Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Tue, 04 Jan 2005 00:58:49 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 040657

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 1/7/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 7

2.A POSITION 2005/01/04 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.4S / 40.7E
(TWENTY DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /D
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1000 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1005 HPA / 400 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/04 18 UTC: 21.3S/41.0E, MAX WIND=030KT.
24H: 2005/01/05 06 UTC: 23.0S/43.0E, MAX WIND=040KT.
36H: 2005/01/05 18 UTC: 23.3S/44.8E, MAX WIND=040KT, OVERLAND.
48H: 2005/01/06 06 UTC: 23.0S/45.3E OVERLAND.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0
CONVECTION HAS ORGANIZED DURING LAST NIGHT. STRONG WINDS EXPENSE MUCH
WIDER TO THE EAST UNDER SQUALLY WEATHER.
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED SLOWLY INTENSIFYING AND TRACKIN SOUTHEASTWARDS.=

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