Subject: Indian-S: Bpkfktropical Cyclone Formation Alert 060759z Oct 98//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 6 Oct 1998 05:27:14 -0500

406
WTXS21 PGTW 060800
WAGE 02 BUHPSGG6463 UNCLAS
BPKFKTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 060759Z OCT 98//
RMKS/?
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE WITHIN JRARE ESTUMATED
TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS9 METSAT IMAGERY AT 060530Z
INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER ISLOCATED NEAG
VGMIS9
091.9E9. THE SYSTEM IS QUASI-STATIONARY.
2. REMARKS:
?XMBQONSO
PL
TAD ITS CONVECTION OVER THE
PAST 6 HOURS FROM WITHIN AN ELONGATED MONSOON TROUGH.
TOWEVER, IT IS STILL EXPERIENCING SIGNIFICANT UPPER-
LEVEL NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. THE SYSTM WILL MOST LIKELY
ZREMOWN DIFFIC
IFCLUPOF UNTIL IT BEGINS TO
DEVELOP CONSISTENT CENTRAL CONVECTION. A 051644Z SCATTEROMETER
PASS AIDS IN ESTABLIS
ING THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION AND APSO SHOWS ENIDENCE
GU SOOPGHO:64
BT
?6463

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