Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 02 Feb 2004 19:03:25 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 030000

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 32/6/20032004
 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 6  (ELITA)

 2.A POSITION 2004/02/03 AT 0000 UTC :
 20.3S / 44.2E
 (TWENTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
 EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.0/4.0 /D  0.5/24 H
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 976 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
 30 KT       NE: 500   SE: 150   SO: 500   NO: 500
 50 KT       NE:       SE: 060   SO: 060   NO: 200

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 1300 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/02/03 12 UTC: 20.9S/44.9E OVERLAND.
 24H: 2004/02/04 00 UTC: 21.9S/46.2E OVERLAND.
 36H: 2004/02/04 12 UTC: 22.5S/47.4E OVERLAND.
 48H: 2004/02/05 00 UTC: 23.0S/48.3E, MAX WIND=020KT.
 60H: 2004/02/05 12 UTC: 23.9S/48.7E, MAX WIND=025KT.
 72H: 2004/02/06 00 UTC: 25.1S/49.0E, MAX WIND=025KT.

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
 ELITA BEGIN TO MOVE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AGAIN TOWARDS THE MALAGASY COAST.
 IT IS EXPECTED TO LAND VERY SOON NEAR MORONDAVA.
 ELITA IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ACCROSS MADAGASCAR COMING BACK ONCE MORE OVER
 INDIAN OCEAN AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

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