Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -222134 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 22 Oct 1996 21:34:22 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 77912
WTPN31 PGTW 230300
1. TYPHOON CARLO (33W) WARNING NR 009
   UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W)
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   230000Z5 --- 20.1N3 145.3E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            025 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 145.3E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z8 --- 21.3N6 143.5E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z6 --- 22.2N6 142.7E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z9 --- 23.5N0 141.9E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z7 --- 25.4N1 141.9E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   260000Z8 --- 30.4N7 144.6E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 105 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
230300Z8 POSITION 20.4N6  144.8E7
TYPHOON CARLO (33W) IS TRACKING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR THE
NORTHERN MARIANAS. CARLO IS FORECAST TO COME UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF INCREASED VERTICAL WIND SHEAR BETWEEN THE 24- AND
THE 48-HOUR FORECAST POSITION WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE
WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230900Z4 (DTG
230753Z0), 231500Z1 (DTG 231353Z7), 232100Z8 (DTG 231953Z3) AND
240300Z9 (DTG 240153Z5). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
230000Z5 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA
HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

NNNN

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