Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 27 Jan 2002 00:19:45 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 270600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 9/7/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (EDDY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  27/01/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 21.2S/88.6E (TWENTY ONE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 55 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 160 KM   SE30: 500 KM
    SW30: 450 KM   NW30: 160 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 22.2S / 87.0E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 22.9S / 84.5E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 23.8S / 79.6E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=3.0 CI=4.0-. CONVECTION
    HAS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKENED DUE TO THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
    WHICH IS INTENSIFYING.=

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