Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 04 Feb 2004 12:08:25 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 041800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 33/7/20032004
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/04 AT 1800 UTC :
19.1S / 69.9E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 5.0/5.5 MOINS /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 942 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 550   SE: 450   SO: 300   NO: 450
50 KT       NE: 080   SE: 030   SO: 030   NO: 080

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 2000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/05 06 UTC: 19.8S/70.0E, MAX WIND=080KT .
24H: 2004/02/05 18 UTC: 21.0S/70.8E, MAX WIND=080KT .
36H: 2004/02/06 06 UTC: 22.2S/71.6E, MAX WIND=070KT .
48H: 2004/02/06 18 UTC: 23.6S/72.5E, MAX WIND=070KT .
60H: 2004/02/07 06 UTC: 24.8S/73.3E, MAX WIND=060KT .
72H: 2004/02/07 18 UTC: 26.0S/74.0E, MAX WIND=060KT .

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=5.0 AND CI=5.5+.=

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