Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 29 Jan 2004 06:28:10 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 291200
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 8/7/20032004
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/29 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.2S / 63.2E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL TWO
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.5/4.5 /D  1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 967 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 180   SE: 280   SO: 200   NO: 120
50 KT       NE: 040   SE: 040   SO: 040   NO: 040

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/30 00 UTC: 17.0S/62.1E, MAX WIND=070KT.
24H: 2004/01/30 12 UTC: 17.4S/61.3E, MAX WIND=075KT.
36H: 2004/01/31 00 UTC: 17.8S/60.6E, MAX WIND=080KT.
48H: 2004/01/31 12 UTC: 18.2S/60.1E, MAX WIND=080KT.
60H: 2004/02/01 00 UTC: 18.6S/59.6E, MAX WIND=085KT.
72H: 2004/02/01 12 UTC: 18.9S/59.0E, MAX WIND=090KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=4.5-.
SMALL DIAMETER SYSTEM WITH A TEMPORARY VISIBLE EYE.=

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