Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 14 Dec 1998 02:54:17 -0600

652
WTXS32 PGTW 140900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING NR 019
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   140600Z1 --- NEAR 19.7S7 120.7E0
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 235 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S7 120.7E0
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   141800Z4 --- 20.2S4 119.8E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   150600Z2 --- 20.9S1 119.0E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   151800Z5 --- 21.6S9 118.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   160600Z3 --- 22.7S1 117.7E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
140900Z4 POSITION NEAR 19.8S8  120.5E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 03 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE
BASED ON 140530Z3 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM IS BORDERING
ON THE COASTLINE AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE BACK OVER LAND, EVENTUALLY
GAINING LATITUDE IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS
IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW TC 06S (THELMA) TO DISSIPATE BY THE 48 HOUR
POSITION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 140600Z IS 12 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 142100Z8 (DTG 141953Z3) AND 150900Z5 (DTG
150753Z1).//

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