Subject: Pacific-NW: Marine Warning -070217 (AUTOMATIC)

From: Charley Kline <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 07 Nov 1996 02:17:21 -0600

ZCZC DD+ 63900
WTPN32 PGTW 070900
1. TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) WARNING NR 012
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   070600Z3 --- 12.2N5 120.1E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 050 NM
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.2N5 120.1E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   071800Z6 --- 13.0N4 117.7E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH QUADRANT
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   080600Z4 --- 13.9N3 115.8E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH QUADRANT
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   081800Z7 --- 14.7N2 114.3E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH QUADRANT
                            110 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   090600Z5 --- 15.5N1 113.0E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            140 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   100600Z7 --- 17.2N0 111.8E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            150 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
070900Z6 POSITION 12.4N7  119.5E6
TROPICAL STORM ERNIE (37W) IS LOCATED BETWEEN PALAWAN AND
MINDORO MOVING WEST AT 14 KNOTS. THE STEERING FLOW
BETWEEN ERNIE AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH IS
DRIVING THE CIRCULATION CENTER ALONG A MORE WESTWARD
TRACK. INTENSIFICATION IS AT A SLIGHTLY LESS
THAN CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA, DUE TO
MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR BETWEEN THE LOW LEVEL
NORTHEASTERLY MONSOON, AND THE UPPER LEVEL EASTERLIES.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 071500Z3 (DTG 071353Z9), 072100Z0 (DTG
071953Z5), 080300Z1 (DTG 080153Z7) AND 080900Z7 (DTG
080753Z3). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS
14 FEET. REFER TO WWPW(IO)30 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA
HEIGHT INFORMATION. REFER TO TYPHOON DALE (36W) WARNINGS
(WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
DEPRESSION  38W WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//

RECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   071800Z6 --- 13.0N4 117.7E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KW,+J?C,,M:D;;IS;;L>G PV-J,^G^G^G^G^G
=

:RY0ROMAN 10CPITROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

NNNN

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