Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 11 Apr 2003 02:01:42 -0500

WTIO30 FMEE 110659
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER     :2/15/20022003
1.A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION 15  (LUMA)

2.A POSITION 2003/04/11 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 32.4 S / 55.9 E (THIRTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR
DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS     : /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE     : 985 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
 30 KT      NE:  220     SE:  200    SO: 350   NO:  100
50 KT     NE:  080    SE: 080   SO:  050  NO:  050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2003/04/11 AT 18 UTC:
 34.7 S/  62.1 E   MAX WIND =  065 KT SUBTROPICAL
 24H: 2003/04/12 AT 06 UTC:
 36.0 S/  66.0 E   MAX WIND =  050 KT EXTRATROPICAL

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THIS SYSTEME HAS A WARM CORE AND SEEMS TO BE CATCHED BY THE POLAR
FRONT,
AS IT TRACKS
 VERY QUICKLY TOWARD IT.=

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