Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 27 Mar 2002 00:38:24 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 270600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 8/12/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (IKALA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  27/03/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 16.1S/75.4E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 5.5/5.5 MOINS /D 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 945 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 85 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 250 KM   SE30: 700 KM
    SW30: 700 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 17.6S / 76.0E FI=5.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.5S / 76.0E FI=5.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 19.6S / 75.4E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=5.5-. THE SYSTEM
    SHOULD SLOW DOWN WITH THE RIDGE BUILDING SOUTH OF IT.=

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