Subject: Indian-N: Rmks/

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 9 Nov 1997 00:57:36 -0600

355
WTIO21 PGTW 090400
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 090351Z NOV 97//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN 140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.3N4
75.0E2 TO 10.6N7 68.3E7 WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.  WINDS IN THE
AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS.  METSAT IMAGERY
AT 090000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 10.3N4 73.5E5.  THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED DURING
THE PAST 6 HOURS WHILE OVER THE ARABIAN SEA.  A MICROWAVE
IMAGERY PASS AT 090049Z2 REVEALED THE PRESENCE OF A WELL
DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER AND DEVELOPING  CONVECTIVE
BANDING FEATURES.  THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE DEVELOPEMENT IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 100400Z5.//

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