Subject: Indian-S: 02 Active Tropical Cyclones In Southern Hemisphere

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 30 Jan 1998 03:10:39 -0600

955
WTXS32 PGTW 300900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) WARNING NR 014
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   300600Z9 --- 16.1S8 125.1E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 230 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
     SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.1S8 125.1E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   301800Z2 --- 16.9S6 124.0E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   310600Z0 --- 17.6S4 122.7E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   311800Z3 --- 18.2S1 121.4E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   010600Z7 --- 18.8S7 120.1E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   020600Z8 --- 19.8S8 117.5E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                                   OVER WATER
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
300900Z2 POSITION 16.3S0  124.8E5
TROPICAL CYCLONE 14P (LES) IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER LAND, BUT NEAR THE COAST. TC 14P (LES)
CONTINUES TO DISPLAY GOOD LOWER-LEVEL ORGANIZATION WITH GOOD
CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER WATER IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. THERE IS
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. WARNING
POSITION AND INTENSITY ARE BASED ON 300630 VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 13 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z9 (DTG 301353Z5), 302100Z6 (DTG
301953Z1), 310300Z7 (DTG 310153Z3) AND 310900Z3 (DTG 310753Z9).
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (TIFFANY) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW)
FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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