Subject: Indian-S: Subj: Tropical Cyclone Warning

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 7 Apr 2001 08:30:03 -0500

WTXS33 PGTW 071500
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EVARISTE) WARNING NR 009
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   071200Z0 --- NEAR 23.0S5 61.9E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 19 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 23.0S5 61.9E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   080000Z8 --- 26.4S2 60.9E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM EAST SEMICIRCLE
                            055 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 18 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   081200Z1 --- 29.9S0 60.3E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   090000Z9 --- 32.5S0 60.2E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
071500Z3 POSITION NEAR 23.8S3 61.6E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 18S (EVARISTE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF RODRIGUES ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT
19 KTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
071130Z2 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED UPON CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55
KNOTS. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES TC 18S HAS DECOUPLED IN
STRONG NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL SHEAR. THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION IS
FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWARD AND DISSIPATE AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER
WATER. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071200Z0 IS 18 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z0 AND 080300Z1 REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE
17S (WALTER) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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