Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 28 Jan 2004 00:52:30 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 280600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 9/6/20032004
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 6  (ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/28 AT 0600 UTC :
15.2S / 44.9E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.0/3.0 /D  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 988 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 100   SE: 050   SO: 050   NO: 200

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/28 18 UTC: 14.7S/46.0E, MAX WIND=050KT .
24H: 2004/01/29 06 UTC: 15.1S/47.4E OVERLAND.
36H: 2004/01/29 18 UTC: 16.6S/48.4E OVERLAND.
48H: 2004/01/30 06 UTC: 18.1S/49.3E OVERLAND.
60H: 2004/01/30 18 UTC: 19.0S/49.7E, MAX WIND=020KT .
72H: 2004/01/31 06 UTC: 19.7S/49.8E, MAX WIND=025KT .

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=3.0+.
THE TRACK IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE EASTWARD, AND THE SYSTEME IS
EXPECTED TO LAND ON THE NOTHERN PART OF MADAGASCAR.=

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