Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 10 Feb 2002 00:20:44 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 100600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 20/8/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  10/02/2002 : 22.5S/84.8E (TWENTY TWO
    DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/4.0  /W 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 975 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 55 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 400 KM   SE30: 400 KM
    SW30: 170 KM   NW30: 170 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 23.3S / 84.8E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 24.3S / 84.9E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 26.5S / 84.5E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM IS CLEARLY
    NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED WITH A CLEAR EYE ON THE SSMI (0008,
    0246, 0335 UTC). IT SHOULD TRACK SOUTHWARDS TOWARDS THE
    MID-LEVEL TROUGH, AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN WITH THE INCREASINBG
    WINDSHEAR.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.centerone.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.