Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 16 Jan 2005 08:40:54 -0600

WTIO31 PGTW 161500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02B WARNING NR 008
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   161200Z0 --- NEAR 4.5N9 86.2E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 01 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 4.5N9 86.2E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   170000Z8 --- 4.8N2 86.0E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   171200Z1 --- 5.2N7 85.9E2
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 010 DEG/ 03 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   180000Z9 --- 5.7N2 86.0E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   181200Z2 --- 6.7N3 86.5E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z3 --- 8.5N3 87.8E3
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
161500Z3 POSITION NEAR 4.6N0 86.2E6.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 02B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS DRIFTED NORTHWESTWARD AT
01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED
ON 161130Z2 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING IN-
TENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF
30 AND 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED IMAGERY SHOWS DECREASING CONVECTION
OFFSET TO THE WEST OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. TC 02B
IS FORECAST TO DRIFT SLOWLY POLEWARD FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN
A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT. AFTER TAU 24, THE SYSTEM IS FORE-
CAST TO TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND INTERACT WITH AN APPROACHING
TROUGH. TC 02B IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 161200Z0 IS 18 FEET.
REFER TO WWIO31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 162100Z0, 170300Z1, 170900Z7 AND 171500Z4.//

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