Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 9 May 2002 01:26:44 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 090600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 13/14/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KESINY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  09/05/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 12.3S/51.1E (TWELVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0  /D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 972 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 220 KM   SE30: 480 KM
    SW30: 480 KM   NW30: 220 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1100
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 12.9S / 49.6E FI= OVERLAND
2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 13.4S / 48.2E FI=2.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 13.5S / 45.2E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE TRACK SHOULD MAINTAIN
    WESTWARD TO SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN IT
    SHOULD TURN WESTWARD, AFTER CROSSING MADAGASCAR, DUE TO A LOW
    LEVEL RIDGE.=

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