Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 7 May 2002 01:25:47 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 070600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 9/14/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KESINY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  07/05/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 10.8S/59.1E (TEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY
    NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/3.5  /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 984 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 50 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 100 KM   SE30: 300 KM
    SW30: 300 KM   NW30: 100 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 10.9S / 58.0E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 11.1S / 56.4E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 11.3S / 54.8E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : CONVECTION HAS CLEARLY
    WEAKEN, DU TO LIGTH EASTERLY CONSTAINT INCREASING. MOTION IS
    FORCASTED WESTWARDS.=

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