Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 10 Apr 2002 13:22:05 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 101800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 5/13/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (JERY) EX-DIANNE
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  10/04/2002 : 20.5S/87.9E (TWENTY
    DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY SEVEN DECIMAL NINE
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.5 PLUS /W 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 55 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 150 KM   SE30: 400 KM
    SW30: 400 KM   NW30: 150 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 22.0S / 88.0E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 24.4S / 88.4E FI=2.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 28.7S / 92.0E FI=
    EXTRATROPICAL
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE INCREASING VERTICAL
    WIND SHEAR SHOULD ACCELERATE THE WEAKENING OF JERY, TRACKINF
    SOUTHWARD.=

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