Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 01 Jan 2004 12:04:13 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 011800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 15/4/20032004
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 4  (DARIUS)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/01 AT 1800 UTC :
18.0S / 58.4E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL FOUR
DEGREES
 EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.0/4.0 /D  0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 976 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 150   SE: 280   SO: 240   NO: 100
50 KT       NE: 020   SE: 070   SO: 040   NO: 010

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/02 06 UTC: 19.1S/58.0E, MAX WIND=055KT .
24H: 2004/01/02 18 UTC: 20.7S/57.5E, MAX WIND=055KT .
36H: 2004/01/03 06 UTC: 22.2S/56.7E, MAX WIND=050KT .
48H: 2004/01/03 18 UTC: 24.4S/56.7E, MAX WIND=045KT .
60H: 2004/01/04 06 UTC: 26.6S/57.2E, MAX WIND=040KT .
72H: 2004/01/04 18 UTC: 29.0S/58.6E, MAX WIND=035KT .

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=4.0- CI=4.0
APPEARANCE TEMPORARY OF AN LITTLE DIAMETER IRREGULAR EYE ON INFRARED
IMAGERY.=

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