Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Colombo And Amconsul Madras

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 25 Oct 1999 21:04:58 -0500

169
WTIO31 PGTW 260300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY COLOMBO AND AMCONSUL MADRAS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   260000Z8 --- NEAR 13.8N2 95.5E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 310 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N2 95.5E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   261200Z1 --- 15.0N6 93.9E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   270000Z9 --- 16.0N7 92.3E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   271200Z2 --- 16.8N5 90.6E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            095 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   280000Z0 --- 17.8N6 89.2E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            050 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            110 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
260300Z1 POSITION NEAR 14.1N6 95.1E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05B HAS DEVELOPED IN THE ANDAMAN SEA AND
TRACKED TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS.
THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 252330Z5 SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES
OF 35 KNOTS. TC 05B HAS TRACKED WITHIN THE STEERING FLOW OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
WITHIN THIS STEERING FLOW DURING THE INITIAL 36 HOURS AS THE RIDGE
BUILDS SLIGHTLY WESTWARD. AFTERWARDS, TC 05B IS FORECAST TO BEGIN TO
TURN MORE TOWARDS THE NORTH THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT. UW-CIMSS
WIND SHEAR CHARTS REVEAL LOW VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE BAY OF
BENGAL. TC 05B IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE
THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL
SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS
NAVPACMETOCCEN 251921Z OCT 99 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTIO21 PGTW 251930) NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z4 (DTG 261351Z8) AND
270300Z2 (DTG 270151Z6).//

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