Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 05 Feb 2005 20:05:47 -0600

WTIO22 FMEE 060029
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 06/02/2005 AT
0000 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 006/13 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY    06/02/2005 AT 0000 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 13 1002 HPA 
POSITION:          WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 21.6S / 57.0E 
(TWENTY ONE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SEVEN DECIMAL ZERO
DEGREES  EAST) AT 0000 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-WEST 8 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP TO 200
NM IN THE NORTHEASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS AROUND THE CENTER,
 REACHING LOCALLY 30 KT.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/02/06 AT 12 UTC: 
22.9S / 56.0E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/07 AT 00 UTC: 
23.7S / 55.3E, MAX WIND = 35 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0-.
INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNING.
THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES RATHER FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT. IT IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK  SOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER SLOWLY, AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY WITHIN 24 TO
 48 HOURS.

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