Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 04 Feb 2004 00:51:27 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 040600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 37/6/20032004
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 6  (ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/04 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.8S / 50.3E
(TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL THREE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 /D  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 988 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 300   SE: 500   SO: 500   NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 1200
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/04 18 UTC: 26.2S/52.6E, MAX WIND=040KT.
24H: 2004/02/05 06 UTC: 27.3S/51.8E, MAX WIND=050KT.
36H: 2004/02/05 18 UTC: 28.0S/51.9E, MAX WIND=050KT.
48H: 2004/02/06 06 UTC: 28.8S/51.9E, MAX WIND=045KT.
60H: 2004/02/06 18 UTC: 29.3S/51.8E, MAX WIND=045KT.
72H: 2004/02/07 06 UTC: 30.0S/51.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING
EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
PRESSURE RE-EVALUATED ACCORDING TO SHIPPING OBSERVATIONS.
THIS INORGANIZED SYSTEM ON SATELLITE IMAGERY EXISTS IN AN ENVIRONMENT
WITH VERY LOW PRESSURES.=

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