Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 07 Sep 2002 13:34:09 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 071800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 5/1/20022003
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  07/09/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 4.1S/54.7E (FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY
    FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1004 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30:
    SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 4.0S / 53.2E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 3.7S / 51.6E FI=1.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 2.9S / 47.9E FI=1.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES AN
    MODERATE AND INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND IS GOING ON
    WEAKENING. ITS INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ANY MORE REGULAR
    WARNING.=

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