Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 23 Dec 2002 00:29:05 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 230600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 2/4/20022003
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  23/12/2002 : 10.2S/66.9E (TEN DECIMAL
    TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 996 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 30 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 50 KM   SE30: 250 KM
    SW30: 200 KM   NW30: 50 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 11.2S / 65.8E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 12.3S / 64.6E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 14.2S / 62.3E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : UPPER LEVEL CONDITIONS
    (PRESENCE OF A RIDGE GENERATING GOOD OUTFLOW AND WEAK
    VERTICAL WIND SHEAR) ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION.=

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