Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 12 Mar 2002 12:44:57 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 121800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 15/11/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (HARY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  12/03/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 27.6S/55.7E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/5.0 PLUS /W 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 950 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 85 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 300 KM   SE30: 350 KM
    SW30: 350 KM   NW30: 300 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 29.9S / 57.5E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 31.4S / 59.4E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 33.0S / 62.3E FI=
    EXTRATROPICAL
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : HARY IS WEAKENING BEACAUSE
    OF A NORTHWESTERLY WINDSHEAR. IT SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING
    SOUTHWESTWARD, AND THEN SHOULD SLOW DOWN WITH THE APPROACH OF
    A LOW LEVEL HIGH ON THE SOUTH.=

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