Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 3 May 2002 03:46:31 -0500

WTXS31 PGTW 030900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S WARNING NR 001
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   030600Z9 --- NEAR 8.8S6 65.3E4
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 8.8S6 65.3E4
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   031800Z2 --- 9.6S5 66.1E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 190 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   040600Z0 --- 10.8S9 65.9E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   041800Z3 --- 11.4S6 64.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   050600Z1 --- 12.0S3 63.6E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
030900Z2 POSITION NEAR 9.0S9 65.5E6.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 440 NM WEST OF
DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. THE
WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 030530Z1 VISIBLE AND INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE AND WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICT IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND INCREASED POLEWARD
OUTFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE 200 MB
ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT TC 23S REMAINS EQUATORWARD OF THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE AXIS UNDER A REGION OF STRONG DIVERGENCE. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 030600Z9 IS 12 FEET. THIS WARNING
SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVPACMETOCCEN 030621Z2 MAY 02
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 030630) NEXT WARNINGS
AT 032100Z6 AND 040900Z3.//

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