Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 17 Jan 2002 00:35:48 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 170600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 1/6/20012002
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  17/01/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 8.8S/75.4E (EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /D  /
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1002 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30:
    SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 10.4S / 74.0E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 12.0S / 72.3E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 14.4S / 68.9E FI=4.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEME HAS THE
    POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP, WITH A GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE AND
    A WELL ESTABLISHED MONSSON FLOW IN THE LOW LEVEL=

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