Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 5 Dec 1997 17:44:21 -0600

388
ABIO10 PGTW 052330
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/052330Z/061800Z DEC 97//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO
COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1)  AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 9N 64E.
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AN
AREA OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR AT LEAST 18
HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATES THAT THERE IS A LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTION.
HOWEVER, SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES  MODERATE VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR ACROSS THIS DISTURBANCE. THIS, ALONG WITH
RELATIVELY HIGH PRESSURES ACROSS THE REGION SHOULD
INHIBIT ANY DEVELOPMENT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS POOR.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/SMITH/SANCHEZ/UROGI//

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