Subject: Indian-S: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 06 Feb 2005 18:14:37 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 070013

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 8/13/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13

2.A POSITION 2005/02/07 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 25.4S / 55.5E
(TWENTY FIVE DECIMAL FOUR DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 /D  0.5/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 997 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 050   SE: 080   SO: 050   NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/02/07 12 UTC: 25.8S/54.0E, MAX WIND=035KT.
24H: 2005/02/08 00 UTC: 25.7S/52.0E, MAX WIND=040KT.
36H: 2005/02/08 12 UTC: 25.3S/50.8E, MAX WIND=045KT.
48H: 2005/02/09 00 UTC: 25.3S/49.9E, MAX WIND=040KT.
60H: 2005/02/09 12 UTC: 25.7S/49.4E, MAX WIND=035KT.
72H: 2005/02/10 00 UTC: 26.3S/49.3E, MAX WIND=030KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.5
STRONGEST WINDS ARE MAINLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE
TO
THE GRADIENT.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS ON THE
NORTHERN EDGE OF THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURES.=

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