Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132115 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 13 Oct 1996 21:15:20 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 84951
WTPN32 PGTW 140300
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 004
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   140000Z5 --- 15.8N4 147.3E5
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N4 147.3E5
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   141200Z8 --- 16.3N0 145.8E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   150000Z6 --- 16.9N6 144.2E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   151200Z9 --- 17.4N2 142.6E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z7 --- 17.9N7 140.9E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   170000Z8 --- 18.9N8 137.9E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
140300Z8 POSITION 15.9N5  146.9E0
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL MARIANAS. TD 31W HAS BECOME POORLY ORGANIZED
OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION
LOCATED SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TD 31W
IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MODERATE NORTHERLY UPPER-LEVEL
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WHICH IS HINDERING THE
INTENSIFICATION OF THE SYSTEM. TD 31W IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND TO SLOWLY
INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140753Z0),
141500Z1 (DTG 141353Z7), 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND
150300Z9 (DTG 150153Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS 10 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM ABEL (30W) (WTPN31 PGTW) AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION
32W (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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