Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 24 Dec 2002 00:20:35 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 240600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 4/4/20022003
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (CRYSTAL)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  24/12/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 12.6S/64.3E (TWELVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY
    FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/3.5  /D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 985 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 50 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 60 KM   SE30: 240 KM
    SW30: 200 KM   NW30: 90 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 13.7S / 63.2E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 14.9S / 62.1E FI=4.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 16.9S / 59.9E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : ENVIRONMENT REMAINS
    FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION. FORECAST TRACK REMAINS
    SOUTHWESTWARD, STEERED ALONG THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE PRESENT
    SOUTHEAST OF CRYSTAL.=

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