Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 17 Feb 2002 00:28:52 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 170600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 5/10/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (GUILLAUME)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  17/02/2002 : 14.5S/56.4E (FOURTEEN
    DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES
    EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.5/4.5 PLUS /D 2.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 965 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 70 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 150 KM   SE30: 100 KM
    SW30: 100 KM   NW30: 150 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 15.2S / 58.4E FI=5.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 16.3S / 59.3E FI=5.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 18.9S / 59.0E FI=6.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : GUILLAUME IS FORCASTED TO
    RECURVE SOUTHEASTWARDS THEN SOUTHWARDS DU TO THE
    NORTHWESTERLIES IN THE NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM.=

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