Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western/

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 19 Mar 2004 23:54:40 -0600

TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC
ABPW10 PGTW 200600
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN/
AND SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/200600Z-210600ZMAR2004//
REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200151ZMAR2004//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 200000Z2, TROPICAL STORM (TS) 02W WAS LOCATED
NEAR 13.2N6 125.9E7, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
MANILA AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
06 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 GUSTING
TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 200300)
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.3S0 146.1E2
HAS REMAINED QUASI-STATIONARY AND IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.0N7 146.1E2,
APPROXIMATELY 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. RECENT QUIKSCAT
AND ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A WEAK LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD VENTILATION AND DECREASING
VERTICAL SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS FAIR.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
FORECAST TEAM: MOHAMMED/JACOBS/SCHULTZ/HEILER//

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