Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 23 Jan 2001 00:26:45 -0600

551
WTIO30 FMEE 230600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 11/5/20002001
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (CHARLY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  23/01/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 20.7S/70.0E (TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.5/6.0 MOINS /W 1.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 925 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 105 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 230 KM   SE30: 550 KM
    SW30: 550 KM   NW30: 230 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 22.2S / 68.1E FI=5.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 23.0S / 65.9E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 24.3S / 61.0E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE TROPICAL CYCLONE CHARLY
    HAS NOW ENTER IN A STRONGLY SHEARED AREA, CAUSE OF THE RAPID
    OBSERVED WEAKENING.=

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