Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 04 Feb 2004 22:00:07 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 050000

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 34/7/20032004
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/05 AT 0000 UTC :
19.5S / 70.0E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 5.0/5.5 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 942 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 90 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 550   SE: 450   SO: 300   NO: 450
50 KT       NE: 080   SE: 030   SO: 030   NO: 080

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 1800 KM 8.A
VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/05 12 UTC: 20.4S/70.2E, MAX WIND=080KT .
24H: 2004/02/06 00 UTC: 21.7S/70.9E, MAX WIND=070KT .
36H: 2004/02/06 12 UTC: 23.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=060KT .
48H: 2004/02/07 00 UTC: 24.5S/72.6E, MAX WIND=060KT .
60H: 2004/02/07 12 UTC: 25.5S/73.6E, MAX WIND=050KT .
72H: 2004/02/08 00 UTC: 26.5S/73.8E, MAX WIND=050KT , BECOMING
EXTRATROPICAL.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=5.0- AND CI=5.5+.
THE EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS INCREASING.

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