Subject: Pacific-SW: Technical Discussion (Automatic)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 23 Nov 1996 13:33:22 -0600

411
WTPS31 PGTW 232100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   231800Z4 --- 15.6S2 161.1E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 165 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.6S2 161.1E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   240600Z2 --- 17.9S7 161.3E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   241800Z5 --- 20.1S3 161.4E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 150 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   250600Z3 --- 22.0S4 162.7E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   251800Z6 --- 23.2S7 164.7E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
232100Z8 POSITION 16.2S9  161.1E9
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (CYRIL) IS TRACKING SOUTH-
SOUTHEASTWARD IN THE CORAL SEA. TC 06P IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE TRACKING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD NEW
CALEDONIA AND TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY. NEXT WARNINGS AT
240900Z5 (DTG 240751Z9) AND 242100Z9 (DTG 241951Z2).
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 23/1800Z4 IS 12
FEET.//

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