Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 010

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 21 Jan 1998 22:02:55 -0600

838
WTXS31 PGTW 220300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 010
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   220000Z4 --- 25.4S1 41.6E1
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 100 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

PAGE 02 RUHPSGG3726 UNCLAS
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 25.4S1 41.6E1
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z7 --- 26.2S0 44.2E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 16 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z5 --- 27.4S3 47.5E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
220300Z7 POSITION 25.6S3 42.3E9
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S HAS CONTINUED

PAGE 03 RUHPSGG3726 UNCLAS
TO TRACK TOWARDS THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AND HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD
SPEED TO 11 KNOTS. THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON
212302Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAG

ERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ENCOUNTER SIGNIFICANT WIND SHEER FROM T

HE
WEST. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARDS THE SOUTHE

AST
THROUGH THE 24 HOUR POSITION AS IT INCREASES ITS FORWARD SPEED. ADDIT

IONALLY,
THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE

 BY
THIS TIME PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 220000Z4 IS 12 F

EET.
REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARN

INGS
AT 221500Z0 (DTG 221353Z6). REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P (KATRINA) W

ARNINGS
(WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
BT
#3726

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