Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 07 Mar 2004 12:32:13 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 071835
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 23/9/20032004
1.A OVERLAND DEPRESSION 9  (EX-GAFILO)

2.A POSITION 2004/03/07 AT 1800 UTC :
16.6S / 46.2E
(SIXTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL TWO DEGREES
EAST
)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               :
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 45 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 500   SE: 350   SO: 200   NO: 500

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 1000
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/03/08 06 UTC: 18.8S/44.0E, MAX WIND=035KT.
24H: 2004/03/08 18 UTC: 20.7S/43.6E, MAX WIND=050KT.
36H: 2004/03/09 06 UTC: 22.3S/44.0E OVERLAND.
48H: 2004/03/09 18 UTC: 23.5S/44.7E OVERLAND.
60H: 2004/03/10 06 UTC: 24.1S/45.5E OVERLAND.
72H: 2004/03/10 18 UTC: 24.5S/46.3E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK AT THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
STEERING
HIGH LOCATED EAST OF THE SYSTEM AND WHICH SHOULD MOVE NORTHWARD.=

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