Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 31 Jan 2004 01:05:32 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 310600
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 21/6/20032004
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 6  (EX-ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/31 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.7S / 46.7E
(TWENTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/31 18 UTC: 20.9S/45.0E, MAX WIND=020KT, OVERLAND.
24H: 2004/02/01 06 UTC: 20.6S/43.2E, MAX WIND=020KT.
36H: 2004/02/01 18 UTC: 19.7S/42.3E, MAX WIND=025KT.
48H: 2004/02/02 06 UTC: 18.7S/42.4E, MAX WIND=030KT.
60H: 2004/02/02 18 UTC: 18.2S/43.2E, MAX WIND=035KT.
72H: 2004/02/03 06 UTC: 18.8S/44.0E, MAX WIND=040KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING OVER LANDS OF MADAGASCAR. IT SHOULD
RE-INTENSIFY
OVER WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL.=

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