Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 21 Mar 2004 06:13:23 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 211220
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 4/11/20032004
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11

2.A POSITION 2004/03/21 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.2S / 57.8E
(TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES
EAST
)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 1.5/1.5 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1004 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 20 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/22 00 UTC: 09.6S/55.2E, MAX WIND=025KT.
24H: 2004/03/22 12 UTC: 09.7S/53.6E, MAX WIND=025KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=1.5
WEAK TO MODERATE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO A WEAK LOW
LEVEL
CIRCULATION.
AT THIS STAGE, THE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR
WARNINGS.=

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