Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bullletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 3 Apr 2000 14:29:11 -0500

914
WTIO30 FMEE 031800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 20/12/19992000
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (HUDAH)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  03/04/2000 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 14.8S/45.0E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FORTY FIVE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 :  /  /  /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 990 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 40 KT
6.A ESTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30:
    SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 15.0S / 42.7E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 15.5S / 40.7E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : OVERLAND
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : PRESENT INTENSITY IS
    DIFFICULT TO ESTIMATE WITH DVORAK. HOWEVER THE ENVIRONMENT IS
    FAVOURABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION.
THE TRACK SHOULD PROGRESSIVELY INCURVE WESTSOUTHWESTWARD IN A
    WEAKNESS OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.=