Subject: Indian-S: Msgid/genadmin/navpacmetoccen Pearl Harbor Hi/jtwc//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 04 Jan 2004 02:10:24 -0600

WTXS31 PGTW 040900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
IMMEDIATE DELIVERY REQ TO AMEMBASSY PORT LOUIS
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 06S (DARIUS) WARNING NR 013
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   040600Z0 --- NEAR 27.9S8 59.5E9
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 160 DEGREES AT 23 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 27.9S8 59.5E9
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   041800Z3 --- 33.1S7 62.1E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 155 DEG/ 41 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   050600Z1 --- 40.6S0 66.5E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   EXTRATROPICAL
    ---
REMARKS:
040900Z3 POSITION NEAR 29.2S3 60.1E7.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06S (DARIUS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 700 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT
23 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED
ON 040530Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING
INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF
30, 35, AND 45 KNOTS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS WEAKENING
DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. TC 06S IS EXPECTED TO
ACCELERATE POLEWARD AS IT TRANSITIONS INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM.
TC 06S WILL COMPLETE TRANSITION TO AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM IN 24
HOURS. THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS CONSISTING OF NOGAPS, UKMET
(EGRR), GFDN, AND NCEP GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO.
THIS FORECAST IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE AVAILABLE DYNAMIC AIDS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 040600Z0 IS 20 FEET. NEXT
WARNING AT 042100Z7. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S WARNINGS
(WTXS32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//

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