Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 12:12:36 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 311800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 11/4/20032004
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 4  (DARIUS)

2.A POSITION 2003/12/31 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 50 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.7S / 59.0E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.5/3.5 PLUS /D  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 984 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 060   SE: 280   SO: 200   NO: 060
50 KT       NE: 030   SE: 030   SO: 030   NO: 030

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/01 06 UTC: 16.6S/58.9E, MAX WIND=050KT.
24H: 2004/01/01 18 UTC: 17.9S/58.8E, MAX WIND=060KT.
36H: 2004/01/02 06 UTC: 19.4S/58.7E, MAX WIND=065KT.
48H: 2004/01/02 18 UTC: 20.9S/58.0E, MAX WIND=065KT.
60H: 2004/01/03 06 UTC: 22.4S/57.1E, MAX WIND=065KT.
72H: 2004/01/03 18 UTC: 24.4S/56.0E, MAX WIND=065KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS LIGHTLY WEAKENED.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.