Subject: Indian-S: 01 Activerop Cal Clone In Southern Hemispherem

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 8 Dec 1998 13:49:25 -0600

247
WTXS32 PGTW 082000
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) WARNING V 008
   01 ACTIVEROP CAL CLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHEREM
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
B P AWMM
   WARNING POSITION:
-   081800Z7 --- NEAR 178S0 128.7E8
     MOVEMENT PST SIX HOIRS--250/
3<433- -5 05 KS   POSITION ACCURATE
 TO WITHIN 030 NM
 #   POSITION BASED ON EE
O
 BY SATETLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTTN:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, VUSTS 165 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 02 NM- ADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NOR
T
H SEMICIRCLE
                    -   040 NM ELSE#343
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                         --        OVER WATER
                            120 NM ELWR OVER WATER
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRLN VALID AT:
   090600Z5 --- 12.1S4 128.0E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 14- KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NOL  RADIUS OF 050 KT
INDS - 045 NM NORTH SEMICIR
                            030 NM BF
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
-                           115 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS
PWR HRS, VALID AT:
   091800ZLI AAA QWMTS8 127.4E4
   MAX SUSTALINES - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 K
 =
$87- 9> 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RAJ
050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                          0  FM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE

888888888
8
8

8888
9;34 2-534
---                       105 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 3-(54 09-85: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   100600Z7 --- 13.1S5 126.7E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WIND - 040 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            100 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 05 KTS
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   101800Z0 --- 13.7S1 126.0E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTH SEVICIRCLE
               00                  OVER WATER
                      # 0   030 NM ELSEWHEREOMER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
REMARKS:
082100Z1 POSITION NEAR 11.9S1  128.5E6.
TT L CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 081730Z9
INFRARED SATBLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY OF 135 KNOTS IS
BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 081730Z9 SATELLITE INSITY ESTIME .
TRMPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMLVTEACHED ITS PEAK INTEMFITY OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS DISPLAYING A 10-NM DIAMETER CLOUD FILLED
EYE. OVOPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD
IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO ITS MM
OQM1:-) :6:)9,+-06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TO TRACK
WESTWARD AND THEN WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE STEERING FLOW FROM THIS
YOPICAL RIDGE. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (THELMA) IS FORECAST TO
GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS IT ENCONTER INCREASING WIND SHEAR AS IT MOVEU
AGAINST THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE WIND RADII HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED
BASED ON CURRNTCLOUD SIGNATURE AND SYNOPTIC DATA. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z7 IS 26 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
090900Z8 (DTG 090753Z4) AND 092100Z2 (DTG 091953Z7).//

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