Subject: Indian-N: Subj/sngnificant Tropical Weather Udvisory For The Indian

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 20 Nov 1999 20:44:14 -0600

195
ABIO10 PGTW 201800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SNGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER UDVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
OCEAN/201800Z/211800Z NOV 99//
RMKS/
M NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST
OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTMEN PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.0N7
82.0E0 IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0N1 81.0E9, APPREXIMATELY 40 NMHMNORTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
PERSISTENT CONVECTION DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. SYNOPTIC DATAH
SHOWS A POSSIBLE LOW-LEVSL CIRCULATION CENTER ASSOCIATED WITHSTHE
AREA OF CONVECTION. UW-CIMSS ANALYSIS INDICATES THE AREA IS UNDERO
WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH FAIR OUTFLOW ALOFT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICWL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS POOR.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREASKH?. SOUTH INDIAN OCEEN AREA (135E9 WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
FORECAST TEAM: COX/CANTRELL/JOHNSON/GLASS//

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