Subject: Indian-N: Ampn/ref Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtio21 Pgtw

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 3 Jun 1998 05:49:05 -0500

006
WTIO21 PGTW 030200
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 030159Z JUN 98//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW
030200)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE
WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.8N7 71.1E9 TO
13.9N3 70.8E5 WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.  AVAILABLE DATA
DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE
WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.  WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE
20 TO 30 KNOTS.  METSAT IMAGERY AT 022200Z INDICATES THAT A
CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 71.1E9.  THE SYSTEM
IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT AREAL
COVERAGE AND DEEP CONVECTION HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED
WITHIN THE DEVELOPING MONSOON TROUGH IN THE ARABIAN SEA.  THE
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW HAS INCREASED AND HAS BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED.
3. THIS ALERT VALID UNTIL 040200Z6.//

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