Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 3 Sep 1998 12:36:04 -0500

591
ABIO10 PGTW 031800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN WEST GU//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE
INDIAN OCEAN/031800Z SEP 98/041800Z SEP 98//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO
COAST OF
AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED AT
7S7 90E9 IS NOW LOCATED AT 10S1 85E3. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 031200Z6 UPPER AIR
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA OF CONVECTION IS WITHIN A
REGION OF UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND HAS BECOME
SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. IN
ADDITION, A 031342Z3 MICROWAVE IMAGERY PASS INDICATES
A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS LOCATED BENEATH THE
AREA OF CONVECTION. DUE TO THE GENESIS OF A LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION AND THE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT,
THIS AREA IS CONSIDERED FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED AT 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: SCHIBER/PATTERSON/GOODMAN//

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