Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -220113 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 22 Sep 1996 01:13:58 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 10058
ABPW10 PGTW 220600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/220600Z/230600Z SEP 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220157Z SEP 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220153Z SEP 96//
REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/220051Z SEP 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 220000Z4 TYPHOON VIOLET (26W) WAS LOCATED AT
32.5N 139.3E6, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 20 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 75 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 090 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON VIOLET (26W)
WARNING NR 040 (WTPN33 PGTW 220300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 220000Z4 TROPICAL STORM WILLIE (27W) WAS
LOCATED AT 19.2N2 106.8E5, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL STORM
WILLIE (27W) WARNING NR 018 (WTPN32 PGTW 220300)) AND
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
12.0N3 164.0E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N5 161.0E8 AND IS
THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE
REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21
PGTW 220100)) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
5N5 152E8 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5N5 145E0. ENHANCED
INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUE TO
INDICATE A MARKED INCREASE IN CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. MOST OF THE CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS MONSOON DEPRESSION IS CONFINED TO
THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER.
CURRENTLY THERE IS NOT A PERSISTENT CONVECTIVE FEATURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
FAIR.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/BOGLE/PUGH//

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