Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 31 Jan 2004 20:05:58 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 010000

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 18/7/20032004
 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

 2.A POSITION 2004/02/01 AT 0000 UTC :
 16.0S / 62.3E
 (SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
 EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.5/5.5 /S
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 945 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 85 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
 30 KT       NE: 400   SE: 250   SO: 200   NO: 400
 50 KT       NE: 060   SE: 060   SO: 060   NO: 060

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 800 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/02/01 12 UTC: 16.8S/63.1E, MAX WIND=080KT .
 24H: 2004/02/02 00 UTC: 17.8S/64.5E, MAX WIND=080KT .
 36H: 2004/02/02 12 UTC: 18.5S/66.4E, MAX WIND=070KT .
 48H: 2004/02/03 00 UTC: 18.7S/68.6E, MAX WIND=070KT .
 60H: 2004/02/03 12 UTC: 19.0S/70.4E, MAX WIND=060KT .
 72H: 2004/02/04 00 UTC: 19.8S/72.4E, MAX WIND=060KT .

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
 AFTER ITS STATIONNARY PHASE, FRANK CONFIRM ITS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD.
 INTENSITY HAS LIGHTLY WEAKEN BUT ENVIRONMENT CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE

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