Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 29 Jan 2004 13:20:24 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 291800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 15/6/20032004
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 6  (EX-ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/29 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.4S / 48.6E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL SIX
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 997 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) :

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 080   SE: 080   SO:       NO:

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/30 06 UTC: 20.3S/49.4E, MAX WIND=025KT.
24H: 2004/01/30 18 UTC: 20.7S/49.4E, MAX WIND=025KT.
36H: 2004/01/31 06 UTC: 21.3S/49.4E, MAX WIND=030KT.
48H: 2004/01/31 18 UTC: 22.0S/49.1E, MAX WIND=030KT.
60H: 2004/02/01 06 UTC: 22.4S/48.6E, MAX WIND=030KT.
72H: 2004/02/01 18 UTC: 22.9S/48.0E, MAX WIND=030KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE RESIDUAL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION SHOULD OVER SEAS DURING THE NEXT
HOURS
. DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS NOW REBUILDING OVER SEAS IN THE EASTERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.=

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