Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 25 Dec 1997 23:36:29 -0600

028
ABIO10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/260600Z/261800Z DEC 97//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GUAM 260151Z DEC 97//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO
COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
(1) AT 260000Z8 TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WAS LOCATED AT
11.2S4 132.1E7, MOVING EASTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO
40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 01
(WTXS31 PGTW 260000) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1)  THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
12S3 130E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11S2 132E6 AND IS THE
SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE ABOVE,
PARAGRAPH 2.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. FAIR.
    (2)  THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 12S3
110E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12S3 112E4. LATEST VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
APPROXIMATELY 50 NM TO THE EAST OF THE CLOSEST
CONVECTION. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
CONVECTION IS BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED AND IS NEARER TO
THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
FAIR.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION: TO UPGRADE SUSPECT AREA TO FAIR AND
INCLUDE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING INFORMATION.
FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/MCCULLOCH/JONES//
DUPE ALL

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