Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In North Io

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 26 Sep 2001 03:52:15 -0500

WTIO31 PGTW 260900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A WARNING NR 002
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTH IO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   260600Z4 --- NEAR 18.2N1 66.4E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 300 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.2N1 66.4E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   261800Z7 --- 18.7N6 65.4E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   270600Z5 --- 19.3N3 64.6E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   271800Z8 --- 19.8N8 63.8E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   280600Z6 --- 20.2N4 63.1E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z7 --- 20.7N9 62.0E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
260900Z7 POSITION NEAR 18.3N2 66.1E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 02A, LOCATED OVER THE NORTH ARABIAN SEA, HAS
TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE
WARNING P0SITION IS BASED ON 260530Z6 VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE
WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND
35 KNOTS. VISIBLE ANIMATION DEPICTS LITTLE ORGANIZATIONAL
IMPROVEMENT OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER, AN I/R 24 HOUR TREND
REVEALS THAT THE LLCC EDGED FURTHER BENEATH THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
CONVECTION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z4 IS 10 FEET.
REFER TO WWPW30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 262100Z1 AND 270900Z8.//

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