Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 12 Feb 2003 23:51:28 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 130600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/12/20022003
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (ISHA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  13/02/2003 : 19.2S/84.9E (NINETEEN
    DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.5/2.5  /D 0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 995 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 35 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 10 KM   SE30: 30 KM
    SW30: 20 KM   NW30: 10 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 20.5S / 85.8E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 22.0S / 86.8E FI=2.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 23.5S / 89.5E FI=2.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=2.5+. ISHA IS WESTERLY
    TO NORTHWESTERLY SHEARED, SO ITS POTENTIAL FOR
    INTENSIFICATION BECOMES POOR.=

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