Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -240050 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 24 Sep 1996 00:50:11 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 54415
ABPW10 PGTW 240600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/240600Z/250600Z SEP 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240151Z SEP 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/240153Z SEP 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
       (1) AT 240000Z6 TYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT
16.3N0 152.7E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 115 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
140 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON YATES (28W) WARNING NR 06
(WTPN31 PGTW 240300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
       (2) AT 240000Z6 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W WAS
LOCATED AT 14.3N8 139.7E0, MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT
26 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 29W WARNING NR 01 (WTPN32 PGTW 240300)) AND
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
   (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
 (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
8.1N9 144.6E5 HAS DEVELOPED INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W.
      (2) AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 08N8 171.5E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 167E4. A WEAK
LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BENEATH A BROAD
UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR DUE TO A LACK OF PERSISTENT, ORGANIZED DEEP
CONVECTION.
      (3) AN AREA OF MODERATE CONVECTION MENTIONED
PREVIOUSLY NEAR 09.5N4 126.5E4 HAS REMAINED NEARLY
STATIONARY. SYNOPTIC AND SATELLITE DATA INDICATE TWO WEAK
LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATIONS IN THE MONSOON TROUGH
BENEATH A REGION OF WEAK UPPER-LEVEL DIFLUENCE. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR DUE TO INTERACTION WITH
THE MOUNTAINOUS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ISLANDS.
      (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/KALAFSKY/DEOCARIZA/BOYD//

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