Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 17 Nov 2002 00:29:58 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 170600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 5/3/20022003
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (BOURA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  17/11/2002 : 12.2S/69.4E (TWELVE
    DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES
    EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/  PLUS/D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 975 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 150 KM   SE30: 180 KM
    SW30: 220 KM   NW30: 180 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 12.5S / 67.2E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 12.8S / 65.0E FI=4.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 12.4S / 60.8E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : IN SPITE OF A MODERATE
    EASTERLY TO NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, BOURA HAS
    SLIGTLY INTENSIFY DURING THE LAST HOURS AND IT IS NOW
    ANALYSED AS A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM.
A WARM CORE APPEARS ON THE LAST SATELLITE IMAGERY.=

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