Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 18 Nov 2002 13:05:22 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 181800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 8/3/20022003
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (BOURA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  18/11/2002 : 13.4S/64.7E (THIRTEEN
    DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0  /W 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 972 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 60 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 100 KM   SE30: 150 KM
    SW30: 180 KM   NW30: 100 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 13.2S / 62.1E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 13.0S / 59.6E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 12.6S / 54.8E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : CI=4.0+ T=4.0. BOURA HAS
    WEAKENED AND IT SHOULD NOW FIND UNFAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH
    MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.=

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