Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Viii (s)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 02 Feb 2005 18:15:04 -0600

WTIO20 FMEE 030013
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 03/02/2005
AT
0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 021/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: THURSDAY  03/02/2005 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 12 1000 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.3S / 60.6E
(TWENTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY DECIMAL SIX DEGREES
EAST)
AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT:          WEST-SOUTH-WEST 9 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN100 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, EXTENDING
UP
TO 250 NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS FAR FROM THE CENTRE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/02/03 AT 12 UTC:
21.4S / 58.5E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/04 AT 00 UTC:
23.2S / 57.0E, MAX WIND = 35 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
ACCORDING TO LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY, THE SYSTEM DOES NOT SEEM TO
INTENSIFY SIGNIFICANTLY, AND UNTIL NOW THE SYSTEM KEEPS THE STRUCRURE
OF
A MONSOON DEPRESSION.
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS DURING
THE
 NEXT 24 HOURS, BEFORE TRACKING QUICKLY SOUTHWARDS IN THE TROUGH.=

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