Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 22 Jan 2001 12:17:45 -0600

838
WTIO30 FMEE 221800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 10/5/20002001
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (CHARLY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  22/01/2001 : 19.3S/72.0E (NINETEEN
    DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 6.0/6.0  /D 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 925 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 105 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 230 KM   SE30: 550 KM
    SW30: 550 KM   NW30: 230 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 20.3S / 70.2E FI=6.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 21.1S / 68.2E FI=5.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 21.8S / 64.2E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=6.0+. THE EYE SHOWS A
    DIAMETER OF 25 NM. THE TRACK IS FORECASTED BECOMING MORE
    SOUTHWESTWARD IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, DUE TO THE WEAKNESS IN
    THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE CREATED BY AN APPROACHING MID-LAT TROUGH.

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