Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 005

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 28 Oct 1997 16:59:56 -0600

313
WTPN31 PGTW 282100
1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 005
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   281800Z9 --- 7.3N0 165.4E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 7.3N0 165.4E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z7 --- 7.5N2 164.1E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   291800Z0 --- 8.1N9 162.1E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   300600Z9 --- 8.9N7 160.1E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z2 --- 9.8N7 157.8E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            095 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   311800Z3 --- 11.5N7 153.4E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            100 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
282100Z3 POSITION  7.3N0  165.1E3
TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) IS QUASISTATIONARY.
CONSOLIDATION CONTINUES. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
IN A WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DIRECTION, SLOWLY
ACCELERATING AND INTENSIFYING THROUGHOUT 72 HOURS. THERE
IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 281800Z IS 12 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 290300Z4 (DTG 290153Z0), 290900Z0 (DTG
290753Z6), 291500Z7 (DTG 291353Z3) AND 292100Z4 (DTG
291953Z9).//

AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG96593012136

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