Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 2 Jan 2001 00:33:58 -0600

466
WTIO30 FMEE 020600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 1/3/20002001
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  02/01/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 10.9S/62.0E (TEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY
    TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30:
    SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1600
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 11.2S / 61.0E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 11.6S / 59.8E FI=2.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 13.2S / 57.8E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : CONVECTION REMAINS
    FLUCTUATING, WITH A NEW CONVECTIVE MASS WHICH HAS FORMED IN
    THE END OF THE LAST NIGHT.
THE SYSTEM SHOULD MAINTAIN ON ITS WESTSOUTHWESTWARD TRACK DURING
    THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN MIGHT INCURVE SOUTHWESTWARD ON THE
    EDGE OF THE RIDGE.=