Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -132119 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 13 Aug 1996 21:19:47 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 46829
WTPN31 PGTW 140300
1. TYPHOON KIRK (13W) WARNING NR 042
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   140000Z5 --- 32.2N7 130.3E7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 035 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 250 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 32.2N7 130.3E7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   141200Z8 --- 36.2N1 132.8E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            135 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 26 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   150000Z6 --- 39.6N8 137.9E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 160 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            125 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 26 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   151200Z9 --- 41.8N3 144.1E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            110 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z7 --- 43.1N8 150.0E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   170000Z8 --- 45.8N7 162.4E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
140300Z8 POSITION 33.2N8  130.9E3
TYPHOON KIRK (13W) IS MAKING LANDFALL ON KYUSHU AT THIS
TIME. STRONG STEERING FLOW FROM THE ANTICYCLONE TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF TY KIRK IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE TY KIRK QUICKLY
ACROSS THE ISLAND AND BACK OUT TO WATER OVER THE SEA OF
JAPAN WITHIN THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS. THE TERRAIN OF KYUSHU
SHOULD SIGNIFICANTLY DIMINISH THE INTENSITY OF TY KIRK AS
IT CROSSES THE ISLAND, ALTHOUGH IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
AT TYPHOON INTENSITY UNTIL LATER IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AFTER TY KIRK CROSSES NORTHERN HONSHU ON ITS WAY BACK OUT
TO THE PACIFIC OCEAN IT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION. COMPLETE TRANSITION INTO
AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW IS ANTICIPATED BETWEEN 48 AND 72
HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 140900Z4 (DTG 140751Z8), 141500Z1
(DTG 141351Z5), 142100Z8 (DTG 141951Z1) AND 150300Z9 (DTG
150151Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140000Z5 IS
32 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15W AND 16W
WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW AND WTPN33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY
UPDATES ON THOSE SYSTEMS.//

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