Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -271523 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 27 Sep 1996 15:23:54 -0500

ZCZC DD+ 35140
WTPN32 PGTW 272100
1. TYPHOON ZANE (29W) WARNING NR 016
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   271800Z8 --- 22.3N7 125.4E2
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND RADAR
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            120 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.3N7 125.4E2
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   280600Z6 --- 23.3N8 125.2E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 175 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            155 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   281800Z9 --- 24.4N0 125.2E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 180 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            160 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z7 --- 25.4N1 125.7E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 010 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 150 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            180 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   291800Z0 --- 26.1N9 126.9E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            180 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z2 --- 27.2N1 130.5E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            170 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
272100Z2 POSITION 22.6N0  125.3E1
TYPHOON ZANE (29W) HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED DURING THE
PAST 6 HOURS WHILE DEVELOPING A 20 NM DIAMETER EYE. CLOUD
TOPS HAVE COOLED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE EYE WALL AND THE
EYE TEMPERATURE HAS WARMED MORE THAN 50C (-17C) SINCE
27/12Z. ZANE IS TRACKING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND
IS EXPECTED TO TURN MORE TO THE NORTH DURING THE NEXT 12-
24 HOURS. RECURVATURE IS EXPECTED BY 36 HOURS AS ZANE
REACHES THE RIDGE AXIS CURRENTLY ALONG 26-27N LATITUDE.
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW IS GOOD AND STEADILY IMPROVING IN THE
INCREASINGLY BACKING 200 MB FLOW AND ZANE IS EXPECTED TO
PEAK AT 115-120 KT BY 24 HOURS. THIS IS A SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE FROM OUR PREVIOUS FORECAST AND THE WIND RADII ON
THE NORTH SIDE OF ZANE HAVE BEEN EXPANDED ACCORDINGLY.
ESTIMATED SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS 938 MB. NEXT WARNINGS AT
280300Z3 (DTG 280153Z9), 280900Z9 (DTG 280753Z5),
281500Z6 (DTG 281353Z2) AND 282100Z3 (DTG 281953Z8).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 28 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT
INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON YATES (28W) (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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