Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 18 Jan 2005 06:19:35 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 181218

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 5/9/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 9

2.A POSITION 2005/01/18 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.4S / 82.3E
(ELEVEN DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY TWO DECIMAL THREE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1001 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 600 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/19 00 UTC: 12.4S/80.2E, MAX WIND=025KT.
24H: 2005/01/19 12 UTC: 13.4S/77.3E, MAX WIND=030KT.
36H: 2005/01/20 00 UTC: 15.1S/75.3E, MAX WIND=035KT.
48H: 2005/01/20 12 UTC: 16.4S/73.1E, MAX WIND=035KT.
60H: 2005/01/21 00 UTC: 17.3S/71.1E, MAX WIND=040KT.
72H: 2005/01/21 12 UTC: 18.0S/69.0E, MAX WIND=045KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0-

THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED NORTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING
SLOWLY.=

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