Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 29 Jan 2004 20:33:48 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 300000

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 16/6/20032004
 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6  (EX-ELITA)

 2.A POSITION 2004/01/30 AT 0000 UTC :
 WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.9S / 49.2E
 (NINETEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
 EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /S
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 998 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 500 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/01/30 12 UTC: 20.8S/49.4E, MAX WIND=025KT.
 24H: 2004/01/31 00 UTC: 21.5S/49.6E, MAX WIND=030KT.
 36H: 2004/01/31 12 UTC: 21.7S/49.2E, MAX WIND=030KT.
 48H: 2004/02/01 00 UTC: 21.2S/48.6E, MAX WIND=030KT.
 60H: 2004/02/01 12 UTC: 20.5S/48.8E, MAX WIND=030KT.
 72H: 2004/02/02 00 UTC: 19.6S/49.0E, MAX WIND=030KT.

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
 THE RESIDUAL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION HAS CAME BACK OVER SEAS DURING THE
 LAST HOURS. THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS REBUILTING IN THE EASTERN
 SEMI-CIRCLE.

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