Subject: Indian-S: Imediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Uis

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 14 Feb 1999 15:42:55 -0600

660
WTXS31 PGTW 142100
SUBJ: ;9MCCAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT UIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21- 2-4,<
 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICACYCLONE IN SOUTHERN HEMPSPHEG
   F SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTAVERALE
   WARNING POSION:
 0 141800Z4 --- NEAR 22.1S RPMEE7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HRS - 045 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
    09-8589, -::74.)59 28558, 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LO
CATEDY SATELLITE
  PRESENT WINDWSTRITION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 0 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT PIT: 22.1S5 40.3E8
 FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT
   150600Z2 -#?;75S8 40.3E
 - MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT,<7-5- 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035  WINDS - 050 NM
   VECOR TO 2HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 05 KTS
    =
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   100Z5 --- 21.1S4-39.4E6
0  MASUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT,)GUSTS 0 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS 065 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                          050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265$3</ 06 KTS
   36 HRS VALID AT:
   160600Z3 --- 21.25 38.2E3
   MAX ;0,8?:8(I50 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADU OF 035 KT 8,$- - 075 NM SOUTH SICIRCLE
                          060 NM ELSEWHERE
   ECTOR T48 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   4YRS, VALID AT:
   161800Z6 --21.5S8 36.8E7
   MAX SUSTAINEDINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
 RADIUS OF 05# KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDSN- 095  SOU
TH SEMICIRCLE
      ;00      ,)                OVER WATER
                           075 NM ELSEWHRE
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255$3</ 08 KTS
   72 HRS VALID AT:
   171800Z7 --- 22.26 33.6E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDSA PWT KT, GKSTS 035 KT
   DISPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONOVEG LAND
REMARKS:4
110;+8 POSITION NEAR 21.9S2 40.3EUM
TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S IS MOVING ORTHEASTWNLAT 08 KNOTS IN THES
MAMBIQUE CHANNEL. ANIMATE INFRARED SELLITE IMAGERY INDICWTES
THIS SYSTEM HAS WEAKEND SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST 06 #974- $73 59
VERTICAL SHEAR. 141512Z4 MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION COER IS OCATED NORTHEAST OF THE DEEPEST CONVECTON.
THE WARNING POSITION AND INTESITY ARE BASED ON A 141730Z6 INFRARD
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIME OF 3 KNOTS. TROPICAL CCLONE 21S IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTH THROUGH 12 ;#974- 5#3, 54-:(92-4$ 5#3 23-5
AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE SOUTH MOVES EAST AND THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BLVGAND BECOMESTHE DOMINANT STEERING OH
NFLUENCE ON THIS SYSTLTC 21S IS XPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLOWLY
THROUGH48 HOURS AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OVER S SYSTEM DECREASES,
THEN WEAKZP IDLY AND DQSSIPATE AS IT MAKES PANDFCVER
MOZAMBQUE. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICT WAVE HEIGHT AT 141800Z4 IS 16 ET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 150300Z9 (5< 150153Z5), 150900Z5 (DTG 150Z1),
151500Z2 (DTG 151353ZAND 152100+9 (DTG 151953Z4)./
BT
?0006

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