Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 28 Sep 1998 12:48:22 -0500

407
ABIO10 PGTW 281800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/281800Z/291800Z SEP 98//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO
COAST OF
AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED NEAR 15N6
81E9 HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED
SUSPECT FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
 (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION LOCATED PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 5S5 84E2 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8S8 79E6. A
MICROWAVE IMAGER PASS AT 281521Z9 INDICATED
CYCLONICALLY CURVED CLOUD LINES WITH CONVECTION NEAR
THE CENTER. A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM YESTERDAY AT
271730Z1 INDICATED AT LEAST 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS WITHIN
THE CIRCULATION. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ANALYSIS FROM THE
UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN CONTINUE TO INDICATE LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 15 TO 25 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1003MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: COCKS/PATTERSON/GOODMAN//

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