Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 3 Dec 2001 00:39:26 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 030600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 9/4/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (BAKO) EX-BESSI
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  03/12/2001 : 17.4S/85.8E (SEVENTEEN
    DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/4.5  /D 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 970 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 65 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 180 KM   SE30: 400 KM
    SW30: 400 KM   NW30: 180 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 18.0S / 85.5E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.7S / 85.3E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 20.0S / 84.2E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=3.5-, CI=4.5-. CONVECTION
    HAS DECREASED AND BAKO UNDERGOES A MODERATE NORTHWESTERLY
    WINDSHEAR. THE FORECAST SOUTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 48
    HOURS LEADS THE SYSTEM IN AREA OF WEAK SST AND STRONG
    WINDSHEAR ? THE SYST. SHOULD QUICKLY DECREASE IN INTENSITY.=

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