Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -290106 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 29 Aug 1996 01:06:51 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 67793
ABPW10 PGTW 290600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z AUG 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290155Z AUG 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290151Z AUG 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 290000Z1 TYPHOON ORSON (19W) WAS LOCATED AT
26.3N1 150.2E8, MOVING WESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 80 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W
WARNING NR 30 (WTPN32 PGTW 290300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W WAS LOCATED
AT 26.2N0 173.9E0, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 13 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22W
WARNING NR 03 (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE PERSISTENT LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14N5 128E1 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR
16N7 127E1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE
THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WITH
MINIMAL CONVECTION.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.
     (2)  THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
25N7 136E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25N7 137E1. CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CONTINUES TO
BE MINIMAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE
10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: CARLE/WOFFORD/BOYD//

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