Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 20 Jan 2001 12:18:58 -0600

138
WTIO30 FMEE 201800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 6/5/20002001
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (CHARLY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  20/01/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 16.8S/80.7E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0 PLUS /D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 972 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 130 KM   SE30: 450 KM
    SW30: 300 KM   NW30: 130 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1100
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 17.6S / 78.6E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.2S / 76.5E FI=5.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 19.1S / 72.3E FI=5.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : AN EYE HAS STARTED TO
    BUILD. THE TRACK SHOULD MAINTAIN SOUTHWESTWARD, IN DIRECTION
    OF THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURES ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION
    EX-BINDU, THEN CURVE WESTSOUTHWESTWARD WITH THE HIGH ARRIVING
    IN THE SOUTH.=

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