Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 07 Feb 2005 20:35:54 -0600

WTXS31 PGTW 080300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S WARNING NR 003
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   080000Z8 --- NEAR 16.0S7 115.8E5
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 16.0S7 115.8E5
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   081200Z1 --- 15.7S3 115.9E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   090000Z9 --- 15.4S0 116.0E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 340 DEG/ 02 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   091200Z2 --- 15.1S7 115.9E6
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 01 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   100000Z1 --- 15.0S6 115.7E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM
    ---
REMARKS:
080300Z1 POSITION NEAR 15.9S5 115.8E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 300 NM
NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PORT HEDLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED
NORTHWARD AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING
POSITION IS BASED ON 072330Z5 MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED ON SATELLITE CURRENT
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 35 KNOTS. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY
INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) IS
NOW LOCATED UNDER THE PERSISTANT DEEP CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT NORTHWARD WITHIN A WEAK STEERING ENVIR-
ONMENT AND INTENSIFY VERY SLOWLY DUE TO MARGINAL VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR CONDITIONS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
080000Z8 IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 081500Z4 AND 090300Z2.//

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