Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 09 Jan 2005 20:26:29 -0600

WTIO31 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 006
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   100000Z1 --- NEAR 6.5N1 83.2E3
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 6.5N1 83.2E3
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   101200Z4 --- 6.7N3 82.7E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 230 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   110000Z2 --- 6.0N6 81.8E7
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   111200Z5 --- 6.0N6 79.8E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   120000Z3 --- 6.1N7 77.5E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 13 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   130000Z4 --- 7.2N9 72.2E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
    ---
REMARKS:
100300Z4 POSITION NEAR  6.5N1  83.1E2.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 200 NM EAST OF
COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 092330Z7
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS
BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS.
ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO REVEAL
DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION OVER A DIFFICULT TO LOCATE LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). NUMEROUS SURFACE WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST AN ELONGATED WEAK CYCLONIC CIRCULATION.
THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BE WEAK AND LOOSELY ORGANIZED AND IS
FORECAST TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY AND THEN WEAKEN AFTER TAU 24. THE
SYSTEM REMAINS IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT AND IS FORECAST TO
ENTER UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE BUILDING FROM THE WEST.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 100000Z1 IS 6 FEET. REFER TO
WWIO30 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 100900Z0, 101500Z7, 102100Z4 AND 110300Z5.//

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