Subject: Indian-N: 01 Active Tropical Cyclone In Northio

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 28 May 2001 02:59:10 -0500

WTIO32 PGTW 280900
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A WARNING NR 027
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   280600Z6 --- NEAR 20.2N4 68.0E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 045 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.2N4 68.0E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   281800Z9 --- 21.2N5 68.4E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z7 --- 22.2N6 69.0E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   291800Z0 --- 23.1N6 69.7E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   300600Z9 --- 23.5N0 70.3E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
280900Z9 POSITION NEAR 20.5N7 68.1E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 130 NM SOUTHWEST OF
PORBANDAR, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS DURING THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 280530Z8 VISIBLE
AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS, AND SYNOPTIC REPORTS.
ANIMATED VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED,
WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 280546Z5 TROPICAL
RAINFALL MEASURING MISSION DEPICTS ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION ABOUT
120 NM SOUTH OF THE LLCC. TC 01A SHOULD TRACK NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE PERIOD AS THE LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER INDIA BEGINS TO
WEAKEN. TC 01A IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z6 IS 18
FEET. REFER TO WWIO30 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 281500Z6, 282100Z3, 290300Z4 AND 290900Z0.//

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