Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 10 Mar 2004 13:14:58 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 101816

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 1/10/20032004
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 10  (HELMA EX-NICKY)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/10 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S / 89.6E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY NINE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.0/4.0 PLUS /D  1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 975 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 60 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 100   SE: 200   SO: 150   NO: 100
50 KT       NE: 020   SE: 020   SO: 020   NO: 020

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1200 KM 8.A
VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/11 06 UTC: 17.4S/88.8E, MAX WIND=060KT .
24H: 2004/03/11 18 UTC: 18.7S/88.0E, MAX WIND=060KT .
36H: 2004/03/12 06 UTC: 20.0S/87.2E, MAX WIND=050KT .
48H: 2004/03/12 18 UTC: 21.5S/86.9E, MAX WIND=050KT .
60H: 2004/03/13 06 UTC: 22.5S/86.3E, MAX WIND=050KT .
72H: 2004/03/13 18 UTC: 24.0S/85.5E, MAX WIND=050KT .

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
NIL.

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