Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -060012 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 06 Oct 1996 00:12:25 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 60518
ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/060600Z /070600Z OCT 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
16N7 149E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18N9 145E0 AND HAS
WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY. ORGANIZATION HAS DECREASED IN
ADVANCE OF A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM/SHEAR LINE NORTH OF
THE REGION. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
6N6 159E5 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7N7 154E0. BOTH RECENT
SCATTEROMETER DATA, WINDS DERIVED FROM VISUAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE A WEAK
SURFACE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEAST PORTION
OF THE MAIN CONVECTIVE AREA. CONVECTION OVER THIS AREA IS
NOT WELL ORGANIZED AS MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR
EXIST OVER THE REGION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE
FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/BOGLE/PUGH//

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