Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 10 Mar 2003 02:10:10 -0600

WTXS33 PGTW 100900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 24S (CRAIG) WARNING NR 004
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   100600Z7 --- NEAR 11.0S2 131.2E7
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 11.0S2 131.2E7
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   101800Z0 --- 11.3S5 132.0E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   110600Z8 --- 11.6S8 132.9E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   111800Z1 --- 11.9S1 134.1E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   120600Z9 --- 12.3S6 135.3E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
100900Z0 POSITION NEAR 11.1S3 131.4E9.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 24S (CRAIG), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 90 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT
04
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
100530Z9 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 30 AND 35 KNOTS.
TC 24S IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TRACKING EASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN
COAST OF AUSTRALIA, IN THE NEAR EQUATORIAL WESTERLY STEERING FLOW.
TC 24S IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY DUE TO LAND INTERACTION,
BEFORE INTENSIFYING AFTER THIS FORECAST PERIOD AS IT EMERGES INTO
THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS, CONSISTING OF
NOGAPS, GFDN, UKMET OFFICE (EGRR), AND NCEP AVIATION (AVN) CONTINUE
TO AGREE WITH THIS SCENARIO. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS
OF THE AVAILABLE AIDS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100600Z7
IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z4 AND 110900Z1. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 23S (KALUNDE) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR TWELVE-
HOURLY UPDATES. RELEASED BY CAPT KENDALL, USAF.//

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