Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 01 Jan 2004 18:32:57 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 020000
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 16/4/20032004
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 4  (DARIUS)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/02 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.4S / 58.5E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES
 EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.5/4.0 /S  0.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 150   SE: 280   SO: 240   NO: 100
50 KT       NE: 020   SE: 070   SO: 040   NO: 010

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/02 12 UTC: 19.2S/58.3E, MAX WIND=055KT.
24H: 2004/01/03 00 UTC: 21.5S/58.0E, MAX WIND=050KT.
36H: 2004/01/03 12 UTC: 23.5S/57.6E, MAX WIND=045KT.
48H: 2004/01/04 00 UTC: 25.6S/58.4E, MAX WIND=040KT.
60H: 2004/01/04 12 UTC: 27.5S/59.2E, MAX WIND=035KT.
72H: 2004/01/05 00 UTC: 30.5S/59.7E, MAX WIND=035KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=3.5 CI=4.0-
THE CONVECTION RETAKE MODERATE OVER LOW LEVEL CENTRE.=

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