Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -040933 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 04 Sep 1996 09:33:22 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 100113
ABPW10 PGTW 041300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/041300Z/050600Z SEP 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/032251Z AUG 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:  NONE
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
12N3 137E1  IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.3N7 134.7E5 AND IS THE
SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT. SEE REF A
(TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 032300))
FOR FURTHER DETAILS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
GOOD.
      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 10N1
151E7. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE
INCREASED CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION. AT 041200Z7, THE CIRCULATION CENTER WAS
LOCATED NEAR 11.4N6 151.0E7. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
FAIR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: TREHUBENKO/MCELROY/MEST/HONG//

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