Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Vii And Metarea Viii (s)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Fri, 11 Feb 2005 12:12:04 -0600

WTIO22 FMEE 111810
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 11/02/2005
AT
1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 010/14 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY    11/02/2005 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 14 1005 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.3S / 56.1E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY SIX DECIMAL ONE
DEGREES
EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT:          QUASI-STATIONARY

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 150 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTRE, EXTENDING
UP
TO 300 NM IN THE EASTERN SECTOR.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE SEAS WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS
OF
THE CENTRE, LOCALLY REACHING 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS  IN THE
NORTHEASTERN
SEMI-CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/02/12 AT 06 UTC:
18.7S / 56.8E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/02/12 AT 18 UTC:
19.1S / 57.2E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM GETS DIFFICULTIES TO INTENSIFY AND ITS EVOLUTION (TRACK
AND
INTENSITY)  REMAINS UNCERTAIN, ESPECIALLY AT MEDIUM RANGE.
IT REMAINS UNDER CLOSELY MONITORING DUE TO ITS EVOLUTION NEAR
MASCAREIGNES ISLANDS.=

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