Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 16 Feb 2002 12:16:44 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 161800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 4/10/20012002
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GUILLAUME)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  16/02/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 14.2S/54.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0 MOINS /D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 993 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 35 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 60 KM   SE30: 60 KM
    SW30: 60 KM   NW30: 60 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 14.4S / 55.7E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 14.9S / 56.7E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 16.5S / 58.0E FI=4.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=3.0-. THE SYSTEM,
    STILL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MIDDLE LEVEL HIGH OVER
    MADAGASCAR, SHOULD CURVE SOUTHEASTWARD AS IT COMES UNDER THE
    INFLUENCE OF A NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE.=

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