Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 04 Jan 2004 08:53:48 -0600

WTXS32 PGTW 041500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNING NR 011
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   041200Z7 --- NEAR 18.8S7 114.6E2
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 210 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 18.8S7 114.6E2
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   050000Z5 --- 20.0S2 113.7E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   051200Z8 --- 20.9S1 113.0E5
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   060000Z6 --- 21.3S6 112.4E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   061200Z9 --- 21.5S8 111.8E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   071200Z0 --- 21.6S9 110.4E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
041500Z0 POSITION NEAR 19.1S1  114.4E0.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 08S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM NORTH OF
LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 041130Z9
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON
SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 AND 45 KNOTS AND A
RECENT QUIKSCAT PASS. TC 08S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SOUTHWESTWARD
THROUGH 36 HOURS AND THEN WESTWARD AS A LOW TO MID-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDS TO THE SOUTHWEST. TC 08S IS FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE AVAILABLE AIDS CONSIST OF NOGAPS,
NCEP GFS, GFDN, AND UKMET (EGRR). THE FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND
OF PERSISTENCE AND THE CONSENSUS OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z7 IS 13 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 042100Z7, 050300Z8, 051500Z1, AND 051500Z1. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (DARIUS) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR THE FINAL
WARNING.//

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