Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -040319 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 04 Nov 1996 03:19:06 -0600

ZCZC DD+ 85507
WTPN31 PGTW 040900
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   040600Z0 --- 10.2N3 152.3E1
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 10.2N3 152.3E1
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   041800Z3 --- 11.0N2 152.3E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   050600Z1 --- 12.4N7 151.9E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   051800Z4 --- 13.2N6 150.9E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   060600Z2 --- 13.7N1 149.3E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   070600Z3 --- 14.1N6 145.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            015 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
040900Z3 POSITION 10.4N5  152.3E1
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AT 040530Z AND SYNOPTIC DATA
INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION 36W HAS FORMED NORTH OF
CHUUK (WMO 91334) IN THE CAROLINE ISLANDS. TD 36W IS
CURRENTLY MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEAST WITHIN THE MONSOON
TROUGH AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS SLOW NORTHWARD
MOTION FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 36 HOURS AS IT SLOWLY MOVES
OUT OF THE TROUGH. DURING THIS LATER PERIOD ONLY SLOW
INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED. ONCE NORTH OF THE TROUGH, TD
36W WILL BE STEERED ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK AS THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN STRONG THROUGHOUT
THIS FORECAST PERIOD. A CLIMATOLOGICAL INTENSIFICATION
RATE IS EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD. CURRENTLY, SEVERAL WIND REPORTS
NORTH OF THIS SYSTEM ARE IN EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE
A REFLECTION OF ENHANCED TRADE WIND FLOW NORTH OF THE MONSOON  TROUGH
AND ARE NOT
REPRESENTATIVE OF THE SYSTEM=S CIRCULATION. THIS WARNING

NNNN

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