Subject: Indian-S: 1. Tropical Cyclone 13s Warning Nr 011

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 22 Jan 1998 08:26:43 -0600

639
WTXS31 PGTW 221500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT MORESBY
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S WARNING NR 011
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN INDIAN OCEAN
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   221200Z7 --- 26.6S4 44.1E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 105 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 26.6S4 44.1E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   230000Z5 --- 27.1S0 46.4E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z8 --- 27.4S3 48.8E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 090 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z6 --- 27.4S3 51.3E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
221500Z0 POSITION 26.7S5   44.7E5
TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S IS MOVING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS.
THE WARNING POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 220802Z4
INFRAREDSATELLITE IMAGERY.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO FORECAST
REASONING.  THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO ENTER AN ENVIRONMENT OF
INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.  DISSIPATION OVER IS EXPECTED
BY 36 HOURS.  MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221200Z7 IS 11
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230300Z8 (DTG 230151Z2) AND 231500Z1
(DTG 231351Z5).//

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