Subject: Pacific-NW: Upgraded From Tropical Depression 10w [192100]

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 19 Jul 1997 14:23:45 -0500

510
WTPN31 PGTW 192100
1. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) WARNING NR 005
   UPGRADED FROM TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   191800Z9 --- 13.2N6 138.4E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 345 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.2N6 138.4E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z8 --- 14.5N0 137.8E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   201800Z1 --- 15.7N3 137.1E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   210600Z9 --- 16.8N5 136.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   211800Z2 --- 18.0N9 135.4E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   221800Z3 --- 19.9N9 133.4E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
192100Z3 POSITION 13.5N9  138.3E5
TROPICAL STORM ROSIE (10W) HAS BEEN UPGRADED FROM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W. TROPICAL STORM ROSIE IS MOVING
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD IN THE PHILIPPINE SEA. THE CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO
IMPROVE OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF
35 KNOTS IS BASED ON A DVORAK SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY
ESTIMATE OF T2.5 (35 KNOTS). TROPICAL STORM ROSIE IS
FORECAST TO TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD
THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 11 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 200300Z5 (DTG 200151Z9), 200900Z1 (DTG
200751Z5), 201500Z8 (DTG 201351Z2) AND 202100Z5 (DTG
201951Z8).//

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