Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260353 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 03:53:47 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 113077
WTPN32 PGTW 260900
1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 010
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   260600Z4 --- 19.8N8 128.5E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            145 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.8N8 128.5E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   261800Z7 --- 21.0N3 126.8E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            150 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   270600Z5 --- 21.7N0 125.2E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            165 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   271800Z8 --- 22.3N7 123.8E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            180 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   280600Z6 --- 23.5N0 123.3E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z7 --- 25.3N0 123.1E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
260900Z7 POSITION 20.1N3  128.1E2
DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS, TYPHOON ZANE (29W) HAS RAPIDLY
INTENSIFIED AS THE UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW TO THE NORTH HAS
LINKED UP WITH THE MID-LATITUDE SOUTHWESTERLIES. ZANE IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY FOR THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS AND POSSIBLY REACH SUPER TYPHOON INTENSITY
WITHIN 24 HOURS. TYPHOON ZANE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
A WEAK STEERING FLOW PATTERN BY THE 24 TO 36 HOUR
TIME PERIOD AND TRACK SLOWLY NORTHWARD TO THE EAST OF
TAIWAN. HOWEVER, THE FLOW PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
COMPLEX AND RECURVATURE CAN NOT BE RULED OUT AT THIS
TIME. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261353Z0), 262100Z1
(DTG 261953Z6), 270300Z2 (DTG 270153Z8) AND 270900Z8 (DTG
270753Z4). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z IS
26 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES 28W (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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