Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Bulletin (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 24 Jan 2003 00:19:52 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 240600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST BULLETIN (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
4.A NUMBER OF BULLETIN              : 3/9/20022003
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
2.A POSITION AT 0600 UTC  24/01/2003 : WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF
    POINT 16.0S/72.2E (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND
    SEVENTY TWO DECIMAL TWO DEGREES EAST).
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                 : 2.0/2.0  /S  /24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE                : 999 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN)  : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WIND OF 30 KT AND OVER :
    NE30:        SE30: 220 KM
    SW30: 220 KM   NW30:
7.A 1ST CLOSED ISOBAR (PRESSURE/AVERAGE DIAM) : 1006 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION : SMALL
1.B FORECAST 12H                    : 16.7S / 69.5E FI=2.5

2.B FORECAST 24H                    : 17.7S / 67.9E FI=3.0

3.B FORECAST 48H                    : 20.0S / 65.0E FI=3.5

4.B OTHER INFORMATIONS              : T=2.0-, CI=2.0+. CONVECTION
    HAS BECOME COMPLETELY DISORGANIZED OVER THE LAST HOURS, AND
    IS FLUCTUATING. CENTRE REMAINS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE.=

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