Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 11 Jan 2003 00:12:38 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 110600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 7/8/20022003
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (EBULA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  11/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 24.1S/69.2E (TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SIXTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/4.0 MOINS /W 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 50 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 150 KM   SE30: 300 KM
    SW30: 400 KM   NW30: 250 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 26.7S / 69.5E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 28.5S / 71.0E FI=2.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 32.5S / 75.6E FI=
    EXTRATROPICAL
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : EBULA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
    SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF THE THROUGH WEAKENING.=

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