Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 18 Jan 2005 12:22:00 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 181820

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 6/9/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 9

2.A POSITION 2005/01/18 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 11.3S / 81.0E
(ELEVEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY ONE DECIMAL ZERO
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1001 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1200
KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/19 06 UTC: 12.1S/78.8E, MAX WIND=025KT.
24H: 2005/01/19 18 UTC: 13.8S/76.2E, MAX WIND=030KT.
36H: 2005/01/20 06 UTC: 14.9S/74.0E, MAX WIND=035KT.
48H: 2005/01/20 18 UTC: 15.4S/71.8E, MAX WIND=040KT.
60H: 2005/01/21 06 UTC: 15.9S/69.1E, MAX WIND=045KT.
72H: 2005/01/21 18 UTC: 16.1S/66.3E, MAX WIND=045KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE LLCC IS PARTIALLY EXPOSED NORTHEAST OF DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
IT IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING
SLOWLY.=

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