Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 30 Sep 1998 10:00:00 -0500

264
WTIO31 PGTW 301500
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   301200Z6 --- 18.2N1 63.7E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 080 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND EXTRAPOLATION
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 63.7E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   010000Z1 --- 18.3N2 62.2E0

PAGE 03 RUHPSGG5634 UNCLAS
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   011200Z4 --- 18.3N2 60.9E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z2 --- 18.4N3 59.5E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
301500Z9 POSITION 18.2N1   63.3E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A IN THE ARABIAN SEA CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD
AT 10 KNOTS. CURRENT POSITION AND INTENSITY (35 KNOTS) ARE BASED ON
EXTRAPOLATION AND 301001Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY ANALYSIS FROM AIR FORCE

PAGE 04 RUHPSGG5634 UNCLAS
WEATHER AGENCY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS BEGINNING
TO WEAKEN. THE FORECAST TRACK FOLLOWS THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITHIN THE
MONSOON TROUGH TO THE WEST. TC 04A IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO WEAKEN

AND DISSIPATE BY THE 36 HOUR POINT DUE TO INCREASED VERTICAL
WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 301200Z6 IS 10 FEET.
REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 010300Z4 (DTG 010155Z2) AND 011500Z7 (DTG 011355Z5).//
BT
#5634

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.