Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 5 Apr 2001 01:21:47 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 050600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 5/9/20002001
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (EVARISTE)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  05/04/2001 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 13.6S/61.4E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SIXTY ONE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0  /D 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 991 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 40 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 220 KM   SE30: 220 KM
    SW30: 110 KM   NW30: 110 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 550 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 14.8S / 60.2E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 15.9S / 59.1E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 18.5S / 58.0E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : EVARISTE IS LOCATED IN THE
    UPPER RIDGE AXIS AND SHOULD KEEP ON SLIGHLY INTENSIFYING.
    TRACKING SOUTH-WESTWARD, IT SHOULD THEN  REACH AN AREA OF
    STRONG WINDSHEAR LIMITING ITS POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION.=

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