Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 08 Mar 2004 23:37:47 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 090024

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 28/9/20032004
 1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 9  (GAFILO)

 2.A POSITION 2004/03/09 AT 0000 UTC :
 19.1S / 42.4E
 (NINETEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY TWO DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES
 EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.0/3.0 /D  0.5/18 H
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 987 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
 30 KT       NE: 450   SE: 250   SO: 500   NO: 500

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1300 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/03/09 12 UTC: 20.2S/42.1E, MAX WIND=050KT.
 24H: 2004/03/10 00 UTC: 21.5S/42.7E, MAX WIND=055KT.
 36H: 2004/03/10 12 UTC: 22.9S/43.7E OVERLAND.
 48H: 2004/03/11 00 UTC: 23.8S/44.5E OVERLAND.
 60H: 2004/03/11 12 UTC: 24.1S/45.2E OVERLAND.
 72H: 2004/03/12 00 UTC: 24.5S/46.0E OVERLAND.

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
 T=CI=3.0+. GOOD POTENTIAL OF INTENSIFICATION. STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED
  IN THE NORTHERN SECTOR. GAFILO SHOULD TRACK MORE SOUTHEASTWARDS.GAFILO
  IS FORECASTED TO LAND A SECOND TIME OVER THE SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, DURING
  THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

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