Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bullletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 31 Mar 2000 15:50:42 -0600

424
WTIO30 FMEE 311800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 14/12/19992000
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (/?7?-?)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  31/03/2000 : 17.1S/60.6E (SEVENTEEN
    DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES
    EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 6.0/6.0  /D 2.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 927 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 100 KT
6.A ESTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 150 KM   SE30: 220 KM
    SW30: 220 KM   NW30: 150 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 17.5S / 58.2E FI=6.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 17.6S / 56.0E FI=5.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 17.2S / 51.3E FI=5.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : SYSTEM SHOWS A WELL DEFINED
    18 NM EYE. ITS TRACK SHOULD SLIGHLY CURVED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
    OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE THALWEG SHIFTS IN THE SOUTH,
    AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS THE HIGH BUILDS IN THE WEST.=