Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 27 Jan 2004 05:23:53 -0600

WTIO20 FMEE 271200
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 27/01/2004 AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 001/07 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: TUESDAY   27/01/2004 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 7 1003 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.5S / 64.5E
(ELEVEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES
EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-WEST 3 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE,
EXTENDING UP
 TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHWESTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

 CLOCXKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25KT AND ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE CENTRE. STRONG
 GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

 FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
 12H, VALID 2004/01/28 AT 00 UTC:
 12.0S / 64.3E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
 24H, VALID 2004/01/28 AT 12 UTC:
 12.5S / 64.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.

 OTHER INFORMATIONS:
  DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY (HEAVY RAINFALLS AND THUNDERSTORMS) IS
  INTENSIFYING AND ORGANIZING OVER THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IDENTIFIED SINCE
  YESTERDAY.
  A THIS STAGE, THIS SYSTEM DOESN'T JUSTIFY THE ISSUANCE OF REGULAR
  WARNINGS.

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