Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 20 Nov 2002 12:46:18 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 201800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 12/3/20022003
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (BOURA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  20/11/2002 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 15.5S/57.6E (FIFTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.5 PLUS /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 53 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 120 KM   SE30: 380 KM
    SW30: 400 KM   NW30: 180 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 15.6S / 56.5E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 15.4S / 55.0E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 14.3S / 53.5E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING
    SLOWLY. THE SOUTHERN HIGH PRESSURES CHANGE THE TRACK TO
    WESTWARD.=

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