Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 13 Nov 2000 12:19:41 -0600

821
WTIO30 FMEE 131800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 4/2/20002001
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  13/11/2000 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 9.9S/80.4E (NINE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY
    DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30:
    SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 10.0S / 80.5E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 10.1S / 80.7E FI=2.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 10.3S / 81.0E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : QUIKSCAT PASS OF 12H51
    CONFIRMS WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM : ONLY ONE 30KT VALUE NEAR
    THE CENTRE IN THE SOUTH. HOWEVER A REINTENSIFICATION MAY
    OCCUR BEYOND 36 HOURS RANGE AS FORECASTED BY SOME NUMERICAL
    MODELS.=