Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 27 Mar 2002 12:15:30 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 271800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 9/12/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (IKALA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  27/03/2002 : 18.0S/76.7E (EIGHTEEN
    DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.5/5.5 PLUS /W 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 945 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 85 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 350 KM   SE30: 700 KM
    SW30: 700 KM   NW30: 250 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1200
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 19.5S / 77.8E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 20.7S / 78.0E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 22.5S / 76.5E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=4.5 CI=5.5-. IKALA KEEPS
    ON TRACKING IN DIRECTION OF AN AREA OF STRONGER VERTICAL WIND
    SHEAR, WITH DRIER AND COOLER AIR ASSOCIATED, SO THE SYSTEM
    SHOULD WEAKEN SIGNIFICANTLY.=

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