Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 06 Mar 2003 00:30:59 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 060600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 5/14/20022003
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (KALUNDE)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  06/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 11.3S/76.3E (ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL THREE DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 991 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 40 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 70 KM   SE30: 160 KM
    SW30: 200 KM   NW30: 60 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1400
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 11.6S / 75.6E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 12.4S / 74.6E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 14.2S / 73.0E FI=4.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : CONVECTION HAS WEAKENED
    LAST NIGTH, MAIS SHOWS NOW A CURVED BAND FEATURE. THE SYSTEME
    IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TRACKING MORE SOUTHWESTWARD.=

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