Subject: Indian-N: 1. Tropical Cyclone 04b Warning Nr 001

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 10 Nov 2001 21:47:58 -0600

WTIO31 PGTW 110300
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND DHAKA
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   110000Z2 --- NEAR 16.1N8 82.4E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.1N8 82.4E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   111200Z5 --- 17.3N1 82.4E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 325 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   120000Z3 --- 18.0N9 81.9E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   121200Z6 --- 18.6N5 81.0E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
110300Z5 POSITION NEAR 16.4N1 82.4E4.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 04B, LOCATED JUST OFF OF THE ORISSA COAST OF
INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS DURING
THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 011730Z2
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 30 KNOTS AND
SYNOPTIC REPORTS OF 35 KNOTS. ENHANCED INFRARED ANIMATION DEPICTS
DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND ALONG THE COAST. LOW/MID LEVEL HIGH
SITUATED OVER PAKISTAN SHOULD BUILD SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE PERIOD.
NOGAPS AND THE UKMET GLOBAL AGREE WITH THIS SCENARIO. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110000Z2 IS 08 FEET. THIS WARNING
SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 101421Z NOV 01 TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 101430). NEXT WARNINGS AT
111500Z8 AND 120300Z6.//

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