Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 31 Jan 2004 18:12:49 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 010000
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 24/6/20032004
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6  (EX-ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/01 AT 0000 UTC :
20.0S / 43.8E
(TWENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 060   SE: 060   SO: 060   NO: 060

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/01 12 UTC: 19.8S/43.0E, MAX WIND=035KT .
24H: 2004/02/02 00 UTC: 19.4S/42.5E, MAX WIND=040KT .
36H: 2004/02/02 12 UTC: 18.6S/42.3E, MAX WIND=040KT .
48H: 2004/02/03 00 UTC: 18.1S/43.1E, MAX WIND=040KT .
60H: 2004/02/03 12 UTC: 18.4S/44.5E OVERLAND.
72H: 2004/02/04 00 UTC: 19.2S/46.2E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
GOING BACK OVER WARM WATERS OF MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL, EX-ELITA SHOULD
FIND
AGAIN GOOD CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION.=

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