Subject: Indian-S: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 11 Feb 2005 18:37:55 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 120037

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 11/14/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14

2.A POSITION 2005/02/12 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 40 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.8S / 56.7E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL SEVEN
DEGREES
 EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /D  0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/02/12 12 UTC: 19.7S/57.6E, MAX WIND=030KT.
24H: 2005/02/13 00 UTC: 20.9S/58.4E, MAX WIND=030KT.
36H: 2005/02/13 12 UTC: 22.4S/58.0E, MAX WIND=035KT.
48H: 2005/02/14 00 UTC: 23.0S/56.4E, MAX WIND=040KT.
60H: 2005/02/14 12 UTC: 23.0S/54.4E, MAX WIND=045KT.
72H: 2005/02/15 00 UTC: 22.5S/53.1E, MAX WIND=045KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=2.0+
BEGINNING OF ORGANIZATION, WITH A CDO WHICH HAS JUST BUILT ABOVE THE
LLCC

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