Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 8 Apr 2002 13:13:08 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 081800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 1/13/20012002
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (JERY) EX-DIANNE
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  08/04/2002 : 15.7S/90.0E (FIFTEEN
    DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND NINETY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES
    EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 970 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 250 KM   SE30: 450 KM
    SW30: 350 KM   NW30: 150 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 16.8S / 87.8E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.4S / 86.0E FI=5.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 22.7S / 84.5E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=4.0+. AN EYE HAS
    STARTED TO FORM.
THE SEVERE TROPICAL STORM JERY IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
    MODERATE WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.=

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