Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 6 Feb 2002 00:17:52 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 060600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 12/8/20012002
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  06/02/2002 : 17.2S/80.0E (SEVENTEEN
    DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES
    EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.5  /W 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 968 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 65 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 160 KM   SE30: 450 KM
    SW30: 450 KM   NW30: 160 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1500
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 17.7S / 80.3E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.3S / 80.6E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 19.5S / 80.9E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=4.0-, CI=4.5-.
FRANCESCA KEEPS ON WEAKENING WITH WEAKENING CONVECTION.=

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