Subject: Indian-N: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 02 Feb 2004 18:35:43 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 030000
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 26/7/20032004
1.A INTENSE TROPICAL CYCLONE 7  (FRANK)

2.A POSITION 2004/02/03 AT 0000 UTC :
17.6S / 70.0E
(SEVENTEEN DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 5.0/5.5 /W  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 935 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 95 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 550   SE: 550   SO: 200   NO: 500
50 KT       NE: 150   SE: 070   SO: 050   NO: 080

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 900 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2004/02/03 12 UTC: 18.1S/70.8E, MAX WIND=080KT.
24H: 2004/02/04 00 UTC: 18.8S/71.2E, MAX WIND=080KT.
36H: 2004/02/04 12 UTC: 19.5S/71.4E, MAX WIND=070KT.
48H: 2004/02/05 00 UTC: 20.6S/71.5E, MAX WIND=065KT.
60H: 2004/02/05 12 UTC: 21.4S/71.8E, MAX WIND=055KT.
72H: 2004/02/06 00 UTC: 22.2S/72.3E, MAX WIND=055KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:

FRANK KEEPS ON REGULARLY TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS. ITS A SMALL
SIZE
CYCLONE (ABOUT 300 KM). IT SHOULD ADOPT A POLEWARD TRACK OVER THE
NEXT 24
 HOURS, AT THE ARRIVAL OF A TROUGH IN THE SOUTH AND THE BUILDING HIGH
PRESSURES IN THE EAST OF THE SYSTEM.=

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