Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 03 Mar 2004 06:35:56 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 031236
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 6/9/20032004
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 9  (GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/03 AT 1200 UTC :
13.1S / 62.3E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL THREE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.5/3.5 /D  1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 985 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 100   SE: 220   SO: 220   NO: 100

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1300
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/04 00 UTC: 13.0S/58.9E, MAX WIND=055KT.
24H: 2004/03/04 12 UTC: 13.4S/56.6E, MAX WIND=065KT.
36H: 2004/03/05 00 UTC: 14.0S/54.6E, MAX WIND=075KT.
48H: 2004/03/05 12 UTC: 14.5S/52.5E, MAX WIND=085KT.
60H: 2004/03/06 00 UTC: 14.8S/50.7E, MAX WIND=100KT.
72H: 2004/03/06 12 UTC: 15.4S/49.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
GAFILO SHOULD KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARDS, ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE
NEW
 SUBTROPICAL HIGH BUILDING IN THE SOUTHWEST. ENVIRONMENT REMAINS
FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION.=

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