Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 19 Jan 2002 12:16:17 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 191800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 6/6/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (DINA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  19/01/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 17.3S/65.6E (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 5.0/5.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 955 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 80 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 220 KM   SE30: 320 KM
    SW30: 250 KM   NW30: 220 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1600
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 18.1S / 64.5E FI=5.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.9S / 63.4E FI=5.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 19.8S / 61.2E FI=5.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE NUMERICAL MODELS DO NOT
    AGREE FOR THE TRACK FORECAST. THE SYSTEM MIGHT INCURVE
    WESTSOUTHWESTWARD WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A MID-LEVEL HIGH IN THE
    SOUTHWEST, OR AT LEAST SPEED DOWN.=

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