Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 07 Apr 2003 20:31:51 -0500

WTXS31 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 26S (INIGO) WARNING NR 021
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   080000Z8 --- NEAR 19.8S8 115.2E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.8S8 115.2E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   081200Z1 --- 21.0S3 115.6E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                   OVER WATER
                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   090000Z9 --- 22.8S2 117.5E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
    ---
REMARKS:
080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 20.1S3 115.3E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 26S (INIGO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 155 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 08
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON
072330Z5 ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY
IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 45 AND 55
KNOTS. LATEST ANIMATED IMAGERY REVEALS THAT THE DEEP CONVECTION
CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE TO THE SOUTHEAST, LEAVING THE LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) FULLY EXPOSED. THE LLCC HAS TRACKED ALMOST
DUE SOUTH OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, AND LANDFALL IS NOW FORECAST
FURTHER TO THE WEST, BETWEEN ONSLOW AND KARRATHA. THE SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY 24 HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC
AIDS ARE NOW WIDELY DISPARATE WITH RESPECT TO MOTION OF TC 26S OVER
LAND. THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF THE DYNAMIC AIDS,
GIVEN THE NOW FULLY EXPOSED LLCC, AND PERSISTENCE. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080000Z8 IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
080900Z7, 081500Z4 AND 082100Z1. RELEASED BY LT INGRAM, USN.//

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