Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 16 Feb 2002 00:28:41 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 160600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/10/20012002
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  16/02/2002 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 14.7S/52.5E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY TWO DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 997 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 30 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 60 KM   SE30: 60 KM
    SW30: 60 KM   NW30: 60 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 14.5S / 53.4E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 14.6S / 54.2E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 15.5S / 55.5E FI=4.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM SHOULD CURVE
    EASTWARD THEN SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE STEEERING INFLUENCE OF
    A  MIDDLE LEVEL HIGH IN THE NORTH AND A TROUGH IN THE
    SOUTHEAST.
THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVOURABLE FOR AN INTENSIFICATION.=

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