Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 27 Jan 2002 12:36:16 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 271800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 10/7/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (EDDY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  27/01/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 22.1S/86.6E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY SIX DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.5  /W 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 985 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 50 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 160 KM   SE30: 550 KM
    SW30: 400 KM   NW30: 80 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 23.0S / 85.0E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 24.0S / 82.7E FI=2.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 30.5S / 79.0E FI=
    EXTRATROPICAL
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : EXTENTION OF WINDS
    ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT SWATH AT 1152 UTC. LOCATION OF THE
    CENTRE ACCORDING TO SSMI AND TRMM DATA. EDDY IS NORTWESTERLY
    WHEARED: LLCC IS NOW PARTIALLY EXPOSED ON INDOEX IR IMAGERY.
    IT SHOULD CURVE SOUTHARD WITH EX-DINA TROUGH'S APPROACH.=

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