Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 8 Feb 2002 12:15:29 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 081800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 17/8/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  08/02/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 20.3S/84.5E (TWENTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 5.0/5.0 MOINS /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 954 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 80 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 240 KM   SE30: 500 KM
    SW30: 450 KM   NW30: 220 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1100
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 21.1S / 85.1E FI=5.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 22.2S / 85.4E FI=4.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 24.4S / 85.5E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=5.0-. THE SYSTEM
    SHOULD CURVE SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARD WITH AN APPROACHING MID LEVEL
    TROUGH SOUTH OF IT DURING THE NEXTE 24 HOURS. THE SYSTEM
    SHOULD THEN WEAKEN OVER COOLER SEA AND WITH AN INCREASING
    VERTICAL WINDSHEAR.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.centerone.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.