Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 17 Jan 2005 06:09:54 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 171208

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 1/9/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 9

2.A POSITION 2005/01/17 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.3S / 84.8E
(NINE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /D
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1004 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 700 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/18 00 UTC: 09.4S/83.5E, MAX WIND=025KT.
24H: 2005/01/18 12 UTC: 09.7S/81.6E, MAX WIND=025KT.
36H: 2005/01/19 00 UTC: 10.1S/79.3E, MAX WIND=030KT.
48H: 2005/01/19 12 UTC: 11.0S/76.7E, MAX WIND=035KT.
60H: 2005/01/20 00 UTC: 11.9S/74.3E, MAX WIND=040KT.
72H: 2005/01/20 12 UTC: 12.6S/72.4E, MAX WIND=040KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0-
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS, THE SYSTEM GOT MORE ORGANIZED. IT IS
EXPECTED
TO KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.=

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