Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 29 Jan 2004 00:02:03 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 290600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 13/6/20032004
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 6  (EX-ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/29 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.1S / 48.2E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 992 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 40 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 080   SE: 040   SO: 040   NO: 300

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1200
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/29 18 UTC: 19.0S/49.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, OVERLAND.
24H: 2004/01/30 06 UTC: 19.5S/49.5E, MAX WIND=025KT.
36H: 2004/01/30 18 UTC: 19.7S/49.7E, MAX WIND=030KT.
48H: 2004/01/31 06 UTC: 20.1S/49.7E, MAX WIND=030KT.
60H: 2004/01/31 18 UTC: 20.5S/49.6E, MAX WIND=035KT.
72H: 2004/02/01 06 UTC: 21.0S/49.3E, MAX WIND=040KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS WAEKENING, BUT STILL EXISTS NEAR THE
CENTRE
AND LOCALLY FAR FROM THGE CENTRE IN THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
THE RESIDUAL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION SHOULD OVER SEAS DURING THE NEXT
NIGHT
.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.