Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -142141 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 14 Oct 1996 21:41:30 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 73071
WTPN33 PGTW 150300
1. TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W) WARNING NR 007
   UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION BETH (32W)
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   150000Z6 --- 16.9N6 130.2E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.9N6 130.2E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   151200Z9 --- 17.2N0 129.1E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   160000Z7 --- 17.3N1 127.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   161200Z0 --- 17.4N2 126.2E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            025 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   170000Z8 --- 17.5N3 123.7E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   180000Z9 --- 17.6N4 118.6E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            025 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
150300Z9 POSITION 17.0N8  129.9E1
LATEST VISUAL AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION EAST OF THE PHILIPPINES HAS
INTENSIFIED AND IS NOW TROPICAL STORM BETH (32W). A HEAVY
CONVECTIVE AREA OBSERVED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY IS LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 45NM WEST OF THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION. TROPICAL STORM BETH IS CURRENTLY EMBEDDED IN
WEAK STEERING FLOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY
WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 36 HOURS. SUBSEQUENTLY, THE
RIDGE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD ALLOWING
A QUICKER WESTWARD MOVEMENT IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD.
CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR CONTINUED
INTENSIFICATION PRIOR TO INTERACTION WITH LUZON.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 150900Z5 (DTG 150755Z3), 151500Z2 (DTG
151355Z0), 152100Z9 (DTG 151955Z6) AND 160300Z0 (DTG
160155Z8). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 150000Z IS
16 FEET. REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 30W WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
TROPICAL DEPRESSION  31W WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. //

NNNN

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