Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -260853 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 26 Sep 1996 08:53:35 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 113554
WTPN32 PGTW 261500
1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 011
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   261200Z1 --- 20.1N3 127.7E7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            145 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.1N3 127.7E7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   270000Z9 --- 20.8N0 126.6E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            150 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   271200Z2 --- 21.4N7 125.4E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 195 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            165 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   280000Z0 --- 22.0N4 124.3E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 205 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   281200Z3 --- 22.5N9 124.2E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            180 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   291200Z4 --- 23.2N7 124.7E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 215 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            170 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
261500Z4 POSITION 20.3N5  127.4E4
TYPHOON ZANE (29W) IS TRACKING NORTHWESTWARD IN THE
PHILIPPINE SEA AT 8 KNOTS. ZANE IS FORECAST TO SLOW ITS
FORWARD MOTION OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN RESPONSE TO
INCREASED NORTHERLY STEERING FLOW IMPINGING ON THE
SYSTEM. ZANE WILL GRADUALLY TURN NORTHEASTWARD AFTER THE
36- HOUR FORECAST POSITION AS THE MONSOON TROUGH BECOMES
REVERSE ORIENTED. ZANE IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THROUGH
THE 36-HOUR FORECAST POSITION AND THEN WEAKEN SLIGHTLY
THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 (DTG 261953Z6), 270300Z2 (DTG
270153Z8), 270900Z8 (DTG 270753Z4) AND 271500Z5 (DTG
271353Z1). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z1 IS
28 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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