Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 28 Mar 2002 00:20:21 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 280600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 10/12/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (IKALA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  28/03/2002 : 18.7S/78.5E (EIGHTEEN
    DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/4.5 PLUS /W 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 965 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 65 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 350 KM   SE30: 700 KM
    SW30: 700 KM   NW30: 250 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 19.7S / 79.6E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 21.2S / 79.0E FI=2.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 22.6S / 77.3E FI=
    EXTRATROPICAL
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=3.5-, CI=4.5-. LOW LEVEL
    CENTRE IS CLEARLY VISIBLE AND CONVECTION HAS NEARLY
    DISAPPEARED. IKALA WILL CONTINUE TO QUICKLY WEAKEN AS IT
    TRACKS IN A DEFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG VERTICAL
    WINDSHEAR, AND COOLER AND DRIER AIR.=

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