Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 17/01/2005

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Mon, 17 Jan 2005 12:11:58 -0600

WTIO20 FMEE 171810
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 17/01/2005
AT
1800 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 002/09 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: MONDAY    17/01/2005 AT 1800 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 9 1001 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT  9.8S / 83.5E
(NINE DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND EIGHTY THREE DECIMAL FIVE
DEGREES
EAST) AT 1800 UTC
MOVEMENT:          WEST-SOUTH-WEST 14 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 100 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER,  EXTENDING
UP
TO 200 NM IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 20/25 KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS NEAR THE
CENTRE
, REACHING LOCALLY NEAR GALE FORCE  30 KT AND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH
SEAS
MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE UNDER CONVECTION . STRONG GUSTS
UNDER
SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/01/18 AT 06 UTC:
9.9S / 81.5E, MAX WIND = 25 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/01/18 AT 18 UTC:
10.3S / 79.4E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS, THE SYSTEM GOT MORE ORGANIZED. IT IS
EXPECTED
TO KEEP ON TRACKING WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS, INTENSIFYING WITHIN 24 TO 36
HOURS.=

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