Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 16 Nov 1997 00:16:39 -0600

852
ABPW10 PGTW 160600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
WESTERN PACIFIC OCEAN/160600Z/170600Z NOV 97//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/160153ZNOV97//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
 (1) AT 160000Z7 TROPICAL STORM MORT (31W) WAS
LOCATED AT 15.5N1 122.6E1 MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (TROPICAL STORM MORT
(31W) WARNING NR 22 (WTPN31 PGTW 160300)) AND SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
 (2) NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
 (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY
NEAR 8.0N8 179.9E6 HAS DISSIPATED AND THE LOW-LEVEL
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION HAS WEAKENED. AS A RESULT, THIS AREA
IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT.
 (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. WESTERN SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (180 WEST TO 135E):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
 (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION MENTIONED PREVIOUSLY
NEAR 10.0S1 179.9E6 HAS MOVED WESTWARD TO NEAR 8.5S3
173.0E1. VISIBLE SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA INDICATE THE
PRESENCE OF A BROAD, LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
BENEATH UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC FLOW. HOWEVER, THERE
OTHER WEAK LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS NEARBY THAT ARE
DISRUPTING THE LOW-LEVEL INFLOW INTO THIS DISTURBANCE. AS
A RESULT, FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WILL BE INHIBITED UNTIL
THESE SMALLER CIRCULATIONS MERGE WITH THE LARGER
CIRCULATION CENTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS POOR.
 (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: STEWART/EIBLING/BACON//

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