Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 31 Jan 2004 07:00:31 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 311200
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 22/6/20032004
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 6  (EX-ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/31 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.8S / 45.6E
(TWENTY DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/01 00 UTC: 20.8S/43.8E, MAX WIND=020KT.
24H: 2004/02/01 12 UTC: 20.7S/42.5E, MAX WIND=030KT.
36H: 2004/02/02 00 UTC: 19.6S/41.5E, MAX WIND=040KT.
48H: 2004/02/02 12 UTC: 18.0S/41.6E, MAX WIND=045KT.
60H: 2004/02/03 00 UTC: 17.5S/42.6E, MAX WIND=050KT.
72H: 2004/02/03 12 UTC: 18.0S/43.5E, MAX WIND=055KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS WEAKENING OVER LANDS OF MADAGASCAR. IT SHOULD
RE-INTENSIFY
OVER WARM WATERS OF THE MOZAMBIC CHANNEL.=

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