Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 19 Feb 2002 00:40:43 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 190600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 9/10/20012002
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (GUILLAUME)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  19/02/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 19.4S/59.2E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 6.0/6.0  /S  /12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 925 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 100 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 200 KM   SE30: 200 KM
    SW30: 200 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 20.8S / 58.7E FI=6.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 22.2S / 58.4E FI=5.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 24.8S / 58.4E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM NOW TRACKS
    SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD, TOWARD A TROUGH SOUTH OF IT. IT SHOULD
    TRACK MORE SOUTHWARD AND WEAKEN BECAUSE OF THE SHEARING
    DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.=

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