Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 04 Mar 2003 12:18:24 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 041800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 2/14/20022003
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  04/03/2003 : WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 11.5S/78.2E (ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0 PLUS /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30:
    SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 11.7S / 77.5E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 12.0S / 76.6E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 12.6S / 75.0E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=2.0+. THE VERTICAL
    WINDSHEAR IS WEAKENING SOUTH OF 10S, WHAT COULD HELP FOR AN
    INTENSIFICATION.=

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