Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 8 Mar 2002 00:28:12 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 080600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 6/11/20012002
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (HARY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  08/03/2002 : 11.2S/54.2E (ELEVEN
    DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
    EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 5.5/5.5  /D 1.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 935 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 95 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 200 KM   SE30: 320 KM
    SW30: 320 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 11.8S / 52.3E FI=6.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 12.9S / 51.1E FI=6.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 16.4S / 49.9E FI=6.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=5.5+. THE SYSTEM IS A
    COMPACT ONE, AND SHOWS A SMALL SIZE EYE (10 NM DIAMETER EYE).
    IT KEEPS ON INTENSIFYING. IT SHOULD TRACK WESTWARD BEFORE
    INCURVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS AS A MID-LEVEL
    TROUGH IS DRIFTING IN THE SOUTH.=

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