Subject: Indian-S: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sat, 05 Feb 2005 06:24:47 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 051223

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 2/13/20042005
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 13

2.A POSITION 2005/02/05 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 19.7S / 58.2E
(NINETEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY EIGHT DECIMAL TWO
DEGREES
 EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 1004 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/02/06 00 UTC: 21.2S/57.3E, MAX WIND=025KT.
24H: 2005/02/06 12 UTC: 22.2S/56.0E, MAX WIND=025KT.
36H: 2005/02/07 00 UTC: 22.7S/54.8E, MAX WIND=030KT.
48H: 2005/02/07 12 UTC: 23.1S/53.0E, MAX WIND=035KT.
60H: 2005/02/08 00 UTC: 23.7S/50.9E, MAX WIND=040KT.
72H: 2005/02/08 12 UTC: 24.2S/48.6E, MAX WIND=040KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
THE SYSTEM UNDERGOES RATHER FAVOURABLE ENVIRONMENT. IT IS EXPECTED TO
TRACK  SOUTHWESTWARDS RATHER SLOWLY, AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY WITHIN
24 TO
 48 HOURS.=

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