Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 11 Mar 2002 12:19:51 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 111800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 13/11/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (HARY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  11/03/2002 : 22.3S/52.4E (TWENTY TWO
    DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.5/5.0 MOINS /W 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 945 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 85 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 300 KM   SE30: 350 KM
    SW30: 350 KM   NW30: 300 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 25.2S / 54.0E FI=5.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 28.2S / 55.8E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 33.0S / 58.5E FI=
    EXTRATROPICAL
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : HARY KEEPS ON TRACKING
    SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARD, SKIRTING AROUND A MID LEVEL RIDGE, IN
    DIRECTION OF A TROUGH ARRIVING IN THE SOUTH. HARY SHOULD
    QUICKLY ENTER INTO AN AREA OF STRONGER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.=

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