Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 08 Mar 2004 00:52:57 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 080632

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 25/9/20032004
 1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 9  (EX-GAFILO)

 2.A POSITION 2004/03/08 AT 0600 UTC :
 WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.2S / 44.2E
 (EIGHTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
 EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               :
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
 30 KT   NE:       SE:       SO: 500   NO: 500

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/03/08 18 UTC: 19.7S/43.4E, MAX WIND=040KT.
 24H: 2004/03/09 06 UTC: 21.6S/43.5E, MAX WIND=045KT, OVERLAND.
 36H: 2004/03/09 18 UTC: 23.0S/44.5E, MAX WIND=035KT, OVERLAND.
 48H: 2004/03/10 06 UTC: 24.5S/46.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, OVERLAND.
 60H: 2004/03/10 18 UTC: 25.4S/48.0E, MAX WIND=040KT.
 72H: 2004/03/11 06 UTC: 26.3S/49.0E, MAX WIND=045KT.

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
 SYSTEM IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE HIGH PRESSURES CELL LOCATED IN THE
 SOUTH-EATS. AS THIS HIGH SHIFTS EASTWARDS, GAFILO SHOULD TRACK MORE
 POLEWARDS. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. GAFILO SHOULD SOON ARRIVES AT
 SEA, INTENSIFIES, BEFORE LANDING BETWEEN MORONDAVA AND TULEAR IN THE NEXT
  24 HOURS TO CRO
  SS MADAGASCAR.

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