Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 6 May 2002 01:21:06 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 060600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 7/14/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KESINY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  06/05/2002 : 10.9S/60.7E (TEN DECIMAL
    NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0  /D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 976 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 150 KM   SE30: 300 KM
    SW30: 300 KM   NW30: 150 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 11.5S / 59.3E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 11.3S / 57.4E FI=4.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 10.8S / 53.5E FI=4.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS,
    WITH A WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND A GOOD DIVERGENCE, REMAIN
    FAVORABLE FOR FUTHER INTENSIFICATION.=

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