Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 31 Dec 2002 19:33:07 -0600

WTPS31 PGTW 010300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY SUVA
AMEMBASSY SUVA REQ PASS TO USAID OFDA ADVISOR
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06P (ZOE) WARNING NR 014
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   010000Z1 --- NEAR 20.2S4 174.9E1
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 200 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
   REPEAT POSIT: 20.2S4 174.9E1
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   011200Z4 --- 21.9S2 174.3E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   020000Z2 --- 23.6S1 173.2E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   021200Z5 --- 24.8S4 171.4E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
010300Z4 POSITION NEAR 20.6S8 174.8E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06P (ZOE), LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWEST PACIFIC
OCEAN, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS DURING THE
PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 312330Z2 ENHANCED
INFRARED AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 3.0 (45 KTS). VISIBLE
AND WATER VAPOR ANIMATION DEPICT MULTI-LAYERED CLOUDINESS OVER THE
SOUTH QUADRANT AS WELL AS INDICATIONS OF WARM FRONTOGENESIS. THE
NORTH QUADRANT, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW WEAK CLOUD LINES, IS NOW
DEEP CONVECTION FREE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS POLAR FINGER JET
SUPPORT TO THE WEST OF THE EXPOSED SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM SHOULD
CONTINUE ON A SOUTHWARD TRACK WITHIN THE STEERING ENVIRONMENT
CREATED BY A LOW/MID RIDGE EXTENDING EQUATORWARD FROM NEW ZEALAND.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z1 IS 12 FEET. REFER TO
WWPW30 RJTX 010000 FOR FURTHER SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. THIS IS THE
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(NAVPACMETOCCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF
REGENERATION.//

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