Subject: Indian-N: Warning For Metarea Viii (s)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 19 Mar 2004 00:55:24 -0600

WTIO20 FMEE 190552
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 19/03/2004 AT
0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 003/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY    19/03/2004 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11 1004 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S / 69.2E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT:          WEST-NORTH-WEST 13 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WHEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN
THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS MAINLY IN THE
SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2004/03/19 AT 18 UTC:
13.5S / 66.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2004/03/20 AT 06 UTC:
12.0S / 63.0E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
STRONG WINDS EXIST MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE DUE TO THE GRADIENT
 EFFECT WITH THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH.
 AT THIS STAGE, THE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.

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