Subject: Indian-S: Tropical Cyclone Forecast Warning (south-west Indian Ocean)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 06 Feb 2005 12:11:29 -0600

WTIO30 FMEE 061810

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER                 : 7/13/20042005
1.A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13

2.A POSITION 2005/02/06 AT 1800 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 24.3S / 55.7E
(TWENTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FIVE DECIMAL SEVEN
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS                : 2.5/2.5 /D  1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE               : 997 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 30 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT       NE: 050   SE: 080   SO: 050   NO: 050

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: DEEP

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2005/02/07 06 UTC: 24.5S/54.2E, MAX WIND=035KT.
24H: 2005/02/07 18 UTC: 24.7S/52.7E, MAX WIND=040KT.
36H: 2005/02/08 06 UTC: 24.7S/51.9E, MAX WIND=045KT.
48H: 2005/02/08 18 UTC: 25.0S/51.2E, MAX WIND=045KT.
60H: 2005/02/09 06 UTC: 25.3S/50.8E, MAX WIND=040KT.
72H: 2005/02/09 18 UTC: 26.3S/49.9E, MAX WIND=035KT.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.5-
STRONGEST WINDS ARE MAINLY LOCATED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT DUE
TO
THE GRADIENT.
THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SLOWLY WESTSOUTHWESTWARDS
ON
THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURES.=

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