Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 20 Mar 2004 00:10:53 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 200618
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 3/11/20032004
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 11

2.A POSITION 2004/03/20 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5S / 62.9E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY TWO DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /S  0.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1004 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: SHALLOW

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/20 18 UTC: 13.0S/60.5E, MAX WIND=025KT.
24H: 2004/03/21 06 UTC: 12.9S/58.2E, MAX WIND=025KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0-.
WEAK TO MODERATE FLUCTUATING CONVECTION ASSOCIATED TO A WEAK LOW
LEVEL
CIRCULATION.
AT THIS STAGE, THE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR
WARNINGS.=

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