Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 11 Apr 1998 12:49:20 -0500

238
ABIO10 PGTW 111800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/111800Z/121800Z APR 98//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU/111351Z APR 98//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST
OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 111200Z4 TROPICAL CYCLONE 32S (GEMMA) WAS LOCATED
AT 15.4S0 76.6E9 MOVING EASTWARD AT 6 KNOTS.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 65 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 80
KNOTS.  SEE REF A, (TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING 32S (GEMMA)
WARNING NR 10 (WTXS31 PGTW 111500)) AND TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
(2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR 14S5 58E3 HAS BEEN
PERSISTENT FOR 12 HOURS.  THIS AREA OF CONVECTION IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A NEARBY LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION.  UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW IS POOR.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS.  MINIMUM SEA-LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
1008 MB.  THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: SMITH/PATTERSON/UROGI//

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