Subject: Pacific-NW: Formation Alert -170644 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 17 Sep 1996 06:44:08 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 87384
WTPN21 PGTW 171130
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 171121Z SEP 96//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN 095 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 18.0N9
108.2E1 TO 16.0N7 110.2E4 WITHIN THE NEXT 03 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA
ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT
170930Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 17.4N2 108.9E8.  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS DEVELOPED SOUTH OF HAINAN DAO
IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN THE
MONSOON TROUGH AND DISPLAYS GOOD ORGANIZATION.  THE
DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED BENEATH DIFFLUENT ANTICYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT, WHICH IS ENHANCING DEVELOPMENT.
3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 181130Z4.//

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