Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 10 Feb 2002 12:09:38 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 101800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 21/8/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  10/02/2002 : 23.2S/85.2E (TWENTY THREE
    DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
    EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.5  /W 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 984 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 50 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 180 KM   SE30: 350 KM
    SW30: 350 KM   NW30: 120 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1100
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 24.0S / 85.2E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 24.9S / 85.1E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 27.4S / 84.9E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : FRANCESCA KEEPS ON TRACKING
    SOUTHWARD AND SHOULD PROGRESSIVELY CURVE SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD,
    DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF A HIGH ARRIVING IN THE SOUTH.=

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