Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 30 Nov 2001 00:25:28 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 300600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/4/20012002
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (BAKO EX BESSI)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  29/11/2001 : 14.5S/88.8E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT
DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0  /S /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 993 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 40 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:180       SE30: 180
    SW30:180   NW30: 180
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1400 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 14.5S / 87.2E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 14.6S / 85.5E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 14.8S / 82.5E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=3.0-. PERSISTENCE OF
WEAK TO MOMODERATE EASTERLY WIND SHEAR.
THE SYSTEM WHICH HAS CURVED WESTSOUTHWESTWARD SHOULD MAINTAIN ON A
GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS ON THE NORTHERN
FACE OF SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.=

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