Subject: Indian-S: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 30 Jan 2005 18:33:32 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 310032

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 9/12/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12

2.A POSITION 2005/01/31 AT 0000 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 18.1S / 68.8E
(EIGHTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND SIXTY EIGHT DECIMAL EIGHT
DEGREES
 EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 /D
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 998 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 040   SE: 040   SO: 040   NO: 040

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1004 HPA
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/01/31 12 UTC: 19.3S/67.8E, MAX WIND=030KT.
24H: 2005/02/01 00 UTC: 19.4S/66.4E, MAX WIND=035KT.
36H: 2005/02/01 12 UTC: 19.3S/64.4E, MAX WIND=040KT.
48H: 2005/02/02 00 UTC: 19.2S/63.4E, MAX WIND=050KT.
60H: 2005/02/02 12 UTC: 19.2S/62.1E, MAX WIND=050KT.
72H: 2005/02/03 00 UTC: 20.3S/61.2E, MAX WIND=050KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.5-
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAIN CONFUSED WITH SEVERAL POSSIBLE CENTERS.
THE MENTIONNED CENTER IS ESTIMATED TO BE THE MAIN..
SYSTEM SEEMS TO HAVE RECURVED ITS TRACK SOUTHWESTWARDS DURING THE
LAST
FEW HOURS.
IT IS EXPECTED NOW TO KEEP ON TRACKING WESTWARDS IN THE NORTHEN EDGE
OF
THE HIGH PRESSURES BUILDING IN SOUTHWEST AND INTENSIFYING SLOWLY .=

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