Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 7 Feb 2002 00:21:00 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 070600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 14/8/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  07/02/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 18.0S/82.0E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.5/4.5 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 962 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 70 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 300 KM   SE30: 450 KM
    SW30: 350 KM   NW30: 220 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1200
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 18.3S / 82.9E FI=5.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 19.2S / 83.4E FI=5.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 20.9S / 84.2E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=4.5+. A BANDING EYE IS
    ONCE AGAIN CLEARLY VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE SYSTEM
    HAS INTENSIFIED SLIGHTLY AND IT WILL HAVE TO GO MORE
    SOUTHWARD TO BE REALLY AFFECTED BY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.=

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