Subject: Indian-S: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 4 Nov 1997 12:06:24 -0600

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN

875
ABIO10 PGTW 041800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/041800Z/051800Z NOV 97//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/041351ZNOV97//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO
COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 041200Z7 TROPICAL STORM LINDA (20W)
WAS LOCATED AT 13.4N8 95.7E1, MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
13 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45
KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM
LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 16 (WTIO32 PGTW 041500)) AND SIX-
HOURLY UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 8N8 68E4.
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AVAILABLE SHIP DATA INDICATE A
WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS PRESENT WITHIN A EAST-WEST
ORIENTED TROUGH. CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN THIS AREA
DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS, HOWEVER IT REMAINS UNORGANIZED.
ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE TO STRONG
UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR EXISTS OVER THE CONVECTION.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1012 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
 (2) THE  AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
08N8 85E3 HAS WEAKEN AND MOVED OVER SOUTHERN INDIA AND SRI
LANKA. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS MERGED BACK INTO THE
LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IN THIS AREA. THIS AREA IS NO LONGER
CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: EDSON/SANCHEZ/HALL/JONES//

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