Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 06 Mar 2004 21:10:08 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 070013

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 20/9/20032004
1.A VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 9  (GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/07 AT 0000 UTC :
15.0S / 50.5E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 6.0/7.0 MOINS /W  1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 895 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 125 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 600   SE: 550   SO: 200   NO: 200
50 KT       NE: 200   SE: 200   SO: 080   NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A
VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/07 12 UTC: 15.5S/48.2E OVERLAND.
24H: 2004/03/08 00 UTC: 16.7S/46.7E OVERLAND.
36H: 2004/03/08 12 UTC: 18.7S/45.9E OVERLAND.
48H: 2004/03/09 00 UTC: 20.5S/46.0E OVERLAND.
60H: 2004/03/09 12 UTC: 22.5S/46.5E OVERLAND.
72H: 2004/03/10 00 UTC: 24.0S/48.0E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=6.0- CI=7.0+.
THE EYE REMAINS CIRCULAR AND WELL DEFINED, WITH A DIAMETER OF 18 NM. THE
CENTRE IS GOING TO MAKE LANDFALL IN VICINITY OF ANTALAHA.

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