Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 19 Aug 1997 13:17:44 +1900

511
ABIO10 PGTW 191800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/191800Z/201800Z AUG 97//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST
OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 19N0
186E5. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE
PRESENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
CONVECTION. THE CIRCULATION IS LOCATED NEAR 20N2 189E8.
CONVECTION HAS INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY AS THE CIRCULATION
MOVED OVER WATER BUT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS HINDERED THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SUSTAINED CENTRAL CONVECTION. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 995 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
     (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: BOYER/COCKS/DEOCARIZA/BOYD//

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