Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -160933 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 09:33:29 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 87391
WTPN32 PGTW 161500
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 011
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   161200Z0 --- 21.9N2 141.7E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 21.9N2 141.7E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   170000Z8 --- 23.5N0 141.5E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   171200Z1 --- 25.3N0 141.5E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   180000Z9 --- 27.2N1 142.4E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
161500Z3 POSITION 22.3N7  141.7E3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD DURING THE
PAST 06 HOURS AND HAS DEVELOPED A SMALL AREA OF DEEP
CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER LIKE IT HAS AT THIS TIME FOR
THE PAST 3 NIGHTS. TD 31W REFUSES TO GO AWAY AND
OCCASIONAL 30 KNOTS INTENSITY MAY OCCUR IN THE BRIEF
CONVECTIVE BURSTS. HOWEVER, THIS SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY
ORGANIZED EXCEPT FOR THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION AND IS NOW
LOCATED ON THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS. AS A RESULT, TD
31W SHOULD GRADUALLY TURN MORE TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND
PASS OVER OR NEAR CHICHI-JIMA (WMO 47981) IN ABOUT 36
HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 170300Z1 (DTG 170153Z7) AND
171500Z4 (DTG 171353Z0). IF THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING
CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL
REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A STANDARD 72 HOUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.  OTHERWISE, 36
HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE UPDATED EVERY
12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z IS
10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL)
WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER
TO TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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