Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 3 Feb 2002 12:22:05 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 031800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 7/8/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  03/02/2002 : 15.0S/78.1E (FIFTEEN
    DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL ONE
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0  /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 973 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 160 KM   SE30: 320 KM
    SW30: 320 KM   NW30: 160 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 15.6S / 77.0E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 15.8S / 76.0E FI=5.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 15.9S / 74.3E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : AN EYE CAN BE DETECTED ON
    THE SSMI MICROWAVE DATA AT 1515 UTC AND 1608 UTC.
THE OPTION FOR THE TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE BRACKNELL MODELS ONE.=

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