Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 26 Jan 2004 06:07:16 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 261200
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 2/6/20032004
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6

2.A POSITION 2004/01/26 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.2S / 43.1E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY THREE DECIMAL ONE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 PLUS /D  0.5/6 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 997 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 120   SE: 120   SO: 120   NO: 120

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/27 00 UTC: 18.6S/42.8E, MAX WIND=040KT.
24H: 2004/01/27 12 UTC: 18.1S/42.5E, MAX WIND=040KT.
36H: 2004/01/28 00 UTC: 18.0S/42.8E, MAX WIND=050KT.
48H: 2004/01/28 12 UTC: 18.4S/43.4E, MAX WIND=050KT.
60H: 2004/01/29 00 UTC: 19.2S/43.8E, MAX WIND=050KT.
72H: 2004/01/29 12 UTC: 20.4S/44.2E, MAX WIND=050KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY, REMAINS
MODERATE.=

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