Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 21 Nov 2002 12:15:58 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 211800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 14/3/20022003
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (BOURA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  21/11/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 14.1S/54.3E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.5/3.0  /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 990 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 40 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 55 KM   SE30: 350 KM
    SW30: 350 KM   NW30: 55 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 13.1S / 52.6E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 12.5S / 51.4E FI=2.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 12.0S / 49.5E FI=
    DISSIPATING
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=2.5-, CI=3.0. BOURA
    TRACKS OVER COOLER SST. LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS EXPOSED WEST OF
    THE REMAINING CONVECTION (SSMI AT 1506Z)=

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