Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 31 Jan 2004 12:12:25 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 311800
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 17/7/20032004
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/31 AT 1800 UTC :
15.8S / 62.0E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL ZERO
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.5/5.5 /W  1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 945 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 85 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 400   SE: 250   SO: 200   NO: 400
50 KT       NE: 060   SE: 060   SO: 060   NO: 060

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/01 06 UTC: 16.8S/62.7E, MAX WIND=080KT .
24H: 2004/02/01 18 UTC: 17.7S/63.5E, MAX WIND=080KT .
36H: 2004/02/02 06 UTC: 18.4S/65.4E, MAX WIND=080KT .
48H: 2004/02/02 18 UTC: 18.6S/67.4E, MAX WIND=080KT .
60H: 2004/02/03 06 UTC: 18.7S/69.5E, MAX WIND=070KT .
72H: 2004/02/03 18 UTC: 19.0S/71.5E, MAX WIND=070KT .

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
AFTER ITS STATIONNARY PHASE, FRANK CONFIRM ITS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD.
INTENSITY HAS LIGHTLY WEAKEN BUT ENVIRONMENT CONDITIONS REMAIN
FAVORABLE.=

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