Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 06 Mar 2004 00:20:28 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 060622
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 17/9/20032004
1.A VERY INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 9  (GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/06 AT 0600 UTC :
14.6S / 53.4E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY THREE DECIMAL FOUR
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 7.0/7.0 /D  1.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 900 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 125 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 500   SE: 550   SO: 450   NO: 350
50 KT       NE: 180   SE: 180   SO: 150   NO: 100

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 1000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/06 18 UTC: 15.4S/51.6E, MAX WIND=125KT.
24H: 2004/03/07 06 UTC: 16.1S/49.6E, MAX WIND=100KT, OVERLAND.
36H: 2004/03/07 18 UTC: 17.1S/47.6E OVERLAND.
48H: 2004/03/08 06 UTC: 18.7S/45.8E OVERLAND.
60H: 2004/03/08 18 UTC: 20.4S/45.2E OVERLAND.
72H: 2004/03/09 06 UTC: 22.4S/45.4E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
NIL.=

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