Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -190312 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 19 Aug 1996 03:12:32 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 80869
WTPN31 PGTW 190900
1. TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   190600Z6 --- 17.5N3 124.2E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N3 124.2E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   191800Z9 --- 17.5N3 121.8E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z8 --- 17.6N4 119.9E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   201800Z1 --- 17.7N5 117.6E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   210600Z9 --- 18.0N9 115.3E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   220600Z0 --- 19.1N1 111.3E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            095 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
190900Z9 POSITION 17.5N3  123.6E2
TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) IS TRACKING WESTWARD IN THE
PHILIPPINE SEA. NIKI IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ON
LUZON BY THE 12-HOUR FORECAST POSITION. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT CROSSES LUZON THEN REORGANIZE
AND REINTENSIFY AS IT ENCOUNTERS THE WARM WATERS OF THE
SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SEAS AT 190600Z ARE 14 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 191500Z6 (DTG 191353Z2),
192100Z3 (DTG 191953Z8), 200300Z5 (DTG 200153Z1) AND
200900Z1 (DTG 200753Z7).//

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