Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 9 Feb 2002 00:18:37 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 090600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 18/8/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  09/02/2002 : 21.4S/84.7E (TWENTY ONE
    DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/5.0 MOINS /W 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 955 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 80 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 330 KM   SE30: 550 KM
    SW30: 500 KM   NW30: 270 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 22.3S / 84.6E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 23.2S / 84.5E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 24.8S / 84.2E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=4.0+. FRANCESCA GOES ON
    WEAKENING. ITS TRACK SHOULD PERSIST SOUTHWARD THEN CURVE
    PROGRESSIVELY SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD, UNDER INFLUENCE OF EASTERLY
    TO SOUTHEASTERLY TRADE WINDS.=

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