Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 29 Dec 1996 08:13:58 -0600

336
WTPS32 PGTW 291500
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) WARNING NR 012
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   291200Z4 --- 27.5S4 175.2E5
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 150 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            095 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 27.5S4 175.2E5
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   300000Z3 --- 31.6S0 177.0E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 26 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   301200Z6 --- 36.8S7 177.9E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 160 DEG/ 33 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   310000Z4 --- 43.0S7 179.4W1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
291500Z7 POSITION 28.5S5  175.7E0
TROPICAL CYCLONE 13P (FERGUS) HAS PICKED UP SPEED AND IS
CURRENTLY MOVING AT 21 KNOTS NORTH OF NEW ZEALAND. WE
EXPECT TC 13P TO WEAKEN AND COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT
300300Z6 (DTG 300157Z6) AND 301500Z9 (DTG 301357Z9).//

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