Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 4 Dec 2001 12:09:34 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 041800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 12/4/20012002
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (BAKO)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  04/12/2001 : 18.1S/86.2E (EIGHTEEN
    DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
    EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 1.5/2.5  /W 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 995 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 35 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 40 KM   SE30: 380 KM
    SW30: 380 KM   NW30: 40 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1200
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 18.3S / 86.1E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.7S / 85.8E FI=1.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : DISSIPATED
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : CI=2.5+. BAKO IS LOCATED IN
    AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE TO A QUICK DISSIPATION (INCREASING
    STRONG WINDSHEAR). THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE DISSIPATED OVER THE
    NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.=

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