Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 01 Feb 2004 00:59:24 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 010600

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 25/6/20032004
 1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6  (EX-ELITA)

 2.A POSITION 2004/02/01 AT 0600 UTC :
 WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.8S / 43.0E
 (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL ZERO
 DEGREES EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 /S
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 996 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
 30 KT       NE: 120   SE: 100   SO: 100   NO: 200

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 500 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/02/01 18 UTC: 18.2S/42.6E, MAX WIND=035KT.
 24H: 2004/02/02 06 UTC: 17.0S/42.9E, MAX WIND=035KT.
 36H: 2004/02/02 18 UTC: 16.7S/43.7E, MAX WIND=035KT.
 48H: 2004/02/03 06 UTC: 17.6S/45.0E OVERLAND.
 60H: 2004/02/03 18 UTC: 18.3S/46.5E OVERLAND.
 72H: 2004/02/04 06 UTC: 19.1S/48.0E OVERLAND.

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
 GOING BACK OVER WARM WATERS OF MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, EX-ELITA SHOULD FIND
 AGAIN GOOD CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION.

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