Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 06 Apr 2003 20:45:37 -0500

WTXS31 PGTW 070300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 017
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   070000Z7 --- NEAR 17.0S8 113.3E8
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 07 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 17.0S8 113.3E8
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   071200Z0 --- 18.6S5 114.5E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   080000Z8 --- 20.4S6 116.6E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   081200Z1 --- 22.4S8 119.1E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 16 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   090000Z9 --- 24.3S9 121.9E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
070300Z0 POSITION NEAR 17.4S2 113.6E1.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 320 NM
NORTH OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 07
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
062330Z4 MULTISPECTRAL INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 65
AND 77 KNOTS. TC 26S CONTINUES TO RECURVE, TRACKING TO THE SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST. TC 26S IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SPEED AND TRACK FURTHER
SOUTHEASTWARD UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. TC 26S
IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN IN INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR
ENTRAINMENT AS IT TRACKS TOWARD AUSTRALIA, DISSIPATING AT THE END OF
THE PERIOD OVER LAND. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH OUR FORECAST TRACK. OUR FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND
OF PERSISTENCE AND A CONSENSUS OF ALL AVAILABLE MODELS. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070000Z7 IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
070900Z6, 071500Z3, 072100Z0 AND 080300Z1.
RELEASED BY LT BRYANT, USN.//

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