Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 7 Mar 2001 00:25:04 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 070600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 2/8/20002001
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  07/03/2001 : WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 14.5S/43.5E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FORTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /S 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1002 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30:
    SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 15.3S / 41.4E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 16.7S / 40.1E FI=2.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 20.0S / 37.8E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=2.0-. STRONG
    SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR ON THE EASTERN PART OF THE SYSTEM. IT
    SHOULD TRACK IN THE MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, IN DIRECTION OF AN
    AREA OF LOW PRESSURES ARRIVING IN THE SOUTH.

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