Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 3 Apr 2001 21:18:55 -0500

WTXS32 PGTW 040300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (WALTER) WARNING NR 003
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   040000Z4 --- NEAR 10.1S2 100.6E7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            065 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 10.1S2 100.6E7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   041200Z7 --- 10.4S5 98.5E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   050000Z5 --- 11.1S3 96.7E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            040 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 110 NM SOUTH SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   051200Z8 --- 12.3S6 95.0E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 130 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            110 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   060000Z6 --- 14.1S6 93.9E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 155 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            125 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
040300Z7 POSITION NEAR 10.2S3 100.1E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (WALTER) HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 6 HOURS AND IS APPROXIMATELY 250 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF
COCOS ISALND. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 032330Z1 INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 55 AND 77 KNOTS. ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE BANDING FEATURES AROUND THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 032049Z8 MICROWAVE PASS DEPICTS AN 11
NM EYE. THE 200 MB ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND AN
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING OVER THE LLCC. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S
IS EXPECTED TO TRACK IN A WESTERLY DIRECTION THROUGH THE 24 HOUR
PERIOD THEN TRACK INCREASINGLY SOUTHWESTWARD TOWARD A WEAKNESS IN
THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. TC 17S WILL
CONTINUE INTENSIFYING AT A CLIMATOLOGICAL RATE THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z4 IS 16 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 041500Z0 AND 050300Z8. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S
(NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (NONAME) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

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