Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 08 Jan 2003 12:26:12 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 081800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 2/8/20022003
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  08/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 14.1S/70.5E (FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.5/2.5 MOINS /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 30 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 30 KM   SE30: 40 KM
    SW30: 40 KM   NW30: 30 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 16.2S / 70.2E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 17.7S / 68.8E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 21.7S / 67.6E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=2.5-.
UPPER LEVELS CONDITIOND REMAIN FAVORABLE, AND CONVECTION SEEMS TO
    BE IN A BETTER ORGANIZATION, BUT REMAINS YET MODERATE.=

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