Subject: Indian-N: Immediate Delivery Req To Amconsul Calcutta And Amembassy Dhaka

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 27 May 2001 14:31:48 -0500

WTIO32 PGTW 272100
SUBJ:  TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMCONSUL CALCUTTA AND AMEMBASSY DHAKA
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A WARNING NR 025
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   271800Z8 --- NEAR 19.5N5 67.7E0
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.5N5 67.7E0
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   280600Z6 --- 20.6N8 68.0E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   281800Z9 --- 21.6N9 68.5E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   290600Z7 --- 22.5N9 69.0E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 04 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   291800Z0 --- 23.2N7 69.5E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
272100Z2 POSITION NEAR 19.8N8 67.8E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE 01A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM SOUTHWEST OF THE
COAST OF INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 05 KNOTS DURING THE PAST
SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 271730Z0 INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. A 271639Z8 SSM/I (85 GHZ)
PASS DEPICTED A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH
ASSOCIATED SPIRAL LOW-CLOUD LINES. THE IMAGE ALSO REVEALED THE NON-
EXISTENCE OF DEEP CONVECTION. TC 01A SHOULD TRACK NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD AS THE LOW/MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER
INDIA BEGINS TO WEAKEN. TC 01A IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE
BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 271800Z8 IS 16 FEET. REFER TO WWIO31 RJTX FOR ADDITIONAL SEA
HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z3, 280900Z9, 281500Z6
AND 282100Z3.//

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