Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 8 Mar 2002 12:11:30 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 081800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 7/11/20012002
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (HARY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  08/03/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 11.3S/52.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 6.5/6.5 MOINS /D 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 915 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 110 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 200 KM   SE30: 320 KM
    SW30: 320 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 11.6S / 51.2E FI=7.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 12.6S / 49.7E FI=7.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 15.9S / 47.9E FI= OVERLAND
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THIS VERY SMALL SYSTEM
    KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING. ITS SMALL EYE IS WARM AND VERY WELL
    DEFINED. THE MOST CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS SYMETRIC WITHIN A
    90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE. TWO CONVECTIV BANDS EXTEND
    FURTHER AND ARE ALSO SYMETRIC.=

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