Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 10 Apr 2002 01:11:31 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 100600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 4/13/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (JERY) EX-DIANNE
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  10/04/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 19.3S/87.8E (NINETEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.5  /W 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 965 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 70 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 220 KM   SE30: 450 KM
    SW30: 450 KM   NW30: 220 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 20.4S / 87.7E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 22.0S / 87.8E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 25.7S / 89.9E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=4.0+. NORTHWESTERLY
    CONSTRAINT IS CLEARLY SHOWED ON THE 0013Z SSMI PASS. JERY
    SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AND
    THEN ACCELERATE AND TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD AS A MIDLATITUDE
    TROUGH SHIFTS IN THE SOUTH.=

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