Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 11 Mar 2003 00:59:05 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 110600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 15/14/20022003
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  11/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 18.2S/65.3E (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SIXTY FIVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 5.0/5.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 950 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 80 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 200 KM   SE30: 500 KM
    SW30: 230 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 18.7S / 64.4E FI=5.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 19.5S / 63.6E FI=5.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 21.0S / 61.8E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=5.0 ET CI=5.0+.
ACCORDING TO THE LAST MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY (SSMI OF 0434), THE
EYEWALL REPLACEMENT CYCLE STARTED YESTERDAY IS NOT YET FINISHED.=

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