Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 12:20:19 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 061800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 6/14/20022003
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (KALUNDE)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  06/03/2003 : 11.6S/74.7E (ELEVEN
    DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/3.5  /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 982 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 50 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 160 KM   SE30: 280 KM
    SW30: 220 KM   NW30: 160 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 660 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 12.2S / 73.3E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 12.7S / 72.2E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 15.0S / 70.5E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=3.5 +
KALUNDE IS STILL LOCATED WITHIN AN AREA OF WEAK VERTICAL WIND
    SHEAR, ITS POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION REMAINS GOOD.=

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