Subject: Indian-N: Issued By Meteo-france/tropical Cyclone Centre/la Reunion 26/01/2005 At

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Wed, 26 Jan 2005 06:26:12 -0600

WTIO24 FMEE 261218
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VII
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 26/01/2005 AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 001/11 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: WEDNESDAY 26/01/2005 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 11 1004 HPA
POSITION:          WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 20.5S / 40.5E
(TWENTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES EAST)
AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT:          QUASI-STATIONARY

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER WHTHIN 250NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTRE, MAINLY IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHWESTERN SECTORS.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/20KT, REACHING LOCALLY 25KT; AND MODERATE TO
ROUGH SEAS WITHIN THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/01/27 AT 00 UTC:
20.8S / 40.8E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/01/27 AT 12 UTC:
21.1S / 40.9E, MAX WIND = 40 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.

SEVERAL CENTRES MAY EXIST. THE MENTIONNED CENTRE IS THE MAIN ONE,
ESTIMATED TO BE LOCATED UNDER DEEP CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION IS GOOD, AND THIS SYSTEM, WHICH GENERATE
IMPORTANT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, COULD RAPIDLY DEEPEN IN THIS AREA.

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