Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 25 Mar 2002 12:22:02 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 251800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 5/12/20012002
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (IKALA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  25/03/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 11.6S/73.0E (ELEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0  /D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 990 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 45 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 70 KM   SE30: 220 KM
    SW30: 70 KM   NW30: 70 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1100
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 12.1S / 72.8E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 13.2S / 72.4E FI=4.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 15.3S / 71.8E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=3.0+. A BANDING CURVE
    SEEMS TO FORM ON THE LAST IR IMAGES. IKALA SHOULD GENERALLY
    TRACK SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN CURVE
    SOUTHWESTWARD.=

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