Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 07 Mar 2003 12:15:37 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 071800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 8/14/20022003
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE (KALUNDE)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  07/03/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 13.4S/71.8E (THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 5.5/5.5 PLUS /D 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 935 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 95 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 250 KM   SE30: 250 KM
    SW30: 250 KM   NW30: 250 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1004 HPA / 1100
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 14.4S / 70.2E FI=6.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 15.2S / 68.8E FI=6.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 16.8S / 66.7E FI=6.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : INTENSIFICATION IS GOING
    ON, THE CDO IS BECOMING MORE REGULAR, THE EYE MORE DEFINED.
    THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD ON THE
    EQUATORIAL EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.=

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