Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -231448 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 23 Oct 1996 14:48:39 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 75076
WTPN31 PGTW 232100
1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 012
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   231800Z4 --- 21.5N8 145.0E0
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            100 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 21.5N8 145.0E0
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   240600Z2 --- 23.8N3 145.1E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            120 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 16 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   241800Z5 --- 27.0N9 145.7E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 210 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            130 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 20 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   250600Z3 --- 30.8N1 147.4E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            140 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 21 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   251800Z6 --- 34.2N9 150.2E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            130 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 21 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   261800Z7 --- 39.5N7 158.1E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
232100Z8 POSITION 22.1N5  145.0E0
TYPHOON CARLO (33W) IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TY CARLO HAS A 15 NM
CLOUD FILLED EYE. THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS
REMAINED STEADY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. IT IS FORECAST TO
INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY MORE WHILE IT MOVES INTO THE WEAKNESS OF
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BEYOND 24 HOURS IT SHOULD BEGIN TO
WEAKEN DUE TO MOVING INTO AN ENVIRONMENT OF SIGNIFICANT
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS ANTICIPATED TO
BEGIN WITHIN 48 HOURS AND BE COMPLETE BY 72 HOURS (26/1800Z).
NEXT WARNINGS AT 240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5), 240900Z5 (DTG
240753Z1), 241500Z2 (DTG 241353Z8) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241953Z4).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231800Z4 IS 25 FEET. REFER
TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

NNNN

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