Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 02s Warning Nr 003

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 29 Sep 1998 21:16:17 -0500

749
WTXS31 PGTW 292100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S WARNING NR 003
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   291800Z0 --- 8.8S6 77.2E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 8.8S6 77.2E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   300600Z9 --- 8.9S7 76.0E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z2 --- 9.1S0 74.8E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   010600Z7 --- 9.3S2 73.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
292100Z4 POSITION  8.8S6  76.9E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 6 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6
HOURS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON
291730Z2 INFRARED SATELLITE ANALYSIS.  SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES
THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS 105NM EAST OF THE CONVECTION. THE
STEERING FLOW IS WESTWARD AS THE SYSTEM LIES BETWEEN THE MONSOON
TROUGH TO THE NORTH AND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS SOUTH. TC 02S
IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ITS WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL IT DISSIPATES AS A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE BY THE 36 HOUR POSITION. TC 02S IS

//END OF PART 01//

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