Subject: Pacific-NW: Tropical Weather Summery -230116 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 23 Aug 1996 01:16:13 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 98549
ABPW10 PGTW 230600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/230600Z/240600Z AUG 96//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230153Z AUG 96//
REF/B/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230155Z AUG 96//
REF/C/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/230151Z AUG 96//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM NIKI (18W) WAS
LOCATED AT 20.5N7 105.1E7, MOVING WESTWARD AT 9 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55
KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 18W WARNING NR 21
(WTPN31 PGTW 230300)) FOR FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL STORM ORSON (19W) WAS
LOCATED AT 23.2N7 143.0E8, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 1 KNOT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF B (TROPICAL CYCLONE 19W
WARNING NR 6 (WTPN32 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) AT 230000Z5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W WAS LOCATED
AT 29.0N1 160.2E9, MOVING NORTHWARD AT 8 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
40 KNOTS. SEE REF C (TROPICAL CYCLONE 20W WARNING NR 1
(WTPN33 PGTW 230300)) AND SIX-HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER
DETAILS.
      (4) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
 (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 28N0 132E6 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 29N1 131E5. SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-
LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION. THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE
PAST 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
POOR.
      (2) A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR
16N7 131E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE
THE PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH LITLLE
CENTRAL CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DISTURBANCE. THIS
DISTURBANCE HAS PERSISTED FOR OVER 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2.  WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: DUARTE/NICKLAS/EBARLE/BOYD//

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