Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Warning//

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 09 Jan 2005 08:19:11 -0600

WTIO31 PGTW 091500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01B WARNING NR 004
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   091200Z2 --- NEAR 6.4N0 83.5E6
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   REPEAT POSIT: 6.4N0 83.5E6
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   100000Z1 --- 6.5N1 82.9E9
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 05 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   101200Z4 --- 6.2N8 81.9E8
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   36 HRS, VALID AT:
   110000Z2 --- 5.9N4 80.6E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 08 KTS
    ---
   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
   48 HRS, VALID AT:
   111200Z5 --- 5.8N3 78.9E4
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 12 KTS
    ---
   72 HRS, VALID AT:
   121200Z6 --- 5.3N8 74.0E1
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
091500Z5 POSITION NEAR 6.4N0 83.4E5.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01B, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 220 NM EAST OF
COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. THE WARNING POSITION IS BASED ON 091130Z4
ANIMATED VISUAL SATELLITE IMAGERY. THE WARNING INTENSITY IS BASED
ON SATELLITE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 25 KNOTS. ANIMATED
VISUAL AND RECENT MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS DISORGANIZED
DEEP CONVECTION OVER A DIFFICULT TO LOCATE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). THE SYSTEM IS VERY WEAK AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
WEAKENING. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT
AND IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 091200Z2 IS 09 FEET.
REFER TO WWIO31 PHNC FOR ADDITIONAL SEA HEIGHT INFORMATION. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 092100Z2, 100300Z4 AND 100900Z0.//

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