Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -140200 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 14 Nov 1996 02:00:31 -0600

ZCZC DD+ 52794
WTPN32 PGTW 140900
1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 039
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   140600Z1 --- 13.6N0 113.9E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.6N0 113.9E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   141800Z4 --- 12.8N1 111.7E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   150600Z2 --- 12.1N4 109.4E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   151800Z5 --- 11.6N8 107.4E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   160600Z3 --- 11.2N4 105.4E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   170600Z4 --- 10.4N5 101.4E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
140900Z4 POSITION 13.4N8  113.3E8
TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) CONTINUES TRACKING
SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA.  ERNIE IS A SMALL
SYSTEM WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION.
THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE HINDERED BY
MODERATE UPPER-LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.  THE LOW-LEVEL
NORTHEAST MONSOON FLOW SHOULD PREVENT ERNIE FROM GAINING
MUCH LATITUDE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.  ERNIE IS
FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN SOUTHEAST VIETNAM NEAR THE
24-HOUR FORECAST POSITION.  NEXT WARNINGS AT 141500Z1
(DTG 141357Z1), 142100Z8 (DTG 141957Z7), 150300Z9 (DTG
150157Z9) AND 150900Z5 (DTG 150757Z5).  MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 14/0600Z1 IS 14 FEET.  REFER
TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.//

NNNN

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