Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 2 Dec 2001 14:07:19 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 021800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 8/4/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (BAKO) EX-BESSI
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  02/12/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 17.0S/85.8E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.5/4.5  /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 966 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 68 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 200 KM   SE30: 500 KM
    SW30: 300 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 17.6S / 85.6E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.0S / 84.3E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 18.5S / 81.2E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES AN
    INCREASING WIND SHEAR, CARACTERISTIC ARCUS OF CIRRUS IS
    PRESENT ON INFRARED IMAGERY. THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS FORECAST
    TO TRACK WESTWARD ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL
    RIDGE AFTER THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN SHEARED.

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.centerone.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.