Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 18 Nov 2000 12:06:53 -0600

917
WTIO30 FMEE 181800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 8/2/20002001
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  18/11/2000 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 12.8S/86.2E (TWELVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30:
    SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 13.4S / 85.0E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 13.2S / 83.7E FI=2.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 11.5S / 80.5E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE CENTRE IS LOCATED UNDER
    THE NORTHEASTERN PART OF THE CONVECTION, WHICH IS LESS
    IMPORTANT ACTUALLY. THE SYSTEM IS NORTH TO NORTEASTERLY
    SHEARED. TRADE WINDS, FORECASTED STRONGER IN 24 HOURS, SHOULD
    INTENSIFY THE SYSTEM.=