Subject: Indian-N: Dhaka

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 8 Nov 1997 02:50:50 -0600

876
WTIO32 PGTW 080900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY
DHAKA
1. TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) WARNING NR 031
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---

PAGE 02 RUHGSGG8773 UNCLAS
   WARNING POSITION:
   080600Z4 --- 14.5N0 90.0E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            015 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.5N0 90.0E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   081800Z7 --- 14.6N1 89.5E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            015 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE

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                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   090600Z5 --- 14.9N4 88.9E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   091800Z8 --- 15.4N0 88.3E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS

PAGE 04 RUHGSGG8773 UNCLAS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   100600Z7 --- 16.1N8 87.8E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
080900Z7 POSITION 14.5N0   89.9E6
TROPICAL STORM LINDA (30W) IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN THE BAY
OF BENGAL. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED UPON 080530Z6
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR CONTINUES
ACROSS THE SYSTEM CENTER. AS A RESULT, TROPICAL STORM
LINDA (30W) HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS.
THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED UPON A DVORAK CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF CI 3.5 (55 KNOTS). THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DRIFTING WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION. IT IS THEN EXPECTED TO

PAGE 05 RUHGSGG8773 UNCLAS
TRACK NORTHWESTWARD, MOST LIKELY AS AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE
OVER THE WATER BY 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 080600Z4 IS 15 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 PGFW FOR
ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT
081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z0), 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z6),
090300Z2 (DTG 090151Z8) AND 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z4).//
BT
#8773

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