Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 9 Feb 2002 12:09:33 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 091800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 19/8/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  09/02/2002 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 22.0S/84.8E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.5 PLUS /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 965 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 70 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 280 KM   SE30: 570 KM
    SW30: 570 KM   NW30: 280 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1700
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 22.9S / 84.9E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 23.8S / 84.8E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 25.5S / 84.2E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE TRACK SHOULD MAINTAIN
    SOUTHWARD THEN MIGHT CURVE SOUTHWESTWARD DUE TO THE INFLUENCE
    OF A HIGH ARRIVING IN THE SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM.=

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