Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 02 Mar 2004 13:47:51 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 021810

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 3/9/20032004
 1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 9

 2.A POSITION 2004/03/02 AT 1800 UTC :
 WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.1S / 68.5E
 (FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES
 EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /S
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1002 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 600 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/03/03 06 UTC: 13.7S/66.5E, MAX WIND=040KT.
 24H: 2004/03/03 18 UTC: 13.5S/64.5E, MAX WIND=050KT.
 36H: 2004/03/04 06 UTC: 14.3S/62.8E, MAX WIND=055KT.
 48H: 2004/03/04 18 UTC: 15.1S/61.1E, MAX WIND=065KT.
 60H: 2004/03/05 06 UTC: 15.7S/59.7E, MAX WIND=070KT.
 72H: 2004/03/05 18 UTC: 16.2S/58.4E, MAX WIND=080KT.

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
 T=CI=2.0-.
 STATIONNARY INTENSITY.
 THE FOLLOWED CENTRE IS STILL WEAK AND NOT WELL DEFINED (EXPOSED ON THE
 EASTERN EDGE OF DEEP CONVECTION DUE TO A LIGHT EASTERLY VERTICAL
 WINDSHEAR), AND MAY BE NOT THE DEFINITIVE CENTRE OF THE

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