Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 03a Warning Nr 015

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 7 Jun 1998 15:04:19 -0500

388
WTIO31 PGTW 072100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY NEW DELHI
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 015
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   071800Z6 --- 16.6N3 67.9E2
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N3 67.9E2
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   080600Z4 --- 18.2N1 67.8E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 360 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   081800Z7 --- 19.8N8 67.8E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   090600Z5 --- 21.8N1 68.0E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO48 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   091800Z8 --- 23.7N2 68.7E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   101800Z0 --- 26.4N2 71.7E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
072100Z0 POSITION 17.0N8   67.9E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS. THERE IS
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST PHILOSOPHY.  WARNING
POSITION IS SUPPORTED BY 071252Z MICROWAVE SENSOR (SSM/I)
PASS.  72 HOUR INTENSITY AND WIND RADII FORECAST ADJUSTED TO
REFLECT BASIC LAND EFFECTS.  MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 071800Z IS 21 FEET.  REFER TO WWIO31 PGFW FOR ADDITIONAL
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.  NEXT WARNINGS AT 080300Z1 (DTG
080151Z5), 080900Z7 (DTG 080751Z1), 081500Z4 (DTG 081351Z8)
AND 082100Z1 (DTG 081951Z4).//

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