Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 10 Nov 1997 02:46:44 -0600

075
ABPW10 PGTW 100600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/100600Z/110600Z NOV 97//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/091851ZNOV97//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 091900Z9, THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 11.1N3 141.1E7 HAS NOT MOVED AND IS THE
SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.  SEE REF A
(TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 091900))
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.  THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
GOOD.
      (2)  THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
10N1 176E4 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10N1 175E3.  ALTHOUGH
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT CONVECTION HAS
DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY, A VERY WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER STILL EXISTS.  HOWEVER, THE
DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK UNDERNEATH A UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IN 24 HOURS.  THIS SHOULD ALLOW CONDITIONS TO
BECOME FAVORABLE FOR CONVECTION TO REDEVELOP.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS.  MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB.  THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/HATFIELD/HONG/UROGI//

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