Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 14 Feb 2003 00:52:40 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 140600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 13/10/20022003
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE (GERRY)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  14/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 22.9S/60.6E (TWENTY TWO DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.5/5.0 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 950 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 80 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 400 KM   SE30: 400 KM
    SW30: 200 KM   NW30: 200 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 24.4S / 61.2E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 26.2S / 62.1E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 27.9S / 63.0E FI=2.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
    SLOW DOWN NORTH TO 30S, AT THE ARRIVAL OF HIGH PRESSURES
    SUBTROPICALS.=

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