Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amconsul Calcutta And Amembassy Dhaka

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 22 May 2001 21:20:05 -0500

WTIO32 PGTW 230300
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   230000Z5 --- NEAR 15.4N0 71.5E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.4N0 71.5E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   231200Z8 --- 16.1N8 71.3E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   240000Z6 --- 16.7N4 71.1E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   241200Z9 --- 17.4N2 70.8E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z7 --- 17.8N6 70.4E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   260000Z8 --- 18.3N2 69.4E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
230300Z8 POSITION NEAR 15.6N2 71.5E3.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 232330Z3 INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65 AND 77 KNOTS. INFRARED ANIMATION DEPICTS A
PRIMARY BANDING FEATURE TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER. IMPRESSIVE DUAL
OUTFLOW CHANNELS ARE ALSO EVIDENT IN THE WATER VAPOR LOOP. TC 01A IS
FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS
BEFORE A MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING OVER OMAN BEGINS TO INFLUENCE THE
SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 230000Z5 IS 22 FEET.
REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 230900Z4, 231500Z1, 232100Z8 AND 240300Z9.//

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