Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 18 Feb 2002 12:12:38 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 181800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 8/10/20012002
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (GUILLAUME)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  18/02/2002 : 18.1S/59.5E (EIGHTEEN
    DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES
    EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 6.0/6.5 MOINS /D 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 920 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 105 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 220 KM   SE30: 220 KM
    SW30: 220 KM   NW30: 220 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 19.4S / 59.3E FI=6.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 20.5S / 58.8E FI=6.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 23.3S / 58.6E FI=5.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=6.0 CI=6.5 MINUS.
    DIAMETER OF EYE : 10/12 NM.
INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUILLAUME SHOULD PROGRESSIVELY TRACK
    SOUTHSOUTHWESTWARD, SKIRTING AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE,
    BUILDING IN THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM.=

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