Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 00:18:50 -0600

811
ABPW10 PGTW 290600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/290600Z/300600Z OCT 97//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/290153ZOCT97//
NARR/REF A, TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING
NR 06 (WTPN31 PGTW 290300)//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
     (1) AT 290000Z1 TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WAS
LOCATED AT 07.1N8 164.2E3 AND MOVING WESTWARD AT 07
KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM KEITH
(29W) WARNING NR 06(WTPN31 PGTW 290300)) AND 6 HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
     (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
     (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
9N9 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 129E2. ANIMATED
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE CONVECTION
HAS BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
SYNOPTIC DATA AT 290000Z1 CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE
POSSIBILITY OF A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED
WEST OF THE AREA OF CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS POOR.
     (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/DEOCARIZA/JOHNSON/BOYD/GILL//

AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG00533020551

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