Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -270117 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 27 Oct 1996 01:17:38 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 78099
ABPW10 PGTW 270600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/270600Z/280600Z OCT 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/261953Z OCT 96
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 261800Z7 TROPICAL STORM CARLO (33W) WAS
LOCATED AT 39.6N8 160.9E6, MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 31
KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM CARLO
(33W) WARNING NR 24 (WTPN31 PGTW 262100)) FOR FINAL
WARNING DETAILS.
 (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
NEAR 9N9 151E7 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED
SUSPECT.
      (2)  AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 05N5
110E2. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF POORLY
ORGANIZED CONVECTION ON EITHER SIDE OF THE MONSOON TROUGH
AXIS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THAT A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION MAY BE FORMING AND THAT THERE IS A
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF CONVERGENCE INTO THIS REGION OF THE
SOUTH CHINA SEA. UPPER LEVEL WATER VAPOR WINDS INDICATE
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE MAY BE FORMING. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: KUBAT/HAM/BOYD//

NNNN

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