Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 30 Jan 2004 00:20:21 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 300600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 17/6/20032004
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 6  (EX-ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/30 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.1S / 49.1E
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY NINE DECIMAL ONE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /D  0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 400 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/30 18 UTC: 21.0S/48.7E, MAX WIND=025KT .
24H: 2004/01/31 06 UTC: 20.2S/48.4E OVERLAND.
36H: 2004/01/31 18 UTC: 19.5S/48.5E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CONVECTION HAS REBUILT AND HAS STARTED TO ORGANIZED IN BAND.=

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