Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 09 Mar 2004 12:18:02 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 091819
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 31/9/20032004
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 9  (GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/09 AT 1800 UTC :
20.6S / 43.3E
(TWENTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL THREE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.0/4.0 /D  0.5/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 975 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 300   SE: 300   SO: 600   NO: 600
50 KT       NE: 020   SE: 020   SO: 020   NO: 020

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1500
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/10 06 UTC: 21.6S/44.0E, MAX WIND=050KT, OVERLAND.
24H: 2004/03/10 18 UTC: 22.2S/44.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, OVERLAND.
36H: 2004/03/11 06 UTC: 22.8S/45.0E OVERLAND.
48H: 2004/03/11 18 UTC: 23.3S/45.6E OVERLAND.
60H: 2004/03/12 06 UTC: 23.8S/46.3E OVERLAND.
72H: 2004/03/12 18 UTC: 24.5S/48.0E DISSIPATING.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=4.0.
INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY OBS DATA FROM MALAGASY STATIONS.=

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