Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -271454 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 27 Oct 1996 14:54:15 -0600

ZCZC DD+ 68884
WTPN21 PGTW 272030
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 272021Z OCT 96//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 5.9N4
110.1E3 TO 7.9N6 105.7E3 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA
ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AND
SYNOPTIC DATA AT 271930Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION
CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 6.1N7 109.2E2.  THE SYSTEM IS
MOVING WESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
AN AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW-LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED FOR APPROXIMATELY 24
HOURS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
WHICH IS BEING SUPPORTED BY WESTERLY WINDS ALONG THE
EQUATOR OF APPROXIMATELY 20 KNOTS. SYNOPTIC DATA
INDICATES A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF APPROXIMATELY
1004 MB. WATER VAPOR DERIVED WINDS INDICATE DIFFLUENT
OUTFLOW ALOFT. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 282030Z5.//

NNNN

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.