Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 4 Jun 1998 03:59:41 -0500

348
WTIO31 PGTW 040900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 002 RELOCATED
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WARNING POSITION:
   040600Z0 --- 10.5N6 73.1E1
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BAS
RBMP CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N6 73.1E1
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   04100Z3 --- 10.3N4 73.4E4
   MAX SUSTAIVNRBI
SYAGA PET KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   MECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   050600Z1 --- 10.6N7 73.6E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 02 KTS
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   051800Z4 --- 10.9N0 73.4E4
   MAX SUSTAINNRBI
SYAGA PET KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 02 KTS
   48 HRS, VAL D AT:
   060600Z2 --- 11.0N2 73.0E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS
   DISSP C
D AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   72 HRS  VALID AT:
   070600Z3 --- 10,5N6 72.5E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REMARKS:
040900Z3 POSITION 10.5N6 73.2E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A HAQKEEN RE-LOCATED FURTHER EAST AND
IS QUASI-STATIONARY IN  TE SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA. THE WARNING
POSITION IS BASED IN PART ON A 040057Z6 MICROWAVE QMAGERY PASS,
ANALYSIS OF AVAILABLE SYNOPTIC DATA, AND ANIMATION OF INFRARED
FATELLQOE IMAGERY.  THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BH
PS
N CONTINUITY
WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE FORECAST TRACK WILL BE IN A LOOPING
MOTION AS THE STEERING FLOW IS WEAK. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE SYSTEM.
HOWEVER, FLUCTUATIONS IN VERTICAL WIND SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW OHS
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY. AFTER
36 HOURS, VERTII
ESMAL02 DAMM 040600 RRC
AAXX 04064
60355 12660 70000 10232 20198 40110 53018 60074 8323/
    333 20227 83840 85360 95900=

2

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