Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Thu, 04 Mar 2004 00:56:04 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 040027

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 8/9/20032004
 1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 9  (GAFILO)

 2.A POSITION 2004/03/04 AT 0000 UTC :
 WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.2S / 60.7E
 (TWELVE DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.0/4.0 /D  0.5/12 H
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 980 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 55 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
 30 KT       NE: 150   SE: 180   SO: 180   NO: 180
 50 KT       NE: 050   SE: 050   SO: 050   NO: 050

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 900 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/03/04 12 UTC: 12.0S/59.2E, MAX WIND=060KT.
 24H: 2004/03/05 00 UTC: 12.2S/57.4E, MAX WIND=070KT.
 36H: 2004/03/05 12 UTC: 12.5S/55.2E, MAX WIND=080KT.
 48H: 2004/03/06 00 UTC: 13.1S/53.1E, MAX WIND=085KT.
 60H: 2004/03/06 12 UTC: 14.0S/51.4E, MAX WIND=090KT.
 72H: 2004/03/07 00 UTC: 14.9S/49.4E OVERLAND.

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
 T=CI=4.0-.
 ENVIRONMENT REMAINS FAVORABLE TO INTENSIFICATION. GAFILO IS TRACKING
 WESTNORTHWESTWARD AND HAS SLOWN DOWN DURING LAST HOURS. IT IS
TRACKING ON
 THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF A BUILDING MID-LEVEL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE
 SOUTHWEST. IT SHOULD CURVE WESTSOUTHWESTWARD HAS THIS HIGH COME JUST
 SOUTH OF IT.

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