Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 34s Warning Nr 008

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 21 Apr 1998 09:34:36 -0500

332
WTXS31 PGTW 211500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S WARNING NR 008
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   211200Z6 --- 12.0S3 065.0E1
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.0S3 065.0E1
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z4 --- 12.1S4 063.3E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z7 --- 12.8S1 061.6E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z5 --- 14.2S7 059.6E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
211500Z9 POSITION 12.0S3  064.6E6.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 34S IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS. 211100Z5
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM HAS
BECOME DISORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. A 210647Z0
SCATTEROMETER PASS ALSO INDICATES A LESSENING IN THE ORGANIZATION
AND RADIAL EXTENT OF SURFACE WIND INFLUENCE. TC 34S IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN TO LESS THAN 35 KNOTS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN A WESTWARD TO WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD DIRECTION THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF SUBTROPICAL RIDGING LOCATED TO ITS SOUTH. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 211200Z6 IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
220300Z7 (DTG 220151Z1) AND 221500Z0 (DTG 221351Z4).

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