Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -280114 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 28 Aug 1996 01:14:31 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 103012
ABPW10 PGTW 280600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/280600Z/290600Z AUG 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280155Z AUG 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/280151Z AUG 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 280000Z0 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT
26.2N0 151.8E5, MOVING EASTWARD AT 01 KNOT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 110 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W
WARNING NR 26 (WTPN32 PGTW 280300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 280000Z0 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WAS LOCATED
AT 22.9N3 170.2E0, MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 05 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W
WARNING NR 01 (WTPN31 PGTW 280300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16N7 128E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR
14N5 128E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE
THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH
MINIMAL CONVECTION.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.
     (2)  AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED
NEAR 25N7 136E0. CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-
LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO BE MINIMAL. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KALAFSKY/NICKLAS/EBARLE/BOGLE//

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