Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 09 Jan 2003 12:15:56 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 091800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 4/8/20022003
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM (EBULA)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  09/01/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 16.7S/71.0E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 4.0/4.0 PLUS /D 1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 55 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 200 KM   SE30: 350 KM
    SW30: 200 KM   NW30: 110 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1010 HPA / 1200
    KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : DEEP
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 18.4S / 69.0E FI=4.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 21.0S / 67.4E FI=4.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 26.0S / 66.3E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=CI=4.0 MOINS.
SSMI OF 1351Z SHOWS THE FORMATION OF A WARM CORE.=

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