Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 21 Jan 2001 00:18:31 -0600

667
WTIO30 FMEE 210600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 7/5/20002001
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (CHARLY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  21/01/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 17.4S/78.3E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/4.0  /W 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 972 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 150 KM   SE30: 380 KM
    SW30: 380 KM   NW30: 150 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 17.6S / 76.0E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 17.9S / 73.8E FI=4.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 18.2S / 69.5E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : TRACK SHOULD MAINTAIN
    WESTSOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE HIGH PRESSURES IN THE SOUTH.

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