Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 16 Jan 1998 18:20:39 -0600

145
ABIO10 PGTW 162200
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/162200Z/171800Z JAN 98//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO
COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION IS LOCATED NEAR 13S4 42E6
IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY
SHOWS AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED FOR THE PAST 12
HOURS AND IS SLIGHTLY ORGANIZED. SURROUNDING SYNOPTIC
REPORTS INDICATE AN AREA OF TROUGHING IS PRESENT HOWEVER
WIND REPORTS SUGGEST A WEAK CIRCULATION WITH WINDS
REPORTS OF 5 TO 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE
IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
FAIR.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
3. JUSTIFICATION: ADD NEW SUSPECT AREA.
FORECAST TEAM: HILDEBRAND/HATFIELD/PATTERSON/JONES//

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