Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 30 Nov 2001 12:16:12 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 301800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 4/4/20012002
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (BAKO) EX-BESSI
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  30/11/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 14.5S/86.5E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0  /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 988 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 40 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 170 KM   SE30: 200 KM
    SW30: 280 KM   NW30: 170 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1400
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 14.6S / 84.8E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 14.7S / 83.0E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 14.8S / 80.5E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=3.0+. THE SYSTEM IS
    NOT SHEARED ANYMORE, SO THE LLCC NOW CORRESPONDS TO THE
    CENTER OF HIGH LEVEL CLOUD CIRCULATION. THE DEEP CONVECTION
    IS ORGANIZED AS A BIG IRREGULAR CDO ABOVE THE LLCC.=

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