Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 03 Jan 2004 18:29:19 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 040000
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 24/4/20032004
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 4  (DARIUS)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/04 AT 0000 UTC :
26.2S / 59.3E
(TWENTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL THREE
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.0/3.0 /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 991 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 150   SE: 350   SO: 150   NO: 100
50 KT       NE:       SE: 100   SO:       NO:

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/04 12 UTC: 30.2S/61.4E, MAX WIND=040KT.
24H: 2004/01/05 00 UTC: 34.1S/63.7E, MAX WIND=040KT, BECOMING
EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2004/01/05 12 UTC: 39.5S/66.3E, MAX WIND=040KT, EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=3.0 CI=3.0+
DARIUS IS TRACKING FASTLY IN DIRECTION OF EXTRATROPICAL DOMAIN WITH
THE
TROUGH.
QTRONGEST WINDS LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN SECTOR ARE DUE TO THE
GRADIANT WITH THE RIDGE LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM.
DARIUS IS GOING TO SHEAR, PRESENTING A TYPICAL SHEARING BOW IN THE
NORDWEST OF DARIUS.=

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