Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 01 Feb 2004 19:19:02 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 020000
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 22/7/20032004
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/02 AT 0000 UTC :
17.0S / 66.1E
(SEVENTEEN DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY SIX DECIMAL ONE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 6.0/6.0 /D  1.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 925 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 105 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 500   SE: 500   SO: 200   NO: 500
50 KT       NE: 150   SE: 070   SO: 050   NO: 070

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/02 12 UTC: 17.7S/68.0E, MAX WIND=110KT.
24H: 2004/02/03 00 UTC: 18.2S/70.0E, MAX WIND=115KT.
36H: 2004/02/03 12 UTC: 18.6S/71.0E, MAX WIND=120KT.
48H: 2004/02/04 00 UTC: 19.3S/71.3E, MAX WIND=110KT.
60H: 2004/02/04 12 UTC: 20.0S/71.7E, MAX WIND=105KT.
72H: 2004/02/05 00 UTC: 20.9S/71.9E, MAX WIND=100KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=6.0+
FRANK IS STILL INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY (DEEP CONVECTION MORE COLD AND
EYE
WARMER).=

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