Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 16 Nov 2002 00:32:17 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 160600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/3/20022003
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (BOURA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  16/11/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 10.4S/73.3E (TEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY
    THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0  /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 994 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 35 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 60 KM   SE30: 180 KM
    SW30: 150 KM   NW30: 60 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 11.2S / 71.8E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 11.7S / 70.2E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 12.3S / 68.0E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=3.0- THE TROPICAL
    STORM BOURA IS UNDER INFLUENCE OF EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY
    MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ITS INTENSIFY SHOULD BE
    SLIGHTLY.=

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