Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 5 May 2002 01:24:49 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 050600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 5/14/20012002
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (KESINY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  05/05/2002 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 10.0S/64.3E (TEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY
    FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0  /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 987 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 45 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 80 KM   SE30: 300 KM
    SW30: 300 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 10.1S / 63.1E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 10.3S / 61.8E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 10.7S / 59.7E FI=4.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=3.0+. CURVED BAND
    PATTERN. KESINY SHOUD LIGHTLY INTENSIFY AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS
    BENEATH A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IN HIGH LEVEL.=

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