Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 02 Feb 2004 13:13:13 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 021800

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 25/7/20032004
 1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

 2.A POSITION 2004/02/02 AT 1800 UTC :
 17.3S / 69.1E
 (SEVENTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY NINE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES
  EAST)

  3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 5.5/6.0 /S  0.0/12 H
  4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 927 HPA
  5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 100 KT

  6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
  30 KT       NE: 550   SE: 550   SO: 200   NO: 500
  50 KT       NE: 150   SE: 070   SO: 050   NO: 080

  7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 900 KM
  8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

  1.B FORECASTS:
  12H: 2004/02/03 06 UTC: 17.7S/70.3E, MAX WIND=090KT .
  24H: 2004/02/03 18 UTC: 18.2S/71.0E, MAX WIND=090KT .
  36H: 2004/02/04 06 UTC: 18.9S/71.4E, MAX WIND=085KT .
  48H: 2004/02/04 18 UTC: 19.8S/71.6E, MAX WIND=080KT .
  60H: 2004/02/05 06 UTC: 20.8S/71.6E, MAX WIND=075KT .
  72H: 2004/02/05 18 UTC: 21.6S/72.2E, MAX WIND=070KT .

  2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:

  FRANK KEEPS ON REGULARLY TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS. ITS A SMALL SIZE
  CYCLONE (ABOUT 300 KM). IT SHOULD ADOPT A POLEWARD TRACK OVER THE
NEXT 24
 HOURS, AT THE ARRIVAL OF A TROUGH IN THE SOUTH AND THE BUILDING HIGH
 PRESSURES IN THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM.

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