Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 19 Jan 2001 12:25:18 -0600

417
WTIO30 FMEE 191800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 4/5/20002001
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (CHARLY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  19/01/2001 : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 14.6S/83.3E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 990 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 40 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 70 KM   SE30: 550 KM
    SW30: 150 KM   NW30: 70 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 14.9S / 82.5E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 15.0S / 81.3E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 15.0S / 79.4E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE LOCATION'S CENTRE
    REMAINS UNCERTAIN. NEVERTHELESS, IT IS ESTIMATED UNDER DEEP
    CONVECTION WHICH HAS BEEN ORGANIZING DURING LAST HOURS AS A
    BIG CDO, WHAT TESTIFY THE INTENSIFICATION.

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