Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bullletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 27 Jan 2000 12:55:32 -0600

169
WTIO30 FMEE 271800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 6/4/19992000
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (CONNIE)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  27/01/2000 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 16.1S/56.8E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 5.5/5.5  /D 2.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 940 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 90 KT
6.A ESTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 250 KM   SE30: 250 KM
    SW30: 200 KM   NW30: 180 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 17.2S / 57.1E FI=6.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.3S / 56.8E FI=6.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 20.6S / 55.5E FI=6.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM SHOULD REACH ITS
    PEAK INTENSITY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. IT SHOULD GO
    SOUTHWARD.=

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