Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 28 Jan 2004 18:14:56 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 290000

 RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

 0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 6/7/20032004
 1.A TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

 2.A POSITION 2004/01/29 AT 0000 UTC :
 WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 15.3S / 63.8E
 (FIFTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY THREE DECIMAL EIGHT
 DEGREES EAST)

 3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 4.5/4.5 /D  0.5/12 H
 4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 970 HPA
 5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 65 KT

 6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
 30 KT       NE: 180   SE: 280   SO: 200   NO: 120
 50 KT       NE: 040   SE: 040   SO: 040   NO: 040

 7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA / 700 KM
 8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

 1.B FORECASTS:
 12H: 2004/01/29 12 UTC: 16.1S/63.2E, MAX WIND=065KT.
 24H: 2004/01/30 00 UTC: 16.7S/62.7E, MAX WIND=070KT.
 36H: 2004/01/30 12 UTC: 17.0S/62.3E, MAX WIND=075KT.
 48H: 2004/01/31 00 UTC: 17.3S/62.0E, MAX WIND=080KT.
 60H: 2004/01/31 12 UTC: 17.5S/61.5E, MAX WIND=085KT.
 72H: 2004/02/01 00 UTC: 17.7S/61.1E, MAX WIND=085KT.

 2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
 T=CI=4.5-.
 A SMALL, VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IR IMAGERY, HAS FORMED DURING LAST HOURS.
 THE SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD, THEN IT IS EXPECTED TO
 SLOW DOWN DUE TO THE BUILDING MID LEVEL RIDGE IN THE SOUTH.

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