Subject: Indian-S: Immediate Delivery Req To Amembassy Port Louis

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 19 Jan 2002 15:50:02 -0600

WTXS31 PGTW 192100
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (DINA) WARNING NR 005
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   191800Z9 --- NEAR 17.2S0 65.7E8
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.2S0 65.7E8
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   200600Z8 --- 17.7S5 64.3E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   201800Z1 --- 18.2S1 62.3E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 015 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            135 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   210600Z9 --- 18.5S4 60.5E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            155 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            155 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   211800Z2 --- 18.7S6 58.7E0
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
   RADIUS OF 100 KT WINDS - 020 NM
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM
   RADIUS OF 035 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            160 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            145 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
192100Z3 POSITION NEAR 17.3S1 65.4E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 10S (DINA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM
NORTHEAST OF RODRIGUES ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06
KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
191730Z1 INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 102 AND 115 KNOTS. ANIMATED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS COOLING CLOUD TOPS AND A RAGGED
EYE FORMING AT THIS TIME. A MID-LEVEL HIGH HEIGHT CENTER SITUATED
OVER THE SOUTHERN TIP OF MADAGASCAR IS FORECAST TO BUILD GRADUALLY
EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS CREATING A MORE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
MOTION IN THE SYSTEM. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF AVAILABLE
NWP (NOGAPS, AVN, GFDN, UKMET SPECTRAL). MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 191800Z9 IS 23 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 200900Z1 AND
202100Z5.//

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.centerone.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.