Subject: Indian-S: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Southern Hemisphere

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 8 Feb 1998 14:14:18 -0600

036
WTXS31 PGTW 082100
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNING NR 004
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   081800Z7 --- 12.7S0 60.7E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 12.7S0 60.7E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   090600Z5 --- 13.0S4 59.5E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   091800Z8 --- 13.3S7 58.3E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   100600Z7 --- 13.6S0 57.2E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   101800Z0 --- 13.9S3 56.0E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   111800Z1 --- 14.3S8 54.0E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
082100Z1 POSITION 12.8S1   60.4E0
TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 5 KNOTS.
THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE. WARNING INTENSITY AND POSITION ARE
BASED ON 081730 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 081800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090300Z2 (DTG
090151Z6), 090900Z8 (DTG 090751Z2), 091500Z5 (DTG 091351Z9) AND
092100Z2 (DTG 091951Z5).//

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