Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 07 Jan 2003 00:32:43 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 070600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/7/20022003
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE -
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  07/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 19.5S/37.4E (NINETEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND
    THIRTY SEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30:
    SW30:        NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1008 HPA / 400 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : MEDIUM
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 21.1S / 37.3E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 22.8S / 37.1E FI=1.5

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : DISSIPATING
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES AN
    INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWARD, SO THE
    SYSTEM IS FORCASTED TO WEAKEN.=

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