Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 10 Feb 2003 12:32:19 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 101800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 6/10/20022003
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  10/02/2003 : 12.2S/54.4E (TWELVE
    DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES
    EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 3.0/3.0  /D 0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 990 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 40 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 70 KM   SE30: 120 KM
    SW30: 250 KM   NW30: 100 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 13.7S / 54.5E FI=3.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 15.1S / 55.1E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 18.0S / 58.0E FI=5.0

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : GERRY SHOULD KEEP ON
    TRACKINF SOUTHWARDS IN THE NEXT 12H, THEN SOUTHEASTWARDS
    BEYOND. IT SHOULD THEN ACCELERATE AND INTENSIFY.=

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