Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 10 May 2002 13:29:29 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 101800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 16/14/20012002
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION (EX-KESINY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  10/05/2002 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 14.8S/46.8E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FORTY SIX DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.5  /W 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 30 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30:
    SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 1100
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 15.6S / 45.6E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 16.2S / 44.2E FI=2.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : DISSIPATING
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE TRACK MIGHT MAINTAIN
    SOUTHWESTWARD EVEN IF SOME NWP MODELS STILL FORECAST THE
    TRACK TO INCURVE WESTWARD.=

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