Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 26 Jan 2004 12:19:24 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 261800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 3/6/20032004
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6

2.A POSITION 2004/01/26 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.2S / 43.2E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL TWO
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.5 /S  0.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 997 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 080   SE: 050   SO: 050   NO: 120

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/27 06 UTC: 18.4S/43.3E, MAX WIND=030KT.
24H: 2004/01/27 18 UTC: 18.5S/43.5E, MAX WIND=035KT.
36H: 2004/01/28 06 UTC: 18.6S/43.6E, MAX WIND=040KT.
48H: 2004/01/28 18 UTC: 18.8S/43.8E, MAX WIND=045KT.
60H: 2004/01/29 06 UTC: 19.0S/43.9E, MAX WIND=050KT.
72H: 2004/01/29 18 UTC: 19.5S/44.0E, MAX WIND=050KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
DUE TO THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THE LOW LEVEL CENTRE IS LOCATED IN
THE
SOUTH OUT OF THE DEEP LAYERED CONVECTION.=

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