Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 12 Feb 1998 14:22:19 -0600

230
WTXS33 PGTW 122100
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) WARNING NR 008
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   121800Z2 --- 16.3S0 110.1E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 240 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            025 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.3S0 110.1E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   130600Z0 --- 17.3S1 107.8E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                         070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   131800Z3 --- 17.9S7 105.3E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   140600Z1 --- 18.3S2 102.8E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            095 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   141800Z4 --- 18.4S3 100.2E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            045 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 120 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            100 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   151800Z5 --- 18.5S4 95.2E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            110 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
122100Z6 POSITION 16.6S3  109.5E5
TROPICAL CYCLONE 22S (VICTOR) IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
13 KNOTS. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST
PHILOSOPHY. THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY. THE WARNING
POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 121730 INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 20 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 130300Z7 (DTG 130155Z5), 130900Z3 (DTG
130755Z1), 131500Z0 (DTG 131355Z8) AND 132100Z7 (DTG 131955Z4).
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 20S (ANACELLE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW)
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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