Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 26 Jan 2004 21:35:35 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 270000

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 4/6/20032004
1.A MODERATE TROPICAL STORM 6  (ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/27 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.4S / 43.3E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 /D  0.5/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 995 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 35 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 100   SE: 060   SO: 060   NO: 120

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM 8.A
VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/27 12 UTC: 18.5S/43.3E, MAX WIND=040KT.
24H: 2004/01/28 00 UTC: 18.6S/43.4E, MAX WIND=045KT.
36H: 2004/01/28 12 UTC: 18.8S/43.6E, MAX WIND=050KT.
48H: 2004/01/29 00 UTC: 18.8S/43.7E, MAX WIND=050KT.
60H: 2004/01/29 12 UTC: 19.1S/43.9E, MAX WIND=050KT.
72H: 2004/01/30 00 UTC: 19.5S/44.3E, MAX WIND=050KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.5+
DEEP CONVECTION RETAKING ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE CENTRE.

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