Subject: Indian-S: Ing Nr 009

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 11 Nov 1998 21:01:30 -0600

445
WTXS31 PGTW 120200
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISON) WAR
ING NR 009
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WARNING POSITION:
   120000Z3 --- NEAR 19.5S5 92.0E1
     MOVEMPT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITQKQAVNM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATEDOY SAOLPL PREST WIND CTRIBUTIOVM
A
X SUSTAINED WINDFS-<;65 KT GUSTS  0 K
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 077;,.
   RADIUS OS 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            06 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.5S5 92.#E1
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   121200Z6 --- 20.41-6 92.2E3
   MAX SUSTAI
AD WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS O  050 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RA
USGPET KT WINDS - 075 NM EAST EEMICIRCLE
      0         01-   - 535 NM ELUEWHERE
   VECTOR TOH2= YHOSIT: 170 DEG/ 06 KTS
-   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   130000Z4 --- 21.5S82RE5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -,050 W, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 F WINDS - 0)NM SOUOGEAST
HVCNIRCLE
          ,/            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECOT 36 HR POSIT: 155 $3< -

 36 HRS, VALID AT:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSOY PRT KT
 - DHSI
 AS A SIGCQWCANT TROPUCAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KLS
B    AAV
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:- 48-#4-, VALID AT:
   MAX SASTAINED IPDS - 025 KTN GQSTQ HQZT KT DISKIPAOED AS A SIGNIFI
C
ANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
REVARKS:
?180300Z6 POSITION NEAR 19.7-7 92.0E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ALISMN) HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD
AT 5 KNOTS OVERT
E PASTPHOURS. THE WARNING OSITION
DINTENSITY
ARE BSED UPON ANIMATED INFRARED  IICIMAGERY. TC 04S (ALISON)
IS FORECAST TO OA2 - -975#-SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK FOR THE
RMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HOWEVER.0ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IIMAGE
RY IPWCATEXSTC 04S (ALISON) IS UNDERGOING MODERATE TO
SEVE
E SHEAR. HENCE, TS 04S (ALISON) STOULS<8)NLOVER
WATY THE :7 HOUR PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAHEIGHT
AT 120000(+3 ISP15 FEET9 EXT WAR
NLS AT 121500MLKDTG 121351Z3)
AND 12Z7 (DTG 130151Z1).//

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