Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 00:25:42 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 090600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/8/20022003
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (EBULA)
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  09/01/2003 : 14.9S/71.0E (FOURTEEN
    DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO
    DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0 PLUS /D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 986 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 45 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 120 KM   SE30: 200 KM
    SW30: 180 KM   NW30: 100 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 1000
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 16.3S / 71.3E FI=3.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 18.5S / 70.5E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 22.0S / 69.0E FI=4.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : EBULA IS LOCATED IN
    VICINITY OF AN AREA OF MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
    WHICH COULD WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AT SHORT RANGE.
T=CI=3.0 PLUS.=

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