Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 11 May 2002 03:47:24 -0500

WTXS31 PGTW 110900
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KESINY) WARNING NR 017
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   110600Z8 --- NEAR 15.8S4 46.9E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   REPEAT POSIT: 15.8S4 46.9E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   111800Z1 --- 16.1S8 46.7E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z9 --- 16.3S0 46.2E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   121800Z2 --- 16.4S1 45.7E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   130600Z0 --- 16.5S2 45.1E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
110900Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.9S5 46.8E8.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (KESINY) MADE LANDFALL AT (APPROX)
101830Z3, JUST 40 NM NORTHEAST OF MAHAJANGA, MADAGASCAR. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS.
TC 23S HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 02 KNOTS DURING THE PAST SIX HOURS.
THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 110530Z0 INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE
AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD, GUIDED BY A LOW-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
110600Z IS 10 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 112100Z5 AND 120900Z2. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (ERROL) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES.//

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