Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 03 Feb 2004 00:17:32 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 030600

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 27/7/20032004
 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

 2.A POSITION 2004/02/03 AT 0600 UTC :
 17.5S / 70.6E
 (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES
 EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.5/5.5 /W  1.0/24 H
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 945 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 85 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
 30 KT       NE: 500   SE: 400   SO: 350   NO: 500
 50 KT       NE: 080   SE: 030   SO: 030   NO: 080

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 800 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/02/03 18 UTC: 17.7S/71.5E, MAX WIND=080KT.
 24H: 2004/02/04 06 UTC: 18.3S/72.2E, MAX WIND=080KT.
 36H: 2004/02/04 18 UTC: 19.1S/72.4E, MAX WIND=070KT.
 48H: 2004/02/05 06 UTC: 20.1S/72.6E, MAX WIND=060KT.
 60H: 2004/02/05 18 UTC: 21.3S/72.8E, MAX WIND=060KT.
 72H: 2004/02/06 06 UTC: 22.4S/73.1E, MAX WIND=060KT.

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:

 T=4.5- CI=5.5-.
 FRANK, WITH A FORECASTED TRACK IN DIRECTION OF THE SOUTHSOUTHEASTWARD
 SECTOR, SHOULD ENTER INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.

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