Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 00:46:03 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 100600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 5/10/20022003
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  10/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 11.3S/54.8E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 994 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 35 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 40 KM   SE30: 40 KM
    SW30: 40 KM   NW30: 40 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 12.8S / 54.3E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 14.0S / 54.0E FI=3.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 16.9S / 56.3E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=2.5+.THE SYSTEME SEEMS TO
    BE SLIGHTLY UNDERGOING THE OTHER SYSTEME 11 IN THE EAST.
    INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO GOING ON, ON A TRACK BECOMING
    SOUTHWARD.=

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