Subject: Pacific-NW: 1. Tropical Storm Keith (29w) Warning Nr 009

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 29 Oct 1997 15:27:31 -0600

003
WTPN31 PGTW 292100
1. TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) WARNING NR 009
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   291800Z0 --- 6.9N5 163.1E1
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 6.9N5 163.1E1
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   300600Z9 --- 7.2N9 161.8E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z2 --- 7.9N6 160.1E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            085 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   310600Z0 --- 8.9N7 158.0E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            100 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   311800Z3 --- 10.2N3 155.5E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            105 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 14 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   011800Z0 --- 12.9N2 150.3E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            110 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
292100Z4 POSITION  7.0N7  162.8E7
TROPICAL STORM KEITH (29W) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS.
THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.
THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE. INTENSIFICATION IS
EXPECTED TO ACCELERATE AS ORGANIZATION INCREASES. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z0 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 300300Z6 (DTG 300153Z2), 300900Z2 (DTG
300753Z8), 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5) AND 302100Z6 (DTG
301953Z1).//

AUTODIN MESSAGE RECEIVD AT AFGWC: RUHGSGG07743021953

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