Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 9 Oct 2001 03:48:05 -0500

WTIO31 PGTW 090900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   090600Z5 --- NEAR 18.3N2 69.2E7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.3N2 69.2E7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   091800Z8 --- 18.6N5 68.2E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   100600Z7 --- 18.8N7 67.2E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   101800Z0 --- 19.0N0 66.2E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   110600Z8 --- 19.1N1 65.0E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z9 --- 19.2N2 63.0E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
090900Z8 POSITION NEAR 18.4N3 68.9E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A IS SHOWING INCREASING ORGANIZATION AND
GOOD DEVELOPMENT OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. TC 03A, LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-
NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING
POSITION IS BASED ON 090530Z7 INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BANDING CLOUD FEATURE IN THE WESTERN
SEMICIRCLE. DEEP CONVECTION AND STRONGER WINDS REMAINS OVER THE
NORTH QUADRANT. THE 200 MB ANAL REVEALS DIFFLUENT FLOW EXTENDING
OVER THE REGION. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE ANCHORED OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN
SEA IS EXPECTED TO STEER TC O3A ON A WESTWARD TRACK. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 090600Z5 IS 08 FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX
FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND
CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 090321Z OCT 01 TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 090330) NEXT WARNINGS AT 091500Z5 AND
092100Z2.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.centerone.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.