Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 7 Mar 2002 00:39:53 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 070600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 4/11/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (HARY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  07/03/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 11.2S/58.6E (ELEVEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY
    EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/3.5  /D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 984 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 50 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 70 KM   SE30: 150 KM
    SW30: 100 KM   NW30: 70 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 400 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 11.0S / 56.4E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 11.6S / 54.5E FI=4.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 14.1S / 51.4E FI=5.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEME TRACKS
    TEMPORARELY WESTNORTHWESTWARD GUIDED BY A LOW TO MID LEVEL
    RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. AFTER THIS TIME, AN APPROCHING TROUGH
    WILL WEAKEN THIS RIDGE AND THEN THE SYSTEM SHOULD TRACK MORE
    SOUTHWESTWARD.=

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