Subject: Indian-N: Rsmc / Tropical Cyclone Centre / La Reunion

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 19 Jan 2005 00:18:57 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 190614

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 8/9/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 9

2.A POSITION 2005/01/19 AT 0600 UTC :
13.3S / 76.9E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY SIX DECIMAL NINE
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 /D  0.5/12 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 997 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 040   SE: 060   SO: 060   NO: 040

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 1000 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/19 18 UTC: 14.6S/74.3E, MAX WIND=035KT.
24H: 2005/01/20 06 UTC: 15.6S/71.5E, MAX WIND=040KT.
36H: 2005/01/20 18 UTC: 16.5S/69.1E, MAX WIND=045KT.
48H: 2005/01/21 06 UTC: 16.9S/66.7E, MAX WIND=050KT.
60H: 2005/01/21 18 UTC: 17.5S/64.0E, MAX WIND=055KT.
72H: 2005/01/22 06 UTC: 17.7S/61.7E, MAX WIND=050KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
CONVECTION IS BETTER ORGANIZED SINCE THE LAST HOURS.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH PRESSURES, INTENSIFYING SLOWLY.

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