Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 006

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 5 Jun 1998 10:25:36 -0500

306
WTIO31 PGTW 051500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE  ROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WARNING POSITION:
   558
747589,:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   REPEWT POSIT: 12;OMBWAOE6
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   060000Z6 --- 12.4N7 71.0E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, OUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 02 KTS
   24 HRS,)VALID AT:
   061200Z9 --- 12.7N0 71.0E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 360 DEX PQ KTS
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   070000Z7 --- 188N1 70.9E6
   MAX SUSTAI ED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 03 KTS
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
-   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   MAXBHK
QOED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 0-0,:--=-
   081200Z1 --- 14.3N8 70.8E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 065 NM
REMARKS:
051500Z1 POSITION 12.1N4   70.9E6.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAS BEEN QUAI-STATIONARY FOR THE PAST 12
HOURS.  THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BAXNRBMP 051200Z8
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY.  TVOBBFBMOLGAS REMAINED IN AN AREA
OF MODERATE WIND SHEAR FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.  THE STEERING FLOW
FOR TC03A IS WEAK AND IS EXPECTED TO HOLD THE SYSTEM QUASI-
STATIONARY FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD.  THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
WINDS ALOFT AFFTQTING TC03A ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN AT TTE 24-HOUR
PERIOD THUS CAUSING A SLOMBWPTENSIFICATION.  AT THE 72-HOUR PERIOD,
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LEUS DIVERGENT AND
THEREFORE HINDER DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 051200Z8 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z8 (DTG 051951Z1),
060300Z9 (DTG 060151Z3), 060900Z5 (DTG 060751Z9) AND 061500ZXLKDTG
061351Z6).//

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