Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 21 Mar 2004 06:13:23 -0600

WTIO22 FMEE 211220
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 21/03/2004
AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 005/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY    21/03/2004 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 1004 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 10.2S / 57.8E
(TEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES
EAST
) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          WEST-NORTH-WEST 11 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WHEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING
UP
TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS MAINLY IN
THE
SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2004/03/22 AT 00 UTC:
9.6S / 55.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2004/03/22 AT 12 UTC:
9.7S / 53.6E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
STRONGEST WINDS MAINLY EXIST  IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE
GRADIENT EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES.
AT THIS STAGE, THE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR
WARNINGS.=

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