Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 30 Jan 2004 18:44:14 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 310000
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 14/7/20032004
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/31 AT 0000 UTC :
15.4S / 61.5E
(FIFTEEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY ONE DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 6.0/6.0 /D  1.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 925 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 105 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 200   SE: 300   SO: 250   NO: 200
50 KT       NE: 100   SE: 100   SO: 100   NO: 100

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/31 12 UTC: 15.8S/61.2E, MAX WIND=100KT.
24H: 2004/02/01 00 UTC: 16.4S/61.0E, MAX WIND=095KT.
36H: 2004/02/01 12 UTC: 18.0S/60.8E, MAX WIND=090KT.
48H: 2004/02/02 00 UTC: 19.5S/60.5E, MAX WIND=080KT.
60H: 2004/02/02 12 UTC: 20.5S/61.0E, MAX WIND=075KT.
72H: 2004/02/03 00 UTC: 23.0S/62.5E, MAX WIND=070KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
NIL=

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