Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 28 Oct 2001 12:27:05 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 281800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/2/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (ANDRE)  EX ALEX
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  28/10/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 8.5S/87.3E (EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY
    SEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/3.5  /S  /12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 984 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 50 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 100 KM   SE30: 100 KM
    SW30: 200 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 8.7S / 85.7E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 8.9S / 84.2E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 10.0S / 80.9E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO
    ANDRE IS FLUCTUANTE. EASTERLY WINDSHEAR STILL REMAINS. CENTRE
    IS NOT EASY TO LOCATE ON THE IR IMAGERY.=

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