Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 007

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 20 Jan 1998 08:55:19 -0600

701
WTXS31 PGTW 201500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 007
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   201200Z5 --- 22.4S8 35.5E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 22.4S8 35.5E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   210000Z3 --- 23.3S8 36.0E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   211200Z6 --- 24.4S0 36.6E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   220000Z4 --- 25.7S4 37.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   221200Z7 --- 27.1S0 40.0E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
201500Z8 POSITION 22.6S0   35.6E4
TROPICAL CYCLONE 12P IS MOVING SOUTHWARD AT 4 KNOTS.  THE
CYCLONE HAS CONTINUED TO HUG THE MOZAMBIQUE COAST,
HOWEVER IT IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFFSHORE AND ACCELERATE
RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES
SHOULD INHIBIT FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND CAUSE THE
SYSTEM TO BEGIN DISSIPATING WITHIN 36 HOURS.  MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201200Z5 IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 210300Z6 (DTG 210153Z2) AND 211500Z9 (DTG
211353Z5).//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message.  For help with the
WX-TROPL or WX-TALK discussion groups write to [email-masked] or see
http://www.inlink.com/~landmb/intro.html.  For more information on
tropical weather products, see the NCEP Products Homepage at
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/nhcprod.html.