Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 19 Mar 2004 00:56:24 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 190543

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 2/11/20032004
 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11

 2.A POSITION 2004/03/19 AT 0600 UTC :
 WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.2S / 69.2E
 (FIFTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
 EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /S  0.0/24 H
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1004 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/03/19 18 UTC: 13.5S/66.0E, MAX WIND=025KT.
 24H: 2004/03/20 06 UTC: 12.0S/63.0E, MAX WIND=025KT.

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
 T=CI=2.0-.
 WEAK AND CYCLIC DEEP CONVECTION AROUND A BAD DEFINED LOW LEVEL CENTRE.
 AT THIS STAGE, THE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.

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