Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 6 Apr 2001 08:49:37 -0500

WTXS32 PGTW 061500
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (WALTER) WARNING NR 008
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   061200Z9 --- NEAR 13.8S2 94.2E5
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            035 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 115 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            090 NM ELSEWHERE
   REPEAT POSIT: 13.8S2 94.2E5
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   070000Z7 --- 15.0S6 93.2E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            030 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            080 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   071200Z0 --- 16.2S9 92.4E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            020 NM ELSEWHERE
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 085 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            075 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   080000Z8 --- 17.2S0 91.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            070 NM ELSEWHERE
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   081200Z1 --- 18.3S2 89.8E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 070 NM SOUTHEAST SEMICIRCLE
                            060 NM ELSEWHERE
    ---
REMARKS:
061500Z2 POSITION NEAR 14.1S6 93.9E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (WALTER), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 188 NM
SOUTHWEST OF COCOS ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
061130Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 KNOTS. ANIMATED
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS WEAKEND OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. THE 200
MB ANALYSIS INDICATES TC 17S IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND IS EXPERIENCING SOME VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE
PERIOD. TC 17S SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD STRONG
UPPER NORTHWESTERLIES ASSOCIATED WITH A FINGER OF THE POLAR FRONT
JET. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061200Z9 IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 070300Z0 AND 071500Z3. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P
(SOSE) WARNINGS (WTPS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 18S (EVARISTE) WARNINGS (WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

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