Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 18:06:03 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 010000
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 12/4/20032004
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 4  (DARIUS)

2.A POSITION 2004/01/01 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 16.5S / 59.0E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY NINE DECIMAL ZERO
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 3.5/3.5 /D  0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 984 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 060   SE: 280   SO: 200   NO: 060
50 KT       NE: 030   SE: 030   SO: 030   NO: 030

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/01/01 12 UTC: 17.7S/59.0E, MAX WIND=060KT.
24H: 2004/01/02 00 UTC: 18.7S/58.7E, MAX WIND=060KT.
36H: 2004/01/02 12 UTC: 20.1S/58.1E, MAX WIND=065KT.
48H: 2004/01/03 00 UTC: 21.6S/57.3E, MAX WIND=065KT.
60H: 2004/01/03 12 UTC: 23.4S/56.9E, MAX WIND=065KT.
72H: 2004/01/04 00 UTC: 26.3S/57.2E, MAX WIND=060KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE NORTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS LIGHTLY WEAKENED.
HAPPY NEW YEAR 2004.=

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