Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -161531 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 16 Oct 1996 15:31:25 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 38524
WTPN31 PGTW 162100
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) WARNING NR 020
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   161800Z6 --- 13.3N7 110.2E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.3N7 110.2E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   170600Z4 --- 12.9N2 109.2E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
LAND
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   171800Z7 --- 12.5N8 108.2E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
162100Z0 POSITION 13.2N6  109.9E9
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W (ABEL) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD
DURING THE PAST 12 HOURS WHILE MAINTAINING AN INTENSITY
JUST BELOW MINIMAL TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. TD 30W HAS
HAD SEVERAL FLARES OF DEEP CONVECTION WEST OF THE SYSTEM
CENTER FOR THE PAST 2-3 DAYS AND THAT TREND WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL IS MADE ALONG THE SOUTH-
EAST COAST OF VIETNAM NEAR TUY HOA IN ABOUT 12 HOURS.
MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1000 MB.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 170900Z7 (DTG 170751Z1). IF THE JOINT
TYPHOON WARNING CENTER ANTICIPATES THAT THIS TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WILL REACH TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY, THEN A
STANDARD 72 HOUR TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.
OTHERWISE, 36 HOUR TROPICAL DEPRESSION WARNINGS WILL BE
UPDATED EVERY 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 161800Z IS 09 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION 31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY
UPDATES. REFER TO TYPHOON BETH (32W) WARNINGS (WTPN33
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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