Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 3 Feb 2002 00:17:23 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 030600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 6/8/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  03/02/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 14.3S/79.4E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0  /D 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 975 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 200 KM   SE30: 250 KM
    SW30: 170 KM   NW30: 300 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1600
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 14.5S / 78.2E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 15.1S / 77.1E FI=4.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 15.8S / 76.3E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : EYE BANDING PATTERN. THE
    EYE WAS VISIBLE DURING LAST HOURS. IT IS NOW HIDDEN BY THE
    WRAPPING BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION. EXTENTION OF WINDS
    ESTIMATED ACCORDING TO QUIKSCAT DATA AT 0106UTC.=

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