Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 04 Mar 2004 00:17:03 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 040618
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 9/9/20032004
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 9  (GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/04 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.2S / 59.8E
(TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL EIGHT
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.0/4.0 /D  1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 980 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 150   SE: 200   SO: 250   NO: 180
50 KT       NE: 050   SE: 050   SO: 050   NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1200
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/04 18 UTC: 12.2S/58.7E, MAX WIND=060KT.
24H: 2004/03/05 06 UTC: 12.3S/56.7E, MAX WIND=065KT.
36H: 2004/03/05 18 UTC: 12.7S/54.5E, MAX WIND=070KT.
48H: 2004/03/06 06 UTC: 13.3S/52.6E, MAX WIND=080KT.
60H: 2004/03/06 18 UTC: 14.0S/51.2E, MAX WIND=090KT.
72H: 2004/03/07 06 UTC: 15.0S/49.0E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=4.0-.
ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION. GAFILO IS TRACKING
WESTWARD ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE
LOCATED
SOUTHWESTERN. IT SHOULD CURVE WESTSOUTHWESTWARD IN MEDIUM RANGE.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.