Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 11 Feb 2002 00:23:52 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 110600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 22/8/20012002
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (FRANCESCA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  11/02/2002 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 25.1S/85.8E (TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    EIGHTY FIVE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/3.0  /W 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 990 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 40 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 170 KM   SE30: 320 KM
    SW30: 300 KM   NW30: 100 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 26.6S / 86.0E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 28.4S / 85.8E FI=2.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 32.3S / 84.3E FI=
    EXTRATROPICAL
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM IS WEKENING VERY
    RAPIDLY IN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. THE LLC IS
    EXPOSED, AT MORE THAN 60 NM FROM DEEP CONVECTION.=

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