Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -010012 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 01 Oct 1996 00:12:47 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 48908
ABPW10 PGTW 010600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/010600Z /020600Z OCT 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010151Z OCT 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/010153Z OCT 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 010000Z1 TYPHOON YATES (28W) WAS LOCATED AT
33.6N2 149.7E1, MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 26 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TYPHOON YATES (28W)
WARNING NR 34 (WTPN31 PGTW 010300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 010000Z1 TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WAS LOCATED AT
28.5N0 134.1E9, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 18 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 70 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 85 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING
NR 29 (WTPN32 PGTW 010300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
12N3 117E9 HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR 17N8 118E0.
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE PRESENCE OF A
LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
DISTURBANCE. WATER-VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE THE
SYSTEM IS LOCATED BENEATH A WELL-DEFINED UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE, WHICH IS ENHANCING CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED OVER THE PAST 24
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/BOGLE/PUGH//

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