Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 5 May 2002 13:32:06 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 051800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 6/14/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KESINY)  X=
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  05/05/2002 : 10.2S/61.9E (TEN DECIMAL
    TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0 MOINS /D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 978 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 55 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 150 KM   SE30: 200 KM
    SW30: 200 KM   NW30: 150 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 10.6S / 60.1E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 11.1S / 58.7E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 12.1S / 56.2E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS
    SHOULD ALLOW A SLIGTH INTENSIFICATION. TRACK IS EXPECTED
    WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS.=

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