Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -030011 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 03 Nov 1996 00:11:21 -0600

ZCZC DD+ 86669
ABPW10 PGTW 030600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/030600Z/040600ZNOV96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/030151ZNOV96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 030000Z3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W WAS LOCATED
AT 14.5N0 107.2E0, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 21 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS.  SEE REF A (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 35W
WARNING NR 05 (WTPN31 PGTW 030300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
6N6 140E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 138E2. THE CIRCULATION
CENTER IS SITUATED WITHIN THE MONSOON TROUGH AND
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. WATER
VAPOR DERIVED WINDS AND IMAGERY INDICATE AN UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1004
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8
150E6.  SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED AT THE ABOVE
POSITION. WATER-VAPOR DERIVED WINDS AND IMAGERY INDICATE
DIVERGENT FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
FAIR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/PUGH//

NNNN

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