Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 17 Jan 2005 12:13:17 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 171811

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 2/9/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 9

2.A POSITION 2005/01/17 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 9.8S / 83.5E
(NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.0/2.0 /D  0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1001 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/18 06 UTC: 09.9S/81.5E, MAX WIND=025KT.
24H: 2005/01/18 18 UTC: 10.3S/79.4E, MAX WIND=030KT.
36H: 2005/01/19 06 UTC: 10.9S/77.0E, MAX WIND=035KT.
48H: 2005/01/19 18 UTC: 11.7S/74.5E, MAX WIND=040KT.
60H: 2005/01/20 06 UTC: 12.4S/72.2E, MAX WIND=045KT.
72H: 2005/01/20 18 UTC: 12.8S/69.7E, MAX WIND=050KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS, THE SYSTEM GOT MORE ORGANIZED. IT IS
EXPECTED
TO KEEP ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING WITHIN 24 TO 36
HOURS.=

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+
To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL send e-mail to [email-masked] with
"unsub wx-tropl" in the body of your message. For help with WX-TROPL
write to [email-masked] or see http://wxlist.5280tech.com. For more
information on tropical weather products, see the NHC Homepage
at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov.