTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. AS A RESULT, THE PREVIOUS TCFA AREA HAS BEEN EXTENDED FARTHER EAST AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR RE- ISSUANCE OF THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR IN ALL QUADRANTS, BUT SLIGHTLY RESTRICTED TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 121200Z6.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 00:51:23 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102689-11077>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:51:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA09418; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:53:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 00:49:42 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3231634 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 08:39:53 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA147326 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 08:38:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA87839 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 08:38:12 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 08:38:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -110838 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610111338.AA87839@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 11292 WTPN31 PGTW 111500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111200Z5 --- 15.5N1 125.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 125.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 16.9N6 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 17.9N7 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.5N4 121.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH QUADRANT OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.0N0 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 19.9N9 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 111500Z8 POSITION 15.8N4 125.2E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W HAS ACCELERATED NORTHWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND SOME MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER. HOWEVER, SATELLITE DATA CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT THE MAIN CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS REMAINS SHEARED TO THE WEST WHILE ANOTHER LARGE CLOUD MASS IS ALSO LOCATED WELL NORTH OF THE MAIN CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS FAIR TO GOOD AND SOME CONSOLIDATION OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 (DTG 111955Z2), 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4), 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0) AND 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111200Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 04:43:55 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102558-11087>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 04:43:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA29493; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 04:45:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 04:42:37 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3235963 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 15:44:21 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA312644 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 15:43:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA85219 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 15:43:49 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 15:43:49 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -111543 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610112043.AA85219@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 83680 WTPN31 PGTW 112100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 111800Z1 --- 15.6N2 123.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 123.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 17.0N8 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 18.1N0 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.8N7 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.3N3 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 20.1N3 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 112100Z5 POSITION 15.9N5 123.7E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A 111425Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AS IT GAINS LATITUDE AND MOVES NORTHWESTWARD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120300Z6 (DTG 120155Z4), 120900Z2 (DTG 120755Z0), 121500Z9 (DTG 121355Z7) AND 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 111800Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 09:25:08 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102210-8172>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 09:24:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA16542; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 09:27:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 09:23:45 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3239083 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 20:25:26 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA26036 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 20:25:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84166 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 20:25:25 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 20:25:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -112025 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610120125.AA84166@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 36547 WTPN21 PGTW 120130 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 120121Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111151Z OCT 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 111200)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 135 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.7N1 142.2E9 TO 14.9N4 136.2E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 112330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N3 141.4E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 11/2330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LOCATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW SUPPORTED BY WATER-VAPOR WINDS CONTINUES TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 130130Z8.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 10:28:48 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102154-11903>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 10:28:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA25218; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 10:30:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 10:27:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3239417 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 21:29:04 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA254480 for ; Fri, 11 Oct 1996 21:29:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA44036 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 11 Oct 1996 21:29:03 -0500 Date: Fri, 11 Oct 1996 21:29:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -112129 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610120229.AA44036@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 70401 WTPN31 PGTW 120300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 005 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120000Z3 --- 17.5N3 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z6 --- 18.0N9 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 18.5N4 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.8N7 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.1N1 112.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 19.5N5 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 120300Z6 POSITION 17.6N4 118.3E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED DUE TO THE FORMATION OF A LEE-SIDE LOW ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF LUZON. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF LUZON WITH MOST OF THE CENTRAL CONVECTION BEING SHEARED TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. TD 30W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 120900Z2 (DTG 120751Z6), 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9) AND 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z3 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 14:22:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102224-11904>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 14:22:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA29461; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 14:24:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 14:20:51 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3242790 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 01:22:06 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA207942 for ; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 01:22:06 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA87356 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 12 Oct 1996 01:22:05 -0500 Date: Sat, 12 Oct 1996 01:22:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -120122 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610120622.AA87356@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 87865 ABPW10 PGTW 120600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/120600Z /130600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120151Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NACPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120121Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 120000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WAS LOCATED AT 17.5N3 118.7E7, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 05 RELOCATED (WTPN31 PGTW 120300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 16N7 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14N5 141E6. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A CLEARLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. CONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS LOCATED SLIGHTLY WEST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. REFER TO REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTPN21 PGTW 120130) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 154E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13N4 151E7. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT BUT CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS PRESENT TO THE EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE OVER THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 16:53:34 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102302-11904>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 16:53:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA27871; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 16:55:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAIMA93N740073MQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 16:52:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3243156 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 03:53:21 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA230094 for ; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 03:35:40 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46906 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 12 Oct 1996 03:35:40 -0500 Date: Sat, 12 Oct 1996 03:35:40 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -120335 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610120835.AA46906@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60215 WTPN31 PGTW 120900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z9 --- 18.8N7 119.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 119.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z2 --- 19.5N5 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 20.3N5 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 21.4N7 113.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 22.8N2 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 24.4N0 110.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 120900Z2 POSITION 19.0N0 118.8E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TD 30W REMAINS A POORLY ORGANIZED SYSTEM DUE TO MODERATE SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED IN THE DEEP CONVECTIVE BAND NORTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TD 30W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 121500Z9 (DTG 121351Z3), 122100Z6 (DTG 121951Z9), 130300Z7 (DTG 130151Z1) AND 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120600Z9 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 12 22:50:38 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102400-11901>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 22:50:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA21964; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 22:52:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAKIOC3AB4007EM4@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 22:49:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3245201 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 09:51:13 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA280912 for ; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 09:51:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83991 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 12 Oct 1996 09:51:11 -0500 Date: Sat, 12 Oct 1996 09:51:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -120951 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610121451.AA83991@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 40724 WTPN31 PGTW 121500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 007 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121200Z6 --- 17.5N3 119.7E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 119.7E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130000Z4 --- 17.9N7 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 18.6N5 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 19.6N6 115.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.0N3 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 24.1N7 112.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 121500Z9 POSITION 17.6N4 119.4E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY WHILE MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD AND RE-ORGANIZING FARTHER TO THE EAST NEAR LUZON. 12/1200Z SYNOPTIC DATA CLEARLY INDICATES THE PRESSURE CENTER OF TD 30W IS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM SOUTHWEST OF LAOAG (RPML/WMO 98223) AND THIS THE REASON FOR THE RELOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM. A BAND OF STRONG CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST IS ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET AND HAS WEAKENED WHILE TRACKING NORTH-WESTWARD. HOWEVER, SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS INDICATES NEW CONVECTIVE CELLS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER AND JUST EAST OF THE SURFACE PRESSURE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST, BUT TD 30W REMAINS UNDER SIGNIFICANT SHEAR FROM THE SOUTHEAST. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z6 (DTG 121955Z3), 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5), 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1) AND 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 13 03:53:14 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102224-11903>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 03:53:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA15965; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 03:55:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAKIOC3AB4007EM4@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 03:51:51 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3248048 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 14:53:33 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA17808 for ; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 14:53:33 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36510 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 12 Oct 1996 14:53:32 -0500 Date: Sat, 12 Oct 1996 14:53:32 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -121453 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610121953.AA36510@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 47003 WTPN31 PGTW 122100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z2 --- 18.1N0 118.8E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 118.8E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z0 --- 18.5N4 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 19.1N1 116.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 20.0N2 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.1N4 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 24.1N7 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 122100Z6 POSITION 18.2N1 118.4E4 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W HAS TRACKED TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS AND CHANGED LITTLE. MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED TO THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER, SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS SUGGESTS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE DRAWING CLOSER UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION. TD 30W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK AND SLOWLY TURN MORE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH IF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER BECOMES COUPLED WITH THE DEEP CONVECTION. IF THIS DOES NOT OCCUR, THEN TD 30W WILL LIKELY REMAIN A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND TRACK OFF TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR WEST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130153Z3), 130900Z3 (DTG 130753Z9), 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 13 08:17:48 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102159-27582>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 08:17:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id IAA22885; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 08:19:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAL4VONMUO007AUE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 08:16:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3250268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 19:18:08 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA152530 for ; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 19:17:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72534 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 12 Oct 1996 19:17:36 -0500 Date: Sat, 12 Oct 1996 19:17:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -121917 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610130017.AA72534@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 88659 WTPN21 PGTW 130000 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 122351Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/120121Z OCT 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 120130)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.0N6 138.0E2 TO 17.9N7 131.6E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 122230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 137.2E3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. 12/2230Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFOW CONTINUES TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 140000Z5.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 13 10:12:11 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102171-27570>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 10:12:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA27843; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 10:14:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAL4VONMUO007AUE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 10:10:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3250876 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 21:12:40 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA58450 for ; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 21:12:17 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65878 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 12 Oct 1996 21:12:16 -0500 Date: Sat, 12 Oct 1996 21:12:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -122112 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610130212.AA65878@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 48467 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 18.8N7 117.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 117.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 19.7N7 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.6N8 115.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.4N7 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 22.4N8 112.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 335 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 24.1N7 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 19.0N0 117.5E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TD 30W REMAINS A POORLY DEFINED SYSTEM. MAXIMUM WINDS ARE LOCATED NORTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TD 30W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY DUE TO UPPER- LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR IMPINGING ON THE SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130751Z7), 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 13 12:29:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102171-27580>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 12:29:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA07098; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 12:31:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAL4VONMUO007AUE@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 12:28:25 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3251770 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 23:30:08 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA75828 for ; Sat, 12 Oct 1996 23:30:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84751 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 12 Oct 1996 23:30:07 -0500 Date: Sat, 12 Oct 1996 23:30:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -122330 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610130430.AA84751@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 85516 WTPN22 PGTW 130330 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 130321Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/122351Z OCT 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 130000)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 13.8N2 151.5E2 TO 16.4N1 144.4E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 130230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N0 150.1E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH A CLEARLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. THE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND THE SYSTEM=S LOCATION WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH FAVOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 140330Z1. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 15.4N0 137.2E3.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 13 14:39:45 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102390-27581>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 14:39:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA17276; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 14:40:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IALIS3EMEO007410@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 14:37:12 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3252769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 01:19:27 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA58578 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 01:19:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43831 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 01:19:26 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 01:19:26 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -130119 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610130619.AA43831@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 90676 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z /140600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130151Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NACPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/122321Z OCT 96// REF/C/RMG/NACPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130321Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WAS LOCATED AT 18.8N7 117.8E7, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 09 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 14N5 141E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16N7 135E9. ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAKLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT. CONVECTION IN THIS AREA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL IS LOCATED SLIGHTLY WEST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. REFER TO REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTPN21 PGTW 130000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 13N4 151E7 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 150E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A CLEARLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS PRESENT OVER THE CIRCULATION CENTER WITH GOOD DIFFLUENCE OVER THE CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. REFER TO REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT WTPN22 PGTW 130330) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AN BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 18 HOURS NEAR 8N8 170E8. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES MODERATE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED AT 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 13 15:55:47 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102206-27581>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:55:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA23404; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:57:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IALKHSBJSG00712T@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:54:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3252896 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 02:55:29 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA58620 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 02:55:28 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA78957 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 02:55:28 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 02:55:28 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130255 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610130755.AA78957@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 37226 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 14.7N2 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.7N2 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 15.0N6 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.0N6 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.3N9 146.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 15.9N5 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 17.3N1 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 14.8N3 149.8E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS FORMED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF GUAM. TD 31W IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE WESTWARD THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TO BEGIN GAINING LATITUDE AS THE SYSTEM ENCOUNTERS A BUILDING RIDGE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TD 31W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE WARNING PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131353Z6), 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 8 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 130321Z OCT 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 130330).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 13 16:39:38 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102194-27570>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 16:39:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA27009; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 16:41:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IALKHSBJSG00712T@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 16:38:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3253053 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 03:39:52 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA236186 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 03:39:51 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA42412 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 03:39:51 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 03:39:51 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130339 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610130839.AA42412@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 43945 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 19.7N7 116.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 116.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 20.6N8 114.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 21.3N6 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 22.0N4 110.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 23.0N5 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 19.9N9 116.2E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. 130630Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TD 30W IS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. TD 30W IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO BE DISSIPATED OVER LAND BY THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131351Z4), 132100Z7 (DTG 131951Z0), 140300Z8 (DTG 140151Z2) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 02:12:23 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102358-27582>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 02:12:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id CAA13832; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 02:14:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IALSS1URQO006FYF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 22:18:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3254308 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 09:19:56 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA37472 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 09:19:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65486 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 09:19:55 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 09:19:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130919 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610131419.AA65486@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 80331 WTPN31 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 19.9N9 116.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.9N9 116.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 20.9N1 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 21.9N2 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 23.5N0 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 24.4N0 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 20.2N4 115.7E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W). THE PREVIOUSLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS TUCKED IN UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION AND NUMEROUS COLD, OVERSHOOTING TOPS OF -86 TO -88C WERE NOTED WITHIN THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE. OUR CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 13/1130Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS) AND IS SUPPORTED BY A 13/06Z SHIP REPORT OF 32 KNOTS 70 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. ABEL IS EXPECTED TO TRACK TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN THE 500 MB RIDGE AXIS OVER HONG KONG AND THEN SHEAR APART AFTER MOVING INLAND. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST, BUT IS SUPPORTED BY THE 13/00Z NOGPAS MODEL RUN AND OUR 13/12Z FORECAST AIDS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO 997 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131953Z2), 40300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 13 22:23:56 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102252-27570>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 22:23:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA24925; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 22:25:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IALSS1URQO006FYF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 22:22:31 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3254321 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 09:24:01 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA89660 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 09:24:00 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36596 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 09:23:59 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 09:23:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130923 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610131423.AA36596@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 40945 WTPN33 PGTW 131500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 14.0N5 150.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 150.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.7N1 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.6N0 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.6N0 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.3N8 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 17.9N7 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 13.9N3 150.0E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OR REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE REMAINING STEADY IN INTENSITY. THE SLOW SOUTHWARD DRIFT IS CONFIRMED BY SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY. AS A RESULT, THIS FORECAST IS SIGNIFICANTLY FARTHER SOUTH THAN THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND IS SUPPORTED BY THE 13/00Z NOGPAS MODEL. HOWEVER WE DO EXPECT TD 31W TO GRADUALLY RESUME A WESTWARD COURSE AS TD 32W TO THE WEST MOVES FARTHER AWAY. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4), 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6), 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 13 23:15:49 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102356-27580>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 23:15:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id XAA28549; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 23:17:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IALSS1URQO006FYF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 23:14:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3254512 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 10:16:06 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id KAA41592 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 10:15:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73149 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 10:15:26 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 10:15:26 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131015 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610131515.AA73149@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 36282 WTPN32 PGTW 131500 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131200Z7 --- 14.0N5 150.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - QUASI-STATIONARY POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 150.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 13.7N1 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 13.6N0 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.6N0 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 14.3N8 144.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 17.9N7 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 131500Z0 POSITION 13.9N3 150.0E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS DRIFTED SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OR REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE REMAINING STEADY IN INTENSITY. THE SLOW SOUTHWARD DRIFT IS CONFIRMED BY SATELLITE AND DOPPLER RADAR IMAGERY. AS A RESULT, THIS FORECAST IS SIGNIFICANTLY FARTHER SOUTH THAN THE PREVIOUS WARNING AND IS SUPPORTED BY THE 13/00Z NOGPAS MODEL. HOWEVER WE DO EXPECT TD 31W TO GRADUALLY RESUME A WESTWARD COURSE AS TD 32W TO THE WEST MOVES FARTHER AWAY. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4), 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6), 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2) AND 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED HEADER FROM WTPN33 TO WTPN32.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 02:30:13 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102358-27581>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 02:30:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id CAA15682; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 02:32:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IALSS1URQO006FYF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 02:28:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3255660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 13:30:46 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA264378 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 13:26:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62181 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 13:26:18 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 13:26:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -131326 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610131826.AA62181@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 79074 ABPW10 PGTW 131800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/131800Z /140600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131351Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NACPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131353Z OCT 96// REF/C/RMG/NACPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131355Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131200Z7 TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.9N9 116.1E9, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W)) WARNING NR 11 (WTPN31 PGTW 131500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 131200Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 14.0N5 150.3E9, DRIFTING SOUTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W) WARNING NR 02 (WTPN32 PGTW 131500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 131200Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WAS LOCATED AT 15.5N1 133.2E9, MOVING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W) WARNING NR 01 (WTPN33 PGTW 131500)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 14N5 141E6 HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 15N6 150E6 HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W. (3) AN AREA OF INTENSE DEEP CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 8N8 170E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 07N7 163E0. 13/12Z SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BENEATH WEAK UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS INDICATES THIS ACTIVITY HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND HAS EVOLVED INTO A LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM WITH NUMEROUS CLOUD TOPS OF -88 TO -91C NOTED, AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR THE RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR MORE THAN 18 HOURS NEAR 11N2 172E0. 13/12Z SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A REGION OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE BENEATH WEAK UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 04:35:04 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102274-27582>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 04:34:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA20120; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 04:37:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IALSS1URQO006FYF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 04:33:48 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3256550 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:35:38 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA125298 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:35:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45008 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:35:37 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:35:37 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131535 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610132035.AA45008@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 73165 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 20.2N4 115.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 115.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 21.0N3 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 21.9N2 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 23.4N9 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 24.4N0 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 20.4N6 115.3E0 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) HAS TRACKED SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOW EMBEDDED IN THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE EVEN THOUGH TOPS HAVE WARMED SLIGHTLY. ALL OF OUR OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS STILL CONVERGE ON HONG KONG IN 24 TO 30 HOURS AND THEN DIVERGE AFTER 36 HOURS. THIS FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST EXCEPT THAT WE HAVE SLOWED DOWN THE FORWARD SPEED SLIGHTLY AND DECREASED THE INTENSIFICATION RATE DUE TO EXPECTED SHEAR. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 13/1730Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 TO 40 KNOTS). MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 994 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 04:38:14 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102338-27581>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 04:38:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA20185; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 04:40:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IALSS1URQO006FYF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 04:36:55 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3256557 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:38:45 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA275308 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:37:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73202 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:37:50 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 15:37:50 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131537 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610132037.AA73202@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 92911 WTPN32 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 13.0N4 150.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.0N4 150.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 12.4N7 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 12.4N7 147.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.8N1 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.5N9 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 16.3N0 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 12.8N1 149.7E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED SOUTH-WESTWARD WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. TD 31W IS EXPERIENCING SOME UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR FROM THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST WHICH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ALMOST ALL OF OUR 13/18Z OBJECTIVE FORECAST AIDS TRACK TD 31W SLOWLY SOUTHWEST AND THEN WEST ALONG 12N LATITUDE AND THEN WEST-NORTHWEST ACROSS OR JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF GUAM IN 60 HOURS. OUR FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY NORTH AND A LITTLE FASTER BASED ON AN EXPECTED PUSH FROM THE EAST BY THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCES NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS. WE HAVE KEPT THE INTENSITIES LOW THROUGH 24 HOURS AND THEN EXPECT TD 31W TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN NORMAL BASED ON THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR DECREASING TO LESS THAN 15 KNOTS AS FORECAST BY THE NOGAPS MODEL. OF COURSE, ALL OF THIS HINGES ON HOW MUCH CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION DEVELOPS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6), 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2), 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 05:10:54 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102274-27582>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 05:10:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA20971; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 05:12:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IALSS1URQO006FYF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 05:09:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3256872 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 16:11:22 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA105910 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 16:07:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA37229 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 16:07:12 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 16:07:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131607 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610132107.AA37229@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 92778 WTPN33 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 15.5N1 132.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 132.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.7N3 130.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 16.0N7 127.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.3N0 125.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.8N5 122.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 18.4N3 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 15.5N1 132.0E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W HAS TRACKED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS STEADILY INTENSIFIED. NO CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST PHILOSOPHY AND THIS FORECAST IS BASICALLY THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS ONE WITH EXPECTED LANDFALL ON LUZON IN 48 TO 60 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140157Z8), 140900Z4 (DTG 140757Z4), 141500Z1 (DTG 141357Z1) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141957Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 08:14:36 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102146-16721>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 08:14:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id IAA27689; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 08:16:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMJNADLV4006NIB@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 08:13:20 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3257950 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 19:15:10 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA25890 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 19:15:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58714 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 19:15:09 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 19:15:09 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131915 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610140015.AA58714@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 34391 WTPN32 PGTW 132100 AMD 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 003A AMENDED AND RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 15.2N8 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 15.4N0 146.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 15.6N2 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.1N8 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.9N6 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 18.8N7 138.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 15.2N8 147.8E0 JUSTIFICATION FOR AMENDED AND RELOCATED WARNING: 13/2130Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL-DEFINED, LOW- LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION APPROXIMATELY 135 NM EAST OF SAIPAN. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS BEING SHEARED TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER BY MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THIS UPPER- LEVEL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INHIBIT THE IMMEDIATE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. A ZONE OF CONVECTION STRETCHES IN A LINE APPROXIMATELY 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. A POSSIBLE SECONDARY CIRCULATION MAY BE LOCATED NORTH OF THIS LINE OF CONVECTION. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 31W IS FORECAST TO MOVE WEST- NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL MARIANAS AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY DUE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IMPINGING ON THE SYSTEM. BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, TD 31W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A MORE CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140153Z4), 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z3 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFWFOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// ON THE NEXT WARNING. THERE IS A MODERATE PROBABILITY THAT TD 30W WILL REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY IN 24 TO 36 HOURS. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZE TROPICAL CYCLONE. ASYMMETRIES IN THE WIND RADII ARE DUE TO THE FORWARD MOTION OF THE SYSTEM AND EXPECTED TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT ON THE NORTH SIDE OWING TO INTERACTION WITH THE COLD SURFACE HIGH FORECAST TO PUSH SOUTHWARD. IMPORTANT NOTE... IF OUR INTENSITIES ARE LOW, THEN OUR WIND RADII WILL ALSO BE TOO SMALL. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/WOFFORD/HONG// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 10:14:59 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102208-16720>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:14:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA14285; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:17:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMKOG45E8007MM1@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:13:42 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3259229 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:15:22 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA246010 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:15:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46554 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:15:20 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:15:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132115 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610140215.AA46554@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 84951 WTPN32 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 15.8N4 147.3E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 147.3E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 16.3N0 145.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 16.9N6 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.4N2 142.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 17.9N7 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 18.9N8 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 15.9N5 146.9E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL MARIANAS. TD 31W HAS BECOME POORLY ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION LOCATED SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TD 31W IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE NORTHERLY UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS HINDERING THE INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. TD 31W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0), 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 10:21:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102249-16721>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:21:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA15701; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:23:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMKOG45E8007MM1@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:20:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3259261 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:20:57 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA58398 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:20:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA74629 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:20:56 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:20:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132120 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610140220.AA74629@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 60546 WTPN33 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 15.7N3 132.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 132.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 15.9N5 130.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 16.0N7 128.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 16.2N9 127.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 16.5N2 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.2N0 122.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 15.7N3 131.7E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2), 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9), 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150155Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 10:42:02 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102203-16719>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:41:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA21125; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:44:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMKOG45E8007MM1@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:40:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3259334 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:42:20 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA20662 for ; Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:42:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA60545 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:42:19 -0500 Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:42:19 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132142 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610140242.AA60545@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 55422 WTPN31 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 19.3N3 114.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 114.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 18.8N7 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.2N1 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.8N6 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 17.3N1 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 16.6N3 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 19.2N2 114.7E3 TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. 13/2330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ABEL IS A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH THE CONVECTION SHEARED 51 NM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LLCC. THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD CAUSING THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 14:15:18 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102397-16719>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:15:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA15645; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:17:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMPUX8PDC001X9R@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:14:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3261091 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 01:14:55 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA293972 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 01:14:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73414 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 01:14:54 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 01:14:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140114 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610140614.AA73414@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 74691 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z /150600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140151Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140153Z OCT 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140155Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WAS LOCATED AT 19.3N3 114.9E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNING NR 13 (WTPN31 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 15.8N4 147.3E5, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN32 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 140000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WAS LOCATED AT 15.7N3 132.1E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNING NR 03 (WTPN33 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 7N7 163E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 155E1. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BUT CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS AREA HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 11N2 172E0 HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) AN AREA OF PERSISTENT, DEEP CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 12N3 176E4. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA WITH GOOD ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 16:10:06 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102391-29732>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 16:10:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA15907; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 16:12:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 16:08:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3261432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:09:04 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA262666 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:09:03 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84828 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:09:03 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:09:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140309 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610140809.AA84828@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 43865 WTPN33 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 15.9N5 131.3E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N5 131.3E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 16.2N9 129.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.5N2 128.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.8N5 126.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 17.1N9 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 17.8N6 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 16.0N7 130.9E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THE 48 HOUR FORECAST POSITION TROPICAL CYCLONE INTERACTION WITH LUZON WILL CEASE THE INTENSIFICATION TREND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141355Z9), 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5), 150300Z9 (DTG 150155Z7) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150755Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 16:47:36 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102381-29731>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 16:47:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA25105; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 16:49:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 16:46:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3261519 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:47:14 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA138956 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:47:14 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46779 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:47:13 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:47:13 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140347 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610140847.AA46779@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 72632 WTPN31 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 18.8N7 114.0E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 114.0E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 18.1N0 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.4N2 110.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.9N6 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.6N3 105.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 16.5N2 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 18.6N5 113.5E0 TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE SHEARED TO THE NORTH- NORTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS A RESULT OF STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE SHEAR ON THE SYSTEM SHOULD PREVENT INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1), 150300Z9 (DTG 150151Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150751Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W (WTPN32 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 17:06:57 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102337-29730>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 17:06:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA00160; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 17:09:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 17:05:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3261529 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:56:00 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA220604 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:56:00 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84977 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:55:59 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 03:55:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140355 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610140855.AA84977@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 72686 WTPN32 PGTW 140900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 005A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 16.5N2 147.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.5N2 147.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 17.2N0 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.8N6 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.5N4 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.1N1 141.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 20.5N7 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 16.7N4 146.7E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL MARIANAS. THE DEVELOPMENT OF TD 31W CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY UPPER-LEVEL NORTHERLY WIND SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM. TD 31W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY AS THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR RELAXES ON THE SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z1 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTION FOR WTPN32 AND 3 TROPICAL CYCLONES IN THE NORTHWESTPAC.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 22:57:51 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102222-29729>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 22:57:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id XAA00497; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 23:00:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 22:56:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3263769 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 09:29:32 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA190900 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 09:29:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73431 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 09:29:15 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 09:29:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140929 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610141429.AA73431@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 78548 WTPN31 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 18.7N6 113.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.7N6 113.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 18.2N1 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.6N4 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 17.2N0 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 17.0N8 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 16.8N5 104.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 18.6N5 113.1E6 TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE MAINTAINING MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE DEEP CONVECTION (CLOUD TOPS OF -88 TO -91C) THAT HAD EARLIER DEVELOPED NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS RESTRICTED IN ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT FAIR TO GOOD TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER SIGNIFICANT SOUTHERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE I ESTIMATED TO BE 997 MB AND IS SUPPORTED BY A 14/06Z 1000.5 MB PRESSURE REPORTS FROM A SHIP LOCATED 75 NM SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3), 150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5), 150900Z (DTG 150753Z1) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151353Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 14 22:39:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102360-29730>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 22:38:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA27863; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 22:41:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 22:37:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3263824 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 09:37:34 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA29608 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 09:31:32 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA81172 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 09:31:31 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 09:31:31 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140931 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610141431.AA81172@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 79121 WTPN32 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 006 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 16.9N6 146.2E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 146.2E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 17.8N6 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 18.6N5 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 19.5N5 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 20.5N7 140.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 23.0N5 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 17.1N9 145.8E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED STEADILY NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER SIGNIFICANT NORTHERLY SHEAR AND OCCASIONAL FLARE-UPS OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS BEFORE THE SHEAR DECREASES ENOUGH TO ALLOW THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5), 150300Z9 (DTG 150155Z7) 150900Z5 (DTG 150755Z3) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151355Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 15 02:18:05 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102239-29730>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 02:18:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id CAA26399; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 02:20:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 23:04:24 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3264400 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:06:08 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id KAA184650 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:00:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA81233 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:00:18 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 10:00:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141000 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610141500.AA81233@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 84046 WTPN33 PGTW 141500 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNING NR 005A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 16.0N7 130.5E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 130.5E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 16.3N0 128.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 16.6N3 127.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 17.0N8 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 17.2N0 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.5N3 120.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 16.1N8 130.1E5 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TD 32W IS NOT FAR FROM REACHING MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141957Z7), 150300Z9 (DTG 150157Z9), 150900Z5 (DTG 150757Z5) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151357Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED WARNING NUMBER.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 15 03:22:25 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102443-29730>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:22:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA00747; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:24:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:21:02 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3267268 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:22:43 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA74614 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:22:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47955 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:22:35 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:22:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141422 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610141922.AA47955@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 23120 WTPN31 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 016 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 18.1N0 113.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N0 113.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 17.4N2 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.9N6 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 16.5N2 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 17.9N7 112.6E0 TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) HAS WEAKENED WHILE TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR HAS WEAKENED AND DISPLACED THE DEEP CONVECTION 50 TO 100 NM NORTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WHICH IS NOW FULLY EXPOSED. AS A RESULT, THIS SYSTEM IS BEING DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150753Z1) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 15 03:43:54 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102443-29729>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:43:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA01593; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:46:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:42:46 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3267543 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:44:33 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA99820 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:44:23 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA52859 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:44:23 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 14:44:23 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141444 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610141944.AA52859@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 63352 WTPN32 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 007 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 17.3N1 145.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.3N1 145.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 18.0N9 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.8N7 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.6N6 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 17.5N3 145.3E3 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED TO THE NORTHWEST AND LOST ALL OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM IS TRACKING UNDER INCREASING NORTHERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR AS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 02 HOURS INDICATES A FEW SMALL CONVECTIVE CELLS HAVE DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER OF THE VERY TIGHT LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION AND TD 31W HAS HAD A LONG HISTORY OF SURVIVING STRONG SHEAR CONDITIONS. TD 31W IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO A LESS HOSTILE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN IN 24 TO 36 HOURS WHICH MAY FAVOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT AT THAT TIME. UNTIL THEN, WE ANTICIPATE THE USUAL CONVECTIVE FLARE-UPS WHICH WILL HELP MAINTAIN THIS SYSTEM AS A 25 TO 30 KNOTS TROPICAL DEPRESSION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150755Z3) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151955Z6) IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 15 04:19:24 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102443-29732>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 04:19:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA03450; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 04:21:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 04:18:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3268066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 15:19:45 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA143608 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 15:19:44 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58201 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 15:19:43 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 15:19:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -141519 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610142019.AA58201@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 38230 WTPN33 PGTW 142100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNING NR 006 04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141800Z4 --- 16.2N9 130.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.2N9 130.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 16.5N2 129.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 16.8N5 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 17.0N8 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 17.3N1 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.8N6 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 142100Z8 POSITION 16.3N0 130.3E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE MAINTAINING AN INTENSITY JUST BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED TO THE WEST OF THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH NUMEROUS CLOUD TOPS OF -86 TO -91C NOTED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. OUR CURRENT POSITION IS VERY CLOSE TO OUR LAST WARNING POSITION BASED ON NEW SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH BETTER DEPICTS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, TD 32W IS STILL MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST BUT AT SLOWER SPEED THAN INDICATED IN OUR PREVIOUS WARNING. UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR IS DISPLACING THE DEEP CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGERY IN ABOUT 3 HOURS WILL DETERMINE THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. IF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS CLOSER TO THE DEEP CONVECTION, THEN TD 32W WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. SLOW BUT STEADY INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED AS THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR FROM THE EAST IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (DTG 150157Z9), 150900Z5 (DTG 150757Z5), 151500Z2 (DTG 151357Z2) AND 152100Z9 (DTG 151957Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 15 10:45:11 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102282-24190>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 10:45:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA13167; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 10:46:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 10:42:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3271985 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 21:41:31 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA91608 for ; Mon, 14 Oct 1996 21:41:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA39794 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 14 Oct 1996 21:41:30 -0500 Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 21:41:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -142141 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610150241.AA39794@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 73071 WTPN33 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 007 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETH (32W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 16.9N6 130.2E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 130.2E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 17.2N0 129.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 17.3N1 127.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 17.4N2 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.5N3 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.6N4 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 17.0N8 129.9E1 LATEST VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES HAS INTENSIFIED AND IS NOW TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W). A HEAVY CONVECTIVE AREA OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 45NM WEST OF THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. TROPICAL STORM BETH IS CURRENTLY EMBEDDED IN WEAK STEERING FLOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. SUBSEQUENTLY, THE RIDGE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD ALLOWING A QUICKER WESTWARD MOVEMENT IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION PRIOR TO INTERACTION WITH LUZON. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150755Z3), 151500Z2 (DTG 151355Z0), 152100Z9 (DTG 151955Z6) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160155Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 15 14:09:41 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102332-24300>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 14:09:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA07982; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 14:11:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 14:08:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3273906 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 01:03:44 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA126298 for ; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 01:03:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA53896 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 01:03:43 -0500 Date: Tue, 15 Oct 1996 01:03:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -150103 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610150603.AA53896@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 63365 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z /160600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141951Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/141953Z OCT 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/150155Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 141800Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL)WAS LOCATED AT 18.1N0 113.0E5, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN31 PGTW 142100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 141800Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 17.3N1 145.6E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 07 (WTPN32 PGTW 142100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 150000Z6 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.9N6 130.2E6, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 07 (WTPN33 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8N8 155E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 148E3. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A WEK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, CONVECTION REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZATION WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 176E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 168E5. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PRIMARILY CONVERGENCE IN THIS AREA WHILE CONVECTION IS POORLY ORGANIZED. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS WEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1011 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/MCELROY/MEST/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 15 16:09:06 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102157-24300>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 16:08:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA07886; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 16:11:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 16:07:48 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3274179 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:08:29 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA119774 for ; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:08:29 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51066 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:08:28 -0500 Date: Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:08:28 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150308 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610150808.AA51066@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 72567 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 17.8N6 143.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 143.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.2N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 18.9N8 139.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 19.4N4 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 17.9N7 143.0E8 LATEST VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM 15/0530Z INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST AT 09 KTS AND WEAKEN. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION HAS PERIODICALLY FLARED UP WITHIN THE SMALL CIRCULATION CENTER, IT HAS NOT PERSISTED. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W IS NOT EXPECTED TO REINTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS DUE TO STRONG UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE REGION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151953Z4) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 15 17:09:08 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102356-24298>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 17:09:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA24599; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 17:11:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 17:07:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3274257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:30:24 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA160556 for ; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:30:23 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65944 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:30:23 -0500 Date: Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:30:23 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150330 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610150830.AA65944@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 44181 WTPN31 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 017 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 16.6N3 112.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 112.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 15.5N1 111.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 15.2N8 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 14.9N4 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 16.3N0 112.0E4 LATEST VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY FROM 15/0530Z AND SYNOPTIC DATA FROM XISHA ISLAND (WMO 59981) INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS SHOWN NEW CONVECTION DEVELOPING NEAR THE SYSTEMS CENTER, HOWEVER, NO REAL ORGANIZATION IS OBSERVED. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR NEAR 30 KNOTS AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF VIETNAM WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151951Z2) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 15 16:53:29 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102258-24300>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 16:53:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA19598; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 16:55:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAMYD8NT0G006PKZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 16:52:16 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3274309 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:52:28 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA243716 for ; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:49:46 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62765 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:49:45 -0500 Date: Tue, 15 Oct 1996 03:49:45 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150349 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610150849.AA62765@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 70698 WTPN33 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 17.7N5 129.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N5 129.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 18.0N9 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 18.0N9 127.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 18.0N9 125.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 17.9N7 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.8N6 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 17.8N6 129.3E5 LATEST VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 15/0530Z INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. STRONG CONVECTION CAN BE OBSERVED DEVELOPING ALONG THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PARTIALLY EXPOSED CIRCULATION CENTER. STEERING IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAK FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS BEFORE A RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE CIRCULATION AND THE STORM MOVES WESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN PART OF LUZON ISLAND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151355Z0), 152100Z9 (DTG 151955Z6), 160300Z0 (DTG 160155Z8) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160755Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150600Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 16 00:38:09 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102511-24299>; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 00:38:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08974; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 00:40:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 00:32:01 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3276569 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 09:08:26 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA157066 for ; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 09:08:23 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA43976 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 09:08:22 -0500 Date: Tue, 15 Oct 1996 09:08:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150908 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610151408.AA43976@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 53957 WTPN33 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 18.0N9 129.0E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.0N9 129.0E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 18.2N1 127.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 18.3N2 126.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 18.3N2 124.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 18.2N1 122.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.9N7 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 151500Z2 POSITION 18.1N0 128.7E8 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT DEEP CONVECTION HAS RE- DEVELOPED NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER AND THAT THE VERTICAL SHEAR MAY BE DECREASING FROM THE EAST. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 994 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 152100Z9 (DTG 151955Z6), 160300Z0 (DTG 160155Z8), 160900Z6 (DTG 160755Z4) AND 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 00:40:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102425-27043>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:39:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA17105; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:42:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:33:16 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3279483 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:15 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA236108 for ; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55201 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:12 -0500 Date: Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -151523 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610152023.AA55201@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 61086 WTPN31 PGTW 152100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 018 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 14.9N4 111.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 111.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 13.7N1 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.8N1 108.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 12.4N7 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 14.6N1 110.8E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS WHILE MAINTAINING ITS INTENSITY. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR ALOFT, BUT OCCASIONAL FLAREUPS OF DEEP CONVECTION CAN BE EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF VIETNAM IN 18 TO 24 HOURS. OUR CURRENT INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY SCATTEROMETER DATA AND 15/12Z SHIP REPORTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160751Z0) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 00:41:11 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102412-27044>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:41:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA17359; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:43:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:33:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3279490 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:27:03 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA161856 for ; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:35 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61113 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:35 -0500 Date: Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:23:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -151523 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610152023.AA61113@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 44214 WTPN33 PGTW 152100 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 17.8N6 128.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 128.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 17.9N7 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 18.0N9 125.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 18.1N0 123.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 18.0N9 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.7N5 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 17.8N6 128.1E2 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AND STEADILY INTENSIFIED. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AND UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS IMPROVED IN ALL QUADRANTS. THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS BECOME BETTER DEVELOPED AND NUMEROUS OVERSHOOTING TOPS OF -88 TO -91C WERE NOTED JUST SOUTH AND WEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. WIND RADII AND CURRENT INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 15/1400Z SCATTEROMETER DATA AND A 15/1730Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.5 (55 KNOTS). WE HAVE HELD THE INTENSITY DOWN SLIGHTLY BASED ON SCATTEROMETER DATA AND SLIGHT EASTERLY SHEAR ON THE SYSTEM. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 991 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160155Z8), 160900Z6 (DTG 160755Z4), 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161955Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 00:40:01 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102423-27043>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:39:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA17090; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:42:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:33:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3279551 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:39:51 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA157000 for ; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:25:19 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55629 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:25:18 -0500 Date: Tue, 15 Oct 1996 15:25:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -151525 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610152025.AA55629@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 29514 WTPN32 PGTW 152100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 18.4N3 142.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 142.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.1N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 19.5N5 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 19.8N8 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.0N2 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 20.3N5 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 18.6N5 142.4E1 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED NORTH-WESTWARD AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY AS DEEP CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE. SINCE TD 31W HAS HAD A HISTORY OF LARGE FLAREUPS OF CONVECTION AND THEN DISSIPATION, WE HAVE HELD OUR INTENSITIES DOWN UNTIL A PERSISTENT CONVECTIVE PATTERN EMERGES. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. TD 31W IS A SMALL, MIDGET-LIKE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND, AS A RESULT, WE HAVE KEPT THE WIND RADII SMALL. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 00:52:11 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102433-27043>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:52:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA20283; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:54:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:40:45 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3283686 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 21:19:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA232172 for ; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 21:19:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA29593 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 21:19:25 -0500 Date: Tue, 15 Oct 1996 21:19:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -152119 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610160219.AA29593@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60054 WTPN33 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 17.9N7 127.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 127.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 17.9N7 126.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.9N7 124.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.9N7 121.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.7N5 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.6N4 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 17.9N7 127.2E2 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS AND BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED. VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 15/2330Z INDICATES THAT BETH=S LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS NOW MOVED UNDER IT=S CENTRAL CONVECTIVE AREA AND ITS UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS NOW BECOMING MORE SYMMETRIC. OUTER WIND RADII ARE BASED, IN PART, ON A RECENT 15/1400Z ERS-2 SATELLITE SCATTEROMETER PASS OVER THE SYSTEM. TROPICAL STORM BETH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND REACH LUZON IN APPROXIMATELY 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160900Z6 (DTG 160755Z4), 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1), 162100Z0 (DTG 161955Z7) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 122351Z OCT 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 130000 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 00:49:31 1996 Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102412-27043>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:49:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA19681; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:51:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 00:41:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3284283 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 22:20:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA07184 for ; Tue, 15 Oct 1996 22:20:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51169 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 15 Oct 1996 22:20:56 -0500 Date: Tue, 15 Oct 1996 22:20:56 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -152220 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610160320.AA51169@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60124 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 20.5N7 142.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 142.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 22.2N6 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 24.3N9 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.2N0 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 20.9N1 142.2E9 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 15/2330Z INDICATES THAT TD 31W IS ONCE AGAIN AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. VISUAL IMAGERY NOW INDICATES THAT TD 31W IS MOVING NORTH AT 10 KNOTS IN RESPONSE TO A FRONTAL ZONE SOUTH OF JAPAN. CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY AND HAS SHEARED TO THE SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING. TD 31W IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND IS NOW FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 36 HOURS. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 10:36:36 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01590; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:36:34 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA20241; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:36:27 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102495-419>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:35:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA00036; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:37:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:33:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3285366 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 00:21:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA118840 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 00:03:29 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA74665 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 00:03:29 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 00:03:29 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160003 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610160503.AA74665@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 39590 WTPN32 PGTW 160300 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 010A RELOCATED AND CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160000Z7 --- 20.5N7 142.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 142.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, V8ALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 22.2N6 142.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 24.3N9 142.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 26.2N0 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160300Z0 POSITION 20.9N1 142.2E9 VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 15/2330Z INDICATES THAT TD 31W IS ONCE AGAIN AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. VISUAL IMAGERY NOW INDICATES THAT TD 31W IS MOVING NORTH AT 10 KNOTS IN RESPONSE TO A FRONTAL ZONE SOUTH OF JAPAN. CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY AND HAS SHEARED TO THE SOUTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING. TD 31W IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND IS NOW FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 36 HOURS. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS.NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTS WARNING NUMBER// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 10:38:13 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01636; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:38:06 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA20302; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:37:59 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102467-414>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:36:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA00541; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:38:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:35:09 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3285726 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 01:14:49 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA256098 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 01:14:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA61994 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 01:14:48 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 01:14:48 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -160114 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610160614.AA61994@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 10535 ABPW10 PGTW 160600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z /170600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153Z OCT 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160155Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151800Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 111.1E4, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 152100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 20.5N7 142.2E9, MOVING NORTH AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 10 (WTPN32 PGTW 160300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 127.6E6, MOVING WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 11 (WTPN33 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 9N9 148E3 HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12N3 176E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 132E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG AREA OF CONVECTION IN THIS AREA, HOWEVER SYNOPTIC DATA AND VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE ONLY SURFACE CONVERGENCE EXIST IN RESPONSE TO SOUTHERLY FLOW INTO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) TO THE NORTH. WINDS DERIVED FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THERE IS A MODERATE NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST UPPER LEVEL SHEAR OVER THIS AREA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/MCELROY/MEST/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 10:40:49 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01657; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:40:47 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA20604; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:40:39 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102523-417>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:39:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01298; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:41:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:37:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3286313 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 03:55:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA180340 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 03:42:32 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA39564 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 03:42:32 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 03:42:32 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160342 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610160842.AA39564@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54409 WTPN31 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 019 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 13.5N9 110.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 110.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.7N0 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 12.0N3 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 220 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 11.4N6 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 13.3N7 110.7E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) IS MOVING SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY OF A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW- LEVEL CENTER AND SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE GENERALLY SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161951Z3) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 10:40:56 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01661; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:40:53 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA20618; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:40:47 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102242-418>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:39:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01341; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:41:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:37:55 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3286226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 03:47:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA241118 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 03:42:53 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA38044 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 03:42:53 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 03:42:53 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160342 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610160842.AA38044@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 86425 WTPN33 PGTW 160900 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 160600Z3 --- 17.6N4 126.6E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 055 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 126.6E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 17.6N4 125.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 17.6N4 123.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.5N3 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 050 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.4N2 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.3N1 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 160900Z6 POSITION 17.6N4 126.2E1 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 160530Z INDICATES THAT TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES WEST TOWARDS LUZON. TROPICAL STORM BETH IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO TYPHOON INTENSITY PRIOR TO REACHING LUZON IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 161500Z3 (DTG 161355Z1), 162100Z0 (DTG 161955Z7), 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9) AND 170900Z7 (DTG 170755Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 160600Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 10:45:32 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01675; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:45:30 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA20876; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:45:24 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102504-414>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:44:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA02553; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:46:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:41:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3287303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 07:50:16 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA97614 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 07:49:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA09654 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 07:49:42 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 07:49:42 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -160749 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610161249.AA09654@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 78003 WTPN21 PGTW 161200 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 161200Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.8N3 114.8W4 TO 18.2N1 118.5W5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 160600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N6 115.0W7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 171200Z1. 2. REMARKS: METSAT DATA WITHIN THE PAST 24 HOURS INDICATES STEADILY INCREASING CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION OF UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE SUSPECT AREA. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 171200Z1.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG86352901200 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 10:47:57 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01683; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:47:55 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA21055; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:47:48 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102484-417>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:46:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03199; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:48:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:43:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3288122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 08:57:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA298262 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 08:55:33 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA19968 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 08:55:32 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 08:55:32 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160855 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610161355.AA19968@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 45309 WTPN33 PGTW 161500 PAA 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 17.5N3 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.5N3 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.3N1 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.1N9 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.0N8 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.5N2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 17.5N3 125.9E7 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS INCREASED CONSIDERABLY AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT AN EYE FEATURE IS TRYING TO APPEAR. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS EXCELLENT IN ALL QUADRANTS. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 16/1200Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) BUT WAS HELD DOWN SLIGHTLY DUE TO THE EYE BEING CLOUD-COVERED AND A DRY INTRUSION ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK SCENARIO UNTIL WE ARE CERTAIN THE WEST-SOUTHWEST MOTION IS A PERMANENT TREND. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 980 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161955Z7) 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9) 170900Z7 (DTG 170755Z5) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 122351Z OCT 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 130000 ) NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 10:48:12 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01691; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:48:10 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA21062; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:48:02 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102513-419>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:46:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03238; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:48:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:43:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3288142 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:00:23 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA121912 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 08:56:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA74555 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 08:56:12 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 08:56:12 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160856 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610161356.AA74555@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 56632 WTPN33 PGTW 161500 PZB MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 10:49:34 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01699; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:49:32 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA21147; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:49:25 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102492-418>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:48:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03666; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:50:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:43:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3288254 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:13:28 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA170716 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:10:05 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA37281 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:10:05 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:10:05 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160910 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610161410.AA37281@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 31902 WTPN33 PGTW 161500 PAA 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 17.5N3 126.2E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 126.2E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 17.5N3 124.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.3N1 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.1N9 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.0N8 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 16.5N2 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 17.5N3 125.9E7 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS INCREASED CONSIDERABLY AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT AN EYE FEATURE IS TRYING TO APPEAR. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS EXCELLENT IN ALL QUADRANTS. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 16/1200Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) BUT WAS HELD DOWN SLIGHTLY DUE TO THE EYE BEING CLOUD-COVERED AND A DRY INTRUSION ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK SCENARIO UNTIL WE ARE CERTAIN THE WEST-SOUTHWEST MOTION IS A PERMANENT TREND. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 980 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0 (DTG 161955Z7) 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9) 170900Z7 (DTG 170755Z5) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 122351Z OCT 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 130000 ) NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 10:49:22 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01695; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:49:18 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA21112; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:49:11 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102440-419>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:48:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03634; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:50:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:43:43 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3288245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:10:20 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA145672 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:10:08 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA37296 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:10:07 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:10:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160910 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610161410.AA37296@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 31917 WTPN33 PGTW 161500 PZB MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. CORRECTED DUE TO WRONG WARNING NUMBER.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 10:48:04 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01687; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:48:01 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA21057; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 10:47:55 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102521-418>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:46:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA03236; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:48:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:44:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3288440 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:34:21 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA149858 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:33:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA77666 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:33:29 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:33:29 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160933 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610161433.AA77666@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 87391 WTPN32 PGTW 161500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161200Z0 --- 21.9N2 141.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 141.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 23.5N0 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.3N0 141.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 27.2N1 142.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 161500Z3 POSITION 22.3N7 141.7E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS DEVELOPED A SMALL AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER LIKE IT HAS AT THIS TIME FOR THE PAST 3 NIGHTS. TD 31W REFUSES TO GO AWAY AND OCCASIONAL 30 KNOTS INTENSITY MAY OCCUR IN THE BRIEF CONVECTIVE BURSTS. HOWEVER, THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED EXCEPT FOR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS NOW LOCATED ON THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. AS A RESULT, TD 31W SHOULD GRADUALLY TURN MORE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND PASS OVER OR NEAR CHICHI-JIMA (WMO 47981) IN ABOUT 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:00:27 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01723; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:00:25 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA22145; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:00:13 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102495-418>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:59:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA07369; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:01:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:56:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3290880 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 13:46:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA134264 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 13:39:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA94905 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 13:39:14 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 13:39:14 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -161339 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610161839.AA94905@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 73654 ABPW10 PGTW 161800 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/161800Z /170600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/151951Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153Z OCT 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160155Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 151800Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WAS LOCATED AT 14.9N4 111.1E4, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A ((TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 18 (WTPN31 PGTW 152100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 161200Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 21.9N2 141.7E3, MOVING NORTH AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 11 (WTPN32 PGTW 161500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 161200Z0 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.5N3 126.2E1, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 60 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 75 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 13 (WTPN33 PGTW 161500)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS MOVED ACROSS THE DATELINE AND IS LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 179.0E7. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND MODERATE SPEED CONVERGENCE BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. HOWEVER, ANIMATION OF SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES SOME BROAD, WEAK CYCLONIC ROTATION OF THE CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS. THE PAST 3 NAVY NOGAPS MODEL RUNS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IN GRADUALLY DEVELOPING THIS SYSTEM AS IT TRACKS WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THIS IS THE REASON FOR RE-ISSUANCE OF THIS ADVISORY. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) AN AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION HAS MOVED ACROSS THE DATELINE AND IS LOCATED NEAR 8.2N0 175.5E8. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION AND MODERATE SPEED CONVERGENCE BENEATH UPPER- LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY NEAR 11N2 132E6 HAS REORGANIZED NEAR 6.0N6 139.0E. THIS ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. HOWEVER, MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR IS ALSO IMPINGING ON THIS SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/MILLER/HONG// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:02:46 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01747; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:02:43 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA22258; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:02:35 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102498-414>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:01:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA08149; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:03:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:59:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3291905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:17:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA291724 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:17:10 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA104417 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:17:09 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:17:09 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -161517 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610162017.AA104417@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 104158 WTPN33 PGTW 162100 PAA 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 014 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 17.6N4 125.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 125.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 17.5N3 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.5N3 121.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.3N1 119.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.2N0 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.9N6 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 17.6N4 124.7E4 TROPICAL STORM BETH HAS RESUMED A WESTWARD COURSE AND INTENSIFIED INTO TYPHOON BETH (32W) DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. AN INTERMITTENT CLOUD-FILLED EYE FEATURE HAS BEEN APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 16/1730Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T4.0 (65 TO 70 KNOTS) ARE THE REASONS FOR OUR INCREASE TO TYPHOON INTENSITY. OUTFLOW REMAINS GOOD TO EXCELLENT IN ALL QUADRANTS WHILE THE CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS REMAINED STEADY. COLD OVERSHOOTING TOPS OF -86 TO -88C WERE STILL NOTED IN THE EYEWALL WHICH SUGGESTS CONTINUED INTENSIFICATION IS LIKELY BEFORE TYPHOON BETH MAKES LANDFALL ON THE NORTHEAST COAST OF LUZON NEAR DIVALACAN BAY IN ABOUT 18 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 976 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170155Z9) 170900Z7 (DTG 170755Z5) NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:02:51 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01751; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:02:49 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA22316; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:02:42 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102467-417>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:01:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA08313; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:03:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 00:59:46 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3291912 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:21:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA238248 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:17:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA104171 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:17:11 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:17:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -161517 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610162017.AA104171@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 94696 WTPN33 PGTW 162100 PZB 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) AND 172100Z1 (DTG 171955Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:09:56 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01790; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:09:53 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA22822; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:09:46 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102467-414>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:08:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA09723; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:09:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:04:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3292750 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 17:31:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA291726 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:31:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA85887 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:31:25 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:31:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -161531 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610162031.AA85887@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 38524 WTPN31 PGTW 162100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 020 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 161800Z6 --- 13.3N7 110.2E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 110.2E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 12.9N2 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 12.5N8 108.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 162100Z0 POSITION 13.2N6 109.9E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS WHILE MAINTAINING AN INTENSITY JUST BELOW MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. TD 30W HAS HAD SEVERAL FLARES OF DEEP CONVECTION WEST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER FOR THE PAST 2-3 DAYS AND THAT TREND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL IS MADE ALONG THE SOUTH- EAST COAST OF VIETNAM NEAR TUY HOA IN ABOUT 12 HOURS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161800Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:10:03 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01794; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:10:01 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA22837; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:09:53 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102484-418>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:08:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA09827; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:09:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:04:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3292779 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 17:35:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA149258 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 17:35:08 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA26254 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 17:35:08 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 17:35:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -161735 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610162235.AA26254@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 100747 WTPN32 PGTW 152100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151800Z5 --- 18.4N3 142.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 18.4N3 142.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 19.1N1 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 19.5N5 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 19.8N8 138.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 20.0N2 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 20.3N5 132.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 152100Z9 POSITION 18.6N5 142.4E1 DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED NORTH- WESTWARD AND INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY AS DEEP CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE. SINCE TD 31W HAS HAD A HISTORY OF LARGE FLAREUPS OF CONVECTION AND THEN DISSIPATION, WE HAVE HELD OUR INTENSITIES DOWN UNTIL A PERSISTENT CONVECTIVE PATTERN EMERGES. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB. TD 31W IS A SMALL, MIDGET-LIKE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND, AS A RESULT, WE HAVE KEPT THE WIND RADII SMALL. NEXT WARNINGS AT 160300Z0 (DTG 160153Z6), 160900Z6 (DTG 160753Z2), 161500Z3 (DTG 161353Z9) AND 162100Z0 (DTG 161953Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:14:26 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01816; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:14:24 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA23140; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:14:17 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102445-414>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:13:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA12261; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:15:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:09:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3296227 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 20:38:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA295410 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 20:38:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA44239 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 20:38:25 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 20:38:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -162038 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610170138.AA44239@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 106188 WTPN32 PGTW 170300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 23.5N0 140.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 23.5N0 140.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 25.8N5 140.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 28.0N0 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 30.2N5 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 24.1N7 140.6E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W IS TRACKING NORTHWARD ABOUT 120 NM SOUTH OF IWO JIMA. TD31W IS INTERACTING WITH A LOW- LEVEL SHEAR LINE AND IS CURRENTLY A COMPLETELY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH ASSOCIATED CONVECTION NORTHEAST CLOCKWISE THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER. TD31W IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180153Z8). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:26:58 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01875; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:26:56 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA24141; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:26:46 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102521-418>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:25:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA16644; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:27:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:11:25 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3297016 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 21:57:21 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAB306282 for ; Wed, 16 Oct 1996 21:42:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66544 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 16 Oct 1996 21:42:06 -0500 Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 21:42:06 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -162142 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610170242.AA66544@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 44269 WTPN33 PGTW 170300 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170000Z8 --- 17.5N3 123.9E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 123.9E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 17.4N2 122.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.3N1 120.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.2N0 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.1N9 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.1N9 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170300Z1 POSITION 17.5N3 123.4E0 TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TYPHOON BETH IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TYPHOON BETH IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL AT LUZON, LOSE SOME INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS OVER LUZON, THEN REINTENSIFY AS IT EMERGES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170755Z5), 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2), 172100Z1 (DTG 171955Z8) AND 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170000Z8 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:26:24 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01864; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:26:22 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA24121; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:26:14 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102445-418>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:24:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA16565; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:26:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:14:37 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3299563 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:13:22 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA210058 for ; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:13:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51048 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:13:21 -0500 Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:13:21 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -170313 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610170813.AA51048@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 60517 ABPW10 PGTW 170600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/170600Z /180600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/161951Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170153Z OCT 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170155Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 170600Z4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WAS LOCATED AT 12.9N2 109.2E2 MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN31 PGTW 162100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 170000Z8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 23.5N0 140.6E1, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 12 (WTPN32 PGTW 170300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 170000Z8 TYPHOON BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.5N3 123.9E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 15 (WTPN33 PGTW 170300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 6.0N6 179.0E7 IS ASSOCIATED WITH A MODERATE SPEED CONVERGENCE ZONE AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8.2N0 175.5E8 IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF WEAK LOW- LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.0N6 139.0E3 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (4) AN AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 17N8 168E5. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:27:23 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01879; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:27:21 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA24157; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:27:16 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102440-417>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:26:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA16890; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:28:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:14:45 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3299628 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:30:44 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA276776 for ; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:30:43 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65828 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:30:43 -0500 Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:30:43 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170330 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610170830.AA65828@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 60449 WTPN33 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 17.6N4 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.5N3 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.5N3 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.2N0 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.9N6 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.1N8 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 17.6N4 122.9E4 TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AT 7 KNOTS. TYPHOON BETH IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON BETH IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER LUZON, LOSE SOME INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS OVER LUZON, THEN REINTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT EMERGES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2), 172100Z1 (DTG 171955Z8), 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W(ABEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:26:50 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01871; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:26:46 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA24136; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:26:39 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102525-414>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:25:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA16654; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:27:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:14:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3299690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:49:04 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA134162 for ; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:49:03 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46503 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:49:03 -0500 Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:49:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170349 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610170849.AA46503@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 39844 WTPN33 PGTW 170900 PAA 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 17.6N4 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.5N3 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.5N3 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.2N0 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.9N6 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.1N8 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 17.6N4 122.9E4 TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AT 7 KNOTS. TYPHOON BETH IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON BETH IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER LUZON LOSE SOME INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS OVER LUZON THEN REINTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT EMERGES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2) 172100Z1 (DTG 171955Z8) 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W(ABEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:28:12 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01883; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:28:11 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA24199; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:28:05 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102498-418>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:26:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA17112; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:28:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:14:54 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3299697 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:51:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA145462 for ; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:49:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA39857 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:49:25 -0500 Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:49:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170349 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610170849.AA39857@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 68270 WTPN33 PGTW 170900 PZB WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// EIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// TTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT TTT NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:28:18 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01887; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:28:16 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA24201; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:28:11 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102500-417>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:27:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA17144; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:29:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:15:01 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3299727 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 04:02:32 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA278214 for ; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:55:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41227 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:55:21 -0500 Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:55:21 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170355 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610170855.AA41227@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 89352 WTPN31 PGTW 170900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 021 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 14.0N5 110.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 14.0N5 110.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 14.3N8 109.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 14.3N8 108.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 14.1N6 109.9E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS THE COAST OF VIETNAM. TD 30W IS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER. TD 30W IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER VIETNAM. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 1706000Z4 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:24:03 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01846; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:24:01 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA23784; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:23:55 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102480-417>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:22:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA15858; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:24:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:15:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3299858 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 04:32:57 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA207244 for ; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:57:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA89370 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:57:11 -0500 Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 03:57:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170357 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610170857.AA89370@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 97815 WTPN33 PGTW 170900 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 170600Z4 --- 17.6N4 123.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 123.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z7 --- 17.5N3 121.7E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.5N3 120.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.2N0 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 16.9N6 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 16.1N8 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 170900Z7 POSITION 17.6N4 122.9E4 TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA AT 7 KNOTS. TYPHOON BETH IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. TYPHOON BETH IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL OVER LUZON, LOSE SOME INTENSITY AS IT TRACKS OVER LUZON, THEN REINTENSIFY SLIGHTLY AS IT EMERGES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 171500Z4 (DTG 171355Z2), 172100Z1 (DTG 171955Z8), 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0) AND 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 170600Z4 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W(ABEL) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:29:24 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01895; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:29:20 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA24267; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:29:12 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102467-419>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:28:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA17559; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:30:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:18:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3301037 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 07:37:21 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA102188 for ; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 07:37:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA37295 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 17 Oct 1996 07:37:18 -0500 Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 07:37:18 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170737 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610171237.AA37295@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 64684 WTPN32 PGTW 171500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 013 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 24.4N0 140.2E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 140.2E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 25.6N3 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 27.0N9 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 24.7N3 140.2E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE LAST AVAILABLE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGE BEFORE SUNSET INDICATED THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS SEPARATED FROM THE MINIMAL CONVECTION PRESENT. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS NOT EVIDENT ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO TRACK DUE TO ITS WEAK NATURE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 11:25:10 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA01850; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:25:08 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA24059; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 11:25:02 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102467-414>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:23:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA16132; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:25:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:20:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3301772 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 08:55:56 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA66698 for ; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 08:55:56 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45000 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 17 Oct 1996 08:55:55 -0500 Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 08:55:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -170855 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610171355.AA45000@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 106181 WTPN33 PGTW 171500 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 017 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171200Z1 --- 17.6N4 122.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 122.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 17.6N4 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.6N4 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.4N2 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.1N9 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.6N3 114.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 171500Z4 POSITION 17.6N4 122.6E1 TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. IT IS APPROACHING LUZON AND MAY CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL. TY BETH IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN WHILE CROSSING THE ISLAND BUT IS EXPECTED TO REORGANIZE AFTER REACHING THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 172100Z1 (DTG 171955Z8), 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0), 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6) AND 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171200Z1 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 17 13:58:23 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id NAA02492; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 13:58:21 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA05232; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 13:58:09 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102461-419>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 03:56:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA02575; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 03:59:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 03:55:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3305401 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 14:57:10 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA303452 for ; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 14:36:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA87605 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 17 Oct 1996 14:36:11 -0500 Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 14:36:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -171436 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610171936.AA87605@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 42290 WTPN33 PGTW 172100 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 018 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 171800Z7 --- 17.6N4 122.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.6N4 122.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 17.5N3 120.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 17.2N0 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 17.0N8 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 16.9N6 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.0N8 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 172100Z1 POSITION 17.6N4 121.8E2 TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 07 KNOTS AND IS MAKING LANDFALL ON LUZON. IT IS EXPECTED TO SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS WHILE CROSSING THE NORTHERN END OF LUZON. TY BETH IS FORECAST TO REORGANIZE AND REINTENSIFY AFTER REACHING THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. STEERING FLOW AT THAT TIME IS EXPECTED TO BE WEAK. A FAIRLY STRONG EARLY SEASON NORTHEASTERLY LOW- LEVEL MONSOON FLOW COUPLED WITH WEAK FLOW AROUND THE MID- LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SHOULD ALLOW TY BETH TO LOSE LATITUDE AT FIRST IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, BUT BEGIN TO GAIN LATITUDE AS IT INTENSIFIES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180300Z2 (DTG 180155Z0), 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6), 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3) AND 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z7 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 18 10:45:45 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01901; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 10:45:43 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA22913; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 10:45:27 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102460-11523>; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:44:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA27459; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:46:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:38:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3310082 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 21:41:08 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA30166 for ; Thu, 17 Oct 1996 21:41:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA86522 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 17 Oct 1996 21:41:06 -0500 Date: Thu, 17 Oct 1996 21:41:06 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -172141 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610180241.AA86522@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 23543 WTPN33 PGTW 180300 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180000Z9 --- 17.8N6 121.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 17.8N6 121.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181200Z2 --- 17.9N7 120.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190000Z0 --- 17.9N7 119.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191200Z3 --- 17.8N6 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 17.7N5 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 17.7N5 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180300Z2 POSITION 17.8N6 121.1E5 TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER NORTHERN LUZON. BETH IS LOSING ITS INTENSITY DUE TO THE INTERACTION WITH LUZON. TYPHOON BETH IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT REEMERGES IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA AND IS FORECAST TO REMAIN BELOW THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 180900Z8 (DTG 180755Z6), 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3), 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9) AND 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180000Z9 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 18 10:50:51 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01931; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 10:50:48 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA23336; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 10:50:40 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102437-11519>; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:48:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA28601; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:50:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:42:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3312424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:16:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA168068 for ; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:16:31 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA99530 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:16:30 -0500 Date: Fri, 18 Oct 1996 01:16:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -180116 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610180616.AA99530@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 42183 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z /190600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170751Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171353Z OCT 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180600Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WAS LOCATED AT 14.3N8 108.3E2 MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 21 (WTPN31 PGTW 170900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 25.6N3 140.1E6, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 13 (WTPN32 PGTW 171500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AT 180000Z9 TYPHOON BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.8N6 121.4E8, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 19 (WTPN33 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 162E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) INDUCED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 18 10:50:56 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01937; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 10:50:54 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA23376; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 10:50:47 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102460-11523>; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:49:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA28858; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:51:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:42:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3312606 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 02:08:08 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA193590 for ; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 02:08:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA104090 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 18 Oct 1996 02:08:07 -0500 Date: Fri, 18 Oct 1996 02:08:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -180208 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610180708.AA104090@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 23447 ABPW10 PGTW 180600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/180600Z /190600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/170751Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/171353Z OCT 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/180153Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 180600Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WAS LOCATED AT 14.3N8 108.3E2 MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 21 (WTPN31 PGTW 170900)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 180000Z9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WAS LOCATED AT 25.6N3 140.1E6, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 13 (WTPN32 PGTW 171500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (3) AT 180000Z9 TYPHOON BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.8N6 121.4E8, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 85 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 105 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 19 (WTPN33 PGTW 180300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF PERSISTENT CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 17N8 168E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15N6 162E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) INDUCED LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 18 10:53:35 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01953; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 10:53:33 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA23502; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 10:53:26 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102437-11519>; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:52:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA29717; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:54:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 00:43:56 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3312940 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 03:38:55 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA26142 for ; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 03:38:54 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84832 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 18 Oct 1996 03:38:54 -0500 Date: Fri, 18 Oct 1996 03:38:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -180338 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610180838.AA84832@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 55133 WTPN33 PGTW 180900 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 020 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 180600Z5 --- 18.2N1 120.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 120.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 181800Z8 --- 18.5N4 119.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.3N2 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 17.7N5 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 17.0N8 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 15.6N2 113.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 180900Z8 POSITION 18.3N2 120.1E4 TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN LUZON. BETH IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ON THE WESTERN EDGE OF LUZON NEAR LAOAG INTERNATIONAL (WMO ID 98223). BETH IS EXPECTED TO COME UNDER INCREASED VERTICAL SHEAR AS IT ENTERS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. IN ADDITION, NORTHEAST MONSOONAL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO HELP THE SYSTEM TRACK WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 181500Z5 (DTG 181355Z3), 182100Z2 (DTG 181955Z9), 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1) AND 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 180600Z5 IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 19 10:57:50 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA06782; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 10:57:48 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA14678; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 10:57:42 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102484-262>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 00:56:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01920; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 00:58:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 00:51:20 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3318694 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 14:52:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA58402 for ; Fri, 18 Oct 1996 14:43:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62136 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 18 Oct 1996 14:43:55 -0500 Date: Fri, 18 Oct 1996 14:43:55 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -181443 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610181943.AA62136@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 92597 WTPN33 PGTW 182100 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 181800Z8 --- 18.6N5 119.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.6N5 119.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 190600Z6 --- 18.9N8 119.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.9N8 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.8N7 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.6N5 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 18.1N0 113.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 182100Z2 POSITION 18.7N6 119.6E7 TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS, AWAY FROM THE NORTHWESTERN TIP OF LUZON. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TY BETH HAS MAINTAINED ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE TERRAIN OF LUZON IS STILL INTERFERING WITH THE CYCLONIC FLOW TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER WHILE THE NORTHEASTERLY MONSOON IS ENHANCING FLOW NORTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. TY BETH IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE RAPIDLY ACROSS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA DUE TO THE ANTICYCLONE OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA. IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE INTERFERENCE FROM LUZON DECREASES. BEYOND 36 HOURS INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE TY BETH TO BEGIN WEAKENING. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190300Z3 (DTG 190155Z1), 190900Z9 (DTG 190755Z7), 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4) AND 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181800Z8 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 19 11:13:46 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA06816; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 11:13:44 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA15473; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 11:13:35 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102489-263>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:12:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA06622; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:14:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:06:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3324101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 01:13:06 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA57108 for ; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 01:12:28 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA35945 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 19 Oct 1996 01:12:28 -0500 Date: Sat, 19 Oct 1996 01:12:28 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -190112 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610190612.AA35945@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 91750 ABPW10 PGTW 190600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/190600Z/200600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/190155Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 190000Z0 TYPHOON BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.9N8 118.3E3, MOVING WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 80 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 100 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 23 (WTPN33 PGTW 190300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 162E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15E6 157E3. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER- LEVEL WESTERLY WIND FLOW, WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL. THIS TUTT CELL, LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT, BUT OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION REMAINS POOR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 5N5 141E6. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA, AND VISIBLE SATELLITE-DERIVED LOW-LEVEL WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THIS DISTURBANCE IS ALSO ASSOCIATED WITH A TUTT CELL LOCATED TO ITS NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/EBARLE/HONG// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 19 11:13:21 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA06812; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 11:13:17 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA15466; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 11:13:08 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102489-262>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:12:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA06513; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:14:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:06:51 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3324565 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 03:16:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA217902 for ; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 03:16:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73486 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 19 Oct 1996 03:16:25 -0500 Date: Sat, 19 Oct 1996 03:16:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190316 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610190816.AA73486@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 26635 WTPN33 PGTW 190900 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z6 --- 18.9N8 117.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 117.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z9 --- 18.9N8 115.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.5N4 114.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 17.9N7 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.0N8 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.7N3 106.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 190900Z9 POSITION 18.9N8 117.1E0 TYPHOON BETH (32W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD. AFTERWARDS, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AND MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191355Z4), 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0), 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3) AND 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 19 11:15:16 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA06820; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 11:15:14 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA15605; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 11:15:07 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102484-260>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:14:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA07069; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:16:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAOHOXUG5S0027XR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:08:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3326129 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 09:11:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA23604 for ; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 09:11:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA32478 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 19 Oct 1996 09:11:08 -0500 Date: Sat, 19 Oct 1996 09:11:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190911 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610191411.AA32478@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 60891 WTPN33 PGTW 191500 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z3 --- 18.9N8 116.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.9N8 116.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z2 --- 18.9N8 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 18.6N5 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 18.2N1 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 17.5N3 109.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.9N5 106.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z6 POSITION 18.9N8 116.3E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON BETH (32W) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AND WEAKENED SLIGHTLY. THIS SYSTEM IS UNDERGOING SHEAR AND OUTFLOW IS ALSO RESTRICTED IN ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT TO THE NORTHEAST. AN EYE IS NOT APPARENT IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, BUT NUMEROUS VERY COLD, OVERSHOOTING TOPS (-91 TO -94C) WERE NOTED NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER WHICH HAS KEPT US FROM TAKING BETH=S INTENSITY DOWN EVEN MORE. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON 19/1130Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T4.5 (75 TO 85 KNOTS) FROM JTWC AND KGWC, NO EYE FEATURE, AND A CENTRAL COLD COVER CLOUD PATTERN. MINIMUM SEA- LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 967 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z3 (DTG 191955Z0), 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9) AND 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 19 13:47:05 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id NAA06958; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 13:47:03 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA24033; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 13:46:57 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102489-263>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 03:45:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA21046; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 03:47:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAUKEV54WG0098ZY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 03:44:20 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3328787 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 14:46:09 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA60744 for ; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 14:32:03 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88674 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 19 Oct 1996 14:32:03 -0500 Date: Sat, 19 Oct 1996 14:32:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -191432 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610191932.AA88674@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 9567 WTPN33 PGTW 192100 1. TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNING NR 026 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 191800Z9 --- 18.8N7 115.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 115.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z8 --- 18.4N3 113.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 18.0N9 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 17.3N1 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 16.5N2 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.1N7 104.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 192100Z3 POSITION 18.7N6 115.0E7 TYPHOON BETH HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AND WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER HAS DECREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE AND VERTICAL EXTENT AS TY BETH (32W) HAS CONTINUED TO EXPERIENCE VERTICAL SHEAR AND POSSIBLY DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT. UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW REMAINS FAIR TO GOOD, ESPECIALLY TO THE NORTHEAST. A NEW CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS AND THIS IS THE REASON WE ARE RELUCTANT TO TAKE BETH DOWN BELOW TYPHOON INTENSITY AT THIS TIME. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST REASONING AS BETH REMAINS ON TRACK. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 19/1730Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ANALYSIS OF T4.0 (65 KNOTS). MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 976 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200155Z3), 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9), 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6) AND 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. // NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 19 20:09:48 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA07418; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 20:09:46 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA15886; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 20:09:39 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102174-9641>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 10:08:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA06786; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 10:10:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAUKEV54WG0098ZY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 10:07:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3331627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 21:09:05 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA37618 for ; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 21:09:05 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82353 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 19 Oct 1996 21:09:04 -0500 Date: Sat, 19 Oct 1996 21:09:04 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -192109 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610200209.AA82353@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 89262 WTPN33 PGTW 200300 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 027 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON BETH (32W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200000Z2 --- 17.4N2 115.0E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N2 115.0E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z5 --- 16.5N2 113.8E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 15.7N3 112.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.1N7 111.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 14.7N2 110.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 14.0N5 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200300Z5 POSITION 17.2N0 114.7E3 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W), DOWNGRADED FROM A TYPHOON, IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE SYSTEM=S ORGANIZATION HAS DETERIORATED OVER THE PAST SIX TO TWELVE HOURS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY, WHICH IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORT THE WARNING POSITION. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. WARNING WIND RADII ARE BASED ON SYNOPTIC SHIP REPORTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 (DTG 200755Z9), 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6), 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2) AND 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 2200000Z IS 22 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 19 22:24:27 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id WAA07557; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 22:24:25 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id WAA23538; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 22:24:10 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102174-9630>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 12:23:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA16112; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 12:25:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAV4XJRCI8008NJI@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 12:21:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3332799 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 23:23:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA30790 for ; Sat, 19 Oct 1996 23:23:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA77448 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 19 Oct 1996 23:23:25 -0500 Date: Sat, 19 Oct 1996 23:23:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -192323 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610200423.AA77448@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 40581 WTPN21 PGTW 200230 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 200229Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 100 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.8N4 154.2E2 TO 17.5N3 147.3E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 200130Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N7 153.8E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED 500 NM TO THE EAST OF THE MARINA ISLANDS. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSHPERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL, AND IS BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT SIX TO 12 HOURS, THEN INCREASE DURING THE CONVECTIVE DIURNAL MAX. LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THE SYSTEM IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 210230Z8.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 20 00:15:11 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AAA07654; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 00:15:09 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA29731; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 00:15:00 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102202-9642>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:13:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA25546; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:15:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVA34S6CG008904@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:12:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3333815 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:14:15 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA30116 for ; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:14:14 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA94147 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:14:14 -0500 Date: Sun, 20 Oct 1996 01:14:14 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -200114 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610200614.AA94147@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 87744 ABPW10 PGTW 200600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/200600Z/210600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200155Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/200229Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 200000Z2 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT 17.4N2 115.0E7, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 27 (WTPN33 PGTW 200300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 157E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 152.1E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 200230)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5N5 141E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 137E1. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THIS DISTURBANCE IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TUTT CELL LOCATED TO ITS NORTHWEST. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE IS MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 144E9. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EMBEDDED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES CONVERGING CROSS-EQUATORIAL FLOW INTO THE TROUGH. THIS DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT FLOW WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. WHILE THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE CONVECTION IS LARGE, CONVECTION REMAINS MOSTLY DISORGANIZED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/EBARLE/HONG// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 20 02:34:16 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id CAA10451; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 02:34:13 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA07603; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 02:34:06 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102213-9630>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 16:32:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA07459; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 16:35:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVEBW5ULC008IHY@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 16:31:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3334305 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 03:33:26 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA57134 for ; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 03:33:25 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69009 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 20 Oct 1996 03:33:25 -0500 Date: Sun, 20 Oct 1996 03:33:25 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200333 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610200833.AA69009@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77454 WTPN33 PGTW 200900 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 028 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 200600Z8 --- 17.1N9 113.8E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N9 113.8E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z1 --- 16.5N2 112.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.0N7 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.7N3 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.4N0 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 15.1N7 105.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 200900Z1 POSITION 16.9N6 113.4E9 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE DEEPEST CONVECTION IS LOCATED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. NEXT WARNINGS AT 201500Z8 (DTG 201355Z6), 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2), 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4) AND 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 20 07:26:18 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id HAA10686; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 07:26:16 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA19691; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 07:26:09 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102293-9630>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:25:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id VAA11534; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:27:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:23:55 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3335907 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 08:25:38 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA230532 for ; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 08:25:38 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84677 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 20 Oct 1996 08:25:37 -0500 Date: Sun, 20 Oct 1996 08:25:37 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -200825 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610201325.AA84677@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 33218 WTPN33 PGTW 201500 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 029 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201200Z5 --- 17.0N8 112.6E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 17.0N8 112.6E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z3 --- 16.8N5 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 16.3N0 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.9N5 107.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 15.5N1 106.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 15.1N7 104.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 201500Z8 POSITION 16.9N6 112.1E5 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND CONTINUED TO WEAKEN. MOST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION WEAKENED OR DISSIPATED NEAR THE SYSTEM CENTER ABOUT 06 TO 12 HOURS AGO, BUT NEW CONVECTION HAS RE-DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER DURING THE PAST THREE HOURS AND THIS IS THE REASON WHY WE HAVEN=T BROUGHT THE INTENSITY DOWN VERY MUCH. ALSO, 20/12Z SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A LONG FETCH OF 30 TO 40 KNOT GALES TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER WHICH COULD EVENTUALLY WORK INTO THE STORM CIRCULATION AND HELP GENERATE ONE LAST BRIEF SPIN-UP OF THE WIND FIELD. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 991 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 202100Z5 (DTG 201955Z2), 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4), 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0) AND 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 20 13:43:27 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id NAA11146; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 13:43:25 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA11151; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 13:43:17 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102365-9642>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:42:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA04412; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:44:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:40:56 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3338223 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:42:39 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA238234 for ; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:42:38 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA87923 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:42:38 -0500 Date: Sun, 20 Oct 1996 14:42:38 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -201442 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610201942.AA87923@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 50544 WTPN33 PGTW 202100 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 030 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z1 --- 16.7N4 111.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N4 111.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z9 --- 16.1N8 109.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.7N3 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.3N9 106.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.0N6 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 14.6N1 102.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 202100Z5 POSITION 16.5N2 111.1E4 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND REMAINED STEADY IN INTENSITY DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS. CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED AND THE OVERALL AMOUNT OF CONVECTION HAS INCREASED CONSIDERABLY, ESPECIALLY AROUND THE SYSTEM CENTER. HOWEVER, SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTION IS ELONGATED NORTHEAST- SOUTHWEST WHICH SUGGESTS THAT SIGNIFICANT SHEAR STILL REMAINS ON TS BETH. WE EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY AS BETH TRACKS TOWARD THE CENTRAL VIETNAM COAST, ALTHOUGH SOME SLIGHT FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO OUR TRACK FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 991 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210155Z4), 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0), 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7) AND 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 20 20:24:49 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA11620; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 20:24:47 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA03947; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 20:24:41 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102224-29833>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 10:23:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA27342; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 10:25:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 10:22:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3341124 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:24:14 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA17608 for ; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:16:35 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA33227 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:16:34 -0500 Date: Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:16:34 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -202116 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610210216.AA33227@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 77512 WTPN33 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 031 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 16.1N8 110.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 110.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 15.6N2 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 15.2N8 107.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 14.9N4 105.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 16.0N7 110.1E3 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, AS IT MOVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MAINTAINS A SLIGHTLY SLOWER WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210755Z0), 211500Z9 (DTG 211355Z7), 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220155Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// MV CAPE HENRY MV CAPE WASHINGTON CINCUSACOM NORFOLK VA//J3// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 20 21:22:14 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id VAA11714; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:22:13 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id VAA07209; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:22:07 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102271-29845>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 11:20:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA05806; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 11:22:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 11:19:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3341690 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 22:14:35 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA19204 for ; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:43:03 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA77356 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:43:02 -0500 Date: Sun, 20 Oct 1996 21:43:02 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -202143 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610210243.AA77356@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 33065 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 19.0N0 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.6N6 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.1N3 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.7N9 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.4N7 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.7N1 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 19.2N2 149.5E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W HAS DEVELOPED EAST OF THE MARINA ISLANDS AND IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD, EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210751Z6), 211500Z9 (DTG 211351Z3), 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200229Z OCT 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 200230) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 20 22:08:02 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id WAA11749; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 22:07:59 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id WAA10005; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 22:07:52 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102270-29845>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 12:06:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id MAA11857; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 12:08:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 12:05:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3341718 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 22:19:31 -0500 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id WAA14730 for ; Sun, 20 Oct 1996 22:16:39 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA09537 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 20 Oct 1996 22:16:39 -0500 Date: Sun, 20 Oct 1996 22:16:39 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -202216 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610210316.AA09537@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 29502 WTPN31 PGTW 210300 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210000Z3 --- 19.0N0 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.0N0 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z6 --- 19.6N6 148.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.1N3 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.7N9 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.4N7 144.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.7N1 142.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210300Z6 POSITION 19.2N2 149.5E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W HAS DEVELOPED EAST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS AND IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD, EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z2 (DTG 210753Z8), 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1) AND 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 200229Z OCT 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 200230) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: MESSAGE CORRECTED FOR AUTODIN DATE TIME GROUPS OF NEXT WARNINGS.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 21 00:59:24 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AAA11908; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 00:59:22 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA20067; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 00:59:13 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102210-29843>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 14:58:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA01155; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:00:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 14:56:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3343784 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 01:58:36 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA104842 for ; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 01:58:35 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75293 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 21 Oct 1996 01:58:35 -0500 Date: Mon, 21 Oct 1996 01:58:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -210158 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610210658.AA75293@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 48154 ABPW10 PGTW 210600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/210600Z/220600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210155Z OCT 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/210153Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 210000Z3 TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.1N8 110.5E7, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 31 (WTPN33 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 210000Z3 TYPHOON DEPRESSION 33W WAS LOCATED AT 19.0N0 149.8E2, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 210300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5N2 152.1E8 IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REFER TO 1. A. (2) ABOVE. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 137E1 IS NO LONGER DISCERNIBLE IN THE AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA AND IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND IS THEREFORE NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 142E. AVAILABLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORT THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. DIFFLUENT UPPER-LEVEL FLOW STILL EXISTS OVER THIS DISTURBANCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/EBARLE/HONG// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 21 03:24:14 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id DAA15457; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:24:12 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA26870; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:23:57 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102257-29842>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 17:22:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA18111; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 17:24:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 17:21:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3344303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:23:18 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA296848 for ; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:11:09 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA40542 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:11:09 -0500 Date: Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:11:09 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210411 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610210911.AA40542@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 75099 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 19.3N3 149.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 149.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.9N9 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.4N6 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.9N1 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.6N9 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.3N8 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 19.5N5 149.1E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT SIX KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 21 03:27:08 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id DAA15462; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:27:06 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA27043; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:27:00 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102251-29842>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 17:25:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA18586; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 17:28:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 17:24:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3344326 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:26:24 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA305338 for ; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:11:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75115 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:11:36 -0500 Date: Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:11:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210411 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610210911.AA75115@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 43112 WTPN33 PGTW 210900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (BETH) WARNING NR 032 DOWNGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 16.0N7 110.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N7 110.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 15.8N4 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.5N1 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 15.3N9 107.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 16.0N7 109.9E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (BETH), DOWNGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM, IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY AND WEAKEN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211955Z3) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220755Z1). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 21 03:52:45 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id DAA15471; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:52:43 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA27940; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 03:52:36 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102257-29845>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 17:51:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA22246; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 17:53:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 17:50:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3344538 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:49:51 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA29516 for ; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:49:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA101606 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:49:50 -0500 Date: Mon, 21 Oct 1996 04:49:50 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210449 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610210949.AA101606@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 40675 WTPN31 PGTW 210900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W WARNING NR 002A CORRECTED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 210600Z9 --- 19.3N3 149.4E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 149.4E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z2 --- 19.9N9 148.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.4N6 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.9N1 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.6N9 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.3N8 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 210900Z2 POSITION 19.5N5 149.1E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT SIX KNOTS. SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 211500Z9 (DTG 211353Z5), 212100Z6 (DTG 211953Z1), 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3) AND 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 210600Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (BETH) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: MESSAGE CORRECTED WITH REFERENCE TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (BETH).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 21 08:50:48 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA15991; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 08:50:46 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id IAA14669; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 08:50:38 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102350-29843>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 22:49:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA26015; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 22:49:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 22:45:54 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3347895 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 09:47:28 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA10396 for ; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 09:47:07 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48891 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 21 Oct 1996 09:47:07 -0500 Date: Mon, 21 Oct 1996 09:47:07 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -210947 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610211447.AA48891@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 68599 WTPN31 PGTW 211500 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 003 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLO (33W) 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211200Z6 --- 19.3N3 148.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 148.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220000Z4 --- 20.0N2 147.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 20.7N9 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 21.5N8 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 22.1N5 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.0N5 139.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 211500Z9 POSITION 19.5N5 148.3E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 33W HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND HAS INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL STORM CARLO. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS INCREASED AND A CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE IS DEVELOPING. UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD IN ALL QUADRANTS AND IMPROVING. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 21/1130Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 TO 40 KNOTS). MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 997 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 212100Z6 (DTG 211951Z9), 220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1), 220900Z3 (DTG 220751Z7) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (BETH) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 21 13:06:20 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id NAA17768; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 13:06:17 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA07492; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 13:06:10 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102298-29842>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 03:04:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA28301; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 03:06:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 03:03:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3350679 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 14:05:05 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA176466 for ; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 14:05:02 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84815 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 21 Oct 1996 14:05:02 -0500 Date: Mon, 21 Oct 1996 14:05:02 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -211405 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610211905.AA84815@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 89164 WTPN33 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (BETH) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 15.5N1 108.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 108.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.1N7 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 15.4N0 108.5E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (BETH) HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 TO 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. THERE IS NO ORGANIZED CONVECTION NEAR THE POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ALL OF THE STRONGER DEEP CONVECTION SCATTERED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA IS NOT DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH TD 32W=S DECAYING CIRCULATION, ESPECIALLY SINCE THE CENTER IS ALMOST ONSHORE THE CENTRAL VIETNAM COAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 21 14:56:47 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA18219; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 14:56:43 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA16162; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 14:56:35 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102409-29843>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 04:55:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA06939; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 04:57:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 04:54:05 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3352290 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:55:45 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA06758 for ; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:37:00 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41204 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:36:59 -0500 Date: Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:36:59 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -211536 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610212036.AA41204@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 42993 WTPN33 PGTW 212100 PAA 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (BETH) WARNING NR 033 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 15.5N1 108.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N1 108.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 15.1N7 107.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 15.4N0 108.5E4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W (BETH) HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 TO 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. THERE IS NO ORGANIZED CONVECTION NEAR THE POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ALL OF THE STRONGER DEEP CONVECTION SCATTERED ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA IS NOT DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH TD 32W=S DECAYING CIRCULATION ESPECIALLY SINCE THE CENTER IS ALMOST ONSHORE THE CENTRAL VIETNAM COAST. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// RCULATION BENEATH UPPER- LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 211200Z6 TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ANTOINETTE) WAS LOCATED AT 13.4S8 58.7E0 MOVING WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S WARNING NR 10 (WTXS31 PGTW 211500)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/MCELROY/MEST/PUGH// KS. C. WE ARE FORECASTING GRADUAL STRENGTHENING THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THEN A NORMAL RATE OF 20 KNOTS PER DAY THROUGH 72 HOURS WHEN CARLO IS EXPECTED TO REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY. HOWEVER DURING THE PAST 04 TO 06 HOURS TROPICAL STORM CARLO HAS BEEN SHOWING SIGNS OF UNDERGOING POSSIBLE RAPID INTENSIFICATION. THE CDO FEATURE HAS EXPANDED AND TOPS HAVE COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY DURING THE PAST 03 HOURS BUT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION STILL REMAINS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO SOME WEAK WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. IF CARLO CAN OVERCOME THIS SHEAR DURING THE NEXT 06 TO 18 HOURS THEN RAPID INTENSIFICATION WILL LIKELY BEGIN ONCE AN INTENSITY OF 50 TO 55 KNOTS IS REACHED WHICH WILL MAKE OUR INTENSITY FORECASTS TOO LOW. CLIMATOLOGY FOR THIS REGION INDICATES THAT CARLO COULD REACH A PEAK INTENSITY OF 80 TO 100 KNOTS IN 72 TO 96 HOURS. D. FORECAST WIND RADII IS BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR AN AVERAGE SIZE TROPICAL CYCLONE. ASYMMETRIES ARE BASED ON THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION. FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/MCELROY/MEST/PUGH// INTENSITY IS POSSIBLE AS THE SYSTEM MOVES FURTHER SOUTH AND THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR RELAXES SLIGHTLY. BY THE 72-HR POSITION NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 21 15:15:41 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id PAA18312; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:15:39 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA17403; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:15:33 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102436-29842>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 05:14:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA08645; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 05:16:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 05:13:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3352432 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 16:15:04 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA227706 for ; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:37:02 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA41213 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:37:01 -0500 Date: Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:37:01 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -211537 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610212037.AA41213@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 43002 WTPN33 PGTW 212100 PZB THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN OVER LAND. D. FORECAST WIND RADII ARE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF CURRENT WIND RADII. ASYMMETRIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL CYCLONE INTERACTING WITH THE NORTHEASTERN MONSOON AND THE SYSTEM=S FORWARD MOTION. FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/EBARLE/HONG// E7. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS.2. REMARKS:A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED 500 NM TO THE EAST OF THE MARINA ISLANDS. TH E DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSHP ERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL. THEREFORE SYSTEM IS BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER- LEVEL FLOW WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. CONVECTION IS EX PECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT SIX TO 12 HOURS THEN INCREASE DURING THE CONVECTIVE DIURNAL MAX. LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THE SYSTEM I S GOOD.3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 210230Z8.//? OH+=0?D}}}}} < Y: MSOFFICE TEMPLATE NORMAL.DOTVOTTUZYUW RUHGNHN7759 2040221-UUUU C>??? LDDUTOPPPPP>PPPP>OTTUZYUW RUHGNHN7759 2040221-UUUU--RHMCSUU. ZNR UUUUU O 200221Z OCT 96 FM NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//JTWC// TO TYPHOON WARNING WESTPAC U SS FRANK CABLE USNS SAN JOSE ROKS CHOI MOOSUNUSNS YUKON MV STRONG VIRGINIAN CTU SEVEN ONE PT ELEVEN USS CAMDENMV 1ST LT JACK LUMMUSMV 1ST LT BALDOMERO LOPEZXMT USNS FLINT AMCROSS GU//JJJ//MV NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 21 16:11:44 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA18822; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 16:11:39 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id QAA22892; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 16:11:24 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102455-29842>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 06:10:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA12508; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 06:12:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 06:08:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3353319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 17:10:43 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA277234 for ; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:47:55 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46606 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:47:54 -0500 Date: Mon, 21 Oct 1996 15:47:54 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -211547 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610212047.AA46606@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 64523 WTPN31 PGTW 212100 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 211800Z2 --- 19.5N5 148.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 148.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z0 --- 20.1N3 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 20.8N0 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 21.5N8 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 22.1N5 142.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.0N5 139.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 212100Z6 POSITION 19.7N7 147.9E1 DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED. A WELL- DEFINED CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST FEATURE HAS BECOME APPARENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY AND CLOUD TOPS CONTINUE TO COOL (DOWN TO - 88C) EAST OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. DUE TO ONLY INFRARED IMAGERY BEING AVAILABLE AT NIGHT, THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE SYSTEM CENTER IS STILL UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. IF THE SYSTEM CENTER IS MOVING UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION, THEN CARLO WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AND PEAK AT AROUND 90 TO 100 KNOTS IN 72 HOURS. IF, HOWEVER, THE WESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR CONTINUES, THEN CARLO WILL ONLY SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS WE HAVE INDICATED IN OUR FORECAST. THERE IS NO CHANGE TO OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK OR FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 21/1730Z DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T3.0 (45 TO 50 KNOTS). MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 991 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220300Z7 (DTG 220153Z3), 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6) AND 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211800Z IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 32W WARNING (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THAT SYSTEM.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 21 20:29:09 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA19716; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 20:29:06 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA12201; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 20:28:59 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102376-25774>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 10:27:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA10958; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 10:30:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 10:26:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3358276 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 21:28:21 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA277040 for ; Mon, 21 Oct 1996 21:28:11 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA82314 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 21 Oct 1996 21:28:11 -0500 Date: Mon, 21 Oct 1996 21:28:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -212128 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610220228.AA82314@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 44935 WTPN31 PGTW 220300 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 005 RELOCATED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z4 --- 18.8N7 148.3E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.8N7 148.3E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z7 --- 19.1N1 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.4N4 146.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 19.8N8 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.2N4 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 21.2N5 139.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 220300Z7 POSITION 18.9N8 148.1E4 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. TROPICAL STORM CARLO IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. THE WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED DUE TO THE LOCATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z3 (DTG 220753Z9), 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2) AND 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 22 01:37:18 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id BAA21654; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 01:37:17 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA29916; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 01:37:10 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102263-25774>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 15:36:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA19625; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 15:38:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 15:34:42 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3362216 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 02:36:25 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA74634 for ; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 02:36:24 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA100617 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 22 Oct 1996 02:36:24 -0500 Date: Tue, 22 Oct 1996 02:36:24 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -220236 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610220736.AA100617@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 36870 ABPW10 PGTW 220600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220153Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WAS LOCATED AT 18.8N7 148.3E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 05 RELOCATED (WTPN31 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 142E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 4N4 160E7. THE CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION SUPPORTED BY SYNOPTIC DATA WITH DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 22 03:43:01 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id DAA00767; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 03:43:00 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA02524; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 02:25:56 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102496-25775>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 16:24:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA03749; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 16:26:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 16:23:24 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3362635 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 03:24:32 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA169600 for ; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 03:24:30 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA80560 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 22 Oct 1996 03:24:30 -0500 Date: Tue, 22 Oct 1996 03:24:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -220324 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610220824.AA80560@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 72621 WTPN31 PGTW 220900 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 220600Z0 --- 19.3N3 147.6E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.3N3 147.6E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z3 --- 19.9N9 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.5N7 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.0N3 144.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 21.3N6 142.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 21.8N1 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 220900Z3 POSITION 19.5N5 147.4E6 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN MARIANAS. CARLO IS EXPECTED TO COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WHICH WILL HINDER THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM. THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6), 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4) AND 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220600Z0 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 22 08:13:36 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA01318; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 08:13:34 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id IAA17516; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 08:13:26 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102537-25774>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 22:12:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA19945; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 22:14:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 22:10:54 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3365245 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 09:12:37 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA70668 for ; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 09:12:36 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA33105 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 22 Oct 1996 09:12:36 -0500 Date: Tue, 22 Oct 1996 09:12:36 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -220912 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610221412.AA33105@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71246 WTPN31 PGTW 221500 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221200Z7 --- 19.4N4 147.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.4N4 147.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z5 --- 19.9N9 146.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 20.2N4 144.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 20.4N6 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 20.8N0 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 22.9N3 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 221500Z0 POSITION 19.5N5 146.8E9 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. IT IS FORECAST TO TURN WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS DUE TO INCREASED EASTERLY STEERING FLOW INDUCED BY THE STRONG SURFACE HIGH TO ITS NORTH. BEYOND 36 HOURS TS CARLO IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. IT SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN BY 72 HOURS DUE TO INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. NEXT WARNINGS AT 222100Z7 (DTG 221953Z2), 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0) AND 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 23 10:43:58 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA06021; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 10:43:56 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA27647; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 10:43:50 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102547-22087>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 00:42:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA05308; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 00:44:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 00:39:46 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3367943 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 14:24:49 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA106730 for ; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 14:24:31 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69942 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 22 Oct 1996 14:24:30 -0500 Date: Tue, 22 Oct 1996 14:24:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -221424 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610221924.AA69942@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71219 WTPN31 PGTW 222100 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z3 --- 19.7N7 146.3E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 19.7N7 146.3E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z1 --- 20.3N5 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 21.0N3 143.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 22.0N4 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.3N8 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 25.8N5 140.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 222100Z7 POSITION 19.8N8 145.9E9 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. WE ANTICIPATE TS CARLO TO CONTINUE MOVING IN THIS GENERAL DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AND THEN TURN NORTHWARD TOWARDS A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY OF 60 KNOTS IS BASED ON A 22/1730Z SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 55 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK T3.5), INCREASED BASED ON SUBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. IT APPEARS THAT WHILE THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED SLIGHTLY ON INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY, THE PATTERN IS IMPROVING, WHICH INDICATES THE SYSTEM MAY BE SLOWLY INTENSIFYING. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230153Z4), 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7) AND 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z3 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 23 11:14:51 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA06168; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 11:14:49 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA00136; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 11:14:40 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102547-22084>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:13:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA12633; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:15:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:12:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3374423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 21:51:16 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA107884 for ; Tue, 22 Oct 1996 21:34:22 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA92507 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 22 Oct 1996 21:34:22 -0500 Date: Tue, 22 Oct 1996 21:34:22 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -222134 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610230234.AA92507@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 77912 WTPN31 PGTW 230300 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 009 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230000Z5 --- 20.1N3 145.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 145.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z8 --- 21.3N6 143.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.2N6 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 23.5N0 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 25.4N1 141.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 30.4N7 144.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230300Z8 POSITION 20.4N6 144.8E7 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE NORTHERN MARIANAS. CARLO IS FORECAST TO COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BETWEEN THE 24- AND THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG 230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 23 11:22:50 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA06219; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 11:22:37 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA00972; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 11:22:30 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102556-22082>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:21:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA14324; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:23:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:19:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3376737 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 01:10:51 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA88476 for ; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 01:10:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66109 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 23 Oct 1996 01:10:49 -0500 Date: Wed, 23 Oct 1996 01:10:49 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -230110 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610230610.AA66109@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 50490 ABPW10 PGTW 230600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230153Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 230000Z5 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WAS LOCATED AT 20.1N3 145.3E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 09 (WTPN31 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4N4 160E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/ANSTETT/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 23 11:25:33 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA06233; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 11:25:29 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA01209; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 11:25:20 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102555-22084>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:24:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA15077; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:26:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:22:30 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3377130 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 03:16:49 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA63888 for ; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 03:16:48 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73486 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 23 Oct 1996 03:16:48 -0500 Date: Wed, 23 Oct 1996 03:16:48 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230316 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610230816.AA73486@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 34315 WTPN31 PGTW 230900 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 010 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 20.4N6 144.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.4N6 144.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 20.9N1 143.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 21.7N0 142.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 23.2N7 141.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 25.3N0 141.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 31.5N9 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 20.5N7 144.6E5 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE NORTHERN MARIANA ISLANDS. CARLO IS FORECAST TO TURN NORTHWARD BETWEEN THE 24-AND 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY BETWEEN THE 24- AND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3), 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 23 13:27:42 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id NAA06474; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 13:27:40 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA09507; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 13:27:33 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102554-22084>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 03:26:25 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA00137; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 03:28:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 03:25:16 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3383256 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 14:26:54 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA307384 for ; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 09:39:57 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA87479 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 23 Oct 1996 09:39:57 -0500 Date: Wed, 23 Oct 1996 09:39:57 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230939 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610231439.AA87479@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 72116 WTPN31 PGTW 231500 PAA 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z8 --- 20.5N7 145.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 20.5N7 145.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS VALID AT: 240000Z6 --- 22.1N5 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 230 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 24.7N3 143.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 27.6N5 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 30.5N8 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 150 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 72 HRS VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 36.2N1 152.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 231500Z1 POSITION 20.9N1 144.8E7 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TY CARLO HAS AN EYE APPROXIMATELY 12 NM IN DIAMETER THAT IS SLOWLY CONTRACTING. THIS SYSTEM HAS INTENSIFIED QUICKLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTENSIFYING WHILE IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON 23/1130Z SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 90 KNOT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T5.0). WIND RADII ON THIS WARNING HAVE BEEN ENLARGED SIGNIFICANTLY ON THE NORTHERN SIDE AS SUPPORTED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. GALE FORCE WINDS NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER ARE BEING ENHANCED BY STRONG NORTHEASTERLY MONSOON WIND FLOW. THIS LARGE WIND RADII ASYMMETRY IS FORECAST TO DIMINISH AND BECOME MORE SYMMETRICAL WITH TIME DUE TO AN INCREASE IN THE FORWARD MOTION OF TY CARLO AS IT MOVES NORTH OF THE RIDGE AND ACCELERATES IN THE MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5) 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1) AND NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 23 11:36:51 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA06273; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 11:36:49 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA01983; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 11:36:41 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102549-22082>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:35:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA18335; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:37:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 01:34:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3380319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 09:40:36 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA124364 for ; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 09:40:27 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA72145 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 23 Oct 1996 09:40:27 -0500 Date: Wed, 23 Oct 1996 09:40:27 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -230940 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610231440.AA72145@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 56782 WTPN31 PGTW 231500 PZB 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z8 IS 23 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 23 13:49:30 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id NAA06616; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 13:49:28 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA11020; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 13:49:21 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102556-22087>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 03:48:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id DAA01321; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 03:50:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 03:47:00 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3383556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 14:48:43 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA267712 for ; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 14:48:39 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA90439 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 23 Oct 1996 14:48:39 -0500 Date: Wed, 23 Oct 1996 14:48:39 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -231448 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610231948.AA90439@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 75076 WTPN31 PGTW 232100 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 21.5N8 145.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 145.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 23.8N3 145.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 27.0N9 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 30.8N1 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 34.2N9 150.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 39.5N7 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 22.1N5 145.0E0 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TY CARLO HAS A 15 NM CLOUD FILLED EYE. THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. IT IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY MORE WHILE IT MOVES INTO THE WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BEYOND 24 HOURS IT SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN DUE TO MOVING INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN WITHIN 48 HOURS AND BE COMPLETE BY 72 HOURS (26/1800Z). NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5), 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1), 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 24 10:53:50 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA13042; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 10:53:48 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA27433; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 10:53:32 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102560-19735>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 00:52:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA13514; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 00:54:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 00:47:16 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3389951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 23:54:52 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA132690 for ; Wed, 23 Oct 1996 23:54:15 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA33060 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 23 Oct 1996 23:54:15 -0500 Date: Wed, 23 Oct 1996 23:54:15 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -232354 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610240454.AA33060@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 28705 WTPN31 PGTW 240300 COR 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 013A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 22.6N0 144.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 22.6N0 144.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 24.9N5 144.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 28.0N0 145.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 130 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.5N9 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 35.3N1 149.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 41.6N1 159.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 23.2N7 144.8E7 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 11 KNOTS. CARLO IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS NORTHWARD TRACK THROUGH THE 12-HOUR POSITION AND THEN BEGIN TO TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST. TYPHOON CARLO IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240753Z1), 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8), 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z6 IS 25 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). NEXT WARNING WILL BE ISSUED BY NAVPACMETOCCEN, PEARL HARBOR HI UNDER THE SAME MANOP HEADER (WTPN31 PGTW 240900). WARNING CORRECTED FOR TRANSFER OF WARNING RESONSIBILITY TO NAVPACMETOCCEN, PEARL HARBOR HI.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 24 10:58:17 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA13050; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 10:58:14 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA27911; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 10:57:53 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102560-19735>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 00:56:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA14873; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 00:58:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 00:53:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3391166 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 04:10:47 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA135332 for ; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 04:10:47 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88078 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 24 Oct 1996 04:10:46 -0500 Date: Thu, 24 Oct 1996 04:10:46 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -240410 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610240910.AA88078@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 9483 ABPW10 PGTW 240600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACPKCAN WEST GU/230153 OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 24 11:15:32 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id LAA13209; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 11:15:30 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA29353; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 11:15:23 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102499-19735>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 01:14:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA20601; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 01:16:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 01:11:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3394539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 11:45:18 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id LAA153274 for ; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 11:45:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83678 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 24 Oct 1996 11:45:17 -0500 Date: Thu, 24 Oct 1996 11:45:17 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -241145 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610241645.AA83678@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 94939 WTPN31 PGTW 241500 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 015 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 25.2N9 145.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 005 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 25.2N9 145.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 28.1N1 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.9N3 147.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 36.1N0 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 40.1N5 153.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 46.5N5 163.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 25.9N6 145.2E2. NEXT WARNINGS AT 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4), 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6), 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9). HICKAM HI METSAT FIXES INDICATE TYPHOON CARLO (33W) CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH. MAX SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. PLEASE CALL DSN 474-4835 IF YOU DESIRE TO DISCUSS THIS FORECAST WITH AJTWC. AJTWC NAVPACMETOCCEN SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG87382981353 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 24 15:37:26 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id PAA14416; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 15:37:22 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA18112; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 15:37:15 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102544-19735>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:36:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id FAA21438; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:38:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IAVNEDQOLS008QB0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:34:56 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3396742 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 16:36:43 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA97370 for ; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 15:36:18 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA94980 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 24 Oct 1996 15:36:16 -0500 Date: Thu, 24 Oct 1996 15:36:16 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -241536 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610242036.AA94980@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 90625 WTPN32 PGTW 242100 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 016 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 26.6N4 145.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 010 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 26.6N4 145.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 30.4N7 146.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 34.6N3 149.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 38.8N9 153.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 26 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 42.5N1 157.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 48.3N5 170.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 27.5N4 145.7E7 NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250153Z6), 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). POSITION AND INTENSITY BASED ON LATEST METSAT IMAGERY (241730Z). TYPHOON CARLO IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE NORTHERLY MOVEMENT AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 24 FT. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. AJTWC PEARL HARBOR SENDS.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG93662982028 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 24 19:58:29 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id TAA15072; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 19:58:27 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA04012; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 19:58:19 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102167-16411>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 09:57:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA20593; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 09:59:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB1XRNUBTS009LEC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 09:55:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3399778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 20:57:11 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA43490 for ; Thu, 24 Oct 1996 20:57:11 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA102190 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 24 Oct 1996 20:57:10 -0500 Date: Thu, 24 Oct 1996 20:57:10 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -242057 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610250157.AA102190@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 87595 WTPN31 PGTW 250300 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250000Z7 --- 28.2N2 145.9E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 28.2N2 145.9E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 31.3N7 146.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 34.5N2 148.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 38.9N0 151.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 43.5N2 155.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 48.1N3 173.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250300Z0 POSITION 29.0N1 146.2E3 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. TYPHOON CARLO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST AS IT CONTINUES TO MAKE ITS TURN TO THE NORTHEAST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2), 251500Z3 (DTG 251353Z9), 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5) AND 260300Z1 (DTG 260153Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 25 03:43:48 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id DAA00701; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 03:43:44 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA26958; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 03:18:06 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102276-16409>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 17:16:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA13656; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 17:19:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 17:15:37 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3402709 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 04:17:04 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id EAA274582 for ; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 04:13:08 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66663 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 25 Oct 1996 04:13:08 -0500 Date: Fri, 25 Oct 1996 04:13:08 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -250413 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610250913.AA66663@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48740 ABPW10 PGTW 250600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/250600Z/260600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/250153Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 250000Z7 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WAS LOCATED AT 28.2N2 145.9E8, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 90 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 17 (WTPN31 PGTW 250300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 7N7 167E HAS PERSISTED FOR 12 HOURS. THIS CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER AS INDICATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA. THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF AN UPPER-LEVEL TUTT CELL IN A REGION OF GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N8 155E1 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/EBARLE/HONG/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 25 04:36:38 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id EAA00823; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 04:36:37 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id EAA29583; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 04:36:29 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102360-16411>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 18:35:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id SAA27423; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 18:37:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 18:33:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3403648 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:35:36 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id FAA08260 for ; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:35:35 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA37783 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:35:35 -0500 Date: Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:35:35 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250535 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610251035.AA37783@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 21140 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 30.1N4 146.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 146.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.8N4 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 37.5N5 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 40.9N3 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 43.9N6 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 47.4N5 178.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 31.0N4 147.6E8 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS AND WILL SOON BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU) DOES NOT FORECAST WIND RADII FOR EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEMS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 25 04:52:42 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id EAA00831; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 04:52:40 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id EAA00325; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 04:52:26 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102259-16411>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 18:51:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id SAA29871; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 18:53:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 18:50:04 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3403707 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:51:45 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id FAA79498 for ; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:51:44 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA21019 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:51:44 -0500 Date: Fri, 25 Oct 1996 05:51:44 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -250551 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610251051.AA21019@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 106008 WTPN31 PGTW 250900 COR 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 018A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 30.1N4 146.9E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 30.1N4 146.9E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 33.8N4 149.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 200 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 37.5N5 153.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 40.9N3 158.5E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 43.9N6 165.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 47.4N5 178.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 31.0N4 147.6E8 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS AND WILL SOON BECOME EXTRATROPICAL. THE SYSTEM IS UNDER SIGNIFICANT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND EXPECTED TO WEAKEN RAPIDLY. THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU) DOES NOT FORECAST WIND RADII FOR EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEMS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 251500Z3 (DTG 251351Z7), 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. CORRECTED FOR WARNING NUMBER.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 25 09:50:06 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id JAA01515; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 09:50:01 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA18999; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 09:49:51 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102570-16406>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 23:48:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id XAA07838; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 23:50:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 23:47:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3405422 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 10:48:58 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id KAA60242 for ; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 10:48:50 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88404 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 25 Oct 1996 10:48:49 -0500 Date: Fri, 25 Oct 1996 10:48:49 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -251048 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610251548.AA88404@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 36177 WTPN31 PGTW 251500 1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 019 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 31.8N2 148.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.8N2 148.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 35.1N9 152.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 38.3N4 157.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 41.3N8 163.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 43.6N3 171.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 46.5N5 172.6W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 32.6N1 149.6E0 TYPHOON CARLO IS EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT SHEAR AS INFRA RED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION IS SEPERATED FROM THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. CARLO=S LOW-LEVEL WINDFIELD IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT NEARS A FRONT AND MERGES BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3), 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z0 IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Oct 25 14:44:25 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA03186; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 14:44:22 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA09938; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 14:44:12 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102434-16409>; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 04:43:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA03995; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 04:45:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 04:41:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3408687 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 15:43:42 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA321460 for ; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 15:24:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA101382 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 25 Oct 1996 15:24:37 -0500 Date: Fri, 25 Oct 1996 15:24:37 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -251524 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610252024.AA101382@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 46083 WTPN31 PGTW 252100 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 020 DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON CARLO (33W) 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 33.7N3 150.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 040 DEGREES AT 25 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 33.7N3 150.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 37.4N4 154.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 200 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 40.5N9 160.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 29 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 43.0N7 167.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 29 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 44.8N6 174.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 66 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 66 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 47.3N4 171.8W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 34.6N3 151.6E3 TYPHOON CARLO (33W) HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM. CARLO=S POSITION IS BASED ON ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. CARLO=S DEEP CONVECTION IS SHEARED AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER, WHICH WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY. EXTRATROPICAL TRNSITION SHOULD BE COMPLETE BY 36 HOURS, AND FRONTAL MERGER WILL OCCURE AFTER 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260151Z5), 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1), 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 26 10:35:13 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA06863; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 10:35:11 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA14836; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 10:35:02 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102428-12138>; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:33:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA29182; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:36:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:32:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3411701 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 20:49:21 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA205412 for ; Fri, 25 Oct 1996 20:49:20 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA60270 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 25 Oct 1996 20:49:20 -0500 Date: Fri, 25 Oct 1996 20:49:20 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -252049 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610260149.AA60270@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 32363 WTPN31 PGTW 260300 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 021 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 35.1N9 152.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 200 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 35.1N9 152.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 38.3N4 156.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 41.1N6 160.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 43.5N2 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 45.5N4 172.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 48.4N6 179.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 35.9N7 153.1E0 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS. IT HAS BEGUN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION AND IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 270000Z9. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3), 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0), AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z8 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 26 10:41:02 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA06867; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 10:41:01 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA15135; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 10:40:55 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102428-12137>; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:39:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA00725; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:42:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:38:34 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3413583 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 00:36:40 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA30348 for ; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 00:36:39 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA101944 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 26 Oct 1996 00:36:38 -0500 Date: Sat, 26 Oct 1996 00:36:38 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -260036 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610260536.AA101944@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 58165 ABPW10 PGTW 260600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/260600Z/270600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/260153Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WAS LOCATED AT 35.1N9 152.1E9, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 21 (WTPN31 PGTW 260300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 7N7 167E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N9 151E7. ANIMATED SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THIS IS A NEW AND DISTINCT REGION OF CONVECTION INITIATED BY THE TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL THAT FORMED THE FORMER SUSPECT AREA LISTED DIRECTLY ABOVE. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE WEAK LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW WAS INITIATED BY THE PRIOR CONVECTIVE BURST, AND ALSO INDICATES THIS MAY BE OCCURRING UNDER THE NEW REGION OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 05 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 26 10:42:59 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA06871; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 10:42:58 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA15175; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 10:42:51 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102428-12138>; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:41:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01086; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:43:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:40:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3414101 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 02:45:31 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA39036 for ; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 02:45:31 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA45823 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 26 Oct 1996 02:45:30 -0500 Date: Sat, 26 Oct 1996 02:45:30 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260245 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610260745.AA45823@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 99580 WTPN31 PGTW 260900 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 36.6N5 154.3E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 22 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.6N5 154.3E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 39.7N9 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 23 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 42.3N9 163.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 24 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 44.4N2 169.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 25 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 46.8N8 175.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 27 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 48.7N9 178.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 37.4N4 155.3E4 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 22 KNOTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM IS BEST CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE AT THIS POINT IN TIME. UTILIZING MODIFIED DVORAK ANALYSIS METHODS FOR SUCH A SYSTEM WE HAVE DETERMINED THAT OUR PREVIOUS WARNING INTENSITY WAS SLIGHTLY TOO LOW, AND HAVE BROUGHT OUR INTENSITY BACK UP TO 55 KNOTS. TS CARLO IS ON A WEAKENING TREND AND THIS INCREASE IN WARNING INTENSITY DOES NOT REPRESENT A REINTENSIFICATION TREND. THE LATEST AVAILABLE SCATTEROMETRY FROM A 260025Z5 DESCENDING PASS OF THE ERS-2 POLAR ORBITING SATELLITE SUPPORT THIS HIGHER WARNING INTENSITY AS WELL. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SCATTEROMETRY DATA AS WELL. TS CARLO IS FORECAST TO BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM WITHIN THE NEXT 18 HOURS, WITH TRANSITION COMPLETE BY 270000Z9. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0), 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6), AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 26 10:47:38 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA06878; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 10:47:36 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA15483; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 10:47:31 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102428-12137>; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:46:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA02221; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:48:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 00:45:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3416524 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 09:13:13 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA66424 for ; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 09:13:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA90592 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 26 Oct 1996 09:13:11 -0500 Date: Sat, 26 Oct 1996 09:13:11 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260913 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610261413.AA90592@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 71389 WTPN31 PGTW 261500 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 023 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 38.1N2 157.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 055 DEGREES AT 26 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 38.1N2 157.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 41.0N5 162.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 43.7N4 168.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 25 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 46.3N3 174.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 48.6N8 178.1W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 38.8N9 158.4E8 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS. CARLO IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL BY 270000Z9. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6), 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8), 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271353Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Oct 26 14:07:50 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA07022; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 14:07:49 -0600 Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA26428; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 14:07:43 -0600 (MDT) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102525-12138>; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 04:06:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA16970; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 04:08:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 04:05:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3418513 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 15:07:04 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA236272 for ; Sat, 26 Oct 1996 15:07:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA92548 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 26 Oct 1996 15:07:03 -0500 Date: Sat, 26 Oct 1996 15:07:03 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -261507 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610262007.AA92548@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 99457 WTPN31 PGTW 262100 1. TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 024 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 39.6N8 160.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 31 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 190 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 39.6N8 160.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 42.0N6 167.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 34 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 45.1N0 175.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 28 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 47.9N0 177.2W7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 30 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 49.5N8 173.4W5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 40.2N6 162.5E4 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) IS TRACKING NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. CARLO IS FORECAST TO BE EXTRATROPICAL AT 270000Z9. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 15 FEET. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR FUTURE GALE WARNINGS AND FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 27 16:43:08 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA09316; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 16:43:06 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA27729; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 09:43:00 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102354-444>; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 00:41:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA19587; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 00:44:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 00:40:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3422710 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 01:17:39 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA126260 for ; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 01:17:38 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA73494 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 27 Oct 1996 01:17:38 -0500 Date: Sun, 27 Oct 1996 01:17:38 -0500 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -270117 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610270617.AA73494@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 78099 ABPW10 PGTW 270600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261953Z OCT 96 RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 261800Z7 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WAS LOCATED AT 39.6N8 160.9E6, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 31 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 262100)) FOR FINAL WARNING DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 9N9 151E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 05N5 110E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF POORLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION ON EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING AND THAT THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF CONVERGENCE INTO THIS REGION OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. UPPER LEVEL WATER VAPOR WINDS INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 27 16:47:38 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA09323; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 16:47:36 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA27984; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 09:47:29 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102345-455>; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 00:46:24 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA20589; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 00:48:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 00:44:41 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3424080 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 09:57:11 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA186422 for ; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 09:57:10 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA33057 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 27 Oct 1996 08:57:10 -0600 Date: Sun, 27 Oct 1996 08:57:10 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -270857 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610271457.AA33057@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 54814 ABPW10 PGTW 271430 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/271430Z/280600Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 05N5 110E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 108E9. SYNOPTIC DATA SUPPORTS THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (LLCC) WITH DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Oct 27 20:55:00 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA09614; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 20:54:58 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA11634; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 13:54:52 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102389-455>; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 04:53:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA01318; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 04:55:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB2FL473NK00A59E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 04:52:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3425877 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 15:54:16 +1900 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA220690 for ; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 15:54:16 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA76055 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 27 Oct 1996 14:54:15 -0600 Date: Sun, 27 Oct 1996 14:54:15 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -271454 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610272054.AA76055@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 68884 WTPN21 PGTW 272030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 272021Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.9N4 110.1E3 TO 7.9N6 105.7E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 271930Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 109.2E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WHICH IS BEING SUPPORTED BY WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR OF APPROXIMATELY 20 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF APPROXIMATELY 1004 MB. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 282030Z5.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 28 06:30:42 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id GAA10221; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 06:30:40 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA14166; Sun, 27 Oct 1996 23:30:32 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102389-17156>; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 14:29:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA00194; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 14:31:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6BD9G91C00494F@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 14:28:03 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3430424 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 00:29:49 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA186384 for ; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 01:10:47 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75393 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 28 Oct 1996 00:10:47 -0600 Date: Mon, 28 Oct 1996 00:10:47 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -280010 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610280610.AA75393@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 70782 ABPW10 PGTW 280600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/272021Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 06N6 108E9 IS STILL LOCATED NEAR 6N6 108E9 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 272030)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Oct 28 20:28:23 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA13237; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 20:28:21 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA05760; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 13:28:15 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102578-17157>; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 04:27:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA13719; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 04:29:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 04:25:56 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3436098 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 14:27:44 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id PAA60946 for ; Mon, 28 Oct 1996 15:26:37 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA42732 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 28 Oct 1996 14:26:37 -0600 Date: Mon, 28 Oct 1996 14:26:37 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -281426 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610282026.AA42732@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 72425 WTPN21 PGTW 282030 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 282021Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/272021Z OCT 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 272030)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 125 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.8N4 106.4E1 TO 9.0N9 100.6E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 281930Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 7.1N8 105.4E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. A 28/0251Z SCATTEROMETRY PASS INDICATES WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF APPROXIMATELY 1004 MB. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EQUATOR ARE HELPING TO SUSTAIN THE SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO REMAIN GOOD ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE SYSTEM. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 292030Z6.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 29 16:40:42 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01504; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 16:40:39 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA21196; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 09:40:30 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102594-20392>; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 00:39:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA09510; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 00:41:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 00:37:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3442883 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 00:27:35 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA180594 for ; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 01:27:34 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46897 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 29 Oct 1996 00:27:33 -0600 Date: Tue, 29 Oct 1996 00:27:33 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -290027 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610290627.AA46897@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 64558 ABPW10 PGTW 290600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/282021Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 108E9 IS NOW NEAR 8N8 103E4 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 282030)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 147E2. 29/0037Z SCATTEROMETRY DATA AS WELL AS 28/1958Z MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY WEAK CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WATER VAPOR WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR 10N1 158E4. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WATER VAPOR WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/EBARLE/HONG/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 29 16:42:19 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01548; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 16:42:17 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA21326; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 09:42:11 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102603-20390>; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 00:40:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA09946; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 00:43:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 00:39:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3443677 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 02:17:21 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA83706 for ; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 03:17:21 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA37075 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 29 Oct 1996 02:17:20 -0600 Date: Tue, 29 Oct 1996 02:17:20 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290217 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610290817.AA37075@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 84432 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290600Z7 --- 8.2N0 103.1E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.2N0 103.1E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291800Z0 --- 9.0N9 101.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 9.7N6 99.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 10.4N5 97.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 290900Z0 POSITION 8.4N2 102.7E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TD 34W IS CURRENTLY UNDER SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY SHEAR AND EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TD 34W IS FORECAST TO STAY SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF EASTERLY STEERING FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291357Z7), 292100Z4 (DTG 291957Z3), 300300Z6 (DTG 300157Z6) AND 300900Z2 (DTG 300757Z2). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 282021Z OCT 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 282030). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z7 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 29 16:42:38 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01556; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 16:42:35 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA21344; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 09:42:28 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102605-20391>; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 00:41:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA10070; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 00:43:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 00:40:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3443803 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 02:52:04 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA49092 for ; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 03:52:03 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA99558 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 29 Oct 1996 02:52:03 -0600 Date: Tue, 29 Oct 1996 02:52:03 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -290252 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610290852.AA99558@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 101603 WTPN31 PGTW 290900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WARNING NR 01A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Oct 29 23:08:53 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id XAA03217; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 23:08:50 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id QAA22416; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 16:08:44 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102155-12880>; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 07:07:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id HAA08394; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 07:09:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 07:06:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3449211 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 17:07:57 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA231302 for ; Tue, 29 Oct 1996 16:39:12 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA36869 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 29 Oct 1996 15:38:59 -0600 Date: Tue, 29 Oct 1996 15:38:59 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -291538 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610292138.AA36869@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 56834 WTPN31 PGTW 292100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WARNING NR 02 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291800Z0 --- 10.0N1 102.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 320 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 070 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 102.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300600Z9 --- 11.3N5 100.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 12.3N6 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 13.0N4 95.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 292100Z4 POSITION 10.3N4 101.5E7 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W IS MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. HOWEVER, THE ACTUAL POSITION OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO FIX OVERNIGHT WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY. CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER HAS CONTINUED TO FLUCTUATE GREATLY WHILE REMAINING ONLY WEAKLY ORGANIZED. TD 34W IS CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT REACHES THE MALAY PENINSULA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND CROSSES INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z2 (DTG 300757Z2) AND 302100Z6 (DTG 301957Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 30 07:58:40 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id HAA04093; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 07:58:38 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA25451; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 00:58:30 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102404-12880>; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 15:57:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA08842; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 15:59:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 15:56:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3455446 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 01:57:26 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA210710 for ; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 02:57:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46115 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 30 Oct 1996 01:57:25 -0600 Date: Wed, 30 Oct 1996 01:57:25 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -300157 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610300757.AA46115@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 34336 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 11.1N3 100.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 100.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 12.1N4 99.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 13.1N5 98.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 14.2N7 96.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 11.4N6 100.5E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. IT HAS BECOME VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY, EVEN USING MULTISPECTRAL TECHNIQUES (COMPUTER COMBINED VISIBLE AND INFRARED) AND ANIMATION. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY (SSM/I) HAS NOT BEEN OF MUCH USE EITHER DUE TO THE VERY WEAK NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AT VARIOUS OIL RIGS COURTEOUSLY PROVIDED BY MARINE WEATHER SERVICES AND UNOCAL HAS BEEN OF TREMENDOUS VALUE IN IDENTIFYING WHERE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS AT. WE ALSO ANTICIPATE THAT ONE OF THE NEXT DESCENDING PASSES FROM THE ERS-2 SATELLITE CARRYING A SCATTEROMETER WILL COVER THIS AREA BY OUR NEXT WARNING AND PROVIDE MORE DETAILED INFORMATION ABOUT THE STRUCTURE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER WITHIN THE TROUGH AXIS. TD 34W IS EXPECTED TO CROSS INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS, AND SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN WHILE CROSSING THE BALAUKTAUNG RANGE ON THE NORTHERN MALAY PENINSULA. AFTER EMERGING BACK OVER WATER IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY REGAIN ORGANIZATION AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301357Z9), 302100Z6 (DTG 301957Z5), 310300Z7 (DTG 310157Z7) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310757Z3). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 30 16:44:01 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA05609; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 16:43:59 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA23865; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 09:43:51 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102628-12880>; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 00:42:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01227; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 00:44:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 00:39:01 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3458463 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 09:56:55 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id KAA301502 for ; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 10:36:45 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88330 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 30 Oct 1996 09:36:42 -0600 Date: Wed, 30 Oct 1996 09:36:42 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -300936 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610301536.AA88330@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71175 WTPN31 PGTW 300900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WARNING NR 003A CORRECTED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z9 --- 11.1N3 100.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 100.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z2 --- 12.1N4 99.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z0 --- 13.1N5 98.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z3 --- 14.2N7 96.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 300900Z2 POSITION 11.4N6 100.5E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. IT HAS BECOME VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY, EVEN USING MULTISPECTRAL TECHNIQUES (COMPUTER COMBINED VISIBLE AND INFRARED) AND ANIMATION. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY (SSM/I) HAS NOT BEEN OF MUCH USE EITHER DUE TO THE VERY WEAK NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS AT VARIOUS OIL RIGS COURTEOUSLY PROVIDED BY MARINE WEATHER SERVICES AND UNOCAL HAS BEEN OF TREMENDOUS VALUE IN IDENTIFYING WHERE THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS AT. WE ALSO ANTICIPATE THAT ONE OF THE NEXT DESCENDING PASSES FROM THE ERS-2 SATELLITE CARRYING A SCATTEROMETER WILL COVER THIS AREA BY OUR NEXT WARNING AND PROVIDE MORE DETAILED INFORMATION ABOUT THE STRUCTURE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND THE LOCATION OF THE CENTER WITHIN THE TROUGH AXIS. TD 34W IS EXPECTED TO CROSS INTO THE BAY OF BENGAL WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS, AND SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN WHILE CROSSING THE BALAUKTAUNG RANGE ON THE NORTHERN MALAY PENINSULA. AFTER EMERGING BACK OVER WATER IT IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY REGAIN ORGANIZATION AND INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT, 302100Z6 (DTG 301957Z5), AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310757Z3). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z9 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. JUSTIFICATION FOR NEXT WARNING TIMES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Oct 30 22:40:54 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id WAA07304; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 22:40:52 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA20318; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 15:40:45 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102178-9839>; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 06:39:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA00383; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 06:41:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 06:38:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3462303 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 16:40:14 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA274036 for ; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 17:13:26 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68532 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 30 Oct 1996 16:13:25 -0600 Date: Wed, 30 Oct 1996 16:13:25 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -301613 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610302213.AA68532@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 43185 WTPN31 PGTW 302100 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301800Z2 --- 12.6N9 99.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 070 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 12.6N9 99.3E1 --- 06 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 13.4N8 98.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 302100Z6 POSITION 12.8N1 99.0E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W HAS REACHED THE MALAY PENINSULA AND IS EXPECTED IS DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 HOURS. LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES VERY LITTLE CONVECTION HAS REMAINED WITH THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO THE ANDAMAN SEA OF THE BAY OF BENGAL. THERE IS CURRENTLY NO LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION= HOWEVER, IT WILL BE MONITORED FOR FUTURE SIGNS OF DEVELOPMENT OR REGENERATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU).JUSTIFICATION FOR COR: CORRECTED HEADER.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 31 02:12:55 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id CAA07889; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 02:12:53 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA05517; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 19:12:47 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102264-9853>; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 10:11:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA25563; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 10:13:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 10:10:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3464049 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 20:12:07 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA33440 for ; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 18:22:13 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA104115 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 30 Oct 1996 17:22:13 -0600 Date: Wed, 30 Oct 1996 17:22:13 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -301722 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610302322.AA104115@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 62640 ABPW10 PGTW 300600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/300600Z/310600Z OCT 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/292021Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 291800Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WAS LOCATED AT 10.0N1 102.0E3, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN31 PGTW 292100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8N8 103E4 IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNING. REFER TO PARAGRAPH 1.A.(1) ABOVE FOR FURTHER DETAILS ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 14N5 147E2 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 10N1 158E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 152E8. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL WATER VAPOR WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE MINIMAL CONVECTION PRESENTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPARENT LOW-LEVEL CENTER, BUT DOES INDICATE A PERSISTENT CLOUD MASS THAT BEARS WATCHING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 06N6 131E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION MAY BE PRESENT ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH BENEATH THIS CONVECTIVE AREA WHICH HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (5) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTS MANOP AND REFERENCE DATES FOR THIS SUMMARY. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/WOFFORD/HONG/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 31 06:47:29 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id GAA08257; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 06:47:27 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA21367; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 23:47:20 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102496-9849>; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 14:46:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA01176; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 14:48:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 14:44:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3467508 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 00:46:33 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA307236 for ; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 01:23:51 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA75060 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 31 Oct 1996 00:23:50 -0600 Date: Thu, 31 Oct 1996 00:23:50 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -310023 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610310623.AA75060@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 71473 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 MSID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z OCT 96/010600Z NOV 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/292021Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301800Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WAS LOCATED AT 12.6N9 99.3E1, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN31 PGTW 302100)) FOR FINAL WARNING DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8N8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 148E3.SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR THIS CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL WATER VAPOR WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION INCREASED DRAMATICALLY DURING DIURNAL MAX, BUT HAS SINCE WEAKENED WITH MINIMAL LOW- OR MID-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. ENOUGH PERSISTENT CONVECTION REMAINS WITH THIS SYSTEM THAT CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN DURING DIURNAL MAX TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 06N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Oct 31 06:58:57 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id GAA08274; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 06:58:55 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA22006; Wed, 30 Oct 1996 23:58:49 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102649-9849>; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 14:57:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA04569; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 14:59:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IB6OXTNO8W00BAOH@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 14:56:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3467778 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 00:58:05 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA196930 for ; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 01:58:04 -0500 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA21150 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 31 Oct 1996 00:58:04 -0600 Date: Thu, 31 Oct 1996 00:58:04 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -310058 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199610310658.AA21150@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 56731 ABPW10 PGTW 310600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/310600Z OCT 96/010600Z NOV 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/292021Z OCT 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 301800Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WAS LOCATED AT 12.6N9 99.3E1, MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 34W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN31 PGTW 302100)) FOR FINAL WARNING DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8N8 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8N8 148E3.SYNOPTIC DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED NEAR THIS CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL WATER VAPOR WINDS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW IN ALL QUADRANTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS AREA OF CONVECTION INCREASED DRAMATICALLY DURING DIURNAL MAX, BUT HAS SINCE WEAKENED WITH MINIMAL LOW- OR MID-LEVEL ORGANIZATION. ENOUGH PERSISTENT CONVECTION REMAINS WITH THIS SYSTEM THAT CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN DURING DIURNAL MAX TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10-15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 06N6 131E5 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 1 06:38:12 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id GAA14735; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 06:38:11 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA20716; Thu, 31 Oct 1996 23:38:03 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102465-6893>; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 14:36:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA05653; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 14:38:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBBI57UN3K00BZD8@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 14:35:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3478176 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 00:37:06 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA159794 for ; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 00:15:50 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59170 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 1 Nov 1996 00:15:50 -0600 Date: Fri, 01 Nov 1996 00:15:50 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -010015 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611010615.AA59170@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 88607 ABPW10 PGTW 010600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z/020600Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED NEAR 8N8 148E3 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 144E9. THE CONVECTION HAS ALMOST DISSIPATED AND ORGANIZATION IS MINIMAL; THEREFORE THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 14N5 162E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE AN AREA OF CONVERGENCE OF THE TRADE WIND FLOW INTO THE END OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT IN THE MONSOON TROUGH APPROXIMATELY 200 NM SOUTHWEST OF THIS CONVECTION, AND THIS IS TOO DISTANT FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR SOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 11N2 117E9. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX (MCC) HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THIS CONVECTION LIES ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH. A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BEEN LOCATED OVER THE PHILIPPINES FOR THE PAST 48 HOURS AND THIS CONVECTION MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CIRCULATION. SURFACE PRESSURE ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS HAS DROPPED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, AND THE CIRCULATION MAY BE MOVING FROM THE CENTRAL PHILLIPINE ARCHIPELAGO TOWARDS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOGLE// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 1 14:39:03 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA01074; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 14:38:58 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA17540; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 07:38:49 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102554-6890>; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 22:37:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA01103; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 22:39:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBCC9UQN8000BPYX@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 22:36:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3479753 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 08:37:57 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA231192 for ; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 08:37:57 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84520 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 1 Nov 1996 08:37:56 -0600 Date: Fri, 01 Nov 1996 08:37:56 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -010837 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611011437.AA84520@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 82981 WTPN21 PGTW 011430 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 011421Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.7N6 117.6E5 TO 11.3N5 110.7E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 011330Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.9N8 117.3E2. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: A REGION OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA FOR APPROXIMATELY 18 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION (LLCC) WITH A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF APPROXIMATELY 1002 MB. THE SURFACE PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE LLCC HAS DROPPED APPROXIMATELY 3 MB OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW ALOFT OVER THE REGION OF DEEP CONVECTION. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 021430Z0.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 2 02:34:30 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id CAA03241; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 02:34:27 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA08869; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 19:34:19 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102222-4194>; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 10:33:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA16728; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 10:35:18 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBCC9UQN8000BPYX@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 10:31:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3486981 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 20:33:13 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA179656 for ; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 20:30:21 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA23309 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 1 Nov 1996 20:30:21 -0600 Date: Fri, 01 Nov 1996 20:30:21 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -012030 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611020230.AA23309@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 60426 WTPN31 PGTW 020300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020000Z2 --- 11.8N0 114.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 114.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z5 --- 12.4N7 112.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 12.9N2 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 13.3N7 110.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 13.9N3 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 14.5N0 107.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020300Z5 POSITION 11.9N1 114.2E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W (TD 35W) HAS FORMED IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON SURFACE WIND REPORTS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS AS WELL AS AN 012330Z SATELLITE DERIVED INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF DVORAK T1.5 (25 KNOTS). TD 35W IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD WITHIN THE EASTERLY STEERING FLOW SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 011421Z NOV 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 011430 ). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 020000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z1 (DTG 020751Z5), 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8) AND 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0). // NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 2 06:25:17 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id GAA03493; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 06:25:15 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA20697; Fri, 1 Nov 1996 23:25:08 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102265-4195>; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 14:23:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA22217; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 14:26:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBDGAZSDA800CAMQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 14:22:42 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3489452 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 00:23:30 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA296730 for ; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 00:17:33 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA64547 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 2 Nov 1996 00:17:32 -0600 Date: Sat, 02 Nov 1996 00:17:32 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -020017 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611020617.AA64547@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 34080 ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/020600Z/030600ZNOV96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/020151ZNOV96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 020000Z2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WAS LOCATED AT 11.8N0 114.6E2, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 020000)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 144E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6N6 140E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION EXISTS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS SITUATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES LIGHT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR OVER THIS SYSTEM, ALTHOUGH NO SIGNS OF AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAVE BEEN OBSERVED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 162E9 NO LONGER HAS AN IDENTIFIABLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH IT. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) IS APPROACHING THIS SYSTEM FROM THE NORTH. THE TUTT IS CAUSING THE PATTERN OF CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM TO ELONGATE ON AN EAST-WEST AXIS. SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS PRESENT OVER THIS SYSTEM IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE TUTT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. GIVEN THE LACK OF AN IDENTIFIABLE CIRCULATION CENTER, THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (3) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11N2 117E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12N3 114E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 020000)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 2 08:39:17 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA05635; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 08:39:15 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA28002; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 01:39:06 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102267-4197>; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 16:37:53 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA07460; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 16:40:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBDKJ20I1C00BE77@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 16:36:39 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3489900 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 02:38:22 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA18030 for ; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 02:38:22 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68366 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 2 Nov 1996 02:38:21 -0600 Date: Sat, 02 Nov 1996 02:38:21 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -020238 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611020838.AA68366@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 89355 WTPN31 PGTW 020900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 020600Z8 --- 12.9N2 114.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 114.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z1 --- 13.6N0 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.3N8 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 14.8N3 109.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 15.3N9 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 16.0N7 104.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 020900Z1 POSITION 13.1N5 113.7E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W CONTINUES TO TRACK WEST- NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY AND CONTINUE MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 02060000Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 021500Z8 (DTG 021351Z2), 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0) AND 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 2 14:44:10 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA05884; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 14:44:08 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA14430; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 07:44:01 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102265-4194>; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 22:42:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id WAA07313; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 22:45:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBDS2IBHAO00BGZC@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 22:41:43 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3491166 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 08:43:32 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA154030 for ; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 08:43:32 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA105504 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 2 Nov 1996 08:43:31 -0600 Date: Sat, 02 Nov 1996 08:43:31 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -020843 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611021443.AA105504@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 89373 WTPN31 PGTW 021500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021200Z5 --- 13.1N5 112.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 112.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030000Z3 --- 13.8N2 110.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 14.4N9 108.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 14.9N4 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 041200Z7 --- 15.3N9 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 021500Z8 POSITION 13.3N7 112.3E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTESIFY UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL, AFTER WHICH IT IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 022100Z5 (DTG 021951Z8), 030300Z6 (DTG 030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 2 20:14:15 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA06351; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 20:14:13 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA02821; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 13:14:06 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102291-4197>; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 04:12:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA01163; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 04:15:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBE5RGGIQO00BSXL@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 04:11:49 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3492754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 14:13:43 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA240958 for ; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 14:13:43 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA86722 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 2 Nov 1996 14:13:42 -0600 Date: Sat, 02 Nov 1996 14:13:42 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -021413 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611022013.AA86722@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 21183 WTPN31 PGTW 022100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 021800Z1 --- 13.7N1 111.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 18 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 111.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z9 --- 14.5N0 108.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.1N7 105.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 022100Z5 POSITION 13.9N3 110.3E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TD 35W IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021200Z5 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030300Z6 (DTG030151Z0), 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6) AND 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3). // NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Nov 3 01:52:49 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id BAA06740; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 01:52:47 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id SAA21607; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 18:52:41 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102191-24747>; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 09:51:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA13281; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 09:53:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBEJG9218000BF0D@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 09:50:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3494304 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 19:52:10 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA53386 for ; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 19:52:10 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48754 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 2 Nov 1996 19:52:10 -0600 Date: Sat, 02 Nov 1996 19:52:10 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -021952 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611030152.AA48754@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 28783 WTPN31 PGTW 030300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030000Z3 --- 14.5N0 107.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 107.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z6 --- 15.2N8 103.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040000Z4 --- 15.8N4 100.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030300Z6 POSITION 14.7N2 106.4E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W HAS MADE LANDFALL IN VIETNAM. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AT THE TIME OF THIS WARNING IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 030900Z2 (DTG 030751Z6), 031500Z9 (DTG 031351Z3) AND 032100Z6 (DTG 031951Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Nov 3 06:17:53 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id GAA07003; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 06:17:51 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA06961; Sat, 2 Nov 1996 23:17:45 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102235-24741>; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 14:16:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA04281; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 14:18:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBEP0P22F400CEZ0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 14:15:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3495652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 00:17:04 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA126364 for ; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 00:11:21 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA34448 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 3 Nov 1996 00:11:21 -0600 Date: Sun, 03 Nov 1996 00:11:21 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -030011 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611030611.AA34448@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 86669 ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600ZNOV96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030151ZNOV96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WAS LOCATED AT 14.5N0 107.2E0, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WARNING NR 05 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6N6 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 138E2. THE CIRCULATION CENTER IS SITUATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS AND IMAGERY INDICATE AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 150E6. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED AT THE ABOVE POSITION. WATER-VAPOR DERIVED WINDS AND IMAGERY INDICATE DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR. (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Nov 3 08:21:41 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA08500; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 08:21:39 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA14214; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 01:21:32 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102255-24741>; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 16:20:23 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA15148; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 16:22:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBEX2RSL8G00C78D@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 16:19:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3496296 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 02:20:56 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA149434 for ; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 02:20:55 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA85471 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 3 Nov 1996 02:20:55 -0600 Date: Sun, 03 Nov 1996 02:20:55 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -030220 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611030820.AA85471@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 48860 WTPN31 PGTW 030900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 030600Z9 --- 14.9N4 105.3E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND REPEAT POSIT: 14.9N4 105.3E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z2 --- 15.7N3 101.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z0 --- 16.9N6 98.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 030900Z2 POSITION 15.1N7 104.4E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W CONTINUES MOVING INLAND OVER THAILAND AND WEAKENING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AT THE TIME OF THIS WARNING IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Nov 3 18:18:56 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id SAA08955; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 18:18:54 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA12339; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 11:18:48 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102295-24741>; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 02:17:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id CAA02003; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 02:19:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 02:16:20 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3499419 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 12:18:12 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id MAA208092 for ; Sun, 3 Nov 1996 12:17:25 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48508 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sun, 3 Nov 1996 12:17:24 -0600 Date: Sun, 03 Nov 1996 12:17:24 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -031217 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611031817.AA48508@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 41849 WTPN21 PGTW 031800 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 031753Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN A 200 NM RADIUS OF 9.3N2 152.3E1 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 031630Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.3N2 152.3E1. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY AT 00 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS INCREASED AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER- LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AS SHOWN IN WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS AND ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THIS SYSTEM IS IN THE MONSOON TROUGH IN AN AREA OF WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MINIMAL UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 041800Z3.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 4 18:17:59 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id SAA12520; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 18:17:57 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id LAA07950; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 11:17:51 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102402-13667>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 02:16:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id CAA18664; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 02:18:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:41:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3507681 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 00:28:01 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA68766 for ; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 00:28:00 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83268 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 4 Nov 1996 00:28:00 -0600 Date: Mon, 04 Nov 1996 00:28:00 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -040027 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611040628.AA83268@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 35137 WTPN22 PGTW 040630 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 040555Z NOV 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/031753Z NOV 96// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 031800)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 4.9N3 135.8E7 TO 7.1N8 127.8E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 040530Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 5.0N5 132.4E0. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 040530Z AND 040557Z INDICATE S THAT THE CONVECTION AND LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTH OF KOROR (WMO 914 08) IS BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE. THIS SYSTEM IS EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH THAT STRETCHES FROM MINDANAO TO CHUUK (WMO 91334). ALTHOUGH WI NDS DERIVED FROM WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATE THAT THERE IS SOME MODERATE UPPER LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR ACROSS THIS SYSTEM, THIS IS EXPECTED TO RELAX WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AS THE CONVECTION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. ALTHOUGH SYNOPTIC DATA SHOW SURFACE WINDS ARE IN EXCESS OF 2 5 KNOTS NORTH OF 10 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE, THESE WINDS ARE MORE REPRESENTATIVE OF THE ENHANCED TRADES NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. WI NDS NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER ARE NOT AS STRONG. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSU RE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 050630Z1. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 9.0N9 151.9E6// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 4 16:44:50 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA12186; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 16:44:45 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00340; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 09:44:31 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102214-13667>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:43:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA05546; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:45:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:41:55 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3507965 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 01:03:56 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA248530 for ; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 01:03:55 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA105588 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 4 Nov 1996 01:03:55 -0600 Date: Mon, 04 Nov 1996 01:03:55 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -040103 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611040703.AA105588@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 43121 ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/040600Z/050600ZNOV96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/031753ZNOV96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/040555ZNOV96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7N7 138E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 132E6 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 040630)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 150E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9N9 152E8 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 031800)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 23N5 173E1. SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS CONVECTION TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL. AT THE SURFACE A WEAK TROUGH EXISTS WITHIN THE TRADE WIND FLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/MCELROY/MEST/PUGH// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 4 16:46:19 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA12196; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 16:46:16 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00549; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 09:46:06 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102317-13670>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:44:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA06106; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:46:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:43:01 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3508589 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 03:19:07 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA66980 for ; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 03:19:06 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA70662 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 4 Nov 1996 03:19:06 -0600 Date: Mon, 04 Nov 1996 03:19:06 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -040319 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611040919.AA70662@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 85507 WTPN31 PGTW 040900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 040600Z0 --- 10.2N3 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N3 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z3 --- 11.0N2 152.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 12.4N7 151.9E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 13.2N6 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 13.7N1 149.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 14.1N6 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 040900Z3 POSITION 10.4N5 152.3E1 LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 040530Z AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W HAS FORMED NORTH OF CHUUK (WMO 91334) IN THE CAROLINE ISLANDS. TD 36W IS CURRENTLY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS AS IT SLOWLY MOVES OUT OF THE TROUGH. DURING THIS LATER PERIOD ONLY SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED. ONCE NORTH OF THE TROUGH, TD 36W WILL BE STEERED ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK AS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG THROUGHOUT THIS FORECAST PERIOD. A CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION RATE IS EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD. CURRENTLY, SEVERAL WIND REPORTS NORTH OF THIS SYSTEM ARE IN EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE A REFLECTION OF ENHANCED TRADE WIND FLOW NORTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AND ARE NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF THE SYSTEM=S CIRCULATION. THIS WARNING NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 4 16:54:03 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA12256; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 16:53:58 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA01236; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 09:53:51 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102317-13666>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:52:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08226; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:54:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:51:24 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3510427 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 07:49:59 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA172924 for ; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 07:49:58 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67083 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 4 Nov 1996 07:49:58 -0600 Date: Mon, 04 Nov 1996 07:49:58 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -040749 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611041349.AA67083@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 21000 WTPN31 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 10.5N6 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 11.2N4 152.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 12.5N8 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 13.3N7 150.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 13.7N1 149.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 14.1N6 145.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 025 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 10.7N8 152.3E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W (TD 36W) IS CURRENTLY SOUTHEAST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS AND IS TRACKING NORTHWARD. TD 36W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 24- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION TD 36W IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARDS THE WEST. TD 36W IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041955Z4), 050300Z8 (DTG 050155Z6), 050900Z4 (DTG 050755Z2) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051355Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 4 16:57:00 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA12277; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 16:56:58 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA01626; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 09:56:50 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102388-13670>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:55:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA08820; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:57:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:54:19 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3510754 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 08:35:02 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA94546 for ; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 08:33:27 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA21144 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 4 Nov 1996 08:33:26 -0600 Date: Mon, 04 Nov 1996 08:33:26 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -040833 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611041433.AA21144@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 84629 WTPN32 PGTW 041500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041200Z7 --- 5.6N1 131.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.6N1 131.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050000Z5 --- 5.8N3 130.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 6.0N6 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 6.2N8 128.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 6.5N1 127.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 7.5N2 124.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 041500Z0 POSITION 5.7N2 131.3E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W HAS FORMED IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 37W IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY AT A SLOWER THAN AVERAGE RATE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 042100Z7 (DTG 041957Z6), 050300Z8 (DTG 050157Z8), 050900Z4 (DTG 050757Z4) AND 051500Z1 (DTG 051357Z1). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 040555Z NOV 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN22 PGTW 040630). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 16:51:46 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01530; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 16:51:44 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA01431; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 09:51:38 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102504-12107>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:50:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA23812; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:52:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:48:34 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3515616 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 14:30:27 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA313162 for ; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 14:27:42 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59275 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 4 Nov 1996 14:27:42 -0600 Date: Mon, 04 Nov 1996 14:27:42 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -041427 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611042027.AA59275@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 48520 WTPN32 PGTW 042100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 5.9N4 130.7E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 5.9N4 130.7E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 6.2N8 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 6.6N2 128.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 7.2N9 126.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 7.7N4 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 8.4N2 123.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 6.0N6 130.4E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 37W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY UNTIL MAKING LANDFALL IN THE PHILIPPINES BETWEEN THE 36- AND 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITIONS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050157Z8), 050900Z4 (DTG 050757Z4), 051500Z1 (DTG 051357Z1) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051957Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 16:53:37 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01538; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 16:53:35 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA01488; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 09:53:28 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102501-12109>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:52:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA24288; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:54:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:50:37 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3516013 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 14:56:30 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA28476 for ; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 14:56:26 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84423 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 4 Nov 1996 14:56:24 -0600 Date: Mon, 04 Nov 1996 14:56:24 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -041456 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611042056.AA84423@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 42692 WTPN31 PGTW 042100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 041800Z3 --- 11.1N3 152.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 152.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 050600Z1 --- 12.1N4 151.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 12.8N1 151.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 13.5N9 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 13.9N3 148.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 14.1N6 144.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 042100Z7 POSITION 11.4N6 152.2E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W IS CURRENTLY EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE MARIANA ISLANDS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS. TD 36W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TURNING WESTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z8 (DTG 050155Z6), 050900Z4(DTG 050755Z2), 051500Z1 (DTG 051355Z9) AND 052100Z8 (DTG 051955Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z3 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 17:09:49 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA01726; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 17:09:47 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA02731; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:09:40 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102499-12107>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:08:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA28554; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:10:40 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:07:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3519322 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 20:27:38 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA217370 for ; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 20:27:37 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA32935 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 4 Nov 1996 20:27:36 -0600 Date: Mon, 04 Nov 1996 20:27:36 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -042027 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611050227.AA32935@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 87460 WTPN31 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W WARNING NR 004 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 10.0N1 150.8E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 150.8E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 10.1N2 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 10.5N6 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 11.0N2 147.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 11.6N8 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.8N1 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 10.0N1 150.6E2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W CONTINUES TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. THIS WARNING IS RELOCATED DUE TO VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SOUTHWESTWARD OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED A SLIGHT WESTWARD DRIFT OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TD 36W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050755Z2), 051500Z1 (DTG 051355Z9), 052100Z8 (DTG 051955Z5) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060155Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 17:09:57 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA01730; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 17:09:55 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA02746; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:09:46 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102513-12101>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:08:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA28630; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:10:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:07:28 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3519444 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 20:45:18 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA11506 for ; Mon, 4 Nov 1996 20:45:18 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA32838 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Mon, 4 Nov 1996 20:45:17 -0600 Date: Mon, 04 Nov 1996 20:45:17 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -042045 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611050245.AA32838@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 73539 WTPN32 PGTW 050300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050000Z5 --- 7.0N7 129.4E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.0N7 129.4E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051200Z8 --- 7.9N6 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 8.7N5 125.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 9.4N3 123.8E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 9.9N8 121.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 11.0N2 118.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050300Z8 POSITION 7.2N9 128.9E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. TD 37W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 050900Z4 (DTG 050757Z4), 051500Z1 (DTG 051357Z1), 052100Z8 (DTG 051957Z7) AND 060300Z9 (DTG 060157Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050000Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 17:16:39 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA01769; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 17:16:37 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA03218; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:16:29 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102517-12107>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:15:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA00222; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:17:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:13:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3521184 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:20:49 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA306576 for ; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:14:19 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83262 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:14:19 -0600 Date: Tue, 05 Nov 1996 00:14:19 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -050014 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611050614.AA83262@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 88379 WTPN23 PGTW 050600 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 050551Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 22.2N6 174.0E2 TO 28.9N9 170.1E9 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 050430Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N3 173.7E8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 18 HOURS. THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL UPPER-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) INDUCED SURFACE CIRCULATION. CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 060600Z2.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 17:16:54 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA01773; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 17:16:52 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA03222; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:16:46 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102501-12101>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:15:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA00310; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:17:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:14:12 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3521453 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:47:41 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA23446 for ; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:47:40 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63849 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 00:47:40 -0600 Date: Tue, 05 Nov 1996 00:47:40 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -050047 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611050647.AA63849@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 79462 ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/050600Z/060600ZNOV96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050157ZNOV96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050155ZNOV96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050551ZNOV96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED AT 5N5 132E IS NOW UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W. AT 050000Z5, TD 37W WAS LOCATED AT 7.0N7 129.4E6, MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNING NR 03 (WTPN32 050300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER UPDATES. (2) THE AREA PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED AT 9N9 152E8 IS NOW UPGRADED TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W. AT 050000Z5 TD 36W WAS LOCATED AT 10.0N1 150.8E4, MOVING WEST AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W WARNING NR 04 (WTPN31 PGTW 050300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 173E1 IS NOW NEAR 23N5 174E AND IS N THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 050600)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2 NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/EDSON/HAM/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 17:19:20 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA01780; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 17:19:18 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA03451; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:19:11 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102508-12104>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:17:54 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA00904; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:20:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:16:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3521986 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 02:22:25 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA162632 for ; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 02:20:16 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA31058 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 02:20:15 -0600 Date: Tue, 05 Nov 1996 02:20:15 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050220 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611050820.AA31058@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 74575 WTPN31 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 10.0N1 150.7E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.0N1 150.7E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 10.3N4 149.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 10.9N0 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 11.6N8 147.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.1N4 145.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.0N4 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 10.1N2 150.5E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. TD 36W IS DRIFTING SLOWLY WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO GAIN CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATION OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA. TD 36W IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051355Z9), 052100Z8 (DTG 051955Z5), 060300Z9 (DTG 060155Z7) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060755Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 17:19:25 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA01784; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 17:19:23 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA03459; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:19:17 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102517-12107>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:18:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA00979; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:20:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBFGP3GB5S00BSUJ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:16:34 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3522085 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 02:32:14 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA323082 for ; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 02:32:14 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83406 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 02:32:13 -0600 Date: Tue, 05 Nov 1996 02:32:13 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050232 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611050832.AA83406@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 31179 WTPN32 PGTW 050900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 050600Z1 --- 7.8N5 128.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 7.8N5 128.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z4 --- 9.2N1 126.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 10.0N1 125.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 10.6N7 123.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 11.0N2 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 12.0N3 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 050900Z4 POSITION 8.1N9 128.2E3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH TD 37W HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. TD 37W IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 051500Z1 (DTG 051357Z1), 052100Z8 (DTG 051957Z7), 060300Z9 (DTG 060157Z9) AND 060900Z5 (DTG 060757Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 050600Z1 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 17:28:28 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA01812; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 17:28:26 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA04053; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:28:19 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102533-12107>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:26:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA03133; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:29:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIA8XO51C00BQY4@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:25:36 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3523901 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 08:48:54 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA61290 for ; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 08:48:53 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA97747 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 08:48:53 -0600 Date: Tue, 05 Nov 1996 08:48:53 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050848 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611051448.AA97747@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 57040 WTPN32 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 8.9N7 127.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 8.9N7 127.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 9.8N7 125.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 10.0N1 123.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 10.3N4 122.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 10.8N9 120.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.3N6 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 9.1N0 126.9E8 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL PHILIPPINE ISLANDS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND SLOW ITS FORWARD MOTION WHILE CROSSING THE ISLANDS. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON 051130Z0 SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 30 KNOT WINDS (DVORAK T2.0). NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051957Z7), 060300Z9 (DTG 060157Z9), 060900Z5 (DTG 060757Z5) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061357Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 17:34:28 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA01838; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 17:34:24 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA04616; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:34:10 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102499-12109>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:33:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA04576; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:35:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIA8XO51C00BQY4@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 01:31:37 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3524301 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 10:01:08 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA252726 for ; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 09:26:20 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68339 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 09:26:19 -0600 Date: Tue, 05 Nov 1996 09:26:19 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -050926 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611051526.AA68339@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 102128 WTPN31 PGTW 051500 1. TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNING NR 006 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051200Z8 --- 10.5N6 153.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 153.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060000Z6 --- 11.0N2 152.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 11.4N6 150.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 11.9N1 148.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.4N7 146.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.9N2 141.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 210 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 051500Z1 POSITION 10.6N7 152.9E7 TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY APPROXIMATELY 500 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. THIS WARNING IS ISSUED AS RELOCATED BECAUSE A VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING POSITION TO THE CURRENT POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF RECENT PAST MOTION. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY CLEARLY INDICATES THE MAIN CIRCULATION CENTER IS FURTHER EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY ANALYZED AND IT LIES UNDER THE DEEP CONVECTION. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY MONSOONAL WINDS ARE FEEDING INTO THIS SYSTEM AND ARE ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE ENLARGED WIND RADII TO THE SOUTHEAST OF TS DALE. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA. SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS YIELDS 35 KNOT SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T2.5). SYNOPTIC DATA FROM DRIFTING BUOYS IN THE VICINITY OF TS DALE SUPPORT A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BELOW 996 MB, WHILE CORRELATES ON AVERAGE TO 37 KNOTS OR GREATER; THUS THE INTENSITY HAS BEEN BROUGHT UP TO 40 KNOTS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051955Z5), 060300Z9 (DTG 060155Z7), 060900Z5 (DTG 060755Z3) AND 061500Z2 (DTG 061355Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 20:26:40 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA02483; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 20:26:38 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA16888; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 13:26:31 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102504-12101>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 04:25:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA18706; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 04:27:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 04:24:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3527655 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 14:25:54 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA309054 for ; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 14:25:34 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA84235 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 14:25:34 -0600 Date: Tue, 05 Nov 1996 14:25:34 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -051425 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611052025.AA84235@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 22280 WTPN31 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 10.7N8 152.7E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.7N8 152.7E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 11.1N3 151.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 11.6N8 149.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.1N4 147.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 12.5N8 145.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 13.1N5 140.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 10.8N9 152.4E2 TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THIS FORECAST FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. OUR WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A 051730Z6 SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS SUPPORTING 45 KNOTS (DVORAK T3.0). NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060155Z7), 060900Z5 (DTG 060755Z3), 061500Z2 (DTG 061355Z0) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061955Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 5 20:38:18 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA02498; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 20:38:17 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA17697; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 13:38:10 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102515-12109>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 04:36:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA19205; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 04:39:10 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 04:35:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3527970 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 14:37:34 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA262548 for ; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 14:37:32 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA66603 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 14:37:31 -0600 Date: Tue, 05 Nov 1996 14:37:31 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -051437 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611052037.AA66603@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 37160 WTPN32 PGTW 052100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 051800Z4 --- 9.5N4 126.3E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.5N4 126.3E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 060600Z2 --- 9.9N8 124.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 10.1N2 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10.4N5 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 11.1N3 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 12.6N9 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 052100Z8 POSITION 9.6N5 125.9E7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. IT SHOULD MOVE INTO THE PHILIPPINE ARCHIPELAGO WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. INTERACTION WITH THE ISLANDS SHOULD PREVENT SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 48 TO 72 HOURS, BUT AFTER TD 37W REACHES THE OPEN WATER OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA IT SHOULD RESUME A CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION TREND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060300Z9 (DTG 060157Z9), 060900Z5 (DTG 060757Z5), 061500Z2 (DTG 061357Z2) AND 062100Z9 (DTG 061957Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051800Z4 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 6 16:44:59 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA06736; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 16:44:58 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00487; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 09:44:50 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102445-10565>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:43:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA09057; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:45:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:41:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3532278 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 20:23:01 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA220900 for ; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 20:22:54 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA23335 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 20:22:53 -0600 Date: Tue, 05 Nov 1996 20:22:53 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -052022 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611060222.AA23335@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 52772 WTPN31 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 11.1N3 151.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 151.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 11.6N8 150.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 12.1N4 148.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 185 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.6N9 146.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 190 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 13.0N4 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.9N3 139.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 11.2N4 151.5E2 TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATION OF VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT IN THE CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION OF THIS SYSTEM. SHIP DATA AND SYNOPTIC BUOY DATA ESTIMATE THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THE SYSTEM TO BE APPROXIMATELY 991 MB. DALE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ITS FORWARD SPEED IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED EASTERLY STEERING FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER. TROPICAL STORM DALE IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060755Z3), 061500Z2 (DTG 061355Z0), 062100Z9 (DTG 061955Z6) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070155Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 17 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 6 16:45:55 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA06742; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 16:45:52 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00533; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 09:45:45 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102445-10565>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:44:33 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA09354; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:46:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:41:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3532626 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 20:52:14 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA30656 for ; Tue, 5 Nov 1996 20:47:54 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA98671 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 5 Nov 1996 20:47:53 -0600 Date: Tue, 05 Nov 1996 20:47:53 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -052047 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611060247.AA98671@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 83308 WTPN32 PGTW 060300 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060000Z6 --- 9.4N3 124.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.4N3 124.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061200Z9 --- 9.8N7 123.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 10.4N5 121.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 10.9N0 119.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 11.7N9 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.1N5 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060300Z9 POSITION 9.5N4 124.4E1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W IS MAKING LANDFALL ON THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ISLAND OF MINDANAO. TD 37W IS FORECAST TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE PHILIPPINE ARCHIPELAGO AND TO BEGIN INTENSIFYING AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE WATERS OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 060900Z5 (DTG 060757Z5), 061500Z2 (DTG 061357Z2), 062100Z9 (DTG 061957Z8) AND 070300Z0 (DTG 070157Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060000Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) (WTPN31 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 6 16:52:45 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA06814; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 16:52:43 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA01049; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 09:52:37 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102533-10565>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:51:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA11027; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:53:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:49:16 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3535065 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:45:09 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA282684 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:45:08 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46270 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:45:08 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 00:45:08 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060045 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611060645.AA46270@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 79547 WTPN33 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNING NR 001 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 24.4N0 171.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 171.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 25.4N1 171.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 26.8N6 169.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 28.0N0 167.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 24.7N3 171.6E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W HAS FORMED IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC, 420 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND (WMO 91245). VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE WINDS DERIVED FROM ANIMATED IMAGERY INDICATE A WELL DEFINED CIRCULATION EXISTS. ALTHOUGH ONLY MINIMAL CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM=S CENTER, AN INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM THE PAST 24 HOURS. IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 050551Z NOV 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 050600Z1) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061959Z0) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070759Z8).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 6 16:53:09 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA06823; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 16:53:06 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA01066; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 09:52:57 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102474-10565>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:51:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA11155; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:53:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:49:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3535336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:57:14 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA95190 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:57:13 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83293 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 00:57:13 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 00:57:13 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -060057 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611060657.AA83293@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 47962 ABPW10 PGTW 060600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z/070600Z NOV96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060157ZNOV96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/060155ZNOV96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/050551ZNOV96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 060000Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 37W WAS LOCATED AT 9.4N3 124.9E6, MOVING WEST AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION (37W) WARNING NR 07 (WTPN32 060300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER UPDATES. (2) AT 060000Z6 TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.1N3 151.9E6, MOVING WEST AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNING NR 08 (WTPN31 PGTW 060300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER AND AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 23N5 174E2 IS NOW NEAR 24N6 172E0. THIS AREA IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN23 PGTW 050600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS). THIS AREA STILL HAS A WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER, ALTHOUGH CONVECTION REMAINS WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/EDSON/HAM/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 6 16:55:15 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA06829; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 16:55:14 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA01215; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 09:55:00 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102474-10559>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:53:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA11657; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:55:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:52:06 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3535844 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 02:45:38 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA282876 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 02:45:38 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA78260 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 02:45:37 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 02:45:37 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060245 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611060845.AA78260@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 79537 WTPN32 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 008 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 9.6N5 124.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 9.6N5 124.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 10.1N2 122.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 10.7N8 121.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 11.1N3 119.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 11.6N8 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 13.3N7 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 9.7N6 124.1E8 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL DEPRESSION. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE HAS TRACKED ACROSS THE ISLAND OF MINDANAO AND IS NOW LOCATED IN THE BOHOL SEA. SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM SAMAR ISLAND, SURIGAO, AND LEYTE ISLAND IN THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINES SUPPORT THE CURRENT INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061357Z2), 062100Z9 (DTG 061957Z8), 070300Z0 (DTG 070157Z0) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070757Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 6 16:57:15 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA06843; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 16:57:13 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA01278; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 09:57:06 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102445-10559>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:56:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA12210; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:58:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:53:05 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3536207 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 03:49:40 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA94978 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 03:49:39 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68260 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 03:49:39 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 03:49:39 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060349 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611060949.AA68260@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 68001 WTPN31 PGTW 060900 1. TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNING NR 009 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 060600Z2 --- 11.4N6 151.5E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 151.5E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 061800Z5 --- 11.9N1 150.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.2N5 148.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 12.7N0 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 195 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.4N8 143.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 200 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.0N6 137.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 210 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 060900Z5 POSITION 11.5N7 151.2E9 TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) IS SLOWLY TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. DALE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE. NEXT WARNINGS AT 061500Z2 (DTG 061355Z0), 062100Z9 (DTG 061955Z6), 070300Z0 (DTG 070155Z8) AND 070900Z6 (DTG 070755Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 060600Z2 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 6 17:03:07 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA06866; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 17:03:02 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA01739; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 10:02:48 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102533-10563>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 01:01:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA13745; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 01:03:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:58:26 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3537627 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 07:49:18 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA327674 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 07:49:00 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA88113 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 07:49:00 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 07:49:00 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060748 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611061349.AA88113@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 90158 WTPN31 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 11.8N0 149.8E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 149.8E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 12.1N4 147.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.6N9 144.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 6 17:07:08 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA06870; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 17:07:06 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA01978; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 10:06:57 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102513-10559>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 01:05:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id BAA14556; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 01:07:50 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 01:01:45 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3538217 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 08:36:32 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA246206 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 08:36:31 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA97673 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 08:36:31 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 08:36:31 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -060836 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611061436.AA97673@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 78214 WTPN32 PGTW 061500 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 009 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061200Z9 --- 11.3N5 124.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N5 124.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070000Z7 --- 12.6N9 122.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 13.6N0 121.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 14.2N7 119.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.9N4 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.1N8 114.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 061500Z2 POSITION 11.6N8 123.7E3 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. IT IS CURRENTLY LOCATED NEAR THE NORTHERN TIP OF CEBU BASED ON A COMBINATION OF SYNOPTIC DATA AND RADAR FIXES FROM GUIUAN (WMO 98558) ON SAMAR. TS ERNIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE NEAR TERM, AND SHOULD MOVE THROUGH THE VISAYAN AND SIBUYA SEAS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE VERDE ISLAND PASSAGE BETWEEN LUZON AND MINDORO AND THEN REACH THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TS ERNIE IS NOT FORECAST TO INTENSIFY MUCH WHILE IN THE PHILIPPINE ARCHIPELAGO, BUT IS EXPECTED TO REACH TYPHOON INTENSITY AFTER CROSSING INTO THE OPEN WATER OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 062100Z9 (DTG 061957Z8), 070300Z0 (DTG 070157Z0), 070900Z6 (DTG 070757Z6) AND 071500Z3 (DTG 071357Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 11 FEET. THIS WARNING IS ISSUED AS RELOCATED BASED ON THE INFORMATION PROVIDED BY RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA NOT PREVIOUSLY AVAILABLE. OUR CURRENT POSITION IS OVER 90 NM FROM THE POSITION FORECAST FOR THIS TIME BY THE PREVIOUS WARNING, AND A VECTOR DRAWN FROM THE PREVIOUS TO THE CURRENT POSITION IS NOT REPRESENTATIVE OF RECENT PAST MOTION. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 6 20:01:58 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA07214; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 20:01:56 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA14583; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 13:01:49 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102524-10565>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 04:00:37 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA01153; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 04:02:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 03:59:13 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3542273 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 14:01:06 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA106890 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 13:39:41 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA28799 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 13:39:39 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 13:39:39 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -061339 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611061939.AA28799@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 83579 WTPN31 PGTW 062100 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 011 UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 12.0N3 148.7E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 148.7E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 12.3N6 146.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 12.7N0 143.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.4N8 141.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.2N7 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.8N4 132.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 200 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 12.1N4 148.1E4 TYPHOON DALE (36W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM A TROPICAL STORM. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND WEST TO WEST- NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070155Z8), 070900Z6 (DTG 070755Z4), 071500Z3 (DTG 071355Z1) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071955Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 18 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 6 20:13:41 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA07241; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 20:13:38 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA15302; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 13:13:32 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102528-10565>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 04:12:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA01927; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 04:14:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 04:10:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3542345 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 14:12:52 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA231340 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 13:39:43 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA28808 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 13:39:42 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 13:39:42 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -061339 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611061939.AA28808@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 21125 WTPN33 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 24.4N0 172.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 24.4N0 172.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 25.0N7 172.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 26.0N8 171.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 26.9N7 170.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 24.6N2 172.0E0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THIS WARNING FROM THE PREVIOUS WARNING. TD 38W STILL HAS MINIMAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE VERY WELL DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. SATELLITE IMAGERY AS OF 061730Z7 REVEALS THE CENTER IS SHEARED 95 NM FROM THE WEAK CONVECTION TO ITS EAST. MOST OF THE CONVECTION APPEARS RELATED TO ENHANCED UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW INDUCED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CIRCULATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070759Z8) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071959Z1). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 00:55:05 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AAA08108; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:55:01 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id RAA05350; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 17:54:50 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102150-8716>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:53:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id IAA20440; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:56:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:52:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3545405 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 18:54:20 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA226262 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 13:55:09 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA39632 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 13:55:08 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 13:55:08 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -061355 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611061955.AA39632@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 102093 WTPN32 PGTW 062100 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 010 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z5 --- 11.8N0 123.1E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.8N0 123.1E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z3 --- 13.1N5 121.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.9N3 120.0E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 14.7N2 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 15.3N9 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 16.6N3 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 062100Z9 POSITION 12.1N4 122.7E2 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS. STEERING FLOW INDUCED BY A COMBINATION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND THE MONSOON TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TS ERNIE TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, ALTHOUGH MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AS TS ERNIE MOVES INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A 061730Z7 SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS INDICATING 45 KNOT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (DVORAK T3.0). NEXT WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 (DTG 070157Z0), 070900Z6 (DTG 070757Z6), 071500Z3 (DTG 071357Z3) AND 072100Z0 (DTG 071957Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z5 IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 00:16:12 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AAA08034; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:16:10 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id RAA02840; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 17:16:05 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102166-8705>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:14:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id IAA16046; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:17:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:13:33 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3544043 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 17:40:39 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id RAA45580 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 17:40:38 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA35437 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 17:40:38 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 17:40:38 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -061740 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611062340.AA35437@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 59242 WTPN21 PGTW 061700 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 062300Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.0N3 104.0W6 TO 13.0N 110.0W4 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 061200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N3 107.0W8. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 071200Z0. 2. REMARKS: 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 072300Z.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG85253112346 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 02:29:18 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id CAA08216; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:29:14 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA10985; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 19:29:05 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102445-8715>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 10:27:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA08983; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 10:30:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 10:26:44 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3547226 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 20:28:29 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA171046 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 20:25:27 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA28888 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 20:25:27 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 20:25:27 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -062025 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611070225.AA28888@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 34005 WTPN32 PGTW 070300 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 011 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 12.2N5 121.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 121.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 12.9N2 118.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 13.6N0 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.6N1 115.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.8N4 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 18.0N9 113.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 12.4N7 120.4E7 TS ERNIE IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS SOUTH OF MINDORO. POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070753Z2), 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 02:44:04 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id CAA08227; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:44:03 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA11849; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 19:43:55 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102419-8715>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 10:42:44 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA13190; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 10:44:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBIAXOFHDC00BR1O@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 10:41:29 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3547380 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 20:43:07 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA100908 for ; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 20:40:27 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA56682 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 6 Nov 1996 20:40:27 -0600 Date: Wed, 06 Nov 1996 20:40:27 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -062040 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611070240.AA56682@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 28775 WTPN31 PGTW 070300 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 012 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070000Z7 --- 11.1N3 147.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 050 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 240 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.1N3 147.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071200Z0 --- 11.5N7 145.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 250 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 11.9N1 143.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.6N9 140.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 270 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 135 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.4N8 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 290 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 145 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.1N7 132.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 320 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 160 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070300Z0 POSITION 11.2N4 147.3E5 LATEST VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA AT 070030Z INDICATE THAT TYPHOON DALE=S (36W) LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 55NM FARTHER SOUTH THAN WAS PREVIOUSLY INDICATED ON OUR LAST WARNING. THIS NEW IMAGERY MORE CLEARLY DEFINES THE LOW LEVEL CENTER POSITION AS ITS CENTRAL CONVECTION BECOMES MORE ORGANIZED. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER IS NOW LOCATED UNDER A DEVELOPING CENTRAL DENSE OVERCAST (CDO) REGION. MOVEMENT HAS SLOWED SLIGHTLY AS THE SYSTEM CONSOLIDATES AND MOTION IS NOW WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED ACCORDING TO RECENT SYNOPTIC DATA AND AN ERS-2 SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 061228Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z6 (DTG 070755Z4), 071500Z3 (DTG 071355Z1),072100Z0 (DTG 071955Z7) AND 080300Z1 (DTG 080155Z9).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 08:35:02 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA10968; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:35:01 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA25352; Wed, 6 Nov 1996 23:52:37 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102428-8716>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 14:51:15 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA16862; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 14:53:28 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKA06TT3400D6FM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 14:49:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3549811 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:51:42 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA171814 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:50:32 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA47936 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 00:50:31 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 00:50:31 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -070050 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611070650.AA47936@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 33597 ABPW10 PGTW 070600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/070600Z/080600Z NOV96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070157ZNOV96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/070155ZNOV96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/061959ZNOV96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 070000Z7, TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WAS LOCATED AT 12.2N5 121.9E4, MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION (37W) WARNING NR 11 (WTPN32 PGTW 070300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 070000Z7 TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.1N3 147.8E2, MOVING WEST AT 09 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNING NR 12 RELOCATED (WTPN31 PGTW 070300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 061800Z5, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WAS LOCATED AT 24.4N0 172.0E0, MOVING NORTH AT 02 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION (38W) WARNING NR 02 (WTPN33 PGTW 062100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E0. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THIS AREA IS FORMED FROM A PART OF TROPICAL STORM ERNIE=S CIRCULATION WHICH DID NOT TRANSIT THE PHILIPPINES. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS INDICATE A SURFACE CIRCULATION CENTER EXISTS IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF OUTFLOWS FROM TYPHOON DALE (36W) AND TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W). (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: ANSTETT/EDSON/MCELROY/EBARLE/MEST/PUGH/REZA// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 08:35:19 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA10972; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:35:17 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA00739; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 01:35:10 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102529-8705>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:34:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA13456; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:36:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKA06TT3400D6FM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:32:46 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3541791 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:34:27 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA15740 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:34:27 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46264 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:01:05 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 02:01:05 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070201 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611070801.AA46264@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 68277 WTPN31 PGTW 070900 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 11.4N6 147.8E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 280 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 147.8E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 12.0N3 145.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 300 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 12.4N7 143.1E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 13.2N6 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 14.1N6 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.3N0 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 11.6N8 147.2E4 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA AT 070600Z INDICATE THAT TYPHOON DALE (26W) HAS BEGUN TO INTENSIFY AGAIN AFTER A BRIEF CONSOLIDATION PERIOD. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES INDICATE AN INTENSITY OF 75 KNOTS (T4.5). RADAR FROM GUAM INDICATES THAT DALE NOW HAS A 30NM CIRCULAR EYE. DURING THE PAST 6 TO 12 HOURS, ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT TYPHOON DALE HAS MADE A SMALL CYCLONIC LOOP AS IT CONSOLIDATED ABOUT ITS CENTRAL CONVECTIVE AREA. LATEST DATA INDICATES THAT THIS LOOP IS ABOUT COMPLETE, AND DALE IS ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO RESUME A MORE DIRECT WEST-NORTHWEST PATH AT A FORWARD SPEED OF 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION (38W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071355Z1), 072100Z0 (DTG 071955Z7), 080300Z1 (DTG 080155Z9) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080755Z5).// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 08:33:36 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA10921; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:33:36 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA29598; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 01:18:48 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102494-8705>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:17:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA07968; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:19:46 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKA06TT3400D6FM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:16:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3541699 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:18:01 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA10982 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:17:21 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA68255 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:17:21 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 02:17:21 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070217 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611070817.AA68255@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 63900 WTPN32 PGTW 070900 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 012 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 12.2N5 120.1E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 120.1E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.0N4 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 070 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.9N3 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.7N2 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH QUADRANT 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.5N1 113.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 17.2N0 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 150 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 12.4N7 119.5E6 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS LOCATED BETWEEN PALAWAN AND MINDORO MOVING WEST AT 14 KNOTS. THE STEERING FLOW BETWEEN ERNIE AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS DRIVING THE CIRCULATION CENTER ALONG A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. INTENSIFICATION IS AT A SLIGHTLY LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, DUE TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR BETWEEN THE LOW LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY MONSOON, AND THE UPPER LEVEL EASTERLIES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG 071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// RECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 13.0N4 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KW,+J?C,,M:D;;IS;;L>G PV-J,^G^G^G^G^G = :RY0ROMAN 10CPITROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 08:33:35 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA10918; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:33:33 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA29906; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 01:24:19 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102517-8705>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:23:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA09029; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:25:26 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKA06TT3400D6FM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:21:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3541706 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:23:34 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA17832 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:18:38 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48050 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:18:37 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 02:18:37 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070218 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611070818.AA48050@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: O ZCZC DD+ 38831 WTPN33 PGTW 070900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 26.1N9 171.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 171.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 27.4N3 171.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 28.4N4 169.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 29.3N4 168.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 26.4N2 171.7E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. TD 38W REMAINS IN A STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES TO NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER, AND MODERATE MID LEVEL SOUTHERLIES SHEARING CONVECTION TO THE NORTH. NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071355Z1), 072100Z0 (DTG 071955Z7), 080300Z1 (DTG 080155Z9) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080755Z5). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 08:52:53 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA11056; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:52:51 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA01724; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 01:52:42 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102517-8705>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:51:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA17631; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:53:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKA06TT3400D6FM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:50:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3541905 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:51:48 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA15462 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:51:48 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA63978 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 02:51:47 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 02:51:47 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070251 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611070851.AA63978@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 46311 WTPN33 PGTW 070900 COR 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNING NR 003 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z3 --- 26.1N9 171.9E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 26.1N9 171.9E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z6 --- 27.4N3 171.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 28.4N4 169.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 29.3N4 168.5E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 070900Z6 POSITION 26.4N2 171.7E6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 07 KNOTS. TD 38W REMAINS IN A STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT, WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL NORTHEASTERLIES TO NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER, AND MODERATE MID LEVEL SOUTHERLIES SHEARING CONVECTION TO THE NORTH. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071959Z1),) AND 080900Z7 (DTG 080759Z9). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. MESSAGE CORRECTED DUE TO INVALID DTG FOR FOLLWING WARNINGS.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 16:33:22 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA12184; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:33:19 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA25425; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 09:33:11 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102240-8715>; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:31:57 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA00485; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:34:13 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:30:18 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3543348 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 07:29:53 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA21990 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 07:29:39 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55557 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 07:29:38 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 07:29:38 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070729 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611071329.AA55557@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 81922 WTPN31 PGTW 071500 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 11.7N9 146.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 120 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 280 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.7N9 146.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.3N6 143.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 300 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.0N4 140.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 185 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.9N3 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 14.8N3 135.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.3N1 130.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 11.9N1 145.3E3 SATELLITE IMAGERY AND DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM GUAM AT 071200Z INDICATE TYPHOON DALE (36W) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES INDICATE A CURRENT INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS (T5.0). DOPPLER RADAR SUPPORTS CURRENT INTENSITY WITH GRADIENT LEVEL WINDS AT GUAM CURRENTLY AT 75 KNOTS; 100 KNOT INBOUND VELOCITY INDICATED AT 14000 FT. DALE HAS INTENSIFIED, AS INDICATED BY ITS NOW 8 NM CIRCULAR EYE, AND ACCELERATED IN ITS FORWARD MOTION. MEAN TRACK SPEED OVER PAST SIX HOURS IS 16 KNOTS. DALE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING QUICKLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND FURTHER INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071955Z7), 080300Z1 (DTG 080155Z9), 080900Z7 (DTG 080755Z5) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081355Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 7 16:37:21 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA12192; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 16:37:19 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA25793; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 09:37:10 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102568-8717>; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:35:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA01094; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:38:07 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:33:31 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3543704 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:19:20 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA21132 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:17:40 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA48611 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 08:17:40 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 08:17:40 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070817 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WX-TALK@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Message-id: <199611071417.AA48611@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 Status: OR ZCZC DD+ 64992 WTPN32 PGTW 071500 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 013 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071200Z0 --- 12.3N6 118.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.3N6 118.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080000Z8 --- 12.8N1 116.8E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.3N7 115.1E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.9N3 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 14.7N2 112.3E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.2N9 110.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 071500Z3 POSITION 12.4N7 118.2E2 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TS ERNIE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT SLOWS ITS FORWARD MOTION AND BEGINS TO TURN TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 (DTG 071957Z9), 080300Z1 (DTG 080157Z1), 080900Z7 (DTG 080757Z7) AND 081500Z4 (DTG 081357Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:44:14 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01587; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:44:09 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA29616; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:43:58 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102482-8478>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:42:48 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA15568; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:45:00 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:41:26 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3546195 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 13:33:44 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA103950 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 13:31:43 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA60811 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 13:31:41 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 13:31:41 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -071331 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611071931.AA60811@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 59272 WTPN31 PGTW 072100 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 11.6N8 144.5E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 16 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 065 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 270 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 144.5E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 12.0N3 141.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 275 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 12.9N2 138.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 14.2N7 135.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.7N3 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 18.8N7 128.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 280 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 165 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 11.7N9 143.7E5 TYPHOON DALE (36W) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTH OF GUAM AND IS MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080155Z9), 080900Z7 (DTG 080755Z5), 081500Z4 (DTG 081355Z2) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081955Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:45:34 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01597; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:45:30 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA29782; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:45:21 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102586-8480>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:44:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA15858; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:46:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:42:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3546319 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 13:55:37 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA101614 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 13:46:32 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59337 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 13:46:31 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 13:46:31 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -071346 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611071946.AA59337@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 102086 WTPN33 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNING NR 004 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 27.5N4 171.1E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT REPEAT POSIT: 27.5N4 171.1E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 28.6N6 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 29.2N3 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 28.4N4 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 27.8N7 170.7E5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM IS WEAK AND SHEARED FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TD 38W IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36- HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080755Z5) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081955Z8). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:47:38 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01605; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:47:34 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA29841; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:47:26 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102482-8480>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:46:22 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA16368; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:48:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:44:53 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3547092 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 14:54:52 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA79438 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 14:30:35 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA42021 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 14:30:34 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 14:30:34 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -071430 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611072030.AA42021@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 33826 WTPN32 PGTW 072100 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 014 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z6 --- 13.1N5 117.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 117.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z4 --- 13.9N3 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 14.4N9 115.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 14.8N3 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.1N7 114.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.3N9 113.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 072100Z0 POSITION 13.3N7 117.4E3 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TS ERNIE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT SLOWS ITS TRANSLATIONAL SPEED TO QUASISTATIONARY BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG 080157Z1), 080900Z7 (DTG 080757Z7), 081500Z4 (DTG 081357Z4) AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081957Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z6 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:55:21 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01610; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:55:17 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00580; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:55:09 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102586-8478>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:53:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18279; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:56:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:52:31 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3551104 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 19:27:29 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA23194 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 19:27:26 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA59692 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 19:27:25 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 19:27:25 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -071927 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611080127.AA59692@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 48425 WTPN31 PGTW 080300 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 11.6N8 143.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 270 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 143.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.0N3 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 275 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 12.5N8 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 13.4N8 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.8N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 19.2N2 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 11.7N9 142.6E3 TYPHOON DALE IS 130 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR AND SATELLITE EYE FIXES, WITH A RADAR EYE DIAMETER OF 30 NM AND A SATELLITE EYE DIAMETER OF 25 NM. INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 5.0 (90 KNOTS). MOVEMENT IS DIRECTED BY A STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF TY ERNIE. NOGAPS MODEL FIELDS INDICATE NORTHWESTERLY STEERING INFLUENCING TRACK BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITIONS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:55:28 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01614; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:55:23 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00601; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:55:14 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102588-8478>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:53:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18283; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:56:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:52:32 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3551359 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 19:47:44 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA123646 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 19:47:44 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA23448 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 19:47:43 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 19:47:43 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -071947 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611080147.AA23448@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 90261 WTPN31 PGTW 080300 COR 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 016A CORRECTED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 11.6N8 143.3E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 270 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N8 143.3E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 12.0N3 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 275 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 12.5N8 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 13.4N8 134.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.8N3 132.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 19.2N2 128.0E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 11.7N9 142.6E3 TYPHOON DALE IS 130 NAUTICAL MILES SOUTHWEST OF GUAM, MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR AND SATELLITE EYE FIXES, WITH A RADAR EYE DIAMETER OF 30 NM AND A SATELLITE EYE DIAMETER OF 25 NM. INTENSITY IS BASED ON A SATELLITE DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 5.0 (90 KNOTS). MOVEMENT IS DIRECTED BY A STRONG RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF TY DALE. NOGAPS MODEL FIELDS INDICATE NORTHWESTERLY STEERING INFLUENCING TRACK BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOUR POSITIONS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. JUSTIFICATION: CHANGES ERNIE TO DALE IN RMKS SECTION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:55:33 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01618; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:55:29 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00607; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:55:20 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102590-8480>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:54:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18315; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:56:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:52:38 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3551723 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 20:37:34 -0600 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA39620 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 20:36:50 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA76332 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 20:36:49 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 20:36:49 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -072036 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611080236.AA76332@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 3113 WTPN32 PGTW 080300 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 015 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 13.5N9 116.6E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5N9 116.6E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 14.2N7 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 14.5N0 114.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 14.8N3 113.7E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 15.1N7 113.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 16.2N9 112.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 13.7N1 116.2E0 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 11 KNOTS. ERNIE=S FORWARD MOTION IS SLOWING AS THE MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW BECOMES SYMMETRIC ABOUT THE CIRCULATION. LOW LEVEL 30 KNOT NORTH-EASTERLIES TO THE NORTH OF THE CIRCULATION WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ON ERNIE AND KEEP INTENSIFICATION RATE LESS THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL. WIND RADII ASYMMETRIES ARE DUE TO THE INTERACTION WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3), 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0), 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:55:46 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01622; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:55:43 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00623; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:55:36 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102560-8480>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:54:32 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18414; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:56:52 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:52:59 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3553638 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 23:54:12 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA95050 for ; Thu, 7 Nov 1996 23:54:12 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA22411 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 7 Nov 1996 23:54:11 -0600 Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 23:54:11 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -072354 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611080554.AA22411@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 96904 WTPN32 PGTW 080300 AMD 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 015A AMENDED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080000Z8 --- 12.5N8 119.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.5N8 119.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081200Z1 --- 13.0N4 118.9E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 13.4N8 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 13.8N2 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.2N7 116.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 15.6N2 115.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080300Z1 POSITION 12.6N9 119.1E2 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ANIMATION CLEARLY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS BEEN QUASI-STATIONARY FOR THE LAST 18 HOURS. STEERING FLOW IS VERY WEAK. MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD HINDER INTENSIFICATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z7 (DTG 080753Z3), 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0), 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6) AND 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:56:22 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01628; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:56:12 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00645; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:56:01 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102586-8478>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:54:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18442; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:57:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:53:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3553966 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:38:19 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA81038 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:22:01 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA102000 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:22:01 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 00:22:01 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -080022 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611080622.AA102000@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 42093 WTPN21 PGTW 080630 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 080621Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 080 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.6N4 123.4E0 TO 19.8N8 120.5E8 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 080230Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N7 122.4E9. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS SHOW A POOR SUSPECT AREA IDENTIFIED YESTERDAY HAS IMPROVED AS IT NEARS THE NORTHEAST TRADES NORTH OF LUZON. CONVECTION AND ORGANIZATION ARE IMPROVING, ALTHOUGH TRADES MAKE DEFINITION OF NORTHERN HALF OF THE CIRCULATION DIFFICULT. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 090630Z8.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:56:15 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01626; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:56:04 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00640; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:55:56 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102587-8478>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:54:47 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18450; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:57:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:53:08 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3554066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:44:49 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA51568 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:29:49 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA96930 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 00:29:48 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 00:29:48 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -080029 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611080629.AA96930@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 42143 ABPW10 PGTW 080600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/080600Z/090600Z NOV96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080157ZNOV96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080155ZNOV96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/071959ZNOV96// REF/D/RMG/MAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/080621ZNOV96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 080000Z8, TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WAS LOCATED AT 12.5N8 119.1E2, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 50 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE (37W) WARNING NR 15A (WTPN32 PGTW 080300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 080000Z8 TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.6N8 143.3E2, MOVING WEST AT 12 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM DALE (36W) WARNING NR 16 (WTPN31 PGTW 080300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 071800Z6, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WAS LOCATED AT 27.5N4 171.1E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION (38W) WARNING NR 04(WTPN33 PGTW 072100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15N6 126E9 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 122E5 AND IS THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF D (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 080630)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD. (5) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: ANSTETT/EDSON/MCELROY/EBARLE/MEST/PUGH/REZA// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:56:29 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01638; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:56:25 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00669; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:56:17 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102589-8478>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:55:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18474; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:57:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:53:10 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3554423 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 01:28:52 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA63776 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 01:28:51 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA60856 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 01:28:51 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 01:28:51 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080128 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611080728.AA60856@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 58037 WTPN31 PGTW 080900 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 017 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 11.4N6 142.4E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OVER WATER 270 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 142.4E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 11.4N6 140.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 275 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 11.8N0 138.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 12.4N7 135.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.5N9 132.9E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 17.9N7 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 11.4N6 141.9E5 TYPHOON DALE (36W) IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AS IT ONCE AGAIN SLOWS DOWN AND DIPS SOUTH LIKE A STONE SKIPPING ON WATER. POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. DALE HAS FINALLY GONE BEYOND RADAR RANGE AS OF 080630Z7. FORECAST TRACK IS STRONGLY INFLUENCED BY STATISTICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL FORECAST GUIDANCE AS DALE REMAINS SOUTH OF A DOMINANT RIDGE. STILL FORECASTING DALE TO GAIN LATITUDE BEYOND 48 HOURS AS NOGAPS PROGS A MID LATITUDE TROF AND WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE BY THAT TIME. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4), 090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z6) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSI NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:56:24 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01632; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:56:20 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00663; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:56:10 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102590-8480>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:55:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18478; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:57:09 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:53:11 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3554443 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 01:32:09 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA20514 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 01:31:09 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA58068 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 01:31:09 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 01:31:09 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080131 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611080731.AA58068@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 88273 WTPN32 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 016 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 12.9N2 119.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 305 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.9N2 119.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 13.3N7 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 13.7N1 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 14.2N7 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 14.5N0 117.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 15.1N7 116.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 13.0N4 118.9E9 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE IS NEARLY QUASI-STATIONARY AND HAS NOT MOVED FAR FROM IT=S 07/06Z POSITION. MID LEVEL STEERING IS NEARLY NIL, WHILE STRONG NORTHEASTERLY MONSOONAL FLOW IS FORECAST TO HAMPER BOTH NORTHWARD MOTION AND INTENSIFICATION. ASYMMETRIC WIND RADII REFLECT INTERACTION WITH NORTHEAST FLOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 (DTG 081353Z0), 082100Z1 (DTG 081953Z6), 090300Z2 (DTG 090153Z8) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR FINAL TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATE.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:56:33 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01642; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:56:30 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00675; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:56:23 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102482-8476>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:55:03 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18506; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:57:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:53:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3554518 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 01:57:03 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA118890 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 01:57:02 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA57002 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 01:57:02 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 01:57:02 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080157 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611080757.AA57002@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 88231 WTPN33 PGTW 080900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W WARNING NR 005 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z4 --- 26.8N6 168.7E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 190 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 26.8N6 168.7E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z7 --- 25.0N7 167.6E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 24.2N8 165.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z7 POSITION 26.4N2 168.4E9 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 38W IS HEADING SOUTH AT 12 KNOTS. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER HAS BECOME COMPLETELY EXPOSED AS ALL THE DEEP CONVECTION WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN SHEARED TO THE NORTHEAST. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS ANTICIPATED AS THIS SHALLOW SYSTEM IS STEERED BY THE NORTHEAST TRADES. TD 38W IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 11 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:57:37 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01648; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:57:34 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00708; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:57:26 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102482-8480>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:56:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18715; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:58:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:53:57 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3556257 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 07:58:56 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA150436 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 07:58:56 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA10511 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 07:58:55 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 07:58:55 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080758 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611081358.AA10511@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 88332 WTPN31 PGTW 081500 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 018 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 11.4N6 141.6E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 270 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 11.4N6 141.6E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 11.5N7 139.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 275 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 12.1N4 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 13.0N4 133.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 14.6N1 131.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.8N8 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 185 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 11.4N6 141.1E7 TYPHOON DALE (36W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUSWARNINGS. TY PHOON DALE IS EXPECTED NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 16:57:56 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id QAA01654; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 16:57:53 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id JAA00724; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:57:46 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102588-8478>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:56:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id AAA18765; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:58:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBKMS3DNQO00D7AM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:54:04 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3556995 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:41:29 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA148136 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:40:49 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA46611 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 09:40:49 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 09:40:49 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -080940 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611081540.AA46611@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 81424 WTPN32 PGTW 081500 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 017 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081200Z1 --- 14.2N7 118.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 330 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.2N7 118.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090000Z9 --- 15.0N6 117.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 15.6N2 117.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.4N1 117.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 17.4N2 117.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z5 --- 19.1N1 118.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 081500Z4 POSITION 14.4N9 118.3E3 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W), IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 50 KNOTS. SYSTEM CENTER HAS BECOME DIFFICULT TO DISCERN IN NIGHT-TIME INFRARED IMAGERY AND POSITION CONFIDENCE IS POOR. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON A BLEND OF A 081009Z KGWC MICROWAVE FIX (DMSP), A 081130Z PGTW INFRARED GEOSTATIONARY FIX, AND ANIMATED INFRARED GEOSTATIONARY IMAGERY. WIND RADII HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON SYNOPTIC SHIP DATA TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. TS ERNIE (37W) IS INTERACTING WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W, CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER LUZON ISLAND IN THE PHILIPPINES. MERGER OF THE TWO SYSTEMS IS ANTICPATED. GENERALLY NORTHWARD (OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD) MOTION IS ANTICIPATED AS THE SYSTEMS INTERACT. LONG-TERM INTENSIFICATION ANTICIPATED. GENERALLY NORTHEASTWARD MOTION UP THE TROUGH IS ANTICIPATED BETWEEN 101200Z AND 111200Z AS TYPHOON DALE (36W), IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA, RECURVES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z1 (DTG 081957Z0), 090300Z2 (DTG 090157Z2), 090900Z8 (DTG 090757Z8) AND 091500Z5 (DTG 091357Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 20:09:37 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA02527; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 20:09:26 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA15158; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 13:09:11 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102593-8480>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 04:07:58 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA07847; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 04:10:14 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBMMYJFVY800CU97@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 04:06:47 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3559247 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 14:07:27 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA50538 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 14:07:06 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA64903 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 14:07:00 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 14:07:00 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -081407 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611082007.AA64903@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 92548 WTPN31 PGTW 082100 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 019 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 12.0N3 140.1E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 270 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.0N3 140.1E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 12.5N8 137.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 275 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 13.1N5 134.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 13.9N3 132.0E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 15 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 15.7N3 129.6E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 20.2N4 126.3E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 12.1N4 139.5E8 TYPHOON DALE (36W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS IN PREVIOUS WARNINGS. TYPHOON DALE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD UNTIL THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AFTER WHICH IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN A NORTHWARD TURN. TYPHOON DALE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY THROUGH 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090155Z0), 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6), 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 20:27:59 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA02574; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 20:27:52 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA16481; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 13:27:42 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102595-8478>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 04:26:36 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA08500; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 04:28:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBMNGXVIAO00BVW5@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 04:25:16 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3559539 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 14:27:10 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA88466 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 14:26:40 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA62180 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 14:26:39 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 14:26:39 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -081426 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611082026.AA62180@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 72417 WTPN32 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 018 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 15.1N7 118.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 340 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM WEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N7 118.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 15.7N3 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 16.4N1 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.9N6 117.5E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.6N4 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z1 --- 19.3N3 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 15.2N8 118.0E0 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE IS TRACKING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. IT APPEARS THAT TS ERNIE AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W ARE UNDERGOING A MERGER. THE RESULTANT SYSTEM (ERNIE) IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG 090157Z2), 090900Z8 (DTG 090757Z8), 091500Z5 (DTG 091357Z5) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091957Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 8 20:51:05 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA02670; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 20:51:02 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA18204; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 13:50:53 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102584-8476>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 04:49:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id EAA09336; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 04:51:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBMOF3AHR400CJWR@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 04:48:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3559855 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 14:49:16 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA53462 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 14:49:10 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA42052 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 14:49:09 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 14:49:09 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -081449 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611082049.AA42052@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 52801 WTPN33 PGTW 082100 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W WARNING NR 002 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z7 --- 17.9N7 119.6E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.9N7 119.6E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z5 --- 17.6N4 118.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 16.7N4 117.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 082100Z1 POSITION 17.8N6 119.2E3 NEXT WARNING AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W HAS TRACKED ACROSS LUZON AND IS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W IS CURRENTLY INTERACTING WITH TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) AND IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 24 HOURS. NEXT WARNING AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED. OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 9 01:55:46 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id BAA03637; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 01:55:43 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id SAA08109; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 18:55:33 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102163-6494>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 09:54:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA26606; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 09:56:34 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBMZ1XDSLC00B1S3@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 09:53:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3563620 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 19:54:58 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA27080 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 19:54:57 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA78144 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 19:54:57 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 19:54:57 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -081954 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611090154.AA78144@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 83517 WTPN31 PGTW 090300 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 020 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 12.7N0 139.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 065 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 270 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.7N0 139.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 13.4N8 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 275 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 14.4N9 134.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 295 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 215 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 15.6N2 131.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.0N8 129.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 19.9N9 125.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 170 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 300 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 190 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 12.9N2 138.4E6 TYPHOON DALE (36W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. DALE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 09/0000Z9 IS 29 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090755Z6), 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3), 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100155Z2). REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 9 03:04:44 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id DAA03706; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 03:04:40 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA11787; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 20:04:13 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102256-6505>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 11:03:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA05713; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 11:05:21 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBN1DFKGB400C4UA@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 11:01:55 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3564361 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 21:03:39 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA79354 for ; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 20:58:06 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA103998 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 8 Nov 1996 20:58:04 -0600 Date: Fri, 08 Nov 1996 20:58:04 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -082058 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611090258.AA103998@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 61755 WTPN32 PGTW 090300 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 019 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090000Z9 --- 15.6N2 118.4E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N2 118.4E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091200Z2 --- 16.0N7 118.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100000Z1 --- 16.4N1 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101200Z4 --- 16.8N5 118.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z2 --- 17.1N9 118.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z3 --- 17.4N2 117.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090300Z2 POSITION 15.7N3 118.4E4 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH ERNIE HAS BECOME TOTALLY EXPOSED DUE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W LOCATED TO THE NORTH. IT IS EXPECTED THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT CIRCULATION CAUSING TROPICAL STORM ERNIE TO BEGIN LOSING ITS INTENSITY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z8 (DTG 090757Z8), 091500Z5 (DTG 091357Z5), 092100Z2 (DTG 091957Z1) AND 100300Z4 (DTG 100157Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 09/0000Z9 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES AND TYPHOON DALE (36W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 9 06:22:05 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id GAA03929; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 06:22:00 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id XAA22614; Fri, 8 Nov 1996 23:21:53 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102320-6504>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 14:20:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id OAA01221; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 14:22:49 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBN7VPZ3M800BD7D@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 14:19:21 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3565813 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:21:04 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id AAA90472 for ; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:21:03 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55588 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 9 Nov 1996 00:21:03 -0600 Date: Sat, 09 Nov 1996 00:21:03 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -090021 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611090621.AA55588@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 103969 ABPW10 PGTW 090600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/090600Z/100600Z NOV 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090157Z NOV 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/090155Z NOV 96// REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/081951Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 090000Z9, TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WAS LOCATED AT 15.6N2 118.4E4, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 19 (WTPN32 PGTW 090300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 090000Z9 TYPHOON DALE (36W) WAS LOCATED AT 12.7N0 139.0E3, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 105 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 130 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 20 (WTPN31 PGTW 090300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) AT 081800Z7 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W WAS LOCATED AT 17.9N7 119.6E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W WARNING NR 02 (WTPN33 PGTW 082100)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 6N6 167E4. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS BEING RESTRICTED TO THE NORTH DUE TO THE CLEARLY DEFINED OUTFLOW CHANNEL ESTABLISHED BY TYPHOON DALE LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE LOW- LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/DEOCARIZA/CROSS/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 9 08:37:33 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA07093; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 08:37:30 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA00635; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 01:37:23 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102340-6504>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 16:36:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA13301; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 16:38:31 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBND39SI9C00C9IV@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 16:35:04 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3566660 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 02:36:51 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA136968 for ; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 02:36:51 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA33728 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 9 Nov 1996 02:36:50 -0600 Date: Sat, 09 Nov 1996 02:36:50 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -090236 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611090836.AA33728@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 94909 WTPN31 PGTW 090900 1. SUPERTYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 021 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 13.7N1 137.8E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 400 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 300 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.7N1 137.8E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 15.2N8 135.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 400 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 300 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 16.5N2 133.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 400 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 300 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 17.6N4 130.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 400 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 300 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 14 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 19.1N1 128.4E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 400 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE 300 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 22.3N7 124.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 140 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 400 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 300 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 14.1N6 137.2E3 SUPERTYPHOON DALE (36W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. WIND RADII ASSOCIATED WITH DALE HAVE BEEN EXPANDED BASED ON SYNOPTIC DATA AND A 08/1306Z SCATTEROMETER PASS. DALE IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN SUPERTYPHOON INTENSITY FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT TRACKS NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091355Z3), 092100Z2 (DTG 091955Z9), 100300Z4 (DTG 100155Z2) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100755Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 9 09:17:53 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id JAA07134; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 09:17:50 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA02809; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 02:17:44 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102347-6505>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 17:16:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA16099; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 17:18:41 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBNEI2IHDS00E3LN@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 17:15:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3566759 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 03:17:05 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA62380 for ; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 03:17:05 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA31139 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 9 Nov 1996 03:17:05 -0600 Date: Sat, 09 Nov 1996 03:17:05 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -090317 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611090917.AA31139@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 54688 WTPN33 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W WARNING NR 003 RELOCATED 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 20.6N8 117.7E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 070 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.6N8 117.7E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 20.0N2 115.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 20.4N6 117.1E0 ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DURING THE PAST 9 HOURS INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W HAS MOVED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND INTO THE CLOUD BAND ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEAST MONSOON FLOW LOCATED OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL PORTION OF THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. IT IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS ITS REMNANTS MERGE WITH THE CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WHICH IS MOVING QUICKLY NORTH JUST SOUTH OF TD39W. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. REFER TO SUPERTYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX- HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 9 09:39:16 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id JAA07150; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 09:39:12 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id CAA03791; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 02:39:05 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102395-6504>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 17:37:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id RAA17669; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 17:40:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBNF8K51C000CCVZ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 17:36:35 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3566794 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 03:38:24 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id DAA43268 for ; Sat, 9 Nov 1996 03:38:23 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA67131 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Sat, 9 Nov 1996 03:38:23 -0600 Date: Sat, 09 Nov 1996 03:38:23 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -090338 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611090938.AA67131@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 75064 WTPN32 PGTW 090900 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 020 03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 090600Z5 --- 17.5N3 118.0E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 118.0E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z8 --- 19.1N1 117.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z7 --- 19.4N4 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z0 --- 18.7N6 116.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z8 --- 18.1N0 116.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z9 --- 18.3N2 117.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 090900Z8 POSITION 17.9N7 117.9E8 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS TRACKING NORTHWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ERNIE HAS BECOME A POORLY ORGANIZED SYSTEM OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. ERNIE IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W LOCATED TO THE NORTH. ERNIE IS FORECAST TO BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY BEYOND THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 (DTG 091357Z5), 092100Z2 (DTG 091957Z1), 100300Z4 (DTG 100157Z4) AND 100900Z0 (DTG 100757Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO SUPERTYPHOON DALE (36W) (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION 39W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 13 01:37:55 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id BAA04378; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 01:37:51 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id SAA24290; Tue, 12 Nov 1996 18:37:44 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102360-12235>; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 09:36:12 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id JAA14693; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 09:38:20 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBSJKOP3BK00DWDM@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 09:34:52 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3613309 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Nov 1996 19:36:43 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA100328 for ; Tue, 12 Nov 1996 19:36:41 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA98511 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 12 Nov 1996 19:36:41 -0600 Date: Tue, 12 Nov 1996 19:36:41 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -121936 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611130136.AA98511@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 79564 WTPN31 PGTW 130300 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 036 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 31.1N5 142.2E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 35 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 250 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 430 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 330 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 31.1N5 142.2E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 35.3N1 151.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 255 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 430 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 59 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 41.9N4 164.1E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 61 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 49.4N7 178.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 55 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 56.0N1 167.2W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 60 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 46 KTS --- 60 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 58.9N2 151.1W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 32.1N6 144.6E5 TYPHOON DALE (36W) IS TRACKING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 35 KNOTS. TYPHOON DALE IS CURRENTLY BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL AND IS EXPECTED COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION BY THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. AFTER BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL TYPHOON DALE WILL REMAIN A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEM WITH VERY STRONG WINDS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130755Z1), 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8), 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 30 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 13 02:27:28 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id CAA04467; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 02:27:23 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA27318; Tue, 12 Nov 1996 19:27:13 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102215-16220>; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 10:26:02 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA28745; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 10:28:01 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBSLAX5AU800C8Y2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 10:24:15 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3614066 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Nov 1996 20:26:04 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA59246 for ; Tue, 12 Nov 1996 20:26:02 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA78109 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 12 Nov 1996 20:26:02 -0600 Date: Tue, 12 Nov 1996 20:26:02 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -122026 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611130226.AA78109@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 76058 WTPN32 PGTW 130300 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 034 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130000Z4 --- 16.3N0 119.4E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 16.3N0 119.4E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z7 --- 15.7N3 118.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140000Z5 --- 15.1N7 116.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 14.4N9 115.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 13.8N2 114.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 12.2N5 111.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 130300Z7 POSITION 16.2N9 119.1E2 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TS ERNIE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z3 (DTG 130757Z3), 131500Z0 (DTG 131357Z0), 132100Z7 (DTG 131957Z6) AND 140300Z8 (DTG 140157Z8).MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130000Z4 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 13 05:32:45 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id FAA04976; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 05:32:42 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id WAA08486; Tue, 12 Nov 1996 22:32:35 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102350-16221>; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 13:31:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id NAA23982; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 13:33:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBSRSILLNK00DU8E@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 13:30:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3616584 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 12 Nov 1996 23:31:51 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id XAA20598 for ; Tue, 12 Nov 1996 23:31:27 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA89461 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Tue, 12 Nov 1996 23:31:27 -0600 Date: Tue, 12 Nov 1996 23:31:27 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -122331 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611130531.AA89461@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 55666 ABPW10 PGTW 130600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/130600Z/140600Z NOV 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130157Z NOV 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/130155Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 130000Z3 TYPHOON DALE (36W) WAS LOCATED AT 31.1N5 142.2E9, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 35 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 36 (WTPN31 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) AT 130000Z3, TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WAS LOCATED AT 16.3N0 119.4E5, MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 34 (WTPN32 PGTW 130300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: NICKLAS/EBARLE/HONG/GILL// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 13 07:21:51 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id HAA05178; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 07:21:48 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA15049; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 00:21:40 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102384-16221>; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 15:20:30 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA16332; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 15:22:51 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBSVLT5MB400BXV9@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 15:19:22 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3617673 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 01:21:05 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA87022 for ; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 01:21:04 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA93384 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 13 Nov 1996 01:21:03 -0600 Date: Wed, 13 Nov 1996 01:21:03 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130121 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611130721.AA93384@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 52933 WTPN31 PGTW 130900 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 32.8N3 147.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 51 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 270 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 430 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 330 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.8N3 147.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 37.4N4 160.4E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 255 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 220 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 430 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 315 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 56 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 43.6N3 172.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 46 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 49.1N4 176.6W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 38 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 53.7N5 166.8W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 54 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 39 KTS --- 54 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 55.6N6 160.9W6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 34.0N7 151.0E7 TYPHOON DALE (36W) IS FORECAST MOVING TO THE EAST- NORTHEAST AT 51 KNOTS. TY DALE IS FORECAST TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 18 HOURS BUT WILL REMAIN A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8), 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4), 140300Z8 (DTG 140155Z6) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140755Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 24 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 13 07:54:53 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id HAA05231; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 07:54:50 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA17085; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 00:54:43 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102397-16220>; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 15:53:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA27093; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 15:55:43 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBSWFESSBK00E5A3@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 15:52:14 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3617820 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 01:53:57 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA95512 for ; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 01:53:57 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA69853 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 13 Nov 1996 01:53:56 -0600 Date: Wed, 13 Nov 1996 01:53:56 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -130153 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611130753.AA69853@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 57050 WTPN32 PGTW 130900 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 035 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 130600Z0 --- 15.7N3 118.1E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.7N3 118.1E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z3 --- 14.8N3 115.8E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 13.9N3 114.1E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 13.1N5 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.4N7 111.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 11.6N8 109.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT --- REMARKS: 130900Z3 POSITION 15.5N1 117.5E4 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS PREVIOUS WARNINGS. TS ERNIE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS TO THE SOUTHWEST. NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z0 (DTG 131357Z0), 132100Z7 (DTG 131957Z6), 140300Z8 (DTG 140157Z8) AND 140900Z4 (DTG 140757Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z0 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 13 22:59:33 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id WAA17516; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 22:59:21 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA15796; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 15:59:11 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102157-11862>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 06:57:55 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id HAA12259; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 07:00:11 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBTS3IP4XC00DKIO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 06:56:43 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3624639 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 16:58:25 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA116234 for ; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 16:30:16 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA65425 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 13 Nov 1996 16:30:09 -0600 Date: Wed, 13 Nov 1996 16:30:09 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131630 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611132230.AA65425@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 10638 WTPN32 PGTW 132100 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 037 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 15.2N8 116.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.2N8 116.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 14.6N1 114.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 14.0N5 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 13.5N9 111.4E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 13.1N5 110.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 12.2N5 108.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 15.1N7 115.9E6 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) CONTINUES MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN ITS CURRENT COURSE AND INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS (UNTIL 141800Z). FORWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW BEFORE LANDFALL IN CENTRAL VIETNAM BETWEEN 48 AND 72 HOURS (BETWEEN 151800Z AND 161800Z). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO THE FINAL WARNING FOR TYPHOON DALE (36W) FOR AN UPDATE ON THIS SYSTEM (142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z)). NEXT WARNINGS AT 140300Z8 (DTG 140157Z8), 140900Z4 (DTG 140757Z4), 141500Z1 (DTG 141357Z1) AND 142100Z8 (DTG 141957Z7). AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG45703181957 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Nov 13 22:51:50 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id WAA17421; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 22:51:39 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id PAA14964; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 15:51:31 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102147-11873>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 06:50:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA11875; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 06:52:35 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBTS3IP4XC00DKIO@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 06:49:07 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3624604 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 16:50:29 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id QAA141690 for ; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 16:50:22 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA34211 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 13 Nov 1996 16:50:20 -0600 Date: Wed, 13 Nov 1996 16:50:20 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -131650 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611132250.AA34211@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 94880 WTPN31 PGTW 132100 1. TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 039 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 131800Z3 --- 36.4N3 160.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 070 DEGREES AT 50 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 300 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 140 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 400 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 250 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 36.4N3 160.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z1 --- 41.7N2 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 46 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 47.0N1 177.9W4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 32 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 50.6N1 170.0W8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT EXTRATROPICAL VECTOR TO 42 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 28 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 42 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 52.5N2 166.6W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 132100Z7 POSITION 37.7N7 163.1E1 TYPHOON DALE (36W) CONTINUES ITS RAPID MOTION TOWARDS THE EAST-NORTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 6 HOURS (BY 140000Z). THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 131800Z IS 20 FEET. REFER TO WIND/HIGH SEAS WARNING (WWPN31 PHNC) FOR FUTURE UPDATES ON THIS SYSTEM. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG45693181955 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 14 03:24:41 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id DAA18342; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 03:24:37 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA01977; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 20:24:27 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102300-11862>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 11:23:06 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id LAA22271; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 11:25:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBU1LM9SEO00C9X0@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 11:21:48 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3630392 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 21:23:21 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA43196 for ; Wed, 13 Nov 1996 21:23:18 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA102064 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Wed, 13 Nov 1996 21:23:17 -0600 Date: Wed, 13 Nov 1996 21:23:17 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132123 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611140323.AA102064@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 77229 WTPN32 PGTW 140300 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 038 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140000Z5 --- 14.1N6 115.1E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 3 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 14.1N6 115.1E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z8 --- 12.9N2 112.9E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 11.9N1 111.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 11.3N5 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 10.9N0 107.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 10.4N5 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 140300Z8 POSITION 13.8N2 114.6E2 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ERNIE IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS THE UPPER-LEVEL SHEAR RELAXES OVER THE SYSTEM. BEYOND THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION, ERNIE IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AS IT MOVES INTO SOUTHEASTERN VIETNAM NEAR THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140757Z4), 141500Z1 (DTG 141357Z1), 142100Z8 (DTG 141957Z7) AND 150300Z9 (DTG 150157Z9). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 14/0000Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) (WTPN31 PGTW 132100) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 14 07:13:25 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id HAA18912; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 07:13:21 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA14413; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 00:13:14 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102450-22053>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 15:11:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id PAA21201; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 15:14:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBU9JFF5Y800BXO2@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 15:10:48 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3634336 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 01:12:34 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA151484 for ; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 01:12:23 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA99392 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 14 Nov 1996 01:12:22 -0600 Date: Thu, 14 Nov 1996 01:12:22 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -140112 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611140712.AA99392@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 39741 ABPW10 PGTW 140600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/140600Z/150600Z NOV 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/131955Z NOV 96// REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140157Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 131800Z3 TYPHOON DALE (36W) WAS LOCATED AT 36.4N5 160.3E0, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 50 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNING NR 39 (WTPN31 PGTW 132100)) FOR THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM. (2) AT 140000Z5, TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WAS LOCATED AT 14.1N6 115.1E8, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 38 (WTPN32 PGTW 140300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 176E4. VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW THAT THIS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA AND ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS GOOD UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 14 08:01:37 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA19429; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 08:01:33 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA17149; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 01:01:23 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102407-22045>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 16:00:04 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id QAA01515; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 16:02:19 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBUBA34ZN400E5RV@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 15:58:50 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3635098 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 02:00:32 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA140472 for ; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 02:00:31 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA56637 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 14 Nov 1996 02:00:31 -0600 Date: Thu, 14 Nov 1996 02:00:31 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140200 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611140800.AA56637@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 52794 WTPN32 PGTW 140900 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 140600Z1 --- 13.6N0 113.9E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 113.9E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z4 --- 12.8N1 111.7E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z2 --- 12.1N4 109.4E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 11.6N8 107.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 11.2N4 105.4E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 10.4N5 101.4E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT --- REMARKS: 140900Z4 POSITION 13.4N8 113.3E8 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) CONTINUES TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ERNIE IS A SMALL SYSTEM WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THE LOW-LEVEL NORTHEAST MONSOON FLOW SHOULD PREVENT ERNIE FROM GAINING MUCH LATITUDE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. ERNIE IS FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST VIETNAM NEAR THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1 (DTG 141357Z1), 142100Z8 (DTG 141957Z7), 150300Z9 (DTG 150157Z9) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150757Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 14/0600Z1 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Nov 14 15:17:09 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id PAA21548; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 15:17:05 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id IAA06920; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 08:16:56 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102501-22053>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 23:15:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id XAA18804; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 23:17:56 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBUQI5KDW000DV0U@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 23:14:27 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3642511 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 09:16:06 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA102340 for ; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 09:14:45 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA89471 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 14 Nov 1996 09:14:44 -0600 Date: Thu, 14 Nov 1996 09:14:44 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140914 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611141514.AA89471@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 94844 WTPN32 PGTW 141500 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 040 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 141200Z8 --- 13.1N5 112.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.1N5 112.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 150000Z6 --- 12.1N4 110.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 11.3N5 108.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 10.8N9 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 10.6N7 105.3E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 10.3N4 102.1E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 141500Z1 POSITION 12.8N1 112.4E8 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. TS ERNIE REMAINS A SMALL SYSTEM AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES IT HAS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE AREAL EXTENT OF THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AND THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED SLIGHTLY ON ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY, WHICH INDICATES THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH TS ERNIE HAS LESSENED SLIGHTLY. WE ARE FORECASTING A VERY SMALL INTENSIFICATION OF TS ERNIE JUST PRIOR TO LANDFALL BASED ON THE DIURNAL FLUCTUATION OF CONVECTION, WHICH MAY RESULT IN WEAK INTENSIFICATION. NIGHT TIME DOWNSLOPE WINDS AND AN OFFSHORE FLOW FROM SOUTHERN VIETNAM AT THAT TIME MAY ALSO ENHANCE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE INTO THE SYSTEM, ENHANCING THE POTENTIAL FOR A WEAK INTENSIFICATION PRIOR TO LANDFALL. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL IN THE VICINITY, AND SOUTH OF, CAM RANH BAY, TS ERNIE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVERLAND WHILE PASSING IN THE VICINITY OF HO CHI MINH CITY. IT IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE MEKONG DELTA REGION AND REACH THE GULF OF THAILAND WITHIN 72 HOURS. IT SHOULD REMAIN A DISSIPATING SYSTEM AT THAT TIME. IF TS ERNIE MAKES LANDFALL FURTHER NORTH THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST, THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF THE REGION COULD POSSIBLY DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM WITHIN 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141957Z7), 150300Z9 (DTG 150157Z9), 150900Z5 (DTG 150757Z5) AND 151500Z2 (DTG 151357Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 15 02:39:50 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id CAA25553; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 02:39:45 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA26478; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 19:39:37 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102392-11297>; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 10:38:27 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id KAA15985; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 10:40:45 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBVECRDVKW00EEOG@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 10:37:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3652021 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 20:38:59 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA140734 for ; Thu, 14 Nov 1996 20:38:58 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA91681 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Thu, 14 Nov 1996 20:38:57 -0600 Date: Thu, 14 Nov 1996 20:38:57 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -142038 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611150238.AA91681@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 102168 WTPN32 PGTW 150300 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 042 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150000Z6 --- 11.3N5 111.5E8 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 220 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 11.3N5 111.5E8 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151200Z9 --- 9.9N8 109.8E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 9.3N2 107.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 9.1N0 105.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 9.0N9 102.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180000Z9 --- 8.9N7 97.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150300Z9 POSITION 10.9N0 111.1E4 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF VIETNAM. ERNIE REMAINS A MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM. 14/2330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DISPLAYS A TOTALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. ERNIE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT TRACKS ACROSS VIETNAM AND INTO THE GULF OF THAILAND. ERNIE IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150757Z5), 151500Z2 (DTG 151357Z2), 152100Z9 (DTG 151957Z8) AND 160300Z0 (DTG 160157Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 15/0000Z6 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 15 10:59:58 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA01102; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 10:59:57 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA21526; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 03:31:11 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102531-11297>; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 18:29:59 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id SAA02937; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 18:32:08 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBVSYPLD0000DVPQ@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 17:36:40 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3656530 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 01:05:50 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA59430 for ; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 01:05:49 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA55793 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 15 Nov 1996 01:05:49 -0600 Date: Fri, 15 Nov 1996 01:05:49 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -150105 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611150705.AA55793@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 3310 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z NOV 96// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/140157Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 150000Z6, TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WAS LOCATED AT 11.3N5 111.5E8, MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 42 (WTPN32 PGTW 150300)) AND SIX- HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 8N8 176E4 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. 2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/DEOCARIZA/UROGI// NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 15 10:50:14 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id KAA00685; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 10:50:10 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id DAA22264; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 03:49:59 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102525-11301>; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 18:48:16 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id SAA10413; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 18:50:29 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBVTY9XC9C00DMEF@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 18:05:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3656733 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 01:19:04 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA37714 for ; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 01:19:04 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA95148 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 15 Nov 1996 01:19:03 -0600 Date: Fri, 15 Nov 1996 01:19:03 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -150119 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611150719.AA95148@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 96937 ABPW10 PGTW 150600 COR MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/150600Z/160600Z NOV 96// REF/A/RM NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 18 04:59:30 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id EAA29283; Mon, 18 Nov 1996 04:59:26 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id VAA15074; Sun, 17 Nov 1996 21:59:19 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102395-29628>; Mon, 18 Nov 1996 12:57:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA29554; Sat, 16 Nov 1996 06:30:05 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBWJVA3F9S00DLLW@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 16 Nov 1996 06:26:34 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3661454 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 05:12:05 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id FAA140066 for ; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 05:12:05 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA83130 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 15 Nov 1996 05:12:04 -0600 Date: Fri, 15 Nov 1996 05:12:04 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150512 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611151112.AA83130@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 96951 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 043 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 10.8N9 110.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 110.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 9.9N8 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 9.3N2 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 9.1N0 104.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 9.0N9 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 8.9N7 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 10.6N7 110.3E5 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) CONTINUES TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ERNIE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN VIETNAM. ERNIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS INTO THE GULF OF THAILAND AND TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151357Z2), 152100Z9 (DTG 151957Z8), 160300Z0 (DTG 160157Z0) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160757Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 15/0600Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// RE-TRANSMISSION DUE TO AWN FAILURE NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 18 04:59:35 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id EAA29287; Mon, 18 Nov 1996 04:59:31 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id VAA15087; Sun, 17 Nov 1996 21:59:24 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102484-29617>; Mon, 18 Nov 1996 12:57:38 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA29579; Sat, 16 Nov 1996 06:31:17 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBWJW8TMKW00DZFS@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 16 Nov 1996 06:27:23 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3665898 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 07:14:38 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA24100 for ; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 07:14:37 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA51587 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 15 Nov 1996 07:14:37 -0600 Date: Fri, 15 Nov 1996 07:14:37 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150714 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611151314.AA51587@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 86656 WTPN32 PGTW 151500 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 044 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 151200Z9 --- 10.8N9 110.1E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 110.1E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 160000Z7 --- 10.4N5 108.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 161200Z0 --- 10.2N3 106.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 170000Z8 --- 10.2N3 104.2E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 171200Z1 --- 10.2N3 101.8E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 18 04:59:25 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id EAA29277; Mon, 18 Nov 1996 04:59:21 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id VAA15053; Sun, 17 Nov 1996 21:59:12 -0700 (MST) Received: from hkusua.hku.hk ([147.8.2.2]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102419-29617>; Mon, 18 Nov 1996 12:57:39 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK by hkusua.hku.hk (SMI-8.6/SMI-SVR4) id GAA29136; Sat, 16 Nov 1996 06:23:42 +0800 Received: from HKUJNT.HKU.HK (HKUJNT) by hkujnt.hku.HK (PMDF V4.3-7 #8143) id <01IBWISFFLKW00CZS3@hkujnt.hku.HK>; Sat, 16 Nov 1996 05:55:17 +0700 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3667381 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 08:46:40 +1800 Received: from ux2.cso.uiuc.edu (ux2.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.3]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA133006 for ; Fri, 15 Nov 1996 08:46:39 -0600 Received: by ux2.cso.uiuc.edu id AA03126 (5.67a/IDA-1.5 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu); Fri, 15 Nov 1996 08:46:38 -0600 Date: Fri, 15 Nov 1996 08:46:38 -0600 From: Charley Kline Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -150846 (AUTOMATIC) Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products Apparently-to: wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Reply-to: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Message-id: <199611151446.AA03126@ux2.cso.uiuc.edu> X-Envelope-to: cseching@UG.CS.UST.HK, weather@UNDERGROUND.ORG.HK, rcalexis@UXMAIL.UST.HK, YUK_HANG_LEE@VTECH.COM.HK Content-transfer-encoding: 7BIT Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 ZCZC DD+ 51507 WTPN32 PGTW 150900 1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 043 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 150600Z2 --- 10.8N9 110.7E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 10.8N9 110.7E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z5 --- 9.9N8 109.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z3 --- 9.3N2 107.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z6 --- 9.1N0 104.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z4 --- 9.0N9 102.8E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 180600Z5 --- 8.9N7 98.0E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 150900Z5 POSITION 10.6N7 110.3E5 TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) CONTINUES TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ERNIE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MAKES LANDFALL IN SOUTHEASTERN VIETNAM. ERNIE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS INTO THE GULF OF THAILAND AND TO BE DISSIPATED BY THE 72-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 151500Z2 (DTG 151357Z2), 152100Z9 (DTG 151957Z8), 160300Z0 (DTG 160157Z0) AND 160900Z6 (DTG 160757Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 15/0600Z2 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG78973201006 NNNN +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 22 15:38:07 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id PAA01243; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 15:38:05 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id IAA06040; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 08:37:56 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102301-22714>; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 23:36:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id JAA52452; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 09:26:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3793434 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 09:26:16 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id JAA161412 for ; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 09:25:58 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id JAA10900 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 09:25:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199611221525.JAA10900@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Nov 1996 09:25:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 034 WTPS21 PGTW 221500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 221451Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 085 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.1S2 159.8E3 TO 12.7S0 162.3E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 221200Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 159.9E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: BOTH ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS JUST SOUTH OF GUADALCANAL AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM THE SOLOMONS AT 221200Z ALSO SUPPORT THE CURRENT POSITIONING OF THIS SYSTEM. WINDS HAD INCREASED TO NEAR 25 KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT SAN CRISTOBAL IN THE SOLOMONS AS OF 221200Z. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION OF THIS SYSTEM. GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LIGHT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR ARE PRESENT ALOFT. THE LEVEL OF CONVECTION WAS INCREASING WITH THIS SYSTEM. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 231500Z1.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Nov 22 17:33:48 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id RAA01765; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 17:33:45 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id KAA14907; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 10:33:37 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102605-22714>; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 01:32:20 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id LAA56500; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 11:23:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3794724 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 11:23:10 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id LAA31384 for ; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 11:23:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id LAA14717 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 22 Nov 1996 11:23:09 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199611221723.LAA14717@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 22 Nov 1996 11:23:09 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 887 WTPS21 PGTW 221500 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 221451Z NOV 96// RMKS/ 1. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 2. IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY AND AMEMBASSY HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 3. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 085 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.1S2 159.8E3 TO 12.7S0 162.3E2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA AT 221200Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.1S2 159.9E4. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 08 KNOTS. 4. REMARKS: BOTH ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS FORMED IN THE SOLOMON ISLANDS JUST SOUTH OF GUADALCANAL AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM THE SOLOMONS AT 221200Z ALSO SUPPORT THE CURRENT POSITIONING OF THIS SYSTEM. WINDS HAD INCREASED TO NEAR 25 KNOTS OUT OF THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT SAN CRISTOBAL IN THE SOLOMONS AS OF 221200Z. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION OF THIS SYSTEM. GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LIGHT UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR ARE PRESENT ALOFT. THE LEVEL OF CONVECTION WAS INCREASING WITH THIS SYSTEM. 5. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 231500ZNOV96.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG18673271451 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 23 07:44:11 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id HAA04451; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 07:44:09 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA09442; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 00:44:01 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102416-19434>; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 15:42:43 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA175824; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 01:34:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3803214 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 01:34:33 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id BAA107202 for ; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 01:34:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA27309 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 01:34:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199611230734.BAA27309@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Nov 1996 01:34:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 261 WTPS31 PGTW 230900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P WARNING NR 001 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 230600Z1 --- 13.3S7 160.7E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 160.7E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z4 --- 15.7S3 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 18.3S2 161.2E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 21.2S5 162.1E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 17 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 23.7S2 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 230900Z4 POSITION 13.9S3 160.8E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS. VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT IT HAS REACHED AN INTENSITY OF 35 KNOTS BASED ON 230530Z3 IMAGERY ANALYSIS (DVORAK T2.5). THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD, ALTHOUGH NEAR 48 HOURS IT MAY TURN SOUTHEASTWARD IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING STEERING FLOW FROM MIDLATITUDE WESTERLIES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z8 (DTG 231951Z1) AND 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9). THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 221451Z NOV 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 221500). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230600Z1 IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Nov 23 19:45:26 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id TAA11093; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 19:45:25 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id MAA15224; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 12:45:17 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102220-19422>; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 03:44:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA62740; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 13:33:30 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3807153 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 13:33:23 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id NAA30970 for ; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 13:33:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA04479 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 23 Nov 1996 13:33:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199611231933.NAA04479@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 23 Nov 1996 13:33:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 411 WTPS31 PGTW 232100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 231800Z4 --- 15.6S2 161.1E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 161.1E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240600Z2 --- 17.9S7 161.3E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 20.1S3 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 22.0S4 162.7E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 23.2S7 164.7E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 070 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 232100Z8 POSITION 16.2S9 161.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) IS TRACKING SOUTH- SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA. TC 06P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD NEW CALEDONIA AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 23/1800Z4 IS 12 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Nov 24 20:19:52 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA15726; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 20:19:50 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA04183; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 13:19:42 -0700 (MST) Received: by uxmail.ust.hk via suspension id <102384-9707>; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 04:18:23 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102354-9709>; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 04:09:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA149940; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 13:59:27 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3818715 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 13:59:22 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id NAB30350 for ; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 13:59:21 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA19659 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 13:59:21 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199611241959.NAA19659@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Nov 1996 13:59:21 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 659 WTPS31 PGTW 242100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 18.2S1 164.1E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.2S1 164.1E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 19.0S0 166.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 20.4S6 168.4E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 21.7S0 171.6E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 23.1S6 175.2E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 18.4S3 164.6E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) IS TRACKING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD NORTH OF NEW CALEDONIA. TC 06P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 06P IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN TO WEAKEN AS IT BEGINS TO ENCOUNTER COOLER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 24/1800Z5 IS 14 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 25 01:00:39 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id BAA15930; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 01:00:37 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id SAA19491; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 18:00:30 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102172-28708>; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 08:59:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA63976; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 18:50:08 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3821760 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 18:49:53 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id SAA129674 for ; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 18:48:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id SAA22580 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 24 Nov 1996 18:48:40 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199611250048.SAA22580@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 24 Nov 1996 18:48:40 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 606 WTPS31 PGTW 242100 AMD IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) WARNING NR 004A AMENDED 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 17.6S4 161.4E2 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM REPEAT POSIT: 17.6S4 161.4E2 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 18.0S9 161.5E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 18.7S6 161.9E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 19.3S3 162.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.0S2 164.8E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 17.7S5 161.4E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 02 KNOTS. THIS WARNING IS AMENDED DUE TO A SIGNIFICANT REPOSITIONING OF THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. STRONGER THAN EXPECTED UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE SHEARED THE DEEP CONVECTION AWAY FROM THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER, AND THIS WAS NOT IDENTIFIED UNTIL CONFIRMED BY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING. OUR CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT LOCATION IS HIGH. DUE TO THE NATURE OF THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WE ANTICIPATE THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE WEAKENING. THE ADDITIONAL FACTOR OF COOL OCEAN WATER SHOULD ONLY CONTRIBUTE TO THIS WEAKENING TREND. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250751Z0) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 14 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 25 07:35:10 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id HAA16919; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 07:35:08 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA11365; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 00:35:02 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102194-28713>; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 15:33:42 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA143644; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 01:24:52 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3826652 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 01:24:46 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id BAA69378 for ; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 01:24:46 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA27546 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 01:24:45 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199611250724.BAA27546@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Nov 1996 01:24:45 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 554 WTPS31 PGTW 250900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 250600Z3 --- 18.3S2 160.6E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM REPEAT POSIT: 18.3S2 160.6E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 19.1S1 160.2E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.0S2 160.5E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.8S0 161.0E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.4S7 161.6E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 250900Z6 POSITION 18.5S4 160.5E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 05 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS EXPOSED AND THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING. COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO PREVENT TC 06P FROM RE-INTENSIFYING, ALTHOUGH CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER HAS SLIGHTLY INCREASED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z0 (DTG 251951Z3) AND 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 250600Z3 IS 13 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Nov 25 21:03:47 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id VAA21253; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 21:03:45 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id OAA28213; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 14:03:37 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102447-28710>; Tue, 26 Nov 1996 05:02:18 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA88926; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 14:35:03 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3832122 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 14:34:44 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id NAA170152 for ; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 13:41:49 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA10136 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 25 Nov 1996 13:41:44 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199611251941.NAA10136@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 25 Nov 1996 13:41:44 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 596 WTPS31 PGTW 252100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 19.2S2 160.9E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 19.2S2 160.9E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 20.0S2 161.7E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.9S1 162.8E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 21.7S0 163.6E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 19.4S4 161.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA NEAR NEW CALEDONIA. TC 06P REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS PREVENTING THE SYSTEM FROM INTENSIFYING. TC 06P IS FORECAST TO REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER- LEVEL SHEAR THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND WILL BE DISSIPATED BY THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260751Z1) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261951Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 13 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Nov 26 08:40:25 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA28529; Tue, 26 Nov 1996 08:40:23 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA11300; Tue, 26 Nov 1996 01:40:16 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102352-28198>; Tue, 26 Nov 1996 16:38:54 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA104430; Tue, 26 Nov 1996 02:31:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3838818 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 26 Nov 1996 02:31:19 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id CAA99808 for ; Tue, 26 Nov 1996 02:31:19 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA01612 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 26 Nov 1996 02:31:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199611260831.CAA01612@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 26 Nov 1996 02:31:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 226 WTPS31 PGTW 260900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 20.0S2 163.7E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 20.0S2 163.7E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 20.5S7 166.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 20.1S3 164.4E5 TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) IS HEADING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 07S WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Dec 5 02:28:53 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id CAA05062; Thu, 5 Dec 1996 02:28:51 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR Local/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA00293; Wed, 4 Dec 1996 19:28:43 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102352-5647>; Thu, 5 Dec 1996 10:27:16 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA99460; Wed, 4 Dec 1996 20:08:47 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3910248 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 4 Dec 1996 20:08:27 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA70272 for ; Wed, 4 Dec 1996 20:08:15 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA07453 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 4 Dec 1996 20:08:14 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612050208.UAA07453@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 4 Dec 1996 20:08:14 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 593 WHPS21 PHNC 042300 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 042300Z DEC 96// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 200 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 17.9S7 172.4W4 TO 23.4S9 173.1W2 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 041941Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 18.8S7 172.3W3. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH AT 11 KNOTS. THE NEXT SATELLITE INVESTIGATION IS SCHEDULED FOR 050400Z. 2. REMARKS: METSAT INDICATED SIGNIFICANT DVLPMNT HAS OCCURRED PAST 12 HRS, MOST NOTABLY PAST 4 HRS. 3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 052300Z9.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG87583392338 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Dec 6 00:42:40 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id AAA12607; Fri, 6 Dec 1996 00:42:38 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id RAA27158; Thu, 5 Dec 1996 17:42:29 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102232-3642>; Fri, 6 Dec 1996 08:41:02 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id SAA133600; Thu, 5 Dec 1996 18:04:54 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 3916189 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 5 Dec 1996 17:53:34 -0600 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id RAA106562 for ; Thu, 5 Dec 1996 17:52:40 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id RAA27907 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 5 Dec 1996 17:52:28 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612052352.RAA27907@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 5 Dec 1996 17:52:28 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 189 WHPS21 PHNC 052300 MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION// REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN/042338ZDEC96// AMPN/REF A IS TCFA (WHPS21 PHNC 042300)// RMKS/ 1. LATEST METSAT IMAGERY SHOWS CIRCULATION CAUGHT UP IN WESTERLY FLOW AND MOVING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST WITH DECREASING CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. POTENTIAL FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS POOR AT THIS TIME. 2. CANCEL REF A.// AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHPSGG19933402351 +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Dec 24 02:18:22 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id CAA15606; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 02:18:20 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA26672; Mon, 23 Dec 1996 19:18:13 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102177-23101>; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 10:16:47 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA143954; Mon, 23 Dec 1996 20:11:38 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4068205 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 23 Dec 1996 20:11:33 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA231236 for ; Mon, 23 Dec 1996 20:11:33 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA22575 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 23 Dec 1996 20:11:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612240211.UAA22575@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 23 Dec 1996 20:11:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 447 WTPS32 PGTW 240300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240000Z6 --- 13.3S7 159.5E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 159.5E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z9 --- 14.4S9 159.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 025 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 15.4S0 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 005 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 16.3S0 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 17.3S1 158.8E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 240300Z9 POSITION 13.6S0 159.4E9 NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8). TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) HAS FORMED SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS AND IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 232330Z VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. WIND RADII ARE BASED ON CLIMATOLOGY FOR A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. FERGUS IS FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY SOUTHWARD AND INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU 231521Z DEC 96 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPS21 PGTW 231530 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240000Z IS 13 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. NEXT WARNINGS AT 241500Z2 (DTG 241355Z0) AND 250300Z0 (DTG 250155Z8).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Dec 24 08:42:05 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id IAA17769; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 08:42:02 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id BAA09224; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 01:41:56 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102588-23101>; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 16:40:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id CAA184624; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 02:32:11 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4069535 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 02:32:06 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id CAA154914 for ; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 02:32:06 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id CAA25008 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 02:32:05 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612240832.CAA25008@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Dec 1996 02:32:05 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 782 WTPS31 PGTW 240900 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 240600Z2 --- 14.4S9 139.6E9 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.4S9 139.6E9 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 241800Z5 --- 15.2S8 139.3E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 15.9S5 138.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 16.5S2 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 17.0S8 138.2E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 240900Z5 POSITION 14.6S1 139.5E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (TC 12P) IS CURRENTLY MOVING SOUTH IN THE GULF O F CARPENTARIA AT 06 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS RELOCATED BASED ON 2405 30Z VISIBLE SATELLITE DATA. WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON THE SAME VIS IBLE SATELLITE DATA. TC 12P HAS NOT SHOWN SIGNS OF SIGNIFICANT STRENGT HENING DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THIS SYSTEM IS EXPERIENCING MODERAT E UPPER-LEVEL WIND SHEAR FROM THE EAST WHICH IS INHIBITING INTENSIFICA TION. THE FORECAST FOR TC 12P IS CHANGED TO REFLECT STEERING FLOW WITH A MORE EASTERLY COMPONENT THAN PREVIOUSLY ANTICIPATED. TC 12P IS EXPE CTED TO GENERALLY MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD NORTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AND MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE END OF THE FORECA ST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 240600Z IS 09 FEET. REFE R TO TROPICAL CYCLONE +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Dec 24 14:34:00 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA01174; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 14:33:56 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA19423; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 07:33:41 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102527-23101>; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 22:32:21 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA133562; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 08:24:24 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4070192 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 08:22:58 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA16848 for ; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 08:22:57 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA28724 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 08:22:57 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612241422.IAA28724@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Dec 1996 08:22:57 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 612 WTPS32 PGTW 241500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 002 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241200Z9 --- 13.5S9 158.9E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 158.9E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z7 --- 14.2S7 158.4E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 005 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251200Z0 --- 14.9S4 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 010 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 15.8S4 158.0E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 175 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 16.8S5 158.1E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 241500Z2 POSITION 13.7S1 158.8E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) IS CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE SOLOMON ISLANDS AND TRACKING TO THE SOUTHWEST. TC 13P IS EXPECTED TO GAIN LATITUDE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE TO A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CAUSED BY AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. TC 13P IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AT CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241200Z9 IS 09 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250300Z0 (DTG 250157Z0) AND 251500Z3 (DTG 251357Z3). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Tue Dec 24 20:45:10 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA01771; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 20:45:06 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA01427; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 13:44:58 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102571-23101>; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 04:43:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA154958; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 14:30:43 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4072230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 14:30:35 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id OAA138812 for ; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 14:30:34 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA01571 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Tue, 24 Dec 1996 14:30:32 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612242030.OAA01571@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Tue, 24 Dec 1996 14:30:32 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 820 WTPS31 PGTW 242100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 241800Z5 --- 14.1S6 138.9E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 03 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 14.1S6 138.9E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 250600Z3 --- 14.4S9 138.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 251800Z6 --- 14.8S3 136.7E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 15.0S6 135.2E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 15.1S7 133.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 242100Z9 POSITION 14.2S7 138.7E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (TC 12P) IS SLOWLY MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. WE EXPECT TC 12P TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY UNTIL MAKING FORECASTED LANDFALL IN 36 HOURS. TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN OVER LAND AND REMAIN ON A WESTWARD TRACK AND MAY POSSIBLY REINTENSIFY SHOULD IT MAKE IT BACK OVER WATER IN THE SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN. NEXT WARNINGS AT 250900Z6 (DTG 250753Z2) AND 252100Z0 (DTG 251953Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 241800Z5 IS 14 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Dec 25 14:13:26 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA03301; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 14:13:19 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA05437; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 07:13:00 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102225-14495>; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 22:11:37 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA150714; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 08:07:46 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4074563 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 08:07:41 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA81556 for ; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 08:03:24 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA08882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 08:03:23 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612251403.IAA08882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Dec 1996 08:03:23 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 725 WTPS32 PGTW 251500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z0 --- 10.8S9 159.6E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 005 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.8S9 159.6E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z8 --- 10.7S8 161.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 015 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 11.8S0 163.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.2S6 164.5E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 020 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 14.8S3 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 020 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 251500Z3 POSITION 10.8S9 160.0E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) HAS MAINTAINED ITS INTENSITY OF 55 KNOTS AS IT MOVES TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST IN THE SOLOMON SEA, NEAR GUADALCANAL ISLAND. FURTHER INTENSIFICATION IS ANTICIPATED. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ACCELERATE IN ITS FORWARD MOTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z1 (DTG 260157Z1) AND 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Wed Dec 25 20:05:20 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA03642; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 20:05:17 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA16771; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 13:05:10 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102226-14495>; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 04:03:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id NAA63168; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 13:58:44 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4075556 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 13:58:40 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id NAA84658 for ; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 13:58:39 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id NAA10493 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 13:58:38 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612251958.NAA10493@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Dec 1996 13:58:38 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 655 WTPS31 PGTW 252100 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 251800Z6 --- 13.2S6 139.0E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 050 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.2S6 139.0E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260600Z4 --- 13.4S8 138.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 13.5S9 137.9E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE 060 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 13.8S2 137.2E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 13.9S3 136.5E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 060 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 252100Z0 POSITION 13.2S6 138.9E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P IS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. TC 12P IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD COURSE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. WE BELIEVE TC 12P WILL NOT INTENSIFY FURTHER DUE TO THE UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR PRESENTLY ON THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z6 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z7 (DTG 260753Z3) AND 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Dec 26 01:19:32 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id BAA03990; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 01:19:29 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id SAA26923; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 18:19:21 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102153-29729>; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 09:17:44 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id TAA150596; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 19:13:22 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4076253 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 19:13:09 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id TAA150052 for ; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 19:13:09 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id TAA11982 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Wed, 25 Dec 1996 19:13:08 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612260113.TAA11982@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Wed, 25 Dec 1996 19:13:08 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 470 WTPS32 PGTW 260300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260000Z8 --- 10.6S7 160.8E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, SYNOPTIC DATA AND EXTRAPOLATION PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 10.6S7 160.8E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z1 --- 11.3S5 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 12.3S6 163.2E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 13.6S0 164.6E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 15.1S7 165.9E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 120 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 260300Z1 POSITION 10.8S9 161.1E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) IS MOVING EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE TC 13P HAS INTENSIFIED DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS AND METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS FAVOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM THE REGION HAVE HAD SEA LEVEL PRESSURE REPORTS AS LOW AS 995 MB. SHIP REPORTS FROM VESSEL 3FRR5 HAVE BEEN USEFUL IN ESTABLISHING THE GALE WIND RADII. TC 13P HAS COMPLETED THE LOOP IN ITS TRACK AND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SLOWLY ACCELERATING DOWN THE TROUGH AXIS DURING THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261357Z4) AND 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 17 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Dec 26 07:33:20 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id HAA04489; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 07:33:18 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id AAA09660; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 00:33:08 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102299-29729>; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 15:31:41 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id BAA244650; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 01:26:53 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4077558 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 01:26:48 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id BAA150584 for ; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 01:25:47 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id BAA14028 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 01:25:46 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612260725.BAA14028@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Dec 1996 01:25:46 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 226 WTPS31 PGTW 260900 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (PHIL) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 260600Z4 --- 13.3S7 135.8E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND RADAR PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S7 135.8E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 261800Z7 --- 13.2S6 133.6E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 13.2S6 131.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 13.5S9 129.5E7 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 13.7S1 127.3E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 260900Z7 POSITION 13.3S7 135.3E2 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (PHIL) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT APPROXIMATELY 10 KNOTS. IT HAS MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE WESTERN COASTLINE OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN TERRITORY, PASSING SOUTH OF DARWIN. IT SHOULD MOVE INTO THE TIMOR SEA WITHIN 36 HOURS AND BEGIN TO REINTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6) AND 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 14 FEET IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNINGS (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Dec 26 14:54:22 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA05597; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 14:54:19 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA23963; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 07:54:04 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102300-29729>; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 22:52:33 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA19610; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 08:46:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4078306 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 08:46:17 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA174988 for ; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 08:46:17 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA18408 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 08:46:16 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612261446.IAA18408@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Dec 1996 08:46:16 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 873 WTPS32 PGTW 261500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 006 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261200Z1 --- 12.2S5 161.5E3 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 12.2S5 161.5E3 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z9 --- 13.7S1 162.0E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 15.6S2 163.0E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 17.4S2 164.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 19.1S1 165.7E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 055 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 261500Z4 POSITION 12.6S9 161.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA. TC 13P IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AND TO INTENSIFY THROUGH THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. FERGUS WILL BEGIN WEAKENING BEYOND THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS IT BEGINS TRANSITIONING INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270300Z2 (DTG 270157Z2) AND 271500Z5 (DTG 271357Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (PHIL)(WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE- HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Thu Dec 26 20:59:45 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id UAA07220; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 20:59:42 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id NAA06967; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 13:59:34 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102347-29729>; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 04:58:14 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id OAA231268; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 14:52:56 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4079888 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 14:52:48 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id OAA28582 for ; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 14:52:12 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id OAA20882 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 14:52:11 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612262052.OAA20882@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Dec 1996 14:52:11 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 913 WTPS31 PGTW 262100 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (PHIL) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 261800Z7 --- 13.6S0 133.3E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT REPEAT POSIT: 13.6S0 133.3E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 270600Z5 --- 13.7S1 131.3E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 271800Z8 --- 13.9S3 129.3E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 280600Z6 --- 14.2S7 127.1E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 281800Z9 --- 14.9S4 124.7E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT --- REMARKS: 262100Z1 POSITION 13.6S0 132.8E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (PHIL) IS TRACKING WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. PHIL IS WEAKENING AS IT CROSSES LAND. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD. INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE TIMOR SEA. NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4) AND 272100Z2 (DTG 271953Z7). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z7 IS 14 FEET IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. FUTURE BULLETINS ON THIS SYSTEM WILL BE REFERRED TO AS WTXS31 PGTW AS THE SYSTEM PASSES FROM THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC BASIN INTO THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN BASIN. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) (WTPS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Dec 27 02:46:43 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id CAA08377; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 02:46:41 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id TAA19768; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 19:46:28 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102261-16710>; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 10:45:08 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id UAA144266; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 20:38:06 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4080951 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 20:38:01 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id UAA201084 for ; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 20:38:01 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id UAA22687 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Thu, 26 Dec 1996 20:38:00 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612270238.UAA22687@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Thu, 26 Dec 1996 20:38:00 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 616 WTPS32 PGTW 270300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 007 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 270000Z9 --- 13.5S9 163.6E6 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 13 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 13.5S9 163.6E6 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z2 --- 15.6S2 165.1E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 14 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 18.1S0 166.5E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 20.9S1 168.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 16 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.8S3 169.6E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 270300Z2 POSITION 14.0S5 164.0E1 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) IS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 13 KNOTS. IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. WE EXPECT TC 13P TO REACH PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS AND THEN BEGIN A SLOW WEAKENING TREND AS THE SYSTEM TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW ALONG THE EXISTING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 271500Z5 (DTG 271355Z3) AND 280300Z3 (DTG 280155Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z9 IS 18 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (PHIL) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Fri Dec 27 14:36:09 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA01168; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 14:36:06 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA12862; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 07:35:56 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102372-16710>; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 22:34:28 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA277148; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 08:29:15 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4083236 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 08:29:07 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA84562 for ; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 08:29:07 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA28704 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 08:29:06 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612271429.IAA28704@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Dec 1996 08:29:06 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 588 WTPS32 PGTW 271500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 008 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 271200Z2 --- 16.3S0 165.5E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 100 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 165.5E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 280000Z0 --- 18.9S8 166.9E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.2S5 168.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.2S7 169.2E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 13 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.6S3 170.4E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 271500Z5 POSITION 17.0S8 165.8E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) IS TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA. TC 13P HAS MAINTAINED ITS CURRENT INTENSITY FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS SOUTHEASTWARD AND BEGINS EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3 (DTG 280157Z3) AND 281500Z6 (DTG 281357Z6). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 27/1200Z2 IS 18 FEET.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Dec 28 03:46:50 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id DAA03609; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 03:46:48 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA10631; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 20:46:38 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102204-7922>; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 11:45:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA84608; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 21:32:25 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4085860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 21:32:19 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id VAA215644 for ; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 21:32:18 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA03170 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Fri, 27 Dec 1996 21:32:18 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612280332.VAA03170@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Fri, 27 Dec 1996 21:32:18 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 494 WTPS32 PGTW 280300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 280000Z0 --- 18.6S5 168.0E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 18.6S5 168.0E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z3 --- 21.0S3 169.7E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 045 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 125 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 13 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.1S6 171.4E3 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 120 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 25.7S4 173.3E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 115 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 28.6S6 175.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 280300Z3 POSITION 19.2S2 168.4E9 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) IS CURRENTLY TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS. WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE DATA AND SURFACE SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM BURTONFIELD (WMO 91565) AND BAUERFIELD (WMO 91557). THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 90 KNOTS IS BASED ON A SATELLITE- DERIVED CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE USING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES FERGUS HAS PEAKED IN INTENSITY AND HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF WEAKENING. FERGUS IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THE SAME GENERAL MOTION TO THE SOUTHEAST BUT ACCELERATE TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER STEERING FLOW FROM THE NORTHEAST. TC 13P IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280000Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6 (DTG 281357Z6) AND 290300Z4 (DTG 290157Z4).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sat Dec 28 14:22:02 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA06823; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 14:21:59 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA29755; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 07:21:52 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102386-7922>; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 22:20:31 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA23540; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 08:12:45 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4087230 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 08:12:27 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA222160 for ; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 08:12:26 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA08227 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 08:12:26 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612281412.IAA08227@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Dec 1996 08:12:26 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 214 WTPS32 PGTW 281500 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 010 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 281200Z3 --- 21.2S5 170.2E0 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 21.2S5 170.2E0 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z1 --- 23.7S2 171.9E8 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 26.4S2 174.0E2 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 29.5S6 176.2E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 090 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 19 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 32.7S2 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 015 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 080 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 281500Z6 POSITION 21.8S1 170.6E4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) HAS JUST PASSED TO THE EAST OF WMO 91568 (ANEITYUM ISLAND). AT 28/0800Z8 WMO 91568 WAS REPORTING EXTREMELY LOW PRESSURES (966 MB) BUT RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS (20 KNOTS), INDICATING THAT THEY WERE IN THE EYE OF TC 13P AT THAT TIME. TC 13P HAS SINCE MOVED PAST ANEITYUM ISLAND AND IS TRACKING TO THE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST. FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS IN PREVIOUS WARNINGS. TC 13P IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 36 HOURS WHILE MAINTAINING A GENERALLY SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK. WARNING AND FORECASTED WIND RADII HAVE BEEN SHRUNK IN AGREEMENT WITH A 28/0636Z5 MICROWAVE IMAGERY ANALYSIS PROVIDED BY AIR FORCE GLOBAL WEATHER CENTRAL AS WELL AS SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281200Z3 IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290157Z4) AND 291500Z7 (DTG 291357Z7).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Dec 29 03:20:49 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id DAA07714; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 03:20:47 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA21924; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 20:20:40 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102161-25922>; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 11:19:13 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA175158; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 21:12:28 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4090674 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 21:12:23 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id VAA247336 for ; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 21:12:23 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA12561 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sat, 28 Dec 1996 21:12:22 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612290312.VAA12561@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sat, 28 Dec 1996 21:12:22 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 254 WTPS32 PGTW 290300 IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 011 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 290000Z1 --- 24.1S7 173.0E1 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 145 DEGREES AT 19 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 110 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 24.1S7 173.0E1 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z4 --- 27.2S1 175.6E9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 040 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 105 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 30.3S6 178.5E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 030 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 100 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 22 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 33.7S3 178.3W9 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 025 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 23 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 36.7S6 173.9W0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 290300Z4 POSITION 24.9S5 173.7E8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) CONTINUES MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD TO THE SOUTHEAST OF NEW CALEDONIA. WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. FERGUS IS EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AS IT PICKS UP STRONGER STEERING FLOW AHEAD OF A MID-LATITUDE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. FERGUS IS FORECAST TO COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 291500Z7 (DTG 291357Z7) AND 300300Z6 (DTG 300157Z6).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Sun Dec 29 14:23:59 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id OAA08690; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 14:23:56 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id HAA11142; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 07:23:47 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102227-25922>; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 22:22:19 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id IAA175048; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 08:14:07 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4092316 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 08:13:59 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id IAA173180 for ; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 08:13:59 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id IAA17778 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 08:13:58 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612291413.IAA17778@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Dec 1996 08:13:58 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 336 WTPS32 PGTW 291500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z4 --- 27.5S4 175.2E5 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 21 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 27.5S4 175.2E5 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z3 --- 31.6S0 177.0E5 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 085 NM ELSEWHERE VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 26 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 36.8S7 177.9E4 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 33 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 43.0S7 179.4W1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 291500Z7 POSITION 28.5S5 175.7E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) HAS PICKED UP SPEED AND IS CURRENTLY MOVING AT 21 KNOTS NORTH OF NEW ZEALAND. WE EXPECT TC 13P TO WEAKEN AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300157Z6) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301357Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Dec 30 03:13:23 1996 Received: from ncar.UCAR.EDU by pinon.mmm.ucar.EDU (940816.SGI.8.6.9/ NCAR Mail Server 04/10/90) id DAA09744; Mon, 30 Dec 1996 03:13:21 GMT Received: from uxmail.ust.hk by ncar.ucar.EDU (NCAR 12/5/96/ NCAR Central Post Office 03/11/93) id UAA04396; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 20:13:13 -0700 (MST) Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102178-12763>; Mon, 30 Dec 1996 11:11:45 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id VAA227640; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 21:03:21 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4096860 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 21:03:14 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id VAA143884 for ; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 21:00:51 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id VAA22440 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Sun, 29 Dec 1996 21:00:50 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612300300.VAA22440@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Sun, 29 Dec 1996 21:00:50 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: O X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 802 WTPS32 PGTW 300300 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 300000Z3 --- 32.5S0 176.0E4 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 175 DEGREES AT 27 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 035 NM ELSEWHERE RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 095 NM ELSEWHERE REPEAT POSIT: 32.5S0 176.0E4 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z6 --- 37.8S8 177.1E6 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 085 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 165 DEG/ 30 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 43.5S2 179.3E0 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE 075 NM ELSEWHERE --- REMARKS: 300300Z6 POSITION 33.8S4 176.3E7 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE AND IS MOVING SOUTH AT 27 KNOTS. FERGUS SHOULD BE NEAR THE NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND WITHIN 12 HOURS AS IT CONTINUES ITS TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. FERGUS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME FULLY EXTRATROPICAL WITHIN 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301357Z9).// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html. From owner-wx-tropl@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU Mon Dec 30 21:28:14 1996 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu ([128.174.5.11]) by uxmail.ust.hk with SMTP id <102306-22283>; Mon, 30 Dec 1996 21:28:06 +0800 Received: from postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu [128.174.5.11]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with SMTP id HAA79258; Mon, 30 Dec 1996 07:23:02 -0600 Received: from POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU by POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU (LISTSERV-TCP/IP release 1.8b) with spool id 4098964 for WX-TROPL@POSTOFFICE.CSO.UIUC.EDU; Mon, 30 Dec 1996 07:22:56 +1800 Received: from delyte.lib.siu.edu (delyte.lib.siu.edu [131.230.73.222]) by postoffice.cso.uiuc.edu (8.6.12/8.6.12) with ESMTP id HAA197758 for ; Mon, 30 Dec 1996 07:22:56 -0600 Received: (from ldm@localhost) by delyte.lib.siu.edu (8.7.5/8.7.3) id HAA28070 for wx-tropl@po.uiuc.edu; Mon, 30 Dec 1996 07:22:55 -0600 (CST) Message-ID: <199612301322.HAA28070@delyte.lib.siu.edu> Date: Mon, 30 Dec 1996 07:22:55 -0600 Reply-To: WXMASTER@LIB.SIU.EDU Sender: WX-TROPL Tropical Storm and Hurricane WX products From: SIU Weather Processor Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic) To: Multiple recipients of list WX-TROPL Status: OR X-Mozilla-Status: 8001 X-Mozilla-Status2: 00000000 508 WTPS32 PGTW 301500 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 014 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE --- WARNING POSITION: 301200Z6 --- 38.1S2 176.3E7 MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 28 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 035 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE OVER WATER 095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 38.1S2 176.3E7 --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z4 --- 43.3S0 177.6E1 MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT EXTRATROPICAL --- REMARKS: 301500Z9 POSITION 39.4S6 176.6E0 TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) IS CURRENTLY MAKING LANDFALL ON THE NORTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND. CURRENT WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY AS WELL AS SYNOPTIC REPORTS FROM NORTH ISLAND (HICKS BAY (WMO 93196) AND MOKOHINAU (WMO 93069)). CURRENT WIND RADII BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF THE PREVIOUS WARNING WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH THE ABOVE MENTIONED SYNOPTIC DATA. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS WHILE CONTINUING ITS SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT. ALTHOUGH NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE THE REMNANTS OF TC 13P WILL REMAIN A POWERFUL WEATHER SYSTEM. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER (NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// +-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+ To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to LISTSERV@PO.UIUC.EDU with "unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with the WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to chris@siu.edu or see http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.