Subject: Indian-S: Warning For Metarea Viii (s)

From: SIU Weather Processor <[email-masked]>
Date: Sun, 30 Jan 2005 00:13:40 -0600

WTIO20 FMEE 300605
SECURITE
WARNING FOR METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 30/01/2005 AT
0600 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 006/12 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: SUNDAY    30/01/2005 AT 0600 UTC.

PHENOMENON:        ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 12 1001 HPA 
POSITION:          WITHIN 60 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.7S / 70.3E 
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES SOUTH AND SEVENTY DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
EAST) AT 0600 UTC
MOVEMENT:          SOUTH-WEST 15 KT

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 200 NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER, EXTENDING UP
 TO 400 NM IN THE EASTERN SEMI-CIRCLE.

WIDE LOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25 KT AND MODERATE  TO ROUGH SEAS.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2005/01/30 AT 18 UTC: 
15.9S / 68.6E, MAX WIND = 30 KT.
24H, VALID 2005/01/31 AT 06 UTC: 
16.7S / 67.1E, MAX WIND = 35 KT.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
WIDE AREA OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AND CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION WHITH SEVERAL
POSSIBLE CENTRES. THE MAIN ONE IS ESTIMATED UNDER CONVECTION, WICH IS
CONSOLIDATING AS THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION IS IMPROVING.
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO KEEP ON TRACKING SOUTHWESTWARDS AND SLOWLY DEEPEN.

SYSTEM INTENSITY DOES NOT JUSTIFY AT PRESENT ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS

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