Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 19 Feb 2002 13:28:30 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 191800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 10/10/20012002
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (GUILLAUME)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  19/02/2002 : 20.6S/58.9E (TWENTY
    DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 6.0/6.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 930 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 100 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 200 KM   SE30: 200 KM
    SW30: 150 KM   NW30: 150 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1012 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 21.8S / 58.3E FI=6.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 23.3S / 58.0E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 26.2S / 58.1E FI=2.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS
    EXPECTED TO BECOME STRONGER, SO THE SUSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
    WEAKEN RAPIDELY.=

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