Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 05 Mar 2004 06:12:24 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 051214
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 14/9/20032004
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 9  ( GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/05 AT 1200 UTC :
14.0S / 55.9E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 5.0/5.0 PLUS /D  0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 952 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 85 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 300   SE: 500   SO: 500   NO: 300
50 KT       NE: 060   SE: 120   SO: 120   NO: 060

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1600
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/06 00 UTC: 15.0S/54.3E, MAX WIND=090KT.
24H: 2004/03/06 12 UTC: 15.9S/52.7E, MAX WIND=090KT.
36H: 2004/03/07 00 UTC: 16.4S/51.0E, MAX WIND=100KT.
48H: 2004/03/07 12 UTC: 16.7S/49.3E OVERLAND.
60H: 2004/03/08 00 UTC: 17.2S/47.4E OVERLAND.
72H: 2004/03/08 12 UTC: 18.7S/45.0E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=5.0+.
WITH A TROUGH ARRIVING SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, GAFILO SHOULD MAINTAIN
ITS
SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.