Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 19 Jan 2005 18:02:38 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 200000

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 6/8/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8

2.A POSITION 2005/01/20 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 12.3S / 46.5E
(TWELVE DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY SIX DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /D  0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1002 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/20 12 UTC: 13.6S/44.6E, MAX WIND=030KT.
24H: 2005/01/21 00 UTC: 15.1S/43.1E, MAX WIND=035KT.
36H: 2005/01/21 12 UTC: 17.1S/41.8E, MAX WIND=040KT.
48H: 2005/01/22 00 UTC: 19.0S/41.0E, MAX WIND=040KT.
60H: 2005/01/22 12 UTC: 20.6S/41.0E, MAX WIND=040KT.
72H: 2005/01/23 00 UTC: 22.2S/41.0E, MAX WIND=040KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0+
ASSOCIATED WINDS REMAINS RELATIVELY WEAK. PRESSURE OBS REMAIN RATHER
HIGH
 IN THE VICINITY OF THE SYSTEM.
THE SYSTEM HAS LIGHTLY ORGENIZED DURING LAST HOURS (BETTER WRAPING).=

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