Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 8 Feb 2002 00:22:33 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 080600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 16/8/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  08/02/2002 : 19.6S/83.5E (NINETEEN
    DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 5.0/5.0 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 954 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 75 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 330 KM   SE30: 450 KM
    SW30: 450 KM   NW30: 330 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1100
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 20.7S / 83.7E FI=5.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 21.8S / 83.8E FI=4.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 23.8S / 83.6E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE TRACK SHOULD MAINTAIN
    SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARD THEN SOUTHWARD. SOUTH OF 20S, THE SYSTEM
    WILL BE UNDER NORTHWESTERLY SHEARING.=

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