Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 03 Feb 2004 18:01:56 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 040000
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 36/6/20032004
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 6  (EX-ELITA)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/04 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 22.8S / 48.9E
(TWENTY TWO DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY EIGHT DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 /D
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 995 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 400   SE: 800   SO: 500   NO: 200

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/04 12 UTC: 24.3S/50.2E, MAX WIND=040KT.
24H: 2004/02/05 00 UTC: 25.3S/51.0E, MAX WIND=045KT.
36H: 2004/02/05 12 UTC: 26.6S/51.7E, MAX WIND=050KT.
48H: 2004/02/06 00 UTC: 27.5S/51.9E, MAX WIND=055KT.
60H: 2004/02/06 12 UTC: 28.5S/51.6E, MAX WIND=055KT.
72H: 2004/02/07 00 UTC: 29.3S/51.0E, MAX WIND=055KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
MODELS DO REINTENSIFY ELITA ONCE IT'S OFF MADAGASCAR. ELITA PROFITS
BY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONNEMENT.=

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