Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 13 Mar 2003 12:07:28 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 131800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 20/14/20022003
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  13/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 22.6S/64.4E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.5  /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 965 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 70 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 250 KM   SE30: 650 KM
    SW30: 550 KM   NW30: 220 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 24.0S / 64.7E FI=4.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 25.6S / 64.5E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 29.0S / 63.5E FI=3.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : TRMM AT 0608Z SHOWS THE LAG
    BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTRE AND THE LOW LEVEL
    ONE. ON THE LAST SSMI IMAGERIES AT 1422Z AND 1535Z, THIS LAG
    DOES NOT SEEM TO EXIST ANYMORE, BUT DEEP CONVECTION ONLY
    APPEARS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.=

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