Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 01 Feb 2004 01:01:27 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 010600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 19/7/20032004
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/01 AT 0600 UTC :
16.0S / 62.9E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 5.0/5.5 /D  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 945 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 85 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 500   SE: 400   SO: 200   NO: 500
50 KT       NE: 100   SE: 050   SO: 050   NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/01 18 UTC: 16.5S/64.3E, MAX WIND=090KT.
24H: 2004/02/02 06 UTC: 17.0S/65.2E, MAX WIND=095KT.
36H: 2004/02/02 18 UTC: 17.3S/66.5E, MAX WIND=090KT.
48H: 2004/02/03 06 UTC: 17.5S/67.5E, MAX WIND=095KT.
60H: 2004/02/03 18 UTC: 18.4S/69.3E, MAX WIND=100KT.
72H: 2004/02/04 06 UTC: 19.9S/70.0E, MAX WIND=100KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
FRANK HAS MOVED EASTWARD DURING THE LAST HOURS, BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK MORE SOUTHEASTWARDS LATER. INTENSITY HAS LIGHTLY WEAKEN BUT
ENVIRONMENT CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE.=

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