Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 15 Feb 2003 12:58:30 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 151800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 16/10/20022003
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM (GERRY)
2.A POSITION AT 1800 UTC  15/02/2003 : WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 27.8S/68.6E (TWENTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH
    AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.5 PLUS /W 1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 995 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 35 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30: 300 KM   SE30: 500 KM
    SW30: 500 KM   NW30: 250 KM
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1000 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 28.6S / 70.5E FI=2.0

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 29.3S / 71.4E FI=
    EXTRATROPICAL
3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 30.0S / 69.1E FI=
    EXTRATROPICAL
4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
    BE STOPPED NEAR 30S BY THE HIGH PRESSURE SUBTROPICAL. THE
    AREAS OF GALE FORCE WIND ARE IMPORTANT DU TO THE GRADIENT AND
    THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.=

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