Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 05 Mar 2004 01:30:24 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 050612

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 13/9/20032004
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 9  ( GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/05 AT 0600 UTC :
13.4S / 56.7E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.5/5.0 /D  0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 965 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 75 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 300   SE: 300   SO: 300   NO: 400
50 KT       NE: 060   SE: 060   SO: 060   NO: 060

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 2000 KM 8.A
VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/05 18 UTC: 13.7S/55.8E, MAX WIND=075KT.
24H: 2004/03/06 06 UTC: 14.2S/54.6E, MAX WIND=090KT.
36H: 2004/03/06 18 UTC: 14.9S/53.3E, MAX WIND=090KT.
48H: 2004/03/07 06 UTC: 15.6S/52.0E, MAX WIND=090KT.
60H: 2004/03/07 18 UTC: 16.2S/50.9E, MAX WIND=090KT.
72H: 2004/03/08 06 UTC: 17.0S/49.3E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=4.5 CI=5.0-.
WITH A TROUGH ARRIVING SOUTH OF MADAGASCAR, GAFILO SHOULD MAINTAIN ITS
SOUTHWESTWARD TRACK.

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