Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140931 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 09:31:31 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 79121
WTPN32 PGTW 141500
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W WARNING NR 006
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   141200Z8 --- 16.9N6 146.2E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 146.2E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   150000Z6 --- 17.8N6 144.7E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   151200Z9 --- 18.6N5 143.3E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z7 --- 19.5N5 141.8E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   161200Z0 --- 20.5N7 140.3E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   171200Z1 --- 23.0N5 138.4E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
141500Z1 POSITION 17.1N9  145.8E8
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 31W HAS TRACKED STEADILY
NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST 06 HOURS WHILE MAINTAINING
ITS INTENSITY. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS UNDER SIGNIFICANT
NORTHERLY SHEAR AND OCCASIONAL FLARE-UPS OF DEEP
CONVECTION NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM CENTER CAN BE
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS BEFORE THE SHEAR
DECREASES ENOUGH TO ALLOW THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP. MINIMUM
SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1002 MB. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141955Z5), 150300Z9 (DTG
150155Z7) 150900Z5 (DTG 150755Z3) AND 151500Z2 (DTG
151355Z0). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141200Z IS
12 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM ABEL (30W) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 32W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//

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