Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 4 Dec 2001 00:18:27 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 040600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 11/4/20012002
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (BAKO)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  04/12/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 18.0S/86.4E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.5/3.0  /W 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 990 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 40 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 160 KM   SE30: 380 KM
    SW30: 380 KM   NW30: 160 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1400
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 18.5S / 86.2E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 19.0S / 85.8E FI=2.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 20.0S / 84.8E FI=1.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO MOVE
    SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD AND MIGHT INCURVE MORE SOUTHWESTWARD UNDER
    THE INFLUENCE OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW.=

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