Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 01 Feb 2004 06:08:49 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 011200
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 20/7/20032004
1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/01 AT 1200 UTC :
16.2S / 64.2E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL TWO DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY FOUR DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.5/5.0 /S  0.0/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 950 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 80 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 500   SE: 400   SO: 200   NO: 500
50 KT       NE: 100   SE: 050   SO: 050   NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/02 00 UTC: 16.6S/65.6E, MAX WIND=075KT.
24H: 2004/02/02 12 UTC: 17.1S/67.2E, MAX WIND=075KT.
36H: 2004/02/03 00 UTC: 17.9S/68.8E, MAX WIND=080KT.
48H: 2004/02/03 12 UTC: 18.9S/70.4E, MAX WIND=085KT.
60H: 2004/02/04 00 UTC: 20.3S/71.4E, MAX WIND=080KT.
72H: 2004/02/04 12 UTC: 21.4S/72.0E, MAX WIND=075KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
FRANK HAS MOVED GENERALLY EASTWARD DURING THE LAST HOURS, BUT IT IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK MORE SOUTHEASTWARDS LATER. INTENSITY IS QUITE
STATIONNARY BUT ENVIRONMENT CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.